2
Business Summary Perseus Mining Limited (PRU) is engaged in mining operations and the sale of gold, mineral exploration and gold project evaluation and development in Republics of Ghana and Cote d'Ivoire, in West Africa. Currently, PRU is focused on its two key projects, the Edikan Gold Mine (EGM) in Ghana that covers an area of 650 sqkm and the Sissingue Gold Project (SGP) in Cote d'Ivoire that covers an area of 885 sqkm. Edikan Gold Mine The Project is located on the Ayanfuri and Nanankaw mining leases in the Republic of Ghana, in West Africa. There are 80km² of tenements centred on the Ashanti Gold Belt, 25km-65km from the 60-million-ounce Obuasi gold deposit. Also 5.011Moz of Measured and Indicated resources, 899,000oz Inferred resources and 2.078Moz of Reserves Sissingue Gold Project The project is located in the north of Cote d'Ivoire. The project is situated in 885sqkm land package consisting of the Sissingue exploration permit area and the adjoining Tengrela South Exploration permit area. As at 15 December 2016 - estimates that the project contained Measured & Indicated Resources of 13Mt @ 1.6g/t Au for 700Koz Au, and Inferred Resources of 0.9Mt @ 1.9g/t Au for 58koz Au. Yaoure Gold Project: The project is located in the Bouafle Prefecture of the Marahoue Region in the central part of Cote d'Ivoire, approximately 40km from the political capital, Yamoussoukro. Work on the Yaoure Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) currently remains on track for completion in mid-2017, but achievement of this target is contingent on the timely completion of a 42,000 metre Mineral Resource definition drilling programme. The terms of Exploration Permits 168 and 397, the two tenements in which the Yaoure gold deposits are located, have been extended for a period of two years from 1 December 2016. Grumesa: The Project is located 39km2 licence located 35km east of the Edikan mine & 471,000oz Indicated and 247,000oz Inferred gold resource at the Kayeya prospect. Latest Research SepQ report: Yaouré on track Maintain Neutral/HR — A solid quarter for PRU, which is on track to deliver first gold from Yaouré in late Dec’20. Given development is ahead of budget and 85% completed, we reduce our NAV risk from 50% to 20%. The next 12m should bring operational confidence in Yaouré and a feasibility study for recently acquired Bagoé. For more information see research 21 Oct 2020. GICS - Materials Perseus Mining Limited ASX Code: PRU Price: $1.185 12 Mth Target Price: $1.60 Rating: Neutral - High Important Disclaimer - This may affect your legal rights: Because this document has been prepared without consideration of any specific client's financial situation, particular needs and investment objectives, a Bell Potter Securities Limited investment adviser (or the financial services licensee, or the proper authority of such licensee, who has provided you with this report by arrangement with Bell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted before any investment decision is made. While this document is based on the information from sources which are considered reliable, Bell Potter Securities Limited, its directors, employees and consultants do not represent, warrant or guarantee, expressly or impliedly, that the information contained in this document is complete or accurate. Nor does Bell Potter Securities Limited accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to its notice, which may affect any of the information contained in this document. This document is a private communication to clients and is not intended for public circulation or for the use of any third party, without the prior approval of Bell Potter Securities Limited. This is general investment advice only and does not constitute advice to any person. Disclosure of Interest: Bell Potter Securities Limited receives commission from dealing in securities and its authorised representatives, or introducers of business, may directly share in this commission. Bell Potter Securities and its associates may hold shares in the companies recommended. Snapshot Date Market Cap. Shares on issue 12 Month High 12 Month Low 4 December 2020 $1,453m 1,226.1m $1.66 $0.63 Rating Rating 12 Mth Target Price Capital Gain Gross Yield Implied Total Return Neutral - High Risk $1.60 35.0% NA% 35.0% Investment Fundamentals FYE 30 Jun 2020A 2021F 2022F 2023F Profit $m 81.0 122.0 325.0 440.0 Profit (norm)* $m 81.0 122.0 325.0 440.0 EPS* ¢ 7.0 10.0 26.0 35.0 EPS Growth % 0.0 42.9 160.0 34.6 P/E* x 16.9 11.8 4.6 3.4 P/E Relative % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 DPS ¢ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Yield % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Franking % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 * Adjusted for goodwill and unusual items Source: Based on Citi estimates Share Price Chart Total Return on $10,000 Investment

Perseus Mining Limited ASX Code: PRU Price: $1.360 12 Mth ...Perseus Mining Limited (PRU) is engaged in mining operations and the sale of gold, mineral exploration and gold project

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    4

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Perseus Mining Limited ASX Code: PRU Price: $1.360 12 Mth ...Perseus Mining Limited (PRU) is engaged in mining operations and the sale of gold, mineral exploration and gold project

Business SummaryPerseus Mining Limited (PRU) is engaged in mining operations and the saleof gold, mineral exploration and gold project evaluation and development inRepublics of Ghana and Cote d'Ivoire, in West Africa. Currently, PRU isfocused on its two key projects, the Edikan Gold Mine (EGM) in Ghana thatcovers an area of 650 sqkm and the Sissingue Gold Project (SGP) in Coted'Ivoire that covers an area of 885 sqkm.

