PDC Monthly News Commentary - November 2011 (Eng)

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    THE ACTIVITIES OF NLD AND DOMESTIC OPPOSITION FORCES

    THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN NLD AND THE USDP GOVERNMENT

    Despite remaining tensions between National League for Democracy (NLD) and USDP government,

    the signs of continuing efforts to positively resolve these issues can be seen.

    At the meeting held on September 30, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi was briefed about the meetings with

    USDP government representative U Aung Kyi to the party CEC, and then the CEC passed resolution

    to support these meetings and its results. On the same day, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi said to BBC that

    despite the changes seen in Burma, these changes still need to be substantial and real. Responding to

    the question regarding demonstrations demanding the release of political prisoners, Daw Aung San

    Suu Kyi replied to RFA on October 6 that these protests would not affect the democratic movements

    if these protests were peaceful.

    USDP government amended the electoral law in three ways to facilitate the inclusion of NLD in

    forthcoming by-elections and future elections. U Win Tin welcomed this development but he

    reiterated that he could not accept the 2008 Constitution. Under the intense pressure given by

    domestic and international community, USDP government released 6,359 prisoners on October 12 for

    the second time, but only 200 were political prisoners and the people at home and abroad expressed

    their discontent. Daw Aung San Suu Kyi welcomed the release of these prisoners but she said on

    October 12 and 20 that the government needed to release more political prisoners.

    Daw Aung San Suu Kyi expressed her attitude on sanctions imposed by western countries to a Wall

    Street Journal reporter on October 23 that since there has not yet been measurable progress, it is not

    yet appropriate to lift these sanction. Regarding the convening of the second Panglong conference,

    party vice-chairman U Tin Oo said on October 21 that NLD would continue to stand in accordance

    with the principles made in Kalay Myo declaration. Similarly Daw Aung San Suu Kyi said on

    October 27 that the convening of the second Panglong conference was a requirement of the Union

    and must be implemented.

    Visiting Norway deputy foreign minister Mr. Espen Barth Eide met Daw Aung San Suu Kyi on

    October 8 and asked her about the party registration and contesting in upcoming by-elections. Daw

    Aung San Suu Kyi replied to her that this matter had not by decided by her party but the party

    spokesman Nyan Win told RFA on October 27 that NLD party was likely to re-register after the

    amendments were made to the political party registration law and also Daw Aung San Suu Kyi was

    likely to stand in upcoming by-elections.

    Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and U Aung Kyi met again at governments Seinlae Kantha guest house on

    October 30 for the fourth time. The meeting took place about 55 minutes and issued their jointstatement. This joint statement says how much the government had done implementing the results of

    the prior meetings, exchanged views on importance of free trade and money in circulation for the

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    PDC NEWS COMMENTARYNovember 2011

    Compiled and commented by the Political Defiance Committee (PDC)National Council of the Union of Burma (NCUB)

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    economic prosperity in the country. The joint statement also says on governments efforts to achieve

    permanent peace with armed ethnic groups and latest developments and the issue on those who

    eligible to be included in the amnesty.

    After that meeting, Reuter reporter U Aung Hla Tun asked Daw Aung San Suu Kyi at a press briefing,

    if some of the positive changes and developments made by government were enough for her party to

    re-register with election commission. Daw Aung San Suu Kyi replied to this question by saying thematter of re-registration of her party depended on the amendments made to the political party

    registration law so that this question could be answered only after these amendments were made. Her

    party would call a meeting to decide on this matter after the amendments were made and announced.

    When asked if there was any plan to release more political prisoners, U Aung Kyi replied, In

    implementing our work, we usually take step by step. We neither stop nor hop.

    CRPP secretary U Aye Thar Aung said on October 31 that NLD central executive committee and

    Committee Representing Peoples Parliament (CRPP) plans to discuss the issues of re-registration ,

    standing for elections, and making final resolutions on these matters no later than November 4.

    USDP government is using these political prisoners as political hostages and bargaining chips indealing with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, and at the same time Home Minister Lt. Gen. Ko Ko instructed

    his police force to monitor the activities of NLD members and report back to him while the

    government is talking with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi. Moreover, the local police force threatened and

    harassed the NLD members who were working in cooperation with Human Rights Defenders and

    Promoters (HRDP) group in about 20 townships in Mandalay Region. We assume that all of these

    governments activities show their insincerity in dealing with the opposition forces.

