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8323
0910
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AS-IT
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18/10/2013
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Parametric cost evaluation to improve product competitiveness
COST MANAGEMENT FRAMEWORK WORLDWIDE WORKSHOPRome, 24-25/10/2013
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Contents
Thales Alenia Space: a complete range of solutions
TAS-I Experience: parametric cost evaluation using Price/True Planning
Bid preparation process & Cost Estimate
From Bid Preparation to Project Control
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Thales Alenia Space - A Global Offer
3 3
We design, build and
deliver end-to-end
space systems for
telecommunications,
observation,
navigation and
exploration
A Global Offer from Equipment to End-to-End Space Systems
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Thales Alenia SpaceA committed partner to deliver cutting-edge solutions
4 44 4
A world player in each of the space markets
Telecommunications Observation Navigation Exploration/Science
Fixed / Mobile
Broadband
Dual / Military
Secured
Climate Change
Meteorology
Oceanography
Intelligence
Surveillance
Localization
Aeronautical Communications
Data collect
Planetology
Fundamental physics
Astronomy
Human spaceflights
Space transportationsystems
AMC 21, Amos 4/5, Arabsat , Arsat-1, Athena-Fidus, Ciel 2, EuropaSat, Express MD1/MD2, Globalstar , Hispasat , Iridium Next, Kazsat 2, Koreasat 6, Loutch 5/6, Nilesat 201, O3B, OverHorizon 1, Palapa-D1, RascomStar-Qaf 1R, Satcom BW 2a/2b, Sicral 1B, Sicral 2, Syracuse 1/2/3, Thor 6,Turksat 3A, W2A, W3B, W3C, W3D, W7,W6A, Yahsat 1A/1B, Yamal 401/402
Meteosat/MSG/MTG Jason, Calipso, COSMO-SkyMed, Sentinel 1&3, Envisat, ERS, GOCE, Helios, IASI, Pleiades, SPOT, CSO, Gokturk…
EGNOS, Galileo, MTSat… Herschel,Planck, Exomars, Alma, Corot, Cassini-Huygens, Node 2&3, Columbus, Cupola, MPLM, Automated Transfer Vehicle (ATV), …
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Page 5
TAS-13-OCS-03Heritage Current Future
• ESA: ERS 1&2• NASA/ASI: Cassini to Saturn• ESA: ENVISAT• NASA/ASI: SLR-1,2 and SRTM• CSA/MDA: Radarsat-2• ESA/EUMETSAT: METOP• ESA/EUMETSAT: Meteosat Second
Generation• NASA/CNES: Jason 1&2• ESA: Cryosat-1&2• ISS: SADKO-1&2• ESA/ASI: Mars Express• NASA/ASI: Mars MRO• German BWD: SARLUPE• ASI: Archeo Airborne SAR• Telaer Consortium: Telaer Airborne
SAR
• ASI/I-MOD: Cosmo SkyMED• I-MOD: Imaging & Exploitation
Station (SFM)• CONAE: SIASGE• KARI: KOMPSAT-5• OCCAR/I-MOD/DGA: MUSIS• ESA: Cryosat-3• CNES/ISRO: Altika• ESA/EUMETSAT: Meteosat Third
Generation• ESA: GMES Sentinel 1 A&B• ESA: GMES Sentinel 3 A&B• ASI: PRISMA
Observation Systems and Radar Missions:A Unique Heritage & Role in the International Scenario
• ASI/I-MOD: COSMO Second Generation
• ESA: BIOMASS• ESA: CoreH20• ESA: GMES Sentinels Follow-on• ESA/CNES: Jason Continuity• ISS: SADKO-3• CNES/NASA: SWOT• CNES: SWIM• METOP Second Generation• ESA/NASA: JUICE, Jupiter Icy
Moons Explorer• KARI: KOMPSAT-6• Other Export Opportunities
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TAS-I ExperienceParametric cost evaluation using True Planning
Transfer to TAS-I working group the knowledge on Price methodology and True Planning tool
Share the approach
Select a subset of components to be used for parametric cost estimation
Focus on development and production costs of specific components
True Planning has been used for parametric cost evaluation in the frame of Cosmo Second Generation proposal phase
OBJECTIVESProvide an independent evaluation for specific ItemsSupport the Customer in project data modeling for parametric cost estimation
Activity carried out
with the support of
Price Systems
consultants
MAIN STEPS
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TAS-I Experience: parametric cost evaluation Project Phases – PBS Definition
Definition of the Project Breakdown Structure (PBS) including:
- PBS Satellite- PBS System Level Tools & Facilities - PBS Launch Vehicle & Satellite Simulator & Operations
Training on True Planning Methodology
Theoretical Training On-the-job training on real cases
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TAS-I Experience: parametric cost evaluation Project Phases – Components IdentificationIdentification of
componentsfor parametric cost
evaluation
Enter project data foridentified components
e.g.• Memory modules• Antenna systems• On-board Software.
