51
Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No Selection this Week HIGH SCORING POW H (over70.5) Idaho/ UNLV Phil Steele’s SPECIAL PLAYS OF THE WEEK Other Wk Two Games Other matchups Idaho St at Utah St (Thurs) Northern Colorado at Florida Eastern Kentucky at Kentucky Chattanooga at LSU UT Martin at Ole Miss Indiana St at Tennessee Alabama A&M at Vanderbilt Abliene Christian at Colorado St Gardner-Webb at Wyoming Alcorn State at FIU Towson at Maryland Jacksonville St at Georgia Tech H Villanova at Temple Savannah St at Appalachian St Austin Peay at Miami, Oh Eastern Illinois at Northern Illinois Howard at Kent St Delaware at Virginia Tech Weber State at California New Hampshire at Georgia Southern Alabama St at Troy South Dakota at Bowling Green Southern at Southern Miss Nicholls at Texas A&M Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Akron Montana at Washington 377 AUBURN 7:00 p.m. ESPN 378 CLEMSON 379 GEORGIA 7:30 p.m. NBC 380 NOTRE DAME 381 MISSISSIPPI STATE 7:30 p.m. CBSC 382 LOUISIANA TECH 383 OKLAHOMA 7:30 p.m. ABC 384 OHIO STATE 385 MEMPHIS 8:00 p.m. ESPNN 386 UCF 387 STANFORD 8:30 p.m. 388 USC 389 UNLV 9:00 p.m. 390 IDAHO 391 MINNESOTA 10:00 p.m. 392 OREGON STATE 393 SAN DIEGO STATE 10:00 p.m. 394 HARIZONA STATE 395 UTAH 10:15 p.m. 396 BYU 397 HOUSTON 10:30 p.m. 398 ARIZONA 399 BOISE STATE 10:30 p.m. 400 WASHINGTON STATE HIGH SCORING POW H H H H FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 8th OFFICIAL - RECORDS - ROTATION # ALL TIMES ARE ET. TV STATIONS & TIMES SUBJECT TO CHANGE 301 OHIO 8:00 p.m. 302 PURDUE 303 OKLAHOMA ST 8:00 p.m. ESPN2 304 SOUTH ALABAMA SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 9th 305 FAU 12:00 p.m. 306 WISCONSIN 307 BUFFALO 12:00 p.m. CBSC 308 ARMY 309 WESTERN MICHIGAN 12:00 p.m. 310 MICHIGAN STATE 311 EASTERN MICHIGAN 12:00 p.m. 312 RUTGERS 313 ODU 12:00 p.m. 314 MASSACHUSETTS 315 NORTHWESTERN 12:00 p.m. espnU 316 DUKE 317 USF 12:00 p.m. ESPNN 318 CONNECTICUT 319 EAST CAROLINA 12:00 p.m. 320 WEST VIRGINIA 321 CINCINNATI 12:00 p.m. 322 MICHIGAN 323 LOUISVILLE 12:00 p.m. 324 NORTH CAROLINA 325 CHARLOTTE 12:00 p.m. 326 KANSAS ST 327 IOWA 12:00 p.m. 328 IOWA ST 329 WAKE FOREST 1:00 p.m. 330 HBOSTON COLLEGE 331 HNEW MEXICO ST 2:00 p.m. 332 NEW MEXICO 333 RICE 2:00 p.m. 334 UTEP 335 TEXAS ST 2:00 p.m. 336 COLORADO 337 UAB 3:00 p.m. 338 BALL ST 339 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 3:30 p.m. 340 SYRACUSE 341 INDIANA 3:30 p.m. 342 VIRGINIA 343 PITTSBURGH 3:30 p.m. 344 PENN STATE 345 FRESNO ST 3:30 p.m. espn2 346 ALABAMA 347 TULANE 3:30 p.m. CBS 348 NAVY 349 WKU 3:30 p.m. 350 ILLINOIS 351 UTSA 3:30 p.m. 352 BAYLOR 353 HAWAII 3:30 p.m. 354 UCLA 355 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 3:30 p.m. 356 KANSAS 357 NEBRASKA 3:30 p.m. 358 OREGON 359 MIAMI, FL 3:30 p.m. ESPNU 360 ARKANSAS STATE 361 SAN JOSE STATE 3:30 p.m. 362 TEXAS 363 TCU 3:30 p.m. CBS 364 ARKANSAS 365 LOUISIANA 4:00 p.m. 366 TULSA 367 MARSHALL 6:00 p.m. 368 NC STATE 369 TOLEDO 7:00 p.m. 370 HNEVADA 371 ULM 7:00 p.m. 372 HFLORIDA ST 373 SOUTH CAROLINA 7:00 p.m. espn2 374 MISSOURI 375 NORTH TEXAS 7:00 p.m. 376 SMU

Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    3

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

Phil Steele PlusInside the Pressbox

WEEK 02

UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK*this is a Best Bet

No Selection this WeekHIGH SCORING POWH (over70.5) Idaho/ UNLV

Phil Steele’s

SPECIAL PLAYS OF THE WEEK

Other Wk Two GamesOther matchupsIdaho St at Utah St (Thurs)Northern Colorado at FloridaEastern Kentucky at KentuckyChattanooga at LSUUT Martin at Ole MissIndiana St at TennesseeAlabama A&M at VanderbiltAbliene Christian at Colorado StGardner-Webb at WyomingAlcorn State at FIUTowson at Maryland Jacksonville St at Georgia Tech

H

Villanova at TempleSavannah St at Appalachian StAustin Peay at Miami, OhEastern Illinois at Northern IllinoisHoward at Kent StDelaware at Virginia TechWeber State at CaliforniaNew Hampshire at Georgia SouthernAlabama St at TroySouth Dakota at Bowling GreenSouthern at Southern MissNicholls at Texas A&MArkansas-Pine Bluff at AkronMontana at Washington

377 AUBURN 7:00 p.m. ESPN378 CLEMSON 379 GEORGIA 7:30 p.m. NBC380 NOTRE DAME 381 MISSISSIPPI STATE 7:30 p.m. CBSC 382 LOUISIANA TECH 383 OKLAHOMA 7:30 p.m. ABC384 OHIO STATE 385 MEMPHIS 8:00 p.m. ESPNN386 UCF 387 STANFORD 8:30 p.m.388 USC 389 UNLV 9:00 p.m.390 IDAHO 391 MINNESOTA 10:00 p.m.392 OREGON STATE 393 SAN DIEGO STATE 10:00 p.m.394 HARIZONA STATE 395 UTAH 10:15 p.m.396 BYU 397 HOUSTON 10:30 p.m.398 ARIZONA 399 BOISE STATE 10:30 p.m.400 WASHINGTON STATE

HIGH SCORING

POW

HH

HH

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 8thOfficial - recOrds -rOtatiOn # All times Are et. tV stAtions & times subject to chAnge

301 OHIO 8:00 p.m. 302 PURDUE 303 OKLAHOMA ST 8:00 p.m. ESPN2304 SOUTH ALABAMA

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 9th305 FAU 12:00 p.m.306 WISCONSIN307 BUFFALO 12:00 p.m. CBSC308 ARMY309 WESTERN MICHIGAN 12:00 p.m.310 MICHIGAN STATE 311 EASTERN MICHIGAN 12:00 p.m.312 RUTGERS 313 ODU 12:00 p.m.314 MASSACHUSETTS315 NORTHWESTERN 12:00 p.m. espnU316 DUKE 317 USF 12:00 p.m. ESPNN318 CONNECTICUT 319 EAST CAROLINA 12:00 p.m.320 WEST VIRGINIA 321 CINCINNATI 12:00 p.m.322 MICHIGAN323 LOUISVILLE 12:00 p.m.324 NORTH CAROLINA 325 CHARLOTTE 12:00 p.m.326 KANSAS ST 327 IOWA 12:00 p.m.328 IOWA ST329 WAKE FOREST 1:00 p.m.330 HBOSTON COLLEGE 331 HNEW MEXICO ST 2:00 p.m.332 NEW MEXICO333 RICE 2:00 p.m.334 UTEP

335 TEXAS ST 2:00 p.m.336 COLORADO 337 UAB 3:00 p.m. 338 BALL ST 339 MIDDLE TENNESSEE 3:30 p.m. 340 SYRACUSE 341 INDIANA 3:30 p.m. 342 VIRGINIA 343 PITTSBURGH 3:30 p.m. 344 PENN STATE345 FRESNO ST 3:30 p.m. espn2346 ALABAMA 347 TULANE 3:30 p.m. CBS348 NAVY 349 WKU 3:30 p.m.350 ILLINOIS 351 UTSA 3:30 p.m.352 BAYLOR353 HAWAII 3:30 p.m.354 UCLA 355 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 3:30 p.m.356 KANSAS 357 NEBRASKA 3:30 p.m.358 OREGON359 MIAMI, FL 3:30 p.m. ESPNU360 ARKANSAS STATE 361 SAN JOSE STATE 3:30 p.m. 362 TEXAS 363 TCU 3:30 p.m. CBS364 ARKANSAS 365 LOUISIANA 4:00 p.m. 366 TULSA367 MARSHALL 6:00 p.m.368 NC STATE 369 TOLEDO 7:00 p.m.370 HNEVADA371 ULM 7:00 p.m.372 HFLORIDA ST 373 SOUTH CAROLINA 7:00 p.m. espn2374 MISSOURI 375 NORTH TEXAS 7:00 p.m.376 SMU

Page 2: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 109 9/2 59-0 W 94 66 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 111 123 16 9/2 28-35 L 79 62 79 19 17 341-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 111 9/8 87 47 22 83 63 79 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 113 109 9/8 83 63 79 87 47 22

1-0 0-0 108 9/16 89 94 100 1-0 0-0 117 9/16 12 64 771-0 0-0 106 9/23 94 80 51 #30 #122 1-0 0-0 125 9/23 44 9 370-2 0-0 98 9/30 100 110 72 #101 #36 9/301-0 0-0 106 10/7 71 89 110 #72 #98 1-0 0-0 123 10/7 86 46 40-1 0-0 106 10/14 113 122 65 #11 #80 1-0 0-0 137 10/14 41 11 380-1 0-0 102 10/21 130 114 114 #1 #109 0-1 0-0 102 10/21 99 76 690-1 0-0 116 10/31 97 83 92 #13 #76 1-0 0-0 115 10/28 50 32 421-0 0-0 112 11/8 49 73 56 #9 #121 1-0 0-0 104 11/4 96 93 990-1 0-0 101 11/14 117 97 94 #6 #112 1-0 0-0 124 11/11 26 28 115

11/18 #1 #98 1-0 0-0 120 11/18 68 23 400-1 0-0 99 11/24 123 108 125 #27 #116 0-1 0-1 113 11/25 85 42 32

#19 #116+1 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Hampton 59-0 312 15 1 22 53-248 4.7 13-19 172 0 7 32-47 1.5 6-24 61 3 † Louisville 28-35 -180 -2 -1 25 21-51 2.4 33-57 293 4 27 33-146 4.4 30-46 378 0at Purdue Ohio Kansas at Missouriat Eastern Michigan Michiganat UMass Bye Central Michigan Minnesotaat Bowling Green at Wisconsin Kent St at Rutgers Miami, OH Nebraska Toledo Illinoisat Akron at Northwestern Bye at Iowaat Buffalo Indiana

Average 59-0 312.0 15.0 1.0 22 53-248 4.7 68.4% 172 0.0% 7 32-47 1.5 25.0% 61 12.5% Average 28-35 -180.0 -2.0 -1.0 25 21-51 2.4 57.9% 293 7.0% 27 33-146 4.4 65.2% 378 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

Hampton Quinton Maxwell 7-9-100-1-1 AJ Ouellette 12-63-5.3-0 Cameron Odom 4-75-18.8-0 † Louisville David Blough 18-26-175-2-2 Tario Fuller 8-29-3.6-0 Jackson Anthrop 7-82-11.7-2at Purdue Ohio Kansas vs. at Missouriat Eastern Michigan Michiganat UMass Bye Central Michigan vs. Minnesotaat Bowling Green at Wisconsin Kent St at Rutgers Miami, OH vs. Nebraska Toledo Illinoisat Akron at Northwestern Bye vs. at Iowaat Buffalo Indiana

vs.

Quinton Maxwell 7-9-100-1-1 AJ Ouellette 12-63-5.3-0 Cameron Odom 4-75-18.8-0 David Blough 18-26-175-2-2 Tario Fuller 8-29-3.6-0 Jackson Anthrop 7-82-11.7-2Nathan Rourke 6-10-72-0-0 Nathan Rourke 6-50-8.3-3 Papi White 3-35-11.7-1 vs. Elijah Sindelar 15-31-118-2-1 DJ Knox 4-25-6.3-0 Gregory Phillips 7-59.1-8.4-0

Dorian Brown 10-49-4.9-1 Bryan Long Jr 1-23-23.0-0 David Blough 5-6-1.2-0 Cole Herdman 4-59-14.8-0Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Purdue

Ohio Purdue 413 yards

Ohio 29 points

Team Schedule StrengthOhio Purdue

Purdue

118

76

27 points

360 yardsProjected Final Score

0.22

1.62

Purdue DL

Ohio DL

Ohio ST's

Purdue ST's

Purdue OL

Ohio QB/WR

Purdue DB's

Phil Steele

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

10

5.49

Ohio K

Purdue K

Ohio

Purdue

0.99

39Experience Rankings

Ohio 95 yards

Ohio Purdue

Purdue LB's

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Ohio Coaches

Purdue Coaches

Ohio Pts

Purdue Pts

Phil's Forecast:

Ohio

Purdue Leaders

Last met in 1988. Purdue has won 13 straight home openers by an average score of 43-18 (8 vs FCS). Ohio is 2-10 s/’07 vs current Power 5 schools (won at Penn St to open ‘12 & LY at Kansas). This is the first home game for Brohm as Purdue HC and they have the edge on offense (#83 vs #47) but Ohio has the edge on defense and special teams. Purdue is #39 on my Exp Chart and OU is just #76 and the Big Ten team is at home in a must win situation. QB Elijah Sindelar got the start, was replaced by LY’s st’r Blough, only to be re-inserted after 2 int’s including a pick six. This game goes to the wire and is decided by a FG.

1.55

0.08

0.64

Ohio OL

OffenseNet

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

--PS RANK--TM REC

FOE

FOETM +/- FOE

+/-AP TEAM

TM CONF FOE CONF

Score

Projected Yardage Total

Projected Passing160 yards

Team & Margin

318 yards

By Game Yardage Leaders

Ohio DB's

Purdue

0.91

Rush Def

Score Off

Total DefPass Def

0-1vs. BIG 10

0-00-0

1-0vs. MAC

Pass OffTotal Off

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Oh

io

Bo

bca

ts

Pu

rdu

e B

oil

erm

akers

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

Sks Allowed

NCAA RANKINGS

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Ohio

Rush Off

Purdue

200 yards

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE

Ohio Bobcats Purdue BoilermakersBoilermakers LogsBobcats Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

FOE REC

--PS RANK--TM +/-

TEAMFOE +/-

AP

FOE

Purdue 30 Ohio 27

Purdue 29-27

Purdue by 3

0.80

0.07

Ohio LB'S

By 4.51 Points

Purdue RB's

Ohio

Offense Defense

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

RushingPassing

Net

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

Ohio Leaders

Ohio By 2.7

Purdue 413-360

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

Purdue By 4

57 Points

Purdue By 1.5

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Hamptonat Purdue Kansasat Eastern Michiganat UMass Central Michiganat Bowling Green Kent St Miami, OH Toledoat Akron Byeat Buffalo

† Louisville Ohio at Missouri Michigan Bye Minnesotaat Wisconsinat Rutgers Nebraska Illinoisat Northwesternat Iowa Indiana

Position by Position Edges

Purdue QB/WR

0.60

Ohio RB's

Page 3: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 133 116 10 9/2 59-24 W 10 43 98 48 73 53 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 96 116 9/2 27-47 L 121 96 96 28 37 211-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 137 96 11 9/9 5 41 98 118 109 96 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 97 133 11 9/8 118 109 96 5 41 98

1-0 0-0 120 9/16 37 71 28 9/161-0 0-0 123 9/23 10 15 26 #13 #62 1-0 0-0 106 9/23 114 123 1071-0 0-0 120 9/30 40 79 59 #30 #82 1-0 0-0 114 9/30 69 87 44

10/7 #9 #82 10/70-1 0-0 119 10/14 17 53 45 #11 #87 0-1 0-0 105 10/11 98 61 850-1 0-0 118 10/21 16 29 20 #28 #28 0-1 0-0 96 10/21 122 106 1060-1 0-0 118 10/28 27 65 75 #113 #56 0-1 0-0 96 10/26 124 117 1301-0 0-0 139 11/4 2 20 12 #53 #126 1-0 0-0 103 11/4 104 99 801-0 0-0 120 11/11 48 78 29 #88 #114 0-1 0-0 112 11/11 84 55 631-0 0-0 133 11/18 33 68 1 #66 #117 0-1 0-0 95 11/18 125 126 621-0 0-0 108 11/25 89 94 100 #74 #47 11/25

#32 #109 0-1 0-0 102 12/2 56 104 1100 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Tulsa 59-24 208 -1 0 25 37-332 9.0 21-26 308 1 26 60-244 4.1 20-38 188 1 at Mississippi 27-47 -157 2 1 25 37-170 4.6 19-31 204 1 23 29-102 3.5 28-35 429 2at South Alabama Oklahoma Stat Pittsburgh Alabama A&M TCU Idahoat Texas Tech at Louisiana Tech Bye Bye Baylor at Troyat Texas ULMat West Virginia at Georgia St Oklahoma Louisianaat Iowa St Arkansas St Kansas St at GA Southern Kansas Bye

at New Mexico St

Average 59-24 208.0 -1.0 0.0 25 37-332 9.0 80.8% 308 3.8% 26 60-244 4.1 52.6% 188 2.6% Average 27-47 -157.0 2.0 1.0 25 37-170 4.6 61.3% 204 3.2% 23 29-102 3.5 80.0% 429 5.7% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

Tulsa Mason Rudolph 20-24-303-3-0 Justice Hill 15-132-8.8-1 James Washington 6-145-24.2-2 at Mississippi Cole Garvin 19-31-204-1-0 Tra Minter 12-83-6.9-0 Sa'Mory Collier 4-43-10.8-0at South Alabama Oklahoma Stat Pittsburgh vs. Alabama A&M TCU Idahoat Texas Tech at Louisiana Tech Bye vs. Bye Baylor at Troyat Texas ULMat West Virginia vs. at Georgia St Oklahoma Louisianaat Iowa St Arkansas St Kansas St vs. at GA Southern Kansas Bye

at New Mexico Stvs.

Mason Rudolph 20-24-303-3-0 Justice Hill 15-132-8.8-1 James Washington 6-145-24.2-2 Cole Garvin 19-31-204-1-0 Tra Minter 12-83-6.9-0 Sa'Mory Collier 4-43-10.8-0Taylor Cornelius 1-2-5-0-0 J.D King 6-95-15.8-1 Marcell Ateman 4-75-18.8-0 vs. Xavier Johnson 11-33-3.0-0 Jamarius Way 2-42-21.0-1

LD Brown 5-92-18.4-1 Tyron Johnson 1-44-44.0-1 Denzel Foster 2-25-12.5-0 Sam Harris 3-41-13.7-0Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

So

uth

Ala

bam

a J

ag

uars

Offense

Passing

Las Vegas LineOklahoma St By 28

Net Defense

Okla

ho

ma S

t C

ow

bo

ys

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

By Game Yardage Leaders

Kansas St Score Def at GA Southern Kansas Sks By Bye

Oklahoma Pass Def Louisianaat Iowa St Total Def Arkansas St

at Texas Sks Allowed ULMat West Virginia Rush Def at Georgia St

Bye Total Off Bye Baylor Score Off at Troy

TCU Rush Off Idahoat Texas Tech Pass Off at Louisiana Tech

Tulsa 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Mississippiat South Alabama

Oklahoma St South Alabama Oklahoma St

at Pittsburgh Alabama A&M

TEAM

South Alabama JaguarsCowboys Logs vs. BIG 12 vs. SUN Jaguars Logs

TEAM --PS RANK--TM REC FOE

RECFOETM

CONFTM CONF

--PS RANK--FOE CONF

TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

FOE FOEFOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-APFOE

REC0-0 0-0FOE

TM RECNCAA RANKINGS

Defense

Score Score

Ypg Diff

Net Offense

at New Mexico StTotal TO's

Rushing Receiving ReceivingPassing Rushing

Oklahoma St South Alabama

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

South Alabama RB's

0.43Oklahoma St LB'S

South Alabama QB/WR

0.68Oklahoma St DB's

South Alabama Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)Projected Box Score 0.41

Oklahoma St ST's

South Alabama ST's

Oklahoma St Leaders

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Las Vegas Total

Phil SteeleOklahoma St by 24

Team & Margin Phil's Forecast:

Computer Points

66.5 Points

+/- Ratings

Computer YardsOklahoma St 559-366

Projected Passing365 yards

0.60

Oklahoma St South Alabama 206 yards

South Alabama 160 yards194 yards Oklahoma St

559 yards Oklahoma St

Oklahoma St K

South Alabama K

0.90

Oklahoma St Coaches

South Alabama

Projected Rushing

366 yards South Alabama Coaches

Oklahoma St By 37.0

Game GradeOklahoma St By 19.8

Projected Yardage Total

Team Schedule Strength

Oklahoma St Pts

0.60

South Alabama PtsOklahoma St 20 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score9.5641 points South Alabama

Experience Rankings

52 Oklahoma St South Alabama 22

25 Oklahoma St 87South Alabama

1.97

Oklahoma St RB's

South Alabama DB's

3.15

Oklahoma St QB/WR

South Alabama LB's

South Alabama DL

1.41

Oklahoma St OL

Oklahoma St DL

0.60

South Alabama OL

Oklahoma St 41-20

Oklahoma St 44 South Alabama 20By 8.96 Points

Oklahoma St

First mtg. South Alabama is 36-15 (71%) hosting teams at Ladd-Peebles Stadium. LPS is also home to the Dollar General Bowl & Senior Bowl. OSU is off Tulsa with a road trip to Pitt on deck. South Alabama does well in this role and last year upset both Miss St and San Diego St. but with 11 ret strs they are #87 on my Exp Chart and OSU is #25 with the potent trio of QB Rudolph, RB Hill and WR Washington. USA only trailed Ole Miss 13-10 at half but down 47-13 got two late td’s to only lose by 20. Cole Garvin took over at QB for SAla and hit 19-31-104.

OVERALL:1-0 0-1Oklahoma St Cowboys OVERALL:

Page 4: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 97 117 9/1 19-42 L 64 113 93 84 101 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 104 9 9/1 59-10 W 46 10 38 118 109 1010-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 96 137 9 9/9 76 119 93 41 11 38 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 139 97 9 9/9 41 11 38 76 119 93

9/16 1-1 0-1 121 9/16 73 33 150-1 0-0 99 9/23 123 108 125 #126 #40 9/230-1 0-0 98 9/30 92 90 50 #39 #57 1-0 0-0 124 9/30 26 28 1151-0 0-0 107 10/7 90 105 54 #103 #48 1-0 0-0 115 10/7 50 32 42

10/14 #106 #11 0-1 0-0 111 10/14 83 63 791-0 0-0 98 10/21 102 98 81 #67 #93 1-0 0-0 106 10/21 45 40 351-0 0-0 124 10/28 78 74 2 #127 #44 1-0 0-0 104 10/28 96 93 991-0 0-0 99 11/3 93 43 55 #23 #70 0-1 0-1 113 11/4 85 42 321-0 0-0 114 11/11 69 87 44 #113 #45 1-0 0-0 120 11/11 68 23 400-1 0-0 103 11/18 115 111 82 #109 #26 1-0 0-0 125 11/18 44 9 370-1 0-0 90 11/25 120 118 123 #116 #74 1-0 0-0 123 11/25 86 46 4

#117 #390 +2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Navy 19-42 -200 -7 0 16 24-40 1.7 21-33 286 2 23 68-416 6.1 3-10 110 0 Utah St 59-10 174 9 2 25 45-234 5.2 15-23 244 3 16 27-85 3.1 25-41 219 1at Wisconsin Florida Atlantic Bethune-Cookman at BYUat Buffalo Bye Middle Tennessee Northwesternat Old Dominion at Nebraska Bye Purdue North Texas Marylandat WKU at Illinois Marshall at Indianaat Louisiana Tech Iowa FIU Michiganat Charlotte at Minnesota

Average 19-42 -200.0 -7.0 0.0 16 24-40 1.7 63.6% 286 6.1% 23 68-416 6.1 30.0% 110 0.0% Average 59-10 174.0 9.0 2.0 25 45-234 5.2 65.2% 244 13.0% 16 27-85 3.1 61.0% 219 2.4% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 59-10 174.0 9.0 2.0 25 45-234 5.2 65.2% 244 13.0% 16 27-85 3.1 61.0% 219 2.4%

Navy Daniel Parr 19-30-281-2-1 Kerrith Whyte 6-36-6.0-0 Willie Wright 3-92-30.7-1 Utah St Alex Hornibrook 15-23-244-3-0 Jonathan Taylor 9-87-9.7-1 Troy Fumagalli 5-105-21.0-1at Wisconsin Florida Atlantic Bethune-Cookman vs. at BYUat Buffalo Bye Middle Tennessee Northwesternat Old Dominion vs. at Nebraska Bye Purdue North Texas Marylandat WKU vs. at Illinois Marshall at Indianaat Louisiana Tech Iowa FIU vs. Michiganat Charlotte at Minnesota

vs.

Daniel Parr 19-30-281-2-1 Kerrith Whyte 6-36-6.0-0 Willie Wright 3-92-30.7-1 Alex Hornibrook 15-23-244-3-0 Jonathan Taylor 9-87-9.7-1 Troy Fumagalli 5-105-21.0-1De'Andre Johnson 2-3-5-0-1 De'Andre Johnson 4-31-7.8-0 DeAndre McNeal 4-88-22.0-1 vs. Bradrick Shaw 18-84-4.7-1 A.J Taylor 3-38-12.7-0

Devin Singletary 6-26-4.3-0 Harrison Bryant 2-50-25.0-0 Garrett Groshek 2-29-14.5-1 Quintez Cephus 3-33-11.0-1Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

FOE +/-

AP

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FAU Leaders

OffenseNet

Rushing Receiving

0.08

Wisconsin DB's

0.86

Wisconsin DL

Net OffenseDefense

Total TO's

FAU

Ow

ls

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

at Charlotte Sks By at MinnesotaYpg Diff

at Louisiana Tech Total Def Iowa FIU Score Def Michigan

at WKU Rush Def at Illinois Marshall Pass Def at Indiana

Bye Score Off Purdue North Texas Sks Allowed Maryland

Pass Off Northwesternat Old Dominion Total Off at Nebraska

at WisconsinFAU

at Buffalo Rush Off

Wisconsin

Navy 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Utah St

TM REC FOE REC

vs. CUSA vs. BIG 10 Badgers Logs

FAU OwlsOwls Logs

FOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM +/-

FOE 0-0

Defense

TM CONF--PS RANK-- FOETEAM

at BYU Bye

Florida Atlantic

FOE +/-

FOE CONF

Score

0-0 TM REC FOE REC

Score

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/-

Bethune-Cookman

Middle Tennessee

Wis

con

sin

Bad

gers

FAU QB/WR

By Game Yardage Leaders

FAU

Receiving

Wisconsin

Passing RushingPosition by Position Edges

1.72

Wisconsin OL

1.78

Wisconsin LB's

FAU RB's

FAU OL

FAU DL

1.94

Wisconsin RB's

FAU LB'S

31 yards FAUProjected Rushing

FAU Wisconsin

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

FAU

Projected Passing

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

255 yards228 yards

319 yards

Projected Yardage Total

Wisconsin

11 points

1 FAU Wisconsin 33

Wisconsin 574 yards

46 points Wisconsin 574-259

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Wisconsin By 31.5Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total58.5 Points

+/- RatingsWisconsin By 48.3

Wisconsin By 40.1

9.92

Wisconsin 46-11

Projected Final Score

By 9.92 Points

Phil Steele44 FAU Wisconsin 75

Team Schedule Strength

0.00

FAU Pts

Experience RankingsWisconsin

Wisconsin Pts

259 yards FAU

Wisconsin

Wisconsin Coaches

Wisconsin by 35 Wisconsin 45 FAU 10

Wisconsin Badgers0-1 1-0OVERALL:OVERALL:

Phil's Forecast:

Wisconsin Leaders

0.66

FAU ST's Team & Margin

Wisconsin ST's

FAU DB's1.34

Wisconsin QB/WR

First meeting. Last year Wisconsin struggled with a Sun Belt team in Georgia St being held to just 3.8 ypc rush and winning by 6 as a 5 td favorite. FAU is the most experienced team in the country and playing with a new attitude under Lane Kiffin. Wisconsin has 15 ret starters and is #33 on my Exp Chart. FAU did allow 5.5 ypc rush in ‘16 and just faced the Navy option last week and Wisconsin has a different type of run based offense with bigger OL’s and FAU Dline avg’s just 265 lbs per man. FAU let me down last week and still figure to flirt with a bowl. I had Wisconsin by 35 prior to the year and will stick with it. Badgers do have a trip to BYU on deck.

Game Grade

0.80

FAU Coaches

0.75

Wisconsin K

FAU K

Page 5: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 99 123 8/31 7-17 L 123 110 125 85 57 4 0-0 0-0 110 9/1 64-6 W 62 100 1160-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 102 110 9/9 123 108 125 42 92 116 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 115 99 9/9 42 92 116 123 108 125

9/16 1-0 1-0 135 9/16 3 2 460-1 0-0 97 9/23 76 119 93 #122 #2 1-0 0-0 107 9/23 80 81 770-1 0-0 102 9/30 130 114 114 #77 #130 0-1 0-0 93 9/30 126 125 1170-1 0-0 118 10/7 108 72 85 #114 #34 0-1 0-0 102 10/7 121 107 850-1 0-0 109 10/14 103 86 75 #121 #4 1-0 0-0 106 10/14 94 80 510-1 0-0 116 10/21 97 83 92 #28 #1 0-1 0-0 116 10/21 95 77 230-1 0-0 101 10/28 117 97 94 #91 #27 10/280-1 0-0 106 11/7 113 122 65 #81 #82 1-0 0-0 105 11/4 54 116 13

11/8 #82 #46 1-0 0-0 119 11/11 51 51 1100-1 0-0 101 11/16 109 124 59 #45 #12 1-0 0-0 98 11/18 102 98 811-0 0-0 109 11/24 87 47 22 #116 #27 11/25

#105 #33 1-0 0-0 117 12/9 70 84 410 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Minnesota 7-17 -146 -8 0 13 22-51 2.3 22-42 211 1 21 51-169 3.3 19-32 239 0 Fordham 64-6 207 2 0 22 47-513 10.9 0-2 0 0 20 34-66 1.9 28-41 240 3at Army West Point Buffalo Colgate at Ohio St Florida Atlantic at Tulane at Kent St UTEP Western Michigan at Rice Northern Illinois Eastern Michiganat Miami, OH Templeat Akron Bye Bowling Green at Air Force Bye Dukeat Ball St at North Texas Ohio Bye

† Navy

Average 7-17 -146.0 -8.0 0.0 13 22-51 2.3 52.4% 211 2.4% 21 51-169 3.3 59.4% 239 0.0% Average 64-6 207.0 2.0 0.0 22 47-513 10.9 0.0% 0 0.0% 20 34-66 1.9 68.3% 240 7.3% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 7-17 -146.0 -8.0 0.0 13 22-51 2.3 52.4% 211 2.4% 21 51-169 3.3 59.4% 239 0.0% Home 64-6 207.0 2.0 0.0 22 47-513 10.9 0.0% 0 0.0% 20 34-66 1.9 68.3% 240 7.3%

at Minnesota Tyree Jackson 22-42-211-1-1 Johnathan Hawkins 10-21-2.1-0 Anthony Johnson 11-140-12.7-1 Fordham Ahmad Bradshaw 0-2-0-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 9-177-19.7-2 Noneat Army West Point Buffalo Colgate vs. at Ohio St Florida Atlantic at Tulane at Kent St UTEP Western Michigan vs. at Rice Northern Illinois Eastern Michiganat Miami, OH Templeat Akron vs. Bye Bowling Green at Air Force Bye Dukeat Ball St vs. at North Texas Ohio Bye

† Navyvs.

Tyree Jackson 22-42-211-1-1 Johnathan Hawkins 10-21-2.1-0 Anthony Johnson 11-140-12.7-1 Ahmad Bradshaw 0-2-0-0-0 Ahmad Bradshaw 9-177-19.7-2 ---Tyree Jackson 7-17-2.4-0 Jacob Martinez 4-28-7.0-0 vs. Darnell Woolfolk 10-95-9.5-1 ---Emmanuel Reed 4-10-2.5-0 Antonio Nunn 2-23-11.5-0 Calen Holt 3-39-13.0-0 ---

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Buffalo - 52 23 13 33-87

Army West Point - -13.5 20 21 67-396 -1

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Buffalo - 52 39 33 29-153

Army West Point - -3 47 17 54-341 1

vs.

vs.

FOE +/-

99 yards

384 yards

Receiving

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

62 Buffalo Army

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Buffalo Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

20-31-178

4-10-48

Comp-Att-Yds

35-51-401

Offense Defense

Bu

ffalo

Bu

lls

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Arm

y B

lack

Kn

igh

ts

Net Offense

Ypg Diff † NavyTotal TO's

at Ball St Score Def at North Texas Ohio Sks By Bye

Bowling Green Pass Def at Air Force Bye Total Def Duke

at Miami, OH Sks Allowed Templeat Akron Rush Def Bye

Western Michigan Total Off at Rice Northern Illinois Score Off Eastern Michigan

Florida Atlantic Rush Off at Tulane at Kent St Pass Off UTEP

at Army West PointBuffalo Army

Buffalo Colgate at Ohio St

at Minnesota 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Fordham

vs. MAC vs. IND0-1

OVERALL:Buffalo BullsBlack Knights Logs

1-0 Army Black KnightsOVERALL:

AP

Bulls Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/- TM CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS

0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE FOE

FOEFOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing RushingRushing

Net

Buffalo OL

Army DL

Buffalo RB's

0.66

Army LB's

0.52

Army Leaders

Team & Margin

Buffalo DL

2.44

Army OL

Las Vegas Line

Army By 16.0

Army By 24.6

+/- Ratings

Game Grade

Phil's Forecast:

Army By 16.5

49 PointsLas Vegas Total

Computer YardsArmy 483-322

122 yards BuffaloProjected Passing

Projected Rushing0.53

Buffalo K

ArmyArmy K

322 yards Buffalo Army 483 yards

200 yards BuffaloProjected Yardage Total

Army1.00

7.92

Buffalo Coaches

Army Coaches

1.49

Buffalo Pts

Army Pts34 points

Experience Rankings

Projected Final Score16 points Buffalo Army

8 Army 34-16

Team Schedule StrengthPhil Steele

39 Buffalo Army 95 Army by 18

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Army 34 Buffalo 16By 6.44 Points

Army

Last year Army led 10-0 at HT & 20-6 into the 4Q. UB got B2B td drives of 66/8pl & 62/13pl to tie it w/2:26 left. Army’s 34 yd fg w/:03 was wide. In OT Army missed a 43 yd fg while UB 5pl later hit a 33 yd GW. Buffalo is on a 2nd straight road game and Army their 2nd straight at home but Buffalo was able to sneak in some prep for the option in August. Army had a 444-265 yard edge LY and is #9 on my Exp Chart and Buffalo is #62 plus Army is playing with revenge. Buffalo was 1-5 as an away dog last year and lost their road games by 27 ppg.

Army

0.44

Buffalo QB/WR

Army DB's

Buffalo

Army ST's

1.71

Army RB's

Buffalo DB's0.81

Army QB/WR

1.30

Buffalo ST's

Buffalo LB'S

7-7-125

Page 6: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 137 4 9/2 31-49 L 106 59 85 5 6 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 106 9/2 35-10 W 67 60 118 99 118 650-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 112 9/9 108 72 85 58 35 118 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 115 118 9/9 58 35 118 108 72 85

1-0 0-0 106 9/16 114 123 107 9/169/23 #25 #49 1-0 0-0 130 9/23 7 24 49

0-1 0-0 101 9/30 109 124 59 #122 #54 1-0 0-0 120 9/30 68 23 400-1 0-0 99 10/7 123 108 125 #92 #54 1-0 0-0 125 10/7 44 9 370-1 0-0 101 10/14 117 97 94 #64 #58 1-0 0-0 123 10/14 86 46 41-0 0-0 106 10/21 94 80 51 #28 #28 0-1 0-1 113 10/21 85 42 32

10/28 #108 #28 1-0 0-0 124 10/28 26 28 1151-0 0-0 106 11/1 71 89 110 #99 #33 1-0 0-0 137 11/4 4 12 80-1 0-0 102 11/8 130 114 114 #111 #19 1-0 1-0 135 11/11 3 2 460-1 0-0 109 11/15 103 86 75 #120 #26 1-0 0-0 106 11/18 45 40 351-0 0-0 112 11/24 49 73 56 #47 #74 0-1 0-0 102 11/25 99 76 69

#113 #25+1 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at USC 31-49 -164 -1 1 24 48-263 5.5 12-23 94 1 25 34-232 6.8 23-33 289 2 Bowling Green 35-10 253 16 -2 25 46-215 4.7 22-36 250 1 9 24-67 2.8 10-31 145 1at Michigan St Western Michigan Idaho Bye Wagner Notre Dame Ball St Iowaat Buffalo at Michigan Akron at Minnesotaat Eastern Michigan Indiana Bye at Northwestern Central Michigan Penn St Kent St at Ohio Stat Northern Illinois Marylandat Toledo at Rutgers

Average 31-49 -164.0 -1.0 1.0 24 48-263 5.5 52.2% 94 4.3% 25 34-232 6.8 69.7% 289 6.1% Average 35-10 253.0 16.0 -2.0 25 46-215 4.7 61.1% 250 2.8% 9 24-67 2.8 32.3% 145 3.2% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 31-49 -164.0 -1.0 1.0 24 48-263 5.5 52.2% 94 4.3% 25 34-232 6.8 69.7% 289 6.1% Home 35-10 253.0 16.0 -2.0 25 46-215 4.7 61.1% 250 2.8% 9 24-67 2.8 32.3% 145 3.2%

at USC Jon Wassink 11-22-67-0-1 LeVant Bellamy 9-102-11.3-0 Anton Curtis 3-30-10.0-0 Bowling Green Brian Lewerke 22-33-250-3-0 Brian Lewerke 8-69-8.6-0 Darrell Stewart 6-85-14.2-0at Michigan St Western Michigan Idaho vs. Bye Wagner Notre Dame Ball St Iowaat Buffalo vs. at Michigan Akron at Minnesotaat Eastern Michigan Indiana Bye vs. at Northwestern Central Michigan Penn St Kent St at Ohio Stat Northern Illinois vs. Marylandat Toledo at Rutgers

vs.

Jon Wassink 11-22-67-0-1 LeVant Bellamy 9-102-11.3-0 Anton Curtis 3-30-10.0-0 Brian Lewerke 22-33-250-3-0 Brian Lewerke 8-69-8.6-0 Darrell Stewart 6-85-14.2-0Keishaw Watson 1-1-27-1-0 Jamauri Bogan 15-77-5.1-1 Jon Wassink 1-27-27.0-1 vs. Damion Terry 0-3-0-0-0 Madre London 10-54-5.4-1 Trishton Jackson 3-41-13.7-0

Jarvi Franklin 12-40-3.3-0 Don Ernsberger 3-15-5.0-0 Gerald Holmes 9-40-4.4-0 Felton Davis 4-35-8.8-2Category

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Western Michigan - 55 24 22 23-18

Michigan St 5 -17 37 26 40-196 1

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Western Michigan - 44.5 13 14 27-11

Michigan St - -28 26 18 42-181 3

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

W M

ich

igan

Bro

nco

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Mic

hig

an

St

Sp

art

an

s

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

at Northern Illinois Score Def Marylandat Toledo Sks By at Rutgers

Central Michigan Pass Def Penn St Kent St Total Def at Ohio St

at Eastern Michigan Sks Allowed Indiana Bye Rush Def at Northwestern

at Buffalo Total Off at Michigan Akron Score Off at Minnesota

Wagner Rush Off Notre Dame Ball St Pass Off Iowa

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Bowling Greenat Michigan St

W Michigan Michigan St Western Michigan

Idaho Bye

at USC

OVERALL: OVERALL: Michigan St Spartans0-1 1-0vs. MAC vs. BIG 10 Spartans Logs

--PS RANK--TM CONF

NCAA RANKINGSFOE CONF TM +/-0-0 FOE

FOE FOE

FOE FOE +/-

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM REC FOE

RECTEAM0-0

Defense

Score Score

TM +/- FOE +/-

APFOE CONF

TM CONF

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing Receiving

W Michigan Michigan St

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Rushing

W Michigan QB/WR

1.32

Michigan St DB's

0.06

W Michigan RB's

Michigan St LB's

0.42

W Michigan OL

Michigan St DL

W Michigan DL

1.20

Michigan St OL

W Michigan Leaders

Projected Rushing200 yards

0.87

Michigan St RB's

W Michigan LB'S

33-50-365

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

0.20 Michigan St Leaders

0.50

W Michigan ST's

Michigan St ST's

W Michigan DB's

Michigan St QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

Experience Rankings

Projected Final Score23 points

Phil's Forecast:

Game Grade

Team & Margin

Michigan St By 7

52 PointsLas Vegas Total

Computer Yards1.47

W Michigan Pts

6.59

3.00

123 yards

W Michigan By 2.8

+/- RatingsMichigan St By 0.3

Michigan St

Michigan St

435 yards

194 yards

317 yards W Michigan

Michigan St K

Projected Yardage Total235 yardsW Michigan

Projected Passing

Michigan St Coaches

W Michigan Michigan St 29 points

0.50W MichiganW Michigan K

Michigan St

W Michigan Coaches

Michigan St113 129

Michigan St by 769Team Schedule Strength

7 W Michigan Michigan St

W Michigan

Michigan St 30 Western Michigan 23By 5.12 Points

Michigan St 29-23

Phil SteeleMichigan St

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Michigan St Pts

The Spartans are 12-2 vs the Broncos w/the last series loss in 1919. MSU won the L/mtg (‘15) 37-24. MSU jumped out to a 27-7 lead w/8:00 2Q, closest WM got the rest of the gm was 10 pts. While Mich St has just 8 ret starters and is #129 on my Exp Chart, WMich is not much further ahead at #113 and they have a new head coach. Mich St was stronger than their 3-9 record and will be well motivated for their state rival that played in the Cotton Bowl last year. WMich just traveled to USC and now go on the road again. Both teams were stronger than I expected last week with WM only trailing USC 35-31 with 4:00 to go and held Sam Darnold without a td pass. Mich St mauled Bowling Green with a 27-9 FD edge.

