P-Economics in Hospital

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    Strategic Management of Hospitals:

    Pharmacoeconomics as a Decision Tool

    Hiren Mehta

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    Outline

    Healthcare costs and choices

    Pharmacoeconomics

    Definitions

    Methods

    Applications Advantages and disadvantages

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    Canadian healthcare spending

    1975-2005 (millions)

    y = 1E-63e0.0782x

    R2 = 0.9662

    0

    20,000

    40,000

    60,000

    80,000

    100,000

    120,000

    140,000

    160,000

    180,000

    1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

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    Healthcare costs by type

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

    Other

    Admin

    Public Health

    Capital

    Drugs

    Nursing, etc

    Physicians

    Institutions

    Hospital

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    Trends hospital $ (Source: CIHI)

    Hospital share is decreasing

    From 44.7% in 1975 29.9% in 2005

    28.7% decrease in share Hospital expenditures

    $5.5 billion in 1975 [Total: $12 billion]

    $42.4 billion in 2005 [Total: $142 billion]677% increase [Total: 1064%]

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    Trends drug $

    Drug share increasing8.5% in 1985

    17.5% in 2005

    106% in share

    Drug costs$1.1 billion in 1975

    $24.8 billion in 20052200% increase

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    Reasons for increases Increase in utilization

    More people taking drugs

    More population

    More >65, free drugs (access)

    More disease more drugs

    Longevity more disease more drugs

    Increase in costResearch costs money

    New drugs research intensive

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    Canada: population increase 1966-2006

    y =0.3007x - 571.25

    R2 =0.992

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

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    Average cost per citizen covered

    by BC PharmacareYear Cost

    1987 $1921991 $354

    1995 $406

    1999 $478

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    Drug costs on the rise

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    Costs of therapy (cancer drugs)

    600

    1,6204,980

    7,600

    12,000

    18,000

    26,000

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    30000

    $pertreatm

    ent

    Chl

    oram

    bucil

    CHOP

    Flud

    arabin

    e

    CHOP

    +G-CSF

    Ritu

    ximab

    CHOP

    +Ritu

    ximab

    Borte

    zomib

    Drug acquisition costs

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    Selecting drugs in hospital

    Open formulary

    No restriction

    Pay for all drugs prescribed Formulary

    Most standard drugs available

    Medical staff + pharmacy decide on content Problem: demand exceeds budget

    Need a method for judging relative merits

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    Background

    Economics = the study of the allocation ofresources

    Health economics: application of economicprinciples to healthcare

    Basis = value for money

    Money = common denominator forcomparisons

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    Pharmacoeconomics

    Pharmaco = drugs

    Application of health economics to drugs

    and drug services

    Techniques not different

    Interpretations parallel

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    Levels of analysis

    Macro (population)

    Most PEA is this type

    Applies to the average in the populationRequires translation to apply to patients

    Meso (group)

    Usually applied at this level Micro (Individual)

    Never done at this level in PEA

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    DefinitionPharmacoeconomics:

    Evaluation of a drug against one or morecomparators with respect toboth costsand outcomes.Comparator = depends on purpose

    Placebo, do nothing

    Standard treatment

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    Why?

    Resources scarce

    Demands increasing

    Forced to make choice

    Pharmacoeconomics assessesvalue for money(common metric)

    A tool for decision making

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    Perspective Whose viewpoint?

    Need to identify the audience for the report

    Need to specify the analytic viewpoint

    Determines:

    Data collected

    Valuation of resources

    Interpretation of results

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    Analytic perspectives

    Society (Comprehensive, overall)

    All costs considered, regardless of payer

    Usually includes indirect costs

    Payer

    Insurer, government, individual

    Standard:Societal + Ministry of Health (Canada)

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    Types of cost

    Direct costs

    Indirect costs

    Economic NOT accounting definitionsused in PEA

    Overhead costs included in hospitalperspective

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    Direct costs

    Costs of resources consumed in treating patients

    Cost centres:

    Drugs (preparation, administration, monitoring)

    Medical care (MD, specialist) Hospital (inpatient, units)