Multiplier for Sustaining Structural Tooling and Test Sets
30 Percent of New Electronics (%) 15
Multiplier for Sustaining Electronic Tooling and Test Sets
29 Manufacturing Complexity forElectronics
14
Multiplier for Initial Structural Tooling and Test Sets
28 Percent of Design Repeat for Structure (%)
13
Multiplier for Initial Electronic Tooling and Test Sets
27 Percent of New Structure (%) 12
Hardware Software Integration Factor26 Manufacturing Complexity for Structure11
External Integration Complexity for Electronics 25 Volume (l) 10
External Integration Complexity for Structure 24 Weight of Electronics (kg) 9
Year of Technology23Weight of Structure (kg) 8
Technology Obsolescence Control22 Operating Specification7
Technology Improvement Control21 Equipment Type6
Manufacturing Process Index20 Total Number of Prototypes Produced 5
Material Learning Curve (%) 19 Total Number of Production Units Produced
4
Labor Learning Curve (%) 18 Number of Additional Prototypes3
Engineering Complexity17 Number of Additional Production Units 2
Percent of Design Repeat for Electronics (%) 16 Quantity Per Next Higher Level 1
PARAMETER # PARAMETER #
Multiplier for Sustaining Structural Tooling and Test Sets
30 Percent of New Electronics (%) 15
Multiplier for Sustaining Electronic Tooling and Test Sets
29 Manufacturing Complexity forElectronics
14
Multiplier for Initial Structural Tooling and Test Sets
28 Percent of Design Repeat for Structure (%)
13
Multiplier for Initial Electronic Tooling and Test Sets
27 Percent of New Structure (%) 12
Hardware Software Integration Factor26 Manufacturing Complexity for Structure11
External Integration Complexity for Electronics 25 Volume (l) 10
External Integration Complexity for Structure 24 Weight of Electronics (kg) 9
Year of Technology23Weight of Structure (kg) 8
Technology Obsolescence Control22 Operating Specification7
Technology Improvement Control21 Equipment Type6
Manufacturing Process Index20 Total Number of Prototypes Produced 5
Material Learning Curve (%) 19 Total Number of Production Units Produced
4
Labor Learning Curve (%) 18 Number of Additional Prototypes3
Engineering Complexity17 Number of Additional Production Units 2
Percent of Design Repeat for Electronics (%) 16 Quantity Per Next Higher Level 1
PARAMETER # PARAMETER #
Estimate to Complete (%) 26
Fixed Headcount for Maintenance51 Project Constraints25
Repair Level Multiplier50 Language Object Oriented24
Defect Detection Multiplier49 Language23
Lifecycle Organizational Productivity48 Auto Translation Tool Efficiency22
Adaptation Level Multiplier47 Auto Trans Size Non-executable (%) 21
Quality Multiplier46 Auto Translated Code Size20
Adaptation Distribution45 Auto Gen Size Non-executable (%) 19
Security Process Level44 Auto Generated Code Size18
Security Level43 Code Removal Complexity17
Tailoring Multiplier42 Deleted Code Size16
Tailoring Complexity41 Reused Size Non-executable (%) 15
Evaluation Multiplier40 Reused Code Size14
Components under Detailed Evaluation(%) 39 Percent of Test Adapted (%) 13
Components under Evaluation38 Percent of Code Adapted (%) 12