Michigan St 435-317

18-48-193

17-37-116

Comp-Att-Yds

W Michigan BroncosBroncos Logs

TM REC FOE REC

15-31-256

Comp-Att-Yds

Page 7: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 106 90 9/1 24-7 W 95 78 51 122 120 123 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 138 8 9/2 14-30 L 104 84 69 6 16 731-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 107 102 9/9 94 80 51 99 76 69 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 106 106 9/9 99 76 69 94 80 51

9/16 9/161-0 0-0 109 9/23 87 47 22 #91 #89 1-0 0-0 115 9/23 50 32 421-0 0-0 121 9/30 64 27 31 #50 #98 1-0 1-0 135 9/30 3 2 461-0 0-0 112 10/7 49 73 56 #79 #104 10/71-0 0-0 110 10/14 42 92 116 #92 #113 1-0 0-0 104 10/14 96 93 990-1 0-0 118 10/21 108 72 85 #28 #28 0-1 0-0 111 10/21 83 63 790-1 0-0 109 10/26 103 86 75 #89 #43 1-0 0-0 125 10/28 44 9 370-1 0-0 101 11/2 109 124 59 #25 #95 1-0 0-0 106 11/4 45 40 351-0 0-0 106 11/8 71 89 110 #41 #67 1-0 0-0 137 11/11 4 12 80-1 0-0 116 11/15 97 83 92 #15 #88 0-1 0-1 113 11/18 85 42 320-1 0-0 106 11/21 113 122 65 #47 #74 1-0 0-0 112 11/25 58 35 118

#57 #93+1 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Charlotte 24-7 113 6 1 19 41-126 3.1 22-31 267 1 13 35-166 4.7 12-29 114 2 Washington 14-30 -59 2 -2 19 42-131 3.1 24-35 178 1 17 24-84 3.5 17-30 284 1at Rutgers Eastern Michigan Bye Morgan St Ohio at Nebraskaat Kentucky Ohio Stat Toledo Byeat Army West Point at Illinois Western Michigan Purdueat Northern Illinois at Michigan Ball St † Marylandat Central Michigan at Penn Stat Miami, OH at Indiana Bowling Green Michigan St

Average 24-7 113.0 6.0 1.0 19 41-126 3.1 71.0% 267 3.2% 13 35-166 4.7 41.4% 114 6.9% Average 14-30 -59.0 2.0 -2.0 19 42-131 3.1 68.6% 178 2.9% 17 24-84 3.5 56.7% 284 3.3% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 14-30 -59.0 2.0 -2.0 19 42-131 3.1 68.6% 178 2.9% 17 24-84 3.5 56.7% 284 3.3%

Charlotte Brogan Roback 22-31-267-0-1 Shaq Vann 23-90-3.9-0 Sergio Bailey 5-78-15.6-0 Washington Kyle Bolin 24-34-178-2-2 Gus Edwards 24-79-3.3-0 Damon Mitchell 4-46-11.5-0at Rutgers Eastern Michigan Bye vs. Morgan St Ohio at Nebraskaat Kentucky Ohio Stat Toledo vs. Byeat Army West Point at Illinois Western Michigan Purdueat Northern Illinois vs. at Michigan Ball St † Marylandat Central Michigan at Penn Stat Miami, OH vs. at Indiana Bowling Green Michigan St

vs.

Brogan Roback 22-31-267-0-1 Shaq Vann 23-90-3.9-0 Sergio Bailey 5-78-15.6-0 Kyle Bolin 24-34-178-2-2 Gus Edwards 24-79-3.3-0 Damon Mitchell 4-46-11.5-0Ian Eriksen 7-37-5.3-2 Antoine Porter 3-74-24.7-0 vs. TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Robert Martin 13-55-4.2-0 Dacoven Bailey 3-42-14.0-1Blake Banham 2-2-1.0-0 Johnnie Niupalau 3-32-10.7-0 Raheem Blackshear 3-9-3.0-0 Jerome Washington 6-36-6.0-0

Category

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.E Michigan - 51.5 10 21 40-38

Rutgers - -28 28 12 29-185 1

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

E M

ich

igan

Eag

les

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ru

tgers

Sca

rlet

Kn

igh

ts

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

at Miami, OH Score Def at Indiana Bowling Green Sks By Michigan St

Ball St Pass Def † Marylandat Central Michigan Total Def at Penn St

Western Michigan Sks Allowed Purdueat Northern Illinois Rush Def at Michigan

at Toledo Total Off Byeat Army West Point Score Off at Illinois

Ohio Rush Off at Nebraskaat Kentucky Pass Off Ohio St

Charlotte 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Washingtonat Rutgers

E Michigan Rutgers Eastern Michigan

Bye Morgan St

TM REC FOE REC

Rutgers Scarlet Knights1-0 0-1Eagles Logs vs. MAC vs. BIG 10 Scarlet Knights Logs

E Michigan Eagles OVERALL: OVERALL:

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/- FOE +/-

FOE --PS RANK--0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF FOE CONFFOE

FOE FOETM +/- FOE

+/-AP

NCAA RANKINGSTEAMTEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

E Michigan Rutgers

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

0.49

E Michigan QB/WR

Rutgers DB's

0.35

E Michigan RB's

Rutgers LB's

E Michigan OL

0.21

Rutgers DL

E Michigan DL

0.15

Rutgers OL

E Michigan DB's0.57

Rutgers QB/WR

E Michigan LB'S0.04

Rutgers RB's

Rutgers Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreE Michigan ST's

0.60

Team & Margin

E Michigan Leaders

Las Vegas Total51 Points

+/- RatingsRutgers By 2.3

Game GradeE Michigan By 7.3

Phil Steele

Rutgers 412-387

143 yards E Michigan Rutgers

244 yards

Experience Rankings25 points E Michigan Rutgers 26 points

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineRutgers ST's Rutgers By 5

Projected Rushing1.03

E Michigan K

171 yardsRutgers KProjected Passing

412 yards

Computer Points

Rutgers Coaches

Computer Yards1.57

Rutgers Pts

81

0.70

E Michigan CoachesE Michigan Rutgers 241 yardsProjected Yardage Total

387 yards E Michigan Rutgers

90 E Michigan Rutgers Rutgers 27 Eastern Michigan 23By 1.00 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Eagles are 1-17 in road openers but in ‘15 at Laramie snapped a string of 16 str losses. Normally a Big Ten team would look past a MAC school but Rutgers was 2-10 last year and EMich was in a bowl. Rutgers was 2-0 vs non Power 5 teams and beat bowl bound New Mexico at home 37-28. EMich is #30 on my Exp Chart and Rutgers just #81. Rutgers offense was woeful last year with just 283 ypg in ’16 but with L’ville transfer QB Kyle Bolin, Miami Fla transfer RB Gus Edwards and the return of star WR Janarion Grant they had 309 yds vs a top 20 defense of Washington.

15

Rutgers 26-25

Team Schedule StrengthE Michigan

Rutgers by 4

Projected Final Score2.57

E Michigan Pts

E Michigan Rutgers30

Comp-Att-Yds

24-40-335

AP

8-13-89

Page 8: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 107 9/2 31-17 W 78 104 54 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 98 103 8/26 35-38 L 109 98 72 87 117 1221-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 105 98 9/9 90 105 54 100 110 72 0-1 0-0 98 92 9/2 28-38 L 100 110 72 130 129 128

0-1 0-0 119 9/16 61 31 63 0-2 1-0 0-0 0-0 95 107 9/9 100 110 72 90 105 541-0 0-0 127 9/23 77 14 18 #96 #98 0-1 0-0 116 9/15 95 77 23

9/30 #91 #23 1-0 0-0 122 9/23 39 39 50-1 0-0 97 10/7 76 119 93 #107 #68 1-0 0-0 109 9/30 87 47 221-0 0-0 99 10/14 93 43 55 #64 #63 10/71-0 0-0 124 10/20 78 74 2 #28 #116 2-0 0-0 120 10/14 53 36 481-0 0-0 98 10/28 102 98 81 #60 #101 0-1 0-0 95 10/21 125 126 620-1 0-0 90 11/4 120 118 123 #41 #79 0-1 0-0 113 10/28 63 66 850-1 0-0 103 11/11 115 111 82 #40 #96 1-0 0-0 117 11/4 34 34 1070-1 0-0 102 11/18 121 107 85 #45 #105 11/110-1 0-0 98 11/25 92 90 50 #4 #27 1-1 0-1 121 11/18 73 33 15

#77 #85-2 -3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Albany 31-17 10 -3 -2 15 31-98 3.2 18-26 187 1 18 41-115 2.8 13-31 160 7 Hawaii 35-38 -90 2 -1 20 41-115 2.8 22-34 298 4 18 35-112 3.2 25-38 391 3at UMass at Coastal Carolina 28-38 40 3 -2 23 26-79 3.0 27-45 362 1 20 47-321 6.8 10-18 80 0 North Carolina Old Dominionat Virginia Tech at Temple Bye at Tennessee Florida Atlantic Ohio at Marshall Bye WKU at USFat North Texas GA Southern Charlotte Appalachian Stat FIU at Miss St Rice † Maineat Middle Tennessee at BYU

Average 31-17 10.0 -3.0 -2.0 15 31-98 3.2 69.2% 187 3.8% 18 41-115 2.8 41.9% 160 22.6% Average 32-38 -25.0 2.5 -1.5 22 34-97 2.9 62.0% 330 6.3% 19 41-217 5.3 62.5% 236 5.4% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 32-38 -25.0 2.5 -1.5 22 34-97 2.9 62.0% 330 6.3% 19 41-217 5.3 62.5% 236 5.4% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 35-38 -90.0 2.0 -1.0 20 41-115 2.8 64.7% 298 11.8% 18 35-112 3.2 65.8% 391 7.9%

Albany Blake Larussa 14-20-161-1-2 Ray Lawry 5-44-8.8-1 Jonathan Duhart 5-97-19.4-1 Hawaii Andrew Ford 21-30-275-2-1 Marquis Young 20-83-4.2-2 Adam Breneman 9-179-19.9-0at UMass at Coastal Carolina Andrew Ford 25-41-316-1-0 Marquis Young 12-40-3.3-2 Adam Breneman 9-126-14.0-0 North Carolina vs. Old Dominionat Virginia Tech at Temple Bye at Tennessee Florida Atlantic vs. Ohio at Marshall Bye WKU at USFat North Texas vs. GA Southern Charlotte Appalachian Stat FIU at Miss St Rice vs. † Maineat Middle Tennessee at BYU

vs.

Blake Larussa 14-20-161-1-2 Ray Lawry 5-44-8.8-1 Jonathan Duhart 5-97-19.4-1 Andrew Ford 46-71-591-3-1 Marquis Young 32-123-3.8-4 Adam Breneman 18-305-16.9-0Jordan Hoy 4-6-26-0-0 Gemonta Jackson 2-29-14.5-1 Jeremy Cox 7-43-6.1-0 vs. Ross Comis 3-8-69-0-0 Andy Isabella 2-25-12.5-1 Andy Isabella 11-141-12.8-2

Jeremy Cox 14-22-1.6-0 Gemonta Jackson 3-22-7.3-0 Ross Comis 4-24-6.0-0 Sadiq Palmer 5-75-15.0-0Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Old Dominion - -8 36 29 47-274

UMass - 53 16 22 34-169 -2

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Old

Do

min

ion

Mo

narc

hs

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

UM

ass

Min

ute

men

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Rice Score Def † Maineat Middle Tennessee Sks By at BYU

Charlotte Pass Def Appalachian Stat FIU Total Def at Miss St

WKU Sks Allowed at USFat North Texas Rush Def GA Southern

Ohio at Marshall Score Off Bye Florida Atlantic Total Off

at Temple Bye Pass Off at Tennesseeat Virginia Tech Rush Off

at UMassOld Dominion UMass

at Coastal Carolina North Carolina Old Dominion

TM REC FOE REC

Hawaii

UMass Minutemen

Albany 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

vs. CUSA vs. IND

Old Dominion Monarchs OVERALL: OVERALL:1-0 0-2

Monarchs Logs Minutemen Logs

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE 0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

FOE

FOE FOEFOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-AP

TM CONFTEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

Old Dominion UMass

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

1.20

Old Dominion QB/WR

UMass DB's

0.61

Old Dominion RB's

UMass LB's

1.08

Old Dominion OL

UMass DL

1.06

Old Dominion DL

UMass OL

Old Dominion LB'S1.12

UMass RB's

Projected Yardage Total429 yards Old Dominion UMass 441 yards

Old Dominion Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

227 yards Old Dominion

20-35-248

UMass K

319 yards

203 yardsProjected Passing

0.55Old Dominion UMass 123 yards

UMass

Projected Rushing

UMass Leaders

Team & Margin

1.42

Old Dominion KLas Vegas Total

UMass QB/WR

Old Dominion DB's

Old Dominion ST's

UMass ST'sLas Vegas Line

Phil's Forecast:

0.05

Just the third series mtg (UMass lost 48-33 in ‘11). Last year UMass trailed 10-0 1Q but after a 73/6pl (11 yd pass) td only was down 22-16 w/5:38 3Q. UMass allowed two 18 yd td runs & was int’d 2x’s 4Q (1 at ODU6) and ODU won at home 36-16 rushing for 274 (5.8). Wilder faced UMass every ssn when he was on the Maine staff (1990-’06) going 5-12. Wilder is 25-17 on the road straight up and last year they beat Charlotte, UTEP and Florida Atlantic on the road by an avg of 21 ppg. UMass had a 441-401 yard edge at Coastal last week and ODU led Albany 24-3 in the 4Q in a 31-17 win.

Old Dominion By 3.5

Old Dominion By 7.5

Old Dominion By 9.8

61 Points

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Umass 441-4294.74

Old Dominion Pts

2.59

UMass PtsComputer Points

Computer Yards

UMass Coaches

0.25

Old Dominion Coaches

UMass 30 pointsProjected Final Score

34 points Old DominionExperience Rankings

Old Dominion UMassTeam Schedule Strength

Old Dominion Phil Steele113 Old Dominion UMass 81

91

Old Dominion by 4 Old Dominion 34 UMass 30By 2.15 Points

56 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Old Dominion 34-30

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

16-33-237

Comp-Att-Yds

Page 9: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 124 108 9/2 31-20 W 24 26 115 90 108 109 0-0 0-0 119 9/2 60-7 W 61 55 1101-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 123 119 9/9 26 28 115 51 51 110 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 123 124 9/9 51 51 110 26 28 115

0-1 0-0 106 9/16 113 122 65 0-1 0-0 119 9/16 17 53 459/23 #68 #35 0-1 0-0 119 9/23 61 31 63

1-0 0-0 137 9/30 41 11 38 #21 #41 1-0 0-0 133 9/29 20 8 161-0 0-0 137 10/7 4 12 8 #37 #30 1-0 0-0 111 10/7 106 57 831-0 0-0 106 10/14 45 40 35 #64 #10 0-1 0-0 138 10/14 28 3 111-0 0-0 120 10/21 68 23 40 #28 #28 1-0 0-0 120 10/21 37 71 281-0 0-0 112 10/28 58 35 118 #75 #26 1-0 0-0 127 10/28 77 14 181-0 0-0 115 11/4 50 32 42 #57 #14 11/40-1 0-0 111 11/11 83 63 79 #56 #10 1-0 0-0 110 11/11 42 92 1161-0 0-0 123 11/18 86 46 4 #56 #15 0-1 0-0 123 11/18 38 56 1051-0 0-0 104 11/25 96 93 99 #116 #27 1-0 0-0 119 11/25 81 59 30

#41 #150 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Nevada 31-20 167 8 0 27 50-156 3.1 28-38 352 1 19 26-142 5.5 16-37 199 0 NC Central 60-7 366 22 1 30 47-243 5.2 26-34 281 1 8 31-64 2.1 11-18 94 3at Duke Northwestern Bowling Green Baylor Bye at North Carolinaat Wisconsin Miami, Fl Penn St at Virginiaat Maryland Florida St Iowa Pittsburgh Michigan St at Virginia Techat Nebraska Bye Purdue at Army West Point Minnesota Georgia Techat Illinois at Wake Forest

Average 31-20 167.0 8.0 0.0 27 50-156 3.1 73.7% 352 2.6% 19 26-142 5.5 43.2% 199 0.0% Average 60-7 366.0 22.0 1.0 30 47-243 5.2 76.5% 281 2.9% 8 31-64 2.1 61.1% 94 16.7% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 60-7 366.0 22.0 1.0 30 47-243 5.2 76.5% 281 2.9% 8 31-64 2.1 61.1% 94 16.7%

Nevada Clayton Thorson 28-38-352-2-1 Justin Jackson 30-109-3.6-0 Bennett Skowronek 8-123-15.4-0 NC Central Daniel Jones 19-25-213-2-0 Brittain Brown 10-120-12.0-1 Aaron Young 5-89-17.8-1at Duke Northwestern Bowling Green vs. Baylor Bye at North Carolinaat Wisconsin Miami, Fl Penn St vs. at Virginiaat Maryland Florida St Iowa Pittsburgh Michigan St vs. at Virginia Techat Nebraska Bye Purdue at Army West Point Minnesota vs. Georgia Techat Illinois at Wake Forest

vs.

Clayton Thorson 28-38-352-2-1 Justin Jackson 30-109-3.6-0 Bennett Skowronek 8-123-15.4-0 Daniel Jones 19-25-213-2-0 Brittain Brown 10-120-12.0-1 Aaron Young 5-89-17.8-1Jeremy Larkin 6-16.1-2.7-0 Macan Wilson 3-77-25.7-1 vs. Quentin Harris 6-7-62-1-0 Shaun Wilson 9-59-6.6-1 Johnathan Lloyd 3-41-13.7-1Jelani Roberts 2-16-8.0-0 Justin Jackson 5-42-8.4-0 Parker Boehme 1-2-6-0-0 Nicodem Pierre 7-20-2.9-0 Noah Gray 3-31-10.3-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Northwestern - -4 24 22 44-86

Duke - 44.5 13 23 34-117 0

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Northwestern 23 48.5 19 15 54-201

Duke - -4.5 10 16 35-177 -1

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

No

rth

west

ern

Wil

dca

ts

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Du

ke B

lue D

evi

ls

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Minnesota Score Def Georgia Techat Illinois Sks By at Wake Forest

at Nebraska Pass Def Bye Purdue Total Def at Army West Point

Iowa Sks Allowed Pittsburgh Michigan St Rush Def at Virginia Tech

at Virginiaat Maryland Score Off Florida St Penn St Total Off

at North Carolinaat Wisconsin Pass Off Miami, Fl Bye Rush Off

NC Centralat Duke

Northwestern Duke Northwestern

Bowling Green Baylor

Nevada 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

TM REC FOE REC

Duke Blue Devils1-0 1-0Wildcats Logs vs. BIG 10 vs. ACC

Northwestern Wildcats OVERALL: OVERALL:

Blue Devils Logs

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--0-0 TM REC FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

FOE

FOE FOEFOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-AP

TM CONFTEAM0-0

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

Northwestern Duke

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

1.79

Northwestern QB/WR

Duke DB's

0.14

Northwestern RB's

Duke LB's

0.11

Northwestern OL

Duke DL

Team & Margin

0.00

Northwestern DL

Duke OL

Duke Leaders

0.08Northwestern LB'S

Duke RB's

Northwestern Leaders 0.68Northwestern DB's

Duke QB/WR

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Projected Rushing0.25Northwestern Duke 162 yards

Projected Passing

18-39-320

27-49-279

273 yards Northwestern

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Northwestern Coaches

0.55

Northwestern K

Duke By 0.1

Duke K

Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade

424 yards Northwestern Duke 439 yards Duke Coaches

Duke 277 yards

NorthwesternProjected Final Score

Experience RankingsDuke 26 points Duke 439-424

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

3.06

Northwestern Pts

0.90

Duke Pts

Computer Yards

Northwestern 27-26Northwestern Duke17 82

By 2.16 Points

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreNorthwestern ST's

0.35

Duke ST's

Northwestern

27 points

Northwestern by 4 Northwestern 28 Duke 24

In this battle of academic bastions Northwestern is 10-2 since 1996. Last year Northwestern at home led 24-7 before allowing a td with :51 left. The LTH NW had just 57 yds at half but won 19-10 as a dog. Duke is 5-1 as a home underdog. NWestrn is #17 on my Exp chart and Duke is just #82 and NW benefitted from bowl practices last year. Northwestern rallied to beat Nevada last week with NW getting two td’s in the last 5:29 including one with :52 left. Duke rolled an FCS foe 60-7. I will call for the Wildcats to grab a close win.

Northwestern By 3

Las Vegas Total55 Points

+/- RatingsDuke By 3.5

Phil SteeleTeam Schedule Strength

66 Northwestern Duke 104

Comp-Att-Yds

9-23-70

152 yards

Comp-Att-Yds

24-39-150

Page 10: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 120 103 19 8/26 42-22 W 38 36 48 115 111 52 0-0 0-0 96 8/31 27-20 W 116 75 1241-0 0-0 119 19 9/2 31-17 W 53 36 48 1-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 94 120 21 9/9 107 70 124 53 36 48

1-0 0-0 96 21 9/9 107 70 124 1-0 0-0 111 9/16 106 57 831-0 0-0 104 9/15 96 93 99 #40 #67 9/230-1 0-0 116 9/21 95 77 23 #80 #43 1-0 0-0 110 9/30 31 101 1270-1 0-0 101 9/30 110 129 129 #58 #61 1-0 0-0 122 10/6 30 69 17

10/7 #55 #87 0-1 0-0 116 10/14 95 77 230-2 0-0 98 10/14 100 110 72 #116 #1 0-1 0-0 116 10/21 55 100 531-0 0-0 107 10/21 80 81 77 #55 #48 1-0 0-0 117 10/28 12 64 771-0 0-0 111 10/28 101 75 91 #63 #114 0-1 0-0 101 11/4 110 129 1290-0 0-0 119 11/4 43 54 71 #47 #93 1-0 0-0 109 11/11 65 67 33

11/11 #55 #56 1-0 0-0 116 11/18 75 30 670-1 0-0 116 11/16 55 100 53 #6 #47 1-0 0-0 111 11/25 101 75 911-0 0-0 109 11/24 65 67 33 #52 #80

+3 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at San Jose St 42-22 161 11 2 29 74-315 4.3 13-26 233 3 18 38-109 2.9 25-50 278 1 Holy Cross 27-20 -9 -6 -1 18 37-160 4.3 28-41 278 0 24 26-89 3.4 33-56 358 2 Stony Brook 31-17 110 7 1 21 49-153 3.1 19-32 186 2 14 36-92 2.6 17-34 137 5 USFat Connecticut at Virginia Illinois Bye Temple at SMUat East Carolina Memphis Bye at Temple UMass Tulsaat Tulane Missouri Cincinnati East Carolina Houston at UCF Bye † Boston College Tulsa at Cincinnatiat UCF

Average 37-20 135.5 9.0 1.5 25 62-234 3.8 55.2% 210 8.6% 16 37-101 2.7 50.0% 208 7.1% Average 27-20 -9.0 -6.0 -1.0 18 37-160 4.3 68.3% 278 0.0% 24 26-89 3.4 58.9% 358 3.6% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 42-22 161.0 11.0 2.0 29 74-315 4.3 50.0% 233 11.5% 18 38-109 2.9 50.0% 278 2.0% Home 27-20 -9.0 -6.0 -1.0 18 37-160 4.3 68.3% 278 0.0% 24 26-89 3.4 58.9% 358 3.6%

at San Jose St Quinton Flowers 11-22-212-2-0 D'Ernest Johnson 22-99-4.5-2 Marquez Scantling 6-91-15.2-0 Holy Cross David Pindell 19-28-154-0-0 Nate Hopkins 20-130-6.5-3 Hergy Mayala 9-106-11.8-1 Stony Brook Quinton Flowers 19-32-186-2-1 Quinton Flowers 18-67-3.7-0 Tyre McCants 2-74-37.0-1 USFat Connecticut vs. at Virginia Illinois Bye Temple at SMUat East Carolina vs. Memphis Bye at Temple UMass Tulsaat Tulane vs. Missouri Cincinnati East Carolina Houston at UCF Bye vs. † Boston College Tulsa at Cincinnatiat UCF

vs.

Quinton Flowers 30-54-398-4-1 Darius Tice 36-151-4.2-3 Marquez Scantling 10-106-10.6-1 David Pindell 19-28-154-0-0 Nate Hopkins 20-130-6.5-3 Hergy Mayala 9-106-11.8-1Brett Kean 2-4-21-0-0 Quinton Flowers 36-137-3.8-1 Tyre McCants 3-98-32.7-1 vs. Bryant Shirreffs 9-13-124-1-0 David Pindell 6-33-5.5-0 Arkeel Newsome 2-44-22.0-0

D'Ernest Johnson 35-114-3.3-2 Temi Alaka 4-67-16.8-1 Arkeel Newsome 8-1-0.1-0 Keyion Dixon 5-38-7.6-0Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.South Florida - -20 42 26 47-316

Connecticut - 52.5 27 20 36-72 4

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.South Florida - 45 28 17 44-275

Connecticut - -2.5 20 26 38-163 1

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.South Florida - -2 17 17 53-158

Connecticut - 45.5 14 6 27-44 0

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.South Florida - 41 13 13 34-122

Connecticut - -4 10 21 37-207 0

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

South Florida - -7.5 13 17 34-81

Connecticut - 46 6 20 31-43 -2

Net Offense Defense

US

F B

ull

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Co

nn

ect

icu

t H

usk

ies

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diffat UCF

Bye Score Def † Boston College Tulsa Sks By at Cincinnati

Cincinnati Pass Def East Carolina Houston Total Def at UCF

UMass Sks Allowed Tulsaat Tulane Rush Def Missouri

Memphis Bye Score Off at Templeat East Carolina Total Off

Bye Temple Pass Off at SMU Illinois Rush Off

Holy Cross Stony Brook

USF Connecticut USF

at Connecticut at Virginia

at San Jose St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

TM REC FOE REC

USF Bulls Connecticut Huskiesvs. AAC

OVERALL: OVERALL:2-0 1-0

Huskies Logs

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

vs. AAC

0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

FOE

FOE FOEFOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-AP

TM CONFTEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

USF Connecticut

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

1.57

USF QB/WR

Connecticut DB's

USF OL

Connecticut DL

USF RB's

0.01

Connecticut LB's

1.01

USF DL

Connecticut OL

USF LB'S0.19

Connecticut RB's

Connecticut Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)1.23

USF ST's Team & Margin

USF LeadersConnecticut QB/WR

0.72USF DB's

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

The visitor is 3-10. Connecticut has held USF to 17 or less in 5 of the last 7 meetings but that will change this year as they have gone up tempo on offense. Last year at home USF only led 28-20 with 8:12 left in a 42-27 win. Both teams have new HC’s with Randy Edsall back at UConn and Charlie Strong from Texas and while both teams are close experience wise (#38 vs #22) Strong inherited a much more talented team and they have the edge in all 3 areas but have underperformed so far trailing San Jose 16-0 in a 42-22 win and last week as a 5 td favorite was tied at 17 4Q vs Stoneybrook in a 31-17 win. RB Darius Tice has 258 rush yards but after 105 yards receiving in the opener Valdes-Scantling had just 4-15 LW. UConn trailed Holy Cross 20-7 with seconds left in the 3Q but rallied to win once QB Bryant Shirreffs came off the bench.

Connecticut ST's USF By 17.5

Projected Rushing23-37-213

22-39-306

12-16-186

Bulls Logs

66 Points

Projected Passing Connecticut K

1.15

USF KLas Vegas Total

223 yards 143 yardsUSF

USF By 22.0

USF By 15.1

+/- RatingsUSF Coaches

Connecticut CoachesGame Grade

10-18-113

ConnecticutComp-Att-Yds

24-38-284

USF

USF 471-368Projected Final Score

Comp-Att-Yds 37 points USFUSF Pts

0.20Computer Yards

6-9-88

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Connecticut Pts8-28-106

249 yardsProjected Yardage Total

471 yards USF

6.02Connecticut 22 points

368 yards

Connecticut

Connecticut

Projected Box Score

225 yards

0.35

20-32-202

38 USF Connecticut 22 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: USF 38-22

Comp-Att-Yds Team Schedule StrengthUSF Phil Steele

85 USF Connecticut

Computer PointsExperience Rankings

USF by 17 USF 38 Connecticut 21By 5.82 Points115

15-43-149

28-42-365

Comp-Att-Yds

Page 11: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 101 9/2 14-34 L 103 122 129 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 127 22 21 9/2 24-31 L 35 58 75 91 9 180-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 99 118 9/9 110 129 129 27 65 75 0-1 0-0 101 9/9 110 129 129

1-0 0-0 127 9/16 77 14 18 9/169/23 #107 #45 1-0 0-0 108 9/23 89 94 100

2-0 0-0 120 9/30 53 36 48 #37 #15 9/300-1 0-0 116 10/7 95 77 23 #83 #15 1-0 0-0 123 10/7 10 15 261-0 0-0 109 10/14 65 67 33 #113 #92 1-0 0-0 120 10/14 40 79 591-1 0-1 121 10/21 73 33 15 #28 #67 0-1 0-0 119 10/21 17 53 450-0 0-0 119 10/28 43 54 71 #128 #109 1-0 0-0 133 10/28 5 41 981-0 0-0 96 11/4 107 70 124 #55 #78 1-0 0-0 120 11/4 48 78 291-0 0-0 107 11/11 80 81 77 #125 #99 1-0 0-0 133 11/11 33 68 11-0 0-0 111 11/18 101 75 91 #97 #90 0-1 0-0 118 11/18 16 29 201-0 0-0 122 11/25 30 69 17 #74 #74 1-0 0-0 139 11/25 2 20 12

#120 #54-2 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

James Madison 14-34 -242 5 -2 28 30-80 2.7 28-53 292 1 23 44-422 9.6 15-22 192 1 † Virginia Tech 24-31 123 8 -1 29 35-221 6.3 31-54 371 2 21 45-234 5.2 15-27 235 1at West Virginia East Carolina Virginia Tech Delaware St Bye at Kansas USF Bye Temple at TCUat UCF Texas Tech BYU at Baylorat Houston Oklahoma Stat Connecticut Iowa St Tulane at Kansas St Cincinnati Texasat Memphis at Oklahoma

Average 14-34 -242.0 5.0 -2.0 28 30-80 2.7 52.8% 292 1.9% 23 44-422 9.6 68.2% 192 4.5% Average 24-31 123.0 8.0 -1.0 29 35-221 6.3 57.4% 371 3.7% 21 45-234 5.2 55.6% 235 3.7% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

James Madison Thomas Sirk 21-35-210-0-2 Derrell Scott 12-45-3.8-1 Davon Grayson 7-86-12.3-0 † Virginia Tech Will Grier 31-53-371-3-1 Justin Crawford 13-106-8.2-0 Gary Jennings 13-189-14.5-1at West Virginia East Carolina Virginia Tech vs. Delaware St Bye at Kansas USF Bye Temple vs. at TCUat UCF Texas Tech BYU at Baylorat Houston vs. Oklahoma Stat Connecticut Iowa St Tulane at Kansas St Cincinnati vs. Texasat Memphis at Oklahoma

vs.

Thomas Sirk 21-35-210-0-2 Derrell Scott 12-45-3.8-1 Davon Grayson 7-86-12.3-0 Will Grier 31-53-371-3-1 Justin Crawford 13-106-8.2-0 Gary Jennings 13-189-14.5-1Gardner Minshew 7-18-82-0-1 Darius Pinnix 3-7.1-2.3-1 Deondr Farrier 7-68-9.7-0 vs. Team 0-1-0-0-0 Will Grier 11-52-4.7-0 David Sills 9-94-10.4-2

Thomas Sirk 4-7.01-1.8-0 Trevon Brown 4-43-10.8-0 Kennedy McKoy 8-50-6.3-0 Ka'Raun White 4-74-18.5-0Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

East

Caro

lin

a P

irate

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

West

Vir

gin

ia M

ou

nta

iners

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Cincinnati Score Def Texasat Memphis Sks By at Oklahoma

at Connecticut Pass Def Iowa St Tulane Total Def at Kansas St

BYU Sks Allowed at Baylorat Houston Rush Def Oklahoma St

Temple Total Off at TCUat UCF Score Off Texas Tech

Bye Rush Off at Kansas USF Pass Off Bye

James Madison 2017 TEAM RANKINGS † Virginia Techat West Virginia

East Carolina West Virginia East Carolina

Virginia Tech Delaware St

TM REC FOE REC

0-1vs. AAC vs. BIG 12 Mountainers Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: West Virginia Mountainers0-1

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/- FOE +/-

APAP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOETM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE

REC

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

East Carolina West Virginia

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

0.34

East Carolina QB/WR

West Virginia DB's

East Carolina RB's

1.44

West Virginia LB's

0.59

East Carolina OL

West Virginia DL

East Carolina DL

2.53

West Virginia OL

East Carolina LB'S2.51

West Virginia RB's

Phil's Forecast:

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

1.10Las Vegas Total

1.55Las Vegas Line

W Virginia By 24

66 Points

+/- Ratings

The Pirates are 0-13 in Morgantown (1st trip in 1971) incl a 35-20 loss the LTH (‘09). East Carolina is 2-13 in road openers and 5-16 since 2007 in regular ssn road gms vs non-conference foes. WV only has Delaware St on deck and EC lost their road games by 20 ppg last year. While ECar is #98 on my Exp Chart, WV is down at #125 with just 8 starters back but got an upgrade at QB with Florida transfer Will Greir hitting 31-53-371-3-1 as WV had a 592-469 yard edge vs VT.

West Virginia ST's

Game GradeW Virginia By 19.4

1.55

W Virginia 620-361

W Virginia By 23.1

W Virginia 41-18Computer Points

West Virginia Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) East Carolina ST's

East Carolina Leaders

East Carolina DB's2.12

West Virginia QB/WR

Pirates Logs

East Carolina Pirates

Projected Passing327 yards East Carolina Coaches

East Carolina K

West Virginia K

West Virginia Coaches

293 yards

620 yards

Projected Rushing

18 points East Carolina West Virginia

85 yards

361 yards East Carolina

West Virginia

West Virginia

West Virginia

125

12.79

West Virginia Pts

0.93

East Carolina Pts

41 pointsExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength

West Virginia Phil Steele62 East Carolina West Virginia W Virginia by 24 West Virginia 41 East Carolina 17By 11.86 Points

East Carolina

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

98 East Carolina West Virginia

21

Projected Yardage Total277 yards East Carolina

Page 12: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 111 8/31 26-14 W 100 70 91 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 128 11 17 9/2 33-17 W 41 22 37 25 14 31-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 125 8 9/9 101 75 91 44 9 37 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 130 111 8 9/9 44 9 37 101 75 91

0-1 0-0 116 9/16 97 83 92 1-0 0-0 105 9/16 54 116 131-0 0-0 117 9/23 70 84 41 #98 #49 0-1 0-0 111 9/23 83 63 791-0 0-0 99 9/30 93 43 55 #106 #74 9/301-0 0-0 109 10/7 65 67 33 #117 #65 1-0 0-0 112 10/7 58 35 118

10/14 #90 #62 0-1 0-1 113 10/14 85 42 321-0 0-0 110 10/21 31 101 127 #1 #116 1-0 0-0 137 10/21 4 12 82-0 0-0 120 10/28 53 36 48 #106 #4 0-1 0-0 102 10/28 99 76 691-0 0-0 107 11/4 80 81 77 #12 #49 1-0 0-0 123 11/4 86 46 40-1 0-0 116 11/10 95 77 23 #49 #18 1-0 0-0 106 11/11 45 40 350-1 0-0 101 11/18 110 129 129 #35 #45 1-0 0-0 137 11/18 41 11 381-0 0-0 96 11/25 107 70 124 #74 #6 1-0 1-0 135 11/25 3 2 46

#94 #28+2 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Austin Peay 26-14 -65 -5 2 15 29-97 3.3 17-28 151 0 20 60-224 3.7 9-19 89 1 † Florida 33-17 241 10 1 19 49-215 4.4 12-26 218 5 9 27-11 0.4 14-26 181 6at Michigan Cincinnatiat Miami, OH Air Forceat Navy at Purdue Marshall Bye UCF Michigan St Bye at Indiana SMU at Penn Stat USF Rutgersat Tulane Minnesota Temple at Marylandat East Carolina at Wisconsin Connecticut Ohio St

Average 26-14 -65.0 -5.0 2.0 15 29-97 3.3 60.7% 151 0.0% 20 60-224 3.7 47.4% 89 5.3% Average 33-17 241.0 10.0 1.0 19 49-215 4.4 46.2% 218 19.2% 9 27-11 0.4 53.8% 181 23.1% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

Austin Peay Hayden Moore 17-28-151-3-0 Mike Boone 19-100-5.3-1 Thomas Geddis 4-48-12.0-1 † Florida Wilton Speight 11-25-181-1-2 Ty Isaac 11-114-10.4-0 Tarik Black 2-83-41.5-1at Michigan Cincinnatiat Miami, OH vs. Air Forceat Navy at Purdue Marshall Bye UCF vs. Michigan St Bye at Indiana SMU at Penn Stat USF vs. Rutgersat Tulane Minnesota Temple at Marylandat East Carolina vs. at Wisconsin Connecticut Ohio St

vs.

Hayden Moore 17-28-151-3-0 Mike Boone 19-100-5.3-1 Thomas Geddis 4-48-12.0-1 Wilton Speight 11-25-181-1-2 Ty Isaac 11-114-10.4-0 Tarik Black 2-83-41.5-1Hayden Moore 2-9-4.5-0 Kahlil Lewis 4-41-10.3-1 vs. John O'Korn 1-1-37-0-0 Chris Evans 22-78-3.5-0 Nick Eubanks 2-61-30.5-0Michael Warren II 3-7-2.3-0 Jerron Rollins 2-22-11.0-0 Karan Higdon 7-28-4.0-1 Grant Perry 4-46-11.5-0

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Cin

cin

nati

Bearc

ats

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Mic

hig

an

Wo

lveri

nes

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

at East Carolina Score Def at Wisconsin Connecticut Sks By Ohio St

at Tulane Pass Def Minnesota Temple Total Def at Maryland

SMU Sks Allowed at Penn Stat USF Rush Def Rutgers

Total Off Michigan St Bye Score Off at Indiana UCF

Air ForceRush Off at Purdue

Marshall Pass Off Byeat Navy

2017 TEAM RANKINGS † Florida Austin Peay

APTM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-

vs. BIG 10 Wolverines Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Michigan Wolverines1-0 1-0vs. AACBearcats Logs

TM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOETM REC FOE

RECFOE

CONFTM +/- FOE

+/-FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE

REC

Defense

Score Score

AP TEAM

at MichiganCincinnati Michigan

Cincinnatiat Miami, OH

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

Cincinnati Michigan

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Cincinnati QB/WR

0.49

Michigan DB's

Cincinnati RB's

1.32

Michigan LB's

Cincinnati OL

1.81

Michigan DL

Cincinnati DL

1.24

Michigan OL

Michigan Leaders

Cincinnati LB'S1.17

Michigan RB's

Cincinnati DB's0.65

Michigan QB/WR

36 yards CincinnatiProjected Passing

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScorePhil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

This is the one game in September that Michigan probably put the least amount of prep work into as they are off Florida with Air Forces option on deck and then their Big Ten opener and Cincy was just 3-9 last year. Michigan is #127 on my Exp chart with just 5 returning starters but did win their home games by a 43-10 average last year. Cincy’s new HC Luke Fickell prepped for Michigan every year at Ohio State. Michigan trailed at the half vs Florida and got a late td on a sack fumble but did have a 433-192 yard edge with the Gators having 10 suspended players including their top RB and WR. Cincy got the win vs Austin Peay as a 42 point favorite but was outgained 248-313.

Michigan ST's Michigan By 34.5

49 Points

Cincinnati ST's

2.25

Team & Margin

Michigan By 27.0

504 yards

+/- RatingsMichigan K

Game Grade2.75

0.85

Cincinnati KLas Vegas Total

205 yards Cincinnati Michigan Coaches

CincinnatiProjected Yardage Total

Michigan 249 yards

Michigan

Cincinnati Coaches

Michigan 504-205Projected Final Score

0.85Computer Yards

Cincinnati Pts

11.69

Michigan Pts

170 yards

Michigan By 37.0

Michigan

Michigan 38-8Computer Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Phil SteeleMichigan by 31 Michigan 38 Cincinnati 7By 10.84 Points

Michigan

Cincinnati Bearcats

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Cincinnati Leaders

254 yardsProjected Rushing

MichiganTeam Schedule Strength

101 Cincinnati Michigan 14

127

Michigan8 points Cincinnati 38 pointsExperience Rankings

78 Cincinnati

Page 13: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 111 16 9/2 35-28 W 19 17 34 79 62 79 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 119 112 9/2 30-35 L 71 34 63 80 69 611-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 123 119 17 9/9 24 10 34 61 31 63 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 123 17 9/9 61 31 63 24 10 34

1-0 0-0 138 9/16 14 4 83 1-0 0-0 107 9/16 90 105 540-1 0-0 102 9/23 130 114 114 #79 #48 1-0 0-0 119 9/23 51 51 110

9/30 #13 #69 0-1 0-0 123 9/30 38 56 1050-1 0-0 127 10/5 29 19 36 #30 #60 1-0 0-0 130 10/7 7 24 491-0 0-0 116 10/14 75 30 67 #58 #75 1-0 0-0 111 10/14 106 57 830-1 0-0 138 10/21 28 3 11 #1 #67 1-0 0-0 127 10/21 77 14 181-0 0-0 119 10/28 81 59 30 #15 #57 1-0 0-0 133 10/28 20 8 16

11/4 #100 #116 11/41-0 0-0 111 11/11 106 57 83 #57 #99 1-0 0-0 120 11/9 37 71 281-0 0-0 114 11/18 67 58 68 #83 #98 11/181-0 0-0 121 11/25 64 27 31 #19 #74 0-1 0-0 127 11/25 29 19 36

#38 #87+1 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

† Purdue 35-28 180 2 1 27 33-146 4.4 30-46 378 0 25 21-51 2.4 33-57 293 4 California 30-35 -29 8 -1 28 45-219 4.9 25-44 221 2 20 35-106 3.0 24-38 363 1at North Carolina Louisville Clemson at Old Dominion Kent St Duke Murray St at Georgia Techat NC State Notre Dame Boston College Virginiaat Florida St at Virginia Techat Wake Forest Miami, Fl Bye Bye Virginia at Pittsburgh Syracuse Western Carolinaat Kentucky at NC State

Average 35-28 180.0 2.0 1.0 27 33-146 4.4 65.2% 378 0.0% 25 21-51 2.4 57.9% 293 7.0% Average 30-35 -29.0 8.0 -1.0 28 45-219 4.9 56.8% 221 4.5% 20 35-106 3.0 63.2% 363 2.6% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 35-28 180.0 2.0 1.0 27 33-146 4.4 65.2% 378 0.0% 25 21-51 2.4 57.9% 293 7.0% Home 30-35 -29.0 8.0 -1.0 28 45-219 4.9 56.8% 221 4.5% 20 35-106 3.0 63.2% 363 2.6%

† Purdue Lamar Jackson 30-46-378-2-0 Lamar Jackson 21-107-5.1-0 Jay Smith 8-117-14.6-0 California Chazz Surratt 18-28-161-1-0 Michael Carter 11-94-8.5-2 Austin Proehl 4-55-13.8-0at North Carolina Louisville Clemson vs. at Old Dominion Kent St Duke Murray St at Georgia Techat NC State vs. Notre Dame Boston College Virginiaat Florida St at Virginia Techat Wake Forest vs. Miami, Fl Bye Bye Virginia at Pittsburgh Syracuse vs. Western Carolinaat Kentucky at NC State

vs.

Lamar Jackson 30-46-378-2-0 Lamar Jackson 21-107-5.1-0 Jay Smith 8-117-14.6-0 Chazz Surratt 18-28-161-1-0 Michael Carter 11-94-8.5-2 Austin Proehl 4-55-13.8-0Reggie Bonnafon 6-33-5.5-1 Dez Fitzpatrick 4-95-23.8-1 vs. Brandon Harris 7-16-60-0-2 Chazz Surratt 16-66-4.1-1 Jordon Brown 9-53-5.9-0Jeremy Smith 5-8-1.6-0 Seth Dawkins 4-56-14.0-0 Jordon Brown 13-54-4.2-0 Jordan Cunningham 4-39-9.8-0

Category

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Louisville 19 -3 39 27 43-183

North Carolina - 56.5 34 20 17-47 -1

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Lou

isvi

lle C

ard

inals

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

No

rth

Caro

lin

a T

ar

Heels

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def Western Carolinaat Kentucky Sks By at NC State

Pass Def Bye Virginia Total Def at Pittsburgh Bye

Sks Allowed at Virginia Techat Wake Forest Rush Def Miami, Flat Florida St

Total Off Notre Dame Boston College Score Off Virginiaat NC State

Rush Off Duke Murray St Pass Off at Georgia Tech Kent St

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Californiaat North Carolina

Louisville North Carolina Louisville

Clemson at Old Dominion

† Purdue

TM REC FOE REC

OVERALL: OVERALL: North Carolina Tar Heels1-0 0-1

AP TEAM

FOE

vs. ACC vs. ACC Tar Heels Logs

TM CONF FOE CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGSFOE 0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE

RECTEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving

Louisville North Carolina

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

1.18

Louisville QB/WR

North Carolina DB's

Louisville RB's

0.32

North Carolina LB's

Louisville OL

0.06

North Carolina DL

Louisville DL

0.23

North Carolina OL

1.17Louisville LB'S

North Carolina RB's

North Carolina Leaders

0.26

Louisville ST's

0.98Louisville DB's

North Carolina QB/WR

Las Vegas LineLouisville By 9.5

Louisville Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

0.57

Louisville K26-41-363

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

North Carolina

Phil's Forecast:

The home TM has won 3 straight in this series (just 8th overall mtg). NC dropped the L/mtg (‘12) 39-34. This is their first ACC meeting. Louisville had just 11 ret starters but one of them is QB Lamar Jackson and they are #63 on my Exp Chart. North Carolina has 12 ret starters but is just #112 on my Exp Chart. Louisville has a big revenge game vs Clemson on deck. Louisville did have 2 lost fumbles near the Purdue goal line and had a 524-3444 yard edge but trailed mid 4Q as a 3 td plus favorite. NC blew a 4Q lead and lost to Cal at home.

