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OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An in-situ Venus explorer to be proposed as a Cosmic Vision M3 mission, for launch in 2020 – 2025

OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

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Page 1: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

Colin Wilson

Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford

&

Eric Chassefière

P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud

European Venus Explorer

An in-situ Venus explorer to be proposed as a Cosmic Vision M3 mission, for launch in 2020 – 2025

Page 2: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

ESA’s Cosmic Vision Programme

• ‘Cosmic Vision 2015-2025’ sets out goals for ESA’s Science Programme missions.

– What are the conditions for planet formation and the emergence of life?

– How does the Solar System work?

– What are the fundamental physical laws of the Universe?

– How did the Universe originate and what is it made of?

Note that this includes Astronomy & Fundamental Physics as well as Solar System missions

• First selection of missions was in 2007

– 2 ‘L-class’ missions: €650m cost capEJSM - Europa – Jupiter System MissionIXO - International X-ray ObservatoryLISA - Laser Inferometer to measure gravity waves

– 2 ‘M-class’ missions: €300m cost capEuclid – Dark matter mapperPlato – Exoplanet finderSolar Orbiter

• The current call is for a third M class mission with a nominal launch date by end 2022.

– Mission should be able to launch in 2020.

• €470m cost cap including launch vehicle.

Page 3: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

Why Venus?

• Venus should be the most Earthlike planet we know.

– Created at roughly the same time

– Apparently similar bulk composition

– Almost the same size & density

– Similar solar energy input (due to high reflectivity of Venus clouds).

• Early Venus was probably much like early Earth

Hot dense atmosphere rich in CO2 and water

• Venus also illustrates the probable fate of the Earth.

In ~ 1 billion years, with a brighter sun, the insolation at Earth will be similar to that at Venus today.

Will we be able to avoid the runaway greenhouse warming that is found at Venus?

Need to understand the ‘life story’ of terrestrial planets

Page 4: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

Why Venus?

• Venus provides the key to understanding terrestrial planets (and exo-planets!).

Venus allows study of the factors determining planetary habitaility:

Radiative balance (greenhouse warming, role of clouds)

Dynamics (role of super-rotation and equator-pole circulations in re-distributing heat)

Evolution of atmospheric composition (surface-atmosphere and atmosphere-space exchanges)

Role of magnetic field and solar wind interaction in governing escape rates.

Which is the most common outcome for terrestrial planets: Venus-like, Earth-like, or Mars-like?

Need to understand the ‘life story’ of terrestrial planets

Page 5: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

Why Venus?

• Venus balloons are easy!

Cloud environment of Venus is Earthlike, with T ~ 20°C, p = 0.5 atm, liquid water (albeit acidic)

Well-known atmospheric state from Venus Express; low risk for EDLS.

Bright sunshine : ample solar power available.

Extensive heritage

(Technology demonstrated by Vega balloons flown in1984)

Venus is the easiest planet to get to (only ~ 5 months cruise)

Strong winds enable circumnavigation of the planet in 8-10 days.

Page 6: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

European Venus Explorer

Timeliness

• The last in situ Venus mission was in 1984 – which will have been over 35 years ago by the time another one launches!

• Europe is currently in a leading position due to ESA’s Venus Express.

• Venus Express has raised many questions as to what occurs in the clouds and below (clouds are impenetrable to most wavelengths of the UV, visible and IR). Many processes in middle and lower atmosphere are still mysterious.

– In situ sensing will increase the return from remote sensing datasets. (e.g. exact composition of cloud particles.

• With NASA’s focus on ‘Moon and Mars’, Venus has been neglected in NASA’s exploration.

– Despite many proposals to NASA for Venus missions!

• The launch date of 2020-2022 allows time to develop enabling technologies.

• New technology allows more precise measurements and smaller instruments than the last generation of instruments from the 1970s.

Page 7: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

European Venus Explorer – A logical step in Venus

exploration

• Step 1 (2005-2015) : European Venus-Express mission and Japanese Venus Climate mission Orbiter

– Atmospheric and cloud dynamics

– (Incomplete) global scale chemistry of the low atmosphere

• Step 2a (2015-2025) : in-situ mission, with the use of atmospheric probes (balloons, descent probes)

– Venus climate evolution

– New data relative to atmospheric isotopic ratios, chemistry of the coupled surface/ atmosphere system, dynamics of the whole atmospheric system.

• Step 2b (2015-2025) : Next-generation radar mission

– Surface evolution

– Landing site characterisaton

• Step 3 (2025-2035) : Long-lived landers for the characterisation of the interior structure and dynamics of Venus

Page 8: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

EVE - Science goals

• Evolution of Terrestrial planets and formation of the Solar System

How did Venus evolve?

