OPT 1

Decisive Points Analysis (Step 4B)

DP 1

Lines of Ops, Decisive Points, S-COG and End States

DP 3 : Belligerents’ & Terrorists’

freedom of action & sanctuary are

denied

3

DP 7 : CTF’s Roles & Efforts Are Recognised

7

DP 1 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has

Ceased

1Strengthen KUH & SON

commitment to the peace process

Facilitate humanitarian

assistance effort

Curtail terrorist activities

Ops End States

Stable & secured

environmentDP 2 : Humanitarian Assistance (HA) is

Rendered

2

DP 4 : External support for

belligerent /terrorist activities is denied

4

DP 5 : Kuhistan’s Peaceful Nuclear & Chemical Programs

are Verified

5

DP 6 : Territorial Integrity Is Restored

6

EstablishCTF’s Credibility

Decisive Points (DP) 1 Analysis (Step 4B)

DP 1

OPT 1(By Lt Col Binaya Rana)

DP 1 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has ceased

Supporting Effect (SE)

Target& Target Audience (TGT/A)

Lead Supported

(& Supporting) Entities

Measure of Effectiveness

(MOE)

Measure of Effectiveness Indicators

(MOEIs)

(1) Conflict

resolution process

established

(1) Political leaders

of Kuhistan, Sonora

and Free Mojave.

(2) Military leaders of

Sonora.

(3) Dissident leaders.

(4) Int’l Community.

(1) SRSG.

(2) Peace

Negotiators

(Internal and

external).

(1) Renewal of diplomatic

Relationship between

leaders of Kuhistan and

Sonora.

(2) Positive World Opinion.

(3) Decrease in conflict.

(4) Kuhistan WMD

capabilities under

supervision IAEA &

OPCW.

(5) Foreign economic aid to

Kuhistan & Sonora

resumes.

(6) IHC redeploys south and

render HA operations.

(1) Positive statements

made by key leaders of

Kuhistan and Sonora.

(2) Positive media reports

highlighting

reconciliation

efforts between

Kuhistan and Sonora.

(3) East Asia and SEA

states resume and

provide economic aid

to Kuhistan.

(4) Uninterrupted HA

support to IDP and Refugee

Camps.

DP 1 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has Ceased

SE: Conflict Resolution Process Established

MOE: Renewal of diplomatic relationship between

leaders of Kuhistan and Sonora

MOE: Decrease in conflict and Positive World Opinion

MOE: Kuhistan nuclear programmes and activities

confined to energy production only

MOE: Foreign economic aid to Kuhistan & Sonora

resumes

MOE: IHC redeploys south and render HA operations

Supporting Effect / MOEs / MOEIs

DP 1 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has ceased

Supporting Effect (SE)

Target & Target Audience (TGT/A)

Lead Supported (&

Supporting) Entities

Measures of Effectiveness (MOE)

Measure of Effectiveness

Indicators (MOEI)

(2) Armed

Forces cease

Conflict

campaign

(1) Key political

and military

leaders of

Kuhistan and

Sonora.

(2) Local

Support

Mechanism.

(1) CTF HQ.

(2) Land, Air

and Maritime

Component

Comd.

(1) Sonora forces

Commnece

withdrawal from

Kuhistan territory

(inclusive Maritime

and Air activities).

(2) Missile attacks on

Sonora ceases.

(3) Decrease in

Exodus of refugees.

(1) Specific units in contact withdraws from Kuhiatsa (101 Armr Div, 102 Div, 111 Arty Bde & 121Mech Div

Withdraws from

Kuhistan.

(2) Combat Ops

between Sonora and

Kuhistan ceases.

(3) CTF forces deploy

successfully and

establish security

border patrols.

DP 1 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has Ceased

SE: Armed Forces Cease Conflict Campaign

MOE: Complete withdrawal of Sonora forces from Kuhistan

MOE: Combat Ops between Sonora and Kuhistan ceases

MOE: CTF forces deploy successfully and establish

security border patrols

Supporting Effect / MOEs / MOEIs

Decisive Points (DP) 6 Analysis (Step 4B)

DP 6

OPT 1(By Maj Agoeng)

DP 6 : Territorial Integrity Is Restored

Supporting Effect (SE)

Target& Target Audience (TGT/A)

Lead Supported (& Supporting) Entities

Measure of Effectiveness

(MOE)

Measure of Effectiveness Indicators

(MOEIs)

(1) Sonora and

Kuhistan

comply peace

agreement and

re-deploy to

their national

territories

(1) Key Political

Leaders of

Kuhistan &

Sonora

(2) Key

military

Leadership of both countries.

(3) Local Support

Mechanism / International Monitors

(4) North-eastern

Geographical

border integrity

between

Kuhistan and

Sonora,

maritime and air

Space.

(1) SRSG and

Peace

Negotiators.

(2) CTF CTF HQ,

Land/Air/

Maritime

Composition

Comd

(1) Sonora forces

withdrawn to

recognized

International

border. No breaches.

(2) Decrease in

Conflicts.

(3) Increase

in populace support

for government.

(4) Other entities do not

subvert peace agreement

in relation to border

recognition between

Kuhistan and Sonora.

(5) Normal governmental

functions restored i.e.

Customs and Immigration

System in place.

(1) No Kuhistan and

Sonora forces

footprint within

the zone of conflict.

(2) CTF forces

successfully deploy

and implement

security border

patrols.

(3) Positive

statements made by

Local and international

media.

DP 6 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has Ceased

Supporting Effect / MOEs / MOEIs

SE: Sonora and Kuhistan comply peace agreement and

re-deploy to their national territories

MOE: Sonora forces withdrawn to recognized International

border. No breachesMOE: Positive statements made by key leaders of

Kuhistan and Sonora MOE: CTF forces successfully deploy and implement

security border patrols

DP 6 : Territorial Integrity Is Restored

Supporting Effect (SE)

Target& Target Audience (TGT/A)

Lead Supported (& Supporting) Entities

Measure of Effectiveness

(MOE)

Measure of Effectiveness Indicators

(MOEIs)

(2) Non-state

actors do not

impede

restoration of

territorial

integrity by

Kuhistan and

Sonora Govt

(1) KFC, MPAK,

IPM and MW.

(2) Local

populace (Pro-

Mestizo).

(1) Local

Government.

(2) Peace

Negotiators,

CTF HQ, Land

component

(CSOTF, CPOTF,

CCMOTF).

(1) Decrease in

Insurgents /

belligerents

nefarious activities.

(2) Effective

collaboration between

Kuhistan and Sonora

Govt in curtailing

insurgent activities.

(3) Increase in Mestizo

populace support for

local government.

(1) Decrease in attack

on govt buildings and

KINs.

(2) Rise in ethnic

Mestizo support on

local government

policies/initiative.

(3) Decrease in

footprint/signature of

belligerent activities

at border areas.

DP 6 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has Ceased

Supporting Effect / MOEs / MOEIs

SE: Non-state actors do not impede restoration of

territorial integrity by Kuhistan and Sonora Govt

MOE: Decrease in attack on govt buildings and KINs

MOE: Rise in ethnic Mestizo support on local

government policies/initiative

MOE: Decrease in footprint/signature of belligerent

activities at border areas

The End