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Learn To Trade Price Action with Nial Fuller...PRICE ACTION FOREX TRADING COURSE

How To Trade Trends In Forex A Complete Guide

Weve all heard the saying The trend is your friend, and while itsounds nice it doesnt really teach us anything about trading a trending market or how to identify one. In todayslesson, I am going to give you guys some solid information on trend trading that you can begin using immediately.Todays lesson is all about trading trending markets with price action, and we are going to talk about how to tellwhen a market is trending and how to take advantage of these trends.

I hope you guys pay close attention to todays article and refer back to it when you have any questions about how totrade or identify a trending market. In fact, if you email me asking about trendsI will probably refer you to thisarticle!

Lets get started

The first step: Learn to identify a trend with nothing but raw price

action

As you probably already know, there are tons of different indicators that you can put on your charts to help youidentify a trending market and trade with it. Many traders spend countless hours and dollars on trend-followingtrading systems or on indicators that just end up confusing them and making the process of trend discovery a lot

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Page 1 of 21How To Trade With Trends In Forex | Learn To Trade

26/04/2013http://www.learntotradethemarket.com/forex-trading-strategies/forex-trend-trading-guide


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more difficult than it needs to be.

I have always been a strong proponent of visual observation of the raw price action of a market, as you probablyknow. I also believe that simply observing a markets raw price action, from left to right, is the easiest and mosteffective way to identify a trend and to spot high-probability entries within it.

Let me make a quick note before we proceed: A trend is not actually a strategy by itself; its just an added point ofconfluence that increases the probability of a trade. However, just randomly jumping in with a trending market is notan edge or a strategy.

As a market moves higher or lower, its previous turning points, or swing points as I like to call them, becomereference points that we can use to help us determine the trend of a market. The most basic way to identify a trend isto check and see if a market is making a pattern of higher highs and higher lows for an uptrend, or lower highs andlower lows for a downtrend. This is just plain old visual observation of a markets naturally occurring price actionno mumbo-jumbo trading systems or magic-bullets here. Id like you guys to take a look at this simple diagram thatI drew below; it shows us the basic idea of looking for higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) for uptrends andlower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) for downtrends:

Note: each colored circle is highlighting what we would consider a swing point in the market:

Thus, general observation of a markets swing points is the first point of call in determining if a market is trending.If you do not see a pattern of HH HL or LH LL, but instead you see sideways price movement with no obviousgeneral up or down direction to it, then you are probably looking at a range-bound market or one that is simplychopping back and forth.

Tip: You shouldnt have to think too hard about whether a market is trending or not. Most traders make trenddiscovery WAY too difficult. If you take a common sense and patient approach, its usually fairly obvious if amarket is trending or not just by looking at the raw price action of its chart, from left to right. Make sure you markthe swing points on your chart, as it will draw your attention to them and help you see if theres a pattern of HH andHL or LH and LL, as discussed above.

Characteristics of trending markets

Trending markets tend to make strong moves in the direction of the trend followed by periods of consolidation or acounter-trend retrace before the next leg in the direction of the trend. You will notice this pattern happens in almostany trend you can find. Typically, what happens to many traders is that they will make some money during theperiods of strong directional trend movement, but then they continue to trade as the market takes a breather from thetrend and consolidates. Its these periods when traders give up all of the gains they just made when the market wasmoving aggressively.




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You need to learn to identify the different parts of a trend, this will help you avoid over-trading during the choppy /consolidation periods and will give you a better chance at profiting when the trend makes a strong move.

Here is an example of what Im talking about:

In the diagram above, we can see that a trending market tends to move in spurts, moving in the direction of the trendand then stalling to take a breath before another leg in the direction of the trend. Now, all trends are obviously notexactly the same, but we do typically see the general pattern described above; a forceful move in the direction of thetrend followed by a period of consolidation or a retracement in the opposite direction.

Now, these retraces are when we have the highest potential for a high probability entry within the trend. Often, amarket will retrace to approximately the level of its previous swing point before the trend resumes. In an uptrendthese swing points are support and in downtrends they are resistance. Look at the very first diagram in this article fora quick refresher on what Im talking about. Also, lets look at the chart we just looked at but this time with thesupport levels marked. These support levels resulted after the market began to retrace lower within the structure ofthe broader uptrend.

Note the stepping pattern left behind by the swing points in this uptrend. As the market retraces back down to thesesteps or support levels, we would focus our attention and watch for price action signals forming near these levelsto rejoin the uptrend:




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Note: These same principles apply in a down trending market but we would be looking for price action setups fromresistance rather than support.