    And also we assume that the government is making an about face in dealing with Daw Aung San Suu

    Kyi and her NLD party not because of their intention to foster national reconciliation, but to receive

    recognition by influential democracies including US, which is giving support to Daw Aung San SuuKyi.

    USDP parliament made minor amendments in political party registration laws to enable the NLD

    party to contest in the election but didnt make any amendments to the more important 2008

    constitution, which contradicts democratic principles and values. We think this point is significant to

    and assume that President Thein Sein may appear trustworthy to Daw Aung San Suu Kyi but she

    should not underestimate the political machinations of USDP and its army which control the

    government and parliament from behind the scenes.

    We also assume that even if Daw Aung San Suu Kyi is held and trapped within the frameworks of2008 constitution and able to participate in parliamentary politics, she needs much time to amend the

    provisions of this constitution. Thus we think that NLD should get a guarantee from USDP

    government to amend some provisions in the 2008 constitution in the presence of world democracies

    including UN by making official pledge and assurance to do so before deciding reregistering of their

    party and standing for election. And at the same time, UN and western countries should continue

    putting pressure on USDP government until the latter gives assurance to do so.THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ETHNIC GROUPS AND THE USDP GOVERNMENT

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    The USDP government is extending their peace offers to some of ethnic armed forces while

    escalating massive attacks against others. We see they are strategically dividing the unity of these

    armed ethnic groups by proposing separate peace offerings to them.

    The fighting between Kachin Independence Army (KIA) and USDP government since June 9 this

    year is escalating day by day and month by month. Besides the forces under Northern and Northeast

    Command, the USDP government is deploying and reinforcing those from LIDs 88,99, 33 and 66along with artillery batteries in their spearhead operation against KIA headquarters, Laiza. In October

    this year alone, there were total over 160 clashes and the government troops suffered heavy

    casualties. These battles reached far-distances such as Waimaw, Mansi, Bahmo, Lweje, Momauk,

    Sumprabum Townships in Kachin State and Monko, Kutkai, Namkham and around Lashio in Shan

    State.

    Beginning on October 14, sixteen battalions from LIDs 33 and 66 were used in the offensive against

    KIA Laiza HQ and reached 10 miles vicinity of Laiza where 4-8 battles occurred every day. In

    addition to the 120 mm-fierce attacks by the government troops, KIA claimed that chemical weapons

    were used in the fighting between Shwe Nyaung Pyin village and Ga Ra Yang village, WaingmawTownship which resulted in dizziness, difficulty breating, and vomiting among the KIA troops. U La

    Nag, the spoke-person of the KIO, said on October 26 that KIO will remain sticking to the principle

    that nationwide cease-fire and dialogue through the alliance rather than individually, despite being

    imposed the massive military pressure by the USDP-led government.

    The government has been hosting peace talks with UWSA, NDAA (ESS), SSA, SSPP, SSA(RCSS),

    KNU, DKBA and NMSP while they are launching imminent offensive against KIA. Delegations led

    by Internal Peace Implementing Committee Chairman U Thein Zaw and USDP General Secretary U

    Aung Thaung met with UWSA in Lashio on October 1 and met with NDAA (ESS) again in Kyaing

    Ton on October 9 and signed agreements respectively. The 8 points-agreement was reached withUWSA and the 7 points-agreement was also reached with NDAA (ESS), however, the contents of the

    both agreements were reportedly similar.

    The following points were included in the agreement with NDAA (ESS);

    Both sides shall cease fighting, liaison offices shall be re-opened as previously, a prior-agreement

    shall be sought if the armed troops of brother parties want to trespass the terrain, respective

    relationships committees shall be established by both sides at the earliest convenient, one must agree

    not to secede from the Union, a Maunglar liaison office shall be re-opened in Kyaing Ton and

    government servants shall be allowed to work in Maunglar area, plans for local development, healthcare, education and transportation shall be working together with the government, the government's

    15 year-anti drug mission will be cooperated and bilateral discussions shall be held for the sake of

    sustainable peace. Transformation of Border Guard Forces and disarmament issues were not

    discussed by UDSP led govevb rnment.

