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Potential and Limits Potential and Limits of Bargaining Power of Bargaining Power
on the Nileon the Nile..
Hydro-Hegemony Workshop 5London, 8-9 May 2010 An
a El
isa
Casc
ão
EGYPT (HH)SUDANETHIOPIA +
Upstream Block
Geography
Geography
Geography Material power
Material power
Material power
Bargaining power
Bargaining power
Bargaining power
Ideationalpower
Ideationalpower
Ideationalpower
Adapted from Zeitoun and Warner, 2006
Hydro-Hegemony in the Nile Basin
Deadlock situation
Negotiations on the Nile and potential for collective bargaining power
New Nile Agreement
Egyp
t
Ethi
opia
Negotiating a new Nile agreement: ‘what is in there for me?’
What are the negotiations about?
10 years
Shifts in bargaining power
Cascão and Zeitoun, 2010
Can bargaining power trump hard power?
POTENTIAL
Collective bargaining power
Challenge/Pressure
Balance of power
Changes in the status quo
Framework for ‘equitable utilisation’ (institutionalisation)
LIMITS
Agreement without hegemon?
Implementation challenges
Egypt’s response
Geopolitics
Donors behaviour
Access to investment
