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PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris Newman and Kate Iwi www.fsa.me.uk

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Page 1: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

PACT

Risk assessment training for social workers

Chris Newman and Kate Iwi www.fsa.me.uk

Page 2: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Training Groundrules

• Confidentiality

• Looking after ourselves

• Respecting others and sharing the responsibility to

challenge each other respectfully

• Timekeeping

• Drink / drugs

• Distractions

2

Page 3: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

• What problems do you face when

assessing risk in cases where domestic

violence is a child protection concern?

• And in reporting on this risk to others,

especially the courts?

• What further knowledge / skills do you

feel you need when assessing and

reporting on DV cases?

Page 4: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Learning outcomes

• For those who work with perpetrators and victims of DV to be able to

come to defensible conclusions about risk and vulnerability.

• To be able to make clear explanations of these conclusions in

written reports and when presenting evidence in court or other

settings.

• To be able to assess the key static (historical) risk and vulnerability

factors in a case

• To be able to assess dynamic (changeable) risk factors and explain

how these may link with treatment viability.

• To be able to assess changes in risk and to explain this assessment

to others.

4

Page 5: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Thinking about risk

Page 6: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Case 1: John

Maria, his partner of 4 years has reported a severe assault on her - (strangulation

to the point of unconsciousness) other than that no violence but some controlling

behaviour around jealousy

She has one child, had planned to live as a family with John – we are asked to

assess the risk involved in this.

John (age 45) reports happy childhood and good relationship with parents

Regular employment as carpenter

One previous marriage – still sees adult children – no reports at the start of the

case of any violence or abuse in this relationship.

No substance misuse

Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger man

But... you phone his ex-wife and she tells you that he used to grab her by

the throat to control her.

Page 7: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Case 2: Jamie

• Jamie (21) grew up with violence and abuse in his childhood

• Living in care home from 15 yrs – mum asked him to leave because

he was using drugs and abusive to her

• Met Anna (now 20) in hostel – she is a care leaver too

• Dozens of reports of police being called to the hostel, and

subsequently their flat – reports of shouting, smashing furniture,

Anna has been seen with black eye on two occasions

• Anna says they argue because they are both very jealous and that

she „winds him up‟

• They have one daughter and want to live together and care for her

together

• We are asked for our assessment of the risks in this.

Page 8: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Which case is higher risk?

Page 9: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Any statement about risk should be as specific

as possible and include consideration of:

Likelihood of abuse occurring

What? The nature of the potential harm – (Physical harm? Emotional harm?

Severity of abuse/violence

When? Within what time period?

Who – does the perpetrator pose a risk to – partner, child?

In what context? – when the couple are living together/apart? At time of threat to

relationship? At contact handover?

Page 10: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

“Levels of Risk”

What does

• low

• medium

• high

• very high

mean?

These need to be defined separately for likelihood and severity

Make sure you‟re clear about this, or you get a clear definition

from the person doing the assessment

Page 11: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

11

Example definitions of likelihood

(of harmful behaviour occurring)

very

unlikely to

occur

unlikely to

occur

may occur

(a ‘real

possibility’)

likely to

occur

very likely

to occur

Page 12: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Physical abuse

No Standard Moderate High

Never, or not

currently

Slapping,

pushing; no

injuries.

Slapping,

pushing;

lasting

pain or

mild, light

bruising or

shallow

cuts.

Noticeable bruising, lacerations,

pain, severe contusions, burns,

broken bones, threats and

attempts to kill partner, children,

relatives or pets. Strangulation,

holding under water or threat to

use or use of weapons; loss of

consciousness, head injury,

internal injury, permanent injury,

miscarriage.

Example definitions of severity of

abuse

Page 13: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

For instance

In my opinion, if the couple continue to live together, Mr X poses a

moderate (may occur) risk of using physical violence severe

enough to cause injury towards Ms Y and it is very likely that he

will continue to use persistent and severe verbal aggression as

well as emotional and psychological abuse towards Ms Y.

