1
YELLOW ****** THURSDAY, JANUARY 2, 2014 ~ VOL. CCLXIII NO. 1 WSJ.com HHHH $2.00 Dec. 31: DJIA 16576.66 À 72.37 0.4% NASDAQ 4176.59 À 0.5% NIKKEI Closed (16291.31) STOXX 600 328.26 À 0.35% 10-YR. TREAS. g 15/32 , yield 3.030% OIL $98.42 g $0.87 GOLD $1,201.90 g $1.20 EURO $1.3745 YEN 105.31 People to Watch in 2014 YEAR AHEAD A6-10 | MARKETS REVIEW & OUTLOOK R1-12 CONTENTS Business Education. B5 Corporate News.... B2,3 Global Finance............ C3 Heard on the Street C8 Leisure & Arts............ D5 Management.............. B4 Markets Dashboard C4 Opinion.................. A15-17 Style & Travel........ D2-4 The Year Ahead A6-10 U.S. News................. A2-4 Weather Watch........ B6 World News.. A12,13,18 s Copyright 2014 Dow Jones & Company. All Rights Reserved > What’s News i i i World-Wide n The Affordable Care Act, having survived political and legal challenges and a techno- logically disastrous rollout, now faces a fundamental test. A1 n New state laws are high- lighting hot-button issues such as minimum-wage in- creases and gun control. A4 n Regulators are examining why crude carried by train from North Dakota has ex- ploded in recent accidents. B1 n Heavy fighting continued in South Sudan even as en- voys traveled to Ethiopia to discuss a cease-fire. A12 n Thai officials said pro- testers are close to achieving their goal of preventing elec- tions from going ahead. A12 n Kerry is set to begin talks to push for a broad Israeli- Palestinian peace accord. A18 n Bill de Blasio was sworn in as New York’s mayor, promising an agenda to remake the city as a foundry for liberal ideas. A3 n Putin visited Volgograd to meet with survivors of the twin suicide bombings. A13 n North Korea’s Kim Jong Un lauded the purge of his uncle but signaled no policy changes in a speech. A13 n The last three ethnic Ui- ghur Chinese nationals held at Guantanamo Bay were transferred to Slovakia. n The Palestinian ambassa- dor to the Czech Republic died after what was called an accidental explosion. A18 n An explosion rocked a three-story building in Minneapolis, injuring 14. A3 i i i F iat will take full control of Chrysler in a $4.35 bil- lion deal, ending a standoff that had clouded the future of both auto makers. B1 n Many of the most lucra- tive investment moves of 2013 required going against the prevailing wisdom. A1 n The Dow rose 72.37 Tues- day to end 2013 at 16576.66, capping the index’s biggest annual rally in 18 years. C3 n Puerto Rico is struggling to convince investors that it is on the path to financial health as it grapples with rising borrowing costs. C1 n More private-equity firms are buying debt of com- panies they took private if the buyouts go badly. C1 n Manufacturing in China showed signs of losing mo- mentum in December, ac- cording to new data. A18 n Investors likely will turn up the heat on certain U.S. CEOs, demanding improved results in the new year. B1 n Tech maverick Cody Wil- son is set to launch software aimed at covering the tracks of bitcoin transactions. A1 n Apple said it didn’t work with the NSA to create a backdoor way for the agency to spy on iPhone users. B3 n U.S. energy drillers are seeing less foreign investment, a sign of leaner times for the cash-hungry companies. B2 n Revlon will exit its opera- tions in China, in the first major action taken by the cosmetics firm’s new CEO. B3 Business & Finance Nearly four years after Presi- dent Barack Obama signed his health initiative into law, the Af- fordable Care Act is officially re- shaping America’s $2.75 trillion health-care system. A survivor of bare-knuckle po- litical fights, a U.S. Supreme Court challenge and a technolog- ically disastrous rollout, the law now faces a fundamental test: Can its mix of government subsi- dies and market-based competi- tion extend health insurance to millions of people whose medical conditions, income level or