As we discussed previously, a trending market will tend to surge in one direction and then slow down and eitherconsolidate in a sideways manner or retrace lower or higher, depending on what direction the dominant trend is. It isduring these contraction or retrace moves that we can focus extra hard through our sniper-scope and beginsearching for high-probability price action trading strategies forming from previous swing points within the overalltrend.

Trading from value in trends

My primary mission as a price action trader is to watch for obvious price action setups that form after a marketretraces back to a confluent level in the market. This can be a swing point like we discussed above, a movingaverage level, or some other support or resistance level. Whatever the case, I am looking to trade from value in atrending market. By value, I mean from an optimum point in the market that has proved significant before.

For example, in an uptrend I would consider value to be support, since that is where the price of the market islikely to be seen as a good value for the bulls, and thus they will tend to buy from that level and push the pricehigher. Whereas, in a downtrend, value is seen at resistance, since the price has rotated higher within the broaderdowntrend; so its a good value to sell from resistance in a downtrend. These rotations back to value points canalso be called trading from the mean or the average price, this is why moving averages tend to act as dynamicsupport or resistance levels.

One tool we can use to find value in a market is a moving average. I dont use them all the time, but when I do Ilike to use the 8 and 21 day exponential moving averages. I use them as a general guide and a helper to findconfluent points in a market. For example, often the 21 day EMA will align with a swing point in a trending market,this would be considered a confluent level since you have multiple factors lining up together. Then, if we see a priceaction signal there, we know we are seeing a setup form in a very high-probability area on the chart. See here:




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Note: these moving averages should only be used as a general guide and never as an actual signal (as in the oldmoving average crossover signal). We only use them as a helper to see dynamic support and resistance levels (to

add confluence) and for trend direction. But just to be clear, our main focus is on visual observation of a marketsprice action and levels, that is to say without any EMAs.

Dont fall into the breakout trap Many amateur traders get stuck in a cycle of trying to trade breakouts all thetimethis is not really an effective long-term strategy because the big boys all know that amateurs are constantlytrying to buy and sell breakouts. Instead, we want to enter closer to key market levels, swing points, EMA levels(confluent levels) in the marketalways with confirmation from a price action signal. As a regressive price actiontrader, we are looking to buy or sell from value within the trendwaiting for the inevitable pullback and thenpouncing on an obvious price action signal if one forms.

Forex trends vs. other marketsOne aspect of trend trading that I want to touch on briefly is that trends in Forex tend to differ from those in othermarkets, especially equities.

In Forex, bearish and bullish trends are typically equally as violent and potentwhereas in equity markets we tendto see slower moving price action in a bull market, along with lower volatility. Down-trending markets tend to befast and volatile in equity markets. Forex trends tend to be the same in their volatility and price action whether thetrend is up or down. The main reason is because its one currency against another in any given currency pair and thisresults in more balanced price movement.

Thus, in Forex, your trading strategy and plan will generally be the same for both up and down markets. Heres anexample of the EURAUD daily chart recently that shows just how consistent both down trends and up trends can bein this marketnote how the volatility and speed of these trends were about the same:




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In the equity markets, traders typically need to adjust their strategies or systems as a market moves from bull to bearor vice versa. But in Forex, whether youre trading long or short, bull or bear, the volatility of a currency pair tendsto say about the same. Thats not to say that volatility never changes in Forex, it just means that the particulardirection of a Forex pair doesnt have a very big impact on that pairs volatility or price action, as it does in theequity markets for example.

Final notes on trading with trends:

Take advantage of trends when they happen There is never anything concrete with trendsmeaning you neverknow how long they will last for, so try to take advantage of them when they do occur. Markets typically only trendabout 25 to 35% of the time, and the rest of the time they are range-bound or chopping in a sideways fashion. Thetrick is to learn how to identify a trending market so that you can get the most out of it and get on board as early aspossible.

Counter-trend trading Overall, trend trading should make up about 70% of the trades you take, and the other30% might consist of counter-trend trades or trades in range-bound markets. Its best to learn how to trade withnear-term trend before you try trading counter-trend, because trading with the trend is naturally higher-probabilitythan trading against it.

In conclusion, trend trading is perhaps the easiest way to make money in the forex markets. Unfortunately, marketsdont trend all the time, and its the time in between trends that traders do the most damage to themselves. Thisdamage is a result of not having the discipline to wait for high-probability setups to appear, and not being able toproperly read a markets price action to determine whether or not its trending.