How was the solar system formed?

Why did Venus, Earth and Mars evolve so differently?

How did Venus lose its water?

History of vulcanism?

KEY MEASUREMENT REQUIREMENTS:

- isotopic ratios of light elements: O, C, N, D/H

- noble gas abundance measurements (Ar, Xe, Kr)

Serve as chronometers for evolutionary processe

Ma

ss f

ract

ion

wrt

pla

ne

t

10-3

10-4

10-5

10-6

10-7

10-8

10-9

10-10

10-11

10-12

CO2 CO2

CO2

N2 N2

N2

H2O

H2O

H2O

40Ar

40Ar

40Ar 36Ar

36Ar36Ar

90 bar 1 bar 7 mbar

Venus Earth Mars

10-3

10-4

10-5

10-6

10-7

10-8

10-9

10-10

10-11

10-12

CO2 CO2

CO2

N2 N2

N2

H2O

H2O

H2O

40Ar

40Ar

40Ar 36Ar

36Ar36Ar

90 bar 1 bar 7 mbar

Venus Earth Mars

10-3

10-4

10-5

10-6

10-7

10-8

10-9

10-10

10-11

10-12

CO2 CO2

CO2

N2 N2

N2

H2O

H2O

H2O

40Ar

40Ar

40Ar 36Ar

36Ar36Ar

90 bar 1 bar 7 mbar

Venus Earth Mars

10-3

10-4

10-5

10-6

10-7

10-8

10-9

10-10

10-11

10-12

10-3

10-4

10-5

10-6

10-7

10-8

10-9

10-10

10-11

10-12

CO2 CO2

CO2

N2 N2

N2

H2O

H2O

H2O

40Ar

40Ar

40Ar 36Ar

36Ar36Ar

90 bar 1 bar 7 mbar

Venus Earth Mars

• CO2 and N2 : Venus resembles Earth, but Mars is depleted by 3 orders of magnitude

• H2O : Venus is much dryer than Earth and Mars.

Page 9: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

EVE - Science goals

• Exploring the cloud-level environment

–Uniquely Earth-like environment: 20°C ; 0.5 bar ; liquid cloud droplets of H2O : H2SO4

–Clouds play an important (and poorly understood) role in radiative balance reflect sunlight => cooling block infrared emission => warming As on Earth, clouds represent greatest uncertainty in greenhouse calculations Clouds are highly variable; EVE can evaluate temporal & spatial variability of rad. balance

–The cloud region (50-70 km) is the engine of the atmospheric circulation The clouds are where 96% of the solar input is absorbed. This is where the highest winds are found This is the region which must be understood if we are to understand the circulation of slowly-rotating planets. Vertical convective winds of±3 m/s – dynamic region with a lot to study.

–The detailed composition of the clouds is as yet unknown Main constituent is known to be H2SO4 : H2O mix Evidence for phosphorus, chlorine, and Iron in clouds from ambiguous Soviet XRF results Complex and yet unknown chemistry Search for volcanogenic gases Search for lightning and its chmical products (e.g. NO ).

Page 10: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

EVE - Measurement goals

• Exploring the cloud-level environment

–Chemistry

–Microphysical properties

–Dynamics

–Radiative Balance

–Electric properties

• Evolution of Venus & its climate

–abundances of noble gases (Ar, Kr, Xe, …) and isotopic ratios of light elements (O,C, N …)

Page 11: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

EVE – Measurement goals

• Exploring the cloud-level environment

–Chemistry

–Microphysical properties

–Dynamics

–Radiative Balance

–Electric properties

• Evolution of Venus & its climate

–abundances of noble gases (Ar, Kr, Xe, …) and isotopic ratios of light elements (O,C, N …)

GC/MS with Aerosol inlet; Tunable diode laser

Nephelometer

p, T, tracking of balloon (winds)

6-ch radiometer (↑ and ↓, λ = 0.25 – 25 μm)

Permittivity, conductivity, electric charge of aerosol, lightning

Dedicated mass spectrometer with getters, cryotraps

Tunable diode laser to resolve ambiguities (e.g. CO vs N2 )

+ Cloud XRF

Page 12: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

EVE – baseline payload

InstrumentMass(kg)

Data rate1

(bits/s)TRL

(2007)Co-I Institutions Heritage

GC/MS & ACP 3.05 30 4/5 Service d’Aeronomie / Open Univ Rosetta, Huygens, Beagle2

