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Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New Mexico 7-9 October 2002

Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

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Page 1: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling

E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio

Sixth HYCOM Consortium MeetingLos Alamos, New Mexico

7-9 October 2002

Page 2: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

PACIFIC HYCOM MODEL CONFIGURATION

• Horizontal grid: 1/12° equatorial resolution (2294 x 1362 grid points, 6.5 km spacing on average)

• 20°S to 65.8°N

• 20 vertical coordinates

• Bathymetry: Quality controlled ETOP05

• Surface forcing: (wind stress, wind speed, heat flux [using bulk formula], E-P + relaxation to climatological SSS)

• River runoff

• Buffer zone: ~3° band along southern and eastern boundary with relaxation to monthly climatological T and S

• Closed boundaries along 20°S, in the Indonesian throughflow region and in the Bering Strait

Page 3: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Pacific HYCOM Modeling Progress• Seven 1/6° simulations testing

• horizontal diffusion parameter space

• sensitivity to atmospheric forcing (ECMWF and HR)

• Three 1/12° simulations

• high frequency ECMWF climatological forced simulation (8.5 years)

• high frequency HR climatological forced simulation (9.5 years – Challenge)

• NOGAPS/HR interannual simulation January 2001 – May2002, a period that spanned the life cycle of HurricaneJuliette

Page 4: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

1/12° Pacific HYCOM SSH Snapshot – 1 January

Forced with high frequency climatological ECMWF winds and thermal forcing

Page 5: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

1/12° Pacific HYCOM SSH Snapshot – 17 December

Forced with high frequency climatological HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

Page 6: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

1/12° Pacific HYCOM SSH and SST Snapshot – 1 January

Forced with high frequency climatological ECMWF winds and thermal forcing

Page 7: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

1/12° Pacific HYCOM SSH and SST Snapshot – 17 December

Forced with high frequency climatological HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

Page 8: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

1/12° Pacific HYCOM 6 Year Mean SSH

Forced with high frequency climatological ECMWF winds and thermal forcing

Page 9: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

1/12° Pacific HYCOM 6 Year Mean SSH

Forced with high frequency climatological HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

Page 10: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

1/12° Pacific HYCOM 6 Year Mean SST

Forced with high frequency climatological HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

Page 11: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

1/12° Pacific HYCOM 6 Year Mean SSH – Kuroshio subregion

ECMWF forcing HR forcing

Page 12: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section Across Luzon StraitSb-ADCP data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 300 m

Section along 120.75°E between Taiwan and Luzon22°N21°N20°N19°N

100

200

300

Sb-ADCP data from Liang et al. (DSR Pt. II, in press)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency ECMWF winds and thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Page 13: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section Across Luzon StraitSb-ADCP data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 300 m

Section along 120.75°E between Taiwan and Luzon22°N21°N20°N19°N

100

200

300

Sb-ADCP data from Liang et al. (DSR Pt. II, in press)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Page 14: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section Along Luzon StraitSb-ADCP data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 300 m

Section along 21°N between 118.5°E and 124.0°E

Sb-ADCP data from Liang et al. (DSR Pt. II, in press)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency ECMWF winds and thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

119°E 124°E123°E122°E121°E120°E

100

200

300

Page 15: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section Along Luzon StraitSb-ADCP data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 300 m

Section along 21°N between 118.5°E and 124.0°E

Sb-ADCP data from Liang et al. (DSR Pt. II, in press)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

119°E 124°E123°E122°E121°E120°E

100

200

300

Page 16: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Sb-ADCP data from Liang et al. (DSR Pt. II, in press)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency ECMWF winds and thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Velocity Cross-section East of TaiwanSb-ADCP data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 300 m

Sections at 22°N, 23°N, 24°N and 25°N

121E 122E 123E 121E 122E 123E121E 122E 123E121E 122E 123E

100

200

300

22°N 23°N 24°N 25°N

Page 17: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Sb-ADCP data from Liang et al. (DSR Pt. II, in press)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Velocity Cross-section East of TaiwanSb-ADCP data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 300 m

Sections at 22°N, 23°N, 24°N and 25°N

121E 122E 123E 121E 122E 123E121E 122E 123E121E 122E 123E

100

200

300

22°N 23°N 24°N 25°N

Page 18: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section at WOCE PCM-1Current meter data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 1000 m

Current meter data from Lee et al. (2001, JGR)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency ECMWF winds and thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

