Upload
malcolm-cummings
View
219
Download
3
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
OregonOregon’s Economic
OutlookOffice of Economic Analysis
Tom PotiowskyPortland, Oregon
April 9, 2010
U.S. Recession Employment Losses
-7.0%
-6.0%
-5.0%
-4.0%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
0 3 6 9
12
15
18
21
24
27
30
33
36
39
42
45
48
51
54
57
60
63
Number of Months from NBER Peak
% f
rom
NB
ER
Pe
ak
1948 19531957 19601969 19731980 19811990 20012007 Recovery
Employment Losses (through March 2010)
20011990
1981
1973
1953
3
Oregon
• 10.5% unemployment rate for February 2010 (Feb US rate is 9.7%) is up from the latest lowest rate of 5.0% in April 2007 and down from the highest rate of 11.6% in May and June 2009.
• 35th fastest job growth at -3.03% for all states for February 2010 over February 2009.
• Total nonfarm employment dropped -5.7% year-over-year for the 4th quarter of 2009. Job losses (S.A.) from February 2008 to December 2009 (up 1,000 in January). The last six months’ losses averaged 3,250 per month versus 10,017 per month over the first six months of 2009.
• -0.4% personal income growth for 3rd quarter of 2009 over 3rd quarter of 2008. Annualized 3rd quarter 2009 growth at 1.9%.
• Oregon exports increased 3.2% in the 4th quarter compared to the same period last year but finished 2009 down 23% over 2008. (Export growth is positive Q/Q and is expected to follow the global economy)
Recent Oregon Economy Facts
5
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Energy
Housing
Community Services
Workforce
Natural Resources
Public Safety
Transportation
Health & Human Services
Education
Employment
Millions
Funds Awarded
Funds Expended
Oregon and ARRA
Oregon’s spending allotment is $3.9 billion, plus tax relief measures. Through December 31st, $2.5 billion has been awarded with $1.7 billion spent.
Source: www.oregon.gov/recovery
Unemployment Rate by Region, February 2010(Not seasonally adjusted for counties)
Source: Oregon Employment Department Office of Economic Analysis
10.3%
11.2%11.5%
14.0%14.7% 12.1%
Oregon: 11.4% (seasonally adjusted: 10.5%)U. S.: 10.4% (seasonally adjusted: 9.7%)
Unemployment rate by MSA designations, February 2010 Note: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro includes Clark and Skamania counties in Washington State
11.4%10.9%
13.2%
15.8%
7.4%
11.4%
13.1%
11.1% 11.1%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
OREGON Oregonmetropolitan
counties
Oregon Non-metropolitan
counties
Bend Corvallis Eugene-Springfield
Medford Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro
Salem
Metropolitan Statistical Areas
Office of Economic AnalysisSource: Oregon Employment Department
Unemployment Rate by County, February 2010(Seasonally adjusted)
Office of Economic Analysis
Cro
okH
arne
yD
ougl
asD
esch
utes
Lin
nJo
seph
ine
Jeff
erso
nK
lam
ath
Wal
low
aG
rant
Coo
sC
olum
bia
Cur
ryJa
ckso
nL
ake
Ore
gon
Lan
eS
herm
anY
amhi
llC
lack
amas
Mul
tnom
ahM
alhe
ur
Um
atill
aU
nion
Cla
tsop
Was
hing
ton
Mor
row
Pol
kT
illam
ook
Was
coH
ood
Riv
erG
illia
m
Lin
coln
Bak
erMar
ion
Whe
eler
Ben
ton
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
