26
Post Mortem Post Mortem Forecast Review Forecast Review Contest 3 Contest 3 Wednesday, October 26, Wednesday, October 26, 2011 2011 Bradford, PA and Glens Bradford, PA and Glens Falls, NY Falls, NY

Post Mortem Forecast Review

  • Upload
    bonner

  • View
    19

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Post Mortem Forecast Review. Contest 3 Wednesday, October 26, 2011 Bradford, PA and Glens Falls, NY. Contest 3 – Bradford, PA. Contest 3 – Bradford, PA. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Citation preview

Page 1: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Post Mortem Forecast Post Mortem Forecast ReviewReview

Contest 3Contest 3

Wednesday, October 26, 2011Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Bradford, PA and Glens Falls, NYBradford, PA and Glens Falls, NY

Page 2: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Bradford, PAContest 3 – Bradford, PA

Page 3: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Bradford, PAContest 3 – Bradford, PA

FAA Identifier:  BFD Lat/Long:  41-48-11.0440N / 078-38-24.4350W41-48.184067N / 078-38.407250W41.8030678 / -78.6401208(estimated) Elevation:  2143 ft. / 653.2 m (surveyed) Variation:  08W (1975) From city:  10 miles S of BRADFORD, PA

Page 4: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Bradford, PAContest 3 – Bradford, PA KBFD 262353Z AUTO VRB03KT 9SM OVC010 11/09 A2977 RMK AO2 CIG 009V012 SLP081 60001 T01110094 10122 KBFD 262353Z AUTO VRB03KT 9SM OVC010 11/09 A2977 RMK AO2 CIG 009V012 SLP081 60001 T01110094 10122

20111 5800020111 58000 TSNO=TSNO= KBFD 270053Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM OVC010 11/09 A2975 RMK AO2 SLP075 T01110094 TSNO=KBFD 270053Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM OVC010 11/09 A2975 RMK AO2 SLP075 T01110094 TSNO= KBFD 270153Z AUTO 22004KT 7SM BKN010 OVC014 11/09 A2975 RMK AO2 CIG 008V013 SLP074 T01110094 KBFD 270153Z AUTO 22004KT 7SM BKN010 OVC014 11/09 A2975 RMK AO2 CIG 008V013 SLP074 T01110094

TSNO=TSNO= KBFD 270245Z AUTO VRB03KT 3SM -RA BR FEW008 OVC014 11/09 A2974 RMK AO2 RAB22 P0000 TSNO=KBFD 270245Z AUTO VRB03KT 3SM -RA BR FEW008 OVC014 11/09 A2974 RMK AO2 RAB22 P0000 TSNO= KBFD 270253Z AUTO 00000KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR BKN010 OVC014 11/09 A2974 RMK AO2 RAB22 CIG 006V013 KBFD 270253Z AUTO 00000KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR BKN010 OVC014 11/09 A2974 RMK AO2 RAB22 CIG 006V013

SLP071 P0001SLP071 P0001 60001 T01110094 56009 TSNO=60001 T01110094 56009 TSNO= KBFD 270303Z AUTO 00000KT 2SM -RA BR BKN008 OVC014 11/09 A2974 RMK AO2 CIG 004V011 P0000 TSNO=KBFD 270303Z AUTO 00000KT 2SM -RA BR BKN008 OVC014 11/09 A2974 RMK AO2 CIG 004V011 P0000 TSNO= KBFD 270253Z AUTO 00000KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR BKN010 OVC014 11/09 A2974=KBFD 270253Z AUTO 00000KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR BKN010 OVC014 11/09 A2974= KBFD 270333Z AUTO 00000KT 3SM -RA BR OVC005 11/09 A2972 RMK AO2 P0003 TSNO=KBFD 270333Z AUTO 00000KT 3SM -RA BR OVC005 11/09 A2972 RMK AO2 P0003 TSNO= KBFD 270353Z AUTO 00000KT 3SM -RA BR OVC005 11/09 A2972 RMK AO2 CIG 003V008 SLP065 P0005 KBFD 270353Z AUTO 00000KT 3SM -RA BR OVC005 11/09 A2972 RMK AO2 CIG 003V008 SLP065 P0005

