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Pharma deal-making trends in digital healthHow digital is disrupting business development and where the pharma and tech industries are placing bets
Lisa Riggio, PhD & Jennifer Berbaum, PhD
03.17.2020
1© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Agenda Who is leading in digital integration: cross-industry comparisons
Pharma deal trends and structures
Activity focus within the digital health landscape
Conclusions and future outlook
1.
2.
3.
4.
© 2020 Clarivate Analytics 2
All deals reported here were made between 2016 and 2019, with the exception of the first section (cross-industry comparisons), which is from 2018-2019
What is a deal?• Transaction with a “seller” (“principal”) and “buyer” (“partner”)They come in multiple forms:• Transactions with a transfer or sharing of IP: Merger, acquisition,
asset purchase, licenses, JV, equity investment• Transactions with no transfer of IP, but exchange of money or fee: Co-
promotion, distribution, service agreement• Transaction with no provision for commercialization of IP: Research
collaborations and grants• Note: deals do not include VC/PE investmentsWhen were these deals made?• Deal download was performed in February, 2020
3© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
What is a deal?
Solutions centered around consumers that enable health management or patient care in real-life settings and generate insights on behaviors and outcomes
4
What is digital health?
Technology
Device / hardware Wearable Sensor Connected device Gaming, virtual/augmented reality
Software Mobile health app Software as Medical Device Telemedicine, remote care Connected healthcare platform Digital imaging, remote diagnostics Advanced analytics for clinical data
Function
Other workflows – Clinical research, health/disease monitoring, healthcare operations, data sharing, drug retail, consumer health
Use in clinical practice – Prevention, disease management, diagnosis, treatment, medication optimization, personalized health program
© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
• Deal-making represents a company’s ability and need to build, borrow, or acquire resources necessary to expand and innovate in an extremely broad area.
• Digital health deal trends indicate magnitude of pharma industry’s involvement and adoption of digital health.
• Deals are also a proxy for the progression of a new technology, like digital health: the greater activity, the greater the impact in the broader healthcare market.
5© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Why look at the digital health deal-making landscape?
Digital Health
Treatment
Dx
Overall patient
care
Drug research
Therapy access
A situation ripe for collaboration
Not easy to be an expert or leverage internal resources
Who is leading in digital integration: cross-industry comparisons
6© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Poll question:Which distribution would you expect
among tech, medical device, and pharma deals?
7© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Top MedDev
30%
Top Pharma33%
Top Tech37%
33%
Digital health deal volume, 2018-2019: Top 10 “Big Companies”Comparable activity across sectors: Pharma is holding their own in digital health
8© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
37% 30%
*Based on 2019 revenue. With the addition of Bayer, BMS, AZ, and Lilly, 41 digital health deals are added, making pharma own 40% of the pie.
*Sources for revenue: Cortellis, MPO, Forbes, Fortune
Pharma remains the traditional buyer, while tech and med dev take predominately seller roles
• Big tech’s and med dev’s tight integration into digital health market, already in existence
• Pharma has a larger gap, compared to tech and med dev
• Big tech and device have stronger internal expertise
9© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Seller Buyer
Startups, Researchers Larger companies
Top Tech58% as SELLER
Top Pharma90% as BUYER
Top MedDev52% as SELLER
More evenly spread pharma activity, while med dev and tech have established players
10© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
16 14 13 11 103 3 2 2 1
0
25
50
0
10
20
30Top Pharma Deal Volume 75 deals
29
12 106 3 3 3 2 1 0
0
25
50
0
10
20
30
DH Deals Revenue ($, B)
Top Med Device Deal Volume69 deals 28
20
11 115 3 3 2 1 0
-50
50
150
250
0
10
20
30
Top Tech Deal Volume
• Pharma deal-makers are “trying out” digital health, with biomodal distribution across top cos
• Med device is more imbedded in DH, thus increased enrichment for a select few top players – Philips, GE, Google, and Microsoft
84 deals
*Deal volume is combination of sellers and buyers, for all deal types, from 2018-2019
Del v
olum
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l vol
ume
Del v
olum
e
Reve
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($,B
)Re
venu
e ($
,B)
Reve
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($,B
)
More evenly spread pharma activity, while med dev and tech have established players
11© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
25
16 14 13 13 11 10 95 3 3 2 2 1
0
25
50
0
10
20
30Top Pharma Deal Volume 75 deals
29
12 106 3 3 3 2 1 0
0
25
50
0
10
20
30
DH Deals Revenue ($, B)
Top Med Device Deal Volume69 deals 28
20
11 115 3 3 2 1 0
-50
50
150
250
0
10
20
30
Top Tech Deal Volume
• With addition of 4 top pharma cos (by revenue), the biomodal distribution flattens out even further
84 deals
*Deal volume is combination of sellers and buyers, for all deal types, from 2018-2019
Del v
olum
eDe
l vol
ume
Del v
olum
e
Reve
nue
($,B
)Re
venu
e ($
,B)
Reve
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($,B
)
How pharma is being disrupted: deal trends and structures
12© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Poll question:Which deal structure would you expect
to be most common when a digital health company is partnering with a
pharma company?
13© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
25 25 18 17 14 13 13 9 9 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 1
56
167
76
143 141153
127
188
79
29
137
18
73
22
57
77
40 39
21
79
61
87
178
35
18
0
50
100
150
200
Digital Health (DH) Deals LS (Life Sciences) Deals
• LS deals dominate, as expected, with almost 10x more LS deals
• Bayer, Roche, Sanofi, Novartis are leading the industry
• While GSK, Abbvie, Merck and Gilead are lagging
• Deals are diverse, emphasizing various innovation opportunities
14© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Life science deals dominate, yet digital innovation is prevalent
Digital Health Deals (2016-2019) LS/Drug Deals (2016-2019)
Volume: 212Value: $2.76 B
~90% undisclosed
Volume: 2038Value: $723.0 B
~73% undisclosed
*Top 25 pharma are based on a blend of revenue and digital health deal making activityDeal volume includes all transaction types for parent company as both seller and buyer. Deal values indicated for publicly reported financials
15© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
• Pharma activity is building, with DH deals more than doubling from 2018 to 2019
• This trend follows that of digital health funding, which jumped 30% from 2017 to 2018, one year prior to the deals jump
Digital health deal activity builds rapidly – similar to funding
2016
25
2017
29
2018
46
2019
112
Number of Top Pharma Deals
Largest increase, more than double
Median start date for pharma deals
Median start date for all DH deals
Source: Torreya Digital Therapeutics and the Future of Pharma, Feb 2020. Primary source: RockHealth
16Insert footer
Top M&A deals (2016-2019):• Dassault Systèmes acquires Medidata ($5.8 B)• Google to acquire Fitbit ($2.1B)• Roche acquires Flatiron ($1.9B)Top Licenses (2019):• Otsuka and Click develop and commercialize digital Tx for
major depressive disorder ($302M, $272 MS); License• GSK and 23andMe discover drug targets ($300M); License,
Equity Option• Astellas develop and commercialize WellDoc's BlueStar for
diabetes ($15M UF)• ResApp and Sanofi develop and commercialize respiratory
app ($, undisclosed); License• Rx.Health and Roche collaborate to develop digital care
solutions for IBD ($, undisclosed); License
Top M&A deals (2016-2019):• BMS merger with Celgene ($74B)• Abbvie acquisition of Allergan ($63B)• Takeda acquisition of Shire ($62B)Top Licenses (2019): I/O deals dominate• Merck and Eisai develop and commercialize Lenvima + Keytruda
WW ($5.7B total, $0.3B UF; $4.3B MS)• Roche develop and commercialize Sarepta’s SRP-9001 outside
US for DMD ($2.9B total; $ 0.75B UF; $1.7B MS)• Celgene and Jounce develop cancer immunotherapies WW
($2.8B total; $ 0.22B UF; $2.3B MS)• Eli Lilly and AC Immune develop tau aggregation inhibitors for
neurodegenerative diseases WW ($1.9B total; $ 0.08B UF; $1.8B MS)
• Gilead Sciences and Agenus develop immuno-oncology therapies WW ($1.9B total; $ 0.12B UF; $1.6B MS)
Digital health top dealsLife sciences top deals
Digital health has emerged as a low-risk way for pharma to collaborate
License/JV38%
Service34%
Research21%
Other4%
M&A, Asset Purch
2%
Equity1%
• DH deals predominately service agreements –instead of licenses –indicating a fee for service structure, rather than a risk-sharing model.
• DH licenses are not as easy to define.