Amount for Purchased Software (€) 37 Percent of Design Adapted (%) 11
External Integration Complexity36 Adapted Size Non-executable (%) 10
Internal Integration Complexity35 Adapted Code Size9
Number of Spirals or Increments 34 New Size Non-executable (%) 8
Development Process33 New Code Size7
Multiple Site Development32 Size Units6
Test Tools31 Development Team Complexity5
Code Tools30 Organizational Productivity4
Design Tools29 Operating Specification3
Design for Reuse28 Functional Complexity2
Design Repeat (%) 27 Application Type1
PARAMETER # PARAMETER #
Estimate to Complete (%) 26
Fixed Headcount for Maintenance51 Project Constraints25
Repair Level Multiplier50 Language Object Oriented24
Defect Detection Multiplier49 Language23
Lifecycle Organizational Productivity48 Auto Translation Tool Efficiency22
Adaptation Level Multiplier47 Auto Trans Size Non-executable (%) 21
Quality Multiplier46 Auto Translated Code Size20
Adaptation Distribution45 Auto Gen Size Non-executable (%) 19
Security Process Level44 Auto Generated Code Size18
Security Level43 Code Removal Complexity17
Tailoring Multiplier42 Deleted Code Size16
Tailoring Complexity41 Reused Size Non-executable (%) 15
Evaluation Multiplier40 Reused Code Size14
Components under Detailed Evaluation(%) 39 Percent of Test Adapted (%) 13
Components under Evaluation38 Percent of Code Adapted (%) 12
Amount for Purchased Software (€) 37 Percent of Design Adapted (%) 11
External Integration Complexity36 Adapted Size Non-executable (%) 10
Internal Integration Complexity35 Adapted Code Size9
Number of Spirals or Increments 34 New Size Non-executable (%) 8
Development Process33 New Code Size7
Multiple Site Development32 Size Units6
Test Tools31 Development Team Complexity5
Code Tools30 Organizational Productivity4
Design Tools29 Operating Specification3
Design for Reuse28 Functional Complexity2
Design Repeat (%) 27 Application Type1
PARAMETER # PARAMETER #
Cost Object Parameters
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TAS-I Experience: parametric cost evaluation Project Phases – Input Data
An example of Components parametric cost evaluation
PBS INPUT PARAMETERS COST EVALUATION RESULTS
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TAS-I Experience: parametric cost evaluation Project Phases – Complexity factors
An example of Components parametric cost evaluation
INPUT PARAMETERS COST EVALUATION RESULTS
COST OBJECT - HARDWARE
Manufacturing Complexity for
StructurePower Supply Module 6,541819Supervisor Module 6,534373TC/TM Module 6,534373Input Module 6,534373Output Module 6,534373Memory Module 6,705032Mother Board 6,76Mechanical Housing 6,458621
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TAS-I Experience: parametric cost evaluation Main Results
Cost Estimation Main Results
Well compared with consolidated bottom-up estimated costs &
real cost from past experience
Identification of cost driver parameters
e.g.• Percent of New Structure• Percent of New Electronics• Engineering Complexity
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Cost engineering tools for Bid preparation: Why?