    Laboratory (blood, urine, x-ray, NMR, CAT scans)

    Allied healthcare (nursing, physio, massage, social work)

    Transportation to therapy (sometimes)

    Cost of managing ADRs

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    Using costs

    Use standard lists for cost values The standard price that any person would pay

    Do NOT use special costs, bargains

    Exception: hospitals analyzing their own data

    Select year of analysis Usually current year or immediate past year

    Standardize all costs to year of analysis Use health component of Consumer Price Index or

    equivalent

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    Indirect costs Lost productivity

    Early death Time totally lost forever

    Decreased ability to work Absenteeism due to disease

    Presenteeism On the job, being paid, not inefficient

    Caretaker time Problems

    Leisure time, retired people

    Consider lost time equal Under-employment/unemployment

    Use Friction method Counts only time to train replacement personnel

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    Time horizon

    Analysis must be over enough time toallow for all important outcomesCancer drugs use lifetime

    Antibiotics (acute) 1 month/3 months

    Often use 1 year

    Problem

    Data availability over timeMust discount costs if >1 year

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    Discounting

    Preference for benefits now and costs later

    NOT because of inflation

    Based on stable rates for safe investments(government bonds, GICs, cash market)

    Standard = 5%, vary in sensitivity analyses

    over range 0-10%

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    Summary: costs

    A: Identify resources consumed B: Quantify resource use

    C: Qualify (cost) that use

    Use standard costsDiscount if over >1 year

    Total cost = S Resourcei*Costi Average across all patients Extrapolate to population using

    demographic statistics

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    Outcomes: ECHO modelEconomicDollars

    ClinicalPositive: Cure, life saved, life-year gained

    Negative: Case avoided (disease, death)

    HumanisticQuality of life, patient preferences

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    QALYs Quality adjusted life-years

    e.g., cancer patient

    Estimate duration of life remaining Identify health states involved

    e.g., Phases II-IVMeasure length of each health state Adjust each by utility value:

    S Timei*Utilityi Average over all patients

    Universal outcome Can compare across treatments Can compare across diseases

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    Utilities

    Standard gamble

    Time tradeoff

    Visual analog scale Whose?Patients

    Accurate estimate of implications

    Problem: adaptation to the condition

    Normals (society) Need to help them understand the disease

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    Preferred outcomes

    Ultimate outcomes:Cure, life-year gained, QALY

    Avoided cases of: Disease (vaccine)

    Death

    Avoid intermediate outcomesDecrease in BP, serum cholesterol, units on a

    scale (pain, health status, etc.)

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    Types of analyses

    Cost-minimization

    Cost-effectiveness

    Cost-utility

    Cost-benefit

    Comparison ofefficacy /

    effectiveness

    Cost comparisonTwo or morealternatives

    Cost-outcome

    description (Non-comparative CBA)

    Outcome

    assessment (e.g.,Quality of Lifemeasurement)

    Cost description

    (Cost ofTreatment,Burden of Illness)

    One (No

    comparison ofalternatives)

    Costs +Outcomes

    Outcomesonly

    Costs onlyAlternatives

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    Cost analyses (non-PEA)

    Burden of sickness

    Cost of illness

    Financial feasibility

    Implementing a new pharmacy service

    E.g., cost-revenue model

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    Burden of sickness/illness Macro level (population based)

    Top down analysis

    Dollars spent on a disease

    Direct costsDrugs, MD, hospital

    Indirect costsMorbidity, mortality, time lost from work,

    decreased productivity (presenteeism), etc.

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    Cost of illness/Cost of treatment

    Micro level

    Bottom up analysis

    Individual based Itemize resources consumed

    Drug, visits to MD, tests, etc.

    Chart review, database analysis, modelled

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    Approaches to COI analysis Incidence based

    Start at onset of disease Follow until resolution/death E.g., Gonzalez JC, Einarson TR. Cost of Type-2 diabetes in Colombia.

