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Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

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Page 1: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

Past, Present and Future

Warwick Bartlett, CEOGlobal Betting & Gaming Consultants

Page 2: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

GGY per Capita in 2013 (US$)

Source: GBGC’s Global Gambling Report

866

464 413 395 371

319 318 300 283 273 239 243 242 233 218

0100200300400500600700800900

1,000

Page 3: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

Las Vegas Strip Casino GGY (US$bn) 2005-2014

5.58

6.396.75 6.68

5.665.62 6.01 6.05 6.29

6.61

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Source: GBGC’s Global Gambling Report

Page 4: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

Greece Casino GGY (€m) 2005-2014

631

712

804771

648

530

432

339 306275

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Source: GBGC’s Global Gambling Report

Page 5: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

GBGC 50 vs iGBGC Index Jan/05 – Oct/15

Source: GBGC’s Global Gambling Report

50

150

250

350

450

550

650

75002

/01/

2005

02/0

7/20

05

02/0

1/20

0602

/07/

2006

02/0

1/20

0702

/07/

2007

02/0

1/20

0802

/07/

2008

02/0

1/20

0902

/07/

2009

02/0

1/20

1002

/07/

2010

02/0

1/20

1102

/07/

2011

02/0

1/20

1202

/07/

2012

02/0

1/20

1302

/07/

2013

02/0

1/20

1402

/07/

2014

02/0

1/20

1502

/07/

2015

GBGC 50 iGBGC

Page 6: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

GBGC – Consulting, Data, Reports, Feasibility, Research

Page 7: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

Gambling Tax: The Only Way Is UpJurisdiction Tax Change

Neuquen, Argentina Gaming tax increased from 16% to 22% in 2014

Bulgaria Lottery tax raised from 12% to 15% of sales (2011)

Massachusetts, US 5% tax on lottery and betting wins over $600

South Africa 1% levy on GGY instead of new winnings tax

Spain 20% tax on lottery prizes over €2,500

Armenia Gaming duties increased from 2013

Croatia Tax on gambling winnings increased twice, in April 2014 and then again from January 2015 for betting winnings

7

Page 8: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

Gambling Tax: The Only Way Is Up cont.Jurisdiction Tax Change

Western Cape, South Africa Tiered casino tax increased by 2 percentage points for each rate (March 2013).

Panama Casino tax raised twice, from 10% in 2010 to 15% in 2012; machine tax raised several times from 10% in 2010 to 22% in 2014

Mexico Gaming tax up from 20% in 2008 to 30% in 2010

Finland Lottery tax on slots and casinos up from 8.25% to 10%, horse racing tax up to 10%, all from 2012

Romania Winnings and admissions tax up from 2010

Macedonia Gaming taxes increased, winnings tax introduced from 2013

UK Point of consumption tax of 15% on gross profits for remote gambling from 1 December 2014

8

Page 9: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

Gambling Tax: The Only Way Is Up cont.Jurisdiction Tax Change

New York, US 5% tax also applied to out-of-state ADW operators 1 January 2014

Kenya 20% on gambling winnings from 2014

Ukraine War tax on lottery prizes announced in late 2014

Italy AWP and VLT tax in effect from January 2015, proposal to increase the rates in autumn 2015

Ireland Online gambling tax introduced in August 2015

Czech Republic Taxes for bookmakers proposed to increase to 23% and to 28% for slot machines from 2016

Vietnam A proposal to increase special consumption tax for casino from 30% to 35% from 2016

9

Page 10: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

Gambling Tax: The Only Way Is Up cont.Jurisdiction Tax Change

Italy 20 to 25% Gross Profits

Belgium 11% Gross Profits

Denmark 20% Gross profits

Spain 25% Gross profits

France Sports 9.3% Horses 13.2% Poker 2% Cash Game Pot VAT 20%

Germany 5% tax amount staked for sports and lotteries.VAT at 19% for egaming.

Ireland VAT Ireland 23%

10

Page 11: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

GBGC – Consulting, Data, Reports, Feasibility, Research

Page 12: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants
Page 13: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

Combined Effect – Tax Increase and Recession

• Tough for smaller operators• Fewer start-ups• On-shore trying to marginalise off-shore• Complex and costly regulation• Consolidation (37 deals worth US$32bn in 18

months)

Page 14: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

However...

Paddy Power, Betfair and Bet 365 produced shareholder value in excess of US$18bn in 10 years

Page 15: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

Operator Concerns with Regulation

• Dormant accounts• Common standards• Suspicious transaction reporting

Page 16: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

GBGC – Consulting, Data, Reports, Feasibility, Research

Page 17: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

I will clog your arteries and

cause a stroke or heart attack!

Page 18: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

GBGC – Consulting, Data, Reports, Feasibility, Research

Page 19: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

www.gbgc.com

Page 20: Past, Present and Future Warwick Bartlett, CEO Global Betting & Gaming Consultants

Thank you!

www.gbgc.comWarwick [email protected]