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Orange Countyg yMarch 2013
Economic Profile
The copyright laws of the United States (Title 17 U.S. Code) forbid the unauthorized reproduction of this report by any means, including facsimile or computerized formats. Copyright © 2012 CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®g p py g
County Profile
Characteristic Statistic State Rank2012 Population Estimate 3,055,792 3
% Population Change 2000-2010 5.8% 38
% Population Change 1990-2000 18.1% 19
% White 2012 45.6%
% Hispanic 2012 39.8%
% Black 2012 1.5%
% Asian & Pacific Islander 2012 18.0%
2010 Per Capita Income $31,373
2010 Median Household Income $70,880
2010 Median Age 36.12010 Median Age 36.1
Land Area Square Miles 789 47
2009 Total Establishments 87,483 2
2010 Civilian Employment 1 414 260
SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau, CA Dept. of Finance, 2009 County Business Patterns
2010 Civilian Employment 1,414,260
Sales of Existing Detached Homes and Pacific West Consumer ConfidenceOrange County, January 2013: 1,202 Units, Up 22.3% YTD, Up 22.3% YTY
1403,000 Sales Consumer ConfidenceINDEXUNITS
100
120
2,000
2,500
60
801,500
20
40
500
1,000
0
20
0
500
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®;The Conference Board
Sales of Existing Detached HomesOrange County, 2011: 15,529 Units, Down 5.0% YTY
MONTHLYANNUAL30,000 2,000
25,000
1 400
1,600
1,800
15,000
20,000
1,000
1,200
1,400
10,000
400
600
800
0
5,000
0
200
400
2010 2011 2012 2013
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Median Price of Existing Detached HomesOrange County, January 2013: $566,500, Up 17.2% YTY
$800 000
$900,000
$600,000
$700,000
$800,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$200,000
$300,000
$0
$100,000
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Median Price Annual ComparisonOrange County, 2011: $512,500, Down 6.2% YTY
ANNUAL MONTHLY$800,000 $700,000
$600,000
$700,000
$500,000
$600,000
$400,000
$500,000 $400,000
$500,000
$200,000
$300,000
$200,000
$300,000
$-
$100,000
$0
$100,000
n b r r y n l g t t v c
2010 2011 2012 2013
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Jan
Feb
Mar Ap
rM
ay Jun
Ju Aug
Sep
tO
ctN
ovD
ec
Median Home Sales PriceOrange County
Jan‐13 Jan‐12Yearly % Change
ALISO VIEJO $399,000 $377,500 5.7%ALISO VIEJO $399,000 $377,500 5.7%ANAHEIM $370,000 $320,000 15.6%BREA $475,000 $400,000 18.8%BUENA PARK $382,500 $331,000 15.6%CAPISTRANO BEACH $645,500 $385,000 67.7%CORONA DEL MAR $1,487,500 $1,340,000 11.0%COSTA MESA $492,000 $424,000 16.0%CYPRESS $501,500 $325,000 54.3%DANA POINT $615,000 $585,000 5.1%FOOTHILL RANCH $270,000 $303,500 ‐11.0%FOUNTAIN VALLEY $545 000 $472 500 15 3%FOUNTAIN VALLEY $545,000 $472,500 15.3%FULLERTON $420,000 $367,000 14.4%GARDEN GROVE $360,000 $335,000 7.5%
SOURCE: DataQuick Information Systems. The price statistics are derived from all types of home sales -- new and existing, condos and single-family.
