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Outokumpu Capital Markets Day 2014 Strategy update
Mika Seitovirta
CEO
September 25, 2014
Disclaimer
This presentation contains, or may be deemed to contain, statements that are not historical facts
but forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on the current plans,
estimates and expectations of Outokumpu’s management based on information available to it on
the date of this presentation. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and
uncertainties, because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not
occur in the future. Future results of Outokumpu may vary from the results expressed in, or implied
by, the forward-looking statements, possibly to a material degree. Factors that could cause such
differences include, but are not limited to, the risks described in the "Risk factors" section of
Outokumpu’s latest Annual Report and the risks detailed in Outokumpu’s most recent financial
results announcement. Outokumpu undertakes no obligation to update this presentation after the
date hereof.
September 25, 2014
Contents
1. Stainless steel markets
2. Outokumpu turnaround
3. Raising the bar
4. Summary
Appendix
2 September 25, 2014
3
Global megatrends driving stainless steel
demand Global megatrends Area of demand
Population Growth
Urbanization
Mobility
Climatic Change /
Limited Resources
Medical Engineering Food Industry Water Demand
Architecture Interior Fittings Escalators
Solar Energy
Transport
Wind Energy Green Technology
Automotive Public Transport
September 25, 2014
4
Continued growth for stainless steel globally
Source: SMR, September 2014
Real demand for total stainless steel (rolled & forged, excl. 13Cr tubes)
APAC
Other Americas USA
AMERICAS
Other EMEA Other APAC China
EUROPE
13 12 14 16f 17f 15f
13 14 16f 15f 12 17f
GLOBAL
+8% +3%
+5% +4%
+8%
+4% +2%
+4% +3%
+6% +4%
+2%
17f 16f 15f 12 14 13
+1%
-0%
+4% +3% +2% +2%
16f 17f 15f 13 12 14
+12% +9%
+7% +6% +6% +5%
13 15f 12 16f 17f 14
+1% +1%
+5% +4% +6%
12 13 15f 14 17f 16f
+8%
+4% +5%
+4% +6%
12 13 17f 15f 16f 14
+19%
+12%
+7% +8%
+7% +5%
17f 16f 15f 14 13 12
+3% +4% +4% +4% +5%
+4%
16f 17f 15f 14 13 12
+7% +6% +5% +5% +4%
+9%
+4%
+1%
September 25, 2014
5
Supply/demand balance remains a key
Source: SMR real demand September 2014; CRU Aug 2014
Overcapacity in Asia High imports in Europe Healthy situation in Americas
7.8 8.5 9.8
11.1 12.2 13.0 13.9 14.7
5.0 5.1
5.2
5.4 5.6
5.9 6.2
6.4
12.8 13.6
15.0
16.5
17.8 18.9
20.1 21.1
14.8
16.1
18.3
20.1
22.8
24.7 26.1 26.3
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
f
20
15
f
20
16
f
20
17
f
Demand covered by Rest Asia
Demand covered China
CRU Capacity
1.0 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.8
0.7
0.8 0.8
0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.7
2.1 2.3
2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0
3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
f
20
15
f
20
16
f
20
17
f
Demand covered by Rest Americas
Demand covered by USA
CRU Capacity
[CR, Mio.t]
2.8 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.0
0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0
3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.9
4.9 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
f
20
15
f
20
16
f
20
17
f
Demand covered by Imports
Demand covered by EU Mills
CRU Capacity
[CR, Mio.t] [CR, Mio.t]
September 25, 2014
Base prices recovered recently, but still low
at historical standards Transaction prices 304 stainless steel (USD) 1) Base prices 304 stainless steel (EUR) 1)
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Jan
2011
Jan
2012
Jan
2013
Jan
2014
Europe
USA
China
- 14 % - 18 % - 18 % - 20 % - 21 % - 21 %- 14 %
2014* 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
Price difference China vs. Europe:
Source: CRU September 2014
*Jan-Sept 2014
1) 2mm sheet cold rolled 304 grade
1,000
1,050
1,100
1,150
1,200
1,250
1,300
Jan
2011
Jan
2012
Jan
2013
Jan
2014
Germany
6
Transaction prices never really recovered from the global financial crisis. The gap between Chinese and European transaction prices is growing ever since. In July 2013, European base prices seem to have reached the bottom. Although having recovered recently, still remaining on a low level.