T01060094 TSNO=T01060094 TSNO= KBFD 270407Z AUTO 32004KT 1 3/4SM +RA BR OVC005 11/09 A2972 RMK AO2 P0004 TSNO=KBFD 270407Z AUTO 32004KT 1 3/4SM +RA BR OVC005 11/09 A2972 RMK AO2 P0004 TSNO= KBFD 270432Z AUTO 32005KT 2 1/2SM RA BR BKN005 OVC011 11/09 A2972 RMK AO2 P0013 TSNO=KBFD 270432Z AUTO 32005KT 2 1/2SM RA BR BKN005 OVC011 11/09 A2972 RMK AO2 P0013 TSNO= KBFD 270447Z AUTO 33009KT 3SM +RA BR SCT005 OVC013 10/08 A2973 RMK AO2 P0020 401220067 TSNO=KBFD 270447Z AUTO 33009KT 3SM +RA BR SCT005 OVC013 10/08 A2973 RMK AO2 P0020 401220067 TSNO= KBFD 270453Z AUTO 35008KT 3SM +RA BR SCT005 OVC013 10/08 A2972 RMK AO2 SLP064 P0023 T01000083 KBFD 270453Z AUTO 35008KT 3SM +RA BR SCT005 OVC013 10/08 A2972 RMK AO2 SLP064 P0023 T01000083

401220067 TSNO=401220067 TSNO= KBFD 270505Z AUTO 34005KT 5SM -RA BR BKN009 BKN014 OVC060 09/08 A2972 RMK AO2 P0003 TSNO=KBFD 270505Z AUTO 34005KT 5SM -RA BR BKN009 BKN014 OVC060 09/08 A2972 RMK AO2 P0003 TSNO= KBFD 270512Z AUTO 36005KT 9SM -RA FEW009 SCT014 OVC060 09/08 A2971 RMK AO2 P0003 TSNO=KBFD 270512Z AUTO 36005KT 9SM -RA FEW009 SCT014 OVC060 09/08 A2971 RMK AO2 P0003 TSNO= KBFD 270534Z AUTO 33007KT 10SM -RA BKN006 BKN060 09/08 A2972 RMK AO2 CIG 003V009 P0003 TSNO=KBFD 270534Z AUTO 33007KT 10SM -RA BKN006 BKN060 09/08 A2972 RMK AO2 CIG 003V009 P0003 TSNO=

Page 5: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Bradford, PAContest 3 – Bradford, PA KBFD 270653Z AUTO 06004KT 10SM BKN006 OVC012 09/08 A2970 RMK AO2 RAE47 CIG 003V008 KBFD 270653Z AUTO 06004KT 10SM BKN006 OVC012 09/08 A2970 RMK AO2 RAE47 CIG 003V008

SLP057 P0001 T00890078SLP057 P0001 T00890078 TSNO=TSNO= KBFD 270712Z AUTO VRB05KT 10SM BKN004 OVC011 08/07 A2972 RMK AO2 CIG 003V007 TSNO=KBFD 270712Z AUTO VRB05KT 10SM BKN004 OVC011 08/07 A2972 RMK AO2 CIG 003V007 TSNO= KBFD 270753Z AUTO 01004KT 10SM -RA OVC004 07/06 A2972 RMK AO2 RAB45 SLP064 P0000 KBFD 270753Z AUTO 01004KT 10SM -RA OVC004 07/06 A2972 RMK AO2 RAB45 SLP064 P0000

T00670056 TSNO=T00670056 TSNO= KBFD 270853Z AUTO 06004KT 9SM -RA OVC004 05/04 A2971 RMK AO2 RAE10B29 CIG 003V008 KBFD 270853Z AUTO 06004KT 9SM -RA OVC004 05/04 A2971 RMK AO2 RAE10B29 CIG 003V008

SLP061 P0001 60002SLP061 P0001 60002 T00500039 56005 TSNO=T00500039 56005 TSNO= KBFD 270906Z AUTO 06004KT 10SM BKN006 BKN011 OVC055 05/03 A2971 RMK AO2 RAE0857 CIG KBFD 270906Z AUTO 06004KT 10SM BKN006 BKN011 OVC055 05/03 A2971 RMK AO2 RAE0857 CIG