per- sonal choice left them without it? So far, there are some trou- bling signs. A high proportion of people signing up for new plans are older or have existing health problems—and not enough youn- ger, healthier people may be joining the plans to balance them out and make the plans profit- able. Early glitches in Health- Care.gov, the federal marketplace serving 36 states, as well as in some state marketplaces likely deterred younger customers, said insurers and actuaries. Less- healthy shoppers were more likely to persist and sign up, they said. If the trend continues as 2014 enrollment closes at the end of March, insurers in the new mar- ketplaces “will think twice about losing money” and withdraw plans, said Jim O’Connor, an ac- Please turn to page A4 BY CHRISTOPHER WEAVER Health Signup Faces New Test LONDON—A Ukrainian lawyer named Olena Tyshchenko traveled to the Royal Courts of Justice on the afternoon of July 22 as a bit player in one of the most complex le- gal dramas ever seen here. When she left the imposing edifice, though, she unwittingly walked into a star- ring role. Kazakhstan’s state-owned BTA Bank had sued its former chairman, Mukhtar Ablyazov, accusing him of embezzlement and fraud on a monumental scale. It had won bil- lions of dollars in damages. But Mr. Ablyazov, who denied the allega- tions, hadn’t paid. He fled Britain in 2012 when he was about to be sentenced for con- tempt of court. BTA was desperate to find him. Outside the court that day, Ms. Tysh- chenko hailed a cab. The bank followed her. Its private detectives trailed her to an of- fice building, then to Heathrow airport. They watched her shop in Terminal 5 and get on a late flight to Nice, France, according to an account provided by the bank to The Wall Street Journal. In Nice they saw her get chauffeured to her house in the hills above Cannes, switch cars to a gray Land Rover and, around 2:30 a.m., drive south to a villa on the Mediterra- nean coast. At 3:40 a.m., one of the private eyes spied a figure through a bedroom win- dow, according to the bank’s account. It was Mr. Ablyazov, the man they had been hunting for a year and a half. They watched him for six more days, then called the French police. Mr. Ablyazov was arrested on July 31 by a squad of gendarmes disguised as gardeners. Today, Mr. Ablyazov resides in a crowded prison south of Aix-en-Provence, while law- yers and judges debate where he should be sent. To Ukraine, Russia or Kazakhstan, each of which wants him on fraud charges? To the U.K., where he is due to serve a prison sen- tence and from which he fled? Or nowhere at all? Behind the wrangling is a more vexing question: Is Mukhtar Ablyazov a hero or a crook? Mr. Ablyazov, 50, once was a protégé of Nursultan Nazarbayev, Kazakhstan’s authori- tarian president, trusted enough to be en- ergy minister in a country steeped in oil and gas. Like other members of Kazakhstan’s Please turn to page A14 BY CHARLES FORELLE KAZAKH CONNECTION Billions Vanish in Banking Scandal AUSTIN, Texas—Cody Wilson rattled lawmakers and law-en- forcement agencies with a plas- tic gun created from a 3-D printer, home computer and blueprints he posted online for anyone to download. Now, the 25-year-old law- school dropout is about to launch software aimed at cover- ing the tracks of financial trans- actions made with bitcoin, the virtual currency that has ex- ploded in popularity among Please turn to page A4 BY DANNY YADRON Tech Maverick Sets Sights On Bitcoin Toasting the New Year With an Icy Splash RUNNING START: Hundreds braved the frosty waters of Boston’s Dorchester Bay on New Year’s Day for the annual Polar Plunge. Residents of New England and parts of New York are preparing for a winter storm predicted to bring snow and frigid temperatures to much of the region. Jeremiah Robinson/Zuma Press JOHANNESBURG—As the clock approached midnight