Median Home Sales Price Cont.Orange County
Jan‐13 Jan‐12Yearly % Change
HUNTINGTON BEACH $565 000 $480 000 17 7%HUNTINGTON BEACH $565,000 $480,000 17.7%IRVINE $610,000 $515,000 18.5%LA HABRA $375,000 $327,500 14.5%LA PALMA $573,500 $515,000 11.4%LADERA RANCH $470,000 $515,000 ‐8.7%LAGUNA BEACH $1,422,500 $875,000 62.6%LAGUNA HILLS $492,250 $417,500 17.9%LAGUNA NIGUEL $525,000 $528,500 ‐0.7%LAKE FOREST $422,500 $248,000 70.4%LOS ALAMITOS $720,000 $572,500 25.8%
$ $ %MISSION VIEJO $509,000 $430,750 18.2%NEWPORT BEACH $1,200,000 $790,000 51.9%NEWPORT COAST $1,650,000 $1,432,500 15.2%
SOURCE: DataQuick Information Systems. The price statistics are derived from all types of home sales -- new and existing, condos and single-family.
Median Home Sales Price Cont.Orange County
Jan‐13 Jan‐12Yearly % Change
ORANGE $405 000 $373 000 8 6%ORANGE $405,000 $373,000 8.6%PLACENTIA $489,500 $422,500 15.9%RANCHO SANTA MARGARITA $377,000 $285,000 32.3%SAN CLEMENTE $650,000 $550,000 18.2%SAN JUAN CAPISTRANO $553,000 $419,500 31.8%SANTA ANA $335,000 $277,000 20.9%SEAL BEACH $542,500 $605,000 ‐10.3%STANTON $273,500 $239,000 14.4%TRABUCO CANYON $652,500 $600,000 8.8%TUSTIN $526,000 $400,000 31.5%
$ 080 000 $ 0 000 96 %VILLA PARK $1,080,000 $550,000 96.4%WESTMINSTER $382,500 $379,000 0.9%YORBA LINDA $589,000 $495,000 19.0%ORANGE COUNTY $460 000 $392 000 17 4%
SOURCE: DataQuick Information Systems. The price statistics are derived from all types of home sales -- new and existing, condos and single-family.
ORANGE COUNTY $460,000 $392,000 17.4%
Unsold Inventory IndexOrange County, January 2013: 3.5 Months
0
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Note: The Unsold Inventory Index represents the number of months it would take to deplete the remaining inventory at the end of a particular month with the sales rate of the month in consideration. Inventory includes listings with “Active”, “Pending”, and “Contingent” (when available) statuses.
Unsold Inventory By Price RangeOrange County Existing Homes Jan. 2012 vs. Jan. 2013
Last Year This Year
$1,000K+13.7
9.0
8.5
$750-1000K
$500-750K
9.0
7.7
4.1
2.7
$300-500K6.6
6.8
2.5
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0
$0-300K6.8
2.3
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Note: The Unsold Inventory Index represents the number of months it would take to deplete the remaining inventory at the end of a particular month with the sales rate of the month in consideration. Inventory includes listings with “Active”, “Pending”, and “Contingent” (when available) statuses.
Median Time on the MarketOrange County - Single-Family Homes, Jan. 2013: 55.1 Days
120
DAYS ON THE MARKET
80
100
60
80
20
40
0
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Median Time on the MarketOrange County - Single-Family Homes, 2012 Q4: 56.0 Days
90
100
DAYS ON THE MARKET
70
80
90
40
50
60
20
30
40
0
10
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
ForeclosuresOrange County
4,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2,000
2,500
3,000
1,000
1,500
0
500
SOURCE: Real Estate Research Council