Edikan Gold Mine The Project is located on the Ayanfuri and Nanankawmining leases in the Republic of Ghana, in West Africa. There are 80km² oftenements centred on the Ashanti Gold Belt, 25km-65km from the60-million-ounce Obuasi gold deposit. Also 5.011Moz of Measured andIndicated resources, 899,000oz Inferred resources and 2.078Moz ofReserves

Sissingue Gold Project The project is located in the north of Cote d'Ivoire.The project is situated in 885sqkm land package consisting of the Sissingueexploration permit area and the adjoining Tengrela South Exploration permitarea. As at 15 December 2016 - estimates that the project containedMeasured & Indicated Resources of 13Mt @ 1.6g/t Au for 700Koz Au, andInferred Resources of 0.9Mt @ 1.9g/t Au for 58koz Au.

Yaoure Gold Project: The project is located in the Bouafle Prefecture of theMarahoue Region in the central part of Cote d'Ivoire, approximately 40kmfrom the political capital, Yamoussoukro. Work on the Yaoure DefinitiveFeasibility Study (DFS) currently remains on track for completion in mid-2017,but achievement of this target is contingent on the timely completion of a42,000 metre Mineral Resource definition drilling programme. The terms ofExploration Permits 168 and 397, the two tenements in which the Yaouregold deposits are located, have been extended for a period of two years from1 December 2016.

Grumesa: The Project is located 39km2 licence located 35km east of theEdikan mine & 471,000oz Indicated and 247,000oz Inferred gold resource atthe Kayeya prospect.

Latest ResearchSepQ report: Yaouré on track

Maintain Neutral/HR — A solid quarter for PRU, which is on track to deliverfirst gold from Yaouré in late Dec’20. Given development is ahead ofbudget and 85% completed, we reduce our NAV risk from 50% to 20%.The next 12m should bring operational confidence in Yaouré and afeasibility study for recently acquired Bagoé.

For more information see research 21 Oct 2020.

GICS - Materials

Perseus Mining Limited

ASX Code: PRU Price: $1.185 12 Mth Target Price: $1.60 Rating: Neutral - High

Important Disclaimer - This may affect your legal rights: Because this document has been prepared without consideration of any specific client's financial situation, particular needs and investmentobjectives, a Bell Potter Securities Limited investment adviser (or the financial services licensee, or the proper authority of such licensee, who has provided you with this report by arrangement withBell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted before any investment decision is made. While this document is based on the information from sources which are considered reliable, Bell PotterSecurities Limited, its directors, employees and consultants do not represent, warrant or guarantee, expressly or impliedly, that the information contained in this document is complete or accurate.Nor does Bell Potter Securities Limited accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to its notice, which may affect any of the information contained in this document.This document is a private communication to clients and is not intended for public circulation or for the use of any third party, without the prior approval of Bell Potter Securities Limited. This is generalinvestment advice only and does not constitute advice to any person.Disclosure of Interest: Bell Potter Securities Limited receives commission from dealing in securities and its authorised representatives, or introducers of business, may directly share in thiscommission. Bell Potter Securities and its associates may hold shares in the companies recommended.

Snapshot

DateMarket Cap.Shares on issue12 Month High12 Month Low

4 December 2020$1,453m1,226.1m$1.66$0.63

RatingRating12 Mth Target Price

Capital GainGross Yield

Implied Total Return

Neutral - High Risk$1.6035.0%NA%35.0%

Investment FundamentalsFYE 30 Jun 2020A 2021F 2022F 2023F

Profit $m 81.0 122.0 325.0 440.0Profit (norm)* $m 81.0 122.0 325.0 440.0

EPS* ¢ 7.0 10.0 26.0 35.0EPS Growth % 0.0 42.9 160.0 34.6P/E* x 16.9 11.8 4.6 3.4P/E Relative % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

DPS ¢ 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0Yield % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0Franking % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0* Adjusted for goodwill and unusual itemsSource: Based on Citi estimates

Share Price Chart

Total Return on $10,000 Investment

Page 2: Perseus Mining Limited ASX Code: PRU Price: $1.360 12 Mth ...Perseus Mining Limited (PRU) is engaged in mining operations and the sale of gold, mineral exploration and gold project