I believe that whilst the risk of direct abuse of the child is low, the

possibility that he will be indirectly harmed during incidents cannot

be discounted. Also given his young age there is a very high

likelihood that he will be exposed to any abuse of his mother that

takes place.

Page 14: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Impacts of domestic violence on

children

Page 15: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

• Trauma effects on

brain development

Perry B (1999) Incubated in terror – see course reading

Also Siegel, D (1999) The developing

mind. Toward a neurobiology of

Interpersonal experience.

New York: Guilford press.

Impacts on children

Page 16: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Impacts on children

• Attachment styles

(eg. Howe, D (2003) –

‘Attachment disorders’

in Attachment and

Human Development

(5:3) pp265 – 271)

Page 17: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Impacts on children

• Trauma bonding

(Eg. James, B 1994;

Handbook for treatment of

Attachment related

Disorder in children)

Page 18: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Impacts on children

• Social learning

Page 19: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Domestic violence and family dynamics

♀ ♂ ♂

Page 20: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Children’s identities are shaped via adaptive and maladaptive coping mechanisms

• Mental Blocking, desentisation or Dissociation

• Making it Better Through Fantasy

• Physical Avoidance

• Looking for Love (and Acceptance) in all the Wrong Places

• Taking Charge Through Caretaking

• Reaching out for Help

• Crying out for Help

• Re-Directing Emotions into Positive Activities

• Trying to Explain the abuse

• Trying to Prevent or Control the abuse

Page 21: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Protective factors and children‟s

resilience

Rutter 1985 – protective factors against adversity

•Self esteem

•Age of child during incidents

•Frequency of incidents

•Child‟s ability to make sense of events

•Child‟s relationships with others

Rutter, M. (1985). Resilience in the face of adversity - protective factors and resistance to psychiatric-disorder. British Journal of Psychiatry, 147, 598-

611.

Page 22: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Children‟s Resilience

Grotberg 1997- protective factors include:

•Even and adaptable temperament

•Capacity for organised thinking and problem solving

•Physical attractiveness (influence on self esteem)

•Sense of humour

•Good social skills and supportive peer network

•Sense of autonomy and purpose

•Secure attachments to at least one parent

•Connections to wider community

•Sense of control

Grotberg, E. (1997) A guide to promoting resilience in children: strengthening the human spirit, Bernard Van Leer Foundation,

Page 23: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Resilience

• contact with lots of supportive adults who know about what‟s happened and will offer tonnes of love

• permission to talk to others freely

• contact with peers who‟ve gone through similar

• the best possible relationship from now on with both parents

• anything that increases their self-esteem – extra-curricular activities, running clubs, drama shows etc.

• getting therapy or specialist help to understand and express themselves better.

• Mum and dad give a clear understanding of what happened and why – no excuses

• Mum and dad get support to understand and parent them.

• helping others through voluntary work, mentoring etc.

• having a safety plan so they have some control over their safety if it happens

again. See What works in Building Resilience, Newman T 1994

Page 24: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Overview of risk assessment

methodology

Page 25: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

25

Types of risk assessment (you are already doing one of these)

Clinical Assessment

Where an experienced practitioner makes the assessment, using

„practice wisdom‟ to interpret what they find out about the client.

Actuarial Assessment

• Researchers identify a range of risk factors which are

associated with harmful behaviour

• Investigate which ones show the strongest statistical

relationship with future maltreatment.

• The assessment then consists of identifying the presence or

absence of these factors and weighting them according to a set

scheme to produce a risk rating.

Page 26: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

26

Types of risk assessment Empirically guided clinical assessment

The worker conducts a risk assessment by referring to a checklist of

factors that have a demonstrated relationship to onset and /or recidivism.

This helps the worker to focus on the relevant data to gather, so that the

final assessment, though not statistical, is well informed by the best

available research.

[Probably the best and most realistic method in our settings]

Page 27: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

27

Exercise

What makes your alarm bells ring?