PRICE Systems provide cost management solutions to improve reliability in cost estimates and product
competitiveness
• Improve Product Competitiveness on the market• Define market cost for benchmark (especially for new products)• Define target cost and top-down cost allocation• Improve time & reliability of ROM price, also in case of
configuration changes• Identify cost drivers• Establish product cost benchmark through independent
evaluation
The tool
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Bid preparation & Parametric Cost Estimate The process
A reliable cost estimate during Bid preparation phaseis a key element for the success of the Project
Estimate Process
Prepare Bid Manage the project
HandoverReview
Organize & Plan the Project
HANDOVER
Perform estimationInitialiseReview &
Consolidate Estimation
Establish Project baseline
Control & Update
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Bid preparation & Parametric Cost Estimate Top-down & bottom-up estimation for cost consolidation
Starting from our past
experience we may
implement an overall system
cost estimation based on a
predicting tool to enhance
the top-down evaluation
process
Top-Down Approach(Price / True Planning)
Cross-check & Consolidate
Bottom-up Estimates
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Bid preparation & Parametric Cost Estimate Top-down approach for Early Cost Estimation
Top-Down Approach
Early Cost Estimation
COS T OBJE CT
Qua ntity Pe r Ne x t Hig he r Le v el Num ber oNum be r oTota l Num
Tota l Numbe r of Prototype Equipm e nt Ty pe
O pe ra ting Spec ific ation
We ight of Structure ( kg )
We ight of Ele ctronics (kg ) Volum e (l)
Manufacturing Com ple x it y for
Structure
Pe rce nt of Ne w
Structure (% )
Pe rce nt of De sig n Repe at
for S tructure
Ma nufa cturing Com ple xity for
E lec tronics
Pe rce nt of Ne w
Ele ctronic s (%)
Perc ent of De sign Re pe at for Ele ctronics
E nginee ring Com ple x ity
L abor L ea rning
Curve
Mate rial Le ar ning
Curv e Ma nufa cturing Proce ss Inde x
Te chnology Im prov e me
nt Control
T ec hnolog y Obsole sce nce
Control
Ye ar of T ec hnolo
gy
E xt erna l Inte gra ti
on
E xte rnal Integ rati
on
Hardwa re
S oftw are
Multip lier for
In itial
Multipl ier for
Initia l
Multip l ier for
S us tain in
Multip lier for
Susta ininMa int enance
Conce pt
E quipment S upply
Points
O rga niz ation
S upply
Inter me diate
Supply
De pot Supply Points
O rga niz ation
Ma inte na
Inte rme diate
Mainte na
De pot Ma inte na
nce
Num be r of
Oper atio
Me an T im e
Be twe e n
Num ber Of Pa rt T ype s
Num be r Of
Module
Units PEquipm
nt Pa nel Structure 1 0 0 0 0 None 2 10 9,13 0 5 00 6 ,058 51 6 50 0 7 1 00 0 0,7 0 0 1 1 0 5 3 0 1 1 1 1 No Mainte na nce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1Ra dia ting Boa rd 80 0 0 0 0 None 2 0 ,33 6 0 0 ,5 6 ,726 53 5 1 00 50 7 1 00 0 0,7 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 No Mainte na nce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1TPSU 20 0 0 0 0 None 2 0 ,4 1 0 ,45 2 ,8 6 ,096 78 6 1 00 0 9,2 68 96 4 5 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 No Mainte na nce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1TCU 5 0 0 0 0 None 2 0 ,1 2 1 ,38 2 ,8 6 ,096 78 6 95 5 10 ,83 60 2 9 5 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 No Mainte na nce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1TDL 20 0 0 0 0 None 2 0 ,7 7 0 ,36 2 ,8 6 ,096 78 6 95 5 10 ,87 59 7 9 5 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 No Mainte na nce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1EF E 40 0 0 0 0 None 2 1 ,5 3 1 ,62 1 6,2 68 19 1 00 0 10 ,56 88 2 1 00 0 1,3 0 0 0 1 0 4 5 0 1 1 1 1 No Mainte na nce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1HRM 6 0 0 0 0 None 2 1 ,0 5 0 3,37 7 ,162 08 8 1 00 40 