Source: Oregon Employment Department
Unemployment Rate by County, February 2009 & February 2010
(Seasonally adjusted)
Office of Economic Analysis
Cro
okH
arne
yD
ougl
as
Des
chut
esLi
nn Jose
phin
eJe
ffer
son
Kla
mat
h
Wal
low
a Gra
ntC
oos
Col
umbi
aC
urry
Jack
son
Lake
Lane
Sher
man Yam
hill
Cla
ckam
asM
ario
nM
ultn
omah
Mal
heur
Linc
oln
Whe
eler
Bak
erU
mat
illa
Uni
onC
lats
opW
ashi
ngto
n
Mor
row
Polk
Was
coH
ood
Riv
er
Gill
iam Ben
ton
Tillam
ook
Oregon
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Source: Oregon Employment Department
Median income for Oregon counties, 2008
Office of Economic Analysis
Cla
ckam
as
Was
hin
gto
nC
olu
mb
iaY
amh
ill
Ben
ton
Po
lkD
esch
ute
sM
ult
no
mah
Mo
rro
w
Ho
od
Riv
erM
ario
nG
illi
am
Lin
nU
mat
illa
Cla
tso
pC
roo
k
Jeff
erso
nS
her
man
Jack
son
Har
ney
Bak
er
Co
os
Cu
rry
Til
lam
oo
k
Mal
heu
r
Lak
eJo
sep
hin
eG
ran
t
Ore
go
n
Do
ug
las
Un
ion
Lan
e
Wh
eele
rWas
co
Wal
low
a
Lin
coln
Kla
mat
h0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Estimate Branch
CLATSOP
WASHINGTON
MULTNOMAH
COLUMBA
DOUGLAS
LANE
LINCOLNPOLK
YAMHILL
TILLAMOOK
MARION
COOS
DESCHUTES
MALHEURHARNEYLAKEKLAMATHJACKSONJOSEPHINE
CURRY
HOOD RIVER
BENTONLINN
JEFFERSON
CROOK
WALLOWAUMATILLA
MORROW
GILLIAM
WASCO
SHERMAN
WHEELER
GRANT
BAKER
UNION
< $50,000+
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Income & Poverty Estimates
CLACKAMAS
Median income
$40,000 – $50,000
Oregon: $50,165US: $52,029
Less than $40,000
Median Income, 2008
Poverty rate for Oregon counties, 2008
Office of Economic Analysis
Mal
heu
r
Jose
ph
ine
Lak
eC
oo
s
Was
coK
lam
ath
Bak
er
Wh
eele
rL
inco
ln
Jeff
erso
nS
her
man
Jack
son
Har
ney
Mar
ion
Lan
eB
ento
n
Til
lam
oo
kG
ran
t
Um
atil
la
Do
ug
las
Mo
rro
w
Cla
tso
p
Ho
od
Riv
er
Cro
ok
Yam
hil
l
Po
lk
Gil
liam
Co
lum
bia
Des
chu
tes
Was
hin
gto
nOre
go
n
Un
ion
Cla
ckam
as
Lin
n
Cu
rry
Wal
low
a
Mu
ltn
om
ah0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Estimate Branch
CLATSOP
WASHINGTON
MULTNOMAH
COLUMBIA
DOUGLAS
LANE
LINCOLNPOLK
YAMHILL
TILLAMOOK
MARION
COOS
DESCHUTES
MALHEURHARNEYLAKEKLAMATHJACKSONJOSEPHINE
CURRY
HOOD RIVER
BENTON LINN
JEFFERSON
CROOK
WALLOWAUMATILLAMORROW
GILLIAM
WASCO
SHERMAN
WHEELER
GRANT
BAKER
UNION
> 17 %
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Income & Poverty Estimates
CLACKAMAS
% of personsunder poverty
15 – 17 %
Less than 12 %
Oregon: 13.5%US: 13.2%
12 – 15 %
Poverty Rate by County, 2008($20,650 for family of 4)
Annual Population Growth Rate for Oregon and Metropolitan Areas
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
Oregon Metropolitancounties
Non-metropolitan
counties
Bend Medford Portland-Beaverton
Salem Corvallis Eugene-Springfield
Per
cent
cha
nge
2000-09 2008-09
Office of Economic AnalysisSource: U. S. Census Bureau; and PSU
DeschutesCrook
JeffersonWashington
JacksonMorrow
ClackamasYamhill
OregonMarion
ColumbiaBenton
JosephinePolk
MultnomahTillamookLaneLinn
Hood RiverClatsop
DouglasKlamathUnion
UmatillaWheelerLake
WascoHarney
CurryLincolnCoosMalheur
GilliamBaker
WallowaGrant
Sherman
-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau; PRC, PSU Office of Economic Analysis
Oregon county population change: April 1, 2000 - July 1, 2009