• Top pharma applying licensing know-how to DH arena; service agreements still prevalent
17© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Digital Health Deals, 2016-2019 Life Sciences Deals 2016-2019
*0.007% of LS deals were unassigned
License/JV36%
Research35%
Service17%
M&A, Asset Purch11%
Equity1%
Other0%
License/JV55%Research
24%
Service11%
M&A, Purchase
9%
Equity1%
Life Sciences Deals 2016-2019
Service50%
License/JV25%
M&A, Asset Purch12%
Research10%
Other3%
Equity0%
Digital Health Deals, 2016-2019AL
L DE
ALS
TOP
25
PHAR
MA-
ON
LY
ALL
DEAL
STO
P 25
PH
ARM
A-O
NLY
Activity focus within the digital health landscape
18© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Software & Analytics
40%
Digital Health Device
18%
Connected HC Platform
16%
Telemedicine & Remote Care
11%
Digital Imaging & Pathology
5%
Digital Therapeutics
4%
Digital Health Clinical Trial
Research4%
Remote Diagnostics & Testing
2%
19© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
DH company activity: software and analytics dominate, while patient-centricity is the common underlying theme
1/4 combination with DH device
1/5 standalone software (incl apps)
Remaining are digital Tx, digital imaging, and support services
*Based on deal buyer field of activity, DH company activity accounts for approx. 40% of buyer company activity out of entire deal set (3158 deals)
Company Activity, Digital Health
Software & Analytics
40%
Digital Health Device
18%
Connected HC Platform
16%
Telemedicine & Remote Care
11%
Digital Imaging & Pathology
5%
Digital Therapeutics
4%
Digital Health Clinical Trial
Research4%
Remote Diagnostics & Testing
2%
20© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
DH company activity: software and analytics dominate, while patient-centricity is the common underlying theme
1/4 combination with DH device
1/5 standalone software (incl apps)
Remaining are digital Tx, digital imaging, and support services
*Based on deal buyer field of activity, DH company activity accounts for approx. 40% of buyer company activity out of entire deal set (3158 deals)
21© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Broader digital health deals landscape demonstrates highest activity from providers and healthcare services companies
17
18
35
56
60
65
119
134
203
274
299
578
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
Electronics
Clinical Research
Pharmacy Services
Consulting & Commercial Services
Investors
Payer/Benefits Services
Academic/Research
Medical Device & Equip
Software & Technology
Pharma
Business Support Services
HCP/Healthcare Services
Deal Volume
Company Activity, Non-Digital Health
Shift in health care investments:• Patient engagement• Clinical decision support• Access to care• Electronic data capture• Data aggregation and analytics• Personalized medicine
*Based on deal buyer field of activity, non-DH company activity accounts for approx. 60% of buyer company activity out of entire deal set (3158 deals)
• Cost of treating chronic conditions continues to increase, the population lives longer, and technology access improves.
• What’s holding this back?
– Regulatory bodies - slow-moving to establish approval pathways for digital therapies
– Clinical trial sponsors and CROs – reluctance to adopt novel digital and patient-centric approaches to clinical trials
– Payer model – does not reimburse digital therapies or adjuncts that promote long-term prevention and behavior/lifestyle changes
– Cultural transformation of providers – reluctance to adopt digital practices and shared patient-provider decision making
• Within 20 years, 90% of all jobs in the NHS will require some element of digital skills. – TopolReport, Feb 2019
• 64% of patients use a digital device to manage their health….
• …71 percent believe it would be helpful for their doctor to have access to this information. –Transcend Insights (Humana) March 2017
22© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Healthcare is under similar pressure to massively shift the way care is delivered
There remains room for innovative digital solutions across multiple therapy areas
23© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
*Not pictured: Not applicable and Unknown therapy areas
*Based on therapy area for full DH deals data set (3158 deals, 2016-2019)
Therapy areas with innovation potential
24© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Innovation hot spots among larger therapy areas
Psychiatric
NeurodegenerativeSleepPain/Migraine
Stroke/Hemorrhage
Cognitive/Neuro (General)
Disease/Injury
Developmental
Motor Neuron Epilepsy
Neuro/Psych
Heart Disease/Failu
re
Arrhythmia/Afib
HypertensionOther
Cardiovascular
Respiratory/Lung
Disease (General)
Asthma
COPD
Fibrosis Cough
Respiratory
Womens Health
Renal Injury/Diseas
e
Pregnancy/Labor
Complication
Breast Disease
Infertility
Urinary Tract Infection
Other
Incontinence
OB/Genitourinary
*Based on therapy area for full DH deals data set (3158 deals, 2016-2019)
Conclusions and future outlook
25© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
26© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
A digital-savvy organization finds the perfect balance between internal initiatives and operations and external innovation
What trends do we expect in 2020?
Digital health deals will increase in 2020 for the pharma industry, across various players, while big tech and med dev will infiltrate the health market, not as buyers, but as sellers and through internal innovations.
More targeted approach to digital asset development; deal structures transitioning from less fee-for-service to more risk-sharing, as pharma and digital health companies work together from inception.
Patient uptake of digital health services and remote treatment will remain an obstacle to generating a return on investment, unless we see payers and providers incentivizing and regulatory bodies making larger changes to policies.
Thank you!
For more information on how you can understand the global digital health ecosystem via one single source, visit our website
27© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Appendix
28© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
Top MedDev
25%
Top Pharma
40%
Top Tech35%
40%
Comparable activity across sectors; pharma is no longer lagging behind – 2016-2018, Top 18 Companies
29© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
35% 25%
Top MedDev
25%
Top Pharma42%
Top Tech33%
42%
Comparable activity across sectors; pharma is no longer lagging behind – 2018-2019, Top 18 Companies
30© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
33%25%
Top MedDev
31%
Top Pharma
33%
Top Tech36%
33%
Comparable activity across sectors; pharma is no longer lagging behind – 2016-2018, Top 10 Companies
31© 2020 Clarivate Analytics
36% 31%