Upload
others
View
0
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Dirección Corporativa de Finanzas
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
September 2019
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Reversing the Declining Crude Oil Production Trend
2
In the past three years PEMEX did not invest in newfields development in order to reverse the decline incrude oil production
Increase investments in wells maintenance and
reparation
Improve supply management and
efficiency related to productive wells
Invest in new developments and
enhance exploration activities
Stabilize current
production
Increase production
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Development of 20 New Fields will Boost Production in 2019
3
3 3
8
4 43
2 24
34 4
5
21
0 0 0
20
0
5
10
15
20
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Onshore Offshore
Off
sho
reO
nsh
ore
KutzSihil
Perdiz AcagualCafeto
Saramako
ChuhukEktal
HomolLobinaCarpa
GuarichoShishito
Malva
CitamMay
Sinan
Costero
IxtalManik
Bolontiku
Tiumut
KabYaxche
Nelash RabasaTeotleco
TajónCrtaer
Xanab
CupacheMadrefil
Terra
ChéAluxYum
Tumut
BrillanteParetoTokal
KuilTsimin
GasiferoBedel
KambesahOnel
AnhélidoEltreinta
Sini
Xux
Ayocote
Ayatsil XikinEsah
CheekCahuaUchbalManik
JaatsulSuukTeekitKoban
HokMulach
TlacameTetl
PokcheOctli
IxachiChocol
CibixValeriana
In only one year, PEMEX will invest in 20 new developments, the same number previously achieved in one decade
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
From December 2018, Authorization of New Fields Development has been Shortened from 3 Years to Less than 3 Months on Average
4
DiscoveryStart of development
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Dec2018
Jan-May2019
AyatsilTsimín
IxachiManik
MulachCibix
ValerianaChocol
HokSuuk
TeekitCahua
OctliUchbalPokcheKoban
JaatsulCheek
TetlEsahXikin
TlacameXux
The development of 20 new fields is already in execution
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Increase in Exploration Activities
5
2 1 0 0 0
20 20 2432 32
40
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Number of developments per year
1 6 28 3
20 2432 32
40 40
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Commercial Discoveries
Sources: Pemex. Estimated figures.
Increase in exploration activities will lead to new commercial discoveries thatwill be part of the 20 to 40 new fields per year
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Production Forecast of the 22 New Fields that Started in 2019
6Sources: Pemex. Estimated figures.
Production of new developments is expected to reach 70 Mbd inDecember 2019.
Oil
Gas
MM
pcd
Mb
d
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
320
908
267
70
303
255
203
611
124
861
743612
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Operational Projections 2018-2030
7
Note: Considers Ek-Balam’s production operated by PEMEX but owned by the Mexican Government. Under the exploration contract signed in 2017, the Federal Government will retain 70.5% of the operating profits and will pay Pemex Exploration and Production the remaining 29.5%
1,792 1,6821,866
2,0692,321
2,5282,697 2,832 2,975 2,989 2,891 2,759 2,802
2128
14
19
41
65118
165177 190
220239 223
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Partners
PEMEX
Crude Oil ProductionMbd
1,8131,710
1,880
2,088
2,362
2,5932,816
2,9973,152 3,179
3,1122,997 3,025
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Operational Considerations 2018-2030
8
612 643 7881,021 1,137 1,150 1,166 1,166 1,166 1,166 1,166 1,166 1,166
27 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 320
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Current NRS Dos Bocas
207 201 316 382 444 596 614 618 618 618 618 618 618117 143197 251 291
402 445 438 438 438 438 438 438
185 144164
233 232239 169 169 169 169 169 169 169
119 123133
155197
253 265 272 272 272 272 272 272
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Gasolines Diesel Fuel Oil Others
Crude oil processing at refineries Mbd
Petroleum products productionMbd
1,1631,470 1,485 1,486 1,486 1,486 1,486 1,486 1,486
629 610811
1,0211,163
1,490 1,493 1,497 1,497 1,497 1,497 1,497 1,497
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Estimated Increase in Reserves
9
Exploration activities and the development of new fields are expected torevert the declining trend in reserves
Billion barrels of oil equivalent.Source: PEMEX. Estimated figures.As of January 1 of each year.