MARION
County Population Growth, April 1, 2000-July 1, 2009
Sources: U.S. Bureau of Census 2000, and Population Research Center, Portland State University 2009
CLATSOP
WASHINGTON
MULTNOMAH
COLUMBIA
DOUGLAS
LANE
LINCOLN
POLK
TILLAMOOK
COOS
DESCHUTES
MALHEURHARNEYLAKEKLAMATHJACKSONJOSEPHINE
CURRY
HOOD RIVER
BENTON LINN
JEFFERSON
CROOK
WALLOWAUMATILLA
MORROWGILLIAM
WASCO
SHERMAN
WHEELER
GRANT
BAKER
UNIONCLACKAMAS
Below 0% 5 to 10 %0 to 5 % 10 to 20 % Over 40 %
YAMHILL
Percent of elderly (65+) in population, 2009
Office of Economic Analysis
Cu
rry
Wh
eele
r
Sh
erm
anW
allo
wa
Til
lam
oo
kG
illi
am
Bak
er
Lin
coln
Jose
ph
ine
Co
os
Lak
e
Do
ug
las
Gra
nt
Har
ney
Was
coJa
ckso
n
Un
ion
Cla
tso
pK
lam
ath
Po
lk
Jeff
erso
n
Um
atil
laO
RE
GO
N
Ho
od
Riv
er
Cla
ckam
asM
ario
n
Yam
hil
lB
ento
n
Mo
rro
w
Mu
ltn
om
ah
Co
lum
bia
Lin
n
Was
hin
gto
n
Mal
heu
r
Cro
ok
Des
chu
tes
Lan
e0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Source: PRC, Portland State University
Elderly (age 65+) as a percent of total population, 2009
Source: PRC/PSU Office of Economic Analysis
13-16%
9-13%
20-30%
16-20%
Historical Comparison
Recession 1981-82 1980-82 1990-91 2001 2008-?? *
U.S. Oregon U.S. Oregon U.S. Oregon U.S. Oregon
Employment
Loss (in 000s) 2,734.3 123.3 1,498.3 12.3 2,657.3 60.1 7,020.3 150.2
% Change (2.99) (11.50) (1.37) (0.97) (2.01) (3.69) (5.09) (8.64)
Duration
Peak-to-Trough 5 Qtrs 12 Qtrs 5 Qtrs 3 Qtrs 9 Qtrs 10 Qtrs 8 Qtrs 8 Qtrs
Return to Peak 8 Qtrs 28 Qtrs 10 Qtrs 5 Qtrs 15 Qtrs 16 Qtrs 20 Qtrs 24 Qtrs
* Estimates based on Global Insight and OEA forecasts
Historical Comparison(through February 2010)
Oregon Employment Loss by Recession
-12%
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 68 72 76 80 84 88
Number of Months from Employment Peak
% J
ob
Lo
ss f
rom
Pea
k E
mp
loym
ent
1948 1953 19571960 1969 19731980 1990 20012007 Recovery
19731969 1960 1948
19531990
2001 1980
1,200,000
1,300,000
1,400,000
1,500,000
1,600,000
1,700,000
1,800,000
1,900,000
1990Q1 1992Q1 1994Q1 1996Q1 1998Q1 2000Q1 2002Q1 2004Q1 2006Q1 2008Q1 2010Q1 2012Q1 2014Q1
Oregon’s Lost Decade?
2000 Q11,605,857
2003 Q21,567,494
2010 Q11,588,089
2010 Q41,602,375
2008 Q11,738,243
2000 Q41,627,407
Industries Beginning to Sort (4th Quarter 2009)
Nat. Resources
Construction
Wood Products
Metals & Machinery
Electronics
Trans. Equipment
Retail Trade
Wholesale Trade
T/W/Util
Information
Finance
Prof. & Bus. Services
Educational Services
Health Services
Leisure & HospitalityGovt excl Education
Public Education
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
-35% -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10%Year-over-year % change
Qtr-
to-q
tr %
chan
ge
Contracting Newly Slowing
Newly Expanding Expanding
Initial Claims(through February 2010)
Initial Claims per 1,000 Labor Force (SA)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1987M01 1989M01 1991M01 1993M01 1995M01 1997M01 1999M01 2001M01 2003M01 2005M01 2007M01 2009M01
Oregon
U.S.
24
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%Housing Starts (000s, Left Axis)
Percent Change (Right Axis)
Oregon Housing Starts
25
Housing Starts: Oregon & U.S.
