33
Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean Coary, Saint Joseph’s University Graeme McVie, Precima

Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    0

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions

Dr. Sean Coary, Saint Joseph’s UniversityGraeme McVie, Precima

Page 2: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Graeme McVie

VP & GM

Business Development

Precima

Sean Coary

Assistant Professor of

Food Marketing

Saint Joseph’s University

Today’s presenters

CONFIDENTIAL 2

Page 3: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

The Present State of Trade Promotions

and Why It Needs to Change

Why Are Personalized Offers Both

Better and the Wave of the Future?

So What Should I Do?

Trade

Promotions

Personalized

Offers

Looking

Forward

01

02

03

Today’s discussion topics

CONFIDENTIAL 3

Page 4: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

“You’re Special”

CONFIDENTIAL 4

Page 5: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

“You’re Special”

CONFIDENTIAL 5

Page 6: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

“You’re Special”

CONFIDENTIAL 6

Page 7: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Treat Me Like I’m Special

• Consumers have a desire to feel special

• Are we filling that need?

• Traditional trade promotions • Generic - For the masses

• Is this mass, generic approach optimal?

CONFIDENTIAL 7

Page 8: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Manufacturers: Are You Satisfied?

CONFIDENTIAL 8

Page 9: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Manufacturers: Are You Satisfied?

CONFIDENTIAL 9

Page 10: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

State of Trade Promotions

• 66% of trade promotions do not break even

• 22% did not generate any sales lift

• Who suffers?• Manufacturers – Sunk cost?

• Retailers – Opportunity cost?

CONFIDENTIAL 10

Page 11: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

What Do We Do?

CONFIDENTIAL 11

Page 12: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Compliance: Trust and Execution

Manufacturers have issues with putting together a good plan but not getting retailers to execute it as agreed upon.

CONFIDENTIAL 12

Page 13: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Greed or Logistics?

• Trade promotions can be complicated

• Analytics and evaluation of trade promotions• Struggle for both manufacturers and retailers

• Analytical tools and personnel issues

• Leads to “copy and repeat”

CONFIDENTIAL 13

Page 14: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Challenges Finding Qualified Personnel

Manufacturers have challenges finding qualified personnel who can use and understand existing solutions.

CONFIDENTIAL 14

Page 15: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

There Has to Be a Better Way?

• Traditional trade promotions aren’t working well

• Coordination and personnel issues

• Follow the consumer

CONFIDENTIAL 15

Page 16: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Who Wants What?

CONFIDENTIAL 16

Page 17: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

How Do We Do It?

CONFIDENTIAL 17

Page 18: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Looking Forward:

So What Should I Do?

03

CONFIDENTIAL 18

Page 19: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

How should retailers and manufacturers

address these issues?

Stop Fix Slant

Relevance Incrementality Scale

CONFIDENTIAL 19

Page 20: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Heavy Promo

Promo at Right Time

Promote Less

Do Not Promote

How did my items in the weekly ad

perform?

Which promotions should I continue

executing and which should I stop?

StopStop non-performing promotions;

perform post-promotion analyses

CONFIDENTIAL 20

Page 21: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Revenue

Gross

Profits

% Lift

Impact of Different Discounts on Volume, Revenue & Profit

Volume

At 30%: Revenue turns negative

Discount

At 40%: overall Volume begins to level-off; Gross Profits have turned

negative

FixFix promotion mechanics to

improve performance

CONFIDENTIAL 21

Page 22: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Maintain for Overall Category Value

Maximize Promo Investment

Fix or StopMaintain for Best Customer Value

Value to Best Customers

Val

ue

to O

vera

ll C

ateg

ory

High

Low

HighLow

Coffee Example

Design promotions for loyal

shoppersSlant

Private label ground coffee

CONFIDENTIAL 22

Page 23: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

$0

$3,000

$6,000

$9,000

$12,000

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%$0

$3,000

$6,000

$9,000

$12,000

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Low Value Customers

Secondary Customers

Priority Customers

At 40%: overall revenue begins to decrease

Sales $’s

Sales $’s at Different Discount Depths Overall and by Segment

All Customers

At 30%: priority customer revenue starts decreasing; low value customer

revenue increases

Discount

Discounts should be designed for

loyal shoppersSlant

CONFIDENTIAL 23

Page 24: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

I have offers Which customers?