on New Year’s Eve, chaos prevailed on the streets of Hillbrow. Glass bottles were flung at pedestrians from the neighborhood’s high- rise buildings. Some residents set off fireworks from apartment windows. Random fistfights erupted. But there was no flying furni- ture. As two po- lice vehicles passed each other shortly af- ter the New Year began, officers gave each other thumbs up. “It’s a mission accomplished,” said Major Gen. Theko Pharasi. The Hillbrow tradition of throwing out old furniture to start the New Year is hallowed for some—and hazardous for all. It is now colliding with a drive to gentrify Johannesburg’s crime-ridden core, prompting a police crackdown along with angst among some Hillbrow resi- dents. “You just want to start off fresh for the New Year,” said Bethel Osuagwu, a five-year Hill- brow resident. The 36-year-old technician said he once put aside used items, such as a rusty stove, an old TV set or worn-out clothes to throw off his balcony on Dec. 31. But rising rents make fur- niture-tossing unaffordable as well as illegal, and police now patrol in ar- mored vehicles. The Hillbrow tradition ranked fourth in a poll of the strangest New Year’s Eve customs, accord- ing to a new survey by social- networking site Badoo.com that got 7,200 responses. First place Please turn to page A14 BY JENNY GROSS This New Year’s Hurling Tradition Is Even Worse Than You Think i i i South African Neighborhood Celebrates By Chucking Furniture From Windows African Woe DISPLACED: A woman and child joined the 180,000 fleeing fighting between government and rebel forces in South Sudan. A12 Ben Curtis/Associated Press A trader who made more than $100 million from a $10 million bet against gold. A hedge fund that gained 42% after a bullish wager on stocks. A firm that saw returns of 48% thanks in part to soaring Japanese stocks. These were among the win- ning investors who managed to rack up huge gains forecasting a handful of key shifts in a year that vexed many market gurus. Many of the most lucrative moves required going against the prevailing wisdom, while others relied on bold calls about the impact government policy makers would have on share prices. Chris Tuohy, a senior trader in the London office of Tudor In- vestment Corp., a $14 billion hedge-fund firm, was one of the few to profit from a sharp drop in the price of gold. Early last year, Mr. Tuohy be- gan buying gold “puts,” or op- tions contracts that pay off if an investment falls in price, accord- ing to people close to the firm, even as many gold strategists were bullish on the precious metal. As investors began dumping gold-related investments in the spring, Mr. Touhy’s profits piled up. Paul Tudor Jones, Tudor’s founder, also wagered against gold, the people said, though he didn’t make as big a bet as Mr. Tuohy’s. Mr. Tuohy, a former Goldman Sachs trader, held on to his bear- ish positions through the sum- mer but exited from the trade before a further tumble for gold Please turn to the next page By Gregory Zuckerman, Rob Copeland and Nicole Hong A Few Brave Investors Scored Huge, Market-Beating Wins Contraception rule on hold ..... A4 State laws hit hot buttons...... A4 The Journal’s new home for technology news, analysis, commentary, daily buzz and consumer-product reviews at WSJ.com/Tech WSJ. D TECHNOLOGY Copyright © 2013, Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. More Enterprise SaaS Applications Than Any Other Cloud Services Provider Oracle Cloud Applications ERP Financials Procurement Projects Supply Chain HCM Human Capital Recruiting Talent CRM Sales Service Marketing C M Y K Composite Composite MAGENTA CYAN BLACK P2JW002000-6-A00100-1--------XA CL,CN,CX,DL,DM,DX,EE,EU,FL,HO,KC,MW,NC,NE,NY,PH,PN,RM,SA,SC,SL,SW,TU,WB,WE BG,BM,BP,CC,CH,CK,CP,CT,DN,DR,FW,HL,HW,KS,LA,LG,LK,MI,ML,NM,PA,PI,PV,TD,TS,UT,WO P2JW002000-6-A00100-1--------XA

