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Nathaniel Smith, MD, MPH, Director and State Health Officer Outbreak Response/Epidemiology Influenza Weekly Report Arkansas 2017-2018 Week Ending Saturday 01/27/2018 Dirk Haselow, MD, PhD State Epidemiologist, Medical Director, Outbreak Response Shirley Louie, MS, CIH Deputy State Epidemiologist, Director, Center for Public Health Practice Prepared by: Haytham Safi, MD, MPH Influenza Surveillance Coordinator [email protected] 501-661-2920 Quinyatta Mumford, MPH, CHES Mike Cima, PhD Public Health Preparedness Epidemiologists January 30, 2018

Outbreak Response/Epidemiology Influenza Weekly Report ... · Nathaniel Smith, MD, MPH, Director and State Health Officer Outbreak Response/Epidemiology Influenza Weekly Report

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Nathaniel Smith, MD, MPH, Director and State Health Officer

Outbreak Response/Epidemiology

Influenza Weekly Report

Arkansas 2017-2018

Week Ending Saturday 01/27/2018

Dirk Haselow, MD, PhD

State Epidemiologist, Medical Director, Outbreak Response

Shirley Louie, MS, CIH

Deputy State Epidemiologist, Director, Center for Public Health Practice

Prepared by:

Haytham Safi, MD, MPH

Influenza Surveillance Coordinator

[email protected]

501-661-2920

Quinyatta Mumford, MPH, CHES

Mike Cima, PhD

Public Health Preparedness Epidemiologists

January 30, 2018

1

During the flu season the Arkansas Department of Health (ADH) produces a Weekly Influenza Report for

clinicians. The report provides information on flu activity in the state. The report also compares influenza like

illness (ILI) in Arkansas to activity in the U.S. ADH receives reports of only a fraction of flu cases. Therefore,

it is important to understand that the information in the weekly update is representative of the timing and

location of activity, but it does not reflect the overall burden of disease. It is presumed that there are many more

people actually affected than the report shows. Clinicians and policy makers may find the report helpful in

terms of communicating to colleagues and patients about the current status of the flu season.

Report Key Points:

For Week 4, Arkansas reported “Widespread” activity to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

(CDC) for geographic spread of influenza, and “High” or 10/10 for ILI intensity.

Since October 1, 2017, over 32,000 positive influenza tests have been reported to the ADH online database

by health care providers. In Week 4, 71 counties reported influenza cases. The majority of reports came

from Benton, Pulaski, Faulkner, Washington, Sebastian, Craighead, Garland, Independence, White,

Randolph, and Saline.

Among flu antigen tests that can distinguish between influenza A and B virus types, 71 percent were

influenza A, and 29 percent were influenza B.

There were 320 positive PCR flu tests last week from private labs: 156 influenza A, and 163 influenza B; 1

positive influenza A subtype H3N2. At the ADH lab, there were 5 positive influenza A subtype H3N2, 1

positive influenza A subtype H1N1, 1 positive influenza B subtype Yamagata; 4 samples tested negative

this week.

About 7.9 percent of patients visiting emergency rooms last week were there for ILI. About 8.2 percent of

outpatient visits were for ILI.

The average school absenteeism rate last week was 7.7 percent among public schools.

To date, 94 influenza-related deaths have been reported in Arkansas this flu season, 92 among adult persons

and 2 pediatric deaths.

Since October 1, 2017, 44 facilities including 34 nursing homes have reported influenza outbreaks.

The proportion of deaths reported to the National Center for Health Statistics attributed to pneumonia and

influenza (P&I) was above the system-specific epidemic threshold.

For Week 3, the geographic spread of influenza was reported as widespread in Puerto Rico and 49 states,

Guam reported regional activity, the District of Columbia and 1 state reported local activity, the U.S. Virgin

Islands reported sporadic activities.

You can report flu year-round and view the weekly influenza report during the influenza season at:

http://www.healthy.arkansas.gov/programs-services/topics/influenza.

You can also access the reporting website directly at: https://FluReport.ADH.Arkansas.gov

For Additional National and International Influenza Surveillance Information:

World Health Organization (WHO): http://www.who.int/influenza/gisrs_laboratory/flunet/en/index.html. CDC - Seasonal Influenza (Flu) - Weekly Report: http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/

2

2017-2018 Influenza CD/Epi Weekly Report (Week 4: 01/21/18 - 01/27/18)

Death Report for Week 4

Deaths from all causes: 870

Deaths due to Pneumonia: 112

PCR confirmed Flu Deaths: 0

Death Certificate or Flu Antigen only: 24

Cumulative Flu Deaths since 10/01/2017

PCR confirmed Flu deaths: 11

Death Certificate or Flu Antigen only: 83

Cumulative Flu deaths: 94

ER Visits

Week Ending: 01/27/2018

Weighted Average: 7.9%

– Total Visits: 23,701

– Visits with ILI: 1,890

Previous Week Weighted Average: 7.8%

– Total Visits: 21,711

– Visits with ILI: 1,696

Total Flu-Related Hospital Admissions

PCR Confirmed:

