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Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar Photovoltaics and Distributed Storage as key global climate change solution at all institutional levels © Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 1

Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

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Page 1: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar Photovoltaics

and Distributed Storage

as key global climate change solution at all institutional levels

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 1

Page 2: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Introductory remarks

• Climate change is a serious ethical problem of our societies, amplified by the fact that successfully proven and fast decarbonisation measures are available, but often „sistematically disregarded“ or sabotaged by governments and corporate controlled media

• German climate change mitigation policy risks to become a serious failure with regard to European renewable energy targets 2020 and Paris Agreement ambition levels

• This is certainly not due to sincere macroeconomic considerations in the face of the immense damages already caused by fossil lifestyle (floods, cyclones, fires etc.)

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 2

Page 3: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 3

Business-as-usual is radical risk-taking

Page 4: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Climate change has drastic impacts

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 4

Quelle: TIME magazine, citing study in Science Advances

Page 5: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Importance of Photovoltaics for climate politics

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 5

Page 6: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

What is so special about PV?

• Pioneering technological, regulatory and financial solutions for fast photovoltaic growth are already successfully applied in many places around the globe

• Massive organised media campaigning and continued obstructive governance initiatives against the deployment of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern)

• At the same time, these zero carbon technologies have the highest overall potential in almost all geographies, are highly modular, without emissions and can be introduced with low technological and economical risks

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 6

Page 7: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Ubiquitous availability of solar PV

• „Solar is not about finding the perfect piece of grass in the UK, but it‘s about thinking you can put it anywhere; then you start realising the scope to expand solar.“ [Alison Fitch, Huawei Smart PV Business Europe]

• „With the advent of affordable storage and the „Internet of Things“ the world for photovoltaics has changed completely. What we are doing today is to connect the photovoltaic generator reasonably with storage, heating, ventilation and air conditioning systems as well as electric vehicles and to control them intelligently via platforms.“ [Pierre-Pascal Urban, SMA]

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 7

Page 8: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Very fast mitigation solution

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 8

Data: BMU, BDEW, BMWi, Federal Environmental Agency (UBA) 2017. Graph: PSE AG 2017

Page 9: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Very cost-effective decarbonisation

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 9

Data: BMU, EEG 2014 and BMWi Energiedaten. Design: B. Burger - Fraunhofer ISE , Update: 04 July 2017

Page 10: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Exponential growth potential

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 10

Predictive models have consistently underestimated PV deployment!

Page 11: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Low-cost decarbonisation pathway

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 11

Gulagi, Breyer, Bogdanov: “The Demand for Storage Technologies in Energy Transition Pathways Towards 100% Renewable Energy for India”, Conference Paper · 11th International Renewable Energy Storage Conference, March 14-16, 2017, Düsseldorf

Page 12: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Importance of governance for high growth PV

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 12

Page 13: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Politics can make a difference …

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 13

Page 14: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 14

In different senses …

Page 15: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

What can (local) governments do? • Move PV and Battery Energy Storage deployment to the centre of climate

policy implementation at local and regional levels (following a deep decarbonisation pathway)

• Create an increasingly flexible network at all levels of the electricity deliverability system (DSO 2.0) – supporting the transition from a load-following to a supply-following paradigm

• Approve steering taxes on damaging behavior (“burning fossil fuels”) and develop creative regulatory measures (“Urban law”)

• Create active green investment facilitation units (“Green Banks”) that assure financial sustainability of various initiatives and innovations

• Protect sustainable capital investments of conscious people that eliminate fuel costs and harmful emissions (-> lower LCOE through low risk premiums connected with legal guarantees, e.g. feed-in arrangements and the abandonment of discriminatory actions against photovoltaics)

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 15

Page 16: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Importance of storage policies

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 16

Page 17: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Battery storage for DSOs+Prosumers

• Allows sharp decarbonisation in key segments of the energy market – notably when paired with new PV installations

• Ability to derive multiple value streams by providing a range of services with one storage system

• New flexibility and service delivery options enabled by local generation, storage, controllable loads and intelligent communication („DSO 2.0“): – Congestion management in the distribution grid and in the transmission grid

out of the distribution grid – Voltage quality management in the distribution grid and in the transmission

grid out of the distribution grid – Physical balancing of generation and load in the distribution grid and

balancing power for the transmission grid out of the distribution grid – Restoring of supply in the distribution grid and in the transmission grid out of

the distribution grid

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 17

Page 18: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Multiple value streams …

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 18

Page 19: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

DSO 2.0 concept

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 19

Source: EWE Netz / Enera

Page 20: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Transactive energy system concept

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 20

Source: GWAC

Page 21: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Importance of transportation policies

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 21

Page 22: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Electric transportation as key lever

• Steering taxes, carbon-emission-based taxing of fuels

• Public awareness that burning fossil fuels is causing sadness and despair for other people around the globe

• Dedicated parking space for shared BEVs (P2G possible)

• Restricted access zones for ICEs in cities

• Increased share of electric busses and taxis

• Making cities for people (cf. http://gehlpeople.com/)

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 22

Page 23: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Awareness raising at the right place

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 23

Page 24: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Give parking space to shared BEVs

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 24

Source: Renault Netherlands

Page 25: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Electrifying public transport

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 25

Page 26: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Financing upfront investments vs. fuel costs

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 26

Page 27: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

A mosaic of finance strategies

• Reducing financial cost components

• Reducing soft cost components

• Influencing device prices by procurement policies

• Transforming markets with Green Banks (e.g. making storage investments bankable)

• Allowing for innovative community solar funding

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 27

Page 28: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Reducing financial cost component for distributed solar+storage projects

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 28

Page 29: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Reducing soft cost component for distributed solar+storage projects

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 29

Source: Berkeley Lab 2013

Page 30: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Influencing device prices by procurement policies

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 30

Page 31: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global © Next Solar Concepts

Quelle: Green Bank Connecticut

31

Transform markets with Green Banks

Quelle: New York Green Bank

Page 32: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Community Solar initiatives

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 32

Page 33: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

The Sun Exchange (crowd platform)

“Earning income from the infrastructure you want to see in the world”

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 33

• Real-time revenue streaming

• Block-chain connected smart meters

• Totally transparent investement performance tracking

Page 34: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Concluding remarks

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 34

Page 35: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Positive governance can lead the way

• Political and community support for PV is an essential pillar of success in climate politics

• Sharp decarbonisation requires storage and local balancing of generation and load

• Unsustainable behaviour should be challenged

• Desirable transformations need a promoter and can rely on excellent examples

• Critical cost components can be influenced

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 35

Page 36: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Our Services: Energy management consultancy services

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 36

Page 37: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Serial produced system technologies

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 37

Highly efficient & affordable units

Page 38: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Many Thanks!

Contact:

Next Solar Concepts

Christoph Blaschke

Ohlauer Str. 43, 10999 Berlin

[email protected]

0160 5423348

Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global © Next Solar Concepts 38

Page 39: Positive governance and accelerated deployment of Solar ... · of PV and complementary BES technologies are observable in a number of countries (following a similar pattern) •At

Zukunftsrede

„Wir waren jene, die wussten, aber nicht verstanden, voller Informationen, aber ohne Erkenntnis, randvoll mit Wissen, aber mager an Erfahrung. So gingen wir, von uns selbst nicht aufgehalten.“ Roger Willemsen, WER WIR WAREN - Zukunftsrede, Juli 2015

© Next Solar Concepts Strommarkttreffen 20. Oktober 2017 | Energiewende global 39