    The 5 ethnic political parties which contested in the 2010 elections issued a joint statement on

    October 20, calling for urgent peace talks to end the ongoing armed conflict in the ethnic areas. Dr.

    Nay Zin Latt, a team leader of political advisory team to the President, said on October 3 that he

    would advise to the president to negotiate the negotiable issues with the ethnic but the issues of right

    to secede. SSA/SSPP said on October 13 that the release of their leader General Sao Htin was seen aspositive move of the USDP led government. SSA/SSPP has halted fighting for a month after the 6

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    months-long fierce fighting against the government's troops in Mong Hsu, Mong Yae, Kye Thi,

    Tangyan, Hsipaw, Kyaukme, Lashio, Nam Sang townships and Nam Kham in northern Shan State.

    General Sao Htin, serving his 106 years imprisonment, was released on October 12 and arrived back

    home on October 14. Shan Herald Agency for News reported on October 31 that USDP led

    government delegation led by U Thein Zaw held talks with SSA/ SSPP in Naypyidaw on October 29

    and the government agreed to withdraw its 4 military posts stationed nearby SSA/SSPP's Wan Hai

    Headquarters in Kye-Thi. SSA/RCSS's spokesperson Sai Lao Hseng said on October 4 that U TheinSein led government was offering peace talks with SSA/SSPP through local militias and Thai

    authorities that had been impossible under Snr-Gen Than Shwe as it had been determined not to make

    any talk with Gen Yawdserk led SSA/RCSS. He also said on October 6 that although they had

    accepted the government's offer, the time and place for the talk wasn't set yet. KNPP and USDP-led

    government's troops engaged fighting for twice in Hpruso Township, Karenni State and both sides

    suffered heavy causalities.

    The USDP government was offering peace talk with the KNU and DKBA while fighting continued

    with them throughout October. KNU spokesperson Major Saw Hla Ngwe said on October 3 that the

    Karen State Prime Minister sent a letter offering a talk about ceasefire and peace, via a negotiationteam consists of fathers and monks to KNU on September 28 but KNU replied that it preferred to

    hold the talk through UNFC, rather than individually. The DKBA reached agreements with the

    USDP led government the October 26 peace talk in Mon State, while KNU had not currently reached

    agreements during their two meetings with the government delegation.

    The Peace Committee of New Mon State Party (NMSP) met the delegation of Mon State Government

    at Battalion Office of IB # 61 as a preliminary talk on October 6. NMSP's General Secretary, Naing

    Han Thar, said on October 7 that regarding a cease-fire and politics, the NMSP will only discuss with

    the government as whole group of UNFC. UNFC expressed its doubts in the USDP led government's

    peace offers in its Statement on Appeal of UNFC to the people and international community to bringgenuine peace talks," released on October 8.

    The State Media reported on October 11th, that 15 Karen armed members led by Major Saw Eh Htoo

    of KNLA/KNU Peace Council under the leadership of Major General Htay Maung, surrendered to

    Col. Htay Myint Aung, the Mon State Security and Border Affairs Minister. Dr Timothy, Foreign

    Affairs Secretary of KNLA/KNU Peace Council, denied that news.

    A few bomb blasts occurred inside Burma during the battles along the border. On October 2, the

    accidental bomb explosion occurred near the government servants housing in Myitkyina, Kachin

    State, resulting one death. On October 24 early morning, a bomb was exploded in front of USDA

    office in Ward # 4, Myawaddy, Karen State, resulting a monk wounded. On evening of October 30,

    members of Security Forces detonated bombs found under pavilion of the City Hall which is located

    in the heart of the Rangoon.

    The USDP led government has not fully relinquished the border guard or local militias policy that

    will bring the ethnic armed groups under the Burmese army's command. They are buying time to

    overcome the challenges encountered during the transitional period through short-term agreements

    with some organizations. We believe that the USDP-led government has been trying to seek a

    systematic divide and rule the armed ethnic groups and plant doubts among the ethnic groups overDaw Aung San Suu Kyi and NLD. We assume that the USDP led government will destroy some

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    ethnic groups with ceases fire agreements including UWSA once they have earned support from the

    western countries, including the United States of America.