September 25, 2014
7
Unbalanced trade flows High pressure to export Asian overcapacities to other regions
Source: Foreign trade statistics September 2014
[CR in kt] [2013]
Factors supporting exports:
Exchange rate benefits
Cost advantages
Government subsidies
Different regulations
160
530
150
110
115
40
Global trade flows are starting to stabilize but the problem of Asian overcapacity persists. Increasing pressure to export Asian overcapacities to other regions like Europe and NAFTA.
EU antidumping case
Nickel ore ban ?
Game changers:
September 25, 2014
Contents
1. Stainless steel markets
2. Outokumpu turnaround
3. Raising the bar
4. Summary
Appendix
8 September 25, 2014
Outokumpu – A global leader in stainless
steel Outokumpu profile Outokumpu global footprint
Key facts & figures (EURm) Sales by business area (2013) 2)
2013 H1/14
Sales 6,745 3,371
EBITDA -165 -8
Total assets 8,823 6,642
Personnel 12,561 12,365
1) Market shares 2013 are calculated based on cold rolled deliveries. Source: Eurofer April 2014, AISI March
2014, CRU February 2013
2) External sales
3) Graph shows direct sales only = ~55% of Outokumpu’s total sales in 2013
USA
Cost efficient integrated
mill (Calvert). High
performance stainless
plate, bar and pipe
production units.
Mexico
Cold rolling mill in San
Luis Potosí, Mexico.
Focus on ferritics and
tailored solutions.
Sweden
Stainless production
units, plate products,
and R&D center.
Finland
Modern fully integrated chrome
mine, ferrochrome works and
stainless steel production unit
and R&D center. Group HQ.
China
Cold rolling and
service centers.
Germany
High quality stainless
steel production and
R&D units.
UK
Integrated stainless
production site,
specializing in long
products.
4% 5% 6%
14% 64%
7% 7%
29%
21% 5%
17%
21%
Other operations
Long Products
Quarto Plate
APAC
Coil Americas
Coil EMEA
• Creates advanced materials that are
efficient, long lasting and recyclable –
helping to build a world that lasts forever
• Strong market position: Market share of
35% in Europe, 20% in NAFTA and 1% in
Asia1)
• Employs about 12,500 professionals in
more than 40 countries, with headquarters
in Espoo, Finland
• Shares listed in the NASDAQ OMX Helsinki
9
Other
Heavy industries
Metal processing
Architecture & Building
Automotive
Consumer goods
~55% of sales is direct sales to end-customers 3)
September 25, 2014
10
Delivering against our plans in the past 20 months
Synergies and efficiency programs – proceeding ahead of plans 1
Calvert ramp-up – progressing towards completion in 2016 3
Remedy solved & extensive financial arrangements
resulting in significantly stronger balance sheet 4
Working capital management and capex – new standards set 5
New leadership and BA structure with stronger commercial focus 6
EMEA restructuring – Krefeld melt shop closed, Bochum ramp down 2
September 25, 2014
11
New organization and leadership
o Long Products – Kari Tuutti
o Quarto Plate – Kari Parvento
New business area structure with new leaders
o Coil EMEA – Olli-Matti Saksi
o Coil Americas – Mick Wallis
o APAC – Austin Lu
Ambition to outperform competition and create long-term
shareholder value.
Focus on commercial strength and operational excellence,
while continuing to improve profitability and cash flows.
September 25, 2014
September 25, 2014 12
Long Products Overview
Rolling & finishing
Melting & casting
Degerfors
Sheffield
Wildwood
Richburg
• Sales: EUR 352 million
• EBIT excl. NRI: EUR 14 million
• Operating capital: EUR 153 million
• Employees: 654
• Blooms, billets, ingots and slabs
• Bar and rebar
• Wire rod
• Welded pipe
in all standard & specialty
stainless steel grades
Americas
EMEA
End users & processors
Distributors • Metal processing 67%
• Chemical & energy 13%
• Automotive 6%
• Food and catering 3%
• Architecture, Building and
Construction 2%
• Other 9%
69%
31% Capacities p.a.
