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Planetary Science Planetary Science Decadal SurveyDecadal Survey
2009-20112009-2011
David H. Smith David H. Smith Space Studies Board, National Research CouncilSpace Studies Board, National Research Council
Mars Exploration Program Analysis GroupMars Exploration Program Analysis Group
Providence, Rhode Island, 29 July, 2009Providence, Rhode Island, 29 July, 2009
NOTE ADDED BY JPL WEBMASTER: This document was prepared by the National Research Council. The content has not been approved or adopted by, NASA, JPL, or the California Institute of Technology. This document is being made available for information purposes only, and any views and opinions expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of NASA, JPL, or the California Institute of Technology.
What will the Decadal Survey What will the Decadal Survey Address?Address?
Major Tasks:Major Tasks: Overview of planetary science and current state of Overview of planetary science and current state of knowledgeknowledge
Inventory of the key scientific questions Inventory of the key scientific questions Assessment of NSF-funded infrastructure Assessment of NSF-funded infrastructure Recommendations on program balance:Recommendations on program balance:
Mix of mission targetsMix of mission targets Mix of mission sizesMix of mission sizes Mix of research activitiesMix of research activities
Prioritized recommendations for New Frontiers and Prioritized recommendations for New Frontiers and flagship missions for the next decadeflagship missions for the next decade
Opportunities for human exploration to address key Opportunities for human exploration to address key scientific questions scientific questions
Recommendations for NASA-funded research activitiesRecommendations for NASA-funded research activities Recommendations for technology developmentRecommendations for technology development
ScopeScope Ground- and space-based planetary scienceGround- and space-based planetary science AstrobiologyAstrobiology
Organization of the Decadal Survey
Steering GroupSteve Squyres, Chair
Larry Soderblom, Vice ChairVice Chairs of Panels
9 others
Steering GroupSteve Squyres, Chair
Larry Soderblom, Vice ChairVice Chairs of Panels
9 others
Inner PlanetsPanel
Ellen Stofan, ChairStephen Mackwell, Vice Chair
10 others
Inner PlanetsPanel
Ellen Stofan, ChairStephen Mackwell, Vice Chair
10 others
Outer Planet SatellitesPanel
John Spencer, ChairDavid Stevenson, Vice Chair
10 others
Outer Planet SatellitesPanel
John Spencer, ChairDavid Stevenson, Vice Chair
10 others
MarsPanel
Philip Christensen, ChairWendy Calvin, Vice Chair
11 others
MarsPanel
Philip Christensen, ChairWendy Calvin, Vice Chair
11 others
Outer PlanetsPanel
Heidi Hammel, ChairAmy Simon-Miller, Vice Chair
9 others
Outer PlanetsPanel
Heidi Hammel, ChairAmy Simon-Miller, Vice Chair
9 others
Primitive BodiesPanel
Joseph Veverka, ChairHarry Y. McSween, Vice Chair
10 others
Primitive BodiesPanel
Joseph Veverka, ChairHarry Y. McSween, Vice Chair
10 others
Mars PanelMars Panel
Philip Christensen, Arizona State University, Philip Christensen, Arizona State University, ChairChair Wendy M. Calvin, University of Nevada, Reno, Wendy M. Calvin, University of Nevada, Reno, Vice ChairVice Chair
Raymond Arvidson, Washington University, St. LouisRaymond Arvidson, Washington University, St. Louis Bobby Braun, Georgian Institute of TechnologyBobby Braun, Georgian Institute of Technology Glen Cunningham, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, retiredGlen Cunningham, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, retired David Des Marais, NASA Ames Research CenterDavid Des Marais, NASA Ames Research Center Linda Elkins-Tanton, Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyLinda Elkins-Tanton, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Francois Forget, Institut Pierre Simon LaplaceFrancois Forget, Institut Pierre Simon Laplace John Grotzinger, California Institute of TechnologyJohn Grotzinger, California Institute of Technology Penny King, University of New MexicoPenny King, University of New Mexico Paul Mahaffy, NASA Goddard Space Flight CenterPaul Mahaffy, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Lisa Pratt, University of IndianaLisa Pratt, University of Indiana
One Additional International Participant (to be appointed)One Additional International Participant (to be appointed)
Overall Schedule 2008-2011Overall Schedule 2008-2011
20082008 44thth Quarter Quarter Informal request received, NRC approves Informal request received, NRC approves
initiation,initiation,Formal request received, Proposal to NASA.Formal request received, Proposal to NASA.
