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Participants: Dr. German Poveda (Co-PI) Dr. Martha Lucia Quiñonez Dr. Ivan Dario Velez Dr. Luz Elena Velásquez Dr. William Rojas Dr. Juan S. Zapata Students: Guilhermo Leon Rua (PhD student) Daniel Ruiz (MsC student) Juan Santiago Zuluaga (MsC student Olver Hernandez (undergraduate) Elisabeth Zapata (undergraduate) Eriko P. Alarcon (undergraduate) Leysa J. Gomez (undergraduate) Colombia

Participants: Dr. German Poveda (Co-PI) Dr. Martha Lucia Quiñonez Dr. Ivan Dario Velez Dr. Luz Elena Velásquez Dr. William Rojas Dr. Juan S. Zapata Students:

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Participants:Participants:

• Dr. German Poveda (Co-PI)• Dr. German Poveda (Co-PI)

• Dr. Martha Lucia Quiñonez• Dr. Martha Lucia Quiñonez

• Dr. Ivan Dario Velez• Dr. Ivan Dario Velez

• Dr. Luz Elena Velásquez• Dr. Luz Elena Velásquez

• Dr. William Rojas• Dr. William Rojas

• Dr. Juan S. Zapata• Dr. Juan S. Zapata

Students:Students:

• Guilhermo Leon Rua (PhD student)• Guilhermo Leon Rua (PhD student)

• Daniel Ruiz (MsC student)• Daniel Ruiz (MsC student)

• Juan Santiago Zuluaga (MsC student)• Juan Santiago Zuluaga (MsC student)

• Olver Hernandez (undergraduate)• Olver Hernandez (undergraduate)

• Elisabeth Zapata (undergraduate)• Elisabeth Zapata (undergraduate)

• Eriko P. Alarcon (undergraduate)• Eriko P. Alarcon (undergraduate)

• Leysa J. Gomez (undergraduate)• Leysa J. Gomez (undergraduate)

Colombia Colombia

Colombia Colombia

• Development of a mathematical model to explain malaria incidence linked to climatic parameters.

• Development of a mathematical model to explain malaria incidence linked to climatic parameters.

• Studying the linkages between entomological and climatological variables through field and laboratory work.

• Studying the linkages between entomological and climatological variables through field and laboratory work.

• Creation of a Geographical Information System for Malaria in Colombia (SIGMA).

• Creation of a Geographical Information System for Malaria in Colombia (SIGMA).

Study Sites:Study Sites:• Endemic-epidemic regions for malaria in the

lowlands of Colombia:• Endemic-epidemic regions for malaria in the

lowlands of Colombia:

• Nuqui (northwestern Colombia).• Nuqui (northwestern Colombia).

• El Bagre (Pacific Coast).• El Bagre (Pacific Coast).

Findings:Findings:

• Temperature strongly affects the life cycle of An. albimanus, the main malaria vector.

• Temperature strongly affects the life cycle of An. albimanus, the main malaria vector.

• Modelling efforts confirm the importance of temperature in explaining malaria incidence.

• Modelling efforts confirm the importance of temperature in explaining malaria incidence.

Colombia Colombia

Publications:Publications:

WAYLEN, P., & POVEDA, G., 2002. El Niño-Southern Oscillation and aspects of Western South America Hydroclimatology. Hydrological Processes, 16, 1247-1260.

WAYLEN, P., & POVEDA, G., 2002. El Niño-Southern Oscillation and aspects of Western South America Hydroclimatology. Hydrological Processes, 16, 1247-1260.

POVEDA, G., 2002. Climate and ENSO Associations with Malaria Incidence in Colombia, En: Examples of ENSO-Society Interactions, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction (IRI), http://iri.columbia.edu/climate/ENSO/societal/example/Poveda.html. On the web since Octuber 18,2002.

POVEDA, G., 2002. Climate and ENSO Associations with Malaria Incidence in Colombia, En: Examples of ENSO-Society Interactions, International Research Institute for Climate Prediction (IRI), http://iri.columbia.edu/climate/ENSO/societal/example/Poveda.html. On the web since Octuber 18,2002.

• Three presentations at the Conference Climate Variability and Change and their Health Effects in the Caribbean: Information for Climate Variability and Change Adaptation Planning in the Health Sector. Pan American Health Organization / World Health Organization. Bridgetown, Barbados, mayo 21-22, 2002.

• Three presentations at the Conference Climate Variability and Change and their Health Effects in the Caribbean: Information for Climate Variability and Change Adaptation Planning in the Health Sector. Pan American Health Organization / World Health Organization. Bridgetown, Barbados, mayo 21-22, 2002.

Colombia Colombia

Publications:Publications:

RUIZ. D.; POVEDA, G.; QUIÑONEZ, M.L.; VÉLEZ, I.D.; RÚA, G.; ROJAS, W.; ZULUAGA, J.S. Modelling entomological-climatic interaction of malaria transmission. Study case: El Niño 1997-1998 and La Niña 1998-2000.

RUIZ. D.; POVEDA, G.; QUIÑONEZ, M.L.; VÉLEZ, I.D.; RÚA, G.; ROJAS, W.; ZULUAGA, J.S. Modelling entomological-climatic interaction of malaria transmission. Study case: El Niño 1997-1998 and La Niña 1998-2000.

RÚA, G.; QUIÑONEZ, M.L.; VÉLEZ, I.D.; ROJAS, W.; POVEDA, G.; ZULUAGA, J.S.; RUIZ. D. Effect of temperature on the gonotrophic cycle of Anofeles albimanus (Diptera: Culicidae) in relation with the event El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO).

RÚA, G.; QUIÑONEZ, M.L.; VÉLEZ, I.D.; ROJAS, W.; POVEDA, G.; ZULUAGA, J.S.; RUIZ. D. Effect of temperature on the gonotrophic cycle of Anofeles albimanus (Diptera: Culicidae) in relation with the event El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO).

RÚA, G.; QUIÑONEZ, M.L.; VÉLEZ, I.D.; ROJAS, W.; POVEDA, G.; ZULUAGA, J.S.; RUIZ. D.; MANTILLA, R. El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) related to malaria transmission, density and parity of Anofeles albimanus and An. darlingi (Diptera: Culicidae) in two areas in Colombia.

RÚA, G.; QUIÑONEZ, M.L.; VÉLEZ, I.D.; ROJAS, W.; POVEDA, G.; ZULUAGA, J.S.; RUIZ. D.; MANTILLA, R. El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) related to malaria transmission, density and parity of Anofeles albimanus and An. darlingi (Diptera: Culicidae) in two areas in Colombia.

Colombia Colombia

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Date [DD/MM/YY]

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T [

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IFEP Prev T [°C]Host population

Climatic patterns

Mosquito population

Egg Larva Pupa Adult male

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Gametocytesingestion

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Breeding placesavailability model

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Pre-imago stages

Left: Main linkages and feedbacks between diverse components of the mathematical model.

Left: Main linkages and feedbacks between diverse components of the mathematical model.

Right: Time series of model results for base scenario.

Right: Time series of model results for base scenario.

Colombia Colombia

Graphical interface module for simultaneous malaria and climate records

Graphical interface module for simultaneous malaria and climate records

Colombia Colombia

Entomology lab workEntomology lab workColombia Colombia

Studying mosquito breeding sites at NuquiStudying mosquito breeding sites at NuquiColombia Colombia