    PharmacoEconomics 2008 (in press). Prevalence based

    Cross sectional All cases in one year Example: Pain due to multiple sclerosis: analysis of

    the prevalence and economic burden in Canada. PainRes Manag 2007;12(4):259-65

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    Contribution

    Identifies costs

    Burden to society

    Cost to treat individual Basis for pharmacoeconomic evaluation

    (Baseline)

    BUT, does not address appropriateness or

    outcomes

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    COI Example: bisphosphonatesResource Cost

    Bisphosphonate $5,421

    Other Drugs $6,290

    Hospital $18,229

    Clinic $7,715Laboratory $2,020

    Imaging $3,355

    Radiation $2,657Physicians $2,170

    Total $47,857

    Kruk. Supportive Care in Cancer2004; 12: 844-51.

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    Burden of ADRs (USA)

    Resource Events Cost (millions)

    Physician visits 115,654,949 $7,460

    Additional prescriptions 76,347,604 $1,933

    Emergency visits 17,053,602 $5,321

    Hospital admissions 8,761,861 $47,445

    LTC admissions 3,149,675 $14,399

    Deaths 198,815Total $76,558

    Johnson. Arch Intern Med 1995;155(18):1949-56.

    O O O

    O O O

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    HOSPITAL CARE EXPENDITURE BY DIAGNOSTIC CATEGORY, CANADA,1993

    DIAGNOSTIC CATEGORY 1993 Cost($1000)

    % ofTotal

    Cardiovascular Diseases 4,862,322 18.6

    Mental Disorders 3,631,788 13.9

    Cancer 2,467,408 9.5

    Injuries 2,253,487 8.6

    Digestive Diseases 2,093,374 8.0

    Respiratory Diseases 1,788,230 6.9

    Pregnancy 1,649,707 6.3

    Well-patient Care 1,349,205 5.2

    Musculoskeletal Diseases 1,285,910 4.9

    Genitourinary Diseases 1,075,828 4.1

    Nervous System and Sense Organ Diseases 792,862 3.0

    Endocrine and Related Diseases 526,785 2.0

    Perinatal Conditions 518,012 2.0

    Infectious and Parasitic Dieseases 345,071 1.3

    Birth Defects 231,923 0.9

    Skin and Related Diseases 223,015 0.9

    Blood Diseases 156,808 0.6

    Ill-defined Conditions 844,567 3.2

    TOTAL 26,096,300 100.0

    SUBCATEGORY

    Coronary Heart Disease 1,571,999 6.0

    Stroke 1,258,063 4.8

    Chronic Bronchitis / Emphysema / Asthma 636,491 2.4

    Motor Vehicle Traffic Accidents 283,106 1.1

    Diabetes 274,621 1.1

    Female Cancers 206,068 0.8

    HOSPITAL CARE EXPENDITURE BY DIAGNOSTIC CATEGORY, CANADA,1993

    DIAGNOSTIC CATEGORY 1993 Cost($1000)

    % ofTotal

    Cardiovascular Diseases 4,862,322 18.6

    Mental Disorders 3,631,788 13.9

    Cancer 2,467,408 9.5

    Injuries 2,253,487 8.6

    Digestive Diseases 2,093,374 8.0

    Respiratory Diseases 1,788,230 6.9

    Pregnancy 1,649,707 6.3

    Well-patient Care 1,349,205 5.2

    Musculoskeletal Diseases 1,285,910 4.9

    Genitourinary Diseases 1,075,828 4.1

    Nervous System and Sense Organ Diseases 792,862 3.0

    Endocrine and Related Diseases 526,785 2.0

    Perinatal Conditions 518,012 2.0

    Infectious and Parasitic Dieseases 345,071 1.3

    Birth Defects 231,923 0.9

    Skin and Related Diseases 223,015 0.9

    Blood Diseases 156,808 0.6

    Ill-defined Conditions 844,567 3.2

    TOTAL 26,096,300 100.0

    SUBCATEGORY

    Coronary Heart Disease 1,571,999 6.0

    Stroke 1,258,063 4.8

    Chronic Bronchitis / Emphysema / Asthma 636,491 2.4

    Motor Vehicle Traffic Accidents 283,106 1.1

    Diabetes 274,621 1.1

    Female Cancers 206,068 0.8

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    Pharmacoeconomic

    analysisProperties

    ModelsOutcomesIssues

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    Pharmacoeconomic analysis

