Potato Industry in Developing Countries

Jim Godfrey, Chair, Board of TrusteesInternational Potato Center (CIP)

United Kingdom

The Potato Industry in Developing Countries

Jim GodfreyChair, International Potato Centre

1. History

Tunta processing in Ilave, Puno, Peru. July 2005

Potato Late Blight

2.0 Overview of Production

Potato distributionPotato distribution

Each dot represents 1000 haEach dot represents 1000 haAverage 1997Average 1997--19991999

prepared by: R. prepared by: R. HijmansHijmans

Major crop production Production (000, T)

0100200300400500600700800

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001

year

000,

T

Maize

Potatoes

Rice, Paddy

Wheat

Top producer countriesRank Production ( MT) avg (2003-5)

% of global production

1 China 70.40 222 Russian 36.35 113 India 25.00 84 USA 20.20 65 Ukraine 19.57 66 Poland 12.91 47 Germany 11.50 48 Belarus 8.90 39 Netherlands 6.93 2

10 France 6.65 2

Total share of top 10 countries 68

Production changes in countries: top “winners” and “losers”

Potato production change (2004 vs 1994; 3yrs average)

-200 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

1

% change

Burkina FasoJamaicaBahrainEritreaEstoniaTurkmenistanAzerbaijan, Republic ofNigeriaRwandaAngola

Production shiftPotato production (Tonnes) by country groups

050,000,000

100,000,000150,000,000200,000,000250,000,000300,000,000

196119661971197619811986199119962001

year

T

Developed

Developing

Potato production by country groups

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001

year

mt Developed

Developing

Area shiftHarvested potato area (Ha) by country groups

0

2000000

4000000

6000000

8000000

10000000

12000000

14000000

16000000

18000000

20000000

1961

1966

1971

1976

1981

1986

1991

1996

2001

year

ha

DevelopedDeveloping

Harvested potato area by country groups

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

196119661971197619811986199119962001

year

ha

DevelopedDeveloping

Shifts in developed vs developing world

changes in crop production 04 vs 94 (3 yrs average)

in developed and developing countries

-20 0 20 40 60

1

% change

Wheat Developing

Wheat Developed

Rice Developing

Rice Developed

Potatoes Developing

Potatoes Developed

Maize Developing

Maize Developed

2.1 Sub Saharan Africa

Changes in Sub-Saharan Africachanges in crop production 04 vs 94

(3 yrs average) Sub Sahara Africa

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

1

% change

WheatSweet PotatoesRicePotatoesMaizeCassavaBarleyBananas

2.2 North Africa and the Middle East

2.3 Asia

Potato distributionPotato distribution

Each dot represents 1000 haEach dot represents 1000 haAverage 1997Average 1997--19991999

prepared by: R. prepared by: R. HijmansHijmans

2.4 Latin America

2.5 Europe and North America

3.0 Global Issues affecting the Developing World

3.1 Trade

3.2 Climate Change

Altiplano, PeruPloughed areas dark brown for next season’s cropsPloughed with Inca hand plough

3.3 Dissemination of technology and information

Education and Extension

Africa

AfricaAfrica CameroonCameroon

PeruPeru

VietnamVietnam

3.4 Poverty

Urban population growth and urban povertyUrban population growth and urban poverty

1.3 billion 1.3 billion more more

people people living in living in

urban areas urban areas by 2020by 2020

One billion now living in urban slums One billion now living in urban slums UNUN--Habitat 2003Habitat 2003

3.5 Women

Indonesian woman farmer

Kenyan women farmers

Peruvian woman farmer

3.6 AIDS

3.7 Environmental Degradation

World Population (millions)(1990 blue, 2025 red)

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000

Total

North America Oceania

Europe FSU

Latin America

Far East

South Asia

Middle East

Sub Sahara Africa

Mountains, Soil, Water

PeruPeru

IndonesiaIndonesia

3.8 Hunger and Nutrition

Potato consumption

0

20

40

60

80

100

1962 1972 1982 1992 2002

year

kg/c

ap/y

ear Developed

Countries

DevelopingCountries

Selected regional trends in potato consumption

05

10152025

1962 1972 1982 1992 2002

year

kg/c

ap/y

ear

Central America

Africa South ofSahara

Low -IncomeCountries

Low -Income FoodDeficit

Potato food supply in context- crops in Low Income Food Deficient countries -

Food supply of major cereals and rootsin "Low income - food deficient" countries

(based on 3 years averages)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1962 1972 1982 1992 2002year

kg/c

ap/y

r

Wheat

Rice (MilledEquivalent)Barley

Maize

Cassava

Potatoes

SweetPotatoesYams

Change of food supply 2002 vs 1992 (3 yrs avg)

-40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100

1

%

3.9 Genetic Modification

3.10 Structural changes, subsistence farming and commercial supply

chains

Harvesting PotatoesIndonesiaIndonesia CameroonCameroon

VietnamVietnam ChacasChacas, Peru, Peru

3.11 Research

Research

CIP’s MissionThe International potato Center (CIP) will contribute to

reducing poverty and achieve food security on a sustained basis in developing countries through research and related activities on potato, sweetpotato, and other root and tuber crops and on the improved management of natural resources in the Andes and other mountain areas.

15 Centers of the CGIAR

CIP’s VisionThe International potato Center (CIP) will contribute to

reducing poverty and hunger; improving human health; developing resilient, sustainable rural and urban livelihood systems; and improving access to the benefits of new and appropriate knowledge and technologies.

CIP, a World Center, will address these challenges by convening and conducting research and supporting partnerships on root and tuber crops and on natural resources management in mountain systems and other less-favoured areas where CIP can contribute to the achievement of healthy and sustainable human development.

CIP Board April 2006

Thank you for your attention

Aroma, BoliviaAroma, Boliviaaltitude 3,800 maltitude 3,800 m