21
Sensitivity: Open Q2 2020 ticker symbol: DTAC 15 July 2020 Sharad Merohtra, CEO Dilip Pal, CFO

PowerPoint Presentationdtac.listedcompany.com/misc/FS/2020/20200715-dtac-conferencecall-2q2020.pdf · • Rollout of TDD sites to reach 20k by the end of 2020 • Currently exploring

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  • Sensitivity: Open

    Q2 2020

    ticker symbol: DTAC

    15 July 2020Sharad Merohtra, CEODilip Pal, CFO

  • Sensitivity: Open

    2

    Peak impact from Covid-19

    Accelerated digital transformation while keeping core focuses

    Countrywide lock-down and #WFH as catalyst for a new normal

    Business resilience and efficiency as critical driver for EBITDA growth in the

    face of crisis

    Operational highlights - Second Quarter 2020

  • Sensitivity: Open

    Peak impact from COVID-19 amidst ongoing competition

    3

    Over month-long of ongoing

    lockdown

    Further revision of Economic growth

    From -5% to -8% (BoT)

    Full impact on revenue from tourist, roaming, and migrants

    Re-opening in phases from mid-

    May

    Optimized spending across Thai mass segment

    Lower transaction activities due to physical shops closure

    Lower foot traffic level

    1

    2

    3

    Nationwide context Market situations

    • More impact on prepaid than postpaid

    • Prepaid competition remained intense with unlimited data packs offered in acquisition pack

    • Participation with NBTC on subsidized 10 GB and free 100 minutes

  • Sensitivity: Open

    Connecting customer while supporting transition to a new normal

    4

    Nationwide lockdown

    Adoption of #WFH policy

    68%Increase in web

    usage QoQIncrease in dtac app

    usage QoQ

    43%

    New Normal

    Connecting customer Supporting transition

    B2C B2B

    #bettertogether

    Social distance

    measures

    Shift in

    Network trafficfrom CBD to

    residential zone

    Stable Network Complaints

    and Network NPS despite surge in usage and shift

    in usage pattern

    Surge in data usage from Jan – Jun 2020

    44%

  • Sensitivity: Open

    dtac’s strive to thrive in the new normal

    5

    Accelerating digital transformation

    Supporting people on the new journey

    Increase in digital redemption

    5x

    Internally• 100% operation from home , powered by trust and productivity – a result of dtac’s long-term effort to empower people through a

    healthy, collaborative, and inclusive culture • Kept improving our people through even more robust selection of online resources to support the digital journey

    Externally• Relief initiatives for broader society

    YoY increase

    99%Insurance service in-app purchase

    • Actively educated society and raised awareness on safe internet use, especially in time of change when cyber-attackers take advantage of fear and confusion

    • Launched online learning platform to build children’s digital resilience, serving as key foundation to empower society through creation of healthy online culture

    QoQ increase

    34%

    Prepaiddtac app MAU

  • Sensitivity: Open

    6

    • Optimization for efficiency has always been our key focus

    • Despite the crisis at its peak affecting revenues, dtac maintained the ability to manage profitability

    • Our Q220 EBITDA growth 5.1% QoQ and 4.2% YoY

    Business resilience and efficiency as critical driver for EBITDA growth

  • Sensitivity: Open

    Low-band Mid-band High-band

    900 MHz• Obtained clarification on funding of filter installation• Equipment swap to take place immediately after CAT completes

    filter installation

    850 MHz• As a pre-caution, dtac has obtained approval on 850 MHz extension

    for another 6 month after CAT completes filter installation, or until 31st December 2021 as the latest date

    700 MHz• NBTC notified that the award will be delayed until 15th January 2021• dtac requested for an option for early award by region; confirmation

    from NBTC is currently pending

    2100 MHz

    1800 MHz

    2300 MHz

    26 GHz

    3500 MHz*Ongoing participating in the consultation process with the NBTC

    Spectrum portfolio: key updates

  • Sensitivity: Open

    Network improvement plan

    Low-band Mid-band High-band

    700 MHz

    • Rollout by Q420

    • Potential commercial launch by region in Q420, to be accelerated along with the robust 5G ecosystem