2009200911stst Quarter Quarter Funding received, Chair identified,Funding received, Chair identified,
Chair and vice chair appointedChair and vice chair appointed22ndnd Quarter Quarter Steering Group appointedSteering Group appointed, , Panels AppointedPanels Appointed33rdrd Quarter Quarter Meetings of the Steering GroupMeetings of the Steering Group and Panels begin and Panels begin44thth Quarter Quarter Panels’ period of peak active, Proposal to NSFPanels’ period of peak active, Proposal to NSF
2010201011stst-2-2nd nd Quarter Quarter Final Panel meetings, Panel reports Final Panel meetings, Panel reports
finalizedfinalized22ndnd-3-3rdrd Quarter QuarterPrioritization and drafting of survey reportPrioritization and drafting of survey report44thth Quarter Quarter Draft survey report to reviewers, Report Draft survey report to reviewers, Report
revisedrevised
2011201111stst Quarter Quarter Report approved, NASA briefedReport approved, NASA briefed
and report released ( prepublication-format)and report released ( prepublication-format)33rdrd Quarter Quarter Printed report releasedPrinted report released
Meeting ScheduleMeeting Schedule
Steering Steering GroupGroup
Inner Inner PlanetsPlanets
MarsMars PrimitivPrimitive Bodiese Bodies
Outer Outer PlanetsPlanets
OuterOuter
PlanetsPlanets
SatellitSatelliteses
6-8 July6-8 July
WashingtonWashington
D.C.D.C.
16-18 16-18 NovemberNovember
IrvineIrvine
CaliforniaCalifornia
26-2826-28
AugustAugust
WashingtonWashington
D.C.D.C.
9-11 9-11 SeptemberSeptember
TempeTempe
ArizonaArizona
9-11 9-11 SeptemberSeptember
WashingtonWashington
D.C.D.C.
24-2624-26
AugustAugust
WashingtonWashington
D.C.D.C.
24-2624-26
AugustAugust
WashingtonWashington
D.C.D.C.
22-2422-24
FebruaryFebruary
Arizona or Arizona or CaliforniaCalifornia
26-2826-28
OctoberOctober
IrvineIrvine
CaliforniaCalifornia
4-64-6
NovemberNovember
PasadenaPasadena
CaliforniaCalifornia
28-3028-30
OctoberOctober
IrvineIrvine
CaliforniaCalifornia
26-2826-28
OctoberOctober
IrvineIrvine
CaliforniaCalifornia
21-23 21-23 SeptemberSeptember
IrvineIrvine
CaliforniaCalifornia
25-27 May25-27 May
WashingtonWashington
D.C.D.C.
TBDTBD TBDTBD TBDTBD 4-6 May4-6 May
Boston?Boston?
MassachusetMassachusettsts
TBDTBD
Steering Group 3
Feb. 22-24, 2010
Steering Group 4
May 25-27, 2010
Inner Planets 3
Mars 3
Primitive Bodies 3
Outer Planets 3
May 4-6,2010
Outer Planet Satellites 3
Steering Group/Panel Steering Group/Panel InteractionsInteractions
July 2009
September 2010
Steering Group 1, D.C.;
July 6-8. ‘09
Steering Group Conference Call(s)
Inner Planets 1, D.C.;
Aug. 26-28, 2009
Mars 1, Tempe, AZ;
Sep. 9-11, 2009
Primitive Bodies 1, D.C.;
Sep. 9-11, 2009
Giant Planets 1, D.C.;
Aug. 24-26, 2009
Satellites 1, D.C.;
Aug. 24-26, 2009
Inner Planets 2, Irvine;
Oct. 26-28, 2009
Mars 2, Pasadena
Nov. 4-6, 2009
Primitive Bodies 2, Irvine;
Oct. 28-30, 2009
Giant Planets 2, Irvine;
Oct. 26-28, 2009
Satellites 2, Irvine;
Sep. 21-23, 2009
Mission Studies and Cost Estimation
Steering Group 2, Irvine;
Nov. 16-18, 2009
FirstSteering GroupMeeting
Deliberation andReport Drafting
DraftConsensusReport
Informatio
nGathering
Community White Papers
Committee Meetings
Decadal Survey
Committee
Staff Informatio
n Gathering
Panel Informatio
n Gathering
Panel Deliberatio
ns and Drafting
Mission Studies
Independent Cost
Estimators
Steering Group/Panels Steering Group/Panels WorkflowWorkflow
Community InteractionsCommunity Interactions
Broad community input is a defining feature of a decadal Broad community input is a defining feature of a decadal surveysurvey
Town hall and open meetings were held as early as possible in Town hall and open meetings were held as early as possible in the process of establishing the survey committee (e.g., the process of establishing the survey committee (e.g., DPSDPS, , AGUAGU and and VEXAGVEXAG, , MEPAG, OPAG,MEPAG, OPAG, RAS,RAS, LPSCLPSC and and CAPTEMCAPTEM))
Future outreach sessions are planned for the upcoming meetingsFuture outreach sessions are planned for the upcoming meetings
White papers submission mechanism active on decadal survey web White papers submission mechanism active on decadal survey web site (site (http://www7.nationalacademies.org/ssb/SSEdecadal2011.htmlhttp://www7.nationalacademies.org/ssb/SSEdecadal2011.html))