Discuss some cases you have worked with and identify as many risk factors for domestic

violence as possible.

Write down those which are to do with the victim on one colour post-its and those to do with the

perpetrator or other factors on a second colour post-its.

Page 28: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

28

Exercise

Sort the factors into:

Static (historical) factors – the ones that can‟t be changed.

Dynamic factors (ones that are open to change, or things you might look for as evidence of reduction in risk)

Which factors or combinations of factors might be „triggers‟ i.e. signs that risk will increase suddenly or that danger is imminent?

Page 29: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

29

Static and Dynamic factors

Risk factors can be divided into two groups:

• Static factors – those which are based in the

individual‟s past history and background

demographics, and so are not amenable to

change.

• Dynamic factors – those which can change

through treatment, interventions or the

passage of time. These include information

about the person‟s current attitudes and

beliefs gained from interview.

Page 30: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

30

Static factors provide the backbone of any credible risk assessment.

There is a danger of overrating impressions gained from the service user in interview and underrating information about the person‟s past history and behaviour. Abusers may:

• fare well in psychological testing, often better than their victims.

• convince others that they have „learned their lesson‟ or „put their past behind them‟, overstating the deterrence value of future punishment or other consequences.

• be mild mannered and appear reasonable despite severe risk, or be noisy and intimidating with professionals despite presenting only moderate risk to their partner or child.

In contrast, victims may appear angry with services, emotionally dysregulated and difficult to work with.

(Bell, C. 2007)

Page 31: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

31

The advice from research therefore is:

• First form a judgement of risk based on

static factors.

• Then use dynamic factors to make modest

adjustments to this estimate.

Clearly information gained from the client about

imminent, targeted risk should be acted upon.

Page 32: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Static + Dynamic + ‘triggers’ = Current

Risk

historical long term

characteristics

immediate

behaviours or

changes in situation

long term

risk

treatment

targets

Risk management /

supervision

A way of structuring our thinking about risk

Investigative skills

Clinical skills

monitoring

Page 33: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Domestic Violence Risk Factors

History of DV Other relevant

behaviour

Circumstances Mental state

•Used severe

violence, with

injuries requiring

medical

treatment

•Used

strangulation

•Used or

threatened to use

a weapon

•Threatened to kill

partner

•Used sexual

violence, such as

rape

•Assaulted other

family members,

including children

•Violence is

becoming more

frequent

•Violence is

becoming more

severe

•Current substance

misuse – notably of

alcohol or crack –

especially where it has

exacerbated the past

severity of the

violence

•Generalised

aggression, both

inside and outside the

home.

•Relevant

psychological

disorders; Anti-social

personality disorders,

eg. borderline

personality disorder, a

psychopathic

personality or beliefs

of persecution by

others

•Currently has access

to the partner

•Partner is trying to

leave or has recently

left

•Currently isolated from

support systems

•Step children in family

•Feeling of having nothing to lose

•High levels of anger and hostility

•Depression

•Recent suicide risk

•Low mental functioning

•Obsessive jealousy or control of

partner

•Obsessive thinking about partner

following separation

Life history Attitudes about the violence

•Severe abuse in the

perpetrator‟s family

of origin

Recent life stresses

•Unemployment

•Homelessness

•Bereavement

•Poverty

•Equivalent life

stresses

•Severely blaming partner

•Severely minimising or denying the

violence

•Lacking remorse

•Traditional attitudes about male

dominance

•Lacking victim empathy

•Fantasising about killing or

wreaking severe violence

•Not recognising the risk

•No motivation to change

Page 34: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

What gets in the way of good risk

assessment?

What influences might lead practitioners to:

1.Underestimate or fail to identify risk?

2. Identify risk where it does not exist, or

overstate the level of risk?