    Compare 2 or more options Need to identify, describe each

    Usually a new drug trying to enter the market

    Requires an estimate for each of: Costs

    Outcomes produced

    Other requirements: Analytic time horizon, perspective, discount rate(s)

    Clinical consequences and their management

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    Purpose of PEA

    Permission to market drug NOC in Canada

    License in other countries

    Acceptance by formulary Provided by system (e.g., ODB)

    Paid by insurer (in whole or in part)

    Purpose

    model, approach

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    Approaches: licensure Population based model

    Evidence = Efficacy data

    Data source = RCTs

    Assume full compliance, ideal conditions

    Per protocol analysis Defined population

    Limited to eligible patients who take full treatment

    Comparator = placebo, standard

    Viewpoint = societal

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    Approaches: formulary Meso (Group) model

    Evidence = Effectiveness data

    Data source: Effectiveness trials

    Real life experience

    Unselected patients

    Compliance matters

    Model via RCT + other factors (adherence)

    Intent-to-treat analysis Population = all possible candidates

    Comparator = standard therapy

    Viewpoint = payer

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    Product

    Need to describe drug in detail

    Identify therapeutic category

    ATC system

    Comparators

    What is being used now

    Utilization rates, costs, burden Justify WHY this drug is being examined

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    Population

    Indication

    Disease How diagnosed, classified, e.g., ICD-10

    Severity Mild, moderate, severe

    Population

    Types of patients Males, females Ages

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    Comparator Placebo

    Form identical to drug of interest

    Do nothing alternative

    Standard therapyGuidelines

    Actual practice

    Expert panel

    Hospital setting:

    Usual treatment

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    Pharmacoeconomic modelsProspective

    RetrospectivePredictive

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    Prospective models

    Pharmacoeconomic RCT

    Designed specifically for PEA

    Add-on to clinical RCTPiggy-back trials

    Collect data

    Identify resources used

    Cost concurrently or later

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    RCT advantages Prospective data collection

    Data are stochastic Can calculate Mean, SD

    All factors controlled Ideal conditions Provides efficacy data

    Valid for NOC, licensing

    Disadvantages:

    Sample not representative Patients, conditions, drugs taken, age, sex, etc. Cannot extrapolate results to real life

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    Retrospective models

    Model existing RCT

    Chart review

    Database analysis

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    Modelling RCTs Easy to do

    Efficacy from trial

    Determine costs

    Problems: Retrospective bias

    Artificial conditions (extrapolation)

    Requires expert input

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    Chart Reviews Easy to do, not expensive (usually)

    Problems:

    Time consumingMissing data

    Outcomes

    Resources used (not planned for)

    Patients d/c, re-entry, move

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    Database Analyses

    Available, easy to use

    Powerful - huge samples

    Versatile:Cohort, case control, matching

    Time series, cross sectional

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    Disadvantages

    Missing data

    Diagnosis, outcomes, status (smoking, alcohol, etc)

    Confounding

    Causation = ? Assumptions (Consumption, indication, compliance)

    Cost = large, delays long

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    Predictive decision models Most common model

    Relatively easy to perform

    Software (TreeAge/Data

    ) Often require expert panel

    Applies to average patient

    Population based

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    Decision Types

    Decision treeFixed time period

    Non-recursive (one-way only)All outcomes included

    Markov modelRecursive model (can move backwards)

    Cumulates values over time

    Versatile

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    Markov model

    EDSS 6-6.5

    EDSS 5-5.5

    EDSS 4-4.5

    EDSS 3-3.5

    EDSS 2-2.5

    EDSS 0-1.5

    Monosymptomatic

    Clinically

    Defined MS

    Second Event

    1st Year Transitions

    Expanded Disability Status ScaleIskedjian et al. Multiple Sclerosis2005; 11: 542-51

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    Markov model

    Monosymptomatic

    EDSS 0-1.5

    EDSS 2-2.5

    EDSS 3-3.5

    EDSS 4-4.5

    EDSS 5-5.5

    EDSS 6-6.5

    Second Event

    Multiple Year Transitions

    Iskedjian et al. Multiple Sclerosis2005; 11: 542-51

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    Base case analysis Identify what happens to the typical

    patient

    Number of treatments undergoneComponents of each treatment

    Resources consumed

    What happens if success, fail, etc.