9,632 8,562 7,695 7,010 7,084 7,585 8,056 8,545 9,034
6,4526,567
6,529 6,606 6,111 6,040 5,980 5,819 5,586
6,139 7,0206,865 6,837 7,868 8,210 8,429 8,423 8,351
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Proved Probable Possible
ProjectionHistory
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Daily Crude Oil Production1
101. Crude oil production (PEMEX and commercial partners). Does not include condensates.
1,500
1,550
1,600
1,650
1,700
1,750
1,800
1,850
1,900
1,950
2,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
2018 2019
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
Avg. 1,909 1,876 1,846 1,868 1,850 1,828 1,823 1,798 1,808 1,747 1,697 1,710 1,623 1,701 1,691 1,675 1,663 1,671 1,671
Thousand barrels per day (Mbd)
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Total Crude Oil Production, 2018-20191
11
1. Crude oil production (PEMEX and commercial partners). Does not include condensates.2. As of July 31, 2017
1,9091,876
1,846 1,868 1,850 1,828 1,823 1,798 1,8081,747
1,697 1,710
1,623
1,701 1,691 1,675 1,663 1,671 1,671
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
1,900
2,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
Thousand barrels per day (Mbd)
2018 2019
Year Average production (Mbd)
2018 1,813
20192 1,671
Record low
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Crude Oil Processing, 2018-2019
121. Estimated crude oil processing.
594544
652
768
685 662 646 670604
485519 511 507
601571 570 570
645 657 661
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
2018 2019
Year Crude oil processing average (Mbd)
2018 612
2019 589
Thousand barrels per day (Mbd)
1
Record low
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Results of the Strategy to Combat Fuel Theft
13
56
8174
2318
9 84 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 4 3 4 4 5 3 4 5 5
Ave
rag
e 20
18
No
v
Dec
01-
20
Dec
21-
31
Jan
Feb
Mar
Ap
r
May
Jun
Jul
Au
g
Sep
1-S
ep
2-S
ep
3-S
ep
4-S
ep
5-S
ep
6-S
ep
7-S
ep
8-S
ep
9-S
ep
10-S
ep
11-S
ep
Fuel theft has decreased by 93% as compared to the average for 2018
Volume of fuel theft (Mbd)
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Non-Operating Losses - Fuel Theft
14
Note: These figures were calculated based on the price at the PEMEX pump and do not include Value Added Tax (VAT) and the Special Tax on Production and Services (IEPS).
• In 2Q19, non-operating losses recorded a reduction of 91% as compared to 2Q18.
• The positive effect of this was MXN 8.3 billion.
9.1
0.9
2Q18 2Q19
MXN billion
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Relief to the Company’s Fiscal Burden
15
Reform proposal to the “Ley de Ingresos SobreHidrocarburos” to modify the 65% rate of the Profit-Sharing Duty
Gradual scheme that allows federal public finances a transition process to adjust the federal revenues and does not impact the budget equilibrium of the Federal Government
Fiscal Year Rate Variations vs previous year
2019 65.00% Current rate
2020 58.00% 7.00%
2021 54.00% 4.00%
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Payment of Direct Taxes 2018-2030
16
Constant MXN billion
551470 462
517570
666718 751 772 775 796 769 782
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
The fiscal proposal is responsible, based on a gradual support
scenario only for the next two years
Transition period
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Significant Cost Reductions in New Exploration and Production Service Contracts
17
Vertical and horizontal integration of consortiums based on the nature of the
project: activities with different providers were integrated
An estimated 26%
Fees and cost reduction from new
contracts
Infrastructure
Platforms PipelinesElectro
mechanicsworks
+ + Drilling Services Logistics CrewEMS
Drilling
+ + +
Procurement strategy innovation
Transparency and honesty
Costreductions
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Investment Financing1 2020-2030
18
1. Considers budgetary investment and private investment complement2. Considers a reduction in the rate of the Profit-Sharing Duty to reach 58%in 2020 and 54% in 2021
Constant MXN billion
221 250
332375 392 384 363
314266
317375
45
8366
38 3714
40 40 14
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Own Revenues Fiscal Burden Reduction Federal Government Support CSIEES2
375409 389 392 384
363
314
266
317
347
411
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
CAPEX Financing1 2020-2030 IFRS
19
1. Considers budgetary investment and private investment complement2. Considers a reduction in the rate of the Profit-Sharing Duty to reach 58%in 2020 and 54% in 2021
Constant USD billion
This graph shows investment according to IFRS
5.2 5.8
9.911.9 12.4 12.2 11.5
9.98.4
10.011.92.3
4.13.3
1.9 1.80.7
1.9 1.9 0.7
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Own Revenues Fiscal Burden Reduction Federal Government Support CSIEEs2
11.9
13.712.6 12.4 12.2
11.5
9.9
8.4
10.0
11.5
13.7
2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.2019 D.R. Petróleos Mexicanos. Todos los derechos reservados.
Investor Relations(+52 55) 9126 2940
[email protected]://www.pemex.com/en/investors
20