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Name Of Group : • Asrul Sidiq ST 113961 • Vely Kukinul Siswanto ST114732 • Ajeng Nugrahaning Dewanti ST114733
POVERTY, INEQUALITY AND VULNERABILITY IN INDONESIA
RURAL AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING
ED 77.01 Rural and Regional Development
Regional and Rural Development Planning (RRDP)School of Environment, Resources and Development (SERD)Asian Institute of TechnologyBangkok, ThailandNovember 2012
INDONESIA PROFILEKEY STATISTICS
Administrative Area 33 provinces, 497 districts
Population 2011 (millions) 242,3
Population Growth Rate 2000-2010 (%) 1,49
Economic Growth 2011 (%) 6,5
GDP per capita 2011 (US$) 3495
GDP per capita 2011 (PPP US$) 4668
Unemployment Rate Feb 2011 (%) 6,80
Poverty Rate March 2011 (%) 12,49
Income Inequality (Gini Ratio) 2011 0,41
HDI (new method) 2011 0,617 (ranked 124)
1. IS POVERTY REDUCTION IN YOUR COUNTRY DISTINCTIVE?
Poverty in Indonesia
Sources: Susenas, World Bank, 2012
The national poverty line is around Rp. 233.700 (~$PPP 1.20 per person a day) per person per month in 2011. In measuring this poverty line, Indonesia uses The Cost of Basic Needs Method (CBN).
Poverty in Indonesia
2008 2009 2010 2011
6 5.3 4.6 4.3
15.4 14.1 13.3 12.5
27.8 25.6 24.4 23.8
43.1 42.639.4 38.4
56.9 56.551.3 49.9
64.3 63.958 56.5
77.2 76.870.6 68.5
Poverty Rate (%)
0.8 x PL (~$PPP 0.95) National PL (~$PPP 1.20) 1.2 x PL (~$PPP 1.42) 1.5 x PL (~$PPP 1.78)1.8 x PL (~$PPP 2.13) 2.0 x PL (~$PPP 2.37) 2.5 x PL (~$PPP 2.96)
Sources: Susenas, World Bank, 2012
Three salient features of poverty in Indonesia :
• First, many households who were around the national poverty line, which is equivalent to $PPP 1.20-a-day, so many people who although not classified as poor but are vulnerable to poverty.
• Second, the measure of poverty based on income that is not a portrait of the real poverty threshold. Many people who is not classified as income poor as poor can be categorized on the basis of lack of access to basic services and poor development indicators of human development.
• Third, given the very broad and diverse area of Indonesia, regional disparities is a fundamental characteristic of poverty in Indonesia.
Poverty in Indonesia
The Concept of Poverty Alleviation Program by the Government of Indonesia
Cluster I
Integrated Social Assistance Based On Household
Cluster I
Integrated Social Assistance Based On Household
Cluster II
Poverty Control Based On Community Empowerment
Cluster II
Poverty Control Based On Community Empowerment
Cluster III
Poverty Control Based On Micro Enterprises
Empowerment
Cluster III
Poverty Control Based On Micro Enterprises
Empowerment
Aim:
Decreasing the household cost with improving access in health, education, fresh water and sanitation services
Aim:
Decreasing the household cost with improving access in health, education, fresh water and sanitation services
Aim:
Improving potency and support the poor community capacity to involved in development
Aim:
Improving potency and support the poor community capacity to involved in development
Aim:
Give the access and economic strengthen for micro business
Aim:
Give the access and economic strengthen for micro business
Programs:
1. Household Expectation Program
2. Operational Aid for Education
3. Poor Students Aid Program4. Health Guarantee Public
Program 5. Rice for Poor Household
Program
Programs:
1. Household Expectation Program
2. Operational Aid for Education
3. Poor Students Aid Program4. Health Guarantee Public
Program 5. Rice for Poor Household
Program
Programs:
1. National Community Empowerment Program (PNPM)
2. Expansion and Developing Job Opportunity
Programs:
1. National Community Empowerment Program (PNPM)
2. Expansion and Developing Job Opportunity
Programs:
1. Public Business Credit (KUR)
2. Common Business Credit (KUBE)
Programs:
1. Public Business Credit (KUR)
2. Common Business Credit (KUBE)
Source : TKPK, 2009
2. WHAT HAS HAPPENED IN TERMS OF SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT: REDUCED EXTREME POVERTY? OR INCREASED, WHY, INCREASED INEQUALITY OR NOT WHY?
Human Development Index
HDI is a composite index that measures the average achievements in a country in three basic dimensions of human development:
Economic, Health and Education
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 201066
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
68.7
69.670.1
70.671.2
71.872.3
HDI
Year
HD
I
Source : National Socio Economic Survey (Susenas)
Human Development Index
Source : National Socio Economic Survey (Susenas)
Human Development IndexLife expectancy In 2009
Life Expectancy (Year)
Source : National Socio Economic Survey (Susenas)
Condition of Inequality and Poverty In Indonesia Gini Ratio
• Extreme poverty as living on less than US$1.25 a day and means living on the edge of subsistence, Indonesia used it to measure poverty level. In other hand, extreme poverty defined as living on less US$1 and US$2. (World Bank, 2005)
• There are three dimensions to Concern’s understanding of Extreme Poverty:– Lack of and/or Low Return to Basic Assets (unique to extreme poverty)– Inequality (causes, maintainers and obstacles)– Risk and Vulnerability (causes, maintainers and obstacles)
• Inequality refers to relative living standard of the entire society. • Inequality between the different regions is caused by different of early gift factor
(endowment factor). This differences make the level of development in each regions is always causing inequality welfare (Kuncoro, 2002).