– Cumulative: 505

– Week ending 01/27/2018: 42

Antigen Positive:

– Cumulative: 1,159

– Week ending 01/27/2018: 72

Weekly Arkansas ILI Intensity Level

Reported by Sentinel Providers

PCR Lab Confirmed Influenza

Total Cases since 10/01/2017: 3,165

Week Ending 01/27/2018: 327

PCR Tests

ADH

Lab

Week 4

Other

Labs

Week 4

Cumulative

Cases Since

10/01/2017

A+ 0 156 2,135

B+ 0 163 845

B/Victoria 0 0 0

B/ Yamagata 1 0 20

H1N1+ 1 0 18

H3+ 5 1 138

Unsubtypeable 0 0 9

Total 7 320 3,165

Negative 4 -- --

PCR Confirmed Influenza Cases since 10/01/2017

Age Groups PCR+ Hospitalized Deaths

0-4 yr. 335 21 0

5-18 yr. 861 20 1

19-24 yr. 166 10 0

25-44 yr. 408 22 0

45-64 yr. 599 125 1

>= 65 yr. 786 307 9

Unknown 10 0 0

Total 3,165 505 11

School Absenteeism*

Week Ending: 01/27/2018

- Percent Absent: 7.7

- Previous Week: 8.85

Average daily absenteeism for all public schools during this reporting week.

Geographic ILI Activity Level Reported for Week 3:

3

School Report

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

144

04

14

24

34

44

54

64

74

84

95

05

1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91

01

11

21

31

41

51

61

71

81

92

02

12

22

32

42

52

62

72

82

93

03

13

23

33

43

53

63

73

83

9

Pe

rce

nt

Ab

sen

tWeekly School Absenteeism Rates, Arkansas Public Schools

Off Season Baseline 2016-17 2017-18 Average 2012-17

Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep

Week, Month of Report

4

Hospital Report – Downloaded from ESSENCE (Syndromic Surveillance)

Percent ER Visits with ILI

2 3 11 1 1 2 3 13 1 3 21 1

21 1 2 1 1

7

2

614

3

2 11 14

2 14

1

34

2 1

8

33

15

2

11 12

28

2

30

1011 5

29

2

8

74

42

2588

13

51

79

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Influenza Mortality by Age Group, Arkansas 2000-2017 (Provisional) Report Updated: 01/27/2018

65+ Yrs

45-64 Yrs

25-44 Yrs

19-24 Yrs

5-18 Yrs

0- 4 Yrs

* All seasons range from week 40 to week 39 except 2009-2010 started week 36Source: ADH Immunization Section, Center for Health Statistics

Nu

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er o

f D

eath

s

Flu Season *

5

Arkansas Subset of US Outpatients Influenza Surveillance (ILINET)

Weekly Influenza Claims Paid by Medicaid and BCBS

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39

Pe

rce

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of

Ou

tpat

ien

ts V

isit

s D

ue

to

ILI

Week, Month of Report

Percentage of Outpatient Visits Due to Influenza-like Illness Reported by ILINet in Arkansas

2017-18 Average 2012-17 Off Season Rate 2016-17

| Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep |

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39

Nu

mb

er

of

Cla

ims

Pai

d E

ach

We

ek

Influenza Claims Paid by Medicaid and BCBS of Arkansas

Average 2012-17 YR 2016-17 Off Season Baseline YR 2017-18

| Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep

Week, Month of Report

6

Influenza Positive Tests Reported to CDC and ILI Activity, by HHS Region,

2017-2018 Season, Week Ending January 20, 2018 Values in legend is for the highlighted HHS region (Region 6)

Weekly Influenza Activity Estimates Reported by State and Territorial Epidemiologists

Arkansas Flu Activity Level Reported for Week 4: Widespread

7

Antigen Report:

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

20

17

40

20

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42

20

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44

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52

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38

Nu

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of

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siti

ve T

est

s

Year Week

Reported Influenza Positive Antigens by Age Group, Arkansas 2017-18

0-4 Yrs 5-18 Yrs 19-24 Yrs 25-44 Yrs 45-64 Yrs 65+ Yrs

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

20

17

40

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42

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46

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48

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50

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52

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38

Nu

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of

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ve T

est

s

Year Week

Reported Influenza Positive Antigens by Type, Arkansas 2017-18

A+ Antigen B+ Antigen Undetermined Antigen +

8

Influenza Positive Tests Reported to CDC by U.S. Public Health Laboratories,

National Summary, 2017-18 Season

Pneumonia and Influenza Mortality from the National Center for Health Statistics Mortality Surveillance System Data through the week

ending January 6, 2017, as of January 25, 2018