    THE ACTIVITIES OF NLD AN D DOMESTIC OPPOSITION FORCES

    Daw Aung San Suu Kyi received a visit of the US government's special envoy Mr. Derek Mitchell

    and regularly attends political and social events. She also issues video messages and felicitation

    letters to internationals meetings and forums.

    Daw Aung San Suu Kyi met Derek Mitchell at the resident of American ambassador in Rangoon on

    October 29 and the meeting lasted 90 minutes. Daw Aung San Suu Kyi also met some of the recently

    released political prisoners at her residence. She received a visit of Ko Thura (aka) Zaganar on

    October 17. She also attended the 49th birthday event of Min Ko Naing held in Thamine Myoma

    Pariyatti monastery along with nearly 2000 other well-wishers. Daw Aung San Suu Kyi made a

    speech on October 21 at a ceremony paying homage to veteran politicians and welcoming political

    prisoners. On October 23, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi attended the exhibition of a portrait held at the

    NLD Headquarters Office. On October 31, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and other members of the

    Central Executive Committee, including Vice Chairperson U Tin Oo, gave speeches at the opening

    ceremony of a literacy program and the closing ceremony of a political awareness training held at

    Beda Free Education School in Thingangyun Township, Rangoon.

    Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and NLD face a major challenge as they move beyond the Shwegadone

    declaration and registering the party to contest in the elections. Cooperation with the new government

    would largely be dependent upon the release of political prisoners, cessation of ongoing battles along

    the border, and implementation of the results of the meeting with President Thein Sein and Daw Aung

    San Suu Kyi, said General Secretary U Aye Thar Aung, The Committee Representing Peoples'

    Parliament (CRPP) announced on October 13th that it would cooperate with the new government, if

    the government released more political prisoners including the imprisoned ethnic leaders.

    The NLD and members of the different networks has been escalating their efforts in party organizing,

    education, and social work. On October 7, members of NLD (Women) and Youth Network jointly

    offered nutrition to 200 people at the Myitta Parahita Shelter in Mayaungchaung village, Hlae Coo

    Township. NLD (Mandalay Region) and HRDP were jointly providing human rights education to 20

    townships in Mandalay region. Attendees of the NLD meeting (Pegu Region) welcomed President U

    Thien Sein's decision to suspend the construction of Myitsone Dam, but called for a complete

    cessation of the dam construction. On October 12th, among the released 200 political prisoners, only

    80 of those released are members of the National League for Democracy (NLD). On October 13, theNLD called for the release of all political prisoners who remain behind bars.

    On October 16, NLD leaders U Win Tin and U Win Htein along with about 300 well-wishers attended

    the 5th commemoration of student leader, Thet Win Aung, who died during his long sentence in

    Mandalay Prison. 8 portrait paintings were sold at Portrait Exhibition held in NLD Headquarters on

    October 24. On October 26, the Social Support Group of NLD donated 4 million Kyat as startup

    funding and also donated rice and money for 500 households affected by the Pakokku flood, which

    killed hundreds and damaged the livelihoods of thousands. Youth members of Blood Donation Group

    (BG) donated food, clothes and school materials for 5 flood-affected villages in Yedashe Towsnhip,

    Pegu Region.

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    Protests of peasants and workers continued throughout October. Local farmers in Sintkoo village,

    Daedayae Township, Irrawaddy Region, lodged a complaint to ILO on Oct 3rd in response to the

    authority's failure to take action against the exploitation of a local rice mill owner. In early October,

    the Arakan State government tried the first-ever case filed by local farmers regarding farmlands

    confiscated farming lands by State Peace and Development Council in Minbya Township, Arakan

    State.

    Chairperson U Than Swe of the newly founded "All Burma's Farmers and Agricultural Workers

    Organization" said the organization was founded on Oct 25 after meeting with farmer activists from

    all states and regions and applying for legal registration. On October 27, about 40 farmers from

    Dagon Seikkan Township demanded in front the Housing Department on Boyoke Aung San Street,

    Rangoon, to revoke the La-Na 39 Act and restore the farmer rights. Of these protesters, Lawyer U Po

    Phyu and 7 farmers were arrested for failing to seek prior permission from authorities, but released

    for a 5 million Kyat fine on October 28.

