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Taller Internacional sobre Energía Geotérmica Intercambio de experiencias y visiones entre Italia y México
PanorámicasobrelaenergíageotérmicaenItalia
Geothermalpowerproduc;oninItaly
Italyisthe6thcountryintheworldforinstalledpowercapacity,withtwomaingeothermalareas,Larderello-TravaleandMt.Amiata.916MWofthe2.13GWofEuropeaninstalledcapacitycomesfromItaly
Inthe1960sthepowerindustrywasna;onalisedandalloftheseplantsares;llownedbytheformergovernmentu;lity,nowprivi;zed:Enel(seenextpresenta;on)
The Geysers, 1°
California, USA 1585 MW
Cerro Prieto, 2°
México 727 MW Larderello, 4°
Italy
595 MW Salak 9°
Indonesia 377 MW
Salton Sea, 8°
California, USA 388 MW
Coso, 11°
California, USA 292 MW
Mak -Ban 6°
Philippines 458 MW
Darajat 12°
Indonesia 260 MW
Hellisheidi, 10°
Iceland 303 MW Tongonan 3°
Philippines
726 MW
Wairakei 7°
New Zealand
399 MW
Larderello,thefirstplaceinthehistorytoproducegeothermalpower,istodaythe4°geothermalfieldintheworldforpowerproduc;on
fromBertani,WGC2015
Afavourablegeologicalcondi;on
Thecomplexgeodynamicalframework,relatedtotheconvergenceofAfricaandEurasiaplates,isevidencedbyyoungvolcanisms,riVstructures,shallowMohodiscon;nuityandreducedlithospherethicknessduetouprisingasthenosphereandthedelamina;onofcrustallithosphereinthewestern,TyrrenianareasofItaly,andthethickorogenicbeltsofAppeninesandAlps.
produceahighheatflow
Es;matedItaliangeothermalresourcespoten;allyharnessablewithin5kmdepthaareintherangeof21exajoule(about500MTOE)(UGI2011).
DATASET:
• 2700Tgrad.meas.(700HFoffshore),• 255newENIboreholes(1980-96)
Est.Error:5-20mWm-2
FactorinducingstronglateralTchangesatshallowdepthsØ highsedimentaMonrate(green)Ø meteoricwaterinfiltraMon(blue)
Ø geothermallowTconvecMvesystems(yellowandviolet)
Ø volcanicareasandhighTsystems(orange)
(DellaVedovaetal.,2001)
HFProvinces:basementHF§ PredictedHFissignificantlyhigherinSouthApennines,Pobasin,forelandareas
§ UndisturbedHFinforelandis45-55mWm-2,comparedtoobs.30-40mWm–2
§ Thisimplieshigherdeepcontribu;onsandtransientcomponentsintheseareas,sugges;ngyoungertectonicages
§ ThedifferencebetweenNandSApenninesislesspronounced
§ ThedeepthermalregimeofTuscany,TyrrhenianSea,Apenninesandforedeepareashasnotyetreachedequilibrium
daDellaVedova
In2010geothermalresourcesweremadeavailabletoprivateinvestorsforelectricityproduc;on,byintroducingacompe;;vepermitsystem.About110‘research’explora;onpermitswererequested,andsometensweregrantedtomainlysmallrenewableenergyorgeologicalconsul;ngcompanies.
Whilesomeofthegrantedpermitshaveprogressedthroughini;algeologicalstudiesandgeophysicalsurveysnonehaveyetprogressedtoexploratorydrillinganddetailedresourceassessment,despiteencouragingini;alresults.Mainreasons:-lackofsufficientfinancetofacedrillingcostsandrisk-lackofappropriateregulatoryschemesandenergypolicies
Spacehea;ng42%
Thermalbalneology
33%
Agriculturaluse7%
Fishfarming17%
Industrialprocessheat
andminoruses1%
DirectUsestotal11,065TJ/y
GeothermalHeatproducMoninItalySectorofapplica;on Capacity(MWt) Energy/TJ/y)
Total GSHP DH Total GSHP DHSpacehea;ng 725 550 92 4607 3211 683
Thermalbalneology 421 3698 Agriculturaluse 69 14 725 82 Fishfarming 122 1927
Industrialprocessheatandminoruses 18 4 108 25
TOTAL 1355 568 92 11065 3318 683
WGC2015
Spacehea;ngisinrapidexpansion,inpar;cularGSHPsystems(increaseof120%infouryearforGSHPand16%byDH)MostDHsareingeothermalpowerproduc;onareas.GeothermalDHusingdeepwellsarein:• Ferrarainexpansion• Gradoindevelopment• Vicenzaproposed-in
development
GSHPDHareexpandinginLombardia(Milano,Brescia)
GeothermalHeatproducMoninItaly
On2011UGI(UnioneGeotermicaItaliana)madeastudytoes;matethepossiblecontribu;onoftheEarth’sheattothecoverageofna;onalenergyrequirementsby2030,withstepsby2012,2015,2020,2025tobeperiodicallyupdated.TheendgoalofthestudywastoprovidetheItalianGovernmentwithfactualelementsonthepossiblemedium-termdeploymentofthisenergysourceinItaly.ScenarioI:currenteconomictrend,useofmatureproduc;ontechnologies,andpricesofcrudeoilatsourceroughlythree;meshigherthantheaverageonesin2010ScenarioII:economictrenddrivenbyvigorousenvironmentalpolicies,useofbothmatureandadvancedproduc;ontechnologies,andpricesofcrudeoilatsourcesourceroughlyfour;meshigherthantheaverageonesin2010
Benefits expected from geothermal development
Technical and environmental benefits: • Savings in terms of oil-‐equivalent (3.35-‐4.44 MTOE by 2030) • Avoided CO2 emissions (9.76-‐12.82 MT by 2030) • Contribu;on to coverage of total energy consump;on (1.5-‐2% by
2030, the actual value is 0.7%)
Economic-‐social and scienMfic benefits: • New permanent jobs (100,000-‐200,000 new jobs by 2030) • New investments (1,200-‐2,000 M€ by 2030) • New R&D, in par;cular to develop unconven;nal geothermal
systems