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Page 1: People to Watchin2014 - The Wall Street Journalonline.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/PageOne010214.pdf · n Bill de Blasio was sworn in ... AUSTIN,Texas—Cody Wilson rattled

YELLOW

* * * * * * THURSDAY, JANUARY 2, 2014 ~ VOL. CCLXIII NO. 1 WSJ.com HHHH $2 .00

Dec. 31: DJIA 16576.66 À 72.37 0.4% NASDAQ 4176.59 À 0.5% NIKKEI Closed (16291.31) STOXX600 328.26 À 0.35% 10-YR. TREAS. g 15/32 , yield 3.030% OIL $98.42 g $0.87 GOLD $1,201.90 g $1.20 EURO $1.3745 YEN 105.31

People to Watch in 2014YEAR AHEAD A6-10 | MARKETSREVIEW&OUTLOOKR1-12

CONTENTSBusiness Education. B5Corporate News.... B2,3Global Finance............ C3Heard on the Street C8Leisure & Arts............ D5Management.............. B4

Markets Dashboard C4Opinion.................. A15-17Style & Travel........ D2-4The Year Ahead A6-10U.S. News................. A2-4Weather Watch........ B6World News.. A12,13,18

s Copyright 2014 Dow Jones & Company.All Rights Reserved

>

What’sNews

i i i

World-Widen The Affordable Care Act,having survived political andlegal challenges and a techno-logically disastrous rollout, nowfaces a fundamental test. A1n New state laws are high-lighting hot-button issuessuch as minimum-wage in-creases and gun control. A4n Regulators are examiningwhy crude carried by trainfrom North Dakota has ex-ploded in recent accidents. B1n Heavy fighting continuedin South Sudan even as en-voys traveled to Ethiopiato discuss a cease-fire. A12n Thai officials said pro-testers are close to achievingtheir goal of preventing elec-tions from going ahead. A12n Kerry is set to begin talksto push for a broad Israeli-Palestinian peace accord. A18n Bill de Blasio was sworn inas NewYork’smayor, promisingan agenda to remake the city asa foundry for liberal ideas. A3n Putin visited Volgograd tomeet with survivors of thetwin suicide bombings. A13n North Korea’s Kim JongUn lauded the purge of hisuncle but signaled no policychanges in a speech. A13n The last three ethnic Ui-ghur Chinese nationals heldat Guantanamo Bay weretransferred to Slovakia.n The Palestinian ambassa-dor to the Czech Republicdied after what was calledan accidental explosion. A18n An explosion rocked athree-story building inMinneapolis, injuring 14. A3

i i i

F iat will take full controlof Chrysler in a $4.35 bil-

lion deal, ending a standoffthat had clouded the futureof both auto makers. B1nMany of the most lucra-tive investment moves of2013 required going againstthe prevailing wisdom. A1n The Dow rose 72.37 Tues-day to end 2013 at 16576.66,capping the index’s biggestannual rally in 18 years. C3n Puerto Rico is strugglingto convince investors that itis on the path to financialhealth as it grapples withrising borrowing costs. C1nMore private-equityfirms are buying debt of com-panies they took private ifthe buyouts go badly. C1nManufacturing in Chinashowed signs of losing mo-mentum in December, ac-cording to new data. A18n Investors likely will turnup the heat on certain U.S.CEOs, demanding improvedresults in the new year. B1n Tech maverick Cody Wil-son is set to launch softwareaimed at covering the tracksof bitcoin transactions. A1n Apple said it didn’t workwith the NSA to create abackdoor way for the agencyto spy on iPhone users. B3n U.S. energy drillers areseeing less foreign investment,a sign of leaner times for thecash-hungry companies. B2n Revlon will exit its opera-tions in China, in the firstmajor action taken by thecosmetics firm’s new CEO. B3

Business&Finance

Nearly four years after Presi-dent Barack Obama signed hishealth initiative into law, the Af-fordable Care Act is officially re-shaping America’s $2.75 trillionhealth-care system.

