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Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
Risk Management in Treasury
May 2014
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gRisk Management In Treasury
Objectives• Enterprise Risk Management• General Risk Management
Process• Visualizing Risk• Measuring Impact• Stress Testing
- Risk Management Framework in Treasury examines the benefits of integrating treasury operations with the larger financial and logistical functions of the company. The discussion reviews contemporary systems, along with new technologies and concepts, to obtain an overall picture of liquidity and risk.
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
g
Global Issues Impacting Volatility
2007
2008-2010
2011-2012
Syria Civil War
Russia annexes Crimea
and threatens Ukraine
Iran Nuclear threat
North Korea
threatens with artillery and nuclear
weapons
Board members and Executive Management are now far more in tune with financial risks then at the start of the financial crisis
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
USD/EUR
JPY/USD
USD/GBP
CHF/USD
CAD/USD
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
Why and Why Now?
Continued VolatilityCounterparty Changes
2008 Moody’s Top 20 U.S. Banks
2014 Moody’s Top 20 U.S. Banks
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gEnterprise Risk Management (ERM)& Financial Risk Management
Financial Risk ManagementERMFRM
Enterprise Risk Management
FX
IR
Commodity
Country
Counterparty
Liquidity
Fraud - Internal
Compliance Requirements
Compliance
Financial Reporting & Disclosure
ReportingFraud – External
Operations & Supply Chain
Operations
Financial Risk Management – The Treasurer’s Domain
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
Control Framework Examples
COSO ERM & Internal Control Integrated Framework (ICIF)
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gPerspectives on Risk
Top Down Risk Framework
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gRisk ManagementChoices
Ignore
Avoid
Accept
Manage
Risk Management
Choices
Alter
Hedge
What is your goal? Is it to bring risks into line with your organization’s risk tolerance?
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gPerspectives on RiskReducing Volatility
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gRisk IdentificationVisibility and Calibration
Risk Identification
• Visibility
Transactions
Sales
Marketing
Balance Sheet
• Calibration
Type of exposure
Certainty of exposure
What does it mean?
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gChallenges: To Successful Risk Management
SUPPLY CHAINCREDIT RISK MANAGEMENT
TREASURY
FUNCTIONS
SYSTEMS
LIQUIDITY
MGMT
WORKING
CAPITAL
FINANCIAL RISK
MGMT
BALANCE SHEET
MGMT
BANK ACCOUNT
MGMT
COUNTERPARTY
MGMT
· I/R / FX
TWS / TMS RISKBANK ACCOUNT
MGMTFORECASTING CUSTODIANS
BANK
PORTALS
CONTROL
SYSTEMS
CUSTOM
SPREADSHEETS
CONNECTIVITY
SYSTEMSDATA/RATES
TRADING
PLATFORMS
ERP1
ERP2
BUDGETING
SYSTEM
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gChallenges: To Successful Risk Management
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gChallenges: To Successful Risk Management
BANK OF AMERICA
B OF A
MERRILL LYNCH
1
2
3
BANK OF AMERICA = B OF A
B OF A = B OF A
MERRILL LYNCH = B OF A
· BANK OF AMERICA
· BANK OF AMERICA
· BANK OF AMERICA
1
2
3
| Normalize |
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gChallenges: To Successful Risk Management
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gVisualizing RiskExposures & Level of Risk
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gTreasury Technology Landscape
Treasury Workstation (TWS/TMS)(Visibility, Cash, Risk, Enterprise)
Data Consolidation(CaaS - Connectivity as a Service, SWIFT, Banks & Third Party)
Workflow Image Tech(File Management, Workflow Management, Data Integrators)
Spreadsheet/Database(Controls for Worksheets)
Risk, Debt & Investment(FAS133, IS39, Documentation, Testing & Modeling Systems)
Netting Systems(Banks, Vendors, with and w/o Workflow Management)
Currency Systems(Currency Trading)
Bank Administration(Bank Administration, Account Analysis)
Control Systems(Reconciliation & Escheat)
Order To Pay(EIPP, Outsourcers, Reverse Lockbox, Imaging, Credit/
Financing)
Order To Collect(Supply Chain Management,
Credit & Collections, Disputes, Credit/Financing)
LANDSCAPE OF TREASURY TECHNOLOGY SYSTEMS
TWS, LIQUIDITY PORTALS AND IN HOUSE BANKINGWORKING CAPITAL & CASH
CONVERSION CYCLECOMPLIANCE RELATED
RISK MANAGEMENT
IHB & Pooling Systems(Banks, TWS, ERP)
Exposure Identification(Retrieving and Analyzing Exposures)
Investment Compliance(Counterparty, Instrument, Policy)
Letters of Credit Systems(Banks)
Custody Systems
Investment/Liquidity Portals
TREASURY VISIBILITY
Dimensional Risk Analytics Dashboard / Treasury Optics(Dimensional Risk Dashboards, Cross Application Tools)
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gVisibility Expansion
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gTreasury Technology ExampleVisibility & Analytics
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gTreasury Technology Example
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gTreasury Technology ExamplePolicy & Exception Management
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gTreasury Technology ExampleCashflow at Risk - Histogram
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gTreasury Technology Example
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gTreasury Technology ExampleStress Test – Graphical Display
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
gTreasury Technology ExampleStress Test – Matrix Example
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
Suggested Reading:
gReview
Concept of Volatility
ERM/FRM and Control Frameworks
Perspectives and Choices
Risk Identification
Challenges to Risk Management
Visualizing Risk
New Technology
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014
Craig Jeffery formed Strategic Treasurer, LLC in 2004 to provide corporate, educational, and government entities direct access to comprehensive and current assistance with their treasury and financial process needs. His twenty-five years of financial andtreasury experience as a practitioner and as a consultant with various financial institutions have uniquely qualified him to help organizations craft realistic goals and achieve significant benefits quickly. He is primarily responsible for relationship management and ensuring total client satisfaction on all projects. Additionally, he oversees the development of all practice areas and staff.
Mr. Jeffery was previously a Senior Vice President and Practice Leader for Wachovia Treasury & Financial Consulting from 2000through 2004. Prior to joining Wachovia, Mr. Jeffery worked with a major regional bank as Vice President and worked in the Information Management, Investment, and Treasury Divisions at The Hartford. Mr. Jeffery’s experience in finance, treasury, consulting, information technology, and process re-design encompasses numerous industry segments. He has extensive cross-functional project management experience and has aided many organizations on a variety of projects, including strategy formulation, financial transparency and system implementation efforts. His project experience ranges from multi-year, multi-million dollar efforts to rapid assessments.
He is often quoted in, and has written articles for, finance and treasury management publications, such as Treasury & Risk, Financial Executive, Business Finance, and CFO magazines. He is also regularly requested to present both in the U.S. and internationally. He is the author of a book for Treasury, The Strategic Treasurer: A Partnership for Corporate Growth,published July 2009 by John Wiley & Sons.
Mr. Jeffery graduated from the University of Connecticut with a BS in Accounting. He is a permanent Certified Cash Manager, an Accredited ACH Professional and a Fellow of the Life Management Institute with distinction.
Email: [email protected]
Phone: 678.466.2222
Craig A. JefferyAAP, CCM, FLMI
Managing Partner
gCraig A. JefferyManaging Partner
Strategic Treasurer500 Westpark Drive, Suite 110Peachtree City, GA 30269+1 678.466-2220
Strategic Treasurer, LLC © 2014