004V009 P0000 TSNO=004V009 P0000 TSNO= KBFD 270953Z AUTO 01005KT 10SM BKN006 OVC060 04/03 A2973 RMK AO2 RAE0857B33E48 KBFD 270953Z AUTO 01005KT 10SM BKN006 OVC060 04/03 A2973 RMK AO2 RAE0857B33E48

SLP069 P0000 T00440033 TSNO=SLP069 P0000 T00440033 TSNO= KBFD 271053Z AUTO 02007KT 10SM -RA OVC006 04/02 A2974 RMK AO2 RAB30 SLP074 P0000 KBFD 271053Z AUTO 02007KT 10SM -RA OVC006 04/02 A2974 RMK AO2 RAB30 SLP074 P0000

T00390022 TSNO=T00390022 TSNO= KBFD 271119Z AUTO 03005KT 10SM OVC004 04/02 A2973 RMK AO2 RAE1057 P0000 TSNO=KBFD 271119Z AUTO 03005KT 10SM OVC004 04/02 A2973 RMK AO2 RAE1057 P0000 TSNO= KBFD 271153Z AUTO 02004KT 6SM -RA BR OVC004 03/02 A2975 RMK AO2 RAE1057B46 SLP078 KBFD 271153Z AUTO 02004KT 6SM -RA BR OVC004 03/02 A2975 RMK AO2 RAE1057B46 SLP078

P0000 60002 70039 T00330022P0000 60002 70039 T00330022 10094 20033 51013 TSNO=10094 20033 51013 TSNO=

Page 6: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Bradford, PAContest 3 – Bradford, PA KBFD 271153Z AUTO 02004KT 6SM -RA BR OVC004 03/02 A2975 RMK AO2 RAE1057B46 SLP078 P0000 60002 70039 KBFD 271153Z AUTO 02004KT 6SM -RA BR OVC004 03/02 A2975 RMK AO2 RAE1057B46 SLP078 P0000 60002 70039

T00330022T00330022 10094 20033 51013 TSNO=10094 20033 51013 TSNO= KBFD 271237Z AUTO 05008KT 10SM OVC006 03/02 A2975 RMK AO2 RAE06 CIG 004V011 P0000 TSNO=KBFD 271237Z AUTO 05008KT 10SM OVC006 03/02 A2975 RMK AO2 RAE06 CIG 004V011 P0000 TSNO= KBFD 271253Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM OVC006 03/02 A2974 RMK AO2 RAE06 CIG 003V007 SLP077 P0000 T00280017 TSNO=KBFD 271253Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM OVC006 03/02 A2974 RMK AO2 RAE06 CIG 003V007 SLP077 P0000 T00280017 TSNO= KBFD 271304Z AUTO 05008KT 9SM OVC004 03/02 A2973 RMK AO2 CIG 003V007 TSNO=KBFD 271304Z AUTO 05008KT 9SM OVC004 03/02 A2973 RMK AO2 CIG 003V007 TSNO= KBFD 271353Z AUTO 04006KT 10SM -RA OVC004 03/02 A2974 RMK AO2 RAB49 CIG 003V007 SLP075 P0000 T00280017 KBFD 271353Z AUTO 04006KT 10SM -RA OVC004 03/02 A2974 RMK AO2 RAB49 CIG 003V007 SLP075 P0000 T00280017

TSNO=TSNO= KBFD 271440Z AUTO 05005KT 10SM -RA OVC006 03/02 A2972 RMK AO2 CIG 005V009 P0000 TSNO=KBFD 271440Z AUTO 05005KT 10SM -RA OVC006 03/02 A2972 RMK AO2 CIG 005V009 P0000 TSNO= KBFD 271453Z AUTO 01006KT 10SM -RA OVC006 03/01 A2974 RMK AO2 CIG 005V011 SLP075 P0000 60000 T00280011 55003KBFD 271453Z AUTO 01006KT 10SM -RA OVC006 03/01 A2974 RMK AO2 CIG 005V011 SLP075 P0000 60000 T00280011 55003 TSNO=TSNO= KBFD 271553Z AUTO 02006KT 8SM -RA BKN006 BKN010 OVC015 03/01 A2973 RMK AO2 SLP073 P0002 T00280011 TSNO=KBFD 271553Z AUTO 02006KT 8SM -RA BKN006 BKN010 OVC015 03/01 A2973 RMK AO2 SLP073 P0002 T00280011 TSNO= KBFD 271648Z AUTO 36007KT 2SM -SN BR BKN008 OVC014 02/00 A2973 RMK AO2 VIS 1 1/2V3 RAE30SNB30 P0002 TSNO=KBFD 271648Z AUTO 36007KT 2SM -SN BR BKN008 OVC014 02/00 A2973 RMK AO2 VIS 1 1/2V3 RAE30SNB30 P0002 TSNO= KBFD 271653Z AUTO 36007KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR BKN008 OVC013 02/00 A2973 RMK AO2 RAE30SNB30 SLP073 P0003 KBFD 271653Z AUTO 36007KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR BKN008 OVC013 02/00 A2973 RMK AO2 RAE30SNB30 SLP073 P0003