A survivor of bare-knuckle po-litical fights, a U.S. SupremeCourt challenge and a technolog-ically disastrous rollout, the lawnow faces a fundamental test:Can its mix of government subsi-dies and market-based competi-tion extend health insurance tomillions of people whose medicalconditions, income level or per-sonal choice left them withoutit?

So far, there are some trou-bling signs. A high proportion ofpeople signing up for new plansare older or have existing healthproblems—and not enough youn-ger, healthier people may bejoining the plans to balance themout and make the plans profit-able.

Early glitches in Health-Care.gov, the federal marketplaceserving 36 states, as well as insome state marketplaces likelydeterred younger customers, saidinsurers and actuaries. Less-healthy shoppers were morelikely to persist and sign up, theysaid.

If the trend continues as 2014enrollment closes at the end ofMarch, insurers in the new mar-ketplaces “will think twice aboutlosing money” and withdrawplans, said Jim O’Connor, an ac-

PleaseturntopageA4

BY CHRISTOPHER WEAVER

HealthSignupFacesNew Test

LONDON—A Ukrainian lawyer namedOlena Tyshchenko traveled to the RoyalCourts of Justice on the afternoon of July 22as a bit player in one of the most complex le-gal dramas ever seen here.

When she left the imposing edifice,though, she unwittingly walked into a star-ring role. Kazakhstan’s state-owned BTABank had sued its former chairman, MukhtarAblyazov, accusing him of embezzlement andfraud on a monumental scale. It had won bil-lions of dollars in damages.

But Mr. Ablyazov, who denied the allega-tions, hadn’t paid. He fled Britain in 2012when he was about to be sentenced for con-tempt of court. BTA was desperate to findhim.

Outside the court that day, Ms. Tysh-chenko hailed a cab. The bank followed her.

Its private detectives trailed her to an of-fice building, then to Heathrow airport. Theywatched her shop in Terminal 5 and get ona late flight to Nice, France, according to anaccount provided by the bank to The WallStreet Journal.

In Nice they saw her get chauffeured toher house in the hills above Cannes, switchcars to a gray Land Rover and, around 2:30a.m., drive south to a villa on the Mediterra-nean coast. At 3:40 a.m., one of the privateeyes spied a figure through a bedroom win-dow, according to the bank’s account.

It was Mr. Ablyazov, the man they hadbeen hunting for a year and a half.

They watched him for six more days, thencalled the French police. Mr. Ablyazov was

arrested on July 31 by a squad of gendarmesdisguised as gardeners.

Today, Mr. Ablyazov resides in a crowdedprison south of Aix-en-Provence, while law-yers and judges debate where he should besent. To Ukraine, Russia or Kazakhstan, eachof which wants him on fraud charges? To theU.K., where he is due to serve a prison sen-tence and from which he fled? Or nowhere atall?

Behind the wrangling is a more vexingquestion: Is Mukhtar Ablyazov a hero or acrook?

Mr. Ablyazov, 50, once was a protégé ofNursultan Nazarbayev, Kazakhstan’s authori-tarian president, trusted enough to be en-ergy minister in a country steeped in oil andgas. Like other members of Kazakhstan’s

PleaseturntopageA14

BY CHARLES FORELLE

KAZAKH CONNECTION

Billions Vanish in Banking Scandal

AUSTIN, Texas—Cody Wilsonrattled lawmakers and law-en-forcement agencies with a plas-tic gun created from a 3-Dprinter, home computer andblueprints he posted online foranyone to download.

Now, the 25-year-old law-school dropout is about tolaunch software aimed at cover-ing the tracks of financial trans-actions made with bitcoin, thevirtual currency that has ex-ploded in popularity among

PleaseturntopageA4

BY DANNY YADRON

TechMaverickSets SightsOn Bitcoin

Toasting the New Year With an Icy Splash

RUNNING START: Hundreds braved the frosty waters of Boston’s Dorchester Bay on New Year’s Day for the annual Polar Plunge. Residents ofNew England and parts of New York are preparing for a winter storm predicted to bring snow and frigid temperatures to much of the region.