Source : National Socio Economic Survey (Susenas)
Condition of Inequality and Poverty In Indonesia Gini Ratio
Percentage of PovertyPopulation0-55,01 – 1010,01 – 1515,01-2025,01-30>30
Percentage of Poverty in 2010
Source : National Socio Economic Survey (Susenas)
Graph. Gini Ratio and Percentage of Poverty in Indonesia
Condition of Inequality and Poverty In Indonesia Gini Ratio
Analysis Correlation Between Human Development Index, Poverty and Inequality
Source : Author (2012)
Analysis Correlation Between Human Development Index, Poverty and Inequality
Negative Correlation Increasing HDI Decreasing Poverty
Education
Health
Income
• Operational Aid for Education (BOS)
• Poor Students Aid Program (BSM)
• Health Guarantee Public Program (Jamkesmas)
• Household Expectation Program (PKH)
• Rice for Poor Household Program (Raskin)
Source : Author (2012)
Reduction Poverty
Indicator in social development consist of income, health and education quality. • Income is some indicator to approaching the
ability of fulfillment the base goods. If government or poor people can increased the total income, the quality of life will be directly increased.
• And they also can increasing the health insurance with using they income.
• After they fulfillment the basic goods, increased of income will be utilized for fulfillment basic education. Education is one of the indicator that can cut off the poverty circle.
• After that, many people could fulfillment all the basic goods and create the quality of human resources increase and automatically increasing the Human Development Index (HDI) and after that will automatically decreasing the poverty.
Positive CorrelationIncreasing HDI Increasing Inequality
Indeed there is economic growth, but the growth was not distributed well. Distribution of economic assets is concentrated on a small group of people who belong to high income.
Analysis Correlation Between Human Development Index, Poverty and Inequality
3. WHAT ARE THE PUBLIC POLICIES AND POLITICS: LESS IMPORTANT THAN ECONOMICS?
"Accelerating Economic Growth Equitable Powered by Synergy Strengthening Governance and Regional Centers."
• Establish the product
• Ensuring infrastructure
• Development centers
• Planning Special Economic Zones
• Development of the National Innovation System (SINAS)
1. Economic Growth
• Prioritizing the sectors
• Labor-intensive industries
• Creative industries
• Increase employment skill
2. Unemployment • Government
assistance and empowerment
• And Health Education Assistance
• Micro Finance Development
• Community Social Responsibility
3. Poverty
• Pro-people programs
• Poverty Expenditure
• Sustainable business
• Community Social Responsibility
4. Income per capita
• Basic Materials Prices "Stable" and Affordable
• Reduce inflation by improving logistics staple
• Control Regional Inflation
5. Economic stability
Indonesia's development agenda contained in the National Middle Term Development Plan (RPJMN) 2010-2014 are further described in the
Government Work Plan yearly (RKP). RKP 2011 theme is
"Accelerating Economic Growth Equitable Powered by Synergy Strengthening Governance and Regional Centers."
• Efficiency of tax collection
• Allocation for subsidies
• utilization of domestic financing sources
6. Domestic financing
• Improvement Watershed
• Reforestation• Improvement
of water supply
• Build ponds of budget
7. Food and water security • Priority
needs in the country
• Economic growth rates between regions
8. Energy endurance
• Infrastructure development
• Build new growth centers
• Government building infrastructures
9. Rising national economy • Low Carbon
Development, Climate Change Mitigation
10.Green Economy
4. WHAT HAS HAPPENED TO THE POLITICALLY VULNERABLE WELFARE REGIMES?
4. WHAT HAS HAPPENED TO THE POLITICALLY VULNERABLE WELFARE REGIMES?
• The current range of Social Assistance programs provides partial and non-guaranteed protection to the poor and vulnerable from some, but not all, of the risks faced. In other words, Indonesia will not be able to create a social safety net via reforms to existing programs alone. However, Indonesia benefits from a strong macroeconomic and fiscal position and an administration committed to poverty reduction and social protection, which makes the development of a comprehensive social safety net feasible.
• The current range of SA programs does not go far enough in protecting income and promoting healthy behaviors in chronically poor households.
4. WHAT HAS HAPPENED TO THE POLITICALLY VULNERABLE WELFARE REGIMES?
• Vulnerable households are likely to turn to negative coping mechanisms – sending more members to work and pulling more members out of school, switching consumption to less nutritious but cheaper foods, and foregoing health care – precisely when their incomes are threatened. Indonesia needs income support initiatives that reliably address both difficulties.
• The majority of vulnerable households does not face income risk every month, but are likely to enter poverty if they are not appropriately protected. When unemployment, illness, bad harvest, or other idiosyncratic shocks interrupt regular earnings or productive activities, expenditures are also often disrupted.
Suggestions and Recommendations
• Indonesia's future dreams will come true when there are available policies on the national economy and social welfare. It prevents social disparities and inequalities.
• Social safety nets should target all chronically poor households with greater assistance and be able to provide basic protection to the 40 percent of all households that are most at risk of becoming poor in any given year.
• Economic growth must address the problem of inequality. Distribution of economic growth should be distributed well
• Commitment from the government to make equal and justice development