PCM-1 data fromSeptember 1995

to May 1996

Page 19: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section at WOCE PCM-1Current meter data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 1000 m

Current meter data from Lee et al. (2001, JGR)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

PCM-1 data fromSeptember 1995

to May 1996

Page 20: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section Along the EquatorTOGA TAO data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 300 m

Section between 165°E and 110°W

TOGA TAO buoy data from Yu and McPhaden (1999, JPO)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency ECMWF winds and thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Page 21: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section Along the EquatorTOGA TAO data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 300 m

Section between 165°E and 110°W

TOGA TAO buoy data from Yu and McPhaden (1999, JPO)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Page 22: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section Across the Equator at 135°WCTD/ADCP data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 400 m

Section between 8°S and 8°N

CTD/ADCP data from Johnson and McPhaden (2001, JPO)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency ECMWF winds and thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Page 23: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section Across the Equator at 135°WCTD/ADCP data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 400 m

Section between 8°S and 8°N

CTD/ADCP data from Johnson and McPhaden (2001, JPO)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Page 24: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Temperature Cross-section Across the Equator at 135°WCTD/ADCP data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 400 m

Section between 8°S and 8°N

CTD/ADCP data from Johnson and McPhaden (2001, JPO)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency ECMWF winds and thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Page 25: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Temperature Cross-section Across the Equator at 135°WCTD/ADCP data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 400 m

Section between 8°S and 8°N

CTD/ADCP data from Johnson and McPhaden (2001, JPO)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Page 26: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section South of JapanCurrent meter data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 1500 m

Along the ASUKA line

Current meter data from the ASUKA group6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency ECMWF winds and thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Note: The HYCOM section does not exactlyfollow the ASUKA line

Page 27: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section South of JapanCurrent meter data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 1500 m

Along the ASUKA line

Current meter data from the ASUKA group6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Note: The HYCOM section does not exactlyfollow the ASUKA line

Page 28: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section Across the Kuroshio at 145°WHydrographic data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 1000 m

Section between 25°N and 50°N

Hydrographic data from Qu et al. (2001, JPO)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency ECMWF winds and thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Page 29: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section Across the Kuroshio at 145°WHydrographic data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 1000 m

Section between 25°N and 50°N

Hydrographic data from Qu et al. (2001, JPO)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Page 30: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section Across the Kuroshio at 155°WHydrographic data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 1000 m

Section between 25°N and 50°N

Hydrographic data from Qu et al. (2001, JPO)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency ECMWF winds and thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Page 31: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Velocity Cross-section Across the Kuroshio at 155°WHydrographic data (top) vs. 1/12° Pacific HYCOM (bottom) in the upper 1000 m

Section between 25°N and 50°N

Hydrographic data from Qu et al. (2001, JPO)6 year mean from HYCOM forced with high-frequency HR winds and ECMWF thermal forcing

No ocean data assimilation in HYCOM

Page 32: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Track of Hurricane Juliette

Source: National Hurricane Center

Page 33: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Evolution of the coastally trapped waves generatedby Hurricane Juliette in 1/12° Pacific HYCOM

29 September 200128 September 2001

30 September 2001

Mazatlán•1 October 2001

Guaymas•

2 October 2001PuertoPeñasco•

27 September 2001

•Cabo San Lucas

1/12° Pacific HYCOM forced with FNMOC NOGAPS/HR winds and FNMOC NOGAPSthermal forcing. No data have been assimilated into this model.

Page 34: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Evolution of the coastally trapped waves generatedby Hurricane Juliette in 1/12° Pacific HYCOM

3 October 2001 5 October 20014 October 2001

8 October 20017 October 20016 October 2001

1/12° Pacific HYCOM forced with FNMOC NOGAPS/HR winds and FNMOC NOGAPSthermal forcing. No data have been assimilated into this model.

Page 35: Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling · Pacific Basin HYCOM Modeling E. Joseph Metzger, Harley E. Hurlburt, Alan J. Wallcraft and Luis Zamudio Sixth HYCOM Consortium Meeting Los Alamos, New

Observed versus modeled sea level along the Mexican coast associatedwith the coastally trapped waves generated by Hurricane Juliette in 2001

1/12° Pacific HYCOM forced with FNMOC NOGAPS/HR winds and FNMOC NOGAPSthermal forcing. No data have been assimilated into this model. Sea level dataprovided by the University of Hawaii and the Secretaria de Marina de México.