    Workers' protests also occurred. Two shop owners staged a protest in the Hlae Tan intersection when

    their shops in front of a Myanmar Mall were destroyed by staff of the Ministry of Commerce becauseof their failure to pay rent on-time. They were released after 7 hours of detention. On October 5 about

    600 factory workers from the Myth Apparrel Myanmar Co. Ltd in Industrial Zone # 7, Hlaing Tharya

    Township, staged protests and demanded wages increase. The authority assisted in the companys

    negotiations with the protested workers.

    Generation Wave, an underground youth movement which generated from the 2007 Saffron

    Revolution, announced on its 4th Anniversary that it will now register and conduct above-ground

    activities. Arakan youth started a campaign to demand public distribution of electricity generated by

    the gas in their state. Police forcibly removed a Shwe Gas campaign T-shirt from a youth in

    Rathedaung Township.

    Human Rights activists provided human rights education and assisted in filing complaints of human

    right violation to the USDP led, Myanmar National Human Rights Commission. HRDP has been

    conducting human rights training across townships in Mandalay Region. On October 23, a discussion

    on human rights was held in Tatarphyu Ward # 8, Hlaing Tharyar Township, Rangoon Region.

    HRDP member Ko Mying Naing was released on October 12. He was beaten by the USDA members

    and authorities while he was conducing human rights education in Hinthada Township 4 years ago.

    He announced on his release day that he will seek justice against those who attacked him.

    U Aung Than Tun, a member of NLD's Thingangyun Township Organizing Committee recentlyreleased from Myaugmya prison, said he will file human rights violations committed against him by

    prison authority to deter such violations occur again. Human Rights activist U Aye Myint (Guiding

    Star) said that he welcome the statement of Myanmar National Human Rights Commission released

    on October 7 but would "wait and see" about how they implemented these activities.

    Those political prisoners who were released have been campaigning for the release of the political

    prisoners who remain behind bars. On October 12, the political activists along with the political

    parties, the prominent politicians, and the imprisoned 8888 Generation Student leaders called for the

    releases of all political prisoners. The members of the Signature Campaign For release of Political

    Prisoners sent their petitions to the President on October 21. On October 24, Zaganar made a prison

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    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dagon_Seikkan_Townshiphttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dagon_Seikkan_Townshiphttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dagon_Seikkan_Township
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    tour in Tharyawaddy and Paungde townships and donated Kyat 10000 and books for each political

    prisoner. Famous artists including Htun Eaindrabo donated money and books.

    Network for the Support of Families of Political Prisoners called for the release of Ko Zaw Linn Tun,

    Ashin Gambira, Ko Htay Kyawe, and former Capt. Nay Myo Zin, whose health has been

    deteriorating behind bars. On October 26 , 15 political prisoners in Insein Prison staged a hunger

    strike for prisoner's rights. The Network for the Support of Families of Political Prisoners stated thattwo protesters were taken to the hospital on October 30 because the prison authority had stopped

    proving water for them. The other 8 political prisoners were taken to the dog cells for punishment.

    The Award Committee of the Burmese community in Japan announced on October 4 that Ashin

    Wirathu (aka) Win Khing Oo, Zeya Aung, Thant Zaw, Swan Hla Aung and Ma Mar Mar Oo were

    selected for the "Ordinary Hero Award" to honor political prisoners every year. Sasana Dhamma

    Sarira Venerable U Thondara was sentenced to 49 years imprisonment in 1988 for his leading role as

    Chairperson in the Myinggyan Monk Committee. He was released from Mandalay Prison on October

    12 after 22 years incarceration and revealed his prison experiences to the media.

    Venerable U Kawida, who was arrested during the 2007 Saffron Revolution and released from

    Thayat Prison recently, also disclosed the ill-treatment of prison authorities to exiled media. Families

    of Daw Khin Ye and Daw Win Kyi held re-ordination ceremonies for them on October 30. Similarly,

    Ashin U Eithariya from Ngwe Kyar Yan monastery in South Okkalapa Township, who was arrested

    during the 2007 Saffron Revolution and released from Kyaington Prison, told the media about the

    torture practices that authorities used during interrogation and prison terms. On October 26, All

    Burma Monks Alliance called for the immediate release of all monks, especially Ashin Gambira

    whose health condition is deteriorating and serving a 63 year sentence in Kalay Prison.