T00170000T00170000 TSNO=TSNO= KBFD 271710Z AUTO 01007G15KT 3/4SM -SN BR BKN006 OVC011 01/M01 A2974 RMK AO2 P0001 TSNO=KBFD 271710Z AUTO 01007G15KT 3/4SM -SN BR BKN006 OVC011 01/M01 A2974 RMK AO2 P0001 TSNO= KBFD 271732Z AUTO 01008KT 1/4SM SN FG VV007 01/M01 A2974 RMK AO2 P0002 TSNO=KBFD 271732Z AUTO 01008KT 1/4SM SN FG VV007 01/M01 A2974 RMK AO2 P0002 TSNO= KBFD 271750Z AUTO 01006KT 1/2SM -SN FG SCT005 OVC010 01/M01 A2973 RMK AO2 P0003 TSNO=KBFD 271750Z AUTO 01006KT 1/2SM -SN FG SCT005 OVC010 01/M01 A2973 RMK AO2 P0003 TSNO= KBFD 271753Z AUTO 01006KT 3/4SM -SN BR SCT006 OVC010 01/M01 A2973 RMK AO2 SLP077 P0003 60008 T00061006 10033KBFD 271753Z AUTO 01006KT 3/4SM -SN BR SCT006 OVC010 01/M01 A2973 RMK AO2 SLP077 P0003 60008 T00061006 10033 20006 53001 TSNO=20006 53001 TSNO=

Page 7: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Bradford, PAContest 3 – Bradford, PA

Page 8: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Bradford, PAContest 3 – Bradford, PA

Page 9: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Bradford, PAContest 3 – Bradford, PA

Page 10: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Bradford, PAContest 3 – Bradford, PA

Page 11: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Bradford, PAContest 3 – Bradford, PA

Page 12: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Bradford, PAContest 3 – Bradford, PA

Page 13: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Up Close and PersonalUp Close and Personal

Page 14: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Bradford, PAContest 3 – Bradford, PA

Page 15: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Bradford, PA – Lessons LearnedBradford, PA – Lessons Learned

Cold air is slow to move, despite the guidance!Cold air is slow to move, despite the guidance! The changeover to snow can come quickly at a The changeover to snow can come quickly at a

higher elevation station. higher elevation station. An anabatic cold front precipitation shield, An anabatic cold front precipitation shield,

especially amounts, are well handled by EPS.especially amounts, are well handled by EPS. Winds in a colder air mass tend to be less than Winds in a colder air mass tend to be less than

guidance due to lack of mixing.guidance due to lack of mixing.

Page 16: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Glens Falls, NYContest 3 – Glens Falls, NY

Page 17: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Glens Falls, NYContest 3 – Glens Falls, NY

FAA Identifier:  GFL Lat/Long:  43-20-28.4000N / 073-36-37.1000W43-20.473333N / 073-36.618333W43.3412222 / -73.6103056(estimated) Elevation:  328 ft. / 100.0 m (surveyed) Variation:  14W (1980) From city:  3 miles NE of GLENS FALLS, NY