North Carolina ST's

62.5 Points

North Carolina K

Las Vegas Total

Team & Margin

Computer Yards

Louisville Coaches

Louisville CardinalsCardinals Logs

--PS RANK--

North Carolina Coaches

Louisville 452-370

+/- Ratings

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Louisville 31-24

Louisville By 2.8

Louisville By 9.4Game Grade

63

North Carolina

112

24 points

Louisville North Carolina

4.91

Louisville Pts

0.61

Experience Rankings North Carolina PtsLouisville

Projected Rushing199 yards Louisville 135 yards

Projected Passing

31 pointsProjected Final Score

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/- FOE +/-

Syracuse

23-28-279

452 yards

253 yards North CarolinaLouisvilleProjected Yardage Total 0.75

Louisville North Carolina 370 yards

234 yards

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Team Schedule StrengthLouisville Phil Steele

50 Louisville North Carolina 48 Louisville by 7 Louisville 31 North Carolina 24By 4.30 Points

AP

Page 14: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 90 106 9/1 7-24 L 122 120 123 95 78 51 0-0 0-0 133 20 9/2 55-19 W 37 40 10-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 91 133 19 9/9 120 118 123 33 68 1 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 133 90 19 9/9 33 68 1 120 118 123

9/16 1-0 0-0 119 9/16 72 38 700-1 0-0 96 9/23 124 117 130 #64 #57 9/230-1 0-0 103 9/30 115 111 82 #117 #22 0-1 0-0 119 9/30 17 53 451-0 0-0 99 10/7 93 43 55 #109 #33 0-1 0-0 118 10/7 16 29 201-0 0-0 124 10/14 78 74 2 #121 #19 1-0 0-0 123 10/14 10 15 261-0 0-0 95 10/21 128 95 121 #67 #28 1-0 0-0 139 10/21 2 20 12

10/28 #65 #105 1-0 0-0 108 10/28 89 94 1001-0 0-0 107 11/4 90 105 54 #91 #56 1-0 0-0 120 11/4 40 79 590-1 0-0 98 11/11 92 90 50 #78 #85 0-1 0-0 118 11/11 27 65 750-1 0-0 104 11/18 91 85 66 #66 #53 1-0 0-0 133 11/18 5 41 980-1 0-0 97 11/25 76 119 93 #74 #19 1-0 0-0 120 11/25 48 78 29

#101 #61-1 +3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Eastern Michigan 7-24 -113 -6 -1 13 35-166 4.7 12-29 114 2 19 41-126 3.1 22-31 267 1 Central Arkansas 55-19 98 -12 3 16 31-186 6.0 10-16 333 1 28 55-223 4.1 27-35 198 4at Kansas St Charlotte North Carolina A&T at Vanderbilt Georgia St Byeat FIU Baylor Marshall at Texasat WKU TCU UAB Oklahoma Bye at Kansasat Old Dominion at Texas Tech Middle Tennessee West Virginiaat Southern Miss at Oklahoma St Florida Atlantic Iowa St

Average 7-24 -113.0 -6.0 -1.0 13 35-166 4.7 41.4% 114 6.9% 19 41-126 3.1 71.0% 267 3.2% Average 55-19 98.0 -12.0 3.0 16 31-186 6.0 62.5% 333 6.3% 28 55-223 4.1 77.1% 198 11.4% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 7-24 -113.0 -6.0 -1.0 13 35-166 4.7 41.4% 114 6.9% 19 41-126 3.1 71.0% 267 3.2% Home 55-19 98.0 -12.0 3.0 16 31-186 6.0 62.5% 333 6.3% 28 55-223 4.1 77.1% 198 11.4%

at Eastern Michigan Hasaan Klugh 12-28-114-1-2 Hasaan Klugh 14-101-7.2-0 Trent Bostick 3-34-11.3-1 Central Arkansas Jesse Ertz 10-16-333-4-0 Skylar Thompson 3-49-16.3-0 Byron Pringle 3-121-40.3-1at Kansas St Charlotte North Carolina A&T vs. at Vanderbilt Georgia St Byeat FIU Baylor Marshall vs. at Texasat WKU TCU UAB Oklahoma Bye vs. at Kansasat Old Dominion at Texas Tech Middle Tennessee West Virginiaat Southern Miss vs. at Oklahoma St Florida Atlantic Iowa St

vs.

Hasaan Klugh 12-28-114-1-2 Hasaan Klugh 14-101-7.2-0 Trent Bostick 3-34-11.3-1 Jesse Ertz 10-16-333-4-0 Skylar Thompson 3-49-16.3-0 Byron Pringle 3-121-40.3-1Chris Montgomery 0-1-0-0-1 Robert Washington 16-48-3.0-0 Workpeh Kofa 3-28-9.3-0 vs. Jesse Ertz 7-35-5.0-0 Isaiah Harris 3-118-39.3-1

Benny Lemay 4-10-2.5-0 Mark Quattlebaum 2-23-11.5-0 Dalvin Warmack 4-33-8.3-1 Dalton Schoen 1-70-70.0-1Category

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Ch

arl

ott

e 4

9ers

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Kan

sas

St

Wil

dca

ts

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def at Oklahoma St Florida Atlantic Sks By Iowa St

Pass Def at Texas Tech Middle Tennessee Total Def West Virginia

Sks Allowed Oklahoma Bye Rush Def at Kansas

Total Off at Texasat WKU Score Off TCU Marshall

Rush Off Byeat FIU Pass Off Baylor Georgia St

Central Arkansasat Kansas St

Charlotte Kansas St Charlotte

North Carolina A&T at Vanderbilt

at Eastern Michigan

FOE REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Wildcats Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Kansas St Wildcats0-1 1-0vs. BIG 1249ers Logs

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/- FOE +/-

TEAM --PS RANK--AP FOE--PS RANK--

vs. CUSA

TM REC TM +/- FOE +/-FOE NCAA RANKINGS

0-0 0-0 TM CONF FOE CONF

Defense

Score Score

AP TEAM

FOETM REC FOE

REC

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving

Charlotte Kansas St

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

0.45

Charlotte QB/WR

Kansas St DB's

0.32

Charlotte RB's

Kansas St LB's

Charlotte OL

0.95

Kansas St DL

Charlotte DL

1.83

Kansas St OL

Charlotte LB'S1.18

Kansas St RB's

1.78Charlotte Leaders

Charlotte DB's

Kansas St QB/WR

Charlotte K

58 Points

Team & Margin

2.00Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineKansas St By 36.5

+/- RatingsKansas St By 46.8

Phil's Forecast:

This is one of Bill Snyders most veteran teams as he played a lot of underclassmen last year and he still has a solid JUCO infusion. They do have a trip to Vanderbilt on deck and only once in the last 2 years have they won by more than Vegas expected as a home favorite but that was 63-7 vs Florida Atlantic. Charlotte has just 12 starters back and is #93 on my Exp Chart and are on their 2nd straight road game. KSt QB Ertz threw for 333 yds last week in their 55-19 win over Central Ark as a 24.5 home favorite. Charlotte has faced two Power 5 teams and lost by a combined 128-24.

137 yards CharlotteProjected Passing Kansas St K

Kansas St ST's

Kansas St By 30.3Projected Yardage Total

Kansas St Leaders

Game Grade296 yards Kansas St Coaches

2.75

Kansas St 285 yards Charlotte Coaches

Charlotte 557 yardsKansas St

159 yards

Kansas St 557-29614.64Computer Yards

Computer PointsKansas St 46-12

0.77

Charlotte Pts

12 points Charlotte 46 pointsKansas StProjected Final Score

Experience Rankings Kansas St Pts

272 yards

Charlotte

UAB

at Old Dominion

at Southern Miss

Charlotte ST's

4.15

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Kansas StProjected Rushing

93 Charlotte Kansas St 60 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength

55 Charlotte Kansas St 96Kansas St

Kansas St by 39 Kansas St 49 Charlotte 10 By 13.87 Points

Phil Steele

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Charlotte 49ers

FOE

Page 15: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 120 109 9/2 24-3 W 69 30 40 98 85 119 0-0 0-0 120 9/2 42-24 W 50 72 291-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 120 9/9 68 23 40 48 78 29 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 120 9/9 48 78 29 68 23 40

1-0 0-0 98 9/16 102 98 81 0-1 0-0 101 9/16 117 97 941-0 0-0 137 9/23 4 12 8 #85 #87 9/231-0 0-0 112 9/30 58 35 118 #115 #48 0-1 0-0 118 9/28 16 29 201-0 0-0 104 10/7 96 93 99 #113 #76 1-0 0-0 139 10/7 2 20 12

10/14 #92 #38 1-0 0-0 108 10/14 89 94 1001-0 0-0 124 10/21 26 28 115 #67 #1 1-0 0-0 120 10/21 40 79 591-0 0-0 123 10/28 86 46 4 #22 #62 1-0 0-0 123 10/28 10 15 261-0 1-0 135 11/4 3 2 46 #45 #89 0-1 0-0 118 11/4 27 65 751-0 0-0 137 11/11 41 11 38 #25 #72 1-0 0-0 133 11/11 5 41 980-1 0-0 111 11/18 83 63 79 #9 #66 0-1 0-0 119 11/18 17 53 451-0 0-0 115 11/25 50 32 42 #27 #47 1-0 0-0 133 11/25 33 68 1

#71 #74-2 +2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Wyoming 24-3 30 1 -2 16 41-138 3.4 8-15 125 2 15 30-59 2.0 23-40 174 3 Northern Iowa 42-24 27 3 2 24 35-134 3.8 27-36 271 0 21 22-119 5.4 23-38 259 2at Iowa St Iowa North Texas at Akron Penn St Byeat Michigan St Texas Illinois at Oklahoma Bye Kansasat Northwestern at Texas Tech Minnesota TCU Ohio St at West Virginiaat Wisconsin Oklahoma St Purdue at Baylorat Nebraska at Kansas St

Average 24-3 30.0 1.0 -2.0 16 41-138 3.4 53.3% 125 13.3% 15 30-59 2.0 57.5% 174 7.5% Average 42-24 27.0 3.0 2.0 24 35-134 3.8 75.0% 271 0.0% 21 22-119 5.4 60.5% 259 5.3% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 42-24 27.0 3.0 2.0 24 35-134 3.8 75.0% 271 0.0% 21 22-119 5.4 60.5% 259 5.3%

Wyoming Nate Stanley 8-15-125-3-1 Akrum Wadley 24-116-4.8-0 Nick Easley 4-77-19.3-1 Northern Iowa Jacob Park 27-35-271-2-1 David Montgomery 14-82-5.9-2 Allen Lazard 8-108-13.5-0at Iowa St Iowa North Texas vs. at Akron Penn St Byeat Michigan St Texas Illinois vs. at Oklahoma Bye Kansasat Northwestern at Texas Tech Minnesota vs. TCU Ohio St at West Virginiaat Wisconsin Oklahoma St Purdue vs. at Baylorat Nebraska at Kansas St

vs.

Nate Stanley 8-15-125-3-1 Akrum Wadley 24-116-4.8-0 Nick Easley 4-77-19.3-1 Jacob Park 27-35-271-2-1 David Montgomery 14-82-5.9-2 Allen Lazard 8-108-13.5-0James Butler 10-47-4.7-0 Noah Fant 2-29-14.5-2 vs. Zeb Noland 0-1-0-0-0 Mike Warren 12-33-2.8-0 Hakeem Butler 7-75-10.7-1Ihmir Smith-Marsette 1-4-4.0-0 Matt Vandeberg 2-19-9.5-0 Sheldon Croney 3-9-3.0-0 Trever Ryen 6-55-9.2-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa 16 -15.5 42 25 36-198

Iowa St - 51.5 3 16 35-126 -1

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa - -3 31 22 45-260

Iowa St - 48.5 17 18 27-63 0

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa - -13 17 18 44-129

Iowa St - 50 20 19 26-82 1

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Iowa - -1.5 27 21 60-218

Iowa St - 48.5 21 14 24-59 -1

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Iowa - -3.5 6 15 28-68

Iowa St - 49 9 19 41-101 -2

Purdue

Net Offense Defense

Iow

a H

aw

keye

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Iow

a S

t C

yclo

nes

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def at Baylorat Nebraska Sks By at Kansas St

Ohio St Pass Def at West Virginiaat Wisconsin Total Def Oklahoma St

at Northwestern Sks Allowed at Texas Tech Minnesota Rush Def TCU

Total Off at Oklahoma Bye Score Off Kansas Illinois

Rush Off Byeat Michigan St Pass Off Texas Penn St

at Iowa StIowa Iowa St

Iowa North Texas at Akron

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Northern Iowa Wyoming

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/-

Iowa Hawkeyesvs. BIG 10 vs. BIG 12 Cyclones Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Iowa St Cyclones1-0 1-0

FOEFOE +/-

AP

FOEFOE +/-

AP TEAM

FOE

FOENCAA RANKINGS

0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF FOE CONF--PS RANK--

TM +/-

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving

Iowa Iowa St

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

0.05

Iowa QB/WR

Iowa St DB's

0.72

Iowa RB's

Iowa St LB's

1.61

Iowa OL

Iowa St DL

0.75

Iowa DL

Iowa St OL

0.96Iowa LB'S

Iowa St RB's

Las Vegas Line

Four of the L6Y, the Cy-Hawk Trophy has been decided by 6 pts or less. LTH Iowa trailed 17-10 at HT but in the 2H limited ISU to 66/31pl on 6 poss; 4 punts, int & SOD. Iowa scored 2 td’s in final 2:14. Last year at home Iowa had Ferentz’s biggest win ever vs his rival 42-3. While Iowa has 14 ret starters to 11 for Iowa St they are almost equal on my Exp Chart at #66 (Iowa) and #71. Iowa only had a 266-233 yard edge in their 21 point win over Wyoming. Iowa St beat the #18 FCS team Northern Iowa 42-24 thanks in part to 2 IR td’s but led 42-18 before allowing a late td and were only a 10 point favorite. I like the home dog to pull the upset here.

Iowa St ST's Iowa By 2.5

0.20

Iowa Coaches

Iowa St 417-374

Iowa 26-25

Las Vegas Total

Phil's Forecast:

Iowa St Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Iowa LeadersIowa St QB/WR

Iowa DB's0.78

Team & Margin

0.13

Iowa St 124 yards 48 Points

Iowa St K

Iowa K

+/- RatingsIowa St By 2.3Iowa St

Iowa St By 0.0

293 yardsProjected Passing

Game Grade

152 yards Iowa

Iowa St Pts

Projected Yardage Total374 yards Iowa Iowa St 417 yards Iowa St Coaches

IowaExperience Rankings

Computer Points

1.60

Computer YardsIowa St 25 points

Projected Final Score5.68

Iowa Pts

1.1126 points

Team Schedule StrengthRetu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreIowa ST's

64 Iowa Iowa St 87

66 Iowa St 71 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Iowa

Iowa St by 1 Iowa St 24 Iowa 23By 4.57 Points

Iowa Phil Steele

14-35-165

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

15-25-215

19-35-247

Hawkeyes Logs

223 yards IowaProjected Rushing

20-30-237

TEAM --PS RANK--

25-36-255

Comp-Att-Yds

16-24-146

Comp-Att-Yds

14-23-160

22-39-260

24-36-241

Comp-Att-Yds

20-42-236

Page 16: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 119 8/31 51-7 W 96 50 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 109 9/1 23-20 W 68 29 67 102 89 751-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 116 9/9 81 59 30 75 30 67 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 119 9/9 75 30 67 81 59 30

0-1 0-0 104 9/16 119 120 101 1-0 0-0 130 9/16 7 24 490-1 0-0 113 9/23 63 66 85 #30 #74 1-0 0-0 138 9/23 14 4 830-1 0-0 138 9/30 28 3 11 #58 #88 1-0 0-0 106 9/30 71 89 1101-0 0-0 138 10/7 14 4 83 #43 #100 1-0 0-0 127 10/7 77 14 18

10/14 #22 #100 1-0 0-0 123 10/14 24 10 340-1 0-0 123 10/21 38 56 105 #28 #67 1-0 0-0 111 10/21 106 57 831-0 0-0 123 10/28 24 10 34 #98 #88 0-1 0-0 138 10/27 28 3 111-0 0-0 130 11/4 7 24 49 #6 #60 11/41-0 0-0 114 11/11 67 58 68 #30 #65 0-1 0-0 127 11/11 29 19 360-1 0-0 127 11/18 29 19 36 #15 #56 1-0 0-0 96 11/18 107 70 1241-0 0-0 119 11/25 51 51 110 #27 #116 1-0 0-0 114 11/25 67 58 68

#31 #860 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Presbytrian 51-7 239 16 0 28 45-248 5.5 20-27 239 1 12 45-207 4.6 2-9 41 3 at Northern Illinois 23-20 -28 3 0 21 50-148 3.0 26-42 191 2 18 35-164 4.7 16-39 203 0at Boston College Wake Forest Utah St Notre Dameat Appalachian St at Clemson Florida St Central Michiganat Clemson Virginia Tech Bye at Louisvilleat Georgia Tech at Virginia Louisville Florida Stat Notre Dame Byeat Syracuse NC State NC State † Connecticut Duke at Syracuse

Average 51-7 239.0 16.0 0.0 28 45-248 5.5 74.1% 239 3.7% 12 45-207 4.6 22.2% 41 33.3% Average 23-20 -28.0 3.0 0.0 21 50-148 3.0 61.9% 191 4.8% 18 35-164 4.7 41.0% 203 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

Presbytrian Kendall Hinton 7-8-124-2-0 Arkeem Byrd 7-75-10.7-0 Greg Dortch 4-55-13.8-2 at Northern Illinois Anthony Brown 26-42-191-2-1 Jon Hilliman 25-58-2.3-0 Kobay White 6-76-12.7-0at Boston College Wake Forest Utah St vs. Notre Dameat Appalachian St at Clemson Florida St Central Michiganat Clemson vs. Virginia Tech Bye at Louisvilleat Georgia Tech at Virginia Louisville vs. Florida Stat Notre Dame Byeat Syracuse NC State NC State vs. † Connecticut Duke at Syracuse

vs.

Kendall Hinton 7-8-124-2-0 Arkeem Byrd 7-75-10.7-0 Greg Dortch 4-55-13.8-2 Anthony Brown 26-42-191-2-1 Jon Hilliman 25-58-2.3-0 Kobay White 6-76-12.7-0John Wolford 11-15-107-3-0 Isaiah Robinson 12-49-4.1-0 Tabari Hines 5-39-7.8-0 vs. Thadd Smith 6-55-9.2-0 Michael Walker 8-50-6.3-1Jamie Newman 2-4-8-0-1 John Wolford 6-47-7.8-1 Cam Serigne 2-34-17.0-2 Jeff Smith 3-26-8.7-0 Jeff Smith 3-18-6.0-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Wake Forest - -3.5 14 15 35-150

Boston College - 36.5 17 10 39-93 2

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Wake Forest - 37 3 5 28-33

Boston College - -7.5 0 18 54-196 -2

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Wake Forest - 40.5 17 17 33-19

Boston College - -14 23 20 44-202 0

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Wake Forest - 40.5 10 16 39-55

Boston College - -3 24 17 46-191 2

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Wake Forest - -3 28 22 32-116

Boston College - 51.5 14 22 21-12 -3

at Boston College

Net Offense Defense

Wake F

ore

st D

em

on

Deaco

ns

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Bo

sto

n C

oll

eg

e E

ag

les

Net Offense

Score

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def † Connecticut Duke Sks By at Syracuse NC State

Pass Def Byeat Syracuse Total Def NC Stateat Notre Dame

Sks Allowed at Virginia Louisville Rush Def Florida Stat Georgia Tech

Total Off Virginia Tech Bye Score Off at Louisvilleat Clemson

Rush Off at Clemson Florida St Pass Off Central Michiganat Appalachian St

Wake Forest Boston College Wake Forest

Utah St Notre Dame

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Northern Illinois Presbytrian

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/-TEAM --PS RANK--

1-0OVERALL: OVERALL:Wake Forest Demon Deaconsvs. ACC vs. ACC Eagles Logs

Boston College Eagles1-0

FOEFOE +/-

AP

FOETM +/- FOE

+/-AP TEAM

FOE

By Game Yardage Leaders

FOENCAA RANKINGS

0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF FOE CONF--PS RANK--

Boston College DB's

Defense

Score

RushingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving ReceivingPosition by Position Edges Passing

Wake Forest RB's

0.62

Boston College LB's

Wake Forest Boston College

0.24

Wake Forest QB/WR

Wake Forest OL

0.84

Boston College DL

0.02

Wake Forest DL

Boston College OL

0.18

Boston College RB's

0.64

Wake Forest LB'S

Boston College Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)0.45

Wake Forest ST's

Wake Forest LeadersBoston College QB/WR

Wake Forest DB's

Las Vegas Line

Phil's Forecast:Team & Margin

Computer Yards

46.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

Wake Forest By 0.5

Boston College By 1.7

Boston College By 1

+/- Ratings11-25-109

Wake ForestBoston College K

Boston College 200 yards 0.63

Wake Forest K

Boston College 196 yardsComp-Att-Yds Projected Yardage Total

173 yards

22-30-242Game Grade

276 yards Wake Forest Boston College 395 yards Boston College Coaches

0.50

Wake Forest

25 points Boston College 395-276Projected Final Score

1.34

Wake Forest Pts

2.77

Experience Rankings Boston College Pts21 points Wake Forest

32 Wake Forest Boston College 46Team Schedule Strength

Boston College122 Wake Forest Boston College 56 Boston College by 6 Best Bet: *Boston College 23 Wake Forest 17By 1.43 Points

Boston College 25-21

Phil Steele

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

BC is 7-3 in the series. Last year BC on the road led 10-0 at HT. WF in the 3Q went 50/8pl & 65/3pl incl a 37 yd td pass, led 14-10 into 4Q. BC went ahead w/8:03 left (73/8pl) as WF’s L/2 drives ended in a 40 yd missed fg & an int at BC45. BC has 15 ret starters and WF has 14 but WF is #32 on my Exp Chart and BC is #46. This should be a lower scoring game with BC having my #24 rated defense and Wake my #41 rated unit. The last 7 meetings have all gone under the Las Vegas total (avg 31.7 ppg). BC went with rFr QB Anthony Brown (PS#37) and he hit 26-42-191 at NIllinois.

Boston College ST's

Wake Forest Coaches

11-15-165

Demon Deacons Logs

Projected Passing103 yards

6-20-74

Comp-Att-Yds

16-33-137

10-23-74

Boston College

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

Projected RushingComp-Att-Yds

30-51-369

18-30-191

7-14-123

Comp-Att-Yds

39-57-293

Page 17: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 113 8/31 31-37 L 60 94 110 33 48 90 0-0 0-0 106 9/2 38-14 W 63 127 140-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 106 9/9 56 104 110 62 121 14 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 105 102 9/9 62 121 14 56 104 110

0-1 0-0 105 9/16 98 61 85 1-0 0-0 108 9/14 66 62 1130-1 0-0 93 9/23 126 125 117 #72 #27 0-1 0-0 116 9/23 55 100 531-0 0-0 120 9/30 21 45 102 #12 #67 1-0 0-0 105 9/30 54 116 130-1 0-0 96 10/7 63 66 85 #24 #45 10/70-1 0-0 96 10/14 125 126 62 #64 #47 1-0 0-0 99 10/14 88 103 39

10/21 #125 #93 1-1 0-0 119 10/20 52 96 470-1 0-0 112 10/28 84 55 63 #38 #3 0-1 0-0 109 10/28 111 91 1191-0 0-0 81 11/4 129 127 120 #110 #92 0-1 0-0 104 11/4 119 120 101

11/11 #80 #42 0-1 0-0 119 11/11 36 17 61-0 0-0 103 11/18 104 99 80 #103 #35 0-1 0-0 98 11/17 57 130 1021-0 0-0 106 11/25 114 123 107 #4 #47 1-0 0-0 117 11/24 79 49 100-1 0-0 96 12/2 118 109 96 #49 #36

-2 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Arizona St 31-37 149 8 -2 27 30-151 5.0 40-58 398 6 19 40-79 2.0 24-30 321 7 Abilene Christian 38-14 199 1 1 21 40-259 6.5 12-18 222 3 20 21-8 0.4 35-55 274 2at New Mexico New Mexico St Troy at Boise St UTEP at Tulsaat Arkansas Air Forceat Appalachian St Byeat GA Southern at Fresno St Bye Colorado St Arkansas St at Wyomingat Texas St Utah St Bye at Texas A&Mat Louisiana UNLV Idaho at San Diego St South Alabama

Average 31-37 149.0 8.0 -2.0 27 30-151 5.0 69.0% 398 10.3% 19 40-79 2.0 80.0% 321 23.3% Average 38-14 199.0 1.0 1.0 21 40-259 6.5 66.7% 222 16.7% 20 21-8 0.4 63.6% 274 3.6% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 31-37 149.0 8.0 -2.0 27 30-151 5.0 69.0% 398 10.3% 19 40-79 2.0 80.0% 321 23.3% Home 38-14 199.0 1.0 1.0 21 40-259 6.5 66.7% 222 16.7% 20 21-8 0.4 63.6% 274 3.6%

at Arizona St Tyler Rogers 40-57-398-3-2 Jason Huntley 5-84-16.8-1 Jaleel Scott 8-149-18.6-2 Abilene Christian Lamar Jordan 11-17-213-1-0 Romell Jordan 3-65-21.7-0 Delane Johnson-Hart 3-77-25.7-0at New Mexico New Mexico St Troy vs. at Boise St UTEP at Tulsaat Arkansas Air Forceat Appalachian St vs. Byeat GA Southern at Fresno St Bye Colorado St Arkansas St vs. at Wyomingat Texas St Utah St Bye at Texas A&Mat Louisiana vs. UNLV Idaho at San Diego St South Alabama

vs.

Tyler Rogers 40-57-398-3-2 Jason Huntley 5-84-16.8-1 Jaleel Scott 8-149-18.6-2 Lamar Jordan 11-17-213-1-0 Romell Jordan 3-65-21.7-0 Delane Johnson-Hart 3-77-25.7-0Sy Slater 0-1-0-0-0 Larry Rose III 13-60-4.6-0 Josh Aganon 4-45-11.3-0 vs. Tekava Tuioti 1-1-9-0-0 Daryl Chestnut 4-64-16.0-2 Chris Davis 3-55-18.3-0

Tyler Rogers 12-7-0.6-1 Jason Huntley 5-44-8.8-1 Lamar Jordan 7-52-7.4-0 Q'Drennan 1-42-42.0-0Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.New Mexico St - 61.5 32 22 35-102

New Mexico - -12.5 31 23 45-221 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.New Mexico St - 66 29 14 39-308

New Mexico - -12.5 38 21 61-401 12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.New Mexico St - 63.5 35 28 43-187

New Mexico - -3 38 25 52-432 12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.New Mexico St - 60.5 17 20 40-182

New Mexico - -11 66 24 56-541 32012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

New Mexico St - -6.5 14 18 20-78

New Mexico - 55.5 27 24 54-302 1

Las Vegas LineNew Mexico By 7

Net

Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Score

Abilene Christian New Mexico Stat Boise Stat Tulsa Air Force Byeat Fresno St Colorado St

Byeat Louisiana Idaho South Alabama

at GA Southern Bye Arkansas Stat Texas St

Troy UTEPat Arkansasat Appalachian St

Experience Rankings37 pointsNew MexicoNew Mexico St

New Mexico St New Mexico

1.10

1.51

New Mexico St DB's

New Mexico QB/WR

Comp-Att-Yds

New Mexico St

Projected Yardage TotalNew Mexico St New Mexico

475 yards New Mexico StProjected Final Score

34 points

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Net Offense Defense

Receiving

21-35-205

New Mexico St

Passing Rushing

New Mexico St QB/WR

Comp-Att-Yds

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

at Arizona St

Position by Position Edges

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

New

Mexic

o S

t A

gg

ies

New

Mexic

o L

ob

os

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

at New Mexico

1-0vs. MTW

FOE +/-

AP

FOE

--PS RANK-- FOE 0-00-0TM +/-

TEAM

New Mexico St Aggies New Mexico LobosLobos LogsAggies Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. AAC0-1

New Mexico St Leaders

TM REC FOE RECTM

CONFFOE

CONF

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders

Rush OffPass Off

Total Off

By 3.71 Points120

1.20

183 yards

Total Def

1.33

New Mexico OL

New Mexico ST's

New Mexico St DL

New Mexico St ST's

New Mexico DB's

Pass Def

NCAA RANKINGS

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

at Wyoming Utah St

Sks AllowedRush Def

Score Off

New Mexico St New Mexico

at Texas A&M UNLV

TM RECFOE

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE REC

at San Diego St

FOETM +/-

FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

New Mexico By 15.1

Passing

108th Rio Grande Rivalry (played every yr s/’46). LTH featured 6 td’s of 30+ yds, 4 lead changes & 3 ties. With the gm 29-29 into the 4Q, NM got a 36 yd td run w/10:19 left & tacked on a safety w/2:00. LY NM led 31-22 w/14:04 left. NMSt went up one w/5:46 after a int (27/6pl td drive). NM’s L/drive was SOD at NMSt38 w/1:28. The Lobos are playing with revenge and at home but do have Boise St on deck. NMexSt is on their 2nd straight road game but are #14 on my Exp Chart and New Mexico is just #92. The Aggies had just 12 sacks last year but had 7 in week 1. The Aggies did trail Ariz St. 37-13 4Q before scoring 3 late td.s (one on the last play, 225-25 yd edge late) in a 37-31 loss. The Aggies defense is much improved this year with the JUCO infusion (LY’s #2 tackler is 3rd string and they could pull the upset.

New Mexico By 5.0

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Offense

Phil Steele

Computer Points

New Mexico Leaders

By Game Yardage Leaders

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total67.5 Points

+/- Ratings

New Mexico

Phil's Forecast:

New Mexico St RB's

New Mexico LB's

New Mexico DL

New Mexico St OL

New Mexico St LB'S

New Mexico RB's

New Mexico K177 yards

Best Bet: *New Mexico St 34 (+) New Mexico 37

New Mexico 37-34

New Mexico by 3

New Mexico 483-475

1.60

New Mexico St K

New Mexico

New Mexico St Coaches

New Mexico 483 yards

92

2.27

1.43

0.44

307 yardsProjected Passing

292 yards1.10

4.14 7.85

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

New Mexico Coaches

New Mexico St Pts

New Mexico Pts

Team Schedule StrengthNew Mexico St New Mexico

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

New Mexico

Comp-Att-Yds

35

14

32-47-333

8-14-67

12-23-115

20-34-269

3-8-67Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

12-28-108

5-17-45

22-34-25611-18-92

Page 18: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 102 127 14 8/26 7-62 L 113 103 85 21 8 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 93 139 7 9/2 7-56 L 119 116 117 2 19 120-1 0-0 98 9/2 121 107 85 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 94 102 9/9 126 125 117 121 107 85

0-1 0-0 93 9/9 126 125 117 1-0 0-0 113 9/15 22 102 970-0 0-0 119 9/16 43 54 71 #79 #111 0-1 0-0 102 9/23 56 104 1100-1 0-0 103 9/23 115 111 82 #121 #122 1-0 0-0 110 9/30 42 92 1161-0 0-0 120 9/30 37 71 28 #119 #127 1-0 0-0 124 10/7 78 74 21-0 0-0 110 10/7 42 92 116 #121 #121 0-1 0-0 104 10/14 91 85 66

10/14 #67 #28 10/210-0 0-0 111 10/21 116 88 57 #118 #95 0-0 0-0 111 10/28 116 88 571-0 0-0 114 10/28 69 87 44 #117 #130 0-1 0-0 98 11/4 92 90 501-0 0-0 95 11/4 128 95 121 #128 #130 1-0 0-0 98 11/11 102 98 810-1 0-0 104 11/11 91 85 66 #130 #125 1-0 0-0 114 11/18 69 87 441-0 0-0 107 11/18 90 105 54 #47 #74 1-0 0-0 95 11/25 128 95 1211-0 0-0 98 11/25 102 98 81 #127 #129

-2 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

† Stanford 7-62 -415 -13 -2 14 38-146 3.8 10-24 95 2 27 36-287 8.0 21-37 369 2 at Oklahoma 7-56 -509 -24 -1 11 21-73 3.5 16-27 94 1 35 38-180 4.7 32-36 496 1 Bye Riceat UTEP Arizonaat Houston at New Mexico St FIU at Army West Pointat Pittsburgh WKU Army West Point at Southern Miss Bye Byeat UTSA UTSA Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennesseeat UAB at North Texas Southern Miss Louisiana Techat Old Dominion at UAB North Texas

Average 7-62 -415.0 -13.0 -2.0 14 38-146 3.8 41.7% 95 8.3% 27 36-287 8.0 56.8% 369 5.4% Average 7-56 -509.0 -24.0 -1.0 11 21-73 3.5 59.3% 94 3.7% 35 38-180 4.7 88.9% 496 2.8% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 7-62 -415.0 -13.0 -2.0 14 38-146 3.8 41.7% 95 8.3% 27 36-287 8.0 56.8% 369 5.4% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

† Stanford Sam Glaesmann 7-18-69-0-1 Samuel Stewart 15-71-4.7-0 Samuel Stewart 3-41-13.7-0 at Oklahoma Ryan Metz 10-18-56-0-0 Walter Dawn Jr. 7-56-8.0-1 Eddie Sinegal 3-20-6.7-0 Bye Riceat UTEP vs. Arizonaat Houston at New Mexico St FIU at Army West Pointat Pittsburgh vs. WKU Army West Point at Southern Miss Bye Byeat UTSA vs. UTSA Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennesseeat UAB at North Texas Southern Miss vs. Louisiana Techat Old Dominion at UAB North Texas

vs.

Sam Glaesmann 7-18-69-0-1 Samuel Stewart 15-71-4.7-0 Samuel Stewart 3-41-13.7-0 Ryan Metz 10-18-56-0-0 Walter Dawn Jr. 7-56-8.0-1 Eddie Sinegal 3-20-6.7-0Jackson Tyner 3-6-26-0-0 Austin Walter 3-45-15.0-1 Robby Wells III 4-19.1-4.8-0 vs. Zack Greenlee 5-8-31-0-0 Kevin Dove 5-17-3.4-0 Warren Redix 1-15-15.0-0

Austin Trammell 1-10-10.0-0 Emmanuel Esukpa 1-19-19.0-0 Mark Torrez 1-1-7-0-0 Ronald Awatt 2-8-4.0-0 David Lucero 2-13-6.5-0Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Rice - -1.5 44 27 44-236

UTEP - 57 24 13 18-63 12015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Rice - -6.5 21 16 31-90

UTEP - 57 24 19 34-161 -12014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Rice - -7 31 17 42-165

UTEP - 51.5 13 12 25-53 -12013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Rice - -19 45 21 47-265

UTEP - 59 7 17 55-248 -32012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Rice - 56.5 33 25 55-246

UTEP - -1 24 17 32-148 2

Rice by 3 Rice 30 UTEP 27By 3.91 Points

Phil Steele2

Team Schedule StrengthRice

13 Rice UTEP

1.79

UTEP Pts

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

5.70

Rice Pts

Experience Rankings59

UTEPRice 28 points

70 Rice UTEP

Game Grade0.95

Rice Coaches

UTEP Coaches

+/- Ratings

0.95

Computer Yards

Computer Points

201 yardsProjected Yardage Total

400 yards Rice UTEP 426 yardsProjected Final Score

29 points

Phil's Forecast:

The Owls are 9-2 in the series and last year led 34-3 at half in their 44-24 home win. The home team is 7-1 SU and ATS in this series. Both teams were pounded in their openers. Rice was out gained 656-241 by Stanford in Australia. UTEP was outgained 676-167 by Oklahoma. I expected more out of each last week but these teams are close experience wise and Rice was the much stronger team last year and grabs the road win with their special teams edge being the difference.

Utep By 3.7

Team & Margin

Utep 426-400

Rice 29-28

UTEP By 1.5

56 Points

Rice By 0.8

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas TotalRice K

UTEP K

0.08

Rice UTEP 241 yards

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)Projected Box Score

UTEP 185 yards199 yards RiceProjected Rushing

Comp-Att-Yds

19-34-169

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

ReceivingPassing Rushing

1.14

UTEP QB/WR

Projected Passing

1.59

Total TO's

0.26

Rushing Position by Position Edges

UTEP LB's

Rice UTEPRice QB/WR

1.01

Rice OL

UTEP DL

UTEP OL

Rice DL

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving

UTEP Leaders

By Game Yardage Leaders

Rice Leaders

UTEP DB'sRice RB's

Score

Ypg Diff North Texas

Offense Defense

Score

Ric

e O

wls

NCAA RANKINGS

Defense

0-0

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

UTEP

Min

ers

Net Offense

TM +/-FOE

FOE 0-0--PS RANK--TM +/-

FOE +/-

AP

FOE

Miners LogsTEAM --PS RANK-- FOEFOE

+/-APFOE

CONFTM

CONFTEAM

UTEP Minersvs. CUSA vs. CUSA

OVERALL: OVERALL:0-1 0-1

TM REC FOE REC

† Stanford 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Oklahoma Bye

Rice UTEP Rice

at UTEP Arizonaat Houston Rush Off at New Mexico St FIU Pass Off at Army West Pointat Pittsburgh Total Off WKU Army West Point Score Off at Southern Miss Bye Sks Allowed Byeat UTSA Rush Def UTSA Louisiana Tech Pass Def at Middle Tennesseeat UAB Total Def at North Texas Southern Miss Score Def Louisiana Techat Old Dominion Sks By at UAB

UTEP RB's0.93

Rice LB'S

Rice DB's0.57

Rice ST's

UTEP ST's

Comp-Att-Yds

14-28-230

Net

18-36-231

10-22-227

21-28-246

Comp-Att-Yds

17-30-209

Rice OwlsOwls Logs

TM REC FOE RECTM

CONFFOE

CONF

Comp-Att-Yds

8-20-259

7-12-116Comp-Att-Yds

21-30-20710-27-295

Page 19: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 81 9/2 20-11 W 129 125 120 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 118 123 9/1 17-3 W 32 71 94 52 96 471-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 82 118 9/9 129 127 120 46 52 94 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 122 81 9/9 46 52 94 129 127 120

0-1 0-0 96 9/16 63 66 85 9/160-0 0-0 111 9/23 116 88 57 #69 #82 1-0 0-0 138 9/23 15 21 730-1 0-0 109 9/30 111 91 119 #114 #85 1-0 0-0 118 9/30 25 22 850-1 0-0 96 10/7 122 106 106 #106 #97 1-0 0-0 113 10/7 22 102 971-0 0-0 103 10/12 104 99 80 #103 #107 1-1 0-0 120 10/14 60 82 104

10/21 #1 #116 1-0 0-0 124 10/21 18 50 7396 10/28 127 128 128 #22 #47 1-0 0-0 112 10/28 74 60 61

0-1 0-0 102 11/4 56 104 110 #57 #105 1-0 0-0 113 11/4 47 48 900-1 0-0 96 11/11 124 117 130 #33 #79 1-0 0-0 137 11/11 8 13 250-1 0-0 112 11/18 84 55 63 #31 #9 11/180-1 0-0 105 11/25 98 61 85 #11 #47 1-0 0-0 117 11/25 59 25 27

#69 #91-1 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Houston Baptist 20-11 32 -2 -1 18 41-155 3.8 18-28 135 0 20 40-59 1.5 21-34 199 5 † Colorado St 17-3 -52 -4 1 19 38-143 3.8 21-29 202 5 23 33-88 2.7 24-47 309 2at Colorado Texas St Appalachian St Northern Colorado UTSA Washingtonat Wyoming at UCLA ULM Arizonaat Louisiana at Oregon St Bye at Washington Stat Coastal Carolina California New Mexico St at Arizona St Georgia St USCat Arkansas St Byeat Troy at Utah

Average 20-11 32.0 -2.0 -1.0 18 41-155 3.8 64.3% 135 0.0% 20 40-59 1.5 61.8% 199 14.7% Average 17-3 -52.0 -4.0 1.0 19 38-143 3.8 72.4% 202 17.2% 23 33-88 2.7 51.1% 309 4.3% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

Houston Baptist Damian Williams 18-28-135-0-1 Anthony Smith 7-71-10.1-1 Elijah King 4-85-21.3-0 † Colorado St Steven Montez 21-29-202-1-2 Phillip Lindsay 19-140-7.4-1 Shay Fields 6-78-13.0-1at Colorado Texas St Appalachian St vs. Northern Colorado UTSA Washingtonat Wyoming at UCLA ULM vs. Arizonaat Louisiana at Oregon St Bye at Washington Stat Coastal Carolina vs. California New Mexico St at Arizona St Georgia St USCat Arkansas St vs. Byeat Troy at Utah

vs.

Damian Williams 18-28-135-0-1 Anthony Smith 7-71-10.1-1 Elijah King 4-85-21.3-0 Steven Montez 21-29-202-1-2 Phillip Lindsay 19-140-7.4-1 Shay Fields 6-78-13.0-1Damian Williams 13-43-3.3-1 Tyler Watts 6-23-3.8-0 vs. Michael Adkins 4-10-2.5-0 Bryce Bobo 8-49-6.1-0Robert Brown Jr 11-32-2.9-0 Mason Hays 1-9-9.0-0 Beau Bisharat 1-2-2.0-0 Jay MacIntyre 1-28-28.0-0

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

126 Texas St

Colorado Leaders

Phil's Forecast:

Texas St is 3-2 in road openers including upsetting Houston in 2012 and last year they stunned Ohio their only win vs an FBS team all year. Colorado has just 12 ret starters from a 10 win team that played in the P12 title game and are just #88 on my Exp Chart. Texas St has 13 ret starters but is #117 on my Exp Chart. Texas St lost 5 road games last year by an avg of 26 ppg. Colorado needs to get their young team up to speed for P12 play and only has NColorado on deck so they should give good effort. Last week Colorado benefited from 3 pass interfence penalties on Colo St which basically wiped out 21 Colo St points. Texas St starts a 260 lb true frosh NT and Colorado is 10-2 vs the Vegas number when favored at home.