Profit & Loss ($M)2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A

Sales Revenue 252 283 378 509 591Total Revenue ex. Int. 274 289 384 528 609EBITDA -5 -16 80 136 245Depreciation & Amort. -39 -54 -89 -127 -114Goodwill Amortisation -- -- -- -- --EBIT -44 -70 -8 9 131Net Interest 1 0 -2 -3 -4Profit Before Tax -44 -70 -11 6 127Income Tax 7 15 -6 2 -32Outside Equity Int. 2 3 -1 -1 -0Profit after Tax -35 -52 -17 7 95Significant Items after Tax -1 -24 -8 -- -0Reported Profit after Tax -36 -76 -26 7 94Preferred Dividends -- -- -- -- --

Cash Flow ($M)2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A

Receipts from Customers 263 287 375 509 589Funds from Operations 29 0 68 145 238Net Operating Cashflow 30 1 68 146 213Capex -74 -160 -120 -65 -273Acquisitions & Investments -0 -- -- -- --Sale of Invest. & Subsid. 2 0 0 0 0Net Investing Cashflow -72 -159 -120 -60 -270Proceeds from Issues 95 13 0 56 --Dividends Paid -- -- -- -- --Net Financing Cashflow 90 30 57 6 166Net Increase Cash 49 -128 6 92 109Cash at Beginning 104 151 24 31 125Exchange Rate Adjust. -1 1 1 2 -16Cash at End 151 24 31 125 218

Ratios and Substantial Shareholders2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A

Profitability RatiosEBITDA Margin % -2.00 -5.67 21.25 26.65 41.41EBIT Margin % -17.58 -24.88 -2.22 1.71 22.14Net Profit Margin % -13.85 -18.29 -4.61 1.37 15.99Return on Equity % -4.59 -7.29 -2.47 0.90 10.90Return on Assets % -3.71 -6.00 -1.60 1.16 7.57

Debt/Safety RatiosNet Debt/Equity % -19.66 -0.82 7.54 -10.28 0.15Interest Cover x 59.43 247.60 -3.64 2.99 32.05

Top 5 Substantial ShareholdersVan Eck Associates Corporation 9.6%Vanguard Group 5.1%

Balance Sheet ($M)2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A 2020A

Cash & Equivalent 151 24 31 125 218Receivables 44 30 22 10 13Inventories 59 46 125 127 117Other Current Assets 4 5 20 6 15Current Assets 270 105 198 268 363Prop. Plant & Equipment 468 553 721 651 835Intangibles -- -- -- -- --Other Non-Current Assets 17 17 33 13 22Non-Current Assets 673 760 765 701 933Total Assets 943 865 963 969 1,296Interest Bearing Debt -- 18 85 45 219Other Liabilities 174 131 164 141 201Total Liabilities 174 150 249 186 420Net Assets 769 715 714 784 876Share Capital 709 721 721 777 777Reserves 16 27 54 61 57Retained Earnings 37 -39 -69 -62 33Outside Equity Int. 8 6 7 7 9Total Shareholders Equity 769 715 714 784 876

Price vs. EPS Principals & DirectorsPrincipals

Company Secretary Mr Martijin Paul Bosboom

Directors

Dr David Meldrum Ransom(Non-Executive Director)Mr Jeffrey Allan Quartermaine(Chief Executive Officer,ManagingDirector)Mr Daniel Richard Lougher(Non-Executive Director)Mr Terence Sean Harvey(Non-Executive Director,Non-ExecutiveChairman)John Francis Gerald McGloin(Non-Executive Director)Ms Elissa Sarah Brown(Non-Executive Director)

To access further Research or for information regarding our recommendations and ratings please seewww.bellpotter.com.au

© 2020 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. Neither Morningstar, its affiliates, nor the content providers guarantee the data or content contained herein to be accurate, complete or timely nor will they have any liabilityfor its use or distribution. Any Morningstar ratings/recommendations contained in this report are based on the full research report available from Morningstar or your adviser. Any general advice or ‘class service’ havebeen prepared by Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892) and/or Morningstar Research Ltd, subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc, without reference to your objectives, financial situation orneeds. Refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information at www.morningstar.com.au/s/fsg.pdf. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant ProductDisclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Our publications, ratings and products should be viewed as an additional investment resource, not as your sole source of information. Past performancedoes not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Some material is copyright and published under licence fromASX Operations Pty Ltd ACN 004 523 782.

Perseus Mining Limited

Bell Potter Securities Research

AFS Licence No. 243480 ABN 25 006 390 772

Email [email protected]

Website www.bellpotter.com.au