JeremiahRo

binson

/Zum

aPress

JOHANNESBURG—As theclock approached midnight onNew Year’s Eve, chaos prevailedon the streets of Hillbrow. Glassbottles were flung at pedestriansfrom the neighborhood’s high-rise buildings. Some residentsset off fireworks from apartmentwindows. Random fistfightserupted.

But there wasno flying furni-ture. As two po-lice vehiclespassed eachother shortly af-ter the New Year began, officersgave each other thumbs up. “It’sa mission accomplished,” saidMajor Gen. Theko Pharasi.

The Hillbrow tradition ofthrowing out old furniture tostart the New Year is hallowedfor some—and hazardous for all.It is now colliding with a driveto gentrify Johannesburg’s

crime-ridden core, prompting apolice crackdown along withangst among some Hillbrow resi-dents.

“You just want to start offfresh for the New Year,” saidBethel Osuagwu, a five-year Hill-brow resident.

The 36-year-old techniciansaid he once put aside useditems, such as a rusty stove, an

old TV set orworn-out clothesto throw off hisbalcony on Dec.31. But risingrents make fur-niture-tossing

unaffordable as well as illegal,and police now patrol in ar-mored vehicles.

The Hillbrow tradition rankedfourth in a poll of the strangestNew Year’s Eve customs, accord-ing to a new survey by social-networking site Badoo.com thatgot 7,200 responses. First place

PleaseturntopageA14

BY JENNY GROSS

This New Year’s Hurling TraditionIs Even Worse Than You Think

i i i

South African Neighborhood CelebratesBy Chucking Furniture From Windows

African Woe

DISPLACED: A woman and childjoined the 180,000 fleeing fightingbetween government and rebelforces in South Sudan. A12

BenCu

rtis/A

ssociatedPress

A trader who made more than$100 million from a $10 millionbet against gold. A hedge fundthat gained 42% after a bullishwager on stocks. A firm that sawreturns of 48% thanks in part tosoaring Japanese stocks.

These were among the win-ning investors who managed torack up huge gains forecasting ahandful of key shifts in a yearthat vexed many market gurus.

Many of the most lucrative

moves required going againstthe prevailing wisdom, whileothers relied on bold calls aboutthe impact government policymakers would have on shareprices.

Chris Tuohy, a senior traderin the London office of Tudor In-

vestment Corp., a $14 billionhedge-fund firm, was one of thefew to profit from a sharp dropin the price of gold.

Early last year, Mr. Tuohy be-gan buying gold “puts,” or op-tions contracts that pay off if aninvestment falls in price, accord-ing to people close to the firm,even as many gold strategistswere bullish on the preciousmetal.

As investors began dumping

gold-related investments in thespring, Mr. Touhy’s profits piledup. Paul Tudor Jones, Tudor’sfounder, also wagered againstgold, the people said, though hedidn’t make as big a bet as Mr.Tuohy’s.

Mr. Tuohy, a former GoldmanSachs trader, held on to his bear-ish positions through the sum-mer but exited from the tradebefore a further tumble for gold

Pleaseturntothenextpage

By Gregory Zuckerman,Rob Copeland

and Nicole Hong

A Few Brave Investors ScoredHuge, Market-BeatingWins

Contraception rule on hold..... A4 State laws hit hot buttons...... A4

The Journal’s new homefor technology news,analysis, commentary, dailybuzz and consumer-productreviews at WSJ.com/Tech

WSJ.DTECHNOLOGY

D

Copyright © 2013, Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

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Oracle CloudApplications

ERPFinancialsProcurementProjectsSupply Chain

HCMHuman CapitalRecruitingTalent

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P2JW002000-6-A00100-1--------XA