Texas St QB/WR

vs. SUN Buffalos Logs

0.73

Colorado DB's

TM +/-FOE +/-

Defense

--PS RANK--

Colorado by 37 Colorado 44 Texas St 7By 11.70 Points

Phil SteeleColorado

8 pointsColorado Pts

Texas St

88 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

0.00

Texas St PtsProjected Final Score11.70

Colorado

Colorado 42

44 points

Team Schedule Strength

Experience Rankings117 Texas St

Colorado

Colorado

Team & Margin

571 yards

339 yardsProjected Yardage Total

217 yards Texas St Colorado

131 yards Texas St

Colorado 571-217

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Colorado 44-8

Colorado By 46.4

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total58 Points

+/- Ratings

Colorado By 35.5

Colorado By 43.8

Game Grade

Texas St Coaches

3.01

0.35

2.05

Colorado Coaches

Texas St K0.55Texas St

Projected Rushing87 yards Colorado 232 yards

Projected Passing Colorado K

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Texas St LeadersColorado QB/WR

Colorado ST's

Texas St DB's

Texas St ST's

1.09

Colorado RB's

Texas St DL1.40

Colorado OLTexas St LB'S

0.38

Colorado DL

2.15

Colorado LB's

Texas St RB's

Texas St OL

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

Texas St Colorado

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

TM CONF

TM CONF

0-0FOE CONF

TM +/-

Score

0-0TM REC FOE REC

FOE +/-

AP

Houston Baptist 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Colorado

Texas St

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE CONF

TEAMAPFOE

OVERALL: Colorado Buffalos1-0 1-0OVERALL:

vs. PAC 12

† Colorado St

Colorado Texas St

Appalachian St Northern Colorado UTSA Rush Off Washingtonat Wyoming Pass Off at UCLA ULM Total Off Arizonaat Louisiana Score Off at Oregon St

Sks Allowed at Washington Stat Coastal Carolina Rush Def California Bye

Pass Def at Arizona StTotal Def USCScore Def ByeSks By at Utah Ypg Diff

Total TO's

Texas

St

Bo

bca

ts

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Co

lora

do

Bu

ffalo

s

Net Offense

Score

FOE REC

Net Offense

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

at Arkansas St

New Mexico St Georgia St

at Troy

Texas St BobcatsBobcats Logs

TM REC

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Page 20: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 95 9/2 38-7 W 128 114 121 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 101 104 9/2 21-24 L 105 128 59 88 107 991-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 97 101 9/9 128 95 121 109 124 59 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 101 95 9/9 109 124 59 128 95 121

1-0 0-0 96 9/16 127 128 128 9/161-0 0-0 98 9/23 102 98 81 #27 #61 1-0 0-0 124 9/23 78 74 2

9/30 #103 #82 0-1 0-0 118 9/30 108 72 851-0 0-0 114 10/7 69 87 44 #70 #81 0-1 0-0 101 10/7 117 97 940-1 0-0 98 10/14 92 90 50 #47 #101 10/140-1 0-0 96 10/21 120 118 123 #93 #93 1-0 0-0 106 10/21 71 89 1100-1 0-0 104 10/28 91 85 66 #12 #30 1-0 0-0 112 10/26 49 73 560-1 0-0 102 11/4 121 107 85 #29 #33 1-0 0-0 106 11/2 94 80 510-0 0-0 111 11/11 116 88 57 #16 #22 0-1 0-0 109 11/9 103 86 750-1 0-0 128 11/18 35 18 3 #15 #66 0-1 0-0 99 11/16 123 108 1250-1 0-0 93 11/25 126 125 117 #27 #19 0-1 0-0 116 11/21 97 83 92

#28 #450 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Alabama A&M 38-7 241 14 0 23 58-259 4.5 12-22 165 3 9 33-45 1.4 13-29 138 3 at Illinois 21-24 159 7 -1 21 51-171 3.4 21-34 204 3 14 30-71 2.4 10-19 145 4at Ball St UAB Coastal Carolina Tennessee Techat North Texas at WKU Bye at Western Michigan Louisiana Tech at Akron Middle Tennessee Byeat Charlotte Central Michiganat Southern Miss Toledo Rice at Eastern Michiganat UTSA at Northern Illinoisat Florida Buffalo UTEP Miami, OH

Average 38-7 241.0 14.0 0.0 23 58-259 4.5 54.5% 165 13.6% 9 33-45 1.4 44.8% 138 10.3% Average 21-24 159.0 7.0 -1.0 21 51-171 3.4 61.8% 204 8.8% 14 30-71 2.4 52.6% 145 21.1% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

Alabama A&M A.J Erdely 11-20-152-2-0 Carlos Stephens 15-76-5.1-0 Collin Lisa 3-43-14.3-0 at Illinois Riley Neal 21-34-204-1-1 James Gilbert 19-74-3.9-1 Riley Miller 7-86-12.3-0at Ball St UAB Coastal Carolina vs. Tennessee Techat North Texas at WKU Bye at Western Michigan Louisiana Tech vs. at Akron Middle Tennessee Byeat Charlotte Central Michiganat Southern Miss vs. Toledo Rice at Eastern Michiganat UTSA at Northern Illinoisat Florida vs. Buffalo UTEP Miami, OH

vs.

A.J Erdely 11-20-152-2-0 Carlos Stephens 15-76-5.1-0 Collin Lisa 3-43-14.3-0 Riley Neal 21-34-204-1-1 James Gilbert 19-74-3.9-1 Riley Miller 7-86-12.3-0Tyler Johnston III 1-2-13-0-0 James Noble III 13-74-5.7-0 Andre Wilson 2-29-14.5-1 vs. Caleb Huntley 8-42-5.3-0 Justin Hall 2-36-18.0-0

Spencer Brown 7-42-6.0-1 Sederian Copeland 1-26-26.0-1 Riley Neal 15-41-2.7-0 Nolan Givan 3-22-7.3-1Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

UAB ST's

Ball St ST's

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Team Schedule Strength108 UAB Ball St 63

Ball St RB's

UAB DB's0.34

Ball St QB/WR

vs. CUSA vs. MAC

0.49

UAB QB/WR

Ball St DB's

UAB Ball St

TM CONF

FOE CONF

UAB Blazers

FOE CONF

TM +/-FOE +/-

AP

Ball St by 12 Ball St 33 UAB 21By 0.79 Points

Ball St Pts

Phil SteeleBall St

Computer PointsBall St 31-23

2.95

UAB Pts

UAB Ball St 105 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

3.74Computer Yards

UAB Ball St 31 pointsExperience Rankings

23 points

Ball St Coaches357 yards UAB Ball StProjected Yardage Total 1.25

UAB Coaches

Projected Rushing

188 yards+/- Ratings

250 yards

Ball St 202 yardsUAB K

1.50

Ball St K

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

UAB has lost 11 str road openers by 20 ppg. The Blazers have dropped 23 str non-conference away gms (last win in ‘05 at Troy). BSU has won 7 str home openers by 16 ppg, last loss in ‘09 vs NT 20-10. In Clarks only year at UAB (2014) they upset both WKU and Fla Atlantic on the road and Ball St is a poor 2-9 as a HF. UAB is off a huge home win in their first game back in front of 40,000+. My computer had them beating Ala A&M 45-15 and they won 38-7 with a 424-183 yard edge. Ball St is much improved and had a 375-216 yard edge at Illinois but gave up a late td and missed a tying fg at the end. 1st team MAC RB Gilbert was injured 3Q last week.

Ball St By 14.5

54.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

Ball St By 6.8

Ball St By 74.7

Ball St 453-357

Game Grade

Ball St Leaders

Team & Margin

UAB DL0.27

Ball St OL

0.50

UAB LB'S0.87

UAB OL0.26

Ball St DL

1.21

UAB RB's

Ball St LB's

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

Defense

Score Score

TEAM --PS RANK--0-0FOE 0-0TM REC FOE REC

Cardinals Logs

TM +/-FOE +/-

AP TEAM TM CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS

FOE

FOE

0-1 Ball St Cardinals1-0OVERALL: OVERALL:

Alabama A&M 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Illinoisat Ball St

UAB Ball St UAB

Coastal Carolina Tennessee Techat North Texas Rush Off at WKU Bye Pass Off at Western Michigan Louisiana Tech Total Off at Akron Middle Tennessee Score Off Byeat Charlotte Sks Allowed Central Michiganat Southern Miss Rush Def Toledo Rice Pass Def at Eastern Michiganat UTSA Total Def at Northern Illinoisat Florida Score Def Buffalo UTEP Sks By Miami, OH

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Net Offense Defense

UA

B B

laze

rs

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ball

St

Card

inals

Net Offense

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

UAB Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Passing Rushing

Projected Final Score

169 yards UABProjected Passing

UAB Ball St

TM REC FOE REC

Blazers Logs--PS RANK--

453 yards

130

Page 21: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 98 119 9/2 6-28 L 56 88 50 65 54 70 0-0 0-0 114 9/1 50-7 W 72 65 680-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 98 114 9/9 92 90 50 67 58 68 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 98 9/9 67 58 68 92 90 50

1-0 0-0 123 9/16 86 46 4 1-0 0-0 106 9/16 71 89 1100-1 0-0 106 9/23 113 122 65 #124 #69 1-0 0-0 130 9/23 19 5 90-1 0-0 97 9/30 76 119 93 #102 #6 0-1 0-0 127 9/30 29 19 360-1 0-0 103 10/7 115 111 82 #123 #17 1-0 0-0 120 10/7 37 71 281-0 0-0 95 10/14 128 95 121 #127 #25 1-0 0-0 138 10/13 14 4 831-0 0-0 99 10/20 93 43 55 #116 #28 1-0 0-0 133 10/21 20 8 16

10/28 #30 #18 10/280-1 0-0 93 11/4 126 125 117 #101 #24 0-1 0-0 138 11/4 28 3 110-1 0-0 96 11/11 120 118 123 #65 #12 1-0 0-0 119 11/11 81 59 301-0 0-0 124 11/17 78 74 2 #83 #15 1-0 0-0 123 11/18 24 10 341-0 0-0 107 11/25 90 105 54 #74 #47 1-0 0-0 116 11/25 75 30 67

#108 #8-1 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Vanderbilt 6-28 -152 -1 -1 14 26-49 1.9 18-31 166 5 15 35-71 2.0 20-28 296 1 Central Conn St 50-7 419 26 -1 34 41-155 3.8 37-52 431 1 8 30-54 1.8 12-27 113 2at Syracuse Middle Tennesseeat Minnesota Central Michigan Bowling Green at LSUat Florida Atlantic at NC State FIU Pittsburghat UAB Clemson Marshall at Miami, Fl Bye Bye UTEP at Florida Stat Charlotte Wake Forestat WKU at Louisville Old Dominion Boston College

Average 6-28 -152.0 -1.0 -1.0 14 26-49 1.9 58.1% 166 16.1% 15 35-71 2.0 71.4% 296 3.6% Average 50-7 419.0 26.0 -1.0 34 41-155 3.8 71.2% 431 1.9% 8 30-54 1.8 44.4% 113 7.4% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 50-7 419.0 26.0 -1.0 34 41-155 3.8 71.2% 431 1.9% 8 30-54 1.8 44.4% 113 7.4%

Vanderbilt Brent Stockstill 18-31-166-1-1 Maurice Gordon 7-26-3.7-0 Richie James 10-112-11.2-1 Central Conn St Eric Dungey 28-36-328-3-0 Eric Dungey 9-51-5.7-2 Steve Ishmael 12-134-11.2-0at Syracuse Middle Tennesseeat Minnesota vs. Central Michigan Bowling Green at LSUat Florida Atlantic at NC State FIU vs. Pittsburghat UAB Clemson Marshall at Miami, Fl Bye vs. Bye UTEP at Florida Stat Charlotte Wake Forestat WKU vs. at Louisville Old Dominion Boston College

vs.

Brent Stockstill 18-31-166-1-1 Maurice Gordon 7-26-3.7-0 Richie James 10-112-11.2-1 Eric Dungey 28-36-328-3-0 Eric Dungey 9-51-5.7-2 Steve Ishmael 12-134-11.2-0Shane Tucker 2-21-10.5-0 Patrick Smith 3-29-9.7-0 vs. Rex Culpepper 9-16-103-0-0 Markenzy Pierre 9-46-5.1-0 Ervin Philips 6-71-11.8-1Richie James 2-14-7.0-0 Shane Tucker 1-9-9.0-0 Dontae Strickland 12-38-3.2-1 Devin C Butler 4-54-13.5-0

Category

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Game GradeSyracuse By 4.5

Computer YardsSyracuse 533-385

69

Syracuse 44 Middle Tennessee 30By 1.61 Points

Syracuse 37-26

Phil SteeleSyracuse

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Syracuse by 14

Computer Points

124Team Schedule Strength

49 Middle Tenn Syracuse

Middle Tenn

37 pointsExperience Rankings

Syracuse 24

368 yards

Projected Final Score1.97

0.40

272 yards Middle Tenn Syracuse

26 points Middle Tenn Syracuse

385 yards Middle Tenn SyracuseProjected Yardage Total

533 yards

Phil's Forecast:

Syracuse By 19.3Middle Tenn Coaches

Syracuse K

First mtg. Middle Tennessee is just 3-19 in road openers incl dropping 4 str the L/4 yrs vs Power 5 schools by 20 ppg. Syracuse is in Dino Babers 2nd season after drastic changes on both offense and defense last year and now has 19 ret starters and are #24 on my Exp Chart. Middle has weapons on offense to turn this into a shootout with QB Stockstill and WR James but they only posess my #90 defense. Syracuse will be focused off a FCS foe with only Cental Michigan on deck. My computer had Syracuse beating Cent Conn St 58-6 so don’t overreact to their 50-7 win. Middle was hyped for their home game vs Vandy but lost by 22 and were outgained 367-215.

Middle Tenn Pts

Syracuse Pts

Syracuse Coaches

3.58

166 yardsProjected Passing

113 yards Middle Tenn Syracuse

Syracuse Leaders

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total76.5 Points

1.93

Team & Margin

Syracuse By 9.5

+/- Ratings

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Middle Tenn ST's0.16

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Syracuse ST's

0.55

Middle Tenn K

Middle Tenn DB's

Syracuse QB/WR

0.25Middle Tenn LB'S

Syracuse RB's

0.29

0.48

Middle Tenn OL

Syracuse DLMiddle Tenn DL

Syracuse OL

Middle Tenn RB's1.19

Syracuse LB's

Middle Tenn Syracuse

0.29

Middle Tenn QB/WR

Syracuse DB's

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

AP TEAM

Defense

Score Score

TM REC FOE RECTM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/-

vs. CUSA vs. ACC Orangemen Logs--PS RANK--TM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/-

FOE +/-

FOE

FOEFOE REC

NCAA RANKINGSFOE 0-0 0-0

TM REC

OVERALL: OVERALL: Syracuse Orangemen0-1 1-0Middle Tenn Blue Raiders

Central Conn Stat Syracuse

Middle Tenn Syracuse Middle Tennessee

at Minnesota Central Michigan

Vanderbilt 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Rush Off at LSUat Florida Atlantic Pass Off at NC State Bowling Green

Total Off Pittsburghat UAB Score Off Clemson FIU

Sks Allowed at Miami, Fl Bye Rush Def Bye Marshall

Pass Def at Florida Stat Charlotte Total Def Wake Forest UTEP

Score Def at Louisville Old Dominion Sks By Boston Collegeat WKU

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Net Offense Defense

Mid

dle

Ten

n B

lue R

aid

ers

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Syr

acu

se O

ran

gem

en

Net Offense

Blue Raiders Logs

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

FOE

Middle Tenn Leaders

Page 22: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 135 2 8/31 21-49 L 74 31 32 3 4 46 0-0 0-0 111 9/2 28-10 W 108 47 830-1 1-0 0-1 0-0 113 111 9/9 85 42 32 106 57 83 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-1 112 113 9/9 106 57 83 85 42 32

0-1 0-0 103 9/16 115 111 82 1-0 0-0 96 9/16 107 70 1240-1 0-0 96 9/23 125 126 62 #129 #100 1-0 0-0 108 9/22 66 62 1131-0 0-0 137 9/30 4 12 8 #8 #52 9/30

10/7 #62 #95 1-0 0-0 119 10/7 51 51 1101-0 0-0 125 10/14 44 9 37 #101 #80 0-1 0-0 119 10/14 61 31 631-0 0-0 112 10/21 58 35 118 #116 #93 1-0 0-0 116 10/21 75 30 671-0 0-0 106 10/28 45 40 35 #119 #90 1-0 0-0 120 10/28 37 71 281-0 0-0 137 11/4 41 11 38 #103 #10 0-1 0-0 123 11/4 38 56 1051-0 0-0 104 11/11 96 93 99 #123 #27 1-0 0-0 123 11/11 24 10 340-1 0-0 102 11/18 99 76 69 #120 #26 1-0 0-0 133 11/18 20 8 160-1 0-0 111 11/25 83 63 79 #74 #47 1-0 0-0 127 11/24 77 14 18

#110 #56-3 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Ohio St 21-49 -159 -1 -3 25 27-17 0.6 42-68 420 5 26 51-292 5.7 20-35 304 1 William & Mary 28-10 114 7 1 19 32-92 2.9 27-40 262 3 12 41-168 4.1 7-13 72 2at Virginia Indiana FIU Connecticut GA Southern at Boise Stat Penn St Bye Bye Duke Michigan at North Carolinaat Michigan St Boston Collegeat Maryland at Pittsburgh Wisconsin Georgia Techat Illinois at Louisville Rutgers at Miami, Flat Purdue Virginia Tech

Average 21-49 -159.0 -1.0 -3.0 25 27-17 0.6 61.8% 420 7.4% 26 51-292 5.7 57.1% 304 2.9% Average 28-10 114.0 7.0 1.0 19 32-92 2.9 67.5% 262 7.5% 12 41-168 4.1 53.8% 72 15.4% Conference 21-49 -159.0 -1.0 -3.0 25 27-17 0.6 61.8% 420 7.4% 26 51-292 5.7 57.1% 304 2.9% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 28-10 114.0 7.0 1.0 19 32-92 2.9 67.5% 262 7.5% 12 41-168 4.1 53.8% 72 15.4%

Ohio St Richard Lagow 40-65-410-3-2 Morgan Ellison 7-24-3.4-0 Simmie Cobbs 11-149-13.5-1 William & Mary Kurt Benkert 27-39-262-3-0 Jordan Ellis 20-80-4.0-1 Doni Dowling 6-76-12.7-0at Virginia Indiana FIU vs. Connecticut GA Southern at Boise Stat Penn St Bye Bye vs. Duke Michigan at North Carolinaat Michigan St Boston Collegeat Maryland vs. at Pittsburgh Wisconsin Georgia Techat Illinois at Louisville Rutgers vs. at Miami, Flat Purdue Virginia Tech

vs.

Richard Lagow 40-65-410-3-2 Morgan Ellison 7-24-3.4-0 Simmie Cobbs 11-149-13.5-1 Kurt Benkert 27-39-262-3-0 Jordan Ellis 20-80-4.0-1 Doni Dowling 6-76-12.7-0Peyton Ramsey 2-3-10-0-0 Peyton Ramsey 3-10-3.3-0 Luke Timian 10-72-7.2-0 vs. TEAM 0-1-0-0-0 Daniel Hamm 7-35-5.0-0 Olamide Zaccheaus 5-56.1-11.2-1

Mike Majette 7-6-0.9-0 Donavan Hale 5-67-13.4-0 TEAM 1--2--2.0-0 Andre Levrone 2-56-28.0-1Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Indiana 27 Virginia 20By 1.78 Points

Phil SteeleIndiana by 7

Indiana 404-355Computer Yards

Computer PointsIndiana 25-20

Projected Final Score4.15

98

77 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Team Schedule StrengthIndiana

VirginiaIndiana Pts

2.37IndianaExperience Rankings Virginia Pts

Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade

404 yards Indiana Virginia 355 yards Virginia Coaches

+/- RatingsProjected Passing

1.37

Indiana K

Virginia K

Projected Rushing113 yards Indiana Virginia 86 yards

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

UVA is 27-12 hosting non-conference foes. Indiana is off a loss to powerful Ohio St but has 15 ret starters and is #47 on my Exp Chart. Virginia beat an FCS foe and has 13 ret starters and is #77 on my Exp Chart. Indy was a slight favorite at a similar ACC team in 2015 and won at Wake by 7. Virginia lost to FCS Richmond last year 37-20 but this year beat William & Mary 28-10 with a 369-240 yard edge on a cold rainy day. UVA is having fg problems and went for it on 4th down after a bad miss on a 42 yd fg. Kurt Benkart hit 27-39-262-3-0 vs a W&M team that was 5-6 last year. Indy has the edge on offense, defense and special teams and grabs the road win despite WR Westbrook being lost for the year.

Virginia ST's Indiana By 3

57 Points

Indiana Coaches1.00

Virginia By 2.3

Indiana By 7.9

Virginia Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score 0.05

Indiana ST's Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total

Indiana Leaders 0.25Indiana DB's

Virginia QB/WR

1.15Indiana LB'S

Virginia RB's

0.28

Indiana DL

Virginia OL

Indiana OL0.15

Virginia DL

Indiana RB's1.22

Virginia LB's

Indiana Virginia

1.05

Indiana QB/WR

Virginia DB's

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

Defense

Score Score

Total TO'sYpg Diff

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM--PS RANK-- FOE FOE

+/-AP0-1

vs. ACC Cavaliers Logs

TM REC FOE RECTM

CONFFOE

CONFFOE--PS RANK--0-0

TM +/-

OVERALL: OVERALL: Virginia Cavaliers0-1 1-0vs. BIG 10

Ohio St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS William & Maryat Virginia

Indiana Virginia Indiana

FIU Connecticut GA Southern Rush Off at Boise Stat Penn St Pass Off Bye Bye Total Off Duke Michigan Score Off at North Carolinaat Michigan St Sks Allowed Boston Collegeat Maryland Rush Def at Pittsburgh Wisconsin Pass Def Georgia Techat Illinois Total Def at Louisville Rutgers Score Def at Miami, Flat Purdue Sks By Virginia Tech

Net Offense Defense

Ind

ian

a H

oo

siers

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Vir

gin

ia C

ava

liers

Net Offense

AP

Indiana HoosiersHoosiers Logs

TM REC FOE RECTEAMTM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/-

FOE +/-

25 points

291 yards Indiana Virginia 269 yards

20 points

47

4 Indiana Virginia

Indiana Virginia

Page 23: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 120 9/2 28-21 W 29 76 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 101 6 9/2 52-0 W 4 18 8 89 83 941-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 137 4 9/9 37 71 28 4 12 8 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 139 120 4 9/9 4 12 8 37 71 28

1-0 0-0 133 9/16 5 41 98 0-1 0-0 96 9/16 124 117 1300-1 0-0 123 9/23 38 56 105 #51 #32 1-0 0-0 120 9/23 68 23 400-1 0-0 102 9/30 121 107 85 #112 #24 0-1 0-1 113 9/30 85 42 321-0 0-0 114 10/7 67 58 68 #96 #18 1-0 0-0 124 10/7 26 28 1150-1 0-0 127 10/14 29 19 36 #80 #20 10/141-0 0-0 119 10/21 51 51 110 #93 #1 1-0 0-0 125 10/21 44 9 371-0 0-0 111 10/28 106 57 83 #58 #32 1-0 1-0 135 10/28 3 2 46

11/4 #107 #11 1-0 0-0 112 11/4 58 35 1180-1 0-0 119 11/9 61 31 63 #84 #11 0-1 0-0 102 11/11 99 76 691-0 0-0 127 11/18 77 14 18 #59 #1 1-0 0-0 115 11/18 50 32 421-0 0-0 133 11/24 20 8 16 #74 #27 1-0 0-0 106 11/25 45 40 35

#95 #100 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Youngstown St 28-21 -70 5 0 24 53-208 3.9 17-24 140 3 19 26-107 4.1 18-32 311 1 Akron 52-0 410 12 0 24 34-247 7.3 21-31 322 0 12 34-73 2.1 14-29 86 3at Penn St Pittsburgh Oklahoma St Georgia Stat Georgia Tech at Iowa Rice Indianaat Syracuse at Northwestern NC State Byeat Duke Michigan Virginia at Ohio St Bye at Michigan St North Carolina Rutgersat Virginia Tech Nebraska Miami, Fl at Maryland

Average 28-21 -70.0 5.0 0.0 24 53-208 3.9 70.8% 140 12.5% 19 26-107 4.1 56.3% 311 3.1% Average 52-0 410.0 12.0 0.0 24 34-247 7.3 67.7% 322 0.0% 12 34-73 2.1 48.3% 86 10.3% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 52-0 410.0 12.0 0.0 24 34-247 7.3 67.7% 322 0.0% 12 34-73 2.1 48.3% 86 10.3%

Youngstown St Max Browne 17-24-140-1-0 Qadree Ollison 22-91-4.1-2 Qadree Ollison 5-35-7.0-0 Akron Trace McSorley 18-25-280-2-1 Saquon Barkley 14-172-12.3-2 Juwan Johnson 4-84-21.0-0at Penn St Pittsburgh Oklahoma St vs. Georgia Stat Georgia Tech at Iowa Rice Indianaat Syracuse vs. at Northwestern NC State Byeat Duke Michigan Virginia vs. at Ohio St Bye at Michigan St North Carolina Rutgersat Virginia Tech vs. Nebraska Miami, Fl at Maryland

vs.

Max Browne 17-24-140-1-0 Qadree Ollison 22-91-4.1-2 Qadree Ollison 5-35.1-7.0-0 Trace McSorley 18-25-280-2-1 Saquon Barkley 14-172-12.3-2 Juwan Johnson 4-84-21.0-0Quadree Henderson 9-77-8.6-0 Matt Flanagan 2-35-17.5-0 vs. Tommy Stevens 3-6-42-0-0 Trace McSorley 12-48-4.0-1 DaeSean Hamilton 3-74-24.7-0Darrin Hall 13-52-4.0-0 Maurice Ffrench 3-19-6.3-0 Tommy Stevens 4-16.1-4.0-1 Mike Gesicki 6-58-9.7-2

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Pittsburgh - -5 42 19 56-341

Penn St - 47.5 39 20 31-74 -2

vs.

vs.

vs.

84 Pittsburgh Penn St 68 Penn St by 23 Penn St 44 Pittsburgh 21By 8.68 Points

Penn St Phil Steele

Computer Yards

Penn St 47-23

9.78 Penn St 591-322

Computer Points123 Pittsburgh Penn St 11 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Team Schedule Strength

Projected Final Score

Experience Rankings Penn St PtsPittsburgh 1.10

Pittsburgh Pts23 points Penn St 47 points

Penn St By 11.1Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade322 yards Pittsburgh Penn St 591 yards Penn St Coaches

Pittsburgh Penn St 382 yards181 yards

24-35-332

Phil's Forecast:

It is great to see this long time rivalry (142 miles apart) renewed. Last year Pitt led 28-7 early 2Q but PSU cut it to 3 w/5:00 left. PSU forced a punt but on 2nd&9 from the Pitt31 tossed an int in the EZ w/1:15 (Pitt ran out the clock). Penn St was on the road for that and now at home with this being by far their most important non conf game. Pitt did knock off both Penn St and Clemson last year but has just 10 ret starters and is #123 on my Exp Chart while Penn St has 15 ret starters and is #11 on my Exp Chart. Pitt led Youngstown St (in LY’s FCS title game) 21-0 but needed OT to win and Max Browne threw for just 140 yards. My power ratings are calling this at 24 but I will knock that down a little with Pitt being a large rivalry dog. Penn State has covered 11 in a row vs the Las Vegas number and when you play on a streak you can win many times and lose only once.

Projected Rushing141 yards Pittsburgh Penn St 209 yards

Projected Passing

Pittsburgh K

1.00

Penn St By 24.0

Penn St Leaders

2.35Las Vegas Total

Penn St K66.5 Points

+/- RatingsPittsburgh Coaches

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Pittsburgh ST's Team & Margin

Las Vegas LinePenn St ST's Penn St By 21

Pittsburgh LB'S2.29

Penn St RB's

Pittsburgh DB's1.94

Penn St QB/WR

1.10

Pittsburgh DL1.03

Penn St OL

Pittsburgh OL0.11

Penn St DL

Pittsburgh RB's0.81

Penn St LB's

Pittsburgh Penn StPittsburgh QB/WR

0.25

Penn St DB's

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

FOE

Defense

Score Score

Pittsburgh Georgia St

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Akron

Pittsburgh Penn St

vs. ACC vs. BIG 10 Nittany Lions LogsFOE

CONFFOE +/-

AP TEAM FOE

NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--0-0 0-0TM REC

FOEFOE REC

TM CONF

TM +/-

OVERALL: OVERALL: Penn St Nittany Lions1-0 1-0

Oklahoma St

Youngstown Stat Penn St

Rush Off at Iowa Rice Pass Off Indianaat Georgia Tech

Total Off at Northwestern NC State Score Off Byeat Syracuse

Sks Allowed Michigan Virginia Rush Def at Ohio Stat Duke

Pass Def at Michigan St North Carolina Total Def Rutgers Bye

Score Def Nebraska Miami, Fl Sks By at Marylandat Virginia Tech

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Pit

tsb

urg

h P

an

thers

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Pen

n S

t N

itta

ny

Lio

ns

Net Offense

Panthers Logs

Pittsburgh Panthers

Pittsburgh Leaders

TM REC FOE RECTM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/-

FOE +/-

AP

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

11-15-91

Page 24: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 99 9/2 66-0 W 110 121 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 141 138 1 3 9/2 24-7 W 1 2 24 11 1 111-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 141 1 9/9 88 103 39 9 1 24 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 144 99 1 9/9 9 1 24 88 103 39

1-0 0-0 138 9/16 15 21 73 1-1 0-0 119 9/16 52 96 479/23 #54 #60 1-0 0-0 119 9/23 72 38 70

0-1 0-0 108 9/30 112 113 109 #11 #120 1-0 0-0 116 9/30 23 44 211-1 0-0 103 10/7 105 112 52 #11 #111 0-1 0-0 119 10/7 36 17 61-0 0-0 106 10/14 62 121 14 #3 #92 1-0 0-0 120 10/14 21 45 1021-0 0-0 117 10/21 79 49 10 #1 #67 1-0 0-0 122 10/21 39 39 50-1 0-0 98 10/28 57 130 102 #1 #10 10/281-1 0-1 121 11/4 73 33 15 #39 #65 1-0 0-0 130 11/4 19 5 92-0 0-0 103 11/11 82 115 122 #9 #31 1-0 0-0 117 11/11 34 34 1070-1 0-0 109 11/18 111 91 119 #1 #15 11/181-0 0-0 108 11/25 66 62 113 #47 #27 1-0 0-0 128 11/25 6 7 7

#6 #75+2 +3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Incarnate Word 66-0 465 18 2 26 40-199 5.0 23-37 414 0 8 26--7 -0.3 15-31 155 2 † Florida St 24-7 19 -2 3 13 42-173 4.1 10-18 96 2 15 27-40 1.5 19-33 210 3at Alabama Fresno Stat Washington Colorado St Bye at Vanderbilt Nevada Mississippiat San Jose St at Texas A&M New Mexico Arkansasat San Diego St Tennessee UNLV Bye BYU LSUat Hawaii at Miss Stat Wyoming Mercer Boise St at Auburn

Average 66-0 465.0 18.0 2.0 26 40-199 5.0 62.2% 414 0.0% 8 26--7 -0.3 48.4% 155 6.5% Average 24-7 19.0 -2.0 3.0 13 42-173 4.1 55.6% 96 11.1% 15 27-40 1.5 57.6% 210 9.1% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

Incarnate Word Chason Virgil 16-29-246-1-0 Ronnie Rivers 9-60-6.7-1 KeeSean Johnson 7-120-17.1-0 † Florida St Jalen Hurts 10-18-96-1-0 Damien Harris 9-73-8.1-1 Calvin Ridley 7-82-11.7-1at Alabama Fresno Stat Washington vs. Colorado St Bye at Vanderbilt Nevada Mississippiat San Jose St vs. at Texas A&M New Mexico Arkansasat San Diego St Tennessee UNLV vs. Bye BYU LSUat Hawaii at Miss Stat Wyoming vs. Mercer Boise St at Auburn

vs.

Chason Virgil 16-29-246-1-0 Ronnie Rivers 9-60-6.7-1 KeeSean Johnson 7-120-17.1-0 Jalen Hurts 10-18-96-1-0 Damien Harris 9-73-8.1-1 Calvin Ridley 7-82-11.7-1Marcus McMaryion 6-7-103-2-0 Jordan Mims 8-38-4.8-1 Jared Rice 1-65-65.0-1 vs. Jalen Hurts 15-55-3.7-0 Damien Harris 1-11-11.0-0Josh Hokit 1-1-65-1-0 Dejonte O'Neal 5-37-7.4-0 Jamire Jordan 2-64-32.0-1 Bo Scarbrough 15-40-2.7-0 Bo Scarbrough 1-4-4.0-0

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

125 Fresno St Alabama 3 Alabama by 44 Alabama 47 Fresno St 3By 15.59 Points

Alabama Phil Steele

Computer Yards

Alabama 47-3

16.99 Alabama 594-157

Computer Points28 Fresno St Alabama 67 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Team Schedule Strength

Projected Final Score

Experience Rankings Alabama PtsFresno St 1.40

Fresno St Pts3 points Alabama 47 points

Alabama By 50.8Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade157 yards Fresno St Alabama 594 yards Alabama Coaches

Projected Rushing

Fresno St Alabama 278 yardsProjected Passing

-6 yards Fresno St Alabama

163 yards

Phil's Forecast:

First mtg. Alabama has won 15 str home openers incl 3 shutouts in the L/5 ssns. Bama is off their huge win vs Florida St and the last 7 times Alabama has opened with a neutral site marquee game, only once have they won by more than the Vegas Line and that was by a half point. Last week Bama only had 269 yards vs a top notch Florida St defense but 4 TO’s in a 5 play span (blk punt, fumble KR, B2B ints) sparked them to a 24-7 win. Fresno St has lost their last 3 road openers by 41.3 ppg.

Fresno St K

2.50

Alabama By 46.5

Alabama Leaders

Las Vegas Total

Alabama K53.5 Points

+/- RatingsFresno St Coaches

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Fresno St ST's1.89

Team & Margin

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreLas Vegas Line

Alabama ST's Alabama By 43.5

1.40316 yards

Fresno St LB'S2.22

Alabama RB's

Fresno St DB's2.22

Alabama QB/WR

Fresno St DL2.13

Alabama OL

Fresno St OL2.12

Alabama DL

Fresno St RB's2.50

Alabama LB's

Fresno St QB/WR1.41

Alabama DB's

Receiving

Fresno St Alabama

Rushing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Crimson Tide Logs

FOE FOE

FOE CONF

TM +/-FOE +/-

APTM CONF

TM +/-FOE +/-

FOETEAM --PS RANK--0-0FOE REC

NCAA RANKINGS0-0

TM REC

vs. MTW vs. SEC

OVERALL: OVERALL: Alabama Crimson Tide1-0 1-0Fresno St Bulldogs

TM REC FOE REC

Incarnate Word 2017 TEAM RANKINGS † Florida St

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOETM CONF

FOE CONF

at AlabamaFresno St Alabama

Fresno Stat Washington Colorado St Bye Rush Off at Vanderbilt Nevada Pass Off Mississippi

Total Off at Texas A&M New Mexico Score Off Arkansasat San Jose St

Sks Allowed Tennessee UNLV Rush Def Byeat San Diego St

Pass Def LSUat Hawaii Total Def at Miss St BYU

Score Def Mercer Boise St Sks By at Auburnat Wyoming

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Fresn

o S

t B

ulld

og

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ala

bam

a C

rim

son

Tid

e

Net Offense

Bulldogs Logs

Fresno St Leaders

Page 25: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 107 9/2 43-14 W 107 82 77 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 117 97 9/1 42-19 W 84 101 41 64 113 931-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 109 117 9/9 80 81 77 70 84 41 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 107 9/9 70 84 41 80 81 77

1-0 0-0 139 9/16 2 20 12 9/161-0 0-0 110 9/23 42 92 116 #17 #7 1-0 0-0 111 9/23 101 75 91

9/30 #92 #118 0-1 0-0 116 9/30 55 100 530-1 0-0 116 10/7 55 100 53 #45 #29 1-0 0-0 105 10/7 54 116 130-1 0-0 103 10/14 115 111 82 #36 #38 1-0 0-0 122 10/14 30 69 172-0 0-0 120 10/21 53 36 48 #28 #1 1-0 0-0 109 10/21 65 67 331-0 0-0 122 10/28 30 69 17 #36 #10 10/281-0 0-0 111 11/4 101 75 91 #37 #98 0-1 0-0 116 11/2 95 77 230-1 0-0 101 11/11 110 129 129 #24 #52 1-0 0-0 110 11/11 31 101 1270-0 0-0 119 11/18 43 54 71 #35 #53 1-0 0-0 130 11/18 7 24 491-0 0-0 110 11/25 31 101 127 #27 #47 0-0 0-0 119 11/24 43 54 71

#24 #34 12/2+1 0 1-0 0-0 110 12/9 42 92 116

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Grambling St 43-14 256 16 1 26 51-296 5.8 10-15 185 1 10 22-77 3.5 15-27 148 3 at Florida Atlantic 42-19 200 7 0 23 68-416 6.1 3-10 110 0 16 24-40 1.7 21-33 286 2at Navy Tulane at Oklahoma Bye Army West Point Cincinnati Bye at Tulsa Tulsa Air Forceat FIU at Memphis USF UCFat Memphis Bye Cincinnati at Templeat East Carolina SMU Houston at Notre Dameat SMU at Houston

Bye† Army West Point

Average 43-14 256.0 16.0 1.0 26 51-296 5.8 66.7% 185 6.7% 10 22-77 3.5 55.6% 148 11.1% Average 42-19 200.0 7.0 -1.0 23 68-416 6.1 30.0% 110 0.0% 16 24-40 1.7 63.6% 286 6.1% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

Grambling St Jonathan Banks 10-15-185-3-0 Jonathan Banks 16-69-4.3-1 Dontrell Hilliard 2-77-38.5-1 at Florida Atlantic Zach Abey 3-10-110-1-1 Zach Abey 32-235-7.3-2 Tyler Carmona 1-56-56.0-0at Navy Tulane at Oklahoma vs. Bye Army West Point Cincinnati Bye at Tulsa Tulsa vs. Air Forceat FIU at Memphis USF UCFat Memphis vs. Bye Cincinnati at Templeat East Carolina SMU Houston vs. at Notre Dameat SMU at Houston

Byevs. † Army West Point

Jonathan Banks 10-15-185-3-0 Jonathan Banks 16-69-4.3-1 Dontrell Hilliard 2-77-38.5-1 Zach Abey 3-10-110-1-1 Zach Abey 32-235-7.3-2 Tyler Carmona 1-56-56.0-0Darius Bradwell 6-58.1-9.7-1 Terren Encalade 3-50-16.7-1 vs. Joshua Walker 8-75-9.4-2 Darryl Bonner 1-39-39.0-1Terren Encalade 1-58-58.0-1 Darnell Mooney 2-29-14.5-1 Chris High 16-61-3.8-0 Craig Scott 1-15-15.0-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Tulane - 43.5 14 14 47-240

Navy - -6 21 21 55-287 -22015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Tulane - 54.5 14 21 27-123

Navy - -23.5 31 18 54-133 3

vs.

vs.

Navy ST's Navy By 13

Navy By 14.5+/- Ratings

Tulane Coaches2.00

Navy Coaches

48.5 Points

Navy by 10 Navy 27 Tulane 17By 3.21 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Computer Points

Navy 35-21

Phil Steele

102Team Schedule Strength

Navy99 Tulane Navy 65

Tulane

58 Tulane Navy

Navy 35 points Navy 455-335Projected Final Score

2.52

Tulane Pts5.73

Experience Rankings Navy Pts21 points

Computer Yards

335 yards Tulane Navy 455 yards

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line3-12-21

Navy has won 3 straight. LY down 14-13 Navy all’d TU to drive 39/9pl but their 45 yd fg sailed wide. Navy 10pl later got the gm deciding td w/2:57 left & stopped TU w/2:04. This should be a lower scoring game with both teams running the triple option. Navy was very impressive at FAU with QB Zach Abey rushing for 235 and passing for 110 more. Tulane has a QB that now fits their offense in Kansas St transfer Jonathan Banks and he led them to 481 yards vs a solid FCS Grambling team. After LY’s close game Tulane is #58 on my Exp Chart and Navy is #102 and should be able to keep this one tighter than expected.

122 yards Tulane Navy 123 yards

Navy By 14.9Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade

Navy Leaders

Tulane ST's Team & Margin

0.18

1.53Las Vegas Total

Navy K

Navy QB/WR

Tulane DB's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score 0.45

Tulane KComp-Att-Yds

Tulane Leaders

5-12-59

1.24

Navy RB's

Tulane DL0.78

Navy OLTulane LB'S

0.64

Tulane OL

Navy DL

0.40

Tulane RB's

Navy LB's

1.03

Tulane QB/WR

Navy DB's

Receiving

Tulane Navy

Rushing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FOETEAM

Midshipmen Logs

FOE FOE

FOE CONF

TM +/-FOE +/-

APTEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--0-0FOE REC

NCAA RANKINGS0-0

TM RECFOE TM

CONF

vs. AAC vs. AAC

OVERALL: OVERALL:

Green Wave Logs

Navy Midshipmen1-0 1-0Tulane Green Wave

Projected Rushing213 yards Tulane Navy 331 yards

Projected Passing

Grambling St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Florida Atlanticat Navy

Tulane Navy Tulane

at Oklahoma Bye Army West Point Rush Off Cincinnati Bye Pass Off at Tulsa

Total Off Air Forceat FIU Score Off at Memphis Tulsa

Sks Allowed UCFat Memphis Rush Def Bye USF

Pass Def at Templeat East Carolina Total Def SMU Cincinnati

Score Def at Notre Dameat SMU Sks By at Houston Houston

ByeTotal TO's † Army West Point

Ypg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Tu

lan

e G

reen

Wave

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Navy

Mid

ship

men

Net Offense

27-38-263

8-12-158

TM REC FOE RECTM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/-

FOE +/-

AP

Comp-Att-Yds

Page 26: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 124 9/2 31-17 W 52 77 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 104 101 9/2 24-21 W 88 107 99 105 128 591-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 104 9/9 78 74 2 96 93 99 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 104 124 9/9 96 93 99 78 74 2

1-0 0-0 114 9/16 69 87 44 2-0 0-0 120 9/15 53 36 480-1 0-0 101 9/23 109 124 59 #95 #114 9/23

9/30 #51 #110 1-0 0-0 115 9/29 50 32 420-1 0-0 93 10/7 126 125 117 #89 #122 1-0 0-0 120 10/7 68 23 400-1 0-0 96 10/14 120 118 123 #64 #92 0-1 0-0 102 10/14 99 76 691-0 0-0 107 10/20 90 105 54 #93 #109 1-0 0-0 123 10/21 86 46 40-1 0-0 97 10/28 76 119 93 #8 #93 1-0 0-0 137 10/28 41 11 381-0 0-0 119 11/4 72 38 70 #109 #61 0-1 0-0 111 11/4 83 63 791-0 0-0 99 11/11 93 43 55 #58 #71 0-1 0-1 113 11/11 85 42 320-1 0-0 98 11/17 92 90 50 #45 #59 1-0 1-0 135 11/18 3 2 460-1 0-0 103 11/25 115 111 82 #74 #27 1-0 0-0 124 11/25 26 28 115

#75 #110-1 +1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Eastern Kentucky 31-17 19 -2 -1 20 40-100 2.5 20-31 264 3 22 22-25 1.1 29-48 320 1 Ball St 24-21 -159 -7 1 14 30-71 2.4 10-19 145 4 21 51-171 3.4 21-34 204 3at Illinois WKU Louisiana Tech at USF Ball St Bye Bye Nebraskaat UTEP at Iowa Charlotte Rutgersat Old Dominion at Minnesota Florida Atlantic Wisconsinat Vanderbilt at Purdueat Marshall Indiana Middle Tennessee at Ohio Stat FIU Northwestern

Average 31-17 19.0 -2.0 -1.0 20 40-100 2.5 64.5% 264 9.7% 22 22-25 1.1 60.4% 320 2.1% Average 24-21 -159.0 -7.0 1.0 14 30-71 2.4 52.6% 145 21.1% 21 51-171 3.4 61.8% 204 8.8% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 24-21 -159.0 -7.0 1.0 14 30-71 2.4 52.6% 145 21.1% 21 51-171 3.4 61.8% 204 8.8%

Eastern Kentucky Mike White 20-31-264-1-0 Marquez Trigg 16-61-3.8-1 Lucky Jackson 5-144-28.8-1 Ball St Chayce Crouch 10-19-145-1-1 Mike Epstein 11-54-4.9-2 Malik Turner 4-48-12.0-0at Illinois WKU Louisiana Tech vs. at USF Ball St Bye Bye Nebraskaat UTEP vs. at Iowa Charlotte Rutgersat Old Dominion at Minnesota Florida Atlantic vs. Wisconsinat Vanderbilt at Purdueat Marshall Indiana Middle Tennessee vs. at Ohio Stat FIU Northwestern

vs.