Office of Economic Analysis
Housing Starts Index (1973-2007 Average = 100)
0
50
100
150
200
1973
Q1
1975
Q1
1977
Q1
1979
Q1
1981
Q1
1983
Q1
1985
Q1
1987
Q1
1989
Q1
1991
Q1
1993
Q1
1995
Q1
1997
Q1
1999
Q1
2001
Q1
2003
Q1
2005
Q1
2007
Q1
2009
Q1
2011
Q1
2013
Q1
2015
Q1
U.S. (1.55 million)
Oregon (21,200)
Oregon (December GI)
Previous Oregon Forecast
26
Residential Building Permits Percent Change (December Year to Date)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Area Total Building Permits
Single Family Permits
Oregon -37.0% -28.1%Bend -49.7% -47.3%Corvallis -35.0% -35.0%Eugene-Springfield
-19.0% -28.1%
Medford -29.9% -16.8%Portland-Vancouver-Beaverton
-49.3% -27.3%
Salem -24.7% -24.2%U.S. -35.9% -23.7%
27
Residential Building Permits Percent Change (December Year to Date)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Yamhill -6.0%Washington -16.4%Malheur -18.5%Baker -28.3%Columbia -29.9%Clackamas -32.9%Multnomah -37.4%Josephine -43.5%Harney -45.0%Deschutes -48.1%
Oregon Housing Permits(through January 2010)
Oregon Housing Permits (Monthly, SA 3 MMA)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Jan
-90
Jan
-91
Jan
-92
Jan
-93
Jan
-94
Jan
-95
Jan
-96
Jan
-97
Jan
-98
Jan
-99
Jan
-00
Jan
-01
Jan
-02
Jan
-03
Jan
-04
Jan
-05
Jan
-06
Jan
-07
Jan
-08
Jan
-09
Jan
-10
Total Permits
Single Family
Mortgage Loans
• 6.88 percent of all loans past due (4th Quarter, 2009)– 2001 peak 3.72%, rising since early 2007
– Oregon ranks 8th best nationally (US average is 10.44%)
• 2.98 percent of all loans in foreclosure (4th Quarter, 2009)– Higher than 2002 (1.34%) and rising since late 2006
– Oregon ranks 25th best nationally (US average is 4.58%)
• Combined 9.86 percent ranks 10th best nationally– US average is 15.02 percent
Source: Mortgage Broker’s Association
Oregon was Late to the Run Up in Prices (Jan 2005 - Dec 2009)
Source: LoanPerformance
Housing Price Index(12-month percentage changes)
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
DEC-09JUN-09DEC-08JUN-08DEC-07JUN-07DEC-06JUN-06DEC-05JUN-05
Oregon CaliforniaWashington IdahoArizona Nevada
CA
NV
ID
AZ
OR
WA
(20)
(15)
(10)
(5)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Selected Oregon MSA House Price Appreciations
Annual Percentage Change in FHFA MSA House Price Indexes through 2009 Q4
Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency
Medford
PDX-Vanc-Bevrtn
Bend
Salem
Eugene-Springfield
Leading Indicators10 of 11 Indicators are Positive
Oregon Index of Leading Indicators(Six-Month Annualized Percent Change, through February 2010)
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010-10.0%
-6.7%
-3.3%
0.0%
3.3%
6.7%
10.0%
Leading Index (Left Axis) Diffusion Index <50 Nonfarm Employment (Right Axis)
Recession in Oregon
33
Oregon Exports
Oregon Exports by Industry
2008 Q4 2009 Q4 Y/Y % Change
Total All Industries 4,237.9 4,374.9 3.2%
Computer And Electronic Products
1,805.1 1,995.3 10.5%
Agricultural Products
543.6 712.6 31.1%
Machinery, Except Electrical
301.2 333.8 10.8%
Chemicals 420.9 289.0 -31.3%
Transportation Equipment
245.4 211.7 -13.7%
Waste And Scrap 79.7 112.5 41.1%
Primary Metal Manufacturing
168.3 101.9 -39.5%
Food And Kindred Products
94.2 108.2 14.9%
Wood Products 96.1 94.6 -1.5%
Paper 103.9 60.9 -41.4%
Oregon's Total Exports (1Q 1997 - 4Q 2009, current dollars)
0.0
1,000.0
2,000.0
3,000.0
4,000.0
5,000.0
6,000.0
Q1
19
97
Q3
19
97
Q1
19
98
Q3
19
98
Q1
19
99
Q3
19
99
Q1
20
00
Q3
20
00
Q1
20
01
Q3
20
01
Q1
20
02
Q3
20
02
Q1
20
03
Q3
20
03
Q1
20
04
Q3
20
04
Q1
20
05
Q3
20
05
Q1
20
06
Q3
20
06
Q1
20
07
Q3
20
07
Q1
20
08
Q3
20
08
Q1
20
09
Q3
20
09
($ m
illi
on
)
-40.0
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
(% c
ha
ng
e)