Ratio of Foreclosures to Home SalesOrange County
45%
30%
35%
40%
20%
25%
30%
10%
15%
20%
0%
5%
SOURCE: Real Estate Research Council
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Mortgage Rates
7%
8% FRM ARM Federal Funds
5%
6%
3%
4%
1%
2%
0%
SOURCE: Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation
Housing Affordability IndexOrange County, 4th Quarter 2012: 34%
40%
% OF HOUSEHOLDS THAT CAN BUY
30%
35%
20%
25%
5%
10%
15%
0%
5%
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
First-time Buyer Housing Affordability IndexOrange County, 4th Quarter 2012: 57%
% OF HOUSEHOLDS THAT CAN BUY70%
% OF HOUSEHOLDS THAT CAN BUY
50%
60%
30%
40%
10%
20%
0%
10%
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Nonfarm EmploymentOrange County, December 2012: Up 1.0% YTY
4%ANNUAL PERCENT CHANGE
0%
2%
-4%
-2%
8%
-6%
-10%
-8%
SOURCE: CA Employment Development Division
Unemployment RateOrange County, December 2012: 6.8%
12%
8%
10%
6%
2%
4%
0%
SOURCE: CA Employment Development Division
Unemployment RateOrange County – December 2012
Area Name Labor Force RateAliso Viejo CDP 28,300 3.5%j ,Anaheim city 177,300 8.7%Brea city 21,700 4.6%Buena Park city 42,800 8.5%C t M it 67 500 6 0%Costa Mesa city 67,500 6.0%Coto de Caza CDP 7,000 2.9%Cypress city 27,600 7.1%Dana Point city 22,600 4.9%Dana Point city 22,600 4.9%Foothill Ranch CDP 6,900 2.2%Fountain Valley city 33,300 5.6%Fullerton city 72,100 7.6%Garden Grove city 86,000 8.5%Huntington Beach city 123,800 5.5%Irvine city 84,800 5.1%
SOURCE: CA Employment Development DepartmentCCD Census County DivisionCDP Census Designated Place
Unemployment RateOrange County – December 2012
Area Name Labor Force RateLa Habra city 32,100 7.6%La Palma city 9,100 7.5%Laguna Beach city 16,500 4.9%Laguna Hills city 18,100 5.7%Laguna Niguel city 38 100 5 3%Laguna Niguel city 38,100 5.3%Laguna Woods city 2,700 9.3%Lake Forest city 37,300 4.7%Las Flores CDP 3,600 3.3%Los Alamitos city 6,800 3.7%Mission Viejo city 55,800 4.9%Newport Beach city 45,300 4.2%Orange city 74 000 6 2%Orange city 74,000 6.2%Placentia city 28,400 6.0%Portola Hills CDP 4,100 3.7%
SOURCE: CA Employment Development DepartmentCCD Census County DivisionCDP Census Designated Place
Unemployment RateOrange County – December 2012
Area Name Labor Force RateRancho Santa Margarita city 29,500 4.3%g y ,Rossmoor CDP 5,600 4.1%San Clemente city 29,700 5.5%San Juan Capistrano city 17,900 6.0%p ySanta Ana city 162,100 10.8%Seal Beach city 11,500 4.9%Stanton city 18,700 11.0%Tustin city 42,400 6.7%Tustin Foothills CDP 13,500 4.3%Villa Park city 3,500 3.9%Westminster city 46,800 7.5%Yorba Linda city 35,900 4.5%Orange County 1,624,200 6.8%
SOURCE: CA Employment Development DepartmentCCD Census County DivisionCDP Census Designated Place
Taxable SalesOrange County
ANNUAL PERCENT CHANGE
10%
0%
5%
-5%
0%
15%
-10%
-20%
-15%
SOURCE: CA State Board of Equalization
New Housing PermitsOrange County, December 2012: 599 Units, Up 42.8% YTD
1,600 Single Family Multi-Family
1,200
1,400
800
1,000
400
600
0
200
SOURCE: Construction Industry Research BoardNote: Current data is not available.