• Degerfors/billets, heavy bar 40kt
• SMACC/slabs, blooms,
billets, ingots 450kt
• Sheffield/wire rod 25kt
• Richburg/bars, heavy bars 40kt
• Wildwood/pipes 20kt
• Acerinox
• Schmolz & Bickenbach
• Valbruna
• Cogne
• Carpenter
• Tsingchang
Deliveries by end-customer segment 1)
Products Key competitors
Key facts H1/2014
Leverage US presence
Optimize cost efficiency
Enhanced specialty focus
Strategic priorities:
1) Deliveries Jan-Aug 2014, management estimates
September 25, 2014 13
Quarto Plate Overview
Plate & service center
Added value services (Prefab & PressPlate)
Degerfors Sheffield
• Sales: EUR 216 million
• EBIT excl. NRI: EUR -12 million
• Operating capital: EUR 253 million
• Employees: 857
• Tailor made heavy plate
• Added value services: cutting,
bending, edge preparation from
mill and local service centers
• Standard heavy plate
• Added value products (Prefab &
PressPlate)
The widest range of heavy plate
solutions with respect to product,
dimension and service.
Americas
EMEA
Capacities p.a.
• Degerfors 1) /quarto plate 150 kt
• New Castle/quarto plate 60 kt
• Acerinox
• Acroni
• Allegheny Ludlum /ATI
• Baosteel
• DKC
• Industeel
• Jindal
• Nippon Yakin
• NSSC
• TISCO
External deliveries by industry group
Products Key competitors
Key facts H1/2014 Leverage position in standard plate
following the Degerfors investment
Expand in custom made
Develop route to market
Strategic priorities:
New Castle
Mill
Kunshan
APAC
Jyväskylä
Avesta
Aalten
Gingen
Castelleone
2% 10%
11%
29% 19%
10%
19% Architecture, Building & Construction
Chemical and energy
Chemical Tankers
Distribution
Fabricators
Heavy Industry
Pipes
1) After the ramp-up
EBITDA improving in all business areas
Coil EMEA Coil Americas
APAC
6659
43
3
3232
II I IV III II I
110 1
-19
-35
-50
-70
-38
II I I IV III II
16
2
-3-3
02
II I I IV III II
4
-2-3
43
4
IV III II I II I
EBITDA excl. NRI (EUR million)
• Clear improvement over 2013
despite lower volumes driven
by synergies and cost
reduction programs
EBITDA excl. NRI (EUR million)
EBITDA excl. NRI (EUR million)
-193 • Technical and commercial
ramp-up of the Calvert mill
ongoing
• Improving towards EBITDA
break-even for the full year
2014
• Demand and
prices in APAC
fluctuating
• Profitability
dependent
on volumes
9 • Improved capacity
utilization in SMACC
• Good business
conditions and
performance in the
US
14
Quarto Plate Long Products
-5
2
-2-2-3
9
I II IV III II I
EBITDA excl. NRI (EUR million)
• Ramp-up of
Degerfors mill
ongoing
• Profitability
dependent
on volumes
EBITDA excl. NRI (EUR million)
1 -3
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
2013 2014 2013 2014
September 25, 2014
Contents
1. Stainless steel markets
2. Outokumpu turnaround
3. Raising the bar
4. Summary
Appendix
15 September 25, 2014
Commercial strength
Right assets
in the right places
Competitive cost structure
Operational excellence
16
Raising the bar
Industry
leading
foundation
Unlock the potential
Close the gap to competitors
Differentiate
A
September 25, 2014
B
C
D
17
We have right assets in the right places
in EMEA we…
have formed the leading production network through merger and restructuring
are situated in the most attractive market regions (Germany & Nordics)
have globally leading cost position with our plant in Tornio
have the globally leading specialty melt shop in Avesta
are investing in the upgrade of our cold rolling system in Germany
in NAFTA we…
are in the final phase of ramping up the leading state-of-art greenfield plant in
Calvert with competitive conversion costs in NAFTA
have Mexinox as the leading mill in high-end value added applications
in
Quarto Plate we…
have a globally leading position in terms of product capabilities and capacities
have invested in state-of-art technology in our plants in Degerfors and New
Castle
No 1
No 2
No 2
A
September 25, 2014
18
Efficiency programs continue with higher
ambition
Cost
Cash
P150
P300
=>
=>
=
=
P250
P400
B
Further potential in
cost streamlining
P250 launched until
end of 2015
Target to release
EUR 300 million
of cash from NWC
remains intact
Additional EUR
100 million by the
end of 2015
September 25, 2014
19
Significant potential in yield improvement
Yield: ~90%
Yield
loss -10%
Yield
loss -1%
Yield
loss -20% + Rework
RM purchase Melting Hot rolling Cold rolling
Yield: ~99% Yield: ~80%
Scrap
Cold rolled
products
Black
strip Slab
Industry average:
In producing 1 Mt of stainless steel,
a yield improvement of one percentage point
brings up to EUR 10 million cost advantage.