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    Requirements for PEA

    Drug of interest

    Comparator(s)

    Measurements of both Success (and/or other) rates Costs of inputs (in $)

    Patient outcomes

    Outcomes expressed incrementally

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    Clinical efficacy

    Source of data RCT

    Head-to-head or IndirectObservational studies

    Type of data

    Intention to treat

    Per protocol (completers)

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    PEA types

    CCA = cost consequence analysis

    CBA = cost benefit analysis

    CMA = cost minimization

    CEA = cost effectiveness

    CUA = cost utility

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    Cost consequence (CCA)

    No summary statistic calculated

    Costs valued in $

    Outcomes quantified and listed

    Reader judges importance

    Could be in every PEA

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    Cost benefit (CBA)

    Measurement:Costs $

    Outcomes $ Benefit: Cost ratio calculatedB:C >1 socially beneficial

    Incremental ratio used

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    CBA example

    If a program costs $2000 and produces$5000 in benefits, as compared with theexisting program costing $1000 with

    benefits of $2000, Ratio1 = $5000/$2000 = 2.5

    Ratio2 = $2000/$1000 = 2.0

    Since ratio1:2 = 2.5/2.0 =1.25 >1, the newprogram produces more benefits and ispreferred, if affordable

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    CBA Advantages:

    Theory based

    Can use willingness to pay

    Contingent valuation

    Disadvantages

    Valuations

    Intangibles (pain, suffering)

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    Cost minimization (CMA)

    All outcomes sameMust be demonstrated

    Consider only costs Decision rule: lowest cost is preferred

    choice

    Example: gent vs tobra ??

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    Cost-effectiveness (CEA)

    Costs = $

    Outcomes = natural units

    Cures, deaths avoided Intermediate outcomesNot desirable (need linkage)

    e.g., Blood level (cholesterol)

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    Cost utility (CUA)

    Cost = $

    Outcome = patient utility

    QALY = quality adjusted life year Assess quality of life utility Quantify and adjust by utility

    Compare incrementally between drugs

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    Interpreting outcomes

    Incremental cost-outcome ratio:

    Cost1 Cost2__________________

    Benefit1 Benefit 2

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    Incremental analysis

    Compare costs and outcomes

    Ideal = lower cost + better outcomes

    Usual = more cost more outcome Problem = assessment

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    Incremental CEA

    If cost lower + benefit greater = dominant

    If incremental cost cost/outcome, then

    CEA If lower cost + lower outcome, could be

    OK

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    Interpretation of PEA results

    Outcome+

    Outcome-

    Cost+

    IncrementalCE

    Dominated

    Cost- Dominant ???

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    Interpretation: Suggestion

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    CEA example

    New drug cost = $500, cure = 0.7 (70%)

    Old drug cost $400, cure = 0.5 (50%)

    ICER = ($500 - $400)/(0.7 0.5) = $500 peradditional cure

    Old drug cost $400/0.5 = $800/cure; therefore,the new drug is cost-effective and should be

    adopted, if it can be afforded

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    CEA example 2

    New drug cost = $500, cure = 0.7

    Old drug cost $100, cure = 0.5

    ICER = ($500 - $100)/(0.7 0.5) = $1,000 per additional cure

    Requires judgment (no real rules)

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    CEA interpretation

    Dominant = adopt (if affordable)

    If the incremental cost cost/outcome of

    standard, then the new drug may beconsidered to be cost effective

    Otherwise, judgment required

    S

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    Summary

    PEA requires at least 1 drug and 1comparison treatment

    PEA involves simultaneous analysis ofcosts AND outcomes

    Decision makers prefer dominanttreatments they provide savings;incremental cost-effectiveness involves

    increased costs

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    Thank You