For this customer What content/offers?

Strategy, Process &

Analytics shift from

“limited offer bank” &

rules management…

…to ”total store offer

bank” and customer

level optimisation

Personalization efforts need to

evolveRelevance

CONFIDENTIAL 24

Page 25: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Price

All $1.9990% of Shoppers

Volume Sales GP$’s Delivery

Shelf

10% of Shoppers

Price

$1.89

$1.85

$1.95

$1.80

$1.75

$1.80

$1.65

$1.69

$1.79

$1.89

Delivery

email

app

paper

email

email

app

email

app

paper

app

Current Value

Potential Value

Intent

high low Defend & retain

high med Retain & grow

med high Grow

high low Defend & retain

high low Defend & retain

high med Retain & grow

med high Grow

high low Defend & retain

med high Grow

high low Defend & retain

+2.2% +2.3% +1.4%

Personalized pricing is possible Relevance

CONFIDENTIAL 25

Page 26: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

How do I identify offers for each customer

that drive response and incremental sales?

How do I incorporate customer-driven

offers into the personalization process?

Thank You

Incremental Sales (Cross Sell/Up Sell)

Improve Category Penetration

Support Brand Objectives

Total Spend and Frequency

Driving both relevance and

profitability is essentialIncremental

CONFIDENTIAL 26

Page 27: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

IncrementalOffer optimization delivers 100%

personalized prices/offers

CONFIDENTIAL 27

$5 off when you

spend more than $100

Offer Bank Content & Channel Bank

Paper

Web

Email

Each individual customer receives 100% personalized communication:

‒Content (Creative and Copy)

‒Offers (products, discounts, spend stretch levels, rewards, etc.)

‒Offer type combinations (Thank You, Basket Builder/Continuity, Up/Cross Sell, etc.)

‒Channel of delivery (paper, digital, mobile, social)

Page 28: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Need to build scalability into

funding and process

Shoppers

CPG Trade Promotions

CPG Consumer

PromotionsCPG Media

Retailer Catman Team

Agencies

TV, Print, etc…

3rd Party Partners

FSIs, Coupons,

etc…

In-store Trade

Promotions

Retailer Marketing

Team

Retailer Personalized

Offers

CPG Sales Team

Scale

CONFIDENTIAL 28

Page 29: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Supplier Collaboration

MerchandisingShopper

Marketing

Loyalty Programs

1-1.5X 2-3X 4-6X 5-8XROI

Collaboration delivers significant

personalization benefitsScale

CONFIDENTIAL 29

Page 30: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Stop non-performing promotions

Fix promotion mechanics

Design trade promotions for loyal shoppers

PromotionsA

Deliver personalized prices and personalized offers

to key shoppersPersonalizationB

Design scalable collaboration processes

Provide sufficient funding to drive significant sales

impact from personalization

ScalabilityC

Personalization delivers but needs

to be scalable

CONFIDENTIAL 30

Page 31: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Q&A

https://www.precima.com/content/poi-personalized-offers-the-cure-for-tired-ineffective-promotions

CONFIDENTIAL 31

Page 32: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Graeme McVieVP & GM of Business Development

Precima

[email protected]

(301) 652-0694

@GraemeMcVie

@Precima

Sean CoaryAssistant Professor of Food Marketing

Saint Joseph’s University

[email protected]

(610) 660-2275

@ saintjosephs

Thank you for attending

CONFIDENTIAL 32

Page 33: Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective ...€¦ · Thank you for attending 32 CONFIDENTIAL . Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions Dr. Sean

Personalized Offers: The Cure for Tired, Ineffective Promotions

Dr. Sean Coary, Saint Joseph’s UniversityGraeme McVie, Precima