Page 18: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Glens Falls, NYContest 3 – Glens Falls, NYKGFL 262353Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT024 BKN028 OVC035 07/06 A2981 RMK AO2 SLP100 T00670061 10072 20067 53003=KGFL 270046Z AUTO 02008KT 4SM BR FEW009 SCT015 OVC020 06/05 A2981 RMK AO2 RAB31E41 P0001=KGFL 270053Z AUTO 04007KT 4SM BR OVC020 06/05 A2982 RMK AO2 RAB31E41 SLP101 P0001 T00610050=KGFL 270153Z AUTO 02003KT 10SM OVC022 06/04 A2980 RMK AO2 RAB26E52 SLP095 P0001 T00560044=KGFL 270253Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM OVC030 06/06 A2979 RMK AO2 RAB01E29 SLP093 P0000 60002 T00610056 58007=KGFL 270353Z AUTO 01003KT 10SM -RA OVC036 06/05 A2978 RMK AO2 RAB09 SLP090 P0001 T00610050=KGFL 270453Z AUTO 35005KT 9SM -RA FEW024 OVC034 06/05 A2978 RMK AO2 SLP091 P0001 T00610050 400720039=KGFL 270522Z AUTO 01006KT 10SM -RA BKN024 OVC036 06/04 A2978 RMK AO2 P0001=KGFL 270530Z AUTO 01007KT 10SM -RA FEW024 OVC038 06/04 A2978 RMK AO2 P0002=KGFL 270553Z AUTO 02007KT 10SM -RA BKN040 OVC047 06/04 A2977 RMK AO2 SLP086 P0002 60006 T00560044 10067 20056 58007=KGFL 270653Z AUTO 01010KT 10SM -RA OVC038 06/03 A2978 RMK AO2 SLP089 P0003 T00560033=KGFL 270718Z AUTO 03009KT 8SM -RA BKN028 OVC036 05/03 A2978 RMK AO2 P0001=KGFL 270753Z AUTO 02009KT 8SM -RA OVC028 05/03 A2978 RMK AO2 SLP091 P0004 T00500033=KGFL 270805Z AUTO 02010KT 7SM -RA OVC030 04/03 A2979 RMK AO2 P0001=KGFL 270853Z AUTO 01005KT 9SM -RA FEW008 BKN030 OVC049 04/04 A2978 RMK AO2 SLP091 P0005 60012 T00440039 51005=KGFL 270905Z AUTO 36007KT 10SM -RA SCT010 BKN017 OVC050 04/03 A2980 RMK AO2 P0001=KGFL 270905Z AUTO 36007KT 10SM -RA SCT010 BKN017 OVC050 04/03A2980=KGFL 270953Z AUTO 02005KT 10SM -RA SCT016 OVC026 04/03 A2978 RMK AO2 SLP091 P0001 T00390028=KGFL 271053Z AUTO 02007KT 10SM FEW016 BKN026 OVC040 04/03 A2980 RMK AO2 RAE0958 SLP096 P0000 T00390028=KGFL 271153Z AUTO 03005KT 9SM BKN019 OVC025 03/03 A2980 RMK AO2 RAB13E47 SLP098 P0000 60013 70020 T00330028 10056 20033 53006=KGFL 271221Z AUTO 04004KT 9SM SCT025 BKN050 OVC085 03/02 A2981 RMK AO2 RAB10E18SNB08E20 P0000=