Mike White 20-31-264-1-0 Marquez Trigg 16-61-3.8-1 Lucky Jackson 5-144-28.8-1 Chayce Crouch 10-19-145-1-1 Mike Epstein 11-54-4.9-2 Malik Turner 4-48-12.0-0D'Andre Ferby 19-57-3.0-2 Deon Yelder 4-40-10.0-0 vs. Kendrick Foster 8-15-1.9-0 Mike Dudek 2-47-23.5-1Mike White 5--18--3.6-0 Nacarius Fant 4-32-8.0-0 Chayce Crouch 11-2-0.2-0 Mike Epstein 2-32-16.0-0

Category

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

WKU - 67.5 34 23 30-103

Illinois - -4.5 42 28 35-64 0

vs.

vs.

vs.

WKU 34 Illinois 26By 3.51 Points

Phil SteeleWKU by 8

WKU 33-27

WKU

Computer Points

Team Schedule Strength107 WKU Illinois 73

27 points

124 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Computer Yards33 points WKU

WKU

Illinois

80 Illinois

WKU By 14.0

WKU By 15.2

WKU 425-392

Projected Final Score6.63

WKU Pts

3.13

Experience Rankings Illinois Pts

425 yards WKU Illinois 392 yards

Las Vegas Total

Illinois K+/- Ratings

WKU Coaches

2.00Game Grade

Illinois Coaches

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

Illinois won the only prior mtg 42-34 (‘14). UI trailed 27-21 into the 4Q but incl a 77 yd IR td scored 21 str until a WKU td w/:26. UI is 24-4 the L10Y hosting non-conf opp’s. Lovie Smith is in his 2nd year but has a depth shy team that is just #124 on my Exp Chart. WKU has a new HC but returns QB Mike White who threw for 4,363 yards (67%, 37-7) and WKU is #80 on my Exp Chart and they have won 10 of their last 14 road games. WKU rates the edge on offense, defense and has a large edge on ST’s (#2 vs #99). The WKU offense was different last week (White under center) with 41 rushes and just 31 passes in a more throwback type of offense and they put up just 31 points on Eastern Kentucky when my computer had forecast them for 49. Sanford did say the play calling could change dramatically from week to week. Ball St had a 21-14 FD edge and 375-216 yard edge vs Illinois last week and WKU is a much stronger team than the Cardinals.

Illinois ST's WKU By 7.5

WKU K

58 Points0.13

Illinois Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score 4.55

WKU ST's Team & Margin

WKU Leaders

Projected Yardage Total

WKU DB's0.69

Illinois QB/WR

146 yards WKU Illinois 137 yards

WKU LB'S0.30

Illinois RB's

Illinois DL

0.10

WKU DL

Illinois OL

WKU OL

Illinois DB's

0.47

WKU RB's

Illinois LB's

Receiving

WKU Illinois

Rushing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE RECTM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/-

FOE +/-

AP

vs. BIG 10 Fighting Illini LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/-

FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

vs. CUSA

Projected Passing278 yards WKU Illinois 255 yards

0.84

WKU QB/WR

0.68

OVERALL: Illinois Fighting Illini1-0 1-0OVERALL:

Projected Rushing

FOE REC

Eastern Kentucky 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Ball Stat Illinois

WKU Illinois WKU

Louisiana Tech at USF Ball St Rush Off Bye Bye Pass Off Nebraskaat UTEP Total Off at Iowa Charlotte Score Off Rutgersat Old Dominion Sks Allowed at Minnesota Florida Atlantic Rush Def Wisconsinat Vanderbilt Pass Def at Purdueat Marshall Total Def Indiana Middle Tennessee Score Def at Ohio Stat FIU Sks By Northwestern

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

WK

U H

illt

op

pers

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Illin

ois

Fig

hti

ng

Illin

i

Net Offense

28-48-297

35-50-456

WKU HilltoppersHilltoppers Logs

TM REC

Page 27: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 111 119 9/2 117 80 57 39 52 71 0-0 0-0 119 9/2 45-48 L 20 38 450-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 111 119 9/9 116 88 57 17 53 45 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 111 9/9 17 53 45 116 88 57

9/16 1-0 0-0 119 9/16 51 51 1101-0 0-0 81 9/23 129 127 120 #66 #29 1-0 0-0 139 9/23 2 20 12

9/30 #76 #43 1-0 0-0 133 9/30 33 68 10-1 0-0 104 10/7 91 85 66 #80 #27 10/71-0 0-0 98 10/14 102 98 81 #78 #33 1-0 0-0 133 10/14 5 41 980-1 0-0 102 10/21 121 107 85 #130 #1 0-1 0-0 118 10/21 27 65 750-1 0-0 93 10/28 126 125 117 #86 #72 0-1 0-0 118 10/28 16 29 200-1 0-0 103 11/4 115 111 82 #77 #128 1-0 0-0 108 11/4 89 94 1001-0 0-0 95 11/11 128 95 121 #76 #120 1-0 0-0 120 11/11 40 79 591-0 0-0 99 11/18 93 43 55 #82 #118 1-0 0-0 120 11/18 48 78 291-0 0-0 114 11/25 69 87 44 #2 #74 1-0 0-0 123 11/24 10 15 26

#83 #92+3 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Houston Postponed Liberty 45-48 -53 -9 -2 22 34-254 7.5 14-30 278 0 31 43-138 3.2 44-60 447 1at Baylor UTSA Southern at Dukeat Texas St Oklahoma Bye at Kansas St Southern Miss Byeat North Texas at Oklahoma St Rice West Virginiaat UTEP Texasat FIU at Kansas UAB † Texas Tech Marshall Iowa Stat Louisiana Tech at TCU

Average 29-28 -16.5 -1.2 0.2 20 40-162 4.0 56.4% 214 11.2% 21 37-162 4.3 54.9% 230 6.6% Average 45-48 -53.0 -9.0 -2.0 22 34-254 7.5 46.7% 278 0.0% 31 43-138 3.2 73.3% 447 1.7% Conference 35-31 -3.3 -0.3 0.6 21 44-195 4.4 56.2% 213 11.1% 22 33-143 4.3 56.7% 268 5.8% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 22-29 -68.3 -3.0 -0.4 18 41-136 3.3 54.1% 181 12.2% 21 39-181 4.6 57.1% 204 6.1% Home 45-48 -53.0 -9.0 -2.0 22 34-254 7.5 46.7% 278 0.0% 31 43-138 3.2 73.3% 447 1.7%

Houston Postponed Liberty Anu Solomon 14-29-278-3-1 Anu Solomon 6-97-16.2-0 Chris Platt 3-102-34.0-2at Baylor UTSA Southern vs. at Dukeat Texas St Oklahoma Bye at Kansas St Southern Miss vs. Byeat North Texas at Oklahoma St Rice West Virginiaat UTEP vs. Texasat FIU at Kansas UAB † Texas Tech Marshall vs. Iowa Stat Louisiana Tech at TCU

vs.

Anu Solomon 14-29-278-3-1 Anu Solomon 6-97-16.2-0 Chris Platt 3-102-34.0-2vs. Zach Smith 0-1-0-0-1 John Levett 14-89-6.4-2 Denzel Mims 2-85-42.5-1

JaMycal Hasty 11-56-5.1-1 Pooh Stricklin 3-60-20.0-0Category

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

129 UTSA 112Phil Steele

Baylor by 14 Baylor 34 UTSA 20By 5.98 Points

Team Schedule StrengthBaylor

Baylor 527-329Baylor Pts

1.29

UTSA Pts7.27

Computer Yards

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Baylor By 8.8

Baylor By 21.7Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

First meeting for these instate schools who are about 200 miles apart. The Bears had won 17 straight home gms vs non-conf foes by 41 ppg but lost last week to Liberty as a 31 point favorite. Their defense allowed 585 yards. UTSA has dropped all 5 road gms vs Power 5 conf tms, avg loss by 27 ppg. UTSA is off a bowl and ranks #16 on my Exp Chart and Baylor with just 13 ret starters is #101 on the Exp Chart. Baylor has a game under their belt advantage as UTSA has their opener postponed last week vs Houston. I like to play on teams that lost to an FCS school the previous week but only had Baylor favored by 2 td’s in the preseason and Vegas actually has them favored by 17.

Baylor ST's Baylor By 17UTSA K

1.16

Baylor 34-20

59.5 Points

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Team & Margin

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Baylor Coaches

1.00

Baylor KUTSA Coaches

1.45

Baylor RB's

Las Vegas Total

Baylor Leaders

UTSA ST's

UTSA DB's1.93

Baylor QB/WR

UTSA OL1.26

Baylor DLUTSA DL

1.24

Baylor OLUTSA LB'S

UTSA RB's0.24

Baylor LB's

0.29

UTSA QB/WR

Baylor DB's

Receiving

UTSA Baylor

Rushing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

AP FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAMTM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/-

FOE +/-

vs. CUSA vs. BIG 12 Bears LogsTEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--0-0 0-0

TM REC FOE REC

OVERALL: OVERALL: Baylor Bears0-0 0-1

Experience Rankings16 UTSA Baylor 101

527 yards

Projected Rushing

Baylor 314 yards

Projected Final Score20 points UTSA Baylor 34 points

Baylor

UTSAProjected Yardage Total

329 yards UTSA Baylor

129 yards UTSA Baylor 213 yardsProjected Passing

200 yards

Houston 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Libertyat Baylor

UTSA Baylor UTSA

Southern at Dukeat Texas St Rush Off Oklahoma Bye Pass Off at Kansas St Southern Miss Total Off Byeat North Texas Score Off at Oklahoma St Rice Sks Allowed West Virginiaat UTEP Rush Def Texas

Pass Def at Kansas UAB Total Def † Texas Techat FIU

Score Def Iowa Stat Louisiana Tech Sks By at TCU Marshall

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

UTS

A R

oad

run

ners

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Bayl

or

Bears

Net Offense

UTSA Roadrunners

AP

Roadrunners LogsFOE

UTSA Leaders

TM REC FOE RECTM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/-

FOE +/-

Page 28: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 103 98 8/26 38-35 W 87 117 122 109 98 72 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 119 9/3 45-44 W 17 25 85 31 21 61-0 0-0 104 9/2 41-18 W 82 115 122 1-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 118 103 9/9 25 22 85 82 115 122

1-0 0-0 118 9/9 25 22 85 1-0 0-0 122 9/16 30 69 179/16 #52 #118 1-0 0-0 127 9/23 13 6 43

0-1 0-0 109 9/23 111 91 119 #47 #3 1-0 0-0 118 9/30 46 52 941-1 0-0 119 9/30 52 96 47 #48 #21 10/70-1 0-0 108 10/7 112 113 109 #46 #33 1-0 0-0 113 10/14 22 102 971-1 0-0 103 10/14 105 112 52 #116 #93 1-0 0-0 123 10/21 1 37 19

10/21 #87 #126 1-0 0-0 138 10/28 15 21 731-0 0-0 117 10/28 79 49 10 #95 #12 1-0 0-0 117 11/3 59 25 270-1 0-0 98 11/4 57 130 102 #94 #101 1-0 0-0 113 11/11 47 48 901-0 0-0 99 11/11 88 103 39 #78 #114 1-0 0-0 137 11/18 8 13 250-1 0-0 104 11/18 119 120 101 #3 #6 1-0 0-0 112 11/24 74 60 611-1 0-1 121 11/25 73 33 15 #70 #63

+2 -3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at UMass 38-35 90 -2 1 18 35-112 3.2 25-38 391 3 20 41-115 2.8 22-34 298 4 Texas A&M 45-44 83 6 -3 29 25-63 2.5 35-59 491 3 23 63-382 6.1 9-30 89 6 Western Carolina 41-18 -29 -7 1 23 49-299 6.1 12-24 154 2 30 48-212 4.4 23-41 270 5 Hawaiiat UCLA at Memphis Bye at Stanfordat Wyoming Colorado Colorado St Byeat Nevada at Arizona San Jose St Oregon Bye at Washington San Diego St at Utah at UNLV Arizona St Fresno St at USCat Utah St California BYU

Average 40-27 30.5 -4.5 1.0 21 42-206 4.9 59.7% 273 8.1% 25 45-164 3.7 60.0% 284 12.0% Average 45-44 83.0 6.0 -3.0 29 25-63 2.5 59.3% 491 5.1% 23 63-382 6.1 30.0% 89 20.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 38-35 90.0 -2.0 1.0 18 35-112 3.2 65.8% 391 7.9% 20 41-115 2.8 64.7% 298 11.8% Home 45-44 83.0 6.0 -3.0 29 25-63 2.5 59.3% 491 5.1% 23 63-382 6.1 30.0% 89 20.0%

at UMass Dru Brown 25-38-391-3-1 Diocemy St Juste 23-78-3.4-0 John Ursua 12-272-22.7-1 Texas A&M Josh Rosen 35-59-491-4-0 Soso Jamabo 7-46-6.6-1 Caleb Wilson 15-203-13.5-0 Western Carolina Dru Brown 11-21-154-2-2 Diocemy St Juste 25-202-8.1-1 Dylan Collie 2-104-52.0-1 Hawaiiat UCLA vs. at Memphis Bye at Stanfordat Wyoming Colorado Colorado St vs. Byeat Nevada at Arizona San Jose St Oregon Bye vs. at Washington San Diego St at Utah at UNLV Arizona St Fresno St vs. at USCat Utah St California BYU

vs.

Dru Brown 36-59-545-5-3 Diocemy St Juste 48-280-5.8-1 John Ursua 12-272-22.7-1 Josh Rosen 35-59-491-4-0 Soso Jamabo 7-46-6.6-1 Caleb Wilson 15-203-13.5-0Cole McDonald 1-3-0-0-0 Ryan Tuiasoa 20-97-4.9-3 Dylan Collie 4-117-29.3-1 vs. Bo Olorunfunmi 10-31-3.1-0 Darren Andrews 12-147-12.3-2

Dylan Collie 1-23-23.0-0 Metuisela 'Unga 4-49-12.3-1 Jordan Lasley 1-5-5.0-0 Jordan Lasley 4-100-25.0-1Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

UCLA 44 Hawaii 23UCLA 24

By 9.56 PointsUCLA by 21

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Team Schedule StrengthUCLA Phil Steele

89 Hawaii

Computer PointsUCLA 44-20

UCLA PtsHawaii

UCLA 566-31420 points Hawaii

51 UCLA 43

Projected Final ScoreComputer Yards

UCLA 44 points

1.65

0.26

Hawaii Pts9.82

Experience Rankings

192 yards Hawaii UCLA 384 yardsProjected Yardage Total

Game Grade314 yards Hawaii UCLA 566 yards UCLA Coaches

Projected Rushing Hawaii K122 yards Hawaii UCLA 182 yards

Projected Passing UCLA K

Phil's Forecast:

These two last met in the 1939 Poi Bowl. UCLA had one of the biggest comebacks in NCAA history trailing 44-10 late 4Q to beat Texas A&M on Sunday and now have a short week. They were just 4-8 last year and Hawaii won their bowl game so they will not look past them. Hawaii faced 3 Power 5 teams last year and lost by 20, 60 and 19 points. UCLA has a top 30 offense and defense while Hawaii ranks in the bottom 39 of both in my rankings (takes into accout strength of opponent). Josh Rosen is back at QB for UCLA and he hit 35-59-491-4-0 but they did only beat UNLV by 21 with him last year.

UCLA ST's

62.5 Points0.50Las Vegas Total

+/- RatingsHawaii Coaches UCLA By 18.0

UCLA By 20.4

Team & Margin

Hawaii Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Hawaii ST's0.80

Las Vegas LineUCLA By 23.5

1.61

UCLA OL

UCLA LeadersHawaii DB's

2.78

UCLA QB/WR

Hawaii LB'S0.37

UCLA RB's

Hawaii RB's0.74

UCLA LB's

0.26

Hawaii OL

UCLA DLHawaii DL

Hawaii QB/WR1.38

UCLA DB's

Receiving

Hawaii UCLA

Rushing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FOE

FOE FOE

AP TEAMFOE TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/-FOE +/-

0-0 0-0TM REC FOE REC

NCAA RANKINGS

Bruins LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/-

FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- --PS RANK--

vs. PAC 12

OVERALL:Hawaii Rainbow WarriorsRainbow Warriors Logs vs. MTW

UCLA Bruins2-0 1-0OVERALL:

TM REC FOE REC

at UMass 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Texas A&M Western Carolina

Hawaii UCLA Hawaii

at UCLA at Memphis Bye Rush Off at Stanfordat Wyoming Pass Off Colorado Colorado St Total Off Byeat Nevada Score Off at Arizona San Jose St Sks Allowed Oregon Bye Rush Def at Washington San Diego St Pass Def at Utah at UNLV Total Def Arizona St Fresno St Score Def at USCat Utah St Sks By California

Total TO'sYpg Diff BYU

Net Offense Defense

Haw

aii

Rain

bo

w W

arr

iors

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

UC

LA B

ruin

s

Net Offense

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Page 29: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 106 8/31 30-27 W 75 90 110 0-0 0-0 108 9/2 38-16 W 83 102 1001-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 103 108 9/9 71 89 110 89 94 100 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 106 9/9 89 94 100 71 89 110

1-0 0-0 114 9/16 67 58 68 1-0 0-0 109 9/16 87 47 220-1 0-0 116 9/23 97 83 92 #33 #111 0-1 0-0 118 9/23 27 65 751-0 0-0 116 9/30 75 30 67 #53 #17 9/301-0 0-0 109 10/7 87 47 22 #39 #62 1-0 0-0 120 10/7 40 79 591-0 0-0 112 10/14 49 73 56 #75 #47 1-0 0-0 120 10/14 48 78 290-1 0-0 101 10/21 109 124 59 #67 #28 1-0 0-0 123 10/21 10 15 26

10/28 #59 #50 1-0 0-0 133 10/28 33 68 10-1 0-0 118 11/1 108 72 85 #95 #43 0-1 0-0 119 11/4 17 53 451-0 0-0 106 11/8 94 80 51 #76 #36 0-1 0-0 118 11/11 16 29 200-1 0-0 102 11/14 130 114 114 #79 #41 1-0 0-0 139 11/18 2 20 120-1 0-0 109 11/24 103 86 75 #74 #116 1-0 0-0 133 11/25 5 41 98

#60 #40+2 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Rhode Island 30-27 107 9 2 24 50-246 4.9 28-54 253 2 15 31-108 3.5 21-40 284 1 SE Missouri St 38-16 173 4 -2 17 25-73 2.9 23-37 364 1 13 33-94 2.8 25-44 170 0at Kansas Central Michiganat Syracuse at Ohio Miami, OH West Virginiaat Boston College Byeat Ohio Texas Tech Toledo at Iowa Stat Ball St at TCU Bye Kansas Stat Western Michigan Baylor Eastern Michigan at Texasat Kent St Oklahoma Northern Illinois at Oklahoma St

Average 30-27 107.0 9.0 2.0 24 50-246 4.9 51.9% 253 3.7% 15 31-108 3.5 52.5% 284 2.5% Average 38-16 173.0 4.0 -2.0 17 25-73 2.9 62.2% 364 2.7% 13 33-94 2.8 56.8% 170 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 38-16 173.0 4.0 -2.0 17 25-73 2.9 62.2% 364 2.7% 13 33-94 2.8 56.8% 170 0.0%

Rhode Island Shane Morris 25-49-226-1-1 Jonathan Ward 19-147-7.7-1 Mark Chapman 5-88-17.6-0 SE Missouri St Peyton Bender 23-37-364-4-2 Dom Williams 10-41-4.1-1 Steven Sims Jr. 4-142-35.5-2at Kansas Central Michiganat Syracuse vs. at Ohio Miami, OH West Virginiaat Boston College Byeat Ohio vs. Texas Tech Toledo at Iowa Stat Ball St at TCU Bye vs. Kansas Stat Western Michigan Baylor Eastern Michigan at Texasat Kent St vs. Oklahoma Northern Illinois at Oklahoma St

vs.

Shane Morris 25-49-226-1-1 Jonathan Ward 19-147-7.7-1 Mark Chapman 5-88-17.6-0 Peyton Bender 23-37-364-4-2 Dom Williams 10-41-4.1-1 Steven Sims Jr. 4-142-35.5-2Tony Poljan 3-5-27-0-0 Devon Spalding 20-70-3.5-1 Logan Hessbrook 5-52-10.4-0 vs. Taylor Martin 5-17-3.4-0 Ben Johnson 3-90-30.0-1

Shane Morris 7-32-4.6-0 Corey Willis 8-43-5.4-0 Deron Thompson 2-15-7.5-0 Jeremiah Booker 5-66-13.2-0Category

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Central Michigan - 45 10 18 35-101

Kansas - -3.5 24 15 35-138 2

vs.

vs.

vs.

Comp-Att-Yds

Phil SteeleKansas by 7 Kansas 34 Central Michigan 27By 1.62 Points

C Michigan

0.80

Kansas 431-401Kansas Pts

3.43

C Michigan Pts1.81

Computer Yards

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Kansas 30-27

54 PointsKansas K

+/- RatingsC Michigan Coaches Kansas By 8.0

Kansas By 0.7Game Grade

Kansas Coaches

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

The Jayhawks are 2-0 vs the Chippewas incl a 24-10 win in the L/mtg (‘14). Last year Ohio U (from MAC) came in here and had a 351-29 yard edge at the half. This is by far David Beaty’s best team and Wash St transfer Peyton Bender threw for 364 yards vs SEMoSt. My computer called for them to win 42-6 and they won 38-16. Kansas was 2-10 last year yet but beat Rhode Island (2-9 LY) 55-6. That same RIsland team just took Central Michgan to 3 OT’s in the opener despite tossing 6 interceptions. Kansas favored over a bowl team? I will call for the Jayhawks by 7 as normally Big 12 teams overlook MAC teams but Kansas will be sky high for this.

Kansas ST's Kansas By 5.5C Michigan K

C Michigan ST's

0.25Las Vegas Total

Kansas Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Team & Margin

C Michigan DB's1.28

Kansas QB/WR

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

C Michigan LB'S0.13

Kansas RB's

C Michigan DL0.15

Kansas OL

0.22

C Michigan OL

Kansas DL

1.27

C Michigan RB's

Kansas LB's

1.15

C Michigan QB/WR

Kansas DB's

Receiving

C Michigan Kansas

Rushing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FOE

FOE FOENCAA RANKINGSTEAM --PS RANK--APTM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/-

FOE +/-

0-0 0-0TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/-FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

OVERALL: Kansas Jayhawks1-0vs. MAC vs. BIG 12 Jayhawks Logs

1-0C Michigan Chippewas OVERALL:

83

Kansas 111Team Schedule Strength

110 C Michigan

314 yards

27 points C Michigan Kansas 30 pointsExperience Rankings

55 C Michigan Kansas

Projected Yardage Total401 yards C Michigan Kansas 431 yards

Projected Final Score

Kansas 117 yardsProjected Passing

240 yards C Michigan Kansas

Projected Rushing161 yards C Michigan

TM REC FOE REC

Rhode Island 2017 TEAM RANKINGS SE Missouri Stat Kansas

C Michigan Kansas Central Michigan

at Syracuse at Ohio Miami, OH Rush Off West Virginiaat Boston College Pass Off Byeat Ohio Total Off Texas Tech Toledo Score Off at Iowa Stat Ball St Sks Allowed at TCU Bye Rush Def Kansas St

Pass Def Baylor Eastern Michigan Total Def at Texasat Western Michigan

Score Def Oklahoma Northern Illinois Sks By at Oklahoma Stat Kent St

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

C M

ich

igan

Ch

ipp

ew

as

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Kan

sas

Jayh

aw

ks

Net Offense

18-26-178

24-34-231

Chippewas LogsFOE

C Michigan Leaders

Page 30: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 112 9/2 43-36 W 55 33 42 101 49 63 0-0 0-0 123 9/2 77-21 W 8 42 191-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 115 123 9/9 50 32 42 1 37 19 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 128 115 9/9 1 37 19 50 32 42

0-1 0-0 109 9/16 103 86 75 0-1 0-0 109 9/16 111 91 1190-1 0-0 102 9/23 99 76 69 #44 #11 1-0 0-0 113 9/23 47 48 901-0 0-0 104 9/29 96 93 99 #60 #20 1-0 0-0 112 9/30 74 60 611-0 0-0 137 10/7 41 11 38 #56 #2 1-0 0-0 124 10/7 18 50 731-0 1-0 135 10/14 3 2 46 #36 #1 1-0 0-0 127 10/14 13 6 43

10/21 #28 #28 1-0 0-0 118 10/21 25 22 850-1 0-0 111 10/28 83 63 79 #42 #53 1-0 0-0 117 10/28 59 25 271-0 0-0 124 11/4 26 28 115 #123 #90 1-0 0-0 138 11/4 15 21 731-0 0-0 123 11/11 86 46 4 #106 #64 11/111-0 0-0 137 11/18 4 12 8 #102 #59 1-0 0-0 113 11/18 22 102 971-0 0-0 120 11/24 68 23 40 #74 #11 1-1 0-0 120 11/25 60 82 104

#89 #16+2 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Arkansas St 43-36 -34 -7 2 25 38-225 5.9 19-32 238 1 32 21-82 3.9 46-68 415 1 Southern Utah 77-21 338 12 0 37 52-348 6.7 23-27 355 1 25 38-99 2.6 25-48 266 5at Oregon Nebraska Northern Illinois at Wyoming Rutgers at Arizona Stat Illinois California Wisconsin Washington St Ohio St at Stanford Bye at UCLAat Purdue Utah Northwestern at Washingtonat Minnesota Byeat Penn St Arizona Iowa Oregon St

Average 43-36 -34.0 -7.0 2.0 25 38-225 5.9 59.4% 238 3.1% 32 21-82 3.9 67.6% 415 1.5% Average 77-21 338.0 12.0 0.0 37 52-348 6.7 85.2% 355 3.7% 25 38-99 2.6 52.1% 266 10.4% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 77-21 338.0 12.0 0.0 37 52-348 6.7 85.2% 355 3.7% 25 38-99 2.6 52.1% 266 10.4%

Arkansas St Tanner Lee 19-32-238-2-0 Tre Bryant 31-192-6.2-1 Stanley Morgan 5-102-20.4-1 Southern Utah Justin Herbert 17-21-281-1-0 Royce Freeman 23-150-6.5-4 Charles Nelson 5-99-19.8-0at Oregon Nebraska Northern Illinois vs. at Wyoming Rutgers at Arizona Stat Illinois California Wisconsin vs. Washington St Ohio St at Stanford Bye at UCLAat Purdue vs. Utah Northwestern at Washingtonat Minnesota Byeat Penn St vs. Arizona Iowa Oregon St

vs.

Tanner Lee 19-32-238-2-0 Tre Bryant 31-192-6.2-1 Stanley Morgan 5-102-20.4-1 Justin Herbert 17-21-281-1-0 Royce Freeman 23-150-6.5-4 Charles Nelson 5-99-19.8-0De'Mornay Pierson-El 2-23-11.5-0 JD Spielman 2-44-22.0-0 vs. Taylor Alie 6-6-74-0-0 Kani Benoit 7-107-15.3-3 Jacob Breeland 3-55-18.3-1Mikale Wilbon 2-15-7.5-1 Tyler Hoppes 3-40-13.3-0 Tony Brooks-James 9-32-3.6-0 Royce Freeman 4-50-12.5-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Nebraska - -3 35 26 47-228

Oregon 22 74 32 20 47-336 1

vs.

vs.

vs.

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Comp-Att-Yds

17-35-200

14-23-146

Oregon Phil SteeleOregon by 13

By 3.24 PointsOregon 44 Nebraska 31

Computer YardsOregon 548-3921.52

Nebraska Pts

4.76

Oregon PtsComputer Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Oregon 42-29

Oregon K+/- Ratings

Nebraska Coaches

0.70Game Grade

Oregon Coaches

Las Vegas Total

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

Last year was a huge game for Nebraska at home as they wanted to prove themselves vs a perenial top 10 team and it was wild with Helfrich going 1-5 on 2 pt conv’s and NU converting on 4th down on their final drive and getting a td with 2:29 left to pull out the 3 point home win. Oregon now has something to prove off a 4-8 season and with a new head coach. The Ducks are #21 on my Exp Chart and Nebraska is #126 (10 ret starters and traveling to the very loud Autzen Stadium. While Nebraska rates the defensive edge, Oregon has a huge edge on offense (#1 vs #50) and on special teams. Prior to the season Oregon was a 4 point favorite, but after Ark St down 7 threw incomplete in the Husker end zone and Oregon blasted Southern Utah 77-21 the line has jumped 10 full points to two td’s. I am high on the Ducks this year .

Oregon ST's Oregon By 14

Nebraska K

68 Points0.08

Oregon By 17.5

Oregon By 0.8

Oregon Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Nebraska ST's

0.76

Team & Margin

Nebraska Leaders 0.59

Oregon QB/WR

Projected Box Score

Nebraska DL1.09

Oregon OLNebraska LB'S

1.75

Oregon RB's

Nebraska DB's

0.82

Nebraska OL

Oregon DL

Nebraska RB's0.34

Oregon LB's

Nebraska QB/WR0.16

Oregon DB's

Receiving

Nebraska Oregon

Rushing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

FOE

FOE FOE

AP TEAMFOE --PS RANK--

NCAA RANKINGSTM

CONFFOE

CONF0-0 0-0

TM REC TM +/-FOE +/-

Ducks LogsAP TEAM --PS RANK--

FOE REC

Cornhuskers LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/-

FOE +/-

vs. BIG 10

Nebraska Cornhuskersvs. PAC 12

Oregon Ducks1-0 1-0OVERALL: OVERALL:

Oregon 9360 Nebraska

Team Schedule Strength

Experience Rankings126 Nebraska Oregon

Projected Final Score29 points Nebraska Oregon 42 points

21

Projected Yardage Total392 yards Nebraska Oregon 548 yards

Oregon 298 yards245 yards Nebraska

Projected Passing

Projected Rushing148 yards Nebraska Oregon 250 yards

TM REC FOE REC

Arkansas St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Southern Utahat Oregon

Nebraska Oregon Nebraska

Northern Illinois at Wyoming Rutgers Rush Off at Arizona Stat Illinois Pass Off California Wisconsin Total Off Washington St Ohio St Score Off at Stanford Bye Sks Allowed at UCLAat Purdue Rush Def Utah Northwestern Pass Def at Washingtonat Minnesota Total Def Byeat Penn St Score Def Arizona Iowa Sks By Oregon St

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Neb

rask

a C

orn

hu

skers

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ore

go

n D

uck

s

Page 31: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 133 18 9/2 41-13 W 34 5 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 112 115 9/2 36-43 L 101 49 63 55 33 421-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 131 112 16 9/9 20 8 16 84 55 63 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 112 133 16 9/9 84 55 63 20 8 16

0-1 0-0 138 9/16 28 3 11 9/161-0 0-0 112 9/23 49 73 56 #16 #106 1-0 0-0 110 9/23 31 101 1271-0 0-0 119 9/29 51 51 110 #63 #9 9/30

10/7 #23 #41 0-1 0-0 95 10/4 125 126 620-1 0-0 123 10/12 38 56 105 #41 #56 92 10/14 127 128 1281-0 0-0 114 10/21 67 58 68 #1 #28 1-0 0-0 103 10/19 104 99 800-1 0-0 119 10/28 61 31 63 #64 #107 0-1 0-0 102 10/28 56 104 1101-0 0-0 127 11/4 77 14 18 #76 #80 11/41-0 0-0 130 11/11 7 24 49 #60 #97 0-1 0-0 96 11/11 118 109 961-0 0-0 111 11/18 106 57 83 #32 #111 1-0 0-0 81 11/18 129 127 1201-0 0-0 120 11/24 37 71 28 #74 #74 0-1 0-0 96 11/25 122 106 106

#34 #67 0-1 0-0 105 12/2 98 61 85+2 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Bethune-Cookman 41-13 200 8 2 28 34-317 9.3 18-31 233 0 20 30-121 4.0 25-39 229 1 at Nebraska 36-43 34 7 -2 32 21-82 3.9 46-68 415 1 25 38-225 5.9 19-32 238 1at Arkansas St Miami, Flat Florida St Ark Pine Bluff Toledo at SMUat Duke Bye Bye at GA Southern Georgia Tech Coastal Carolina Syracuse Louisianaat North Carolina at New Mexico St Virginia Tech Bye Notre Dame at South Alabama Virginia Texas Stat Pittsburgh at ULM

Troy

Average 41-13 200.0 8.0 2.0 28 34-317 9.3 58.1% 233 0.0% 20 30-121 4.0 64.1% 229 2.6% Average 36-43 34.0 7.0 -2.0 32 21-82 3.9 67.6% 415 1.5% 25 38-225 5.9 59.4% 238 3.1% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

Bethune-Cookman Malik Rosier 17-28-217-3-0 Mark Whalton 16-148-9.3-2 Darrell Langham 3-65-21.7-1 at Nebraska Justice Hansen 46-68-415-3-2 Warren Wand 12-69-5.8-0 Kendrick Edwards 8-100-12.5-1at Arkansas St Miami, Flat Florida St vs. Ark Pine Bluff Toledo at SMUat Duke Bye Bye vs. at GA Southern Georgia Tech Coastal Carolina Syracuse Louisianaat North Carolina vs. at New Mexico St Virginia Tech Bye Notre Dame at South Alabama Virginia vs. Texas Stat Pittsburgh at ULM

Troyvs.

Malik Rosier 17-28-217-3-0 Mark Whalton 16-148-9.3-2 Darrell Langham 3-65-21.7-1 Justice Hansen 46-68-415-3-2 Warren Wand 12-69-5.8-0 Kendrick Edwards 8-100-12.5-1Evan Shirrefs 1-2-16-0-0 Travis Homer 11-103-9.4-0 Lawrence Cager 3-47-15.7-1 vs. Jamal Jones 4-14-3.5-0 Chris Murray 9-90-10.0-1Team 0-1-0-0-0 Malik Rosier 4-41-10.3-0 Braxton Berrios 3-35-11.7-1 Chris Murray 1-2-2.0-0 Christian Booker 7-72-10.3-0

Category

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Miami, Fl - -15 41 20 35-146

Arkansas St - 52.5 20 24 47-93 0

vs.

vs.

vs.

Miami, Fl by 17 Game CancelledBy 9.10 Points

Miami, Fl 32-18

Phil Steele

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Team Schedule StrengthMiami, Fl

114 Miami, Fl Arkansas St 36

Arkansas StExperience Rankings

18 points

73 Miami, Fl Arkansas St 97

Arkansas St Coaches

Computer YardsMiami, Fl 431-355

Projected Final Score10.55

Miami, Fl Pts1.45

Arkansas St Pts32 points Miami, Fl

431 yards Miami, Fl Arkansas St 355 yards

Arkansas St 265 yards Miami, Fl Coaches Miami, Fl By 14.8+/- Ratings

0.45

Miami, Fl By 16.1Projected Yardage Total

Game Grade

255 yards Miami, Fl

55.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

Arkansas St 90 yards 2.60

Projected Passing Arkansas St K

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

Projected Rushing Miami, Fl K

Game Was Cancelled

Arkansas St ST's Miami, Fl By 14.5

176 yards

16-26-342

Arkansas St Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreMiami, Fl ST's

0.80

Team & Margin

Miami, Fl

Miami, Fl DB's0.65

Arkansas St QB/WR

1.65Miami, Fl LB'S

Arkansas St RB's

2.61

Miami, Fl DL

Arkansas St OL

1.05

Miami, Fl OL

Arkansas St DL

1.28

Miami, Fl RB's

Arkansas St LB's

0.92

Miami, Fl QB/WR

Arkansas St DB's

Receiving

Miami, Fl Arkansas St

Rushing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

--PS RANK--0-0TM REC FOE REC

TM CONFFOE FOENCAA RANKINGS

TEAM

Red Wolves Logs0-0 FOEAPFOE

CONFTM +/-

FOE +/-

TEAM --PS RANK--

Miami, Fl Hurricanes

FOE +/-

vs. ACC vs. SUN0-1

OVERALL: OVERALL: Arkansas St Red Wolves1-0

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Nebraskaat Arkansas St

Miami, Fl Arkansas St Miami, Fl

at Florida St Ark Pine Bluff

Bethune-Cookman

Rush Off at SMUat Duke Pass Off Bye Toledo

Total Off at GA Southern Georgia Tech Score Off Coastal Carolina Bye

Sks Allowed Louisianaat North Carolina Rush Def at New Mexico St Syracuse

Pass Def Bye Notre Dame Total Def at South Alabama Virginia Tech

Score Def Texas Stat Pittsburgh Sks By at ULM Virginia

TroyTotal TO's

Ypg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Mia

mi,

Fl

Hu

rric

an

es

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ark

an

sas

St

Red

Wo

lves

Net Offense

23-42-236

Hurricanes LogsFOE

Miami, Fl Leaders

TM REC FOE RECTM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/-

AP

Page 32: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 103 120 19 8/26 22-42 L 115 111 52 38 36 48 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 106 23 9/2 41-51 L 12 13 20 58 39 350-1 0-0 103 9/2 34-13 W 105 112 52 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0 114 103 9/9 16 29 20 105 112 52

0-1 0-0 118 9/9 105 112 52 16 29 20 1-0 0-0 137 9/16 8 13 251-0 0-0 117 9/16 59 25 27 #56 #96 9/230-1 0-0 104 9/23 119 120 101 #56 #14 1-0 0-0 120 9/28 48 78 290-1 0-0 98 9/30 57 130 102 #64 #50 1-0 0-0 133 10/7 33 68 11-0 0-0 99 10/7 88 103 39 #80 #41 1-0 0-0 139 10/14 2 20 122-0 0-0 103 10/14 82 115 122 #93 #116 1-0 0-0 133 10/21 5 41 98

10/21 #115 #116 0-1 0-0 119 10/28 17 53 451-1 0-1 121 10/28 73 33 15 #28 #70 1-0 0-0 123 11/4 10 15 261-0 0-0 117 11/4 79 49 10 #75 #104 1-0 0-0 108 11/11 89 94 1000-1 0-0 108 11/11 112 113 109 #81 #123 0-1 0-0 118 11/18 27 65 751-1 0-0 119 11/18 52 96 47 #74 #74 1-0 0-0 120 11/24 40 79 590-1 0-0 109 11/25 111 91 119 #66 #80

-2 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

USF 22-42 -161 -11 -3 18 38-109 2.9 25-50 278 1 29 74-315 4.3 13-26 233 1 Maryland 41-51 -9 8 -1 26 31-98 3.2 34-53 375 5 18 43-263 6.1 12-15 219 1 Cal Poly 34-13 249 10 1 23 52-271 5.2 15-26 211 2 13 61-196 3.2 4-10 37 0 San Jose Stat Texas at USCat Utah Bye Utah St at Iowa Stat UNLV Kansas St Fresno St † Oklahomaat Hawaii Oklahoma St Bye at Baylorat BYU at TCU San Diego St Kansasat Nevada at West Virginiaat Colorado St Texas Tech Wyoming

Average 28-28 44.0 -0.5 -1.0 21 45-190 4.2 52.6% 245 3.9% 21 68-256 3.8 47.2% 135 2.8% Average 41-51 -9.0 8.0 -1.0 26 31-98 3.2 64.2% 375 9.4% 18 43-263 6.1 80.0% 219 6.7% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 41-51 -9.0 8.0 -1.0 26 31-98 3.2 64.2% 375 9.4% 18 43-263 6.1 80.0% 219 6.7%

USF Josh Love 18-36-192-2-3 Malike Roberson 19-52-2.7-0 Bailey Gaither 6-100-16.7-2 Maryland Shane Buechele 34-52-375-2-1 Chris Warren 6-31-5.2-0 Collin Johnson 7-125-17.9-1 Cal Poly Montel Aaron 11-17-183-3-0 Zamore Zigler 12-121-10.1-1 JaQuan Blackwell 4-84-21.0-1 San Jose Stat Texas vs. at USCat Utah Bye Utah St at Iowa Stat UNLV vs. Kansas St Fresno St † Oklahomaat Hawaii Oklahoma St Bye vs. at Baylorat BYU at TCU San Diego St Kansasat Nevada vs. at West Virginiaat Colorado St Texas Tech Wyoming

vs.

Montel Aaron 18-30-269-4-0 Zamore Zigler 21-141-6.7-1 Bailey Gaither 9-156-17.3-3 Shane Buechele 34-52-375-2-1 Chris Warren 6-31-5.2-0 Collin Johnson 7-125-17.9-1Josh Love 22-45-220-2-3 Malike Roberson 32-95-3.0-0 Josh Oliver 9-88-9.8-0 vs. Lil'Jordan Humphrey 0-1-0-0-0 Shane Buechele 15-21.1-1.4-1 Reggie Hemphill 7-69-9.9-0Malike Roberson 0-1-0-0-0 DeJon Packer 13-70-5.4-0 JaQuan Blackwell 4-84-21.0-1 Kyle Porter 8-21.01-2.6-0 Armanti Foreman 5-57-11.4-1

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Position by Position Edges

Texas QB/WR

2.49

0.49

San Jose St RB's

Texas Tech

at Baylorat TCU Kansasat West Virginia

at Iowa St Kansas St† Oklahoma Oklahoma St

Maryland San Jose Stat USC Bye

at Colorado St Wyoming

Byeat BYU San Diego Stat Nevada

Utah Stat UNLV Fresno Stat Hawaii

USF Cal Poly at Texasat Utah

Texas By 22.3

Texas 578-276

+/- Ratings

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total

Texas By 26.5

63 Points

Texas By 15.0

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Offense Defense

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

RushingPassing

Net

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

San Jose St Leaders

Texas 45 San Jose St 17

Texas 43-17

Texas by 28

San Jose St LB'S

By 10.45 Points

Texas RB's

Texas

TEAMFOE +/-

APFOE

FOE

San Jose St Spartans Texas LonghornsLonghorns LogsSpartans Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

FOE REC

--PS RANK--TM +/-TM REC FOE

RECTM

CONFFOE

CONF

164 yards

NCAA RANKINGS

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

San Jose St

Rush Off

Texas

Pass OffTotal Off

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

San

Jo

se S

t S

part

an

s

Texas

Lon

gh

orn

s

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

Sks Allowed

0-1vs. BIG 12

0-00-0

1-1vs. MTW

Rush Def

Score Off

Total DefPass Def

Score

Projected Yardage Total

Projected Passing112 yards

Team & Margin

331 yards

By Game Yardage Leaders

San Jose St DB's

Texas

1.55

--PS RANK--TM REC

FOEFOE

TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAMTM CONF

FOE CONF

OffenseNet

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Phil's Forecast:

San Jose St

Texas Leaders

First mtg. San Jose St has dropped 14 str road openers by 34 ppg. San Jose is already playing its 3rd game having lost to Charlie Strong’s USF team 42-22 at home and beating Cal Poly 34-13 for first time HC Brent Brennan. Texas is #10 on my Exp Chart and San Jose is #50. Herman is just 3-9-1 ATS as a HF. This looked like a sandwich situation at the start of the year off Hermans first home game and vs a Big 10 bowl team and with USC on deck where a win would vault them into the top 10. Now it is a must win after a poor performance as a 3 td favorite and with USC on deck they would open 0-3 with a loss here. It is circle the wagons time for Texas.