I trust that todays lesson has helped you get an idea of how to determine whether a market is trending or not andhow to trade a trending market. Remember, theres no Holy-Grail for trend trading, but if youre in doubt, the bestthing to do is to just relax and take some time to visually observe the last few weeks of price data in a marketwithout indicators. This no-nonsense approach is hard to beat and will work if you know what youre looking for.

Finally, I leave you with this little formula:

The Best Trades = Trend + Confluent level + Price action signal

Ive touched on some topics that traders can use for short-term trend analysis today, and I expand on these topics inthe members article section of my price action traders community. Trend following is a large part of my PriceAction Forex Trading Course and of my general trading strategy. Id really love to hear your feedback today, so




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please remember to leave your comments below & click the like button.

Good trading, Nial Fuller

Please Leave Your Comments Below & Click The Like/Share Buttons

Related Articles:

How to Trade Key Chart Levels in Forex A Guide On How I Enter Forex Trades How to Increase the Winning Probability of Your Forex Trades

APRIL SPECIAL PROMOTION: This month Im offering a Special Discount on Lifetime Membership to myForex Courses, Live Trade Setups Forum, Daily Trade Setups Newsletter, Email support line & more. For moreinformation Click Here.

Author Bio:Nial Fuller is considered a leading Authority on Price Action Forex trading strategies. If you want tolearn more about harnessing the power and simplicity of Price Action Trading Strategies please visit Nial FullersForex Trading Course & Traders Community Page Here. Nials Students get lifetime access to all of his advancedprice action Forex Courses, video lessons, webinar tutorials, daily trade setups newsletter, live trade setupsdiscussion forum, traders support line & free ongoing course updates. For more information visit the Forex Coursepage here.

Copyright 2012 Forex Trading - Learn To Trade The Market Author Nial Fuller

Forex Trading Strategies by Nial Fuller75 Comments

Shahed Qureshi said,

September 7, 2012 @ 8:46 pm

Cheers Niall , another excellent article , very well researched , explained and written. Thanx for all your efforts onceagain. Kindest Regards

Imomon Raymond said,


Thanks a lot Mr. Fuller. This is a free lesson very valuable at all time to me and may be other forex traders. The

support and resistance you have been talking about have shown its perfect us in this lesson.

I hope to be a paid student very soon so that I can enjoy the mentorship I need from you.

Ray Imomon




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Pall said,


Thanks Nial

Allways learning from you trend and pasientare the frend of a sniper

Sanjay said,


Great article

slivester said,

September 7, 2012 @ 10:37 pm

great-great article.million thanks mr.nial..

Ray said,

September 7, 2012 @ 10:37 pm

Great Lesson Nial..Very straight forward

Adam said,

September 7, 2012 @ 11:11 pm

Hi Nial,Thank you once again for your great article, well explained in a simple manner.

I have learned a lot since I joined your course.

Regards

Adam

Jusmijo said,

September 7, 2012 @ 11:19 pm

Thanks Nial

sanele said,

September 7, 2012 @ 11:33 pm

Great work mr fuller ! Id like to catch 6000 pips with this strategy

Himson said,

September 7, 2012 @ 11:37 pm

Nial it took me 4yrs to finally get what you have been saying all these years. A couple of days ago I was watchingan old interview of you and the lite bub came on in my head it was one of those moments where everything came




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full circle.. I so get it now. I Thank you a BILLION TIMES you have changed my life forever!!!!

hats said,

September 7, 2012 @ 11:40 pm

helloonce again only thing I can say is that we do not have enough words to thank you for your great teachingsb rgds

Barisiba said,

September 7, 2012 @ 11:56 pm

@Nial,you are a great teacherThanks for sharing your knowledge, experience and observations here withus.God bless you!!

Also, Thanks for your time.

Will said,

September 7, 2012 @ 11:58 pm

Very helpfull. Thanx Nial

Dmitry said,

September 8, 2012 @ 12:22 am

Its really important that You dont just give traders enter and exit points, like others do, but teach them how toidentify trading opportunities making them think and learn and get into what they are doing, not just blindlyfollowing the signal.

Great job, keep on going!Dmitry

louis grossman said,

September 8, 2012 @ 1:06 am

Nial: this lesson is the best one I have seen on the subject of trend put into a shot concise perspective, thank you foryour excellent lessons. Louis

Dave said,


An eye opening article. I can see several areas where I can sharpen up my trading. Thanks Nial.