Page 19: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Glens Falls, NYContest 3 – Glens Falls, NY KGFL 271153Z AUTO 03005KT 9SM BKN019 OVC025 03/03 A2980 RMK AO2 RAB13E47 SLP098 P0000 60013 70020 T00330028KGFL 271153Z AUTO 03005KT 9SM BKN019 OVC025 03/03 A2980 RMK AO2 RAB13E47 SLP098 P0000 60013 70020 T00330028 10056 20033 53006=10056 20033 53006= KGFL 271221Z AUTO 04004KT 9SM SCT025 BKN050 OVC085 03/02 A2981 RMK AO2 RAB10E18SNB08E20 P0000=KGFL 271221Z AUTO 04004KT 9SM SCT025 BKN050 OVC085 03/02 A2981 RMK AO2 RAB10E18SNB08E20 P0000= KGFL 271249Z AUTO 01005KT 9SM -RA BKN017 BKN055 OVC085 03/03 A2983 RMK AO2 RAB10E18B48SNB08E20 P0000=KGFL 271249Z AUTO 01005KT 9SM -RA BKN017 BKN055 OVC085 03/03 A2983 RMK AO2 RAB10E18B48SNB08E20 P0000= KGFL 271253Z AUTO 02004KT 8SM -RA BKN017 OVC055 03/03 A2983 RMK AO2 RAB10E18B48SNB08E20 SLP107 P0000KGFL 271253Z AUTO 02004KT 8SM -RA BKN017 OVC055 03/03 A2983 RMK AO2 RAB10E18B48SNB08E20 SLP107 P0000 T00330028=T00330028= KGFL 271304Z AUTO 05006KT 8SM -SN SCT017 OVC055 03/03 A2981 RMK AO2 RAE01SNB01 P0000=KGFL 271304Z AUTO 05006KT 8SM -SN SCT017 OVC055 03/03 A2981 RMK AO2 RAE01SNB01 P0000= KGFL 271333Z AUTO 06008KT 4SM -SN BR SCT019 BKN024 OVC037 03/02 A2981 RMK AO2 RAE01SNB01 P0001=KGFL 271333Z AUTO 06008KT 4SM -SN BR SCT019 BKN024 OVC037 03/02 A2981 RMK AO2 RAE01SNB01 P0001= KGFL 271333Z AUTO 06008KT 4SM -SN BR SCT019 BKN024 OVC037 03/02A2981=KGFL 271333Z AUTO 06008KT 4SM -SN BR SCT019 BKN024 OVC037 03/02A2981= KGFL 271353Z AUTO 05006KT 5SM -SN BR BKN017 BKN022 OVC028 03/02 A2981 RMK AO2 RAE01SNB01 SLP102 P0002KGFL 271353Z AUTO 05006KT 5SM -SN BR BKN017 BKN022 OVC028 03/02 A2981 RMK AO2 RAE01SNB01 SLP102 P0002 T00330022=T00330022= KGFL 271428Z AUTO 02007KT 5SM -RA BR SCT008 BKN015 OVC022 03/02 A2981 RMK AO2 RAB17SNE17 P0001=KGFL 271428Z AUTO 02007KT 5SM -RA BR SCT008 BKN015 OVC022 03/02 A2981 RMK AO2 RAB17SNE17 P0001= KGFL 271428Z AUTO 02007KT 5SM -RA BR SCT008 BKN015 OVC022 03/02A2981=KGFL 271428Z AUTO 02007KT 5SM -RA BR SCT008 BKN015 OVC022 03/02A2981= KGFL 271438Z AUTO 01004KT 7SM -RA BKN008 OVC015 03/02 A2981 RMK AO2 RAB17SNE17 P0002=KGFL 271438Z AUTO 01004KT 7SM -RA BKN008 OVC015 03/02 A2981 RMK AO2 RAB17SNE17 P0002= KGFL 271453Z AUTO 01007KT 8SM -RA BKN008 OVC013 03/02 A2981 RMK AO2 RAB17SNE17 CIG 006V012 SLP102 P0002 60004KGFL 271453Z AUTO 01007KT 8SM -RA BKN008 OVC013 03/02 A2981 RMK AO2 RAB17SNE17 CIG 006V012 SLP102 P0002 60004 T00330017 55006=T00330017 55006= KGFL 271502Z AUTO 03006KT 5SM -RA BR SCT008 OVC015 03/02 A2980 RMK AO2 P0000=KGFL 271502Z AUTO 03006KT 5SM -RA BR SCT008 OVC015 03/02 A2980 RMK AO2 P0000= KGFL 271453Z AUTO 01007KT 8SM -RA BKN008 OVC013 03/02 A2981=KGFL 271453Z AUTO 01007KT 8SM -RA BKN008 OVC013 03/02 A2981= KGFL 271502Z AUTO 03006KT 5SM -RA BR SCT008 OVC015 03/02 A2980=KGFL 271502Z AUTO 03006KT 5SM -RA BR SCT008 OVC015 03/02 A2980= KGFL 271546Z AUTO 02006KT 6SM -RA BR FEW010 OVC014 03/02 A2980 RMK AO2 P0003=KGFL 271546Z AUTO 02006KT 6SM -RA BR FEW010 OVC014 03/02 A2980 RMK AO2 P0003= KGFL 271553Z AUTO 03006KT 6SM -RA BR FEW010 OVC014 03/02 A2979 RMK AO2 SLP095 P0003 T00280022=KGFL 271553Z AUTO 03006KT 6SM -RA BR