    The activists opposing the Myitisone Hydropower Dam project have been campaigning for thecomplete termination of the project. Prominent writers, artists, environmentalists continued public

    discussions. On October 6, the Burma Rivers Network opposed CPIs comment to Chinese media

    that Myitsone Hydropower Dam Project had no impact on the Burmese people. If the Chinese

    company tried to sue the government over the decision to suspend the Myitsone Dam Project, the

    details of the project agreement should be made public, said High Court Lawyer, U Yan Naung, on

    October 5th.

    The people of Burma have gained more freedom from fear and awareness that they have to fight for

    their rights by themselves. The artists such as Zaganar and Zeyathaw have been more decisive since

    their release from the militarys notorious prisons.

    THE USDP GOVERNMENT AND DOMESTIC S ITUATION

    THE S ITUATION OF THE USDPGOVERNMENT

    The USDP led government tried to convince the National League for Democracy (NLD) to register

    and take part in the election by amending the political party registration law and building good

    relations with western countries including the United States of America. The government also seems

    to be establishing better relationships with regional governments, including the neighbors.

    On October 24, Lower House Speaker Thura Shwe Mann and Foreign Affairs Minister, Wunna

    Maung Lwin, met with the US Special Envoy to Burma, Mr Derek Michell, and the government also

    allowed him to meet Daw Aung San Suu Kyi, separately. Speaker Thura Shwe Mann also received a

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    visit from the Deputy Foreign Affairs Minister, Mr. Espen Barth Eide, on October 7th. President

    Thein Sein's political adviser Ko Ko Hlaing claimed to Swedish Radio that Burma only had around

    600 prisoners of conscience and has already released almost half of them.

    A high profile delegation led by President Thein Sein paid a four-day goodwill visit to India on

    October 12. On October 14, Thein Sein and Prime Minister Manmohan Singh held extensive talks on

    bilateral, regional and international issues, including ways to open further border trade. India offeredUSD 500 million in credit for infrastructure projects, including roads, inland waterways, and ports to

    Sein, who agreed to promote further public and private investments by Indian companies in the oil

    and natural gas sectors. The two leaders also agreed to cooperate in the construction of the

    Thamanthi and Shwe Saryae Hydropower Dam project on Chindwin River as well as the joint

    offensive against India separatist rebels, currently hiding on the India-Burma border. India also

    pledged it would not make a relationship with KIA. It can be assumed that Thein Sein's India visit

    was a balancing act to counter the China-Burma relationship.

    On October 20, Burmas Vice President Tin Aung Myint Oo began an 8 day-state visit to China to

    attend the 8th China-Asean Expo in Nanning and meet with Chinese leaders. On October 21st, duringmeetings with Burmese Vice President, Tin Aung Myint Oo, China's Premier, Wen Jiabao, stressed to

    the Chinese media that Burma should abide by its prior agreements to implement projects. On

    October 22, Chinese Ambassador to Burma, Mr. Li Junhua, stated that both China and Burma are

    eager to solve the problems, as the Chinese Company is asking for legal settlement of the Burmese

    government's, unilateral decision to suspend the Myintsone Hydropower Dam Project.

    China Power Investment (CPI), Chairman Lu Qizhou, said on Oct 3 that he was surprised to hear

    about the suspension of the project and asked the Chinese government to appeal to Burma to protect

    the rights of Chinese investments. On October 6, Mr Jim Della Giacoma, Southeast Asian Director of

    International Crisis Group (ICG), warned that Sino-Burmese relationships will be damaged if thesuspension of the Myintsone Dam Project rebuilt ties with international governments while damaging

    relations with China, particularly when it comes to China's "on the fence policy about ethnic groups

    on the China-Burma border. The USDP government is attempting to build closer relations with the

    Indian government and western governments including the US.