Year-over-year percent change(right scale)
Total Exports(left scale)
34
Exports by Industry
Oregon Exports by Major Industry(1Q 1997 - 4Q 2009, current dollars)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
2,400
Q1 1997
Q3 1997
Q1 1998
Q3 1998
Q1 1999
Q3 1999
Q1 2000
Q3 2000
Q1 2001
Q3 2001
Q1 2002
Q3 2002
Q1 2003
Q3 2003
Q1 2004
Q3 2004
Q1 2005
Q3 2005
Q1 2006
Q3 2006
Q1 2007
Q3 2007
Q1 2008
Q3 2008
Q1 2009
Q3 2009
($ m
illi
on
)
Computer And Electronic Products
Agricultural Products
Machinery, Except Electrical
Chemicals
Transportation Equipment
Source: WISERTrade
35
Exports to China
Oregon Export Markets (1997 - 2009)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Vo
lum
e ($
bill
ion
)
All Other China
0.8% 1.4%
1.4%
2.7%
5.1%
6.8% 5.6%7.1%
6.5%
9.1%8.7%
12.8%
19.9%
Source: WISERTrade
36
Forecast ChangesOregon Total Nonfarm Employment (000s)
1,600
1,650
1,700
1,750
1,800
1,850
1,900
1,950
20
06
Q1
20
06
Q3
20
07
Q1
20
07
Q3
20
08
Q1
20
08
Q3
20
09
Q1
20
09
Q3
20
10
Q1
20
10
Q3
20
11
Q1
20
11
Q3
20
12
Q1
20
12
Q3
20
13
Q1
20
13
Q3
20
14
Q1
20
14
Q3
20
15
Q1
20
15
Q3
Mar-08
Sep-08
Dec-08
Mar-09
May-09
Sep-09
Dec-09
Mar-10
37
Total Non-farm Employment(Annual Percent Change)
-6.0
-5.0
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.020
00
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Per
cen
t C
han
ge
Oregon U.S.
38
Construction Industry Employment(Annual Percent Change)
-18.0
-15.0
-12.0
-9.0
-6.0
-3.0
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
12.019
94
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Per
cen
t C
han
ge
Oregon U.S.
39
Wood Products Industry Employment(Annual Percent Change)
-24.0
-20.0
-16.0
-12.0
-8.0
-4.0
0.0
4.0
8.0
12.0
16.019
94
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Per
cen
t C
han
ge
Oregon U.S.
40
Wood Products Industry Employment(Annual Percent Change)
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20OR Wood Products EmpOR % ChangeU.S. % Change
41
Computer and Electronic Products Industry Employment (Annual Percent Change)
-15.0
-12.0
-9.0
-6.0
-3.0
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
12.0
15.0
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Per
cen
t C
han
ge
Oregon U.S.
Risks to the Forecast…
▲Upside▲A v-shaped recovery in other parts of the world▲Quicker, stronger release of pent-up demand▲Stronger growth in total factory productivity
▼Downside▼Premature policy tightening▼Aftershocks from the financial crisis▼China bubble?
►Other Considerations►Impact of Measures 66 and 67►Health care reform
45
Bottom Line for the Oregon Economy
• The “technical” recession in Oregon ended late this summer or late this year. Expect a “jobless” recovery.
• Job losses will continue into the first quarter of 2010, with only mild job growth the rest of the year.
• Housing prices may still decline into 2010 but looking more like a bottom has been reached in housing permits.
• Housing will not lead during the recovery. First sectors likely to come back: profession and business services, health care services, computer and electronic products, retail.
46
Biennial Growth Rates
20.6%
15.5%
12.8%
-6.2%
7.4%
23.6%
-0.7%
-2.8%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
BI 1995-97 BI 1997-99 BI 1999-01 BI 2001-03 BI 2003-05 BI 2005-07 BI 2007-09 BI 2009-11
Note: Not including 2009 revenue actions
47
Biennial Growth Rates
17.0%
22.9%
11.8%
1.4%0.4%
19.0%
14.3%
-13.4%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
BI94-96 BI96-98 BI98-00 BI00-02 BI02-04 BI04-06 BI06-08 BI08-10
48
For More Information
Office of Economic Analysis
155 Cottage Street NE, U20
Salem, OR 97301-3966
(503) 378-3405
email: [email protected]
http://oregon.gov/das/oea