x 70-80% total yield
excl. rework
C
= x
Yield losses along the production chain
Source: Outokumpu analysis September 25, 2014
Customer satisfaction drivers
Product quality
Delivery reliability Commercial terms
Other
Technical expertise
Easy to deal with
D
20 September 25, 2014
21
Customer segmentation
Spot Business Project & Contract Business Contract Business Contract Business
Global Market: Adj. SMR STS Flat + LP End-use global demand Y2013
CAGR (‘13-’17): Adj. SMR STS Flat + LP End-Use global CAGR (05-2014)
OTK Volume: share of 2013 stainless steel deliveries
Global
Market
CAGR
(‘13-’17)
OTK Vol. ~60% of
deliveries
17,460 kt
5.9 %
Route-to-Market
Global
Market
CAGR
(‘13-’17)
OTK Vol.
~14% of
deliveries
7,180 kt
6.2 %
Chemical &
Energy
Architecture
& Building
Heavy
Industry
Heating &
Cooling
Industrial Applications
Global
Market
CAGR
(‘13-’17)
OTK Vol. ~13% of
deliveries
1,990 kt
5.6 %
Transport
Global
Market
CAGR
(‘13-’17)
OTK Vol. ~13% of
deliveries
8,290 kt
5.6 %
Consumer Goods
Distributors Tubes
& Pipes
Fabricators Service
Centers
Automotive Shipbuilding
Light
Transport
Heavy
Transport
Kitchenware Catering
White Goods Food &
Beverage
D
September 25, 2014
22
267
273
939
232
Japan
CR consumption 2013
1,122
India 1,961
China 11,081
APAC 16,581
Brazil
Mexico
USA 1,597
Americas 2,455
MEE, Africa, CIS
Nordic EU
Germany 1,003
Europe 3,436
EMEA 4,150
Building on our strong home market positions
3.4%
3.8%
5.0%
3.8%
3.6%
3.6%
3.6%
3.7%
CAGR 2013-17 Number of CR producers
6.1%
6.9%
7.5%
0.7%
(> 50)
(> 10)
(> 100)
(10)
2.9%
SMR September 2014
update: September 18,2014
EMEA= Europe (EU30) +MEE, Africa, CIS
Market position
Outokumpu
D
September 25, 2014
Contents
1. Stainless steel markets
2. Outokumpu turnaround
3. Raising the bar
4. Summary
Appendix
23 September 25, 2014
Levers to improve profitability and cash flow
Savings programs
Americas ramp-up
Quarto Plate and Long Products
EMEA restructuring
24
Working capital and capex
Execute
Position for growth
Enlarge
Focus
September 25, 2014
Summary and key messages
25
• From restructuring to customer experience and operational excellence
• Unlocking the potential of our assets
Increased focus on
customer and operational
excellence
• Expanded efficiency and savings measures
• Determined focus on profitability and cash flow
Execution of the
turnaround plan continues
with accelerated speed
and higher ambition level
• Good progress in synergy and cost savings, restructuring, ramp-ups
and deleveraging
Focused strategic agenda
for the past 20 months
bears fruit
Focus on shareholder
value
• Improving financial performance year by year with lower performance volatility
• Efficient working capital management and healthy cash flows
• Further deleveraging of the balance sheet
• Returning to dividend paying mode
September 25, 2014