7 1 00 0 0,2 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 0 1 1 1 1 No Mainte na nce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1LADM 1 0 0 0 0 None 2 1 1,3 3 0 6,75 6 ,963 53 8 1 00 40 7 1 00 0 0,6 0 0 1 1 0 2 3 0 1 1 1 1 No Mainte na nce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1Pa nel Harne ss 1 0 0 0 0 None 2 1 1,3 0 28 ,3 16 85 6 ,5 8 1 00 0 7 1 00 0 0,6 0 0 1 1 0 4 4 0 1 1 1 1 No Mainte na nce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1Tile Le v el Harne ss 1 0 0 0 0 None 2 9 0 28 ,3 16 85 6 ,5 8 1 00 0 7 1 00 0 0,6 0 0 1 1 0 4 4 0 1 1 1 1 No Mainte na nce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1The rma l H/W 1 0 0 0 0 None 2 1 7,5 2 0 28 ,3 16 85 6 ,871 42 5 1 00 0 7 1 00 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 4 3 0 1 1 1 1 No Mainte na nce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1Be a m Form ing Ne tw 1 0 0 0 0 None 2 4,5 4 ,85 28 ,3 16 85 6 ,585 39 2 1 00 70 9,8 9 1 00 0 0,9 0 0 1 1 0 2 2 0 1 1 1 1 No Mainte na nce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1Ante nna Harne ss 1 0 0 0 0 None 2 6 0 28 ,3 16 85 6 ,5 8 1 00 0 7 1 00 0 0,6 0 0 1 1 0 4 4 0 1 1 1 1 No Mainte na nce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
COS T OBJE CT - ASS EMBL Y
Qua ntity Pe r Ne x t Hig he r Le v el
Num ber of Additional Produc tion Units
Num be r of Additiona l Protot ype s
Oper ating Spe cifica tion
Multiple S ite
De ve lopme nt
S oftwa re E xte rnal Inte gra tion Comple xity
Hardwa re P latform Sta bil ity
Ha rdw are P la tform
Av ailabil ity
Num ber of Unique
Ha rdwar e P lat form s
S ys te m Comple xit
y
Ha rdwa re Ex te rnal Inte gra tion Complex ity
E nginee ring Com ple x it y
Dev e lopm ent E ng ine e ring
Inde x for Struct ure
De ve lopm e nt E nginee ring
Index for E lect ronics
Num be r of E quiv ale nt
Requirem e ntsRe quire me nts
S tabil ity
Num be r of Unique
Inte rfa ce s
N um ber of
Ve ndors
Num be r of
Opera tiona l
S ce na riosMa inte nance
Conce pt
Equipm e nt Supply Points
Org aniza tion Supply Points
Interm e dia te
Supply Points
Depot S upply Points
Org aniza tion
Mainte nance
Point s
Inter me diate
Maintenance
Points
De pot Ma inte na
nc e Points
Num be r of
Opera tional Hours
DSHA As se mbly 1 0 0 2 1 1 rdware Dev e lopmore tha n 9 5% o 1 50 3 1 ,6 70 70 2 5 nominal change s e 4 0 1 N o Ma intenance 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0DSHA SW 2 0 0 2 1 1 rdware Dev e lopmore tha n 9 5% o 1 50 3 1 ,6 70 70 2 5 e, fe w m a jor chang 4 0 1 N o Ma intenance 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Price / True PlanningPrice / True Planning
Costs Results per:Cost ObjectsPer ActivitiesPer Resources
Project Breakdown Structure
Identification of components for parametric cost
evaluation
Component Modelling
Capitalization of experience and available modeling
(as applicable)
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Bid preparation & Parametric Cost Estimate Cost Consolidation and Optimization
Top-Down Approach(Price / True Planning)
Cross-Check (QDV)
Bottom-up Estimates
Enhance product competitiveness on the market
Establish a benchmark through independent evaluation
Capitalize and reuse “building blocks”
Mapping between True Planning and bottom up
estimation
• Expert team estimation• Real costs from past
experience• Products WBS
Optimization Areas Identification & Cost reduction
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From Cost Consolidation to Cost Management
Cost Estimation Project ControlQDV
Reuse and reconfiguration of
Thales Corporate and TAS-F templates
BID Phase PROJECT Phase
All rights reserved 2010 Thales Alenia Space
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All rights reserved 2011 Thales Alenia Space
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