Munyr Adamu Umar said,


Very educating article. This very article can change some bodies life forever Nial, more grease to your elbow.

Judy Blanchard said,





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Thank you, Nial!

I learned so much with the above lesson. The 21 EMA as a guide to swing points and taking advantage of trends,when they are present, are great pieces of advice.

Best,

Judy

Rita said,


Thanks a lot. Those were vital info.

Zsolt said,


Nial, thank you for this excellent article. Each and every article you post here is better than the previous ones, which

are, without exception, also very useful.

ahsan ahmed said,


very intresting article and valuableone.

KRISTOFA OKENTA said,


What a great lesson again from my Professor.Thank you so much.

Tomson said,


Another interesting article, and so needed when to make good trading decisions.

I guess this really is one of the harder things to learn, when is it a good time to trade?Is it a trend, or is it choppy?We can see how the different setups looks like, IB, Pinbar and Fakey, but where is it ok to use them?

This is a help to make a choice if it is or not.Thanks a lot.

CheersTomson

Claudio Nata said,


Boa noite! Estou aprendendo muito com os seus artigos. Fao cursos desde 2008 e confesso que seus textos so bemsuperiores a todo o material que j paguei. Gostaria de fazer o seu curso. Mas no falo ingls.




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kotijett said,


Thanks Nial. Great article great read plenty of educational information to soak up and learn.

marc said,


Thanks my inbox is so full of e mails but for some reason yours is not deleted I read it all with intrest thank you.signed Marc.

Bill Eppelstun said,


Another great lesson Nial. When you put up an example chart could you put what time frames the chart is in ordosent it matter? When I change from 1hr to 4hr to daily it seems to throw out of wack the support and resistancelevels. Can you use the same techniques described in this lesson to scalp trades on shorter time frames eg. 5min,15

min, 30min.RegardsBill

Juan said,

September 8, 2012 @ 10:07 am

Thank Doctor Nial, you change my life for ever in forexGod Bless you

Rob said,

September 8, 2012 @ 10:56 am

Thanks Nial for such an excellent article

Ray said,

September 8, 2012 @ 11:08 am

Many thanks Nial, you have a articulate way of explaining your approach to trading. This transfers into myenthusiasm for your next posting. I look forward to your next lesson.Best regards Rayh

ycandco said,

September 8, 2012 @ 12:48 pm

Hi NialThank you for the revision. Good to have some refreshment/revision.

Ramli M Salleh said,


Thanks Nial.




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Excelent refreashing guide.

Cheers

Taylor said,


What an excellent information for us to clarify and make our mind clearly while we are trading.

Thanks Nial.

eric granatha said,


i always waiting your great new articles every week, and this is another great lesson youre send to me. Thanks nial

surge said,


Your a stud nial!!!

Shyamsrv said,


Very valuable lesson. Hats off !!

Karl said,


The Best Trades = Trend + Confluent level + Price action signal

not enough!

Above this formula: Grow up to be patient enough to sit tight and wait for this triple combination. Otherwise it

wont work .

Jay said,


Your article is really amazing. but i have 1 doubt Nial, tat suppose the market is in uptrend making HH & HL ,during news time suddenly the market falls down and make a LL breaking the trend. At this position whether wehave to wait for the confiirmation of the uptrend continuation or we have to decide tat the trend ends up and thedowntrend started ?

taiwo said,


nial you are a super trader keep more of the articles coming please

George said,





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Price Action Is King

Cezary said,


Hi Nial. Great article as usual. After a year of hard work and many hours of learning I can say with confidence, thatYou are probably the best teacher that one can find on the internet, price action is the best way to trade, andindicators create only confusion in market analysis. Take care and best of luck to You.

naveen said,

September 8, 2012 @ 10:37 pm

Thank you once again. As you said, many times I have given back my profits in the retracement period.

Another excellent article

Francois Cyr said,

September 9, 2012 @ 12:34 am

Nial,

Excellent article, direct and concise on how to identify the trend. Regardless of how long Ive been trading, thesereminders and your insights are invaluable to be.its easy to forget what you already know as a trader, andanothers voice can get us back on track!