1.23

San Jose St OL

0.12

1.49

2.47

Texas LB's

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

San Jose St Coaches

Texas Coaches

San Jose St Pts

Texas Pts

10Experience Rankings

San Jose St 247 yards

San Jose St Texas

Phil Steele

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

41

1.39

San Jose St K

Texas K

2.00

San Jose St

Texas

11.84

1.39

Texas DL

San Jose St DL

San Jose St ST's

Texas ST's

Texas OL

San Jose St QB/WR

Texas DB's

Team Schedule StrengthSan Jose St Texas

Texas

78

50

17 points

276 yardsProjected Final Score

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Texas

San Jose St Texas 578 yards

San Jose St 43 points

Page 33: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 123 9/2 63-0 W 13 15 26 0-0 0-0 120 8/31 49-7 W 23 51 1021-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 126 120 23 9/9 10 15 26 21 45 102 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 123 23 9/9 21 45 102 10 15 26

1-0 0-0 110 9/16 31 101 127 9/161-0 0-0 133 9/23 5 41 98 #37 #39 0-1 0-0 119 9/23 36 17 6

9/30 #32 #97 0-1 0-0 102 9/30 56 104 1100-1 0-0 118 10/7 27 65 75 #25 #74 1-0 0-0 113 10/7 32 26 1261-0 0-0 133 10/14 33 68 1 #5 #26 1-0 0-0 141 10/14 9 1 241-0 0-0 108 10/21 89 94 100 #1 #67 1-0 0-0 128 10/21 6 7 71-0 0-0 120 10/28 48 78 29 #7 #40 1-0 0-0 116 10/28 23 44 210-1 0-0 118 11/4 16 29 20 #6 #17 1-0 0-0 92 11/4 127 128 1281-0 0-0 139 11/11 2 20 12 #2 #14 1-0 0-0 130 11/11 19 5 91-0 0-0 120 11/18 40 79 59 #1 #15 1-0 0-0 117 11/18 34 34 1070-1 0-0 119 11/24 17 53 45 #11 #27 1-0 0-0 117 11/25 12 64 77

#5 #30+1 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Jackson St 63-0 477 17 1 24 36-242 6.7 23-30 300 0 7 42-24 0.6 7-14 41 5 Florida A&M 49-7 240 17 0 26 45-236 5.2 16-22 179 2 9 31-80 2.6 14-29 95 3at Arkansas TCU SMU Byeat Oklahoma St † Texas A&M Bye New Mexico St West Virginia at South Carolinaat Kansas St at Alabama Kansas Auburnat Iowa St at Mississippi Texas Coastal Carolinaat Oklahoma at LSUat Texas Tech Miss St Baylor Missouri

Average 63-0 477.0 17.0 1.0 24 36-242 6.7 76.7% 300 0.0% 7 42-24 0.6 50.0% 41 35.7% Average 49-7 240.0 17.0 0.0 26 45-236 5.2 72.7% 179 9.1% 9 31-80 2.6 48.3% 95 10.3% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 49-7 240.0 17.0 0.0 26 45-236 5.2 72.7% 179 9.1% 9 31-80 2.6 48.3% 95 10.3%

Jackson St Kenny Hill 18-23-206-4-1 Darius Anderson 13-67-5.2-0 TreVontae Hights 1-56-56.0-1 Florida A&M Austin Allen 14-19-135-1-1 Chase Hayden 14-120-8.6-1 David Williams 2-48-24.0-0at Arkansas TCU SMU vs. Byeat Oklahoma St † Texas A&M Bye New Mexico St West Virginia vs. at South Carolinaat Kansas St at Alabama Kansas Auburnat Iowa St vs. at Mississippi Texas Coastal Carolinaat Oklahoma at LSUat Texas Tech vs. Miss St Baylor Missouri

vs.

Kenny Hill 18-23-206-4-1 Darius Anderson 13-67-5.2-0 TreVontae Hights 1-56-56.0-1 Austin Allen 14-19-135-1-1 Chase Hayden 14-120-8.6-1 David Williams 2-48-24.0-0Shawn Robinson 5-7-94-2-0 Shawn Robinson 3-43-14.3-0 Desmon White 2-50-25.0-2 vs. Cole Kelley 2-3-44-1-0 Devwah Whaley 12-60-5.0-1 Jarrod Barnes 2-30-15.0-0

KaVontae Turpin 1-39-39.0-1 Jalen Reagor 2-37-18.5-0 David Williams 7-23-3.3-2 Jonathan Nance 3-25-8.3-0Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.TCU 15 -7.5 38 25 32-195

Arkansas - 57.5 41 20 43-180 2

vs.

vs.

vs.

Comp-Att-Yds

36-58-377

17-29-223

OVERALL:1-0 1-0TCU Horned Frogs OVERALL:

TCU 33-27

TCU 34 Arkansas 27By 5.78 Points

TCU

2nd mtg since SWC days (ply’d every yr from 1930-’91). Last year UA led 13-0 but TCU got a td with 2:05 left to lead 28-20. After a penalty for a throat slash gesture on QB Hill for TCU they needed a 16 yd td pass w/1:03 left to force OT. In 2OT Arkansas won but TCU had a 573-402 yard edge. TCU is #3 on my Exp Chart and Arkansas is #90. I look for the Frogs to get the win that they should have had last year even on the road.

Arkansas DL

0.69

TCU OL

TCU DL

Arkansas OL

1.12

TCU RB's

Arkansas DB's

1.12

TCU QB/WR

Arkansas LB's

3 TCU 90Arkansas

33 points ArkansasExperience Rankings

116 TCU Arkansas 123

Projected Yardage Total

Team Schedule Strength

TCU Pts

0.73

Arkansas PtsTCU 27 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Final Score6.52

Arkansas Coaches

TCU By 1.8

Game GradeArkansas By 0.8452 yards TCU

TCU K

Arkansas K

0.60

TCU Coaches

Arkansas

Projected Rushing

418 yards

Projected Passing268 yards

0.15

TCU Arkansas 243 yards

Arkansas 175 yards183 yards TCU

Phil SteeleTCU by 7

Team & Margin Phil's Forecast:

Computer Points

58 Points

+/- Ratings

Computer YardsTCU 452-418

Arkansas Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)Projected Box Score 2.27

TCU ST's

Arkansas ST's

TCU Leaders

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Las Vegas Total

Arkansas RB's

0.54TCU LB'S

Arkansas QB/WR

0.17TCU DB's

TCU Arkansas

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage LeadersRushing Receiving ReceivingPassing Rushing

Defense

Score Score

Ypg Diff

Net Offense

Total TO's

FOE REC

0-0 0-0FOETM REC

NCAA RANKINGSFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP FOETM CONF

TM CONF

--PS RANK--FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-AP

FOE FOETEAM

Arkansas RazorbacksHorned Frogs Logs vs. BIG 12 vs. SEC Razorbacks Logs

TEAM --PS RANK--TM REC FOE

REC

Jackson St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Florida A&Mat Arkansas

TCU Arkansas TCU

SMU Byeat Oklahoma St Rush Off † Texas A&M Bye Pass Off New Mexico St West Virginia Total Off at South Carolinaat Kansas St Score Off at Alabama Kansas Sks Allowed Auburnat Iowa St Rush Def at Mississippi Texas Pass Def Coastal Carolinaat Oklahoma Total Def at LSUat Texas Tech Score Def Miss St Baylor Sks By Missouri

Net Defense

TC

U H

orn

ed

Fro

gs

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

By Game Yardage Leaders

Ark

an

sas

Razo

rback

s

0.58

Offense

Passing

Las Vegas LineTCU By 3.5

Page 34: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 103 9/2 51-48 W 112 81 80 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 116 133 10 8/31 24-59 L 48 73 53 10 43 981-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 101 116 9/9 104 99 80 55 100 53 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 115 103 9/9 55 100 53 104 99 80

0-1 0-0 119 9/16 36 17 6 1-0 0-0 112 9/16 49 73 560-1 0-0 96 9/23 122 106 106 #53 #34 1-0 0-0 106 9/23 62 121 14

9/30 #105 #90 1-0 0-0 117 9/30 70 84 411-0 0-0 106 10/7 114 123 107 #91 #66 1-0 0-0 107 10/7 80 81 771-0 0-0 81 10/12 129 127 120 #22 #92 0-0 0-0 119 10/14 43 54 710-1 0-0 112 10/19 84 55 63 #28 #28 1-0 0-0 96 10/21 107 70 124

10/28 #123 #122 1-0 0-0 110 10/27 31 101 1270-1 0-0 96 11/4 118 109 96 #44 #104 1-0 0-0 122 11/4 30 69 171-0 0-0 116 11/11 23 44 21 #109 #126 11/110-1 0-0 102 11/18 56 104 110 #118 #127 2-0 0-0 120 11/16 53 36 480-1 0-0 95 11/25 125 126 62 #74 #74 0-1 0-0 116 11/25 95 77 230-1 0-0 113 12/2 63 66 85 #107 #118

+2 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

SE Louisiana 51-48 -151 -9 2 15 36-201 5.6 12-23 162 1 24 54-343 6.4 15-25 171 1 at Oklahoma St 24-59 -208 1 0 26 60-244 4.1 20-38 188 1 25 37-332 9.0 21-26 308 1at Tulsa Louisianaat Texas A&M at Toledo ULM New Mexico Bye Navyat Idaho at Tulane Texas St Houstonat Arkansas St at Connecticut Bye at SMUat South Alabama Memphisat Mississippi Bye New Mexico St at USF GA Southern Templeat Appalachian St

Average 51-48 -151.0 -9.0 2.0 15 36-201 5.6 52.2% 162 4.3% 24 54-343 6.4 60.0% 171 4.0% Average 24-59 -208.0 1.0 0.0 26 60-244 4.1 52.6% 188 2.6% 25 37-332 9.0 80.8% 308 3.8% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

SE Louisiana Jordan Davis 12-23-162-1-0 Trey Ragas 4-61-15.3-1 Keenan Barnes 3-70-23.3-0 at Oklahoma St Chad President 18-35-178-0-0 Corey Taylor III 20-111-5.6-2 Justin Hobbs 6-71-11.8-0at Tulsa Louisianaat Texas A&M vs. at Toledo ULM New Mexico Bye Navyat Idaho vs. at Tulane Texas St Houstonat Arkansas St at Connecticut Bye vs. at SMUat South Alabama Memphisat Mississippi Bye New Mexico St vs. at USF GA Southern Templeat Appalachian St

vs.

Jordan Davis 12-23-162-1-0 Trey Ragas 4-61-15.3-1 Keenan Barnes 3-70-23.3-0 Chad President 18-35-178-0-0 Corey Taylor III 20-111-5.6-2 Justin Hobbs 6-71-11.8-0Elijah Mitchell 11-56-5.1-1 Ryheem Malone 4-37-9.3-1 vs. Luke Skipper 2-3-10-0-0 Chad President 8-69-8.6-0 Keenan Johnson 7-52-7.4-0Jordan Davis 8-48-6.0-0 Ja'Marcus Bradley 1-34-34.0-0 D'Angelo Brewer 22-33-1.5-0 Josh Stewart 3-30-10.0-0

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Game Grade

0.25

Louisiana Coaches

Tulsa K

Louisiana K

Phil's Forecast:

Tulsa Leaders

0.46

Louisiana ST's Team & Margin

Tulsa ST's

Louisiana DB's0.88

Tulsa QB/WR

Last met in 1992. Tulsa does lose its veteran QB but HC Montgomery is a QB whisperer and last week Chad President threw for 178 yards vs a solid Okla St defense. Louisiana loses its QB, top RB and top WR and their young skill players are making their first road trip but Hudspeths squad was 5-1 vs the Vegas number on the road last year. Tulsa won their home games by 20 ppg. Louisiana returned a fumbled 2 point conversion to edge SEL 51-48 in a game my computer expected them to win by 21 and they were outgained 514-363. Tulsa needs to give its young QB some confidence and rolls it up at home.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane1-0 0-1OVERALL:OVERALL:

Tulsa by 21 Tulsa 41 Louisiana 20

350 yards Louisiana

Tulsa

Tulsa Coaches

0.10

1.81

Louisiana Pts

Experience RankingsTulsa

Tulsa Pts

4.04

Tulsa 38-25

Projected Final Score

By 2.23 Points

Phil Steele105 Louisiana Tulsa 18

Team Schedule Strength

Tulsa 534-350

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Tulsa By 14.5Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total64.5 Points

+/- RatingsTulsa By 17.5

Tulsa By 21.8

94

Tulsa 534 yards

38 points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

281 yards153 yards

253 yards

Projected Yardage Total

Tulsa

25 points

109 Louisiana Tulsa

Louisiana Tulsa

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreLast Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Louisiana

Projected Passing197 yards Louisiana

Projected Rushing

1.52

Tulsa RB's

Louisiana LB'S

Louisiana OL

Louisiana DL

0.94

Tulsa OL

0.55

Tulsa LB's

Louisiana RB's

Receiving

Tulsa

Passing RushingPosition by Position Edges

Tu

lsa G

old

en

Hu

rric

an

e

Louisiana QB/WR

0.15

By Game Yardage Leaders

Louisiana

Score

0-0 TM REC FOE REC

Score

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

at Texas A&M

Bye

Defense

TM CONF

--PS RANK-- FOETEAM

at Toledo New Mexico

Louisiana

FOE +/-

FOE CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM +/-

FOE 0-0

Louisiana Ragin CajunsRagin Cajuns Logs vs. SUN vs. AAC Golden Hurricane Logs

TM REC FOE REC

SE Louisiana 2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Oklahoma Stat Tulsa

Louisiana

ULM Rush Off

Tulsa

Pass Off Navyat Idaho Total Off at Tulane Texas St Score Off Houstonat Arkansas St Sks Allowed at Connecticut Bye Rush Def at SMUat South Alabama Pass Def Memphisat Mississippi Total Def Bye New Mexico St Score Def at USF GA Southern Sks By Templeat Appalachian St Ypg Diff

Net OffenseDefense

Total TO's

Lou

isia

na R

ag

in C

aju

ns

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Rushing Receiving

Tulsa DB's

1.01

Tulsa DL

FOE +/-

AP

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Louisiana Leaders

OffenseNet

Page 35: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 99 116 9/2 31-26 W 86 44 55 97 79 92 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 113 9/2 28-35 L 26 20 36 22 32 1261-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 104 127 9/9 93 43 55 29 19 36 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 122 99 9/9 29 19 36 93 43 55

0-1 0-0 102 9/16 130 114 114 9/169/23 #119 #101 0-1 0-0 138 9/23 28 3 11

1-0 0-0 111 9/30 101 75 91 #81 #9 1-0 0-0 114 9/30 67 58 680-1 0-0 90 10/7 120 118 123 #112 #38 1-0 0-0 123 10/5 24 10 341-0 0-0 107 10/14 90 105 54 #64 #80 1-0 0-0 120 10/14 37 71 280-1 0-0 98 10/20 92 90 50 #28 #109 10/210-1 0-0 103 10/28 115 111 82 #67 #9 1-0 0-0 130 10/28 7 24 490-1 0-0 97 11/3 76 119 93 #102 #68 1-0 0-0 138 11/4 14 4 831-0 0-0 124 11/11 78 74 2 #87 #29 1-0 0-0 116 11/11 75 30 670-0 0-0 111 11/18 116 88 57 #77 #98 1-0 0-0 119 11/18 81 59 300-1 0-0 104 11/25 91 85 66 #47 #47 0-1 0-0 119 11/25 61 31 63

#112 #230 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Miami, OH 31-26 -162 -10 0 15 25-59 2.4 20-30 208 1 25 42-131 3.1 23-44 298 2 † South Carolina 28-35 258 17 -1 29 35-89 2.5 45-64 415 4 12 21-31 1.5 17-29 215 2at NC State Marshall Kent St Furman Bye at Florida Stat Cincinnati Syracuseat Charlotte Louisville Old Dominion at Pittsburghat Middle Tennessee Bye FIU at Notre Dameat Florida Atlantic Clemson WKU at Boston Collegeat UTSA at Wake Forest Southern Miss North Carolina

Average 31-26 -162.0 -10.0 0.0 15 25-59 2.4 66.7% 208 3.3% 25 42-131 3.1 52.3% 298 4.5% Average 28-35 258.0 17.0 -1.0 29 35-89 2.5 70.3% 415 6.3% 12 21-31 1.5 58.6% 215 6.9% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

Miami, OH Chase Litton 20-30-208-1-1 Trey Rodriguez 18-54-3.0-0 Willie Johnson 7-88-12.6-0 † South Carolina Ryan Finley 45-64-415-2-0 Nyheim Hines 15-81-5.4-1 Kelvin Harmon 10-114-11.4-0at NC State Marshall Kent St vs. Furman Bye at Florida Stat Cincinnati Syracuseat Charlotte vs. Louisville Old Dominion at Pittsburghat Middle Tennessee Bye FIU vs. at Notre Dameat Florida Atlantic Clemson WKU at Boston Collegeat UTSA vs. at Wake Forest Southern Miss North Carolina

vs.

Chase Litton 20-30-208-1-1 Trey Rodriguez 18-54-3.0-0 Willie Johnson 7-88-12.6-0 Ryan Finley 45-64-415-2-0 Nyheim Hines 15-81-5.4-1 Kelvin Harmon 10-114-11.4-0Anthony Anderson 3-11-3.7-0 Tyre Brady 3-54-18.0-1 vs. Reggie Gallaspy 13-27-2.1-0 Jaylen Samuels 15-85-5.7-1Keion Davis 2-5-2.5-0 Marcel Williams 5-30-6.0-0 Jaylen Samuels 1-9-9.0-0 Jakobi Meyers 5-62-12.4-1

Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

NC State ST's

0.12

NC State RB's

Marshall DB's0.68

NC State QB/WR

0.53

Marshall ST's

Marshall LB'S

NC State

0.44

Marshall QB/WR

NC State DB's

Marshall

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

NC State 34 Marshall 13By 4.55 Points

NC State

I am high on both teams this year and NCSt only has Furman on deck. NCSt has edges in all 3 areas with their best being on offense (#29 vs #93) and were favored at home 5 times last year and won 4 of them by more than Vegas expected. Marshall was 0-5 on the road last year losing by 17 ppg. This is the battle of Misleading finals. Last week Marshall had 2 kick return td's and a pick 6 and beat Miami Ohio 31-26 despite being outgained 429-267. North Carolina St lost to South Carolina at home but had a 504-246 yard edge. The folks in Vegas are right on top of that as they made NCSt a 24 point favorite and Dave Doeren is 7-2 vs the number when laying double digits.

7 NC State 35-15

Team Schedule StrengthPhil Steele

53 Marshall NC State 33 NC State by 21

Computer Points

0.64

Marshall Pts

NC State Pts35 points

Experience Rankings

Projected Final Score15 points Marshall NC State 5.19

Marshall Coaches

NC State Coaches

NC State K

242 yards Marshall NC State 514 yards

233 yards Marshall0.20Projected Yardage Total

NC State

Computer YardsNC State 514-242

0.059 yards MarshallProjected Passing

Projected Rushing Marshall K

NC State

Phil's Forecast:

NC State By 24

55 PointsLas Vegas Total

NC State By 21.5

NC State By 32.6

+/- Ratings

Game Grade

NC State Leaders

Team & Margin

Marshall DL

0.35

NC State OL

Las Vegas Line

Marshall OL

2.30

NC State DL

Marshall RB's

1.17

NC State LB's

Defense

Score Score

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing RushingRushing

Net

FOEFOE

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--TM

CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE

RECTEAM --PS RANK-- FOEAP

Thundering Herd Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

Wolfpack Logs0-1 NC State WolfpackOVERALL:

vs. CUSA vs. ACC1-0

OVERALL:Marshall Thundering Herd

Miami, OH 2017 TEAM RANKINGS † South Carolinaat NC State

Marshall NC State Marshall

Kent St Furman Bye Rush Off at Florida Stat Cincinnati Pass Off Syracuseat Charlotte Total Off Louisville Old Dominion Score Off at Pittsburghat Middle Tennessee Sks Allowed Bye FIU Rush Def at Notre Dameat Florida Atlantic Pass Def Clemson WKU Total Def at Boston Collegeat UTSA Score Def at Wake Forest Southern Miss Sks By North Carolina

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Offense Defense

Mars

hall

Th

un

deri

ng

Herd

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

NC

Sta

te W

olf

pack

Net Offense

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Marshall Leaders

329 yards

185 yards

Receiving

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

61 Marshall NC State

FOE +/-

Page 36: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 112 8/31 47-13 W 44 91 56 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 108 124 9/2 20-31 L 90 108 109 24 26 1151-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 114 108 9/9 49 73 56 112 113 109 0-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 110 112 9/9 112 113 109 49 73 56

0-1 0-0 116 9/16 55 100 53 9/161-0 0-0 133 9/23 20 8 16 #38 #83 1-0 0-0 124 9/23 18 50 73

9/30 #27 #87 1-0 0-0 99 9/30 88 103 391-0 0-0 106 10/7 94 80 51 #22 #99 2-0 0-0 103 10/7 82 115 1221-0 0-0 106 10/14 71 89 110 #31 #103 1-1 0-0 119 10/14 52 96 470-1 0-0 101 10/21 117 97 94 #67 #1 1-0 0-0 105 10/20 54 116 130-1 0-0 101 10/26 109 124 59 #66 #85 10/280-1 0-0 109 11/2 103 86 75 #8 #112 1-0 0-0 108 11/4 66 62 1131-0 0-0 109 11/8 87 47 22 #14 #108 1-1 0-0 103 11/11 105 112 520-1 0-0 106 11/15 113 122 65 #32 #90 1-0 0-0 117 11/18 79 49 100-1 0-0 118 11/24 108 72 85 #74 #74 0-1 0-0 98 11/25 57 130 102

#13 #114-1 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Elon 47-13 378 18 -1 25 41-239 5.8 19-34 314 2 7 40-128 3.2 3-14 47 1 at Northwestern 20-31 -167 -8 0 19 26-142 5.5 16-37 199 0 27 50-156 3.1 28-38 352 1at Nevada Toledo Tulsa Idaho Stat Miami, Fl at Washington St Bye at Fresno St Eastern Michigan Hawaiiat Central Michigan at Colorado St Akron Air Forceat Ball St Bye Northern Illinois at Boise Stat Ohio San Jose Stat Bowling Green at San Diego St Western Michigan UNLV

Average 47-13 378.0 18.0 -1.0 25 41-239 5.8 55.9% 314 5.9% 7 40-128 3.2 21.4% 47 7.1% Average 20-31 -167.0 -8.0 0.0 19 26-142 5.5 43.2% 199 0.0% 27 50-156 3.1 73.7% 352 2.6% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

Elon Logan Woodside 19-31-314-0-0 Shakif Seymour 11-102-9.3-1 Cody Thompson 5-112-22.4-0 at Northwestern Ty Gangi 16-37-199-2-1 Jaxson Kincaide 15-86-5.7-0 McLane Mannix 2-76-38.0-1at Nevada Toledo Tulsa vs. Idaho Stat Miami, Fl at Washington St Bye at Fresno St Eastern Michigan vs. Hawaiiat Central Michigan at Colorado St Akron Air Forceat Ball St vs. Bye Northern Illinois at Boise Stat Ohio San Jose Stat Bowling Green vs. at San Diego St Western Michigan UNLV

vs.

Logan Woodside 19-31-314-0-0 Shakif Seymour 11-102-9.3-1 Cody Thompson 5-112-22.4-0 Ty Gangi 16-37-199-2-1 Jaxson Kincaide 15-86-5.7-0 McLane Mannix 2-76-38.0-1Mitchell Guadagni 0-3-0-0-1 Art Thompkins 15-99-6.6-0 Diontae Johnson 4-102-25.5-0 vs. Kelton Moore 5-40-8.0-0 Wyatt Demps 5-51-10.2-1

Terry Swanson 11-36-3.3-2 Jon'Vea Johnson 4-51-12.8-0 Ty Gangi 4-16-4.0-0 Kaleb Fossum 4-36-9.0-0Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Toledo RocketsRockets Logs

TM REC FOE REC

Best Bet: *Nevada 30 (+) Toledo 33By 6.47 Points

Toledo 33-27

Phil SteeleToledo

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Nevada Pts

Last met in 1997. UT is 4-10 in road openers (2-9 not involving a MAC opp). Rockets are 1-7 in the Mountain/Pacific time zones s/’96 (only win at Wyoming in ‘12, 34-31). Nevada did make my Most Improved list and this in Norvells home opener. I like the starters for Nevada and while they lack depth, that will not affect them early in the year. Toledo rates the edge on offense with QB Woodside (69%, 42-9 ratio in ‘16) but Nevada has the edge on defense and are at home and getting over a td.Toledo 480-418

Nevada79 57

Toledo by 323Team Schedule Strength

127 Toledo Nevada

Toledo

Toledo K

1.25

Nevada

Toledo Coaches

Toledo Nevada 27 points

0.75Toledo

480 yards Toledo

Nevada K

Projected Yardage Total277 yardsToledo

Projected Passing

Nevada Coaches

275 yards

Toledo By 17.0

+/- RatingsToledo By 8.0

Nevada

Nevada

418 yards

205 yards

Computer Yards6.98

Toledo Pts

0.51

Experience Rankings

Projected Final Score33 points

Phil's Forecast:

Game Grade

Team & Margin

Toledo By 9.5

69.5 PointsLas Vegas Total

Projected Box Score

0.51 Nevada Leaders

0.69

Toledo ST's

Nevada ST's

Toledo DB's

Nevada QB/WR

Las Vegas Line

Toledo Leaders

Projected Rushing141 yards

Nevada RB's

0.33Toledo LB'S

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

0.13

Toledo DL

Nevada OL

0.95

Toledo OL

Nevada DL

1.04

Toledo RB's

Nevada LB's

1.85

Toledo QB/WR

Nevada DB's

Passing Receiving

Toledo Nevada

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders RushingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

TEAM0-0

Defense

Score Score

TM +/- FOE +/-

APFOE CONF

TM CONF FOE FOE

FOE FOE +/-

TEAM --PS RANK-- APTM REC FOE

REC

vs. MAC vs. MTW Wolf Pack Logs--PS RANK--TM

CONFNCAA RANKINGSFOE

CONF TM +/-0-0 FOE

OVERALL: OVERALL: Nevada Wolf Pack1-0 0-1

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Northwesternat Nevada

Toledo Nevada Toledo

Tulsa Idaho St

Elon

at Miami, Fl Rush Off at Washington St Bye Pass Off at Fresno St Eastern Michigan Total Off Hawaiiat Central Michigan Score Off at Colorado St Akron Sks Allowed Air Forceat Ball St Rush Def Bye Northern Illinois Pass Def at Boise Stat Ohio Total Def San Jose Stat Bowling Green Score Def at San Diego St Western Michigan Sks By UNLV

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Net Offense Defense

To

led

o R

ock

ets

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Neva

da W

olf

Pack

Net Offense

Page 37: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 96 122 8/31 29-37 L 120 119 106 30 74 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 141 3 1 9/2 7-24 L 11 1 11 1 2 240-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 100 138 10 9/9 122 106 106 28 3 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 136 96 10 9/9 28 3 11 122 106 106

0-1 0-0 104 9/16 91 85 66 1-0 0-0 133 9/16 20 8 161-0 0-0 103 9/23 104 99 80 #79 #126 0-1 0-0 127 9/23 29 19 36

92 9/30 127 128 128 #42 #78 1-0 0-0 119 9/30 81 59 301-0 0-0 81 10/7 129 127 120 #69 #116 10/70-1 0-0 96 10/14 124 117 130 #79 #121 1-0 0-0 119 10/14 51 51 1100-1 0-0 96 10/21 118 109 96 #67 #93 1-0 0-0 123 10/21 24 10 341-0 0-0 106 10/28 114 123 107 #121 #94 1-0 0-0 116 10/27 75 30 670-1 0-0 113 11/4 63 66 85 #21 #20 1-0 0-0 114 11/4 67 58 68

11/11 #83 #39 1-0 0-0 138 11/11 14 4 831-0 0-0 128 11/18 6 7 7 #103 #66 11/180-1 0-0 112 11/25 84 55 63 #74 #47 0-1 0-0 128 11/25 35 18 3

#78 #84-2 -3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at Memphis 29-37 9 9 -2 25 49-146 3.0 21-37 279 2 16 39-319 8.2 10-25 97 1 † Alabama 7-24 -19 2 -3 15 27-40 1.5 19-33 210 3 13 42-173 4.1 10-18 96 2at Florida St ULM Southern Miss Miami, Flat Louisiana NC State Coastal Carolina at Wake Forestat Texas St Bye Georgia St at Dukeat South Alabama Louisvilleat Idaho at Boston College Appalachian St Syracuseat Bye at Clemsonat Auburn Delaware St Arkansas St at Florida

Average 29-37 9.0 9.0 -2.0 25 49-146 3.0 56.8% 279 5.4% 16 39-319 8.2 40.0% 97 4.0% Average 7-24 -19.0 2.0 -3.0 15 27-40 1.5 57.6% 210 9.1% 13 42-173 4.1 55.6% 96 11.1% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 29-37 9.0 9.0 -2.0 25 49-146 3.0 56.8% 279 5.4% 16 39-319 8.2 40.0% 97 4.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

at Memphis Garrett Smith 10-17-171-1-1 Garrett Smith 12-48-4.0-0 Markis McCray 3-69-23.0-0 † Alabama Deondre Francois 19-33-210-1-2 Cam Akers 10-30-3.0-0 Keith Gavin 8-61-7.6-0at Florida St ULM Southern Miss vs. Miami, Flat Louisiana NC State Coastal Carolina at Wake Forestat Texas St vs. Bye Georgia St at Dukeat South Alabama Louisvilleat Idaho vs. at Boston College Appalachian St Syracuseat Bye at Clemsonat Auburn vs. Delaware St Arkansas St at Florida

vs.

Garrett Smith 10-17-171-1-1 Garrett Smith 12-48-4.0-0 Markis McCray 3-69-23.0-0 Deondre Francois 19-33-210-1-2 Cam Akers 10-30-3.0-0 Keith Gavin 8-61-7.6-0Caleb Evans 11-20-108-1-0 Derrick Gore 15-41-2.7-1 Brian Williams 3-59-19.7-0 vs. Jacques Patrick 6-17-2.8-0 Auden Tate 2-41-20.5-1

Kayin White 10-39-3.9-1 RJ Turner 2-57-28.5-0 Keith Gavin 1-6-6.0-0 Ryan Izzo 2-35-17.5-0Category

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

AP

Projected Final Score0.00

ULM Pts

ULM Florida St23

1

Florida St 48-7

Team Schedule StrengthFlorida St

Florida St by 42 Best Bet: *Florida St 49 ULM 7By 16.50 Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

This is a huge sandwich game for FSU as they just had their titanic opener vs Alabama and have Miami Florida on deck. In both ‘14 and ‘16 FSU in similar situations won by less than Vegas forecast. ULM in the first year of Matt Viator lost to Oklahoma by 42 and Auburn by 51 last year but has 15 ret starters and go from the 2nd least exp team in the Sun Belt to the #23 on my Exp Chart this year. Memphis is off a misleading final winning 37-29 and ULM actually had the yardage edge at 425-416. Memphis led 37-14 with a 416-275 yard edge. ULM scored a td with 5:21 left and then after a Memphis fumble scored a td with :40. Florida St was playing the Tide even but in one stretch Florida St had a punt blocked, fumbled the kickoff and had B2B int’s. 5 plays by Florida St’s offense/special teams and 4 turnovers! I project Alabama will average 526 yards per game on offense this year and the Seminoles defense held them to just 269 yards and 13 first downs. They need to get talented true frosh James Blackman and the backup QB’s up to speed and confident. With the Noles off a loss and urgency to get the offense rolling, I like FSU here.

1.15

181 yards ULM Florida St

26 ULM Florida St

ULM Florida St 319 yards

Projected Yardage Total593 yards

Computer Points

Florida St Coaches

2.40

Computer Yards16.50

Florida St Pts

44

ULM Coaches

Projected Rushing ULM K

275 yards

Florida St KProjected Passing

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineFlorida St ST's Florida St By 32

69 yards ULM Florida St

111 yards

Experience Rankings7 points ULM Florida St 48 points

Las Vegas Total53.5 Points

+/- RatingsFlorida St By 41.0

Game GradeFlorida St By 42.3

Phil Steele

Florida St 593-181

Florida St Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreULM ST's

2.00

Team & Margin

ULM Leaders

ULM DB's1.11

Florida St QB/WR

ULM LB'S1.49

Florida St RB's

ULM DL

2.08

Florida St OL

ULM OL

1.95

Florida St DL

ULM RB's

2.36

Florida St LB's

ULM QB/WR

1.95

Florida St DB's

ULM Florida St

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOE

TM +/- FOE +/-

APNCAA RANKINGS

TEAMTEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-

Florida St Seminoles0-1 0-1Warhawks Logs vs. SUN vs. ACC Seminoles Logs

ULM Warhawks OVERALL: OVERALL:

TM REC FOE REC

at Memphis 2017 TEAM RANKINGS † Alabamaat Florida St

ULM Florida St ULM

Southern Miss Miami, Flat Louisiana Rush Off NC State Coastal Carolina Pass Off at Wake Forestat Texas St Total Off Bye Georgia St Score Off at Dukeat South Alabama Sks Allowed Louisvilleat Idaho Rush Def at Boston College Appalachian St Pass Def Syracuseat Bye Total Def at Clemsonat Auburn Score Def Delaware St Arkansas St Sks By at Florida

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

ULM

Warh

aw

ks

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Flo

rid

a S

t S

em

ino

les

Net Offense

Page 38: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 127 9/2 35-28 W 22 32 126 26 20 36 0-0 0-0 117 9/2 72-43 W 16 53 771-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 118 117 9/9 32 26 126 12 64 77 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 117 113 9/9 12 64 77 32 26 126

1-0 0-0 121 9/16 64 27 31 0-1 0-0 111 9/16 83 63 791-0 0-0 114 9/23 69 87 44 #128 #18 1-0 0-0 128 9/23 6 7 70-1 0-0 119 9/30 36 17 6 #75 #1 9/301-0 0-0 120 10/7 21 45 102 #118 #1 1-0 0-0 121 10/7 64 27 311-0 0-0 122 10/14 39 39 5 #58 #2 1-0 0-0 125 10/14 11 16 58

10/21 #67 #28 1-0 0-0 106 10/21 114 123 1071-0 0-0 119 10/28 72 38 70 #48 #74 1-0 0-0 96 10/28 107 70 1241-0 0-0 125 11/4 11 16 58 #123 #113 0-1 0-0 128 11/4 35 18 30-1 0-0 128 11/11 35 18 3 #107 #105 1-0 0-0 122 11/11 39 39 5

11/18 #83 #111 1-0 0-0 119 11/18 72 38 701-0 0-0 138 11/25 14 4 83 #19 #19 1-0 0-0 120 11/25 21 45 102

#123 #18+1 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

† NC State 35-28 -258 -17 1 12 21-31 1.5 17-29 215 2 29 35-89 2.5 45-64 415 4 Missouri St 72-43 323 14 0 35 41-294 7.2 21-34 521 1 21 39-139 3.6 24-35 353 4at Missouri South Carolina Kentucky Purdue Louisiana Tech Auburnat Texas A&M Bye Arkansas at Kentuckyat Tennessee at Georgia Bye Idaho Vanderbilt at Connecticutat Georgia Florida Florida Tennessee Wofford at Vanderbilt Clemson at Arkansas

Average 35-28 -258.0 -17.0 1.0 12 21-31 1.5 58.6% 215 6.9% 29 35-89 2.5 70.3% 415 6.3% Average 72-43 323.0 14.0 0.0 35 41-294 7.2 61.8% 521 2.9% 21 39-139 3.6 68.6% 353 11.4% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 35-28 -258.0 -17.0 1.0 12 21-31 1.5 58.6% 215 6.9% 29 35-89 2.5 70.3% 415 6.3% Home 72-43 323.0 14.0 0.0 35 41-294 7.2 61.8% 521 2.9% 21 39-139 3.6 68.6% 353 11.4%

† NC State Jake Bentley 17-29-215-3-1 Rico Dowdle 12-27-2.3-1 Deebo Samuel 5-83-16.6-2 Missouri St Drew Lock 21-34-521-7-1 Damar Crockett 18-202-11.2-2 J'Mon Moore 4-187-46.8-2at Missouri South Carolina Kentucky vs. Purdue Louisiana Tech Auburnat Texas A&M Bye Arkansas vs. at Kentuckyat Tennessee at Georgia Bye Idaho Vanderbilt vs. at Connecticutat Georgia Florida Florida Tennessee Wofford vs. at Vanderbilt Clemson at Arkansas

vs.

Jake Bentley 17-29-215-3-1 Rico Dowdle 12-27-2.3-1 Deebo Samuel 5-83-16.6-2 Drew Lock 21-34-521-7-1 Damar Crockett 18-202-11.2-2 J'Mon Moore 4-187-46.8-2Deebo Samuel 1-5-5.0-0 Bryan Edwards 5-55-11.0-0 vs. Larry Rountree 11-41.1-3.7-1 Johnathon Johnson 5-116-23.2-2AJ Turner 1-2-2.0-0 Rico Dowdle 2-51-25.5-1 Ish Witter 8-41-5.1-0 Albert Okwuegbunam 2-51-25.5-1

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.South Carolina - -6.5 31 22 49-174

Missouri - 56.5 21 24 36-163 -3

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.South Carolina - 41.5 10 17 34-112

Missouri - -3 24 18 42-163 3

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.South Carolina 13 -5 20 18 42-119

Missouri - 62 21 16 36-148 0

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.South Carolina 20 53.5 27 28 35-75

Missouri 5 -2.5 24 17 41-155 2

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

South Carolina 7 -10.5 31 19 39-144

Missouri - 48 10 12 32-109 1

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

35-56-423

23-40-302

Comp-Att-Yds

17-30-186

Comp-Att-Yds

21-37-219

12-34-132

10-25-249

Comp-Att-Yds

21-23-25218-26-146

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

26

Missouri by 1 Missouri 42 South Carolina 41By 0.32 Points

19 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Missouri 33-32

South Carolina Phil Steele19 South Carolina Missouri 106

Experience RankingsSouth Carolina MissouriTeam Schedule Strength

Missouri 33 pointsProjected Final Score

32 points South Carolina

Missouri Coaches

1.35

South Carolina Coaches

Missouri 520-4573.55

South Carolina Pts

3.23

Missouri PtsComputer Points

Computer Yards

Phil's Forecast:

1.56

Last year MU trailed 28-21 after 3Q’s but in the 4Q missed 44 & 31 yd fg’s & was int’d in the EZ w/:29 (from SC24) and lost 31-21 on the road. The Gamecocks are just 2-10 on the SEC road (wins by 3 pts each, ‘14 in OT at UF & LY at VU). South Carolina has a large edge on defense (#26 vs #64) but Missouri has edges of being at home, offense (#12 vs #32) and ST’s. Both teams are high on my Exp Chart (#19 vs #26). South Carolina was outgained by NCSt 504-246 but won. Missouri’s defense looked horrible in the first half vs Missouri St allowing 35 points but did allow just 8 in the 2nd half. They are down 2 of their defensive line starters since August. This should be a shootout.

Missouri By 2.5

Missouri By 2.8

Missouri By 9.0

72 Points0.25

Game Grade

+/- Ratings

Missouri Leaders

Team & Margin

0.68

South Carolina KLas Vegas Total

Missouri QB/WR

South Carolina DB's

South Carolina ST's

Missouri ST'sLas Vegas Line

Missouri K

326 yards

169 yardsProjected Passing

South Carolina Missouri 194 yards

Missouri

Projected Rushing

South Carolina Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

288 yards South Carolina21-28-136

22-28-254

Projected Yardage Total457 yards South Carolina Missouri 520 yards

South Carolina LB'S0.12

Missouri RB's

South Carolina DL

0.62

Missouri OL

0.21

South Carolina OL

Missouri DL

0.50

South Carolina RB's

Missouri LB's

1.49

South Carolina QB/WR

Missouri DB's

South Carolina Missouri

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOE

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-APTM

CONFTEAM --PS RANK--0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS

Gamecocks Logs Tigers LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

OVERALL: OVERALL:1-0 1-0

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

vs. SEC vs. SEC

South Carolina Gamecocks

† NC State Missouri St

Missouri Tigers

TM REC FOE REC

at MissouriSouth Carolina Missouri

South Carolina Kentucky Purdue

Auburnat Texas A&M Pass Off Bye Louisiana Tech Rush Off

at Kentuckyat Tennessee Score Off at Georgia Arkansas Total Off

Bye Sks Allowed Idaho Vanderbilt Rush Def at Connecticutat Georgia Pass Def Florida Florida Total Def Tennessee Wofford Score Def at Vanderbilt Clemson Sks By at Arkansas

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

So

uth

Caro

lin

a G

am

eco

cks

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Mis

sou

ri T

igers

Net Offense

Page 39: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 98 9/2 59-14 W 125 97 81 0-0 0-0 110 9/2 58-14 W 43 115 1271-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 101 110 9/9 102 98 81 31 101 127 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 112 98 9/9 31 101 127 102 98 81

1-0 0-0 120 9/16 68 23 40 1-0 0-0 123 9/16 10 15 261-0 0-0 95 9/23 128 95 121 #5 #35 0-1 0-0 112 9/23 84 55 630-1 0-0 104 9/30 91 85 66 #64 #67 1-0 0-0 96 9/30 107 70 124

10/7 #4 #54 0-0 0-0 119 10/7 43 54 710-0 0-0 111 10/14 116 88 57 #11 #15 10/140-1 0-0 97 10/21 76 119 93 #67 #1 1-0 0-0 111 10/21 101 75 911-0 0-0 107 10/28 90 105 54 #46 #34 0-1 0-0 116 10/27 55 100 531-0 0-0 114 11/4 69 87 44 #48 #32 1-0 0-0 109 11/4 65 67 330-1 0-0 93 11/11 126 125 117 #37 #23 1-0 0-0 117 11/11 70 84 411-0 0-0 110 11/18 42 92 116 #35 #35 1-0 0-0 122 11/18 30 69 170-1 0-0 102 11/25 121 107 85 #47 #47 1-0 0-0 107 11/25 80 81 77

#11 #27+1 +2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Lamar 59-14 402 16 1 31 60-436 7.3 17-24 232 2 15 33-86 2.6 20-41 180 2 SF Austin 58-14 246 10 2 25 48-243 5.1 12-23 222 0 15 35-75 2.1 16-31 144 2at SMU North Texasat Iowa at TCU UAB Arkansas Stat Southern Miss Connecticut Bye at Houston UTSA Byeat Florida Atlantic at Cincinnati Old Dominion Tulsaat Louisiana Tech UCF UTEP at Navy Army West Point at Memphisat Rice Tulane

Average 59-14 402.0 16.0 1.0 31 60-436 7.3 70.8% 232 8.3% 15 33-86 2.6 48.8% 180 4.9% Average 58-14 246.0 10.0 2.0 25 48-243 5.1 52.2% 222 0.0% 15 35-75 2.1 51.6% 144 6.5% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 58-14 246.0 10.0 2.0 25 48-243 5.1 52.2% 222 0.0% 15 35-75 2.1 51.6% 144 6.5%

Lamar Mason Fine 15-21-224-3-0 Jeffery Wilson 12-176-14.7-3 Michael Lawrence 3-70-23.3-1 SF Austin Ben Hicks 9-19-112-2-0 Braeden West 6-86-14.3-0 Brandon Benson 1-72-72.0-1at SMU North Texasat Iowa vs. at TCU UAB Arkansas Stat Southern Miss Connecticut Bye vs. at Houston UTSA Byeat Florida Atlantic at Cincinnati Old Dominion vs. Tulsaat Louisiana Tech UCF UTEP at Navy Army West Point vs. at Memphisat Rice Tulane

vs.

Mason Fine 15-21-224-3-0 Jeffery Wilson 12-176-14.7-3 Michael Lawrence 3-70-23.3-1 Ben Hicks 9-19-112-2-0 Braeden West 6-86-14.3-0 Brandon Benson 1-72-72.0-1Quinn Shanbour 2-3-8-0-0 Nic Smith 18-101-5.6-1 Jalen Guyton 4-63-15.8-0 vs. Rafe Peavey 3-3-110-1-0 Ke'Mon Freeman 14-63-4.5-1 Trey Quinn 4-53-13.3-1

Evan Johnson 13-98-7.5-0 Nic Smith 4-35-8.8-1 DJ Gillins 0-1-0-0-0 Xavier Jones 10-39-3.9-0 James Proche 2-40-20.0-0Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Texas - 69 21 26 29-83

SMU - -10 34 23 46-272 2

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Texas - 61.5 13 17 33-112

SMU - -5.5 31 27 53-273 1

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.North Texas - -2.5 43 17 55-245

SMU - 44.5 6 17 14-10 -5

vs.

