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Opportunities in Federal P3s, Part 2
Mike Berger, Booz Allen HamiltonHilary Jackler, Kutak RockJill Jamieson, JLL
December 7, 2017
Opportunities for Federal P3s
Where and We Going in Federal P3s, Part 2NCPPP Federal P3Bootcamp
Mike Berger
Collaboration space, Alexandria, VA
Federal investment in physical capital
0.050.0
100.0150.0200.0250.0300.0350.0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
DefenseNondefenseGrants
Outlays for Major Public Physical Capital Investment, 2000 to 2016(Constant FY 2009 dollars)
Source: https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/Historicals, Table 9.2, accessed 12/6/17.
ASCE on Infrastructure Funding Needs
Source: Failure to Act: Closing the Infrastructure Investment Gap for America’s Future. American Society of CivilEngineers, 2016, p. 5-7..
ASCE estimates available funding covers about 57% of infrastructure needs from 2016 to 2025.
57
3046
5973 81
43
7054
4127 19
TO TA L WA TER S URF A CE TRA NS PO RT
PORTS A IRPO RTS ELETRIC ITY
Funded Unfunded
Bridging the Infrastructure Gap
Source: ASCE Infrastructure Report Card 2017
• $94 trillion in global infrastructure investment needed by 2040 (at least 20% unfunded)
• US infrastructure needs are estimated at over $7.7 Trillionby 2030 ($4.7T by 2025) just to keep pace with GDP (OECD/WEF)
• (ASCE) 2017 report card assigns an overall grade of D+ to the Nation’s major infrastructure.
• Facing debt ceilings and budget constraints, federal, state and local authorities have limited resources to devote to capital and operational expenditures, while users are increasingly facing affordability and capacity-to-pay issues.
• Hawaii, like most other states, is exploring innovative finance and delivery modalities in order to deliver critical infrastructure in a timelier and more cost-effective manner.
© Jones Lang LaSalle 2017
Funding Gap
• Infrastructure Funding
• Four basic sources of funding for infrastructure:
‒ User/usage fees
‒ Budget based payments (taxes)
‒ Asset monetization and value capture
‒ Capitalized savings
– Financing Tools
• Wide variety of federal, state and local credit mechanisms, as well as emerging mechanisms (like impact bonds)
• Need for smarter financing tools that involve incentivizing performance
• Some concessionary finance tools are subsidizing inefficiency
• Federal credit well conceived but poorly implemented
• Need for more credit enhancement tools
Talk about P3 and alternative financing should not be confused with infrastructure funding. P3 does not equate to free money. Infrastructure needs to be paid for one way or the other.
Funding Sources Financing Tools
Compensation & Revenue Sources
• Usage fees [tolls, tariffs, etc.] • Tax proceeds and assessments
– Property Tax Assessments – Special Developer Assessments – Tax Increment Funding – Hypothecated/Dedicated Taxes
• License fees • Value capture revenues • Commercial / ancillary revenues
Public Subsidies & Support
• Upfront capital contributions • Public grants • Tax Credits • In-kind contributions
Standard Credit Facilities
• Bonds (taxable and tax-exempt) • Bank Debt • Special Assessment Bonds • Mezzanine Financing / Quasi-Equity
Concessionary and Alt. Finance
• Federal Credit Programs (WIFIA/TIFIA) • State Infrastructure Banks / State
Revovling funds • Tax-exempt Private Activity Bonds • Other (i.e., EB-5 financing)
Equity
• Sponsor / Operator Equity • Non-Sponsor Private Equity • Public Equity
Standard P3/P4 Funding & Financing Sources
© Jones Lang LaSalle 2017
But challenges go well beyond funding…Infrastructure delivery system is flawed• Public confidence gap in infrastructure delivery• Limited life-cycle asset consideration (fix-as-fails
approach)• Public sector retaining excessive delivery and
performance risk (to the detriment of the public)• General lack of incentivized performance• Excessive regulatory and administrative burdens
unnecessarily increase costs
Taxpayers and ratepayers deserve a better deal• Use of alternative finance and delivery modalities to
optimize risk allocation and performance incentives• Linking funding (and financing) to infrastructure
delivery and performance • Growing focus on optimizing the return on public
investment in infrastructure
Value proposition in alternative finance and delivery structures lies not in the financing of infrastructure (although that can be helpful), but in aligning incentives and optimizing risk transfer to deliver infrastructure in a timelier and more cost-effective manner.
Source: Bent Flyvbjerg, University of Oxford Saïd Business School
Deterioration of infrastructure over time. (FHWA)
© Jones Lang LaSalle 2017
P3 Drivers and Diverse Modalities
© Jones Lang LaSalle 2017
• Public authorities have limited financial resources to devote to capital and operational expenditures
• Addressing growing backlog of deferred maintenance is diverting resources from modernization and expansion
• Intense competition for scarce federal funding, while protracted appropriations delay delivery and exponentially increase costs
• Need to address life-cycle asset management
• Public authorities seek to extract value from existing assets and control costs
Key P3 Drivers• Access to new sources of financing / accelerated
delivery of Infrastructure• Monetization opportunities• Life-cycle cost reduction / Operational efficiencies• Risk allocation and incentivized performance
AUTHORITIES TURNING TO P3 TO MEET INFRASTRUCTURE AND SERVICEDELIVERY NEEDS
Extent of Ownership and Risk Transfer to the Private Sector
Low HighExtent of Private Sector Financing
Public-Private-Partnerships
Infrastructure & Service Delivery Spectrum of OptionsTraditional Delivery
Works & Service Contracts(DBB, CMAR, PDB, DB)
Privatization
Performance Contracts(SPC, O&M, peer partnering, etc,)
Divestiture (Sale, Sale-leaseback, etc.)