Page 35: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

35

• Failure to make full enough enquiries - not gathering the

evidence

• Being put off assessing a situation as risky due to „cultural

sensitivity‟,

• or being put off gathering evidence due to a scary, avoidant or

manipulative client

• Applying a rule of optimism - developing a strong optimistic

outlook in relation to a given case, which blinds you to contrary

evidence.

• Defensive practice - making overly pessimistic assessments for

fear of getting it wrong.

• Focusing on one type of abuse and not considering other types

of risk - for example putting emphasis on DV and working to

decrease that risk only to find that the parents pull together

against the child, thereby increasing the direct risk of harm.

Page 36: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

36

• Either relying too much on a mechanistic process OR on personal judgement not supported by evidence.

• Undue weight to dynamic rather than static factors.

• Failure to identify resilience factors.

• Failing to link together information or identify clusters of

signs.

Page 37: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

37

When thinking about risk, also be

aware that..

• Some factors are stronger indicators of risk than others. For instance, prior perpetration is the most reliable predictor of re-assault.

• Regardless of the number of ticks on a risk checklist, one or two factors alone may indicate high risk – e.g. plausible threats to kill

• The same factors may vary in significance for different people – (e.g. for some perpetrators of DV, pregnancy is a time of greatly increased risk for their partners, while for others pregnancy makes violence less likely).

• The presence of multiple factors does, however, increase risk.

• Factors do not operate in isolation, they interact. It is particularly important to consider how “volatile combinations” of particular factors may increase risk.

Page 38: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

38

Caveats about assessment tools

• They may give an inflated impression of certainty

• When applied in practice, some assessment tools may feel restrictive and ask you to ignore risk relevant information.

• The factors they use are drawn from a particular population at a particular time – do these apply to other populations – (different areas, LGBT perpetrators, female perpetrators, ethnic minorities?)

• Also be aware of the limitations of the risk statements they make and their applicability to the field you work in.

e.g. ODARA...

cont/-

Page 39: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

39

Ontario Domestic Assault Risk Assessment (ODARA)

• Score = 0 “7% of such wife assaulters commit another assault against an intimate partner that comes to the attention of the police within an average of about 5 years”.

• Score = 1 17%......etc

• Score = 2 22%.....

• Score = 3 34%......

• Score = 4 39%.....

• Score = 5-6 53%.....

• Score = 7-13 74%.....

(32% of whole sample reoffended)

cont/-

Page 40: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

40

The grandmother test – “my grandma could have told you this guy was high risk”

1. Prior domestic assaults

2. Prior non-domestic assaults

3. Prior correctional sentence of 30 days or more

4. Failure on prior conditional release

5. Threat to harm or kill at the index incident

6. Confinement of victim at the index incident

7. Victim is very concerned

8. Number of children

9. Victim has children from a previous partner

10. Violence against others

11. Substance abuse

12. Assault on victim when pregnant

13. Barriers to victim support

e.g. 7 or more items, 74% of such men re-assault within 5 years.

Page 41: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Two ways Risk Assessment can „get it wrong‟

• the assessment may fail to identify women and children at risk (false negative),

• or it may identify risk where it does not exist, resulting in unnecessary and disruptive intervention and resulting harm to families and children (false positive).

Page 42: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Limitations of Risk Assessment

All assessment methods are imperfect - human behaviour, like the weather, is not perfectly predictable. A weather forecaster can get their calculations wrong and thereby make a wrong forecast, but even if they get their calculations right, the forecast may turn out wrong.

This means that even with the best methods available:

• Some high risk cases will be missed

• And some people will have social care services, or police involved in their lives unnecessarily

Page 43: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

400 abusive

parents

600 non-abusive

parents

1000 families

Using a tool which is

75% „accurate‟*

Base rate: 40%

(400/1000)

300 (true)

positives

100

negative

results

75%

150 (false)

positives

450 (true)

negative

results

75%

Probability of a positive result being a true positive = 67%

(300+150 = 450 positive ratings, 300 of these are true positives = 67%) (*we‟ve artificially set specificity and sensitivity to the same rate)

Page 44: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

4 abusive

parents

996 non-

abusive

parents

1000 families

Same tool

75% accurate

Base rate: 0.4%

(4/1000)

3

Positive

result

1

Negative

result

75%

253

positive

result

747

negative

result

75%

Probability of a positive result being a true positive = 1.2%

(3+253 = 256 positive ratings, 3 of these are true positives = 1.2%) (*we‟ve artificially set specificity and sensitivity to the same rate)

Page 45: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Why is this important?