Measures at na;onal and ins;tu;onal level
• strong commitment by Government, poli;cal par;es and ins;tu;ons to enac;ng legisla;on in support of renewables (RES) and, in par;cular, of geothermal energy;
• Na;onal Energy Plan (NEP) including goals of development of all RES un;l 2030;
• secure and prolonged incen;ves for RES with no or minimum environmental impact;
• na;onal legisla;on and specific guidelines aimed at harmonizing regional regula;ons on geothermal development;
• R&D programs with project objec;ves targeted at each RES; • a special R&D project focused on “non-‐conven;onal geothermal
systems”, to be implemented within 2020; • systema;c campaigns to build awareness among the public at large of
the economic and environmental advantages of the Earth’s heat.
Measures at local and regional level
• Regional energy plans for all Italian Regions, quan;ta;ve targets for each RES, including geothermal, and relying on regula;ons specifically tailored to the development of direct uses;
• regional surveys of energy-‐intensive areas in order to assess heat demand and quan;fy the expected share from geothermal development;
• compara;ve market studies on demand for low temperature heat; • quan;fica;on of CO2 emissions from the different sources of energy
used for space hea;ng; • replacement of old hea;ng systems in at least half of public buildings
with systems using RES and in par;cular natural heat; • financial incen;ves for installa;on of geothermal hea;ng & cooling
systems in new large buildings; • training of geothermal heat pump designers, installers and
maintenance operators; • campaigns in schools to raise awareness of the Earth’s heat and its
advantages.
Main requirements A comprehensive identification of
resources and opportunities, as well as an accessible collection of data and
information
A clear and easy to follow regulation for authorizations in the exploration, drilling and exploitation phases of the project
The promotion and dissemination of technology, values, economics
Research and technological development
Projects and efforts: VIGOR
Evaluation of Geothermal Potential for the Regioni Convergenza
An Agreement between the Ministry for Economic Development and CNR, funded in the frame of POI for RES, targe;ng at development of geothermal demonstra;on projects (power produc;on and direct uses)
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
www.vigor-geotermia.it
Valutazione del potenziale geotermico, redazione di mappe di potenziale e distribuzione di temperatura a varie profondità
Valutazione di detaglio mediante geofisica in Sicilia
Analisi regime autorizza;vo nazionale e regionale
Studio di accetabilità sociale sulla geotermia
Prodou editoriali con descrizioni generali e tecniche
Sito web per la pubblicazione del materiale
8 studi di faubilità comple;
Shallow geothermal potenMal (GSHP, closed loop)
THE PRODUCTS OF VIGOR
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
www.vigor-geotermia.it
Φ
λ
Tm
Tg
Fourier’s Law L = 100 m
Thermal energy that can be exchanged by a unit volume of ground for a reference GSHP plant
SHALLOW GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
www.vigor-geotermia.it
SHALLOW GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL
Total borehole length needed to saMsfy H&C demand of a reference house (100 m2)
Thermal energy that can be exchanged by a unit volume of ground
Thermal conducMvity
Heat flow
Surface temperature
Graound (50 m depth) temperature
Thermal conducMvity
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
www.vigor-geotermia.it
Economic Technical PotenMal [MW/km2]
Thermal Energy produced by a technology (TC=H x technology efficiency) per unit volume
H is the maximum theore;cally extractable heat in the reservoir per unit volume (thickness = 100 m)
Geothermal Poten;als for a lifecycle of 30 years and different Recovery Factors (GP=TC x R / 30 years)
Technical Poten;al for LCOE < threshold (200 €/MWh power, 9 €/GJ heat ) and using expected flowrate from a doublet system
VIGOR THERMOGIS
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
www.vigor-geotermia.it
Levelized Cost Of Energy [LCOE, €/MWe, €/JG] Calculated for power, district hea;ng and direct heat uses Depends on: • Drilling cost (depth, s;mula;on, pump, ...) • Economic life;me • Flowrate & temperature • Power surface facili;es (O&M, plant
inves;ment, …) • Complementary electricity/heat sales • Economic factors (infla;on, interest rate on
debit, tax) Flowrate depends on transmissivity, delta pressure applied at reservoir level and viscosity Specific rou;nes redistributes the permeability according to Montecarlo simula;on From transmissivity average on drilled interval, cumula;ve probability of expected flowrate is considered
Power product.