Comp-Att-Yds

17-24-171

176 yardsComp-Att-Yds

16-34-128

12-17-108

Comp-Att-Yds

24-45-266

Team Schedule Strength128 North Texas SMU 102 Smu by 14 SMU 41 North Texas 27

The home team is 7-1. Last year The Mustangs led 21-0 w/:23 1Q thanks to a 49 yd td run & 88 yd td pass. NT cut the deficit to 10 pts twice but each time SMU responded incl a 46 yd td pass and won 34-21 on the road. North Texas did benefit from bowl practices but is just #74 on my Exp Chart while SMU is #10. While North Texas went to a bowl, they were just 5-8 and SMU was 5-7 playing in a tougher conference. These teams are only 41 miles apart. My computer expected SMU to win 57-16 last week over Stephen F Austin and they led 58-7 giving up a late td in a 58-14 win. My computer had North Texas beating Lamar by 43 and they won by 45. My computer seems to have a pretty good pulse on these two and calls for 37-28. I am a little concerned that QB Ben Hicks only hit 9-19-112 vs SFA. I originally had SMU by 14 and will stick with it.

Smu By 13

Las Vegas Total64.5 Points

+/- RatingsSmu By 13.8

Phil Steele

By 0.38 Points

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score 1.00

North Texas ST's

SMU ST's

North Texas

28 points

North Texas SMU74 9

Smu 520-379

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

4.08

North Texas Pts

3.70

SMU Pts

Computer Yards

Smu 37-28

North TexasProjected Final Score

Experience RankingsSMU 37 points

Projected Yardage TotalGame Grade

379 yards North Texas SMU 520 yards SMU Coaches

0.20SMU 320 yards203 yards North Texas

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

North Texas Coaches

North Texas K

Smu By 12.0

SMU K

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Projected Rushing0.84North Texas SMU 200 yards

Projected Passing

32-50-311

13-27-300

North Texas Leaders

North Texas DB's1.75

SMU QB/WR

Team & Margin

North Texas DL

1.17

SMU OL

SMU Leaders

North Texas LB'S0.78

SMU RB's

0.41

North Texas OL

SMU DL

1.41

North Texas RB's

SMU LB's

0.21

North Texas QB/WR

SMU DB's

North Texas SMU

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOE

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-APTM

CONFTEAM0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS

Mustangs LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE --PS RANK--

Mean Green Logs vs. CUSA vs. AAC

North Texas Mean Green OVERALL: OVERALL: SMU Mustangs1-0 1-0

TM REC FOE REC

SF Austinat SMU

North Texas SMU North Texas

at Iowa at TCU

Lamar 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Arkansas Stat Southern Miss Pass Off Connecticut UAB Rush Off

at Houston UTSA Score Off Bye Bye Total Off

at Florida Atlantic Sks Allowed at Cincinnati Old Dominion Rush Def Tulsaat Louisiana Tech Pass Def UCF UTEP Total Def at Navy Army West Point Score Def at Memphisat Rice Sks By Tulane

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

No

rth

Texas

Mean

Gre

en

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

SM

U M

ust

an

gs

Net Offense

Page 40: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 128 95 12 9/2 41-7 W 7 12 7 124 126 62 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 138 102 5 9/2 56-3 W 27 3 83 127 92 1141-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 129 138 13 3 9/9 6 7 7 14 4 83 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 141 128 3 13 9/9 14 4 83 6 7 7

9/16 1-0 0-0 123 9/16 24 10 341-0 0-0 117 9/23 12 64 77 #10 #9 1-0 0-0 116 9/23 75 30 671-0 0-0 117 9/30 34 34 107 #94 #28 1-0 0-0 127 9/30 77 14 181-0 0-0 116 10/7 23 44 21 #26 #5 1-0 0-0 119 10/7 81 59 301-0 0-0 130 10/14 19 5 9 #41 #16 1-0 0-0 114 10/13 67 58 681-0 0-0 120 10/21 21 45 102 #93 #1 10/21

10/28 #29 #62 0-1 0-0 123 10/28 38 56 1050-1 0-0 119 11/4 36 17 6 #2 #1 0-1 0-0 127 11/4 29 19 361-0 0-0 125 11/11 11 16 58 #3 #7 0-1 0-0 138 11/11 28 3 110-1 0-0 96 11/18 122 106 106 #15 #9 11/181-0 0-0 141 11/25 9 1 24 #11 #116 1-0 0-0 113 11/25 32 26 126

#7 #2-2 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

GA Southern 41-7 457 17 -2 25 53-351 6.6 15-26 184 3 8 47-70 1.5 4-9 8 5 Kent St 56-3 545 29 -1 34 43-353 8.2 25-35 312 0 5 44-119 2.7 1-5 1 0at Clemson Auburn Mercer at Louisvilleat Missouri Boston College Miss St at Virginia Tech Mississippi Wake Forestat LSU at Syracuseat Arkansas Bye Bye Georgia Techat Texas A&M at NC State Georgia Florida St ULM The Citadel Alabama at South Carolina

Average 41-7 457.0 17.0 -2.0 25 53-351 6.6 57.7% 184 11.5% 8 47-70 1.5 44.4% 8 55.6% Average 56-3 545.0 29.0 -1.0 34 43-353 8.2 71.4% 312 0.0% 5 44-119 2.7 20.0% 1 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 56-3 545.0 29.0 -1.0 34 43-353 8.2 71.4% 312 0.0% 5 44-119 2.7 20.0% 1 0.0%

GA Southern Jarrett Stidham 14-24-185-2-1 Kerryon Johnson 16-136-8.5-1 Will Hastings 4-68-17.0-1 Kent St Kelly Bryant 16-22-236-1-1 Travis Etienne 8-81-10.1-1 Milan Richard 2-70-35.0-0at Clemson Auburn Mercer vs. at Louisvilleat Missouri Boston College Miss St at Virginia Tech Mississippi vs. Wake Forestat LSU at Syracuseat Arkansas Bye Bye vs. Georgia Techat Texas A&M at NC State Georgia Florida St ULM vs. The Citadel Alabama at South Carolina

vs.

Jarrett Stidham 14-24-185-2-1 Kerryon Johnson 16-136.1-8.5-1 Will Hastings 4-68-17.0-1 Kelly Bryant 16-22-236-1-1 Travis Etienne 8-81-10.1-1 Deon Cain 2-70.1-35.0-1Devin Adams 1-2--1-0-0 Kam Martin 14-136-9.7-1 Darius Slayton 3-43-14.3-0 vs. Hunter Johnson 5-6-39-0-0 Kelly Bryant 7-77-11.0-1 Milan Richard 2-70-35.0-0

Devan Barrett 5-26-5.2-0 Ryan Davis 2-23-11.5-1 Zerrick Cooper 4-6-37-1-0 Tavien Feaster 6-69-11.5-1 Ray-Ray McCloud 3-24-8.0-0Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Auburn - 62.5 13 17 41-87

Clemson 2 -9 19 19 44-151 1

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Auburn - 54.5 19 17 37-180

Clemson 14 -2.5 26 28 52-320 1

vs.

vs.

83

24-35-208

Clemson by 3 Clemson 20 Auburn 17By 2.13 Points

Clemson 30-23

Team Schedule StrengthAuburn Phil Steele

82 Auburn Clemson

Computer PointsExperience Rankings

6 Auburn Clemson 108 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

3.43Clemson 30 points

464 yards

Clemson

Clemson

Projected Box Score

303 yards

Clemson Pts

202 yardsProjected Yardage Total

336 yards Auburn

Clemson 464-336Projected Final Score

23 points AuburnAuburn Pts

1.30Computer Yards

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

ClemsonComp-Att-Yds

Auburn Clemson By 17.3

Clemson By 16.7

+/- RatingsAuburn Coaches

0.20

Clemson CoachesGame Grade

53.5 Points

Projected Passing Clemson K

2.05

Auburn KLas Vegas Total

135 yards 161 yardsAuburn

Tigers Logs

Phil's Forecast:

Comp-Att-Yds Las Vegas Line

Auburn is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings but Clemson has won 3 in a row. Last year Auburn used 3 QB’s alternating on 30 of their 71 plays. AU led 3-0 2:02 into the 2Q but CU led by 10 into the 4Q. Down 6 AU fired including into the EZ on the gm’s L/2pl (from CU40). Auburn does now have 1 solid QB in Jarrett Stidham and is #6 on my Experience Chart while Clemson lost QB DeShaun Watson and is just #108. The offenses are close (#6, #14) with Clemson having the edge on defense (#4 vs #7) and Auburn on special teams (#7 vs #83). I like Under 54 in this one as the best play.

Clemson ST's Clemson By 5.5

Projected Rushing15-30-175

19-34-248

11-27-194

Clemson Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)0.77

Auburn ST's Team & Margin

Auburn LeadersClemson QB/WR

Auburn DB's0.34

0.05

Auburn DL

Clemson OL

0.17Auburn LB'S

Clemson RB's

Auburn OL

0.48

Clemson DL

0.39

Auburn RB's

Clemson LB's

Auburn QB/WR

0.28

Clemson DB's

Auburn Clemson

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOE

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-APTM

CONFTEAM --PS RANK--0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE

RECNCAA RANKINGS

Tigers LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE

vs. SEC vs. ACC

OVERALL: OVERALL:1-0 1-0 Clemson TigersAuburn Tigers

TM REC FOE REC

Kent Stat Clemson

Auburn Clemson Auburn

Mercer at Louisville

GA Southern 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Boston College Miss St Pass Off at Virginia Techat Missouri Rush Off

Wake Forestat LSU Score Off at Syracuse Mississippi Total Off

at Arkansas Sks Allowed Bye Bye Rush Def Georgia Techat Texas A&M Pass Def at NC State Georgia Total Def Florida St ULM Score Def The Citadel Alabama Sks By at South Carolina

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Au

bu

rn T

igers

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Cle

mso

n T

igers

Net Offense

Page 41: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 125 113 15 9/2 31-10 W 9 7 58 49 61 85 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 130 116 9/2 49-16 W 14 27 49 93 68 231-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 126 130 15 24 9/9 11 16 58 7 24 49 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 134 125 24 15 9/9 7 24 49 11 16 58

9/16 1-0 0-0 116 9/16 75 30 671-0 0-0 117 9/23 34 34 107 #45 #6 1-0 0-0 112 9/23 58 35 1181-0 0-0 122 9/30 39 39 5 #109 #94 0-1 0-0 116 9/30 97 83 921-0 0-0 119 10/7 72 38 70 #85 #12 0-1 0-0 119 10/7 61 31 631-0 0-0 117 10/14 12 64 77 #64 #26 10/14

10/21 #28 #67 1-0 0-0 137 10/21 8 13 250-1 0-0 128 10/28 35 18 3 #71 #44 0-1 0-0 127 10/28 29 19 361-0 0-0 113 11/4 32 26 126 #37 #84 1-0 0-0 119 11/4 81 59 301-0 0-0 128 11/11 6 7 7 #43 #53 1-0 0-0 133 11/11 20 8 161-0 0-0 121 11/18 64 27 31 #26 #41 1-0 0-0 117 11/18 70 84 410-1 0-0 123 11/25 38 56 105 #47 #27 1-0 0-0 127 11/25 13 6 43

#62 #21-2 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Appalachian St 31-10 84 6 -2 18 44-221 5.0 11-20 147 1 12 32-136 4.3 21-32 148 2 Temple 49-16 276 8 0 26 44-422 9.6 17-30 184 2 18 37-85 2.3 19-35 245 3at Notre Dame Georgia Samford at Boston College Miss St at Michigan Stat Tennessee Miami, OHat Vanderbilt at North Carolina Missouri Bye Bye USC† Florida NC State South Carolina Wake Forestat Auburn at Miami, Fl Kentucky Navyat Georgia Tech at Stanford

Average 31-10 84.0 6.0 -2.0 18 44-221 5.0 55.0% 147 5.0% 12 32-136 4.3 65.6% 148 6.3% Average 49-16 276.0 8.0 0.0 26 44-422 9.6 56.7% 184 6.7% 18 37-85 2.3 54.3% 245 8.6% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 49-16 276.0 8.0 0.0 26 44-422 9.6 56.7% 184 6.7% 18 37-85 2.3 54.3% 245 8.6%

Appalachian St Jake Fromm 10-15-143-1-0 Nick Chubb 15-96-6.4-2 Javon Wims 3-81-27.0-1 Temple Brandon Wimbush 17-30-184-2-1 Josh Adams 19-161-8.5-2 Equanimeous St. Brown 4-80-20.0-1at Notre Dame Georgia Samford vs. at Boston College Miss St at Michigan Stat Tennessee Miami, OHat Vanderbilt vs. at North Carolina Missouri Bye Bye USC† Florida vs. NC State South Carolina Wake Forestat Auburn at Miami, Fl Kentucky vs. Navyat Georgia Tech at Stanford

vs.

Jake Fromm 10-15-143-1-0 Nick Chubb 15-96-6.4-2 Javon Wims 3-81-27.0-1 Brandon Wimbush 17-30-184-2-1 Josh Adams 19-161-8.5-2 Equanimeous St. Brown 4-80-20.0-1Jacob Eason 1-3-4-0-0 Sony Michel 16-87-5.4-1 Isaac Nauta 2-24-12.0-0 vs. Dexter Williams 6-124-20.7-1 Durham Smythe 2-34-17.0-0Brice Ramsey 0-2-0-0-2 D'Andre Swift 6-31-5.2-0 D'Andre Swift 3-18-6.0-0 Brandon Wimbush 12-106-8.8-1 Nic Weishar 3-20-6.7-1

Category

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Projected Yardage Total200 yards Georgia

54

Georgia

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

12 Georgia Notre Dame

Notre Dame by 8 Notre Dame 28 Georgia 20By 2.35 Points

Team Schedule StrengthNotre Dame Phil Steele

47 Georgia Notre Dame

84

3.81

Notre Dame Pts

1.46

Georgia Pts

31 pointsExperience Rankings

Projected Final Score

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Projected Rushing

24 points Georgia Notre Dame

153 yards

353 yards Georgia

Notre Dame

Notre Dame

Notre Dame

Projected Passing263 yards Georgia Coaches

Georgia K

Notre Dame K

Notre Dame Coaches

182 yards

445 yards

Bulldogs Logs

Georgia Bulldogs

Notre Dame Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Georgia ST's

Georgia Leaders

Georgia DB's0.28

Notre Dame QB/WR

These two last met in the 1981 Sugar Bowl. Last year Notre Dame went 1-4 hosting Power 5 schools but each gm was decided by a td or less. Notre Dame is my #1 Most Improved team in the country this year while Georgia is #12 on my Most Exp’d chart. Notre Dame rates the edge on offense, special teams and are at home. Jake Fromm and Jacob Eason were in a battle for the QB job in August and Eason won it but had 0 FD on two drives and was injured vs App St. Fromm led the team to 21 1H points and 31 for the game vs a solid D. ND was very impressive last week with 606 yards and 3 100 yard rushers vs Temple. Mike Elko’s defense can be confusing and does well at home vs a true frosh QB in his first road start.

Notre Dame ST's

Game GradeNotre Dame By 9.4

1.25

Notre Dame 445-353

Notre Dame By 12.5

Notre Dame 31-24Computer Points

Phil's Forecast:

Computer Yards

Team & Margin

0.48Las Vegas Total

0.56Las Vegas Line

Notre Dame By 4

55.5 Points

+/- Ratings

Georgia LB'S0.36

Notre Dame RB's

Georgia DL

0.89

Notre Dame OL

0.20

Georgia OL

Notre Dame DL

0.56

Georgia RB's

Notre Dame LB's

0.69

Georgia QB/WR

Notre Dame DB's

Georgia Notre Dame

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Passing ReceivingRushing

FOEFOE FOENCAA RANKINGS

TEAM --PS RANK--0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE REC

APAP TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-TM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

vs. SEC vs. IND Fighting Irish Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: Notre Dame Fighting Irish1-0 1-0

TM REC FOE REC

Appalachian St 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Templeat Notre Dame

Georgia Notre Dame Georgia

Samford at Boston College Miss St Rush Off at Michigan Stat Tennessee Pass Off Miami, OHat Vanderbilt Total Off at North Carolina Missouri Score Off Bye Bye Sks Allowed USC† Florida Rush Def NC State South Carolina Pass Def Wake Forestat Auburn Total Def at Miami, Fl Kentucky Score Def Navyat Georgia Tech Sks By at Stanford

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Geo

rgia

Bu

lld

og

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

No

tre D

am

e F

igh

tin

g I

rish

Net Offense

Page 42: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 117 9/2 49-0 W 36 45 107 0-0 0-0 114 9/2 52-24 W 77 87 441-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 121 114 9/9 34 34 107 69 87 44 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 113 117 9/9 69 87 44 34 34 107

1-0 0-0 130 9/16 19 5 9 1-0 0-0 124 9/16 78 74 21-0 0-0 125 9/23 11 16 58 #22 #45 1-0 0-0 113 9/23 32 26 1261-0 0-0 128 9/30 6 7 7 #46 #45 0-1 0-0 96 9/30 118 109 96

10/7 #20 #41 1-0 0-0 95 10/7 128 95 1211-1 0-1 121 10/14 73 33 15 #26 #20 10/141-0 0-0 121 10/21 64 27 31 #1 #28 0-1 0-0 104 10/21 91 85 660-1 0-0 119 10/28 36 17 6 #6 #69 0-1 0-0 102 10/28 121 107 850-2 0-0 98 11/4 100 110 72 #3 #87 1-0 0-0 98 11/4 102 98 811-0 0-0 141 11/11 9 1 24 #1 #74 0-1 0-0 97 11/11 76 119 931-0 0-0 120 11/18 21 45 102 #1 #66 0-1 0-0 93 11/18 126 125 1171-0 0-0 116 11/23 23 44 21 #74 #27 0-0 0-0 111 11/25 116 88 57

#3 #590 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Charleston Southern 49-0 522 27 0 29 50-281 5.6 20-36 274 0 2 39-18 0.5 3-8 15 1 Northwestern St 52-24 108 0 0 22 37-221 6.0 18-35 276 1 22 33-133 4.0 20-40 256 3at Louisiana Tech Miss St LSU at WKUat Georgia at South Carolinaat Auburn South Alabama Bye at UAB BYU Bye Kentucky Southern Missat Texas A&M at Rice UMass North Texas Alabama Florida Atlanticat Arkansas at UTEP Mississippi UTSA

Average 49-0 522.0 27.0 0.0 29 50-281 5.6 55.6% 274 0.0% 2 39-18 0.5 37.5% 15 12.5% Average 52-24 108.0 0.0 0.0 22 37-221 6.0 51.4% 276 2.9% 22 33-133 4.0 50.0% 256 7.5% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 52-24 108.0 0.0 0.0 22 37-221 6.0 51.4% 276 2.9% 22 33-133 4.0 50.0% 256 7.5%

Charleston Southern Nick Fitzgerald 16-29-239-2-0 Aeris Williams 16-83-5.2-1 Farrod Green 2-68-34.0-0 Northwestern St J'Mar Smith 18-35-276-2-0 Jarred Craft 16-86-5.4-2 Boston Scott 4-55-13.8-0at Louisiana Tech Miss St LSU vs. at WKUat Georgia at South Carolinaat Auburn South Alabama Bye vs. at UAB BYU Bye Kentucky Southern Missat Texas A&M vs. at Rice UMass North Texas Alabama Florida Atlanticat Arkansas vs. at UTEP Mississippi UTSA

vs.

Nick Fitzgerald 16-29-239-2-0 Aeris Williams 16-83-5.2-1 Farrod Green 2-68-34.0-0 J'Mar Smith 18-35-276-2-0 Jarred Craft 16-86-5.4-2 Boston Scott 4-55-13.8-0Keytaon Thompson 4-7-35-1-0 Kylin Hill 9-62-6.9-0 Donald Gray 3-57-19.0-0 vs. J'Mar Smith 10-72-7.2-0 Javonte Woodard 1-53-53.0-0

Nick Fitzgerald 7-41.1-5.9-1 Deddrick Thomas 2-34-17.0-1 Boston Scott 9-55-6.1-0 Rhashid Bonnette 2-45-22.5-1Category

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Mississippi St - -13.5 45 28 30-93

Louisiana Tech - 60 20 24 32-110 -1

vs.

vs.

vs.

120

LA Tech36 points Miss St 32 pointsExperience Rankings

86 Miss St LA TechTeam Schedule Strength

91 Miss St LA Tech 119

Miss St Bulldogs

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Miss St Leaders

102 yardsProjected Rushing

Mississippi St 31 Louisiana Tech 27By 1.81 Points

Miss St

Miss St 36-32Computer Points

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Phil SteeleMiss St by 4

LA Tech

255 yards

La Tech By 6.9

Miss St 474-421Projected Final Score

5.08Computer Yards

Miss St Pts

3.27

LA Tech Pts

474 yards Miss St LA Tech Coaches

Miss StProjected Yardage Total

LA Tech 319 yards

LA Tech

Miss St Coaches

421 yards

+/- RatingsLA Tech K

Game Grade0.20

Miss St K

2.35Las Vegas Total

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas LineThese two last met in 2015 and LT had a 14-0 lead on 80 & 73 yd drives but Miss St took control and won 45-20. Miss St did lose their last trip here (2008). While Miss St is #86 on my Exp Chart, LTech is #120 but is 15-2 at home the last 4 years. These two are only 278 miles apart so Miss St should have a decent crowd. Last week Miss St’s JUCO laden defense was dominant allowing just 2 FD’s and 39 total yards to Charleston Southern while the offense piled up 555. My computer projected LT to roll 59-7 over NWSt but it was 24-24 late 3Q in their 52-24 win. Both have big conference games on deck but LT will want to get QB J’Mar Smith confidence and I would expect Miss St to call less run plays for QB Fitzgerald to keep him healthy and fresh for the gauntlet of LSU/Georgia/Auburn they face the next 3 weeks.

LA Tech ST's Miss St By 8

67.5 Points

Miss St ST's Team & Margin

Miss St By 4.0

219 yards Miss StProjected Passing

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

30-43-347

25-41-303

LA Tech Leaders

0.60

0.59Miss St LB'S

LA Tech RB's

Miss St DB's0.72

LA Tech QB/WR

0.49

Miss St DL

LA Tech OL

0.04

Miss St OL

LA Tech DL

1.39

Miss St RB's

LA Tech LB's

1.97

Miss St QB/WR

LA Tech DB's

Passing ReceivingRushing

Miss St LA Tech

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage LeadersBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving

Defense

Score Score

AP TEAM

at Louisiana TechMiss St LA Tech

Miss St LSU

FOEFOE FOENCAA RANKINGS

TEAM --PS RANK--0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE REC

vs. SECBulldogs LogsTM

CONF--PS RANK-- FOE

TM REC FOE REC

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-

vs. CUSA Bulldogs Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: LA Tech Bulldogs1-0 1-0

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Northwestern St Charleston Southern

APTM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-

at WKURush Off at South Carolina

at Auburn Pass Off South Alabamaat Georgia

Total Off at UAB BYU Score Off Bye Bye

Kentucky Sks Allowed Southern Missat Texas A&M Rush Def at Rice UMass Pass Def North Texas Alabama Total Def Florida Atlanticat Arkansas Score Def at UTEP Mississippi Sks By UTSA

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Net Offense Defense

Mis

s S

t B

ulld

og

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

LA T

ech

Bu

lld

og

s

Net Offense

Page 43: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 139 93 7 9/2 56-7 W 2 19 12 119 116 117 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 135 113 2 8/31 49-21 W 3 4 46 74 31 321-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 140 135 5 2 9/9 2 20 12 3 2 46 1-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 137 139 2 5 9/9 3 2 46 2 20 12

1-0 0-0 107 9/16 80 81 77 1-0 0-0 110 9/16 42 92 1160-1 0-0 119 9/23 17 53 45 #58 #20 0-1 0-0 98 9/23 57 130 102

9/30 #2 #31 0-1 0-0 102 9/30 99 76 691-0 0-0 120 10/7 48 78 29 #3 #13 1-0 0-0 106 10/7 45 40 350-1 0-0 118 10/14 16 29 20 #16 #26 1-0 0-0 115 10/14 50 32 421-0 0-0 133 10/21 33 68 1 #28 #28 10/211-0 0-0 120 10/28 40 79 59 #32 #5 1-0 0-0 137 10/28 4 12 81-0 0-0 133 11/4 5 41 98 #14 #125 1-0 0-0 120 11/4 68 23 401-0 0-0 123 11/11 10 15 26 #12 #90 1-0 0-0 112 11/11 58 35 1181-0 0-0 108 11/18 89 94 100 #15 #59 1-0 0-0 104 11/18 96 93 990-1 0-0 118 11/25 27 65 75 #74 #11 1-0 0-0 125 11/25 44 9 37

#4 #45+1 +3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

UTEP 56-7 509 24 1 35 38-180 4.7 32-36 496 1 11 21-73 3.5 16-27 94 1 at Indiana 49-21 159 1 3 26 51-292 5.7 20-35 304 1 25 27-17 0.6 42-68 420 5at Ohio St Oklahoma Tulane Army West Pointat Baylor UNLV Bye at Rutgers Iowa St Maryland† Texas at Nebraskaat Kansas St Bye Texas Tech Penn Stat Oklahoma St at Iowa TCU Michigan Stat Kansas Illinois West Virginia at Michigan

Average 56-7 509.0 24.0 1.0 35 38-180 4.7 88.9% 496 2.8% 11 21-73 3.5 59.3% 94 3.7% Average 49-21 159.0 1.0 3.0 26 51-292 5.7 57.1% 304 2.9% 25 27-17 0.6 61.8% 420 7.4% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 49-21 159.0 1.0 3.0 26 51-292 5.7 57.1% 304 2.9% 25 27-17 0.6 61.8% 420 7.4% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0%

UTEP Baker Mayfield 19-20-329-3-0 Abdul Adams 7-53-7.6-0 Mark Andrews 7-134-19.1-1 at Indiana J.T Barrett 20-35-304-3-0 J.K Dobbins 29-181-6.2-0 Parris Campbell 6-136-22.7-1at Ohio St Oklahoma Tulane vs. Army West Pointat Baylor UNLV Bye at Rutgers Iowa St vs. Maryland† Texas at Nebraskaat Kansas St Bye Texas Tech vs. Penn Stat Oklahoma St at Iowa TCU Michigan Stat Kansas vs. Illinois West Virginia at Michigan

vs.

Baker Mayfield 19-20-329-3-0 Abdul Adams 7-53-7.6-0 Mark Andrews 7-134-19.1-1 J.T Barrett 20-35-304-3-0 J.K Dobbins 29-181-6.2-0 Parris Campbell 6-136-22.7-1Kyler Murray 10-11-149-1-0 Marcelias Sutton 9-52-5.8-1 Jeff Badet 4-91-22.8-0 vs. J.T Barrett 13-61-4.7-1 Johnnie Dixon 2-65-32.5-1Tanner Schafer 3-5-18-0-0 Trey Sermon 7-51-7.3-0 Lee Morris 1-43-43.0-1 Antonio Williams 7-44-6.3-2 J.K Dobbins 2-24-12.0-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Oklahoma 14 63 24 19 36-177

Ohio St 3 -1 45 22 48-291 2

vs.

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Okla

ho

ma S

oo

ners

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Oh

io S

t B

uck

eye

s

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def Illinois West Virginia Sks By at Michigan

Pass Def at Iowa TCU Total Def Michigan Stat Oklahoma St

Sks Allowed Bye Texas Tech Rush Def Penn Stat Kansas St

Total Off Maryland† Texas Score Off at Nebraska Iowa St

Rush Off UNLV Bye Pass Off at Rutgersat Baylor

2017 TEAM RANKINGS at Indianaat Ohio St

Oklahoma Ohio St Oklahoma

Tulane Army West Point

UTEP

TM REC FOE REC

OVERALL: OVERALL: Ohio St Buckeyes1-0 1-0

AP TEAMFOE

vs. BIG 12 vs. BIG 10 Buckeyes LogsTM

CONFFOE

CONF TM +/- FOE +/-

FOEFOE NCAA RANKINGS

FOE 0-0 1-0 TM REC FOE REC

TEAM --PS RANK--

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving

Oklahoma Ohio St

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

0.43

Oklahoma QB/WR

Ohio St DB's

Oklahoma RB's

1.07

Ohio St LB's

Oklahoma OL

0.48

Ohio St DL

Oklahoma DL

1.16

Ohio St OL

Oklahoma LB'S0.35

Ohio St RB's

Ohio St Leaders

1.35

Oklahoma ST's

Oklahoma DB's0.38

Ohio St QB/WR

Las Vegas LineOhio St By 7.5

Oklahoma Leaders

Comp-Att-Yds

0.15

Oklahoma K14-20-152

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Ohio St

Phil's Forecast:

Last year a young Ohio St team was out FD’d on the road 6-1 but led 14-0 and played their best game of the year winning at Oklahoma 45-24 (443-403 yds). Ohio St has 15 ret starters (#38 Exp Chart) while Oklahoma has 16 (#29). This is a great matchup of Ohio St’s #2 Dline vs Oklahoma’s #1 Oline and two Heisman contending QB’s. Ohio State dominated last years game and are at home. This is the first big game for head coach Lincoln Riley while Urban Meyer is 19-7 versus Top Ten teams in his career.

Ohio St ST's

64.5 Points

Ohio St K

Las Vegas Total

Team & Margin

Computer Yards

Oklahoma Coaches

Oklahoma SoonersSooners Logs

--PS RANK--

Ohio St Coaches

Ohio St 514-391

+/- Ratings

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO: Ohio St 36-26

Ohio St By 2.3

Ohio St By 11.3Game Grade

3.20

29

Ohio St

38

36 points

Oklahoma Ohio St

1.93

Oklahoma Pts

6.63

Experience Rankings Ohio St PtsOklahoma

Projected Rushing102 yards Oklahoma 247 yards

Projected Passing

26 pointsProjected Final Score

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-

at Kansas

17-32-226

391 yards

290 yards Ohio StOklahomaProjected Yardage Total

Oklahoma Ohio St 514 yards

267 yards

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Team Schedule StrengthOhio St Phil Steele

88 Oklahoma Ohio St 29 Ohio St by 10 Ohio St 37 Oklahoma 27By 4.70 Points

AP

Page 44: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 122 96 8/31 37-29 W 30 74 17 120 119 106 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 109 103 8/31 61-17 W 70 67 33 111 99 821-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 120 109 9/9 30 69 17 65 67 33 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 113 122 9/9 65 67 33 30 69 17

1-0 0-0 118 9/16 25 22 85 0-1 0-0 123 9/16 38 56 1059/23 #15 #74 1-0 0-0 106 9/23 45 40 35

0-1 0-0 96 9/30 124 117 130 #119 #5 9/301-0 0-0 96 10/6 107 70 124 #73 #16 1-0 0-0 111 10/7 101 75 911-0 0-0 117 10/14 70 84 41 #52 #9 0-1 0-0 101 10/14 110 129 1290-0 0-0 119 10/19 43 54 71 #28 #1 1-0 0-0 117 10/21 70 84 411-0 0-0 107 10/27 80 81 77 #76 #70 10/280-1 0-0 116 11/4 55 100 53 #93 #59 1-0 0-0 110 11/4 31 101 127

11/11 #86 #54 1-0 0-0 96 11/11 107 70 1241-0 0-0 110 11/18 31 101 127 #87 #45 0-1 0-0 116 11/18 95 77 230-1 0-0 101 11/25 110 129 129 #47 #74 2-0 0-0 120 11/24 53 36 48

#80 #26+2 +2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

ULM 37-29 -9 -9 2 16 39-319 8.2 10-25 97 1 25 49-146 3.0 21-37 279 2 FIU 61-17 252 18 2 31 45-148 3.3 26-33 439 0 13 26-134 5.2 18-31 201 1at UCF Memphis UCLA Georgia Tech Southern Illinois at Marylandat Georgia St Maineat Connecticut at Cincinnati Navy East Carolinaat Houston at Navy Tulane Byeat Tulsa at SMU Bye Connecticut SMU at Temple East Carolina USF

Average 37-29 -9.0 -9.0 2.0 16 39-319 8.2 40.0% 97 4.0% 25 49-146 3.0 56.8% 279 5.4% Average 61-17 252.0 18.0 2.0 31 45-148 3.3 78.8% 439 0.0% 13 26-134 5.2 58.1% 201 3.2% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 61-17 252.0 18.0 2.0 31 45-148 3.3 78.8% 439 0.0% 13 26-134 5.2 58.1% 201 3.2%

ULM Riley Ferguson 10-25-97-0-1 Darrell Henderson 12-169-14.1-2 Anthony Miller 2-23-11.5-0 FIU McKenzie Milton 16-21-360-4-1 Jawon Hamilton 12-56-4.7-1 Dredrick Snelson 4-98-24.5-0at UCF Memphis UCLA vs. Georgia Tech Southern Illinois at Marylandat Georgia St Maineat Connecticut vs. at Cincinnati Navy East Carolinaat Houston at Navy Tulane vs. Byeat Tulsa at SMU Bye Connecticut SMU vs. at Temple East Carolina USF

vs.

Riley Ferguson 10-25-97-0-1 Darrell Henderson 12-169-14.1-2 Anthony Miller 2-23-11.5-0 McKenzie Milton 16-21-360-4-1 Jawon Hamilton 12-56-4.7-1 Dredrick Snelson 4-98-24.5-0Patrick Taylor 15-131-8.7-1 Joey Magnifico 1-20-20.0-0 vs. Noah Vedral 10-12-79-0-0 Adrian Killins 4-31-7.8-0 Tre'Quan Smith 3-72-24.0-2Riley Ferguson 3-9-3.0-1 Phil Mayhue 1-19-19.0-0 Greg McCrae 5-24.1-4.8-1 Cam Stewart 1-60-60.0-0

Category

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Memphis - 48 17 25 35-118

UCF - -9.5 24 16 30-110 4

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Memphis - 50.5 17 19 45-240

UCF - -22 35 17 34-229 2

vs.

vs.

Net Offense Defense

Mem

ph

is T

igers

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

UC

F K

nig

hts

Net Offense

Total TO'sYpg Diff

Score Def at Temple East Carolina Sks By USF

Pass Def at SMU Bye Total Def Connecticut

Sks Allowed at Navy Tulane Rush Def Bye

Total Off at Cincinnati Navy Score Off East Carolinaat Connecticut

Rush Off at Marylandat Georgia St Pass Off Maine Southern Illinois

FIUat UCF

Memphis UCF Memphis

UCLA Georgia Tech

ULM

FOE REC

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Knights Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: UCF Knights1-0 1-0vs. AACTigers Logs

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/- FOE

+/-TEAM --PS RANK--AP FOE--PS RANK--

vs. AAC

TM REC TM +/- FOE +/-FOE NCAA RANKINGS

0-0 0-0 TM CONF

FOE CONF

Defense

Score Score

AP TEAMFOE

TM REC FOE REC

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving

Memphis UCF

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

1.28

Memphis QB/WR

UCF DB's

0.61

Memphis RB's

UCF LB's

0.98

Memphis OL

UCF DL

Memphis DL

0.37

UCF OL

Memphis LB'S0.23

UCF RB's

1.05Memphis Leaders

Memphis DB's

UCF QB/WR

20-39-279

17-36-160

Comp-Att-Yds

Memphis K

67 Points

Team & Margin

1.60Las Vegas Total

Las Vegas LineUcf By 2.5

+/- RatingsMemphis By 3.3

Phil's Forecast:

Memphis is 0-4 in Orlando vs UCF incl a 41-0 loss the LTH (‘11, both CUSA members). The Tigers are 1-11 in road openers. The Tigers are 12-20 L8Y in conf road gms but have gone 9-3 L3Y. UCF lost the first mtg (‘90) but since have won 9 str incl a 24-17 win in ‘13 (L/mtg). Both teams did beyond expectations for first year HC’s last year but Memphis is #5 on my Exp Chart and UCF is #53. Memphis is banged up on the defensive front 7 and may be missing as many as 3 starters from that unit. This game got moved to Friday with the upcoming Hurricane but I still think Memphis pulls the upset.

162 yards MemphisProjected Passing UCF K

UCF ST's

Memphis By 0.6Projected Yardage Total

UCF Leaders

Game Grade442 yards UCF Coaches

0.20UCF 298 yards Memphis Coaches

Memphis 470 yardsUCF

281 yards

Ucf 470-4423.45Computer Yards

Computer PointsUcf 36-32

5.22

Memphis Pts

31 points Memphis 36 pointsUCFProjected Final Score

Experience Rankings UCF Pts

172 yards

Memphis

at Houston

at Tulsa

SMU

2.35

Memphis ST's

Comp-Att-Yds

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

UCFProjected Rushing

5 Memphis UCF 53 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Team Schedule Strength

74 Memphis UCF 76Memphis

Memphis by 1 Memphis 35 UCF 34By 1.77 Points

Phil Steele

20-28-121

15-26-122

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Memphis Tigers

FOE

Page 45: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 127 102 14 8/26 62-7 W 21 8 43 113 103 85 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 137 118 4 9/2 49-31 W 5 6 25 106 59 851-0 0-0 131 14 6 9/2 13 6 43 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 137 127 6 14 9/9 8 13 25 13 6 43

1-0 0-0 137 9/9 8 13 25 0-1 0-0 118 9/16 16 29 201-0 0-0 117 9/16 79 49 10 #21 #43 1-0 0-0 112 9/23 74 60 611-0 0-0 118 9/23 25 22 85 #16 #38 1-0 0-0 124 9/29 18 50 731-0 0-0 113 9/30 47 48 90 #6 #32 1-1 0-0 120 10/7 60 82 1041-0 0-0 117 10/7 59 25 27 #6 #26 1-0 0-0 117 10/14 59 25 271-0 0-0 123 10/14 1 37 19 #67 #67 1-0 0-0 130 10/21 7 24 49

10/21 #76 #116 1-0 0-0 113 10/28 47 48 901-1 0-0 120 10/26 60 82 104 #17 #14 1-0 0-0 113 11/4 22 102 971-0 0-0 124 11/4 18 50 73 #28 #61 1-0 0-0 118 11/11 46 52 941-0 0-0 138 11/10 15 21 73 #15 #90 1-0 0-0 118 11/18 25 22 851-0 0-0 112 11/18 74 60 61 #47 #74 11/251-0 0-0 130 11/25 7 24 49 #9 #43

+2 -1

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

† Rice 62-7 415 13 2 27 36-287 8.0 21-37 369 2 14 38-146 3.8 10-24 95 2 Western Michigan 49-31 164 1 -1 25 34-232 6.8 23-33 289 2 24 48-263 5.5 12-23 94 1 Bye Stanfordat USC Texasat San Diego St at California UCLA at Washington St Arizona St Oregon Stat Utah Utah Oregon at Notre Dame Bye at Arizona Stat Oregon St Arizonaat Washington St at Colorado Washington UCLA California Bye Notre Dame

Average 62-7 415.0 13.0 2.0 27 36-287 8.0 56.8% 369 5.4% 14 38-146 3.8 41.7% 95 8.3% Average 49-31 164.0 1.0 -1.0 25 34-232 6.8 69.7% 289 6.1% 24 48-263 5.5 52.2% 94 4.3% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 62-7 415.0 13.0 2.0 27 36-287 8.0 56.8% 369 5.4% 14 38-146 3.8 41.7% 95 8.3% Home 49-31 164.0 1.0 -1.0 25 34-232 6.8 69.7% 289 6.1% 24 48-263 5.5 52.2% 94 4.3%

† Rice Keller Chryst 14-24-253-2-0 Bryce Love 13-180-13.8-1 Connor Wedington 6-82-13.7-0 Western Michigan Sam Darnold 23-33-289-0-2 Ronald Jones 18-159-8.8-3 Deontay Burnett 7-142-20.3-0 Bye Stanfordat USC vs. Texasat San Diego St at California UCLA at Washington St Arizona St vs. Oregon Stat Utah Utah Oregon at Notre Dame Bye vs. at Arizona Stat Oregon St Arizonaat Washington St at Colorado Washington vs. UCLA California Bye Notre Dame

vs.

Keller Chryst 14-24-253-2-0 Bryce Love 13-180-13.8-1 Connor Wedington 6-82-13.7-0 Sam Darnold 23-33-289-0-2 Ronald Jones 18-159-8.8-3 Deontay Burnett 7-142-20.3-0K.J Costello 5-9-80-0-0 Cameron Scarlett 8-59-7.4-3 Cameron Scarlett 1-56-56.0-0 vs. Stephen Carr 7-69-9.9-2 Steven Mitchell 4-39-9.8-0Ryan Burns 2-4-36-1-0 Dorian Maddox 8-29-3.6-0 Kaden Smth 4-55-13.8-1 Vavae Malepeai 2-14-7.0-0 Tyler Petite 3-24-8.0-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Stanford 7 -8 27 18 48-302

USC - 52.5 10 17 26-117 0

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Stanford - 50 41 26 49-195

USC 6 -9.5 31 20 28-155 0

2014 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Stanford 7 -4 41 20 51-262

USC 24 58.5 22 25 32-170 -1

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Stanford 13 -3 10 21 38-128

USC 14 53.5 13 16 37-156 2

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's

Stanford 5 -3.5 17 18 35-210

USC - 47 20 18 27-23 2

22-30-285

15-22-135

25-37-288

Comp-Att-Yds

14-25-127

22-37-187

Comp-Att-Yds

10-13-155

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

18-24-279

25-32-272

Cardinal Logs

166 yards StanfordProjected Rushing

8-14-102

TEAM --PS RANK--

23-35-236

Comp-Att-Yds

USC by 3 USC 27 Stanford 24By 0.79 Points

Stanford Phil Steele

49 USC 72 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:Stanford

72 Stanford USC 51Team Schedule StrengthR

etu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreStanford ST's

Computer Points

1.20

Computer YardsUSC 28 points

Projected Final Score2.56

Stanford Pts

1.7723 pointsUSC Pts

Projected Yardage Total348 yards Stanford USC 457 yards USC Coaches

StanfordExperience Rankings

Usc By 14.2

281 yardsProjected Passing

Game Grade

182 yards Stanford

USC 176 yards 56 Points

USC K

0.25

Stanford K

+/- RatingsUsc By 11.0USC

Phil's Forecast:

USC Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Stanford LeadersUSC QB/WR

0.18Stanford DB's

Team & Margin

0.76Las Vegas Line

Stanford has now won 7 of last 9 in the series. Last year McCaffrey 165 rush 260 all-purp, Rector 56 yd td run 27-10 late 3Q. SU vs USC young DL 47-295 rush. That was pre Sam Darnold at QB but Stanford beat USC twice in 2015 as well. Stanford has 16 ret starters and is #49 on my Exp Chart while USC has just 12 ret starters and is #72. These were two of the hottest teams at the end of last year with USC winning their last 8 and Stanford winning their last 6. USC struggled more than the final score against Western Michigan only leading by 4 with 4:00 left. WM ran for 263 yards and 5.5 yards per carry vs them.