The paradox is therefore that risk

assessment methods are least successful

where they are most needed,

when attempting to predict rare, serious

events

Page 46: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

47

Defensible Decision Making

DEFENSIBLE DECISION MAKING IS WHERE:

• all reasonable steps are taken;

• reliable assessment methods are used;

• information is collected and thoroughly evaluated;

• decisions are recorded and carried through;

• agency processes and procedures are followed;

• managers are investigative and proactive.

Home Office, Mappa Guidance 2006.

Page 47: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

48

Assessing the history of violence and

abuse

• Severity, frequency, persistence, escalation of violence

• Signs of imminent risk

• Severity, frequency, persistence of other forms of abuse:

– Verbal, psychological/emotional abuse

– Proprietorial behaviour

– Coercive control –perhaps key indicator

– Sexual violence and abuse

– Post separation abuse

– Exposure of children

– Direct abuse to child

– Violence in other/previous relationships

Page 48: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

49

Weighting factors in your assessment

• Static risk factors do not all carry equal significance and cannot

be equally weighted

• It is generally the aggregated effect of multiple factors that

increases predictive power: the higher the number, the greater

the probability that harmful behaviour will occur.

• According to Gelles et al (1994), the presence of two out of ten

of the risk factors for domestic violence they identified suggests

twice the likelihood of violence than where none of the factors is

present.

• Seven or more factors, on the other hand, represents a risk

which is forty times greater.

Page 49: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

50

Weighting factors in your assessment

• Volatile combinations -

• The combination of witnessing paternal violence to one‟s mother

and of directly suffering parental abuse is especially highly

correlated with the perpetration of domestic violence against a

partner in adulthood (Campbell 1995).

• Alcohol or drug abuse combined with major psychopathology

significantly increases the risk of violence perpetration

(Swanson et al 1990)

• Stalking, jealous rumination, suicidal „all or nothing‟ thinking

Page 50: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

51

Weighting factors in your assessment

• Of course one or two critical factors may lead to a conclusion

that reoffending is likely

• (for instance DV perpetration in multiple relationships and a

vulnerable partner)

• And for a substantial minority of „family-only‟ DV perpetrators,

very few factors may come to light in the case history.

Page 51: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Working with denial

Page 52: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Implications for risk assessment

Long standing belief that perpetrators who deny their

violent actions are among those least likely to desist

from further violence and abuse

This applies to both domestic violence perpetrators and

child abusers.

Page 53: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Implications for risk assessment

Mixed evidence for a link between denial

and general criminal recidivism.

• Strongest for those men who are convinced of

their own innocence (self-deceivers)

• But for those whose denial is a conscious

attempt to avoid consequences, or to avoid

shame and embarrassment (liars), there is at

least some sense that their behaviour is

unacceptable.

Page 54: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

„Psychological‟ vs „social‟ denial

or liars vs self deceivers

Lying is a (conscious) strategy generally employed to

avoid anticipated aversive consequences

Denial - an (unconscious) psychological defence arising

from a need to maintain a positive self-image in order

to avoid potentially overwhelming emotion, such as

shame.

In its traditional sense, being „in denial‟ is therefore a

product of self-deception: the tendency to provide

honestly held but inflated descriptions of the self.

Page 55: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Context is also important

Henning and Holdford (2006) found that with

domestic violence offenders at time of arrest :

„Participants who intentionally denied minor character

flaws in a possible attempt to appear socially

conforming were less likely to recidivate than

offenders who were more forthcoming‟ (pp. 123–124).