District heaMng
Direct uses
Tmin 120 80 45
T-‐reinject 80 40 35 Economic Model
power heat heat
LCOE < 200 €/MWe
9 €/GJ 9 €/GJ
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
www.vigor-geotermia.it
Valutazione del potenziale geotermico, redazione di mappe di potenziale e distribuzione di temperatura a varie profondità
Valutazione di detaglio mediante geofisica in Sicilia
Analisi regime autorizza;vo nazionale e regionale
Studio di accetabilità sociale sulla geotermia
Prodou editoriali con descrizioni generali e tecniche
Sito web per la pubblicazione del materiale
8 studi di faubilità comple;
THE PRODUCTS OF VIGOR
Heat in place
Technical poten
;al
DH
DH&C
Power produc;on
• Economic-‐technical potenMal for power producMon • Saved oil • Saved CO2 emissions
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
www.vigor-geotermia.it
Valutazione del potenziale geotermico, redazione di mappe di potenziale e distribuzione di temperatura a varie profondità
Valutazione di detaglio mediante geofisica (TDM elitrasportato) in Sicilia
Analisi regime autorizza;vo nazionale e regionale
Studio di accetabilità sociale sulla geotermia
Prodou editoriali con descrizioni generali e tecniche
Sito web per la pubblicazione del materiale
8 studi di faubilità comple;
THE PRODUCTS OF VIGOR
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
www.vigor-geotermia.it
Valutazione del potenziale geotermico, redazione di mappe di potenziale e distribuzione di temperatura a varie profondità
Valutazione di detaglio mediante geofisica in Sicilia
Analisi regime autorizza;vo nazionale e regionale
Studio di accetabilità sociale sulla geotermia
Prodou editoriali con descrizioni generali e tecniche
Sito web per la pubblicazione del materiale
8 studi di faubilità comple;
THE PRODUCTS OF VIGOR
Impianto Pilota per la produzione di energia
elettrica e teleriscaldamento
Piscina termale Teleriscaldamento scuole
pubbliche
Dissalatore
Climatizzazione uffici pubblici (CNR-IRSA) e valutazione impatto
Efficientamento processi produttivi produzione pasta
Climatizzazione uffici pubblici
Trattamento fanghi reflui
Teleclimatizzazione
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
www.vigor-geotermia.it
Valutazione del potenziale geotermico, redazione di mappe di potenziale e distribuzione di temperatura a varie profondità
Valutazione di detaglio mediante geofisica in Sicilia
Analisi regime autorizza;vo nazionale e regionale
Studio di accetabilità sociale sulla geotermia
Prodou editoriali con descrizioni generali e tecniche
Sito web per la pubblicazione del materiale
8 studi di faubilità comple;
THE PRODUCTS OF VIGOR
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
www.vigor-geotermia.it
Valutazione del potenziale geotermico, redazione di mappe di potenziale e distribuzione di temperatura a varie profondità
Valutazione di detaglio mediante geofisica in Sicilia
Analisi regime autorizza;vo nazionale e regionale
Studio di accetabilità sociale sulla geotermia
Prodou editoriali con descrizioni generali e tecniche
Sito web per la pubblicazione del materiale
8 studi di faubilità comple;
THE PRODUCTS OF VIGOR
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche DTA
www.vigor-geotermia.it
PotenMal recovered in the four Regions, to balance the four Coverage of applica;on (direct uses may cover wide sectors of the territory, crea;ng the required wide involvement in terms of occupa;on, market, business) Ø Complete system approach (from data to regulaMon to feasibility); Ø Coopera;on (Ministry-‐CNR and then CNR-‐research insMtutes and
universiMes); Ø Project management quality (integrated approach environment/
territories/technologies); Ø Promo;on of local uses, by comprehensive presentaMon of opportuniMes; Ø Iden;fica;on of proper financial opportuni;es, from incenMves to
financial support.
MAIN RESULTS
Atlante Geotermico and its Favourability maps
q Geothermal favourability maps relies on available data and refer to a territory favourable and suitable to have the geothermal resource in the underground. Ø In this study, areas are classified as more or less favourable for the poten;al
use of geothermal technologies for power producMon q ≠ geothermal poten;al (energy) q Many studies have been carried out in the last 10 years with different approaches
(e.g.Pro Ledesma), we developed the one we considered more suitable to our geological condi;ons
The Geothermal Atlas Project provided for the favourability assessment of conven;onal and unconven;onal geothermal resources in Central and Southern Italy.
Atlante Geotermico and its Favourability maps
Da: Trumpy et al. (2015)
Effec;ve reservoir
Reservoir top temperature
Permebility distribu;on
Geochemical informa;on
Geothermal Italy
Many opportuni;es and many barriers to a complete development New research project (DESCRAMBLE for superhot systems) Regula;on in discussion, possibly in development and op;miza;on Energy policy in development, following EU trends Global assessment of the territory Social engagement R&D Dissemina;on and promo;on