    The USDP government was encouraged by positive responses from the UN and western countries in

    response to some of their changes in policy. A member of the Burmese governments delegation to

    UNGA said on October 18 that the UNGA's 2010 resolution on Burma was more positive than the

    previous resolution and the President planned to announce amnesty. President Advisor, U Ko Ko

    Hlaing, also said on October 15th that another amnesty program would be announced. Mr. VijayNambiar, Special Adviser to the Secretary-General, arrived on October 31 in Burma for 5 day-visit

    and met with the Foreign Affairs Minister, U Wunna Maung Lwin and Labor Minister, U Aung Kyi.

    The Burmese government has agreed to accept a repatriation plan for over 28000 UNHCR recognized

    Rohingya refugees from refugee camps in Bangladesh.

    The USDP government approached the Japanese Government and the International Monetary Fund

    (IMF) for financial support. USDP invited the Japan-Burma Friendship delegation (led by Japanese

    Lower House legislator Mr. Ryota Takeda) to meet with Upper House Speaker Khin Maung Myint on

    October 4. During this meeting, they discussed resuming assistance to Burma through the Oversee

    Development Assistances (ODA). On October 20, Japanese Foreign Minister, Mr Gamba, met with

    his Burmese counterpart, Wunna Maung Lwin, and stressed that the Japanese government was

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    closely observing developments in Burma and pledged to support these changes. The IMF delegation

    invited by USDP arrived in Burma and held a series of discussion about money exchange systems

    with the stakeholders from the government, the private banking sector, and others during their 3

    week-visit.

    The USDP government has also tried to create stronger relations with ASEAN countries. President

    Thein Sein and his cabinet ministers received the newly elected Thai Prime Minister, YingluckShinawatra, and discussed bilateral cooperation and trade during her one-day visit on October 5th. On

    October 11, Deputy Labor Minister Myint Thein visited Thailand and discussed the situation of

    Burmese migrant workers. On October 17, Deputy Foreign Affairs Minister, Maung Myint, met

    Malaysian Home Minister Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Hussein and agreed to exchange detainees held

    in both countries. Malaysian News Agency, Bernama, reported on October 22 that the Burmese army

    agreed to send army officials to attend 9 of 16 military courses offered by Malaysian Armed forces,

    during Burma's Defense Minister Lt-Gen Hla Min's visit to Malaysia. On October 28, Indonesian

    Foreign Minister, Mr. Marty Natalegawa, whose country holds the current rotating chairmanship of

    ASEAN, arrived in Burma and was briefed about current political developments by the 6 members of

    the Presidential Advisory Team.

    During the second meetings of the first parliamentary session, three significant laws were passed in

    rgards to political parties, labor, and local village leadership. The three sections of the Political

    Parties Registration Law were amended. The Peaceful Assembly and Procession Bill, which was

    proposed by Interior Minister revokes the 1964 Labor Act was also amended. It was also decided that

    the Legal Drafting Committee should review the direct appointments of village and ward

    administrators by the central government.

    U Tun Myint Oo, a representative of Lower House, questioned whether it was possible to hang photos

    of Burmas independence hero, Aung San on the walls of government offices. The Minister of thePresident Office, Soe Maung, responded that the present head of state photo would be hung.

    On October 19, Myanmar Tourism Board (MTB) Chairperson Khin Shwe, decided to sell the 120-

    year-old historic Ministers Office building (where National Hero General Aung San and other

    Burmese martyrs were assassinated) to a hotel company. However on October 26th , Industrial 1 and

    2 Minister, U Soe Thein, announced that due to public protest, the historic building will be preserved

    as a museum. On October 1st, the Central Bank of Myanmar granted 6 private banks the rights to

    trade three types of foreign hard currencies. According to a business owner, due to the complicated

    regulations and limitation of exchange up to 2000 USD per person, export and import business

    owners have continued to rely on black market exchanges.

    According to unconfirmed sources, regional commander reshuffles were made during October.

    THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC S ITUATION OF THE PEOPLE

    Due to the intensified battle raging up in Kachin and Northern Shan Sates, over 1,000 Kachin in KIA

    Brigade # 4 areas fled to Shan State. Another 600 Kachin refugees fled to Mai Jayan and over 2000

    Kachin escaped to the Chinese border, opposite of Loi Jal, because of fierce fighting in KIO

    Headquarters controlled areas. Children, elderly persons, and pregnant women were being wounded

    as the government troops shelled and burned Kachin villages. 81 Kachin women, including 19 yearold Ma Yan Kawbu from Waimaw, were raped or sexually attacked in the 8 months of fighting. The

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    government troops have been demanding porters in Kachin and Karen States, leading to further injury

    and loss of life.

    Heavy rain and severe flooding across the country resulted in the loss of livelihood, housing,

    plantations, and the deaths of local residents and cattle. Over 100 local people are missing or were

    killed by the Pakokku flood and several houses and onion fields were inundated. Many Burmese

    migrant workers lost their jobs because of Thailands extreme flooding, worst in 50 years, andreturned home to Burma. Burmese migrant workers attempting to escape Thailands floods were

    reportedly arrested and exploited by Thai and Burmese Immigration Officials on a daily basic.

    INTERNATIONAL PRESSURE

    Western governments' positions towards the Burmese government have slightly changed following

    Daw Aung San Suu Kyi's statement that President Thein sincerely believed in change. The US

    government, EU, and the United Nations viewed President Thein Sein's decisions to suspend the

    Myintsone Hydropower Dam Project, release many political prisoners, and amend the Political

    Parties Registration Law in order for Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and NLD can participate in the

    elections, as positive developments. Visits of US Special Envoy Mr. Derek Mitchel to Burma have

    been more frequent.

    US Senator Mr John McCain hailed the decision of President Thein Sein over Myitsone Dam

    suspension and urged the Burmese government to continue to respond to the peaceful will of the

    people to make additional positive changes in other areas, on October 5. Spokeswoman of US State

    Department Ms. Victoria Nuland said on October 6 that the US government welcomed the changes

    that the Burmese government was pursuing, but implored that sanction would remain in place as

    much progress still needed to be made in Burma. US Assistant Secretary for East Asia and Pacific,

    Mr Kurt Campbell, said on October 10 that the US government will be working with the Burmese

    government's democratizing steps. However, he also said on October 25, that changes in Burma were

    in the "early" stages and it was premature to say substantive changes were occurring. Some positive

    developments, which were never seen during the past decades in Burma, are now emerging. The US

    government, Special Envoy, Mr Derek Mitchell, cited in the State Department's press conference held

    on October 16 that there are still questions about how far theyre going to go and where this is going

    to lead regarding reforms by President Thein Sein's government. According to the US State

    Department, the Special Envoy made the second visit to Burma on October 24th and called for the

    USDP government to release political prisoners and to show the world tangible democratic

    developments.

    On October 4, the High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs and Security

    Policy, Ms Catherine Ashton welcomed President Thein Sein's decision to suspend the Myintsone

    Hydropower Dam Project and indicated that EU will review its sanctions policy based upon other

    changes in Burma. The British government stated on October 17 that they will not review or revoke

    Burma sanctions unless there are tangible changes in Burma. The British government is also

    disappointed by the Burmese government's recent amnesty program where only a few political

    prisoners were released. On October 19, British Foreign and Commonwealth Office, released a

    statement in support of UN Special Envoy to Burma's calls to release all political prisoners in due

    time and allow the NLD to become an official political party. UN Secretary- General, Mr. Ban Ki-

    moon reiterated the international community's call to release all political prisoners on October 12. On

    October 19, Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in Burma, Mr Tomas Ojea Quintana

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    called for Burmese government at the UN General Assembly to investigate the alleged war crimes

    committed in the ethnic areas, if it failed to do so, the International Community is responsible for

    taking action. Mr Steve Marshall, the International Labour Organisations liaison officer to Burma,

    said on October 14 that ILO welcomed Burma's new labor law approved by President Thein Sein, but

    it was studying the new law in detail to determine its efficacy.

    Amnesty International (AI), Human Rights Watch (HRW) and ASEAN Inter-Parliamentary MyanmarCaucus (AIPMC) welcomed the release of political prisoners, but called for the government to release

    the remainder of political prisoners behind bars.

    // End of Report // Thursday, November 10, 2011// End of Translation // Wednesday, November 30, 2011

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