Some of those who admit at time of arrest may simply

not care about what they did – “she deserved it” or

don‟t realise that what they did was serious

Page 56: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

So, paradoxically, „liars‟ may be less risky

than (uncaring) admitters, and self

deceivers.

Also note that some offenders cycle

between acknowledgement –>shame ->

anger->re-offending

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Implications for change or treatment

• It makes it easier to continue being

abusive – if it‟s only a small problem,

why change?

• It‟s very hard to work with those in denial

• It implies that the victim needs to

change before you can stop being

abusive.

Page 58: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Is denial a cognitive distortion?

Maruna and Mann 2006 Yes there is a powerful correlation between

denial and offending, but which causes which?

Assumption that excuse making causes – or at

least allows for – offending.

And that treatment should therefore aim at

eliminating denial in all its forms

Page 59: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Is denial a cognitive distortion?

However, when challenged about having done

something wrong, all of us reasonably account for our

own actions as being influenced by multiple, external

and internal factors.

Yet, we pathologize offenders for doing the same thing.

Page 60: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Is denial a cognitive distortion?

In everyday use, excuses are employed

as an „aligning action indicating to the

audience that the actor is aligned with

the social order even though he or she

has violated it‟

Page 61: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Is denial a cognitive distortion?

Catch 22? Making excuses is „criminal thinking‟. But if I say I committed some awful offence

purely „because I wanted to‟ and because that is the „type of person‟ I am, that is just as worrying.

Page 62: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Is denial a cognitive distortion?

For non-depressives, failure events tend to be

external, temporary, and specific, but good

events are personal, permanent, and

pervasive.

‘If it’s bad, someone else did it to me, it’ll be

over soon, and it’s only this situation.

But if it’s good, I did it, it’s going to last

forever, and it’s going to help me in many

situations’.

For depressives the reverse is the case

Page 63: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Is denial a cognitive distortion?

Excuses as part of negotiated social reality

• Excuse making seems to convey a level of

respect for the victim

• Most listeners prefer accounts in which

wrongdoers excuse or justify their offending

behaviour. Accounts characterized by

preference (I did it because I wanted to) and

negligence (I did it because I didn‟t think)

made listeners angry (Weiner 1987)

Page 64: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Is denial a cognitive distortion?

Maruna and Mann recommend less focus on

post hoc excuses, more focus on attitudes

which are supportive of offending:

•pro-violence attitudes

•beliefs that child victims enjoy sexual contact

or are not harmed by it.

•dehumanizing victims

•seeing the world as hostile

•„labelling one‟s self as “naturally” prone to

offending

Page 65: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

So when and why is denial

a problem?

Page 66: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Implications for change or treatment

• It makes it easier to continue being abusive –

if it‟s only a small problem, why change?

• It‟s very hard to work with those in denial

• minimisation of responsibility is linked to

higher treatment attrition rates

• It implies that the victim needs to change

before you can stop being abusive.

Page 67: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Implications for those affected by the

abuse

• It leaves the burden of dealing with the

effects of the violence with those who have been harmed.

• Others may blame or not believe the victim.

• If talking to children, it puts the blame on the non-abusive parent

• or denies their direct experience • and hinders their recovery

Page 68: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Implications for those affected by the

abuse

With partner abuse • it puts the blame on the non-abusive

parent • denies children‟s direct experience • and hinders their recovery

Accepting blame vs becoming

accountable, for the sake of those around you

Page 69: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

The bedframe

Page 70: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Approaching the issue

• Are you worried about how you deal with anger?

• Do you ever get out of control?

• do you feel there‟s times when you‟ve gone too far? / when you haven‟t used the right methods to stand up for yourself?

• We all have disagreements at home sometimes. How do you guys resolve your conflicts? At your best? Give me an example of that. And at your worst? Give me an example of that….

• What are you like when you are angry - At you‟re best (give example)? At your worst (give example)?

