Upload
clementine-griffin
View
219
Download
1
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Overall Objectives of the Livestock Breed Survey in Oromia Regional State
• To describe, identify and classify the indigenous livestock genetic resources in the region and to obtain reliable estimates of population size and distribution.
In particular:• To describe what breeds or types of animals exist, in what numbers
and where they are.
• To describe what they look like.
• To define the environments in which different breeds are raised in terms of agro-ecological zone, disease, etc.
• To say for what purposes they are used, how they are bred and by which farmers.
• To determine farmers’ opinions on the main attributes of different breeds, in particular in terms of their adaptation to heat, drought and disease tolerance.
and so on ………………..
• To develop recommendations for utilisation of the livestock resources in Oromia Region.
Not an easy task!
Such a survey requires careful planning to ensure that these objectivescan be met.
At least 6 months should be set aside for planning a survey in a region.
This includes:
• seeking cooperation of partners• agreeing on objectives for the survey• planning how the survey will be executed and by whom• finding out what ancillary (census) statistics may be available on
household numbers, people and livestock.• organising a sampling frame• selecting zones, woredas and peasant associations to sample• organising for training of supervisors and enumerators• making sure that everyone is clear on final arrangements• planning for data entry and analysis and making arrangements with
those to be responsible………… and so on.
Cluster Sampling
• When sampling a large area it is easier in terms of survey costs and survey administration for the area to be first divided into clusters.
• To do so use can be made of the administrative structure in a country.
• In Ethiopia this is region zone woreda peasant association. Sampling units can be selected at each administrative layer in turn.
Stratified sampling
• The sampling units within a given administrative layer may vary in relation to a particular characteristic,
e.g. agro-ecological zone, livestock density and household size.
• A completely random sample may miss woredas from a certain agro-ecological zone or a particular livestock density. It may also not adequately represent the population of households in a village.
• By efficiently stratifying according to agro-ecological zone, livestock density or household size a more precise estimate of the number of livestock in a population can be achieved.
Sampling frame
Definition The entire list of zones, woredas, peasant
associations (P.A.) and households in a
region.
• How large should a survey be and how many zones, woredas, P.A.s and households should be sampled?
• This depends on funds available, costs of organising the survey, available manpower, administrative support, means of transport and ease of access to villages.
• Proportionally more units should be sampled at the upper than the lower layers. In the survey in Oromia Region all zones, approximately 30% of woredas, 17% of P.A.s per woreda and 4% of households per P.A. were sampled.
• This meant that approximately 1 in 500 households were sampled in Oromia Region.
Survey design and sampling frame
The Oromia Region covers a third of Ethiopia
All 12 zones of Oromia were included in survey
Oromia Zone
Survey design and sampling frame (cont.)
Stratification by:
• agro-ecological zone
• livestock density
Stratification by:
• numbers of livestock
• types of species
Stratification by:
• agro-ecological zone
Woreda
Peasant Association
Household
About 17% of P.A.s in each selected woreda sampled.
Thirty households sampled within each selected PA.
About 0.2%of all households (5558) sampled in the region.
Survey design and sampling frame (cont.)
Selected woredas (55 in total)
Sampling
About 30% of woredas in each zone sampled.
Sorted by livestock density Sorted by agr o- ecological zone
Woreda Livestock Livestock Woreda Agro-ecological zone (%)
per km2 density Name No. Name No. Woinadega Kolla Dega Abe Dongoro 2 13 low Sasiga 14 0 100 0 Sasiga 14 14 low Abe Dongoro 2 0 0 100 Wama Boneya 16 22 low Jimma Horro 11 0 0 100 Ebantu 6 25 low Jimma Arjo 10 33 33 33 Limu 12 35 medium Sibu Sire 15 33 33 33 Amuru Jarte 3 35 medium Wama Boneya 16 38 47 15 Nunu Kumba 13 50 mediu m Abay Chomen 1 50 50 0 Gidda Kiremu 7 52 medium Ebantu 6 50 50 0 Jimma Arjo 10 71 high Limu 12 50 40 0 Guduru 8 72 high Bila Sayo 4 50 0 50 Diga Leka 5 73 high Diga Leka 5 50 0 50 Guto Wayu 9 73 high Jimma Rare 17 50 0 50 Sibu Sire 15 74 high Amuru Jarte 3 100 0 0 Bila Sayo 4 76 high Gidda Kiremu 7 100 0 0 Abay Chomen 1 84 high Gudure 8 100 0 0 Jimma Horro 11 181 very high Guto Wayu 9 100 0 0 Jimma Rare 17 241 very high Nunu Kumba 13 100 0 0
Stratification and selection of woredas in East Wellaga Zone by agro-ecological zone and livestock density.
