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Post –Soviet Central AsiaPost –Soviet Central Asia
21 February 200721 February 2007
Daniel GrayDaniel Gray
Dissolution of the USSRDissolution of the USSR 8 December 19918 December 1991
• DeclarationDeclaration 31 December 199131 December 1991
• Republics are now independently Republics are now independently governedgoverned
The BossesThe Bosses
Emomali Rahmonov Nursultan Nazarbayev Kurmanbek Bakiyev
Tajikistan Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan
Islom Karimov
Karimova
Saparmurat Niyazov “Turkmenbashi”
The BossesThe Bosses
Gurbanguly Berdimuhammedow Uzbekistan
Turkmenistan
Cult of PersonalityCult of Personality
Civil War 1992-1997Civil War 1992-1997
NationalismNationalism
Ethnic discrimination in the USSREthnic discrimination in the USSR• Economically weakEconomically weak
GlasnostGlasnost Nationalist policiesNationalist policies 1992 Election - Rahmon Nabiev1992 Election - Rahmon Nabiev
• Government/Moscow vs. Minorities, Government/Moscow vs. Minorities, Democrats, Islamists Democrats, Islamists
Rebels take control of Gov. Rebels take control of Gov.
WarWar
December 1992 - Rebels ousted from December 1992 - Rebels ousted from DushanbeDushanbe
Rakhmon Nabiyev replaced by Rakhmon Nabiyev replaced by Emomali RahmonovEmomali Rahmonov
Reorganize in Afghanistan Reorganize in Afghanistan Ethnic CleansingEthnic Cleansing UN Peace Treaty 1997UN Peace Treaty 1997
Security IssuesSecurity Issues
FundamentalismFundamentalism
Fergana ValleyFergana Valley
Radical/Terrorist GroupsRadical/Terrorist Groups
Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU)Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) Hizb ut-Tahrir (HT)Hizb ut-Tahrir (HT)
• Non-violent?Non-violent?
Operation Enduring FreedomOperation Enduring Freedom
Supported by all Central Asian StatesSupported by all Central Asian States• Except TurkmenistanExcept Turkmenistan
BasingBasing• KyrgyzstanKyrgyzstan• UzbekistanUzbekistan
WMDWMD Soviet Nuclear Legacy in KazakhstanSoviet Nuclear Legacy in Kazakhstan
• Semipalatinsk Test SiteSemipalatinsk Test Site 181 cases of illicit trafficking of nuclear materials 181 cases of illicit trafficking of nuclear materials
between 1993-2001between 1993-2001
Semipalatinsk Test SiteSemipalatinsk Test Site
Andijan, Uzbekistan 2005Andijan, Uzbekistan 2005
10 -11 May 2005 10 -11 May 2005 • Protests against the arrest of 23 local Protests against the arrest of 23 local
businessmenbusinessmen 12 May – Prison Break12 May – Prison Break 13 May – Massacre13 May – Massacre Death Toll: 500 - 1000 Death Toll: 500 - 1000
AftermathAftermath
Western ResponseWestern Response Canceled support for Afghanistan Canceled support for Afghanistan
missionmission June 2005 - Pact with Russia June 2005 - Pact with Russia
OilOil
Bosporus StraitsBosporus Straits Caspian SeaCaspian Sea How to Export??How to Export?? Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipelineBaku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline
EnvironmentEnvironment
Environmental IssuesEnvironmental Issues
Top 10 World’s Worst Polluted PlacesTop 10 World’s Worst Polluted Places Radioactive DumpRadioactive Dump Earthquakes, FloodsEarthquakes, Floods Affects 23,000 people Affects 23,000 people
• Possibly Millions!Possibly Millions!
MAILUU-SUU, KYRGYZSTANMAILUU-SUU, KYRGYZSTAN
Aral SeaAral Sea
1918 – Russia diverts 1918 – Russia diverts
Amu Darya/Syr Darya RiversAmu Darya/Syr Darya Rivers Poorly Designed Canal SystemPoorly Designed Canal System Fourth biggest inland seaFourth biggest inland sea
• Now a desertNow a desert Biological Weapons PlantBiological Weapons Plant
• VozrozhdeniyaVozrozhdeniya Island Island
VozrozhdeniyaVozrozhdeniya Island & Island & KantubekKantubek