    2300 MHz for eMBB

    • Massive MiMo deployment started in Q2, to be ramped up in 2H20

    • Rollout of TDD sites to reach 20k by the end of 2020

    • Currently exploring options with TOT on the spectrum use for 5G

    26 GHz

    • Rollout in selected area completed; showcase on mmWave ready for Q320

  • Sensitivity: Open

    Q2 2020

    ticker symbol: DTAC

    15 July 2020Dilip Pal, CFO

  • Sensitivity: Open

    10

    Continued surge in data usage to now 18GB per sub per month (16.5% QoQ)

    Sequential EBITDA and net profit growth despite revenue decline

    Healthy cost control through ongoing optimization initiatives

    Capex planning on-track

    Financial highlights – Second Quarter 2020

    Note: Figures are post-TFRS 15 & 16

  • Sensitivity: Open

    COVID-19 and subsequent economic slowdown resulted in drop in monthly active users while a new normal revealed continued surge in data usage

    11

    Subscribers (mm)

    -8.9%

    -4.3%

    Monthly active users

    • Sub loss at lower level compared to Q1

    • Prepaid sub loss at 757k QoQ and postpaid sub loss of 78k QoQ driven by higher churn and lower gross adds during COVID-19

    A drop from COVID-19 impact

    14.3 14.0 14.2 13.5 12.7

    6.3 6.4 6.4 6.2 6.1

    20.6 20.4 20.6 19.6 18.8

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    Prepaid Postpaid

    • Despite fluctuation of subscriber base in the past quarters, our monthly active users trends are stabilized until the hit of COVID-19 starting mid-March; this reflected loss of tourist and migrants during the lockdown

    Data usage (GB/sub/month)

    +74.8%

    +16.5%

    • Change in customer behavior as part of a new normal resulted in continued surge in data usage

    • Smartphone penetration 86.8%

    • Approx. 10 mm subs on 2300 MHz network

    10.5 11.7 12.8

    15.8 18.4

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    GB/sub/mth

  • Sensitivity: Open

    Postpaid ARPU remained flattish while prepaid ARPU got affected more by COVID-19 and competition

    12

    Q220 blended ARPU excl. IC was +0.5% QoQ and +0.7% YoY

    Blended ARPU (THB/sub/mth)* Postpaid ARPU (THB/sub/mth)* Prepaid ARPU (THB/sub/mth)

    • Q220 postpaid ARPU excl. IC was -0.8% QoQ and -2.2% YoY

    • Q220 prepaid ARPU excl. IC was -4.1% QoQ and -8.5% YoY reflecting intense competition, coupled with customer optimized spending from subsequent economic impact

    Note: Figures are post-TFRS 15 & 16* Number of average subscribers used in ARPU calculation has been revised to make it in line with the reported subscribers, starting from Q120

    +0.7%

    +0.5%

    -9.1%

    -4.0%

    -2.2%

    -0.8%

    137 142 138 130 125

    142 147 144

    134 129

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    ARPU excl. IC IC

    532 543 546 529 525

    551 562 565 543 539

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    ARPU excl. IC IC

    249 258 258 251 253

    258 267 267

    258 260

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    ARPU excl. IC IC

  • Sensitivity: Open

    Service revenue excl. IC dropped QoQ and YoY due to COVID-19 impact

    13

    Service revenue excl. IC (THB bn) Total revenue (THB bn)

    14.4 14.8 14.8 14.7 14.2

    0.80.8 0.8 0.6

    0.4

    15.215.6 15.6 15.3

    14.6

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    Core service revenue Others

    15.7 16.1 16.1 15.8 15.0

    2.0 1.72.7

    1.71.4

    2.3 2.52.6

    2.62.7

    20.0 20.321.4

    20.119.2

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    Service rev Devices & SIM Other oper income