FEW010 OVC014 03/02 A2979 RMK AO2 SLP095 P0003 T00280022= KGFL 271607Z AUTO 01009KT 5SM -RA BR BKN008 OVC014 03/02 A2979 RMK AO2 P0001=KGFL 271607Z AUTO 01009KT 5SM -RA BR BKN008 OVC014 03/02 A2979 RMK AO2 P0001= KGFL 271649Z AUTO 02010KT 5SM -RA BR FEW008 BKN014 OVC019 03/02 A2978 RMK AO2 P0003=KGFL 271649Z AUTO 02010KT 5SM -RA BR FEW008 BKN014 OVC019 03/02 A2978 RMK AO2 P0003= KGFL 271649Z AUTO 02010KT 5SM -RA BR FEW008 BKN014 OVC019 03/02A2978=KGFL 271649Z AUTO 02010KT 5SM -RA BR FEW008 BKN014 OVC019 03/02A2978= KGFL 271653Z AUTO 02009KT 5SM -RA BR FEW008 BKN014 OVC021 03/02 A2978 RMK AO2 SLP092 P0003 T00280017=KGFL 271653Z AUTO 02009KT 5SM -RA BR FEW008 BKN014 OVC021 03/02 A2978 RMK AO2 SLP092 P0003 T00280017= KGFL 271701Z AUTO 02011KT 4SM -RA BR SCT014 OVC019 03/02 A2978 RMK AO2 P0000=KGFL 271701Z AUTO 02011KT 4SM -RA BR SCT014 OVC019 03/02 A2978 RMK AO2 P0000= KGFL 271653Z AUTO 02009KT 5SM -RA BR FEW008 BKN014 OVC021 03/02 A2978=KGFL 271653Z AUTO 02009KT 5SM -RA BR FEW008 BKN014 OVC021 03/02 A2978= KGFL 271701Z AUTO 02011KT 4SM -RA BR SCT014 OVC019 03/02 A2978=KGFL 271701Z AUTO 02011KT 4SM -RA BR SCT014 OVC019 03/02 A2978= KGFL 271743Z AUTO 01005KT 4SM -SN BR SCT006 BKN010 OVC015 02/01 A2979 RMK AO2 RAE43SNB43 P0004=KGFL 271743Z AUTO 01005KT 4SM -SN BR SCT006 BKN010 OVC015 02/01 A2979 RMK AO2 RAE43SNB43 P0004= KGFL 271743Z AUTO 01005KT 4SM -SN BR SCT006 BKN010 OVC015 02/01A2979=KGFL 271743Z AUTO 01005KT 4SM -SN BR SCT006 BKN010 OVC015 02/01A2979= KGFL 271753Z AUTO 01005KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR BKN006 OVC013 02/01 A2979 RMK AO2 RAE49SNB43 SLP094 P0005 60015KGFL 271753Z AUTO 01005KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR BKN006 OVC013 02/01 A2979 RMK AO2 RAE49SNB43 SLP094 P0005 60015 T00170011 10033 20017 51003=T00170011 10033 20017 51003=

Page 20: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Glens Falls, NYGlens Falls, NY

Page 21: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Glens Falls, NYContest 3 – Glens Falls, NY

Page 22: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Glens Falls, NYContest 3 – Glens Falls, NY

Page 23: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Contest 3 – Glens Falls, NYContest 3 – Glens Falls, NY

Page 24: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Glens Falls, NY StandingsGlens Falls, NY Standings

Page 25: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Up Close and PersonalUp Close and Personal

Page 26: Post Mortem Forecast Review

Glens Falls, NY Lessons LearnedGlens Falls, NY Lessons Learned

Without a well developed cyclone, Without a well developed cyclone, precipitation tends to come in several waves.precipitation tends to come in several waves.

Boundary Layer temperatures will keep the Boundary Layer temperatures will keep the melting layer above ground level until the melting layer above ground level until the precipitation becomes heavy enough to chill precipitation becomes heavy enough to chill the lowest 50m.the lowest 50m.

A changeover in precipitation is often A changeover in precipitation is often accompanied by low ceilingsaccompanied by low ceilings