Median Price for New HomesOrange County 4Q12, Detached: $701,670 • Attached: $447,500
$1,400,000 Detached Attached
$1,000,000
$1,200,000
$600,000
$800,000
$200 000
$400,000
$0
$200,000
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®; Hanley Wood
New Home SalesOrange County (Attached), 2012 Q4 Sales: 202 Units
1,200
800
1,000
600
800
200
400
0
200
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®;Hanley Wood
New Home SalesOrange County (Detached), 2012 Q4 Sales: 384 Units
800
600
700
400
500
200
300
0
100
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®; Hanley Wood
Asking Rents for Class A&B ApartmentsOrange County, 2012 Q4: $1,637, Up 4.9% YTY
$1,800
$1 200
$1,400
$1,600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$400
$600
$0
$200
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®; REALFACTS
Vacancy Rates for Class A&B ApartmentsOrange County, 2012 Q4: 4.8%
VACANCY RATE
8%
6%
7%
4%
5%
2%
3%
0%
1%
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®; REALFACTS
Population Percent ChangesOrange County (1971-2011)
4 5%
5.0% Orange County CA Nation
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
2 0%
2.5%
3.0%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
0.0%
0.5%
SOURCE:U.S. Census Bureau; California Department of Finance; CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Sources of Population GrowthOrange County (1981-2011)
THOUSANDS
60 Net Migration Natural Increase
30
40
50
10
20
30
-10
0
10
-30
-20
SOURCE: CA Department of Finance
Net Immigration Vs. Domestic MigrationOrange County
40Net Immigration Domestic Migration
THOUSANDS
20
-20
0
60
-40
-80
-60
SOURCE: CA Department of Finance
Household RelocationsOrange County
County Outflow Inflow Net OutflowLos Angeles County, CA 15,148 19,127 -3,979Riverside County CA 8 205 5 963 2 242Riverside County, CA 8,205 5,963 2,242San Diego County, CA 3,156 3,058 98San Bernardino County, CA 3,156 2,997 159Santa Clara County, CA 598 599 -1Alameda County, CA 450 424 26Ventura County, CA 417 457 -40Sacramento County, CA 347 319 28K C t CA 310 324 14Kern County, CA 310 324 -14Contra Costa County, CA 272 272 0Total-Top 10 32,059 33,540 -1,481All Migration 52 541 50 573 1 968All Migration 52,541 50,573 1,968Total Number of Households 1,048,907
Top 10 as % of All Households -0.1%All Net Mig as % of All Households 0.2%
Source: NAR Relocation Report 2010 – IRS Data; Item 187-06059, US Census Bureau
Where are new Orange County households coming from?g
•Los Angeles (19,127)g ( , )•Riverside (5,963)•San Diego (3,058)•San Bernardino (2,997)•Santa Clara (599)T t l i i f 2010 50 573•Total incoming for 2010: 50,573
•Total outgoing for 2010: 52,541
Source: NAR Relocation Report 2010 – IRS Data; Item 187-06059
Net Immigration by Ethnic GroupOrange County (1990 Census to 2000 Census)
Bl k Af A N Hi
Amer. Indian & Alaska Native, Non-Hisp.
Asian/Pacific Islander
Black or Afr. Amer., Non-Hisp.
Hispanic
200 000 100 000 0 100 000 200 000
White, Non-Hispanic
SOURCE: CA Dept. of Finance
-200,000 -100,000 0 100,000 200,000
Number of Households by EthnicityOrange County (2000 Census vs. 2010 Census)
2010 2000
Black
Asian/Pacific Islander
Hispanic
White
SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau
0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000
Top 10 Home Buyer SurnamesOrange County
NGUYENNGUYEN
TRAN
LEE
KIM
PHAM
CHENCHEN
CHANG
VU
WANG
PARK
SOURCE: DataQuick Information Systems
Note: Data is based on 2010 data.0 100 200 300 400 500
Population by Age GroupOrange County (2000-2010)
700,0002000 2010
500 000
600,000
400,000
500,000
200,000
300,000
0
100,000
SOURCE: California Department of Finance; CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
0-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+
Homeownership RatesOrange County, 2004: 61.4%
70%
50%
60%
30%
40%
20%
30%
0%
10%
SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau
Homeownership Rates by AgeOrange County (2000 Census)
90% 82% 80%
70%
80%
90%
70%
78%82% 80%
69%
50%
60%
36%
59%
20%
30%
40%
13%
36%
0%
10%
20% 13%
SOURCE: California Department of Finance; CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+