White paper notice-of-intent mechanism active on LPI web siteWhite paper notice-of-intent mechanism active on LPI web site ((http://www.lpi.usra.edu/decadal/http://www.lpi.usra.edu/decadal/))
Steering committee and panel meetings will be webcast and Steering committee and panel meetings will be webcast and archivedarchived
Chairs newsletter and regular bulletins (via, e.g., the PEN Chairs newsletter and regular bulletins (via, e.g., the PEN and DPS) to communityand DPS) to community
Graduate students are being recruited as rapporteurs for Graduate students are being recruited as rapporteurs for steering group and panel meetingssteering group and panel meetings
Examples of Recent and Examples of Recent and Future Outreach EventsFuture Outreach Events
NAC/PSS, 10 July, Washington, D.C., PresentationNAC/PSS, 10 July, Washington, D.C., Presentation
OPAG, 14 July, Columbia, Maryland, PresentationOPAG, 14 July, Columbia, Maryland, Presentation
NLSI/LEAG, 22-23 July, Moffett Field, California, NLSI/LEAG, 22-23 July, Moffett Field, California, PresentationPresentation
MEPAG, 30 July, Providence, Rhode Island, PresentationMEPAG, 30 July, Providence, Rhode Island, Presentation
Augustine Commission, 5 August, Washington, D.C., Augustine Commission, 5 August, Washington, D.C., PresentationPresentation
EPSC, 14 September, Potsdam, Germany, PresentationEPSC, 14 September, Potsdam, Germany, Presentation
DPS, 4-9 October, Fajardo, Puerto Rico, Plenary Session and DPS, 4-9 October, Fajardo, Puerto Rico, Plenary Session and Panel-specific WorkshopsPanel-specific Workshops
AGU, 14-18 December, San Francisco, California, Scientific AGU, 14-18 December, San Francisco, California, Scientific Session and town-hall meeting(s)Session and town-hall meeting(s)
Evaluation of Candidate MissionsEvaluation of Candidate Missions
Compared to previous decadal surveys, this one will place Compared to previous decadal surveys, this one will place much much greater emphasisgreater emphasis on evaluation of the technical maturity and on evaluation of the technical maturity and probable costs of candidate missions. probable costs of candidate missions.
The Panels and the Steering Group include members who are The Panels and the Steering Group include members who are expert in engineering, project management, and cost estimation.expert in engineering, project management, and cost estimation.
Resources are available to do moderate-fidelity (and Resources are available to do moderate-fidelity (and conservative!) cost estimates for a limited number of high-conservative!) cost estimates for a limited number of high-priority candidate missions.priority candidate missions.
The objective is to produce a The objective is to produce a realisticrealistic (i.e., not heavily (i.e., not heavily over-subscribed) set of candidate missions for NASA to carry over-subscribed) set of candidate missions for NASA to carry out in the coming decade.out in the coming decade.
Assuring Fiscal and Technical Assuring Fiscal and Technical RealismRealism
Technical support in the Technical support in the form of mission studies will form of mission studies will be conducted by the following be conducted by the following groups:groups: JPL Team X and RapidJPL Team X and Rapid Mission Architecture Mission Architecture team.team.
APL ACE labAPL ACE lab
GSFC Integrated DesignGSFC Integrated Design Cente (Mission Design Cente (Mission Design LabLab and Instrument Design and Instrument Design Lab)Lab)
The NRC will procure The NRC will procure independent cost estimates independent cost estimates from an appropriately from an appropriately qualified organization.qualified organization. Four qualified Four qualified companies have responded to companies have responded to an RFI; the winning an RFI; the winning contractor will be selected contractor will be selected shortlyshortly
A lack of technical and fiscal realism has been a major weakness of past decadal surveys (in planetary science and other disciplines). The decadal survey has adopted a twin-track approach to crafting more robust mission priorities.