Selected woredas in East Wellaga Zone by agro-ecological zone and livestock density
0
33
50
100
DK
Low Medium High Very High
50 100 150 200 250
X
K K
W WW
D D K
X X
W W
D
D
% Woinadega
Sampled woreda D Dega X Woinadega K Kolla X Woinadega W Woinadega X Woinadega X Dega X Kolla
Livestock density (number per km2)
Selection of woredas of East Wellega by agro -ecological zone and livestock density
Agro-ecological zone
Dega Woinadega Kolla
Livestock density very high high low medium high low
Numbers of woredas 1 1 1 2 3 1
Selected for sampling 1 1
Dega/Woinadega Dega/Woinadega/Kolla Woinadega/Kolla
Livestock density very high high low medium high high
Numbers of woredas 1 2 1 1 2 1
Selected for sampling 1 1
Agro-ecological zone
1
Selection of woredas in East Wellaga zone
Summary
• Five woredas selected, one from each of Dega, Dega/Woinadega, Dega/Woinadega/Kolla, Woinadega and Woinadega/Kolla zones.
• One woreda selected from areas of very high (>180), two from areas of high (70-85) and two from areas of medium livestock density (35-55 livestock per km2).
• Representative sampling used to ensure balance in selection of woredas across agro-ecological zone and livestock density strata.
• No element of randomisation.
Selection of P.A.s
• In woredas covering different agro-ecological zones ( e.g. Woinadega/Dega) P.A.s were randomly sampled from within each agro-ecological zone.
• In woredas situated entirely with one agro-ecological zone P.A.s were randomly selected from all P.A.s in the woreda.
Woreda Agro-ecological zone
Limu
Woinadega
Kolla
3 0
Gidda Kiremu
Woinadega
2
Jimma Horo
Dega
3 P.A.s sampled
Woreda Agro-ecological zone
Diega Leka
Woinadega
Dega
1 2 P.A.s sampled
Sibu Sire
Woinadega Kolla Dega
1 1 0
East Wollega (17 woredas)
Limu (25 P.A.s) Jimma Horro (27 P.A.s)
Beriso (1339 households)
Haro (904) Asbo (741) Abe Bekel (1022) Bilkiltu S. (776) Balbala Sorgo (886 households)
Gidda Kiremu (22 P.A.s)
Gendo (662) Chafte Soruma (974)
Diga Leka (21 P.A.s) Sibu Sire (14 P.A.s)
Efa (486 households)
Kersa-Arjo (803) Menga-Kewiso (648) Bikila (1160) Bujura Amuma (1192 households)
Selection of woredas and P.A.s for East Wollega Zone
Selection of households
• Households selected as far as possible at random to ensure coverage of households with low, medium and high numbers of livestock.
• Ten households selected in turn for cattle, sheep and goats as the primary species.
• All households in each sampled P.A. subsequently categorised into low, medium and high numbers of livestock for each species in turn in order to facilitate estimation of the total numbers of cattle, sheep and goats in the P.A.
Sample selection of households by size category for cattle
Haro P.A. in Limu Woreda
Cattle numbers
Livestock size Low Medium High Total
Households in village
(N) 565 216 78 859
(%) 66 25 9 100
Sample size
Actual (n)
Proportional (n)
Ideal (n) a
7
20
16
12
7
7
11
3
7
30
30
30
a Approximately proportional to stratum size but with extra households in more variable ‘high’ group.
Methods of sampling (1)
Random sampling
• Samples drawn completely at random, each with an equal chance of being selected.
• This method generally applied in selection of households in a P.A.
• This method also used to select P.A.s from selected woredas stratified by agro-ecological zone.
• Only method that allows unbiased estimation of population numbers.
Methods of sampling (2)
Representative sampling
• Samples selected to be representative of population.
• This method applied at the zone layer.
• Method makes the estimation of overall population numbers in the zone more difficult unless additional ancillary data are available.
Methods of sampling (3)
Convenience sampling
• Samples selected to allow, for example, ease of access to a P.A. or household, or to make best use
of available manpower.
• Occasional use inevitable in such a survey.
• Document when method used.
• Provided such cases are few, probably reasonable to assume randomness for the purpose of estimation of
population numbers.
Methods of sampling (4)
Purposive sampling
• Sampling based, for example, on knowledge of known farming system or known breed unique to a certain location.
• Document when method used so that suitability of sample for inclusion in calculation of population estimates can be judged.
Summary
• Ensure sufficient replication at the upper administrative layers to allow efficient estimates of population numbers and breed distributions to be determined.
• But match this requirement with knowledge of available manpower, resources (transport, etc), adequacy of infrastructure (administration, roads, etc), quality of field staff and size of budget.
A few recommendations for successful survey design and implementation in Ethiopia.
• Determine what region / zone / woreda / P.A. statistics are already available on numbers of households, people or livestock that may help to improve the efficiency of sample selection and population estimation.
• Use this information to define appropriate strata for the sampling frame.
• Ensure that selections of sampling units at the woreda, P.A. and household levels at least are as far as possible at random.
• Above all, obtain high quality data from a manageable sample of
households.
Summary (continued)