Nitka said,


NOW I know why all my profits are gone before I can even start bragging about making them!lolI have learntso much already since discovering you on the net Nial..:-) Candles are no longer a mystery, pin bars are my bestfriends..now I will be able to recognise the consolidations and sideways movesSo here is hoping!..:-)this makesso much sense!will definitely draw those support/resistance lines practice will make it perfect..:-)..thank you and cheers!:-)

DannyV said,


Thanks Nial, great article. I love this way of trading with the inside bar strategy. But patience is the key here. Butonce you master the patience then youre good to go. Thanks loved this article heaps.

Stany said,


Hi,Ive got a feeling like every new article from Nial is more in deep and he reveals us more things he learned in hiscareer that I would expect will keep for himself.

Thanks very much Nial, I think without your web I would be stucked on nearly the same place where I was before Ifound it (about half year ago).

Have a nice day there,Stany




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Michael said,


Thank you Nial

Gordy Caverly - US said,


Nial: You continue to build a great resource library that is growing in knowledge and if used appropriately will turnto gold!

Thank You,

Gordy

Sachith said,

September 9, 2012 @ 11:15 pm

Very usefull thanks

Wajdi said,

September 10, 2012 @ 1:46 am

I am currently trading only pin bars in trending markets and this article has given me insight into my way of trading.

Thank You

Larry H. said,

September 10, 2012 @ 3:10 am

Nial,Thanks again. Larry

Barry said,

September 10, 2012 @ 4:20 pm

Thanks Nial,I always forget the basics, its so nice to be constantly reminded of them,All the best, mate

Emmanuel said,

September 10, 2012 @ 7:58 pm

Awesome Nial

James said,

September 11, 2012 @ 9:32 am

It is literally true that millions come easier to a trader after he knows how to trade, than hundreds did in the days ofhis ignorance. (Jesse Livermore)




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Thanks Nial

hamid said,

September 12, 2012 @ 1:31 am

thanks nial.. great article

Alazar said,

September 12, 2012 @ 6:34 am

wonderfull article. thank you Nail.

Phil B said,

September 12, 2012 @ 8:11 pm

Thanks Nial. Well written & easy to understand

Rundhir said,

September 13, 2012 @ 4:20 am

Great article Nial. Huge difference in my trading results.All thanks to you. God Bless.

Khairul Azan said,

September 13, 2012 @ 12:21 pm

Thanks Nial,

As I practice in my trading, I will not trade until I confident with the price direction (trend).

Thats just how how I made money consistently in forex market.

And this article I considered as the best one from you.

Thanks again.

Henry said,

September 13, 2012 @ 12:39 pm

Hello Nial, you made it so simple for me to understand how to trade the trend. Thanks

Pavel said,

September 14, 2012 @ 7:40 pm

Thanks Nial,I think that your formula + money managment is Holy-Grail for trend trading

Mike said,

September 15, 2012 @ 11:56 am

What an amazing article




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Its just what I needed to improve my edge!Thanks Nial, you are the best

ali said,

September 16, 2012 @ 4:18 pm

thanks nail bhai

smoke said,

September 17, 2012 @ 4:20 am

the article was quit splendid thanks mr fuller,s

L A said,

September 22, 2012 @ 11:49 pm

Yes..trade the pullback.of a trend. Appreciated the part @ breakout trading trap.

DUDLEY SACKALOO said,

September 23, 2012 @ 10:35 am

great wisdom in this article, although I am no beginner I still learnt a lot.

Dudley W.S. Jamaica -

onin said,

September 26, 2012 @ 12:12 am

excellent work sir..

Jos said,

October 5, 2012 @ 9:46 am

Nice article Nial. I really liked the formula at the end, which provides a beautiful summary.

Miken said,

October 14, 2012 @ 5:11 am

Hi NialNice work you have teach me a lot

David said,

October 14, 2012 @ 3:17 pm

Greatly valued lesson Nial. After all this time you open the door to useful strategies.

abiodun said,

October 27, 2012 @ 11:56 pm




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Fuller, you are the one that God sent to deliver me from 6 years of ups and DOWNS in this business. May the LordGod of my fathers continue to bless you in Jesus Name

fred said,

November 30, 2012 @ 5:05 pm

is it important to check the economic news when you trade in strong trend??

Jotex said,

December 10, 2012 @ 2:05 am

The Best Trades = Trend + Confluent level + Price action signal.I love that part.Thanks Nial for this Great Article.

Raju haq said,

February 18, 2013 @ 6:04 am

Million of thanks. Its a great article i ever seen. once again thanks nail.

ohn said,

March 1, 2013 @ 4:24 pm

Thanks Nail for sharing your knowledge. God bless you..

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