USC ST's Usc By 6.5

Stanford Coaches

Usc 457-348

Usc 28-23

Las Vegas Total

0.27Stanford LB'S

USC RB's

Stanford DL

0.64

USC OL

0.67

Stanford OL

USC DL

Stanford RB's

0.17

USC LB's

Stanford QB/WR

0.19

USC DB's

Stanford USC

RushingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing

Defense

Score Score

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Receiving

FOENCAA RANKINGS

0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

--PS RANK--TM +/- FOE

+/-AP TEAM

FOEFOEFOE

+/-AP

FOE

Trojans Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL: USC Trojans1-0 1-0vs. PAC 12 vs. PAC 12

Stanford Cardinal

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Western Michigan† Rice

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

ByeStanford USC

Stanfordat USC Texas

Rush Off at California UCLA Pass Off at Washington Stat San Diego St

Total Off Oregon Stat Utah Score Off Utah Arizona St

Oregon Sks Allowed at Notre Dame Bye Rush Def at Arizona Stat Oregon St Pass Def Arizonaat Washington St Total Def at Colorado

Score Def UCLA California Sks By Bye

Total TO'sYpg Diff Notre Dame

Net Offense Defense

Sta

nfo

rd C

ard

inal

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

US

C T

roja

ns

Net Offense

Washington

Page 46: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 98 9/2 40-43 L 73 130 102 0-0 0-0 106 8/31 28-6 W 114 124 1070-1 1-0 0-0 0-0 94 106 9/9 57 130 102 114 123 107 1-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 105 98 9/9 114 123 107 57 130 102

9/16 0-1 0-0 118 9/16 108 72 851-0 1-0 135 9/23 3 2 46 #12 #55 0-1 0-0 96 9/23 118 109 961-1 0-0 103 9/30 105 112 52 #71 #104 9/301-0 0-0 117 10/7 79 49 10 #19 #94 1-0 0-0 103 10/7 104 99 801-0 0-0 105 10/14 54 116 13 #45 #80 0-1 0-0 113 10/14 63 66 850-1 0-0 104 10/21 119 120 101 #1 #109 1-0 0-0 117 10/21 12 64 771-0 0-0 99 10/28 88 103 39 #120 #51 0-1 0-0 96 10/28 122 106 1062-0 0-0 103 11/4 82 115 122 #31 #17 0-1 0-0 105 11/2 98 61 851-1 0-1 121 11/10 73 33 15 #95 #17 11/111-0 0-0 106 11/17 62 121 14 #111 #12 92 11/18 127 128 1280-1 0-0 108 11/25 112 113 109 #116 #19 0-1 0-0 102 11/25 56 104 110

#55 #42 0-1 0-0 96 12/2 124 117 130-2 -3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Howard 40-43 115 4 -2 25 46-344 7.5 11-21 220 0 21 61-309 5.1 15-26 140 0 Sacramento St 28-6 166 7 -3 15 44-193 4.4 14-19 163 4 8 35-95 2.7 10-25 95 4at Idaho UNLV Bye at Western Michiganat Ohio St at South Alabama San Jose St Bye San Diego St Louisianaat Air Force Appalachian St Utah St at Missouriat Fresno St ULM Hawaii at Troy BYU Byeat New Mexico Coastal Carolinaat Nevada at New Mexico St

at Georgia St

Average 40-43 115.0 4.0 -2.0 25 46-344 7.5 52.4% 220 0.0% 21 61-309 5.1 57.7% 140 0.0% Average 28-6 166.0 7.0 -3.0 15 44-193 4.4 73.7% 163 21.1% 8 35-95 2.7 40.0% 95 16.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 28-6 166.0 7.0 -3.0 15 44-193 4.4 73.7% 163 21.1% 8 35-95 2.7 40.0% 95 16.0%

Howard Armani Rogers 11-19-220-1-0 Lexington Thomas 21-151-7.2-2 Devonte Boyd 4-105-26.3-1 Sacramento St Matt Linehan 14-19-163-2-2 Aaron Duckworth 19-142-7.5-1 Reuben Mwehla 7-63-9.0-1at Idaho UNLV Bye vs. at Western Michiganat Ohio St at South Alabama San Jose St Bye San Diego St vs. Louisianaat Air Force Appalachian St Utah St at Missouriat Fresno St vs. ULM Hawaii at Troy BYU Byeat New Mexico vs. Coastal Carolinaat Nevada at New Mexico St

at Georgia Stvs.

Armani Rogers 11-19-220-1-0 Lexington Thomas 21-151-7.2-2 Devonte Boyd 4-105-26.3-1 Matt Linehan 14-19-163-2-2 Aaron Duckworth 19-142-7.5-1 Reuben Mwehla 7-63-9.0-1Team 0-2-0-0-0 Charles Williams 12-93-7.8-1 Lexington Thomas 2-48-24.0-0 vs. Isaiah Saunders 13-78-6.0-0 Aaron Duckworth 2-49-24.5-0

Armani Rogers 9-82-9.1-0 Drew Tejchman 1-34-34.0-0 DJ Henderson 2-5-2.5-1 Jacob Sannon 4-42-10.5-1Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.UNLV - -15 30 26 49-364

Idaho - 62.5 33 21 36-129 1

vs.

vs.

vs.

14-26-175

17-35-249

Idaho

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box ScoreComp-Att-Yds

Projected Rushing

Rebels Logs

Projected Passing221 yards

Idaho by 7 High Scoring POW: *Idaho 44 UNLV 37By 0.93 Points

Idaho 39-34

Phil Steele

Computer PointsPOSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Last year UNLV was a two td home favorite but Idaho pulled the upset 33-30 in OT. Idaho has just 10 ret starters but one of them is QB Matt Linehan. UNLV has just 2 starters back on defense but is #75 on my Exp Chart and Idaho is #100. UNLV is 2-16 on the road and Petrino has Idaho on a 6-1 run in the Kibbie Dome. UNLV is off the biggest upset loss in history losing as a 45 point favorite to Howard despite a 564-449 yard edge. Idaho only had 24 yards in the 1Q vs Sac St but ended up with a 356-190 yard edge only winning 28-6. This is my High Scoring Game of the Week.

Idaho ST's

UNLV Coaches

Team Schedule StrengthIdaho

117 UNLV Idaho 103

75 UNLV Idaho 100

39 points Idaho 493-455Projected Final Score

6.26

UNLV Pts

7.19

Experience Rankings Idaho Pts34 points UNLV

Game Grade455 yards UNLV Idaho 493 yards Idaho Coaches

0.95UNLV Idaho 296 yards

Projected Yardage Total234 yards

UNLVIdaho K

Idaho 197 yards 1.65

UNLV K

Phil's Forecast:Team & Margin

Computer Yards

71 PointsLas Vegas Total

Idaho By 13.8

Idaho By 4.5

Idaho By 6.5

+/- Ratings

Idaho Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) UNLV ST's

1.50

UNLV LeadersIdaho QB/WR

UNLV DB's

Las Vegas Line

2.05

Idaho RB's

2.04

UNLV LB'S

UNLV DL

0.64

Idaho OL

1.76

UNLV OL

Idaho DL

Passing

0.99

UNLV RB's

Idaho LB's

UNLV Idaho

1.86

UNLV QB/WR

Idaho DB's

Defense

Score

RushingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders

FOENCAA RANKINGS

0-0 0-0 TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

--PS RANK--TM +/- FOE

+/-AP TEAM

FOEFOEFOE

+/-AP

FOE

vs. MTW vs. SUN Vandals Logs

Idaho Vandals0-1 1-0OVERALL: OVERALL:UNLV Rebels

2017 TEAM RANKINGS Sacramento St Howard

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF TM +/-

TEAM --PS RANK--

UNLV Idaho UNLV

Bye at Western MichiganRush Off at South Alabama

San Jose St Pass Off Byeat Ohio St

Total Off Louisianaat Air Force Score Off Appalachian St San Diego St

Sks Allowed at Missouriat Fresno St Rush Def ULM Utah St

Pass Def at Troy BYU Total Def Bye Hawaii

Score Def Coastal Carolinaat Nevada Sks By at New Mexico Stat New Mexico

at Georgia StTotal TO's

Ypg Diff

Net Offense Defense

UN

LV R

eb

els

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Idah

o V

an

dals

Net Offense

Score

at Idaho

Page 47: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 123 99 8/31 17-7 W 85 57 4 123 110 125 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 120 119 8/26 27-58 L 59 64 104 42 95 471-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 120 120 9/9 86 46 4 60 82 104 0-1 0-0 112 9/2 35-32 W 60 82 104

0-1 0-0 98 9/16 92 90 50 1-0 0-0 123 9/9 60 82 104 86 46 49/23 #63 #71 1-0 0-0 124 9/16 18 50 73

1-0 0-0 106 9/30 45 40 35 #58 #49 9/230-1 0-0 111 10/7 83 63 79 #75 #71 1-0 0-0 138 9/30 15 21 731-0 0-0 112 10/14 58 35 118 #107 #64 1-0 0-0 137 10/7 8 13 251-0 0-0 104 10/21 96 93 99 #1 #28 1-0 0-0 118 10/14 46 52 941-0 0-0 120 10/28 68 23 40 #15 #112 10/211-0 0-0 125 11/4 44 9 37 #67 #93 1-0 0-0 127 10/26 13 6 431-0 0-0 115 11/11 50 32 42 #34 #110 1-0 0-0 112 11/4 74 60 611-0 0-0 124 11/18 26 28 115 #15 #115 1-0 0-0 113 11/11 22 102 971-0 0-0 137 11/25 41 11 38 #74 #116 1-0 0-0 113 11/18 47 48 90

#50 #98 1-0 0-0 123 11/25 1 37 190 -2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Buffalo 17-7 146 8 0 21 51-169 3.3 19-32 239 0 13 22-51 2.3 22-42 211 1 at Colorado St 27-58 -69 -8 -3 23 29-152 5.2 27-47 304 1 31 43-191 4.4 26-39 334 0at Oregon St Portland St 35-32 -126 -10 1 18 32-154 4.8 18-25 235 0 28 54-291 5.4 16-28 224 0 Middle Tennessee Minnesota Bye at Washington St Maryland Byeat Purdue Washington Michigan St at USC Illinois Coloradoat Iowa Byeat Michigan Stanford Nebraska at Californiaat Northwestern at Arizona Wisconsin Arizona St

at Oregon

Average 17-7 146.0 8.0 0.0 21 51-169 3.3 59.4% 239 0.0% 13 22-51 2.3 52.4% 211 2.4% Average 31-45 -97.5 -9.0 -1.0 21 31-153 5.0 62.5% 270 1.4% 30 49-241 5.0 62.7% 279 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 35-32 -126.0 -10.0 1.0 18 32-154 4.8 72.0% 235 0.0% 28 54-291 5.4 57.1% 224 0.0%

Buffalo Conor Rhoda 12-21-176-1-1 Rodney Smith 23-76-3.3-0 Tyler Johnson 6-141-23.5-1 at Colorado St Jake Luton 27-47-304-2-3 Ryan Nall 15-115-7.7-1 Jordan Villamin 7-77-11.0-0at Oregon St Portland St Jake Luton 18-25-235-1-1 Ryan Nall 16-59-3.7-1 Noah Togiai 5-95-19.0-0 Middle Tennessee vs. Minnesota Bye at Washington St Maryland Byeat Purdue vs. Washington Michigan St at USC Illinois Coloradoat Iowa vs. Byeat Michigan Stanford Nebraska at Californiaat Northwestern vs. at Arizona Wisconsin Arizona St

at Oregonvs.

Conor Rhoda 12-21-176-1-1 Rodney Smith 23-76-3.3-0 Tyler Johnson 6-141-23.5-1 Jake Luton 45-72-539-3-4 Ryan Nall 31-174-5.6-2 Noah Togiai 12-162-13.5-1Demry Croft 7-11-63-0-0 Shannon Brooks 18-69-3.8-1 Demetrius Douglas 6-36-6.0-0 vs. Artavis Pierce 12-67-5.6-0 Jordan Villamin 7-77-11.0-0

Demry Croft 6-32-5.3-0 Eric Carter 1-23-23.0-0 Darrell Garretson 6-29-4.8-1 Timmy Hernandez 3-74-24.7-1Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.

Minnesota - -13 30 21 47-150

Oregon St - 56 23 18 34-89 -1

vs.

vs.

vs.

25-40-228

Team Schedule StrengthMinnesota Oregon St

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

Oregon St

80

116

0.65

6.15 1.69

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Oregon St Coaches

Minnesota Pts

Oregon St Pts

Oregon St 401 yards

31

0.20

0.64

3.00

0.80

159 yards

Projected Passing191 yards

Oregon St K

241 yards

Minnesota 28 Oregon St 25

Minnesota 28-25

Minnesota by 3

Oregon St 401-386

Minnesota K

Minnesota

Minnesota Coaches+/- Ratings

Oregon St

Phil's Forecast:

Minnesota RB's

Oregon St LB's

Oregon St DL

Minnesota OL

Minnesota LB'S

Oregon St RB's

Game Grade

Computer Yards

Offense

Phil Steele

Computer Points

Oregon St Leaders

By Game Yardage Leaders

Team & Margin

Las Vegas Total51.5 Points

Minnesota By 1.3

Passing

The Golden Gophers are 11-4 in road openers & in the L2Y both went to OT decided by a fg. Andersen was 2-0 vs UM during his time as HC at Wisconsin, both wins by 10+. LY OSU led 23-17 into 4Q. UM took the lead w/13:11 left (another td w/1:27), OSU’s 2nd to last drive was SOD at UM43. PJ Fleck inherited 12 ret starters and they are just #116 on my Exp Chart and were unimpressive only beating Buffalo 17-7 not getting a two score lead til late but did have a 408-262 yard edge. Speaking of unimpressive, Oregon St was thinking bowl this year and have a 3rd year head coach, with 15 ret starters and is #31 on my Exp Chart. They got drilled by Colo St 58-27 mostly due to TO’s. Last week they were favored by 26 over Portland St but needed a 77/7 drive for a td with 1:08 left to pull out the win and were out FD’d 28-18 and yarded 515-389. Minny’s biggest edge is on Special teams (#4 vs #104).

Minnesota By 4.5

FOETM +/- FOE

+/-AP TEAM --PS RANK--

at Californiaat Arizona

TM RECFOE

TM CONF

FOE CONF

FOE REC

Arizona Stat Oregon

Pass Def

NCAA RANKINGS

2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Bye Stanford

Sks AllowedRush Def

Score Off

Minnesota Oregon St

194 yards

Total Def

0.37

Oregon St OL

Oregon St ST's

Minnesota DL

Minnesota ST's

Oregon St DB's

Rush OffPass Off

Total Off

0.32

1.19

By 4.46 Points

77

Minnesota Leaders

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Score

By Game Yardage Leaders

TM +/-TEAM

Minnesota Golden Gophers Oregon St BeaversBeavers LogsGolden Gophers Logs

OVERALL: OVERALL:

vs. BIG 101-0 1-1

vs. PAC 12

FOE +/-

AP

FOE

--PS RANK-- FOE 0-00-0

Buffalo

Position by Position Edges

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Min

neso

ta G

old

en

Go

ph

ers

Ore

go

n S

t B

eave

rs

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score DefSks By

at Oregon St

13-27-130

Minnesota

Passing Rushing

Minnesota QB/WR

Comp-Att-Yds

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Net Offense Defense

Receiving

Minnesota

Projected Yardage TotalMinnesota Oregon St

386 yards Minnesota

Projected Final Score28 points

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

0.67Minnesota DB's

Oregon St QB/WR

Experience Rankings25 pointsOregon StMinnesota

Minnesota Oregon St

Middle Tennessee Bye Marylandat Purdue Michigan St Illinoisat Iowaat Michigan Nebraskaat Northwestern Wisconsin

at Colorado St Portland St Minnesotaat Washington St Bye Washingtonat USC Colorado

Las Vegas LineOregon St By 2

Net

Rushing

Defense

Receiving

Score

Page 48: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 117 9/2 38-17 W 92 41 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 113 102 8/31 37-31 W 33 48 90 60 94 1101-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 116 113 9/9 79 49 10 47 48 90 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 112 117 9/9 47 48 90 79 49 10

1-0 0-0 127 9/16 13 6 43 1-0 0-0 120 9/16 40 79 591-0 0-0 105 9/23 54 116 13 #23 #108 1-0 0-0 123 9/23 1 37 190-1 0-0 109 9/30 103 86 75 #61 #26 1-0 0-0 127 9/30 13 6 430-1 0-0 98 10/7 57 130 102 #34 #78 10/71-0 0-0 108 10/14 66 62 113 #47 #52 1-0 0-0 138 10/14 15 21 731-0 0-0 99 10/21 88 103 39 #67 #128 1-0 0-0 117 10/21 59 25 272-0 0-0 103 10/28 82 115 122 #21 #84 1-0 0-0 137 10/28 8 13 251-1 0-0 103 11/4 105 112 52 #88 #122 1-0 0-0 118 11/4 46 52 94

11/11 #50 #116 1-0 0-0 118 11/11 25 22 850-1 0-0 108 11/18 112 113 109 #45 #90 1-1 0-0 120 11/18 60 82 1041-0 0-0 106 11/25 62 121 14 #74 #6 1-0 0-0 113 11/25 22 102 97

#37 #106+1 +2

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

UC Davis 38-17 198 11 1 27 52-276 5.3 17-23 237 2 16 27-57 2.1 19-24 258 1 New Mexico St 37-31 -149 -8 2 19 40-79 2.0 24-30 321 7 27 30-151 5.0 40-58 398 6at Arizona St San Diego St Stanford at Texas Techat Air Force Oregon Northern Illinois at Stanfordat UNLV Bye Boise St Washington Fresno St at Utah at Hawaii USCat San Jose St Colorado Bye at UCLA Nevada at Oregon St New Mexico Arizona

Average 38-17 198.0 11.0 1.0 27 52-276 5.3 73.9% 237 8.7% 16 27-57 2.1 79.2% 258 4.2% Average 37-31 -149.0 -8.0 2.0 19 40-79 2.0 80.0% 321 23.3% 27 30-151 5.0 69.0% 398 10.3% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 37-31 -149.0 -8.0 2.0 19 40-79 2.0 80.0% 321 23.3% 27 30-151 5.0 69.0% 398 10.3%

UC Davis Christian Chapman 16-21-220-2-1 Rashaad Penny 21-197-9.4-2 Kahale Warring 5-74-14.8-1 New Mexico St Manny Wilkins 22-27-300-2-0 Kalen Ballage 18-79-4.4-2 John Humphrey 7-123-17.6-1at Arizona St San Diego St Stanford vs. at Texas Techat Air Force Oregon Northern Illinois at Stanfordat UNLV vs. Bye Boise St Washington Fresno St at Utah at Hawaii vs. USCat San Jose St Colorado Bye at UCLA Nevada vs. at Oregon St New Mexico Arizona

vs.

Christian Chapman 16-21-220-2-1 Rashaad Penny 21-197-9.4-2 Kahale Warring 5-74-14.8-1 Manny Wilkins 22-27-300-2-0 Kalen Ballage 18-79-4.4-2 John Humphrey 7-123-17.6-1Ryan Agnew 1-2-17-0-0 Juwan Washington 14-66-4.7-1 Fred Trevillion 2-38-19.0-0 vs. Blake Barnett 2-3-21-0-0 Manny Wilkins 13-6-0.5-0 N'Keal Harry 6-69-11.5-0

Chad Woolsey 3-20-6.7-0 Quest Truxton 2-23-11.5-0 Trelon Smith 1-4-4.0-0 Jalen Harvey 2-68-34.0-1Category

vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

San Diego St AztecsAztecs Logs

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Net

Arizona St RB's

0.08San Diego St LB'S

San Diego St DB's1.54

San Diego St ST's

Arizona St ST's

Nevada Score Def at Oregon St New Mexico Sks By Arizona

at San Jose St Pass Def Colorado Bye Total Def at UCLA

Fresno St Sks Allowed at Utah at Hawaii Rush Def USC

at UNLV Total Off Bye Boise St Score Off Washington

at Air Force Rush Off Oregon Northern Illinois Pass Off at Stanford

UC Davis 2017 TEAM RANKINGS New Mexico Stat Arizona St

San Diego St Arizona St San Diego St

Stanford at Texas Tech

TEAM

Arizona St Sun Devilsvs. MTW vs. PAC 12

OVERALL: OVERALL:1-0 1-0

TM REC FOE REC

Sun Devils LogsTEAM --PS RANK-- FOEFOE

+/-APFOE

CONFTM

CONFTM +/- FOE

+/-AP

FOE

FOE 0-0--PS RANK--NCAA RANKINGS

Defense

0-0

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ari

zon

a S

t S

un

Devi

ls

Net Offense

TM +/-FOE

Score

Ypg Diff

Offense Defense

Score

San

Die

go

St

Azt

ecs

By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Receiving

Arizona St Leaders

By Game Yardage Leaders

San Diego St Leaders

Arizona St DB's

San Diego St RB's

San Diego St OL

Arizona St DL

0.70

Arizona St OL

San Diego St DL

Total TO's

0.31

Rushing Position by Position Edges

Arizona St LB's

San Diego St Arizona StSan Diego St QB/WR

0.44

ReceivingPassing Rushing

Arizona St QB/WR

0.56

Projected Passing

0.48

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

San Diego St Arizona St 335 yards

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)Projected Box Score

Arizona St 109 yards177 yards San Diego St

Projected Rushing

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas TotalSan Diego St K

Arizona St K

Phil's Forecast:

ASU is 10-0-1 vs San Diego St incl a 34-13 win in the L/mtg (‘07). The Aztecs are 3-21 in road openers (all wins vs non-Power 5 conference schools). SDSt is 3-9 in non-conf away gms under Long who uses these games to get ready for conference play. The Sun Devils are #54 on my Exp Chart and have added some solid JUCO’s while SDSt is #115 on that chart. In 2015 SDSt won 11 games but lost on the road to P12 Cal 35-7 in an early non conf game. This game is far more important to ASt and they are more exp’d with the stronger offense. Arizona St was much more impressive than the 37-31 final last week as they allowed 225 yards and 21 points after leading 37-13 with 9:00 to go in the 4Q. They played their first string D almost exclusively until putting the backups in late. SDSt had a similar game with my computer calling for them to win 46-3 and they led 38-3 in the 4Q. I feel Arizona St is the stronger team at home and this is a much more important game for them.

San Diego St By 6.5

Team & Margin

Arizona St 445-361

Arizona St 34-25

Arizona St By 4

55 Points

Arizona St By 0.5

Computer Yards

Computer Points

185 yards

Projected Yardage Total361 yards San Diego St Arizona St 445 yards

Projected Final Score25 points

Game Grade0.70

San Diego St Coaches

Arizona St Coaches

+/- Ratings

2.17

Experience Rankings54

Arizona StSan Diego St 34 points

115 San Diego St Arizona St

2.02

Arizona St Pts

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

4.96

San Diego St Pts

71

Team Schedule StrengthSan Diego St

109 San Diego St Arizona St Arizona St by 11 Best Bet: *Arizona St 35 San Diego St 24By 2.94 Points

Phil Steele

Page 49: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 117 8/31 37-16 W 81 24 27 0-0 0-0 121 8/26 20-6 W 54 28 151-0 1-1 0-0 0-1 117 121 9/9 59 25 27 73 33 15 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 118 130 13 9/2 0-27 L 73 33 15 18 11 9

1-1 0-0 103 9/16 105 112 52 1-1 1-0 0-1 0-0 116 117 9/9 73 33 15 59 25 271-0 0-0 113 9/22 22 102 97 #24 #105 1-0 0-0 137 9/16 41 11 38

9/30 #65 #107 9/231-0 0-0 127 10/7 13 6 43 #39 #121 0-1 0-0 104 9/29 119 120 1011-0 0-0 137 10/14 8 13 25 #52 #116 1-0 0-0 108 10/6 66 62 1131-0 0-0 113 10/21 47 48 90 #93 #109 1-0 0-0 117 10/14 34 34 1071-0 0-0 123 10/28 1 37 19 #15 #97 0-1 0-0 101 10/21 110 129 1291-0 0-0 118 11/3 25 22 85 #52 #40 1-1 0-0 103 10/28 105 112 521-0 0-0 124 11/11 18 50 73 #26 #59 1-0 0-0 99 11/4 88 103 391-0 0-0 138 11/18 15 21 73 #41 #44 0-1 0-0 98 11/10 57 130 1021-0 0-0 118 11/25 46 52 94 #74 #27 0-2 0-0 98 11/18 100 110 72

#22 #102 2-0 0-0 103 11/25 82 115 1220 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

North Dakota 37-16 261 15 0 27 47-272 5.8 23-32 227 3 12 28-51 1.8 14-31 187 1 Portland St 20-6 145 -1 1 13 35-171 4.9 16-27 194 1 14 36-86 2.4 16-36 134 3at BYU † LSU 0-27 -382 -20 -1 6 14--5 -0.4 12-24 102 3 26 57-294 5.2 15-18 185 0 San Jose St Utah at Arizona Wisconsin Bye Bye Stanford at Utah Stat USC Boise St Arizona St at Miss Stat Oregon at East Carolina UCLA San Jose St Washington St at Fresno Stat Washington at UNLV Colorado UMass

at Hawaii

Average 37-16 261.0 15.0 0.0 27 47-272 5.8 71.9% 227 9.4% 12 28-51 1.8 45.2% 187 3.2% Average 10-17 -118.5 -10.5 0.0 10 25-83 3.4 54.9% 148 7.8% 20 47-190 4.1 57.4% 160 5.6% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 10-17 -118.5 -10.5 0.0 10 25-83 3.4 54.9% 148 7.8% 20 47-190 4.1 57.4% 160 5.6% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 20-6 145.0 -1.0 1.0 13 35-171 4.9 59.3% 194 3.7% 14 36-86 2.4 44.4% 134 8.3%

North Dakota Tyler Huntley 23-32-227-1-1 Zack Moss 22-128-5.8-1 Darren Carrington 10-127-12.7-1 Portland St Tanner Mangum 16-27-194-1-0 Squally Canada 16-98-6.1-1 Matt Bushman 3-56-18.7-0at BYU † LSU Tanner Mangum 12-24-102-0-1 Squally Canada 5-8-1.6-0 Matt Bushman 4-43-10.8-0 San Jose St vs. Utah at Arizona Wisconsin Bye Bye Stanford vs. at Utah Stat USC Boise St Arizona St at Miss Stat Oregon vs. at East Carolina UCLA San Jose St Washington St at Fresno Stat Washington vs. at UNLV Colorado UMass

at Hawaiivs.

Tyler Huntley 23-32-227-1-1 Zack Moss 22-128-5.8-1 Darren Carrington 10-127-12.7-1 Tanner Mangum 28-51-296-1-1 Squally Canada 21-106-5.0-1 Matt Bushman 7-99-14.1-0Tyler Huntley 18-70-3.9-2 Siaosi Wilson 2-30-15.0-0 vs. Kavika Fonua 10-65-6.5-0 Talon Shumway 5-65-13.0-0Troy McCormick 2-54-27.0-0 Samson Nacua 2-19-9.5-0 KJ Hall 3-11-3.7-0 Micah Simon 3-32-10.7-0

Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah - -3.5 20 20 42-169

BYU - 45 19 18 28-146 3

2015 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah 20 -2.5 35 14 47-126

BYU - 49.5 28 21 25-71 -5

2013 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah - 62.5 20 16 33-129

BYU - -6.5 13 24 47-183 -1

2012 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Utah - 46 24 14 35-49

BYU 25 -3 21 25 42-106 -2

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Comp-Att-Yds

18-27-196

17-37-206

25-56-315

24-35-273

18-48-260

Comp-Att-Yds

9-16-71

Utah UtesUtes Logs

TM REC

22-40-185

Comp-Att-Yds

Comp-Att-Yds

14-23-194

at Washington

UCLA Washington St

Colorado

Net Offense

Passing Rushing

Defense

Receiving

FOE REC

Uta

h

Ute

s

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

BY

U C

ou

gars

Net Offense

Score

Ypg Diff at HawaiiTotal TO's

Score Def at UNLVSks By UMass

Pass Def San Jose StTotal Def at Fresno St

Sks Allowed at Miss Stat Oregon Rush Def at East Carolina Arizona St

Stanford Total Off at Utah Stat USC Score Off Boise St

at Arizona Rush Off Wisconsin Bye Pass Off Bye

BYU† LSU

San Jose St Utah

Portland St

vs. IND1-0 1-1

OVERALL: OVERALL: BYU Cougars

FOE

FOE NCAA RANKINGS FOE

TEAM --PS RANK-- FOE CONF

TEAMAPFOE

Score

0-1 TM REC FOE REC

FOE +/-

AP

North Dakota 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

at BYUUtah

TM CONF

TM CONF

0-0FOE CONF

TM +/-

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

Utah BYU

Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

0.26

BYU DL

1.17

BYU LB's

Utah RB's

Utah OL

BYU RB's

0.95

Utah DL

BYU OL

1.07Utah LB'S

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Utah LeadersBYU QB/WR

0.15

BYU ST's

Utah DB's

Utah ST's

Utah K

0.95Utah Projected Rushing

85 yards BYU 79 yardsProjected Passing BYU K

Utah Coaches

0.64

BYU Coaches Byu By 2.0

Las Vegas Line

Las Vegas Total46.5 Points

+/- Ratings

Utah By 1

Byu By 4.0

Game Grade

Byu 367-333

Computer Points

Computer Yards

Byu 22-20

Team & Margin

367 yards1.90

288 yardsProjected Yardage Total

333 yards Utah BYU

248 yards Utah BYU

BYU 61

22 points

Team Schedule Strength

Experience Rankings122 Utah

BYU

BYU

20 pointsBYU Pts

Utah

89 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

4.86

Utah PtsProjected Final Score2.76

Utah by 1 Utah 21 BYU 20By 2.10 Points

Phil SteeleUtah

Utah QB/WR

vs. PAC 12 Cougars Logs

0.52

BYU DB's

TM +/- FOE +/-

Defense

--PS RANK--

BYU Leaders

Phil's Forecast:

BYU has lost 6 straight “Holy Wars”. LY (9 ttl TO’s) just :16 in Utah led 7-0 after a 41 yd IR td. Tms went back-and-forth & down 7 BYU went 75/13pl, td w/:18. BYU went for the win but its 2pt was ng (rush att). Last year BYU had just played Arizona on the road and traveled again while Utah was off an FCS foe with 2 xtra days to prep. BYU is off a big game vs LSU while Utah is off an FCS foe but the Cougars are home this time and this may be their most important game of the year. BYU has 13 ret starters while Utah has just 9 ret starters (#122 Exp Chart) and are working in a new offense. BYU was a 5 td favorite and only won 20-6 vs Port St and then had just 97 yards vs LSU last week. Utah was supposed to beat North Dakota (#8 FCS) 43-14 (my computers projection) and won 37-16 and it was only 27-16 in the 4Q.

92 Utah

Page 50: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 119 111 9/2 39 52 71 117 80 57 0-0 0-0 113 9/2 62-24 W 40 106 970-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 119 113 9/9 43 54 71 22 102 97 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 115 119 9/9 22 102 97 43 54 71

0-1 0-0 102 9/16 121 107 85 0-1 0-0 93 9/15 126 125 1171-0 0-0 120 9/23 40 79 59 #77 #3 1-0 0-0 117 9/22 59 25 270-1 0-0 116 9/30 95 77 23 #34 #124 9/301-0 0-0 110 10/7 31 101 127 #59 #14 1-0 0-0 118 10/7 46 52 940-1 0-0 116 10/14 55 100 53 #57 #6 1-0 0-0 118 10/14 25 22 851-0 0-0 122 10/19 30 69 17 #129 #1 1-0 0-0 112 10/21 74 60 610-1 0-0 101 10/28 110 129 129 #54 #96 1-0 0-0 124 10/28 18 50 732-0 0-0 120 11/4 53 36 48 #72 #120 1-0 0-0 137 11/4 8 13 25

11/11 #51 #118 1-1 0-0 120 11/11 60 82 1041-0 0-0 107 11/18 80 81 77 #65 #66 1-0 0-0 123 11/18 1 37 191-0 0-0 117 11/24 70 84 41 #1 #47 1-0 0-0 113 11/25 47 48 90

#53 #68-7 +3

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

at UTSA Postponed Northern Arizona 62-24 33 -6 3 23 47-506 10.8 7-14 89 0 29 42-185 4.4 27-50 377 2at Arizona Houston Rice at UTEP Texas Tech Utah at Temple Bye SMU at Coloradoat Tulsa UCLA Memphis at California East Carolina Washington Stat USF at USC Bye Oregon Stat Tulane at Oregon Navy at Arizona St

Average 36-23 123.8 7.8 -0.5 24 43-147 3.4 67.3% 296 7.1% 16 34-100 2.9 56.1% 219 9.3% Average 62-24 33.0 -6.0 3.0 23 47-506 10.8 50.0% 89 0.0% 29 42-185 4.4 54.0% 377 4.0% Conference 35-29 85.5 5.3 -1.0 24 41-139 3.4 68.7% 319 7.5% 19 37-120 3.3 54.6% 253 5.3% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 35-30 100.6 8.1 -1.1 25 41-123 3.0 67.0% 326 8.5% 17 35-127 3.6 62.2% 221 7.0% Home 62-24 33.0 -6.0 3.0 23 47-506 10.8 50.0% 89 0.0% 29 42-185 4.4 54.0% 377 4.0%

at UTSA Postponed Northern Arizona Brandon Dawkins 7-13-89-1-0 Brandon Dawkins 7-92-13.1-2 Tony Ellison 5-79-15.8-1at Arizona Houston Rice vs. at UTEP Texas Tech Utah at Temple Bye SMU vs. at Coloradoat Tulsa UCLA Memphis at California East Carolina vs. Washington Stat USF at USC Bye Oregon Stat Tulane vs. at Oregon Navy at Arizona St

vs.

Brandon Dawkins 7-13-89-1-0 Brandon Dawkins 7-92-13.1-2 Tony Ellison 5-79-15.8-1vs. Khalil Tate 0-1-0-0-0 Nick Wilson 8-87-10.9-1 Shun Brown 1-5-5.0-0

Nathan Tilford 4-79-19.8-0 Shun Brown 1-5-5.0-0Category

None vs.

vs.

vs.

vs.

Cougars Logs--PS RANK--

456 yards

41

TM REC FOE REC

Passing Rushing

Projected Final Score

172 yards HoustonProjected PassingHouston Arizona

By Game Yardage Leaders Receiving

Houston Leaders

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com)

Net Offense Defense

Ho

ust

on

Co

ug

ars

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Ari

zon

a W

ild

cats

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

at Tulane Score Def at Oregon Navy Sks By at Arizona St

at USF Pass Def at USC Bye Total Def Oregon St

Memphis Sks Allowed at California East Carolina Rush Def Washington St

SMU Total Off at Coloradoat Tulsa Score Off UCLA

Texas Tech Rush Off Utah at Temple Pass Off Bye

at UTSA 2017 TEAM RANKINGS Northern Arizonaat Arizona

Houston Arizona Houston

Rice at UTEP

1-0 Arizona Wildcats0-0OVERALL: OVERALL:

Wildcats Logs

TM +/- FOE +/-

AP TEAM TM CONFFOE NCAA RANKINGS

FOE

FOE

Defense

Score Score

TEAM --PS RANK--0-0FOE 0-0 TM REC FOE REC

ReceivingPosition by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

0.95

Houston RB's

Arizona LB's

1.23

Houston OL

Arizona DL

Arizona Leaders

Team & Margin

Houston DL

0.61

Arizona OL

Houston LB'S1.42

Phil's Forecast:

Las Vegas Line

UA has won 19 straight non-conf home games. The last time UA failed to make a bowl the next season started 3-0 (#22). Arizona only lost to BYU by 2 last year early before injuries wiped out their QB and RB’s and now are fully healthy. Houston had their opener postponed due to the Hurricane last week and football was not the main focus over the weekend. My computer had Arizona winning last week 54-23 and they won 62-24 so it was an expected start. While they had an impressive 506 yards rushing they did allow 562 yards benefiting from +3 in turnovers.

Houston By 1

70 PointsLas Vegas Total

Arizona By 0.4

Houston By 10.4

Houston 493-456

Game Grade

Projected Rushing

321 yards+/- Ratings

223 yards

Arizona 233 yardsHouston K

0.43

Arizona K

1.75

Arizona Coaches493 yards Houston ArizonaProjected Yardage Total

Houston Coaches

5.30Computer Yards

Houston Arizona 33 pointsExperience Rankings

36 points

Houston Arizona 42 POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Arizona by 3 Arizona 37 Houston 34By 0.81 Points

Arizona Pts

Phil SteeleArizona

Computer PointsHouston 36-33

4.49

Houston Pts

TM CONF

FOE CONF

Houston Cougars

FOE CONF

TM +/- FOE +/-

AP

vs. AAC vs. PAC 12

1.21

Houston QB/WR

Arizona DB's

Houston Arizona

Arizona RB's

Houston DB's1.09

Arizona QB/WR

1.10

Houston ST's

Arizona ST's

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Projected Box Score

Team Schedule Strength129 Houston Arizona 97

Page 51: Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressboxplus.philsteele.com/inside_the_pressbox/2017/... · Phil Steele Plus Inside the Pressbox WEEK 02 UPSET PLAY OF THE WEEK *this is a Best Bet No

TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST TM FOE DATE SCORE W/L OFF DEF ST OFF DEF ST

0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 108 105 9/2 24-13 W 53 86 113 66 63 85 0-0 0-0 124 24 9/2 31-0 W 15 46 731-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 108 124 20 9/9 66 62 113 18 50 73 1-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 124 108 20 9/9 18 50 73 66 62 113

1-0 0-0 106 9/14 62 121 14 1-1 0-0 120 9/16 60 82 1041-0 0-0 111 9/22 106 57 83 #78 #73 0-1 0-0 108 9/23 112 113 109

9/30 #78 #19 1-0 0-0 137 9/29 8 13 251-1 0-1 121 10/6 73 33 15 #92 #36 1-0 0-0 123 10/7 1 37 191-0 0-0 117 10/14 79 49 10 #92 #64 1-0 0-0 112 10/13 74 60 610-1 0-0 109 10/21 111 91 119 #109 #67 1-0 0-0 118 10/21 46 52 940-1 0-0 104 10/28 119 120 101 #35 #60 1-0 0-0 113 10/28 22 102 970-1 0-0 108 11/4 112 113 109 #30 #4 1-0 0-0 127 11/4 13 6 431-1 0-0 119 11/11 52 96 47 #20 #8 1-0 0-0 117 11/11 59 25 271-0 0-0 105 11/18 54 116 13 #32 #1 11/181-0 0-0 99 11/25 88 103 39 #19 #27 1-0 0-0 138 11/25 15 21 73

#51 #14+1 0

Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds Comp Yds

Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks Yds FD TO's FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks FD RA-RY YPC Att Pass Sks

Troy 24-13 142 8 1 19 44-147 3.3 19-32 210 4 11 29-76 2.6 17-34 139 4 Montana St 31-0 368 20 0 27 25-150 6.0 40-48 361 2 7 32-115 3.6 5-12 28 3at Washington St Boise St New Mexico Oregon St Virginia Nevada Bye USCat BYU at Oregonat San Diego St at California Wyoming Coloradoat Utah St at Arizona Nevada Stanfordat Colorado St at Utah Air Force Byeat Fresno St at Washington

Average 24-13 142.0 8.0 1.0 19 44-147 3.3 59.4% 210 12.5% 11 29-76 2.6 50.0% 139 11.8% Average 31-0 368.0 20.0 0.0 27 25-150 6.0 83.3% 361 4.2% 7 32-115 3.6 41.7% 28 25.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Conference 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Away 0-0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% 0 0-0 0.0 0.0% 0 0.0% Home 31-0 368.0 20.0 0.0 27 25-150 6.0 83.3% 361 4.2% 7 32-115 3.6 41.7% 28 25.0%

Troy Brett Rypien 13-23-160-0-1 Alex Mattison 13-82-6.3-1 Cedrick Wilson 4-65-16.3-0 Montana St Luke Falk 33-39-311-3-0 Jamal Morrow 10-89-8.9-1 James Williams 13-163-12.5-2at Washington St Boise St New Mexico vs. Oregon St Virginia Nevada Bye USCat BYU vs. at Oregonat San Diego St at California Wyoming Coloradoat Utah St vs. at Arizona Nevada Stanfordat Colorado St at Utah Air Force vs. Byeat Fresno St at Washington

vs.

Brett Rypien 13-23-160-0-1 Alex Mattison 13-82-6.3-1 Cedrick Wilson 4-65-16.3-0 Luke Falk 33-39-311-3-0 Jamal Morrow 10-89-8.9-1 James Williams 13-163-12.5-2Montell Cozart 6-9-50-1-0 Ryan Wolpin 17-47-2.8-0 A.J Richardson 4-39-9.8-0 vs. Tyler Hilinski 7-9-50-0-0 James Williams 9-45-5.0-0 Kyle Sweet 7-59-8.4-0

Montell Cozart 8-36-4.5-0 Ryan Wolpin 2-37-18.5-0 Gerard Wicks 3-23-7.7-0 Isaiah Johnson-Mack 5-51-10.2-0Category

2016 Rank Line Score FD Rush TO's vs.Boise St - -11 31 21 26-121

Washington St - 74.5 28 26 20-40 2

vs.

vs.

vs.

55-71-480

Broncos Logs

Projected Rushing

Projected Box Score

FOE +/-

AP TEAM --PS RANK--

FOE

Boise St Leaders

Net Offense Defense

Bo

ise S

t B

ron

cos

LEA

DER

S &

TEA

M A

VER

AG

ES

Wash

St

Co

ug

ars

Net Offense

Ypg DiffTotal TO's

Score Def Byeat Fresno St Sks By at Washington Air Force

Pass Def Stanfordat Colorado St Total Def at Utah Nevada

Sks Allowed Coloradoat Utah St Rush Def at Arizona Wyoming

Total Off at Oregonat San Diego St Score Off at Californiaat BYU

Rush Off Nevada Bye Pass Off USC Virginia

Montana Stat Washington St

Boise St Wash St Boise St

New Mexico Oregon St

Troy 2017 TEAM RANKINGS

Boise St Broncos OVERALL: OVERALL: Wash St Cougars1-0 1-0

FOE RECNCAA RANKINGS

FOE 0-0 0-0 TM REC

vs. MTW vs. PAC 12 Cougars Logs--PS RANK--TM

CONFFOE

CONFTM +/- FOE

+/-FOE

FOE

AP TEAM

Defense

Score Score

TM REC FOE REC

TM CONF

FOE CONF

TM +/-

ReceivingBy Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing Receiving Position by Position Edges By Game Yardage Leaders Passing Rushing

Boise St Wash St

1.08

Boise St QB/WR

Wash St DB's

Boise St RB's

0.48

Wash St LB's

0.25

Boise St OL

0.27

Wash St DL

Boise St DL

Wash St OL

Boise St DB's

Wash St QB/WR

Boise St LB'S

Wash St RB's

Last Five Years Meetings (Last 17 years at PhilSteele.com) Boise St ST's

0.52Comp-Att-Yds

19-35-299

Retu

rn t

o T

ab

le o

f C

on

ten

ts

Wash St ST's

Boise St K

1.20

Wash St Leaders

Las Vegas Line

0.45Las Vegas Total

58.5 Points

1.25

Team & Margin

Wash St By 10.5

+/- Ratings

118 yardsProjected Passing

97 yards Boise St Wash St

Phil's Forecast:

Wash St By 19.5Boise St Coaches

Wash St K

LY WSU came in off a FCS loss. Boise St jumped out to a 14-0 lead & w/8:20 3Q led 24-7. After a 33 yd td pass the Cougars only trailed by 3 w/4:17 left. WSU ended the gm at their 45 (L/pl EZ pass). Boise is off a 10 win season but with just 9 ret starters are #119 on my Exp Chart and Wash St with 16 ret starters is #15. Boise has their MW opener on deck on Thursday vs New Mexico. QB Harsin got pulled for Kansas transfer Cozart last week and Cozart led the team to its only two scores versus Troy.

Boise St Pts

Wash St Pts

Wash St Coaches

4.42

366 yards Boise St Wash StProjected Yardage Total

499 yards

381 yards

Projected Final Score1.08

270 yards Boise St Wash St

21 points Boise St Wash St

Boise St

33 pointsExperience Rankings

Wash St 15Team Schedule Strength

57 Boise St Wash St

119

Washington St 34 Boise St 20By 3.34 Points

Wash St 33-21

Phil SteeleWash St

POSITIONAL EDGE AWARDED TO:

Wash St by 14

Computer Points

94

Game GradeWash St By 8.3

Computer YardsWash St 499-366