Cloud XRF 0.3 1 5 Leicester Univ. Beagle 2, Bepi Colombo

Isotopic ; Noble Gas MS

4.0 11.6 4/5Open Univ / Service d’Aeronomie

/ U. BerneRosetta, Beagle 2

TDL spectrometer 1 5 5 Service d’Aeronomie / NASA/JPL Mars 2001 Lander, MPL

Nephelometer /Cloud particle study

2.3 1.4 4Cornell (USA) & TU Delft /

U. Hertforshire / U. ManchesterVenera, Vega, Pioneer Venus

Optical package 0.5 1.6 4+ Oxford U Mars Climate Sounder

Meteorological package

0.2 0.4 5 FMI / Oxford U / Padova

Open U. / DLRBeagle 2 / ExoMars

Accelerometers 0.5 0.8 8Open U / Padova /

Imperial CollegeBeagle 2, Huygens, ExoMars

Electrical & EM package

0.7 10.0 6 Eötvös Univ / Reading / RAL /

OxfordCompass-2, ISS

TOTAL 12.75 61.8 ~ 15 kg payload inc. margin

Page 13: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

EVE 2010 vs. EVE 2007

• EVE was proposed to ESA for CV 2007.

– Orbiter + Balloon + Lander

– Russia was to provide launcher, lander, and EDLS components

• EVE2007 made it through to the final 16, but not to the final 8 selected missions.

– EVE was included in ESA’s Technology Development roadmap.

– EVE2007 was viewed as very challenging given the cost cap of €300m cost to ESA.

For CV2010, we propose:

– A more tightly focussed mission, achievable without non-ESA partners

– A balloon element only Cruise vehicle provides data relay during flyby Thereafter, balloon communicates Direct-to-Earth

– More robust treatment of mass, power, and cost.

CNES has been funding Phase 0 studies of EVE.

Phase 0.1 (definition) – Oct 2009 – Jan 2010

Phase 0.2 (trade-offs) – Jan 2010 – June 2010

Phase 0.3 (detailed study) – July 2010 – Nov 2010 – Astrium (Toulouse) is studying a number of mission elements

Page 14: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

EVE 2010 – mission details

• Soyuz launch from Kourou – late 2021 or early 2023– Launch opportunities occur every 19 months

• Carrier spacecraft to deliver descent module to Venus– 190 day cruise (TBC)

– Descent module: 620 kg entry mass

• He superpressure balloon, 5.8 m diameter– Float altitude : 55 km ± 3 km

– Proven technology (c.f. Vega balloons: prototypes of 3.4 & 9.0 m )

– Floating mass : 92 kg

• Lifetime of balloon: 10 days (1 complete circumnavigation of planet)

• Science payload mass : 15 kg incl margin

• Power: mix of Primary batteries & solar cells

• Communications : via Carrier spacecraft while visible (for initial detailed analyses),

then direct-to-Earth (for long-term measurements).

Page 15: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

International collaboration

• EVE will be proposed as a mission which could be accomplished by ESA alone.

• International science team participation is welcome.

• Opportunities for internationally contributed instruments are possible

– European providers should be identified for mission-critical instruments.

• Discussions underway with several partners about the possibility about providing an independent (but simultaneous) Venus orbiter, capable of data relay and orbital context measurements.

– Russia

– India

Page 16: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

EVE - UK Science opportunities

• EVE address many science questions in which UK is world-leading:

– Geochemistry (isotopic ratio & noble gas signatures): Planetary & Sol. System evolution Manchester Oxford NHM Open Univ Imperial College London Lancaster

– In situ instrumentation: GC/MS – Open University XRF of cloud particles – Leicester University IR radiometry – Oxford University meteorological instrumentation – Oxford & Open Universities Electrical environment – Reading / RAL / Oxford In situ cloud particle properties – Hertfordshire / Manchester / Oxford

– Venus atmospheric modelling Oxford Open Univ Imperial College

• EVE2007 had a science team of 180 international scientists

Of these, 24 were from the UK.

Page 17: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

EVE -UK engineering

opportunities

The UK could play a leading part in some of the subsystems / instruments:

• Mass spectrometry (miniaturised and/or high-precision)

• In situ atmospheric measurements of meteorology and chemistry

• Balloon-deployed microprobes

Each of the above could be led by a UK PI !

Indusrial opportunities for the UK:

• World-leading instruments & miniaturisation (e.g. Mass Spec., XRF)

• Phased antenna array for Venus-Earth comms w/ no moving parts.

• Carrier spacecraft

• Batteries, solar cells, accelerometers/gyros …

• Microprobes, (new micro-class mission element)

Page 18: OXFORD RAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010 Colin Wilson Co-P.I. – Univ. of Oxford & Eric Chassefière P.I. – Univ. Paris Sud European Venus Explorer An

OXFORDRAS Venus meeting- 12 November 2010

European Venus Explorer

Thanks for your attention

http://www.univie.ac.at/EVE/