    Note: Figures are post-TFRS 15 & 16

    • Core service revenue dropped -3.3% QoQ and -1.1% YoY in Q220, affected by competition and peak of COVID-19

    • Other service revenue excl. IC, mainly IR, was significantly affected by COVID-19

    • Other operating income increased 4.6% QoQ and 18.9% YoY, mainly driven by revenue from TOT 2300 MHz

    • Lower handset sales mainly from lower units sold as a result of over month-long of shop closure during the peak of COVID-19 outbreak

    -3.6%

    -4.5%

    -4.3%

    -4.6%

  • Sensitivity: Open

    • Regulatory cost decreased from one-time gain

    • Network OPEX dropped QoQ and YoY from cost optimization, capitalization of some lease contracts, and reduction in CAT lease expense,

    • Higher other cost of services mainly from increase in TOT 2300 MHz network roaming cost, offset partly by lower international roaming and IDD costs

    Cost of service dropped QoQ mainly from cost optimization initiatives

    14

    Cost of services (THB bn)* CoS as % of Service rev excl. IC

    4.3% 4.4% 4.1% 4.2% 3.6%

    11.5% 11.3% 11.6% 11.6% 11.1%

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    Regulatory costs Network opex

    0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5

    1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.6

    3.8 3.9 4.3 4.0 4.1

    6.2 6.46.7 6.4 6.3

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    Regulatory Network Others

    (THB mm) Q219 Q120 Q220 ∆ QoQ

    CAT gross lease expenses** 369 358 307 -51

    CAT lease expenses**, net of revenue from lease agreements 301 289 238 -51

    TOT 2300MHz gross costs 3.360 3,688 3,816 +128

    TOT costs, net of revenue from 2300MHz network rental 1,217 1,230 1,235 +5

    Note: Figures are post-TFRS 15 & 16* Excluding depreciation, amortization, and IC** Lease agreements signed with CAT at the end of the concession (excl. tower related revenue & expense which were capitalized under TFRS 16)

    +2.0%

    -2.5%

  • Sensitivity: Open

    SG&A dropped QoQ and YoY as a result of lower activities and optimization effort

    15

    SG&A (THB bn)* SG&A as % of Total revenue

    8.7% 8.6%

    11.1%

    8.1% 7.6%

    5.5% 5.8% 5.9% 5.7%4.4%

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    Gen admin S&M

    1.1 1.2 1.3 1.1 0.8

    0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4

    1.7 1.72.4

    1.61.5

    3.2 3.3

    4.0

    3.22.7

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    S&M Bad debt Gen admin

    • S&M expenses dropped QoQ due to lower activities during the peak of COVID-19 impact

    • Bad debt improved in Q220

    • General admin dropped QoQ and YoY due to ongoing optimization effort as well as lower negotiated rental during lockdown period

    Note: Figures are post-TFRS 15 & 16* Excluding depreciation and amortization

    -14.2%

    -16.3%

  • Sensitivity: Open

    Sequential EBITDA growth despite revenue decline driven by better cost management

    16

    EBITDA (THB bn)* EBITDA margin (% of Total rev)

    38.7% 39.4%34.3%

    38.2%42.1%

    43.5% 44.6%38.8%

    43.7%48.8%

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    Reported EBITDA % Normalized EBITDA %*

    7.7 8.0 7.3 7.7 8.1

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    • EBITDA increased 5.1% QoQ and 4.2% YoY, as a result of overall cost optimization effort

    • EBITDA margin stood at 42.1%, the highest level since Q118

    Note: Figures are post-TFRS 15 & 16* EBITDA margin based on total revenues excluding revenues from CAT lease agreements (excl. tower related revenue & expense which were capitalized under TFRS 16) and TOT network rental in the denominator

    +4.2%

    +5.1%

  • Sensitivity: Open

    Healthy rise in net profit

    17

    Net profit (THB bn) Capex (THB bn)