• when did you first scare to her do you think? Tell me about that?

• What ways have you laid a hand on her in anger?

• How do you get physical with her when arguing?

• Have you ever hit her or pushed her around?

• What do you feel is the worst thing you‟ve done to her? What would she say to that?

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To move away from blaming accounts

Gain their consent to focus on their part of the equation:

I am going to bring you back to talking about yourself when you seem to be focusing a lot on your partner - is that okay? I know you might go on feeling that you want to talk about her more and may feel frustrated when you‟re shut down but I‟d ask you to just stick with it for now.

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Page 72: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Challenging minimisation

• Acknowledge and discuss the barriers to disclosure

• But be persistent in order to get detail and context of what happened

• use scales – on a scale of 1-5 (5 being punching her as hard as you can) how hard did you punch her?

• Ask for detail of the words that the abuser used - ask for exactly what was said and how. How loud?

• Reflecting back without the minimising e.g. he says “I just slapped her” – reflect back “you slapped her”.

• start at higher levels of violence than you believe has been used so that the client then has to work back to the actual level of violence

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Dynamic factors

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Page 74: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Expanding his/her ethical side

Listening to what he wants to tell you first

• So what brought you here? This might be a difficult process and I‟m sure you‟ve thought about that when deciding to come. What made you think it mattered enough to give it a try?

Repositioning his anger – reflecting back values

• You feel like no-one‟s heard your side - so being listened to is really important to you

• so fairness really matters to you

• so justice is something you feel really strongly about – tell me what you mean by justice….

Get his consent to ask direct questions

• I‟m going to ask some very direct questions about your family life and your relationships, is that okay?

• Would you tell me if I ask you something you don‟t want to answer - would you speak out?

Page 75: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Opening a window to remorse

Switching to visual memory and present–tense account

• So you are in the front room, she‟s hurt and the kids are crying.

• What are realising when you try to picture that?

Repositioning shame

• I can see that it‟s painful to look at the way you acted then

• what sort of person would you be if it wasn‟t hard/ if you didn‟t feel that?

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Page 76: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Ask questions which increase his internal conflict

about his use of violence. Start with questions

about:

• the impacts of the violence on him

• his children‟s experience – you may be able to draw

parallels between his own childhood experience and his

children‟s

• You an also ask about his awareness of the effects on

his partner - but be aware that in the early stages he‟s

likely to be angry and resentful towards his partner

,

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Contrasts with how he wanted things to be

• What did you see in your partner when you first met?

What do you think she saw in you? How do you think

you made her feel at first? And now?….

And how he wants things to be in the future

• Where do you see yourself in two/five years if you

continue to abuse? Do you think your partner will care

about you in the same way? do you think you will be in a

relationship? what do you think your relationship with

your children will be like?

• In the past have you ever said you‟ll change or won‟t do

it again? Did you keep your word? 78

Page 78: PACT Risk assessment training for social workers Chris ... · Chris Newman and Kate Iwi . Training Groundrules • Confidentiality ... Some reports of fights in pubs as a younger

Safety planning with perpetrators

• Lets assume your partner isn‟t going to change - how can you keep yourself safer over the coming weeks ?

• Do you know when it's going to happen? Is there a pattern? What are the usual trigger subjects and situations/ sore points?

• What‟s the most likely trigger situations that could come up in the next week or two?

• What could be an absolute worst case scenario in the coming weeks?

• When you were building up to being abusive before what was the first sign you were angry - what did your body feel like? What sort of faces, gestures, movements were you making? What thoughts were running through your head? In particular how did you see her? How different is this to how you see her when you‟re not angry with her?

• What do you already do to try to talk yourself down and stay safe?

• What‟s the most effective single thing you can tell yourself to wind yourself down?

• How early on in the situation do you have to start winding yourself down for it to be most effective?

• How and when would you know that this wasn‟t enough and that you were escalating towards frightening or abusive behaviour anyway?

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