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Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid Pedestrian Flow Modeling Approach Emily Porter & Samer H. Hamdar The George Washington University Center for Intelligent Systems Research Traffic and Granular Flow Conference The Netherlands, October 2015

Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

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Page 1: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid Pedestrian Flow Modeling Approach

Emily Porter & Samer H. Hamdar

The George Washington University Center for Intelligent Systems Research

Traffic and Granular Flow Conference The Netherlands, October 2015

Page 2: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

Outline

1. Introduction:

1. Motivation

2. Objectives

2. Hybrid Modeling Framework 1. Social force

2. Behavioral heuristics

3. Materials science

3. Numerical Analysis

1. Experimental Data

2. Simulation Scenarios

4. Conclusions: 1. Summary

2. Future

Research

CISR

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CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Page 5: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Page 6: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Page 7: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

Objectives

• Consider an integrated modeling approach that captures pedestrian walking

behavior in congested and uncongested conditions in transit stations

• Combine concepts from previously existing pedestrian behavior models

• Simulate scenarios that can be compared to real world data

• Explore model results for a transit station application

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Page 8: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

Modeling Framework

Materials Science: multi-body potential

molecular interactions

(Karamouzas, Skinner and Guy; 2014)

Social Force Model: attractive and repulsive

force structure

(Helbing, Buzna, Johansson and Werner, 2005)

Behavioral Heuristics: Incorporating cognitive and physiological pedestrians

characteristics

(Moussaïd, Helbing and Theraulaz; 2011)

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Page 9: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

Social Force Model

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Acceleration Pedestrian Repulsion

Pedestrian Repulsive Potential

Obstacle Repulsion

Obstacle Repulsive Potential

Page 10: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

Behavioral Heuristics

Walking Direction

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Field of View

Page 11: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

Materials Science

Molecular interactions can be modeled by taking into account directly neighboring molecules.

Requires “social force” calculations between multiple bodies within the corresponding field of view.

𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇 𝐹𝐹𝑇𝑇𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹 𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 𝑃𝑃𝐹𝐹𝑃𝑃𝐹𝐹𝑃𝑃𝑇𝑇𝐹𝐹𝑇𝑇𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃 𝛼𝛼 =

∑ 𝐹𝐹𝛼𝛼0 𝑣𝑣𝛼𝛼 , 𝑣𝑣𝛼𝛼0𝐹𝐹𝛼𝛼3𝑖𝑖=1 + 𝑓𝑓𝛼𝛼𝛽𝛽𝑖𝑖 𝐹𝐹𝛼𝛼𝛽𝛽𝑖𝑖 + 𝑓𝑓𝛼𝛼𝐵𝐵𝑖𝑖 𝐹𝐹𝛼𝛼𝐵𝐵𝑖𝑖

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

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Numerical Analysis Experimental Results (Courtesy, TU Delft)

• One directional flow

• Two directional flow

• Crossing

• Wide Bottleneck

• Narrow bottleneck

Simulation

• Alternative Crossing Scenario

• Transit Application

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Page 13: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

Experimental Results: 1-D Flow (A vs. B)

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

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Experimental Results: 2-D Flow (C vs. D)

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

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Experimental Results: Crossing (E vs. F)

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Page 16: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

Experimental Results: Wide and Narrow Bottlenecks

Wide Bottleneck

Narrow Bottleneck

10m

4m 1m

4m

10m

2m

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

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Data Model

Experimental Results: Wide Bottleneck

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Page 18: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

Data Model

Experimental Results: Narrow Bottleneck

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Page 19: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

Transit Application Transit Layout

EXITING PEDESTRIANS

ENTERING PEDESTRIANS

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

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Transit Trajectories & Space Usage

Train Door Train Door Train Door Train Door Train Door Train Door

Train Door Train Door Train Door Train Door Train Door Train Door

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Page 21: Pedestrian Dynamics at Transit Stations: A Hybrid ... faculteit/Afdelingen/Transport...o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific

Conclusions

- Feasible modeling approach: flexible and computationally efficient - Basic validity analysis (i.e. macro analysis) - Realistic trajectory patterns - Next steps:

o Flow-density analysis traffic flow theory based study o Additional trajectory data specific to transit related pedestrian dynamics o Microscopic calibration capturing heterogeneity o Real-time application: predictive tool

CISR Introduction Modeling Framework Numerical Results Conclusions

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

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CISR

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Acknowledgements Computational

Materials Science Group

Mr. Boxiao Cao

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CISR

TGF 2015, The Netherlands, October 2015

Contact Samer H. Hamdar, Ph.D.

The George Washington University, Assistant Professor Center for Intelligent Systems Research, Director

800 22nd Street, NW

Science and Engineering Hall, Room 3810 Washington, D.C. 20052

U.S.A

Phone: +1-202-994-6652 Fax: +1-202-994-0127

Email: [email protected] Website: www.cisr.gwu.edu