    2.3 2.4

    3.9

    0.9 1.4

    13.0% 13.7%

    20.5%

    4.9%8.4%

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    Capex Capex %*

    1.6 1.8

    0.8

    1.51.9

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    Note: Figures are post-TFRS 15 & 16* Based on percentage of total revenues excluding revenues from CAT lease agreements (excl. tower related revenue & expense which were capitalized under TFRS 16) and TOT network rental in the denominator

    +20.0%

    +25.8%

    • Net profit improved QoQ and YoY as a result of strong EBITDA growth and gain from fair value measurement of financial instruments

    • Capex for Q220 on track, to be ramped up further in 2H20

    • THB 0.87 per share dividend from H120 results

  • Sensitivity: Open

    Net debt maintained at the same level

    18

    Net debt (THB bn)* Net debt to EBITDA (x)*, **

    Note: Figures are post-TFRS 15 & 16* Net debt from Q419 includes lease liabilities** EBITDA pre-TFRS 15 & 16 for 2019 as reported previously*** Excluding impact from TFRS 9

    45.3 45.8 40.4 40.2 41.6

    24.6 24.9 24.445.3 45.8

    64.9 65.1 66.0

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    Net debt Lease liabilities

    1.6 1.6

    2.1 2.1 2.1

    Q219 Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220

    Debt maturity profile (THB bn)***

    11.0

    1.3 1.3 1.3

    4.0

    3.0 1.5 2.0

    15.0

    2.5 4.3

    2.8 3.3

    6.0

    1.5

    7.0

    3.0 2.5

    20

    20

    20

    21

    20

    22

    20

    23

    20

    24

    20

    25

    20

    26

    20

    27

    20

    28

    20

    29

    Loan Debenture

    • Net debt level (incl. lease liabilities) maintained QoQ in Q220 with slightly lower debt and lower cash and cash equivalents

    • Net debt to EBITDA ratio was 2.1x at the end of Q220, same level as for the previous quarter

    • Total debt THB 48 bn (THB 15 bn bank loan and THB 33 bn bond)

    • THB 8 bn out of THB 11 bn bank loan expiring in 2020 can be rolled over

    +92.6%

    +1.6%

  • Sensitivity: Open

    Early signs of recovery, still high uncertainty due to negative economic outlook

    1H20 H120 YoY% H220

    Service revenues ex. IC(THB 29, 956 million)

    -0.5%With COVID-19, our actual

    1H20 reflected a YoY decline in revenues Impact from the outbreak

    continued to be seen in the overall economy. Although we observed some early signs of recovery, there is still high uncertainty for the rest of the year.

    COVID-19 impact

    (I) Tourist and migrants

    1.8%Excluding the identified

    COVID-19 impact on revenues, our normalized YoY growth would be at

    2.8%

    (II) Other impact 1.5%

    Total impact 3.3%

  • Sensitivity: Open

    2020 guidance

    20

    Service revenue excl. IC*

    EBITDA

    CAPEX

    Low single-digit growth

    Mid single-digit growth

    THB 13-15 bn

    COVID-19 impact

    EBITDA growth at level higher than service revenue growth driven by

    cost optimization

    •850/900 MHz swap delay and optimization

    Low single-digit decline

    EBITDA at 2019 level

    THB 8-10 bn

    Original guidance

    Guidance revisited

    Rationale

    -0.5%

    +4.3%

    THB 2.2 bn

    1H2020

  • Sensitivity: Open

    DisclaimerCertain forward looking statements may be made in the course of the presentation. These forward-looking statements generally can be identified by use of statements that include words or phrases such as dtac or its management “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “plans”, “foresees”, or other words or phrases of similar import. Similarly, statements that describe dtac’s objectives, plans or goals also are forward-looking statements.

    All such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the relevant forward-looking statement. The forward-looking statements contained in the slides are not and should not be constructed as representations of the future performance of dtac and that such statements are an expression of the Company’s reviews based on its current view and certain assumptions including, but not limited to, prevailing economic and market conditions and currently available information.

    Investor RelationsE: [email protected] T: +662 202 8882