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Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

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Page 1: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads

September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli

American Public Power AssociationBusiness & Financial Conference

Page 2: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

APPA – Business & Financial Conference 2

The Bottom Line

Load growth pricing strategies must be inalignment with marginal costand average cost

Cost

per

Un

it

MC

AC

Page 3: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

APPA – Business & Financial Conference 3

Significant Upward Pricing Pressure in Today’s Marketplace

Page 4: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

APPA – Business & Financial Conference 4

Cost of Service Comparison

Embedded Cost Marginal Cost

Use Frequent Infrequent

Cost Examination

Historical Future

Cost of Service

CostTotal

Price

Complexity

Low to High High

Price

Quantity• Adj. Factor

CostTotal

QuantityTo

tal

Price

Quantity• QTotal • Adj.

Factor

Page 5: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

APPA – Business & Financial Conference 5

Cost of Service Comparison (cont.)

Embedded Cost Marginal Cost

Standard of Proof

Audited Financial statements & normalized customer usage

Special studies & normalizedcustomer usage

Process

Develop Revenue Requirement (RR)

Unbundle RR Classify RR Allocate RR

Develop marginal cost by function

Classify marginal cost Allocate marginal cost Reconcile marginal cost with

RR

Application of Results

Traditional rate design

Time of use rate design Justification of CIAC and other

fees & charges

Page 6: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

Cost of Service Considerations

Page 7: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

APPA – Business & Financial Conference 7

Who Benefits from Infrastructure Installed to Meet Growth?

ResidentialCustomer

CommercialCustomer

DistributionSubstation

IndustrialCustomer

High VoltageTransmission

TransmissionSubstation

Generating Station

Page 8: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

APPA – Business & Financial Conference 8

Cost Implications

Distribution: Customer-specific usefulness Non-coincident demand High correlation between benefit of new

infrastructure and new load

ResidentialCustomer

CommercialCustomer

DistributionSubstation

IndustrialCustomer

Page 9: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

APPA – Business & Financial Conference 9

Generation and Transmission:Used and useful by all Coincident demand Lower correlation between

benefit of new infrastructure and new load

Cost Implications

High VoltageTransmission

TransmissionSubstation

Generating Station

Page 10: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

APPA – Business & Financial Conference 10

Rates and Fees

Key Considerations

Effective rate & fee structures balance multiple considerations

Page 11: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

Pricing Considerations by Load Size

Page 12: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

12

12

Com

peti

tio

n

Class-specific Marginal cost pricing Customer pay majority of

connection costs through CIAC

Gen/Trans stranded investment less of a concern

Customer-specific Marginal cost pricing Customer pays for majority

of connection costs through CIAC

Customer may pay for Gen/Trans costs

Gen/Trans stranded investment less of a concern Marginal cost or subsidies

(varies depending upon persuasiveness and constituency)

Growth pays for growth

Low CIAC Average cost pricing Residential subsidies

Growth pays for growth

MC

> A

C

kW

Eco

nom

ics

Polit

ics

Fair

nes

s

Differentiate on benefits rather than price

Subsidies

Differentiate on benefits rather than price

Subsidies

Page 13: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

13

13

Com

peti

tio

n

Waive connection fees Economic development rates

Eco

nom

ics

Polit

ics

Fair

nes

s

Class-specific pricing Embedded cost pricing Utility pays majority of

connection costs; minimal CIAC

Gen/Trans stranded investment more of a concern

Customer-specific pricing Embedded cost pricing Customer pays for

majority of connection costs

Gen/Trans stranded investment more of a concern

Residential subsidies

Everyone pays the same

MC

< A

C

Marginal cost pricing (favor lowest pricing alternative)

Everyone pays the same

kW

Page 14: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

Rate Design and Fee Strategies

Page 15: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

APPA – Business & Financial Conference 15

Rate Design & Fee Strategies (MC > AC)

Distribution Function Contributions in Aid of Construction

Trend toward full cost recovery Vintage-based rates

Rate phase-out strategies Increased complexity

Accounting Administration Long term rate volatility Equitable cost recovery

Location-based rates Density Construction costs

Page 16: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

APPA – Business & Financial Conference 16

Rate Design & Fee Strategies

Generation & Transmission Function Time of Use Load reduction Baseline

Residential Daily Load Profile July, Texas

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

Hour

kW

Page 17: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

APPA – Business & Financial Conference 17

Rate Design & Fee Strategies

Very Large Commercial and Industrial Loads

Pay full cost of facilities required to connect T&D infrastructure

Insulate system from negative economic impacts

Customer-specific rates Minimum charges Deposits Disconnect or exit fees (stranded cost)

Page 18: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

APPA – Business & Financial Conference 18

Final Thoughts

Know your cost of service Marginal costs Embedded costs

Send consistent pricing signals to customers

Educate stakeholders

Page 19: Paying for Load Growth and New Large Loads September 24, 2007 | Presented by: Joe Mancinelli American Public Power Association Business & Financial Conference

APPA – Business & Financial Conference 19

Questions?

Joe MancinelliVice President(303) [email protected]