SummarySummary
The decadal survey process is aimed at articulating a The decadal survey process is aimed at articulating a program for the coming decade that represents as fully program for the coming decade that represents as fully as possible the as possible the true consensus viewtrue consensus view of the US planetary of the US planetary science communityscience community
The distinguishing features of the decadal survey The distinguishing features of the decadal survey process are process are inclusivenessinclusiveness and and transparencytransparency
In contrast to past decadal surveys, this one will place In contrast to past decadal surveys, this one will place a strong emphasis on a strong emphasis on cost realismcost realism
The process is moving forward briskly. White paper The process is moving forward briskly. White paper inputs from the community are needed by inputs from the community are needed by September 15September 15
http://www7.nationalacademies.org/ssb/SSEdecadal2011.htmlhttp://www7.nationalacademies.org/ssb/SSEdecadal2011.html))
ExtraExtra
New Frontiers in the Solar New Frontiers in the Solar SystemSystem
OriginOrigin NASA request NASA request
PurposePurpose To define for solar To define for solar system exploration a decadal system exploration a decadal science and mission strategy, science and mission strategy, akin to those drafted by the akin to those drafted by the astronomy and astrophysics astronomy and astrophysics communities for the last 40 communities for the last 40 yearsyears
Study GroupStudy Group Steering group of Steering group of 15 supported by 45 others on 15 supported by 45 others on six panels (plus 200+ authors six panels (plus 200+ authors of white papers)of white papers)
Study periodStudy period 7/01 to 7/02 7/01 to 7/02
Final Report IssuedFinal Report Issued 2003 2003
Steering GroupSteering Group
Steven W. Squyres, Cornell University, Steven W. Squyres, Cornell University, ChairChair Laurence A. Soderblom, U.S. Geological Survey, Laurence A. Soderblom, U.S. Geological Survey, Vice ChairVice Chair Wendy M. Calvin, University of Nevada, RenoWendy M. Calvin, University of Nevada, Reno Dale Cruikshank, NASA Ames Research CenterDale Cruikshank, NASA Ames Research Center Pascale Ehrenfreund, George Washington University andPascale Ehrenfreund, George Washington University and Leiden Institute of ChemistryLeiden Institute of Chemistry G. Scott Hubbard, Stanford UniversityG. Scott Hubbard, Stanford University Wesley T. Huntress, Jr., Carnegie Institution of Washington Wesley T. Huntress, Jr., Carnegie Institution of Washington Margaret G. Kivelson, University of California, Los Angeles Margaret G. Kivelson, University of California, Los Angeles B. Gentry Lee, Jet Propulsion LaboratoryB. Gentry Lee, Jet Propulsion Laboratory Jane Luu, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Lincoln Jane Luu, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Lincoln LaboratoryLaboratory Stephen Mackwell, Lunar and Planetary InstituteStephen Mackwell, Lunar and Planetary Institute Ralph L. McNutt, Jr., Johns Hopkins University, Applied Ralph L. McNutt, Jr., Johns Hopkins University, Applied Physics LaboratoryPhysics Laboratory Harry Y. McSween, Jr., University of Tennessee, KnoxvilleHarry Y. McSween, Jr., University of Tennessee, Knoxville Amy Simon-Miller, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Amy Simon-Miller, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center David J. Stevenson, California Institute of TechnologyDavid J. Stevenson, California Institute of Technology A. Thomas Young, Lockheed Martin Corporation (Retired)A. Thomas Young, Lockheed Martin Corporation (Retired)
White Paper SubmissionWhite Paper Submission
White papers may be submitted before September 15, 2009, White papers may be submitted before September 15, 2009, via the decadal survey web site.via the decadal survey web site.
White papers may not be more than 7 pages in length.White papers may not be more than 7 pages in length.
A cover page should include the primary author's name and A cover page should include the primary author's name and a list of co-authors.a list of co-authors.
Use a 12-pt font with 1-inch margins.Use a 12-pt font with 1-inch margins.
Only Word (.doc) and Acrobat (.pdf) formats will be Only Word (.doc) and Acrobat (.pdf) formats will be accepted.accepted.
Multiple authorship that accurately reflects a consensus Multiple authorship that accurately reflects a consensus
among many individuals is strongly encouraged.among many individuals is strongly encouraged.
Everyone in the planetary science community is encouraged Everyone in the planetary science community is encouraged to author white papers; the only exception is the decadal to author white papers; the only exception is the decadal survey panel chairs and steering committee members.survey panel chairs and steering committee members.