Concessions(DBFOM, BOT, etc.)
Lease-like Agreements (LDO, DBOM, Affermage,
Lease-Backs )
© Jones Lang LaSalle 2017
Another Driver: the Federal Infrastructure Plan
Envisioned Infrastructure Plan Parameters• Combination of direct funding and P3
o Public funding increasingly linked to leveraging private capital and expertise
o Recent examples: FTA is proposing Private Investment Project Procedures (PIPP) to streamline P3 for transit projects (offering administrative and funding benefits to applicants leveraging private capital and expertise through P3)
• Increased delegation to State and Local Governments• Cost-share and funding reformulations
• Accelerated delivery of infrastructureo Streamlining approval processeso Reducing regulations
• New and expanded financing toolso Enhancing federal credit programs o Linking federal funding and credit programs to private delivery
and/or VFM• Incentivizing divestiture and asset recycling (monetization)• Innovative Project Delivery is expanding dramatically across U.S.
P3 and the Trump Trillion Dollar Infrastructure Plan…
U.S. Federal P3 Experience
10
“While P3 cannot eliminate the need for government spending on infrastructure, we can help meet our nation’s infrastructure needs by expanding the sources of investment and using those dollars, whether public or private, as effectively as possible to advance the public’s interest.” – US Treasury
10
Overview of U.S. Federal P3
Federal • DOT has leveraged P3 for many projects, including over $28 Billion in FHWA projects alone• DOE is utilizing P3 for energy infrastructure, including programs for renewable energy, nuclear
safety and hydrogen infrastructure • DOD has track-record of utilizing P3 to address military housing, which under the traditional
model, would have cost taxpayers $25 billion over 20 years. Let $7B in PPP contracts for renewable energy. Working on P4 for shared services.
• CBP is utilizing P3 to address increased demands for facilities and renovations, including facilities agreements in Houston, Dallas, and Miami
• GSA has used P3 for years for government facilities
New Market Entrants• Smithsonian• USACE• Bureau of Reclamation • S&P predicts US P3 market to become market leader• Veterans AdministrationS&P predicts US P3 market to become market leader
Recently Enacted Laws Referencing P3sAgency/Office Public Law Title Latest Action Description
FDA PL 115-52 FDA Reauthorization Act of 2017
Became law 8/18/17 Sec. 602. Reauthorization of the Critical Path Public-Private Partnerships.
Veterans Affairs PL 115-46 VA Choice and Quality Employment Act of 2017
Became law 8/12/17 To authorize appropriations and to appropriate amounts for the Veterans Choice Program of the Department of Veterans Affairs, to improve hiring authorities of the Department, to authorize major medical facility leases…“. The term ‘private-sector entity’ includes an entity operating under a public-private partnership.
Commerce PL 115-25 Weather Research and Forecasting Innovation Act of 2017
Became law 4/18/17 “The strategy shall assess the range of commercial opportunities, including public-private partnerships, for obtaining surface-based, aviation-based, and space-based weather observations.”
NASA PL 115-10 National Aeronautics and Space Administration Transition Authorization Act of 2017
Became law 3/21/17 Sec. 510. Astrobiology public-private partnerships.Sec. 512. Near-Earth objects public-private partnerships.
Various PL 114-318 Federal Property Management Reform Act of 2016
Became law 12/16/16 “(7) Public-private partnership.--The term `public-private partnership' means any partnership or working relationship between a Federal agency and a corporation, individual, or nonprofit organization for the purpose of financing, constructing, operating, managing, or maintaining one or more Federal real property assets.”
Pending Legislation Referencing P3s
• 53 bills containing provisions related to public-private partnerships have been introduced in the 115th Congress– Several of the bills include provisions about energy storage,
utilities, aviation, and military installations• There is legislative movement on some of the introduced
bills, such as:– H.R. 2810, the National Defense Authorization Act, passed the
House and Senate and presented to the President– H.R. 1367, a bill related to hiring VA physicians and employees,
passed the House– S. 1757, which contains a provision about real property
donations through public-private partnerships, has been placed on the Senate Legislative Calendar
Examples of P3 Solicitations in Progress• Request for Proposals for the Smithsonian National
Zoological Park Central Parking Facility P3 Project –https://www.fbo.gov/index?s=opportunity&mode=form&id=7edbe6cffcb0229b2cb79a76f3bf97e5&tab=core&_cview=0
• Request for Information for Optimization of Partnership Opportunities Pursuant to the CHIP In for Veterans Act of 2016 at Several Locations Nationwide –https://www.fbo.gov/index?s=opportunity&mode=form&id=dff2a80ea513b931ba8e0030504d27a5&tab=core&_cview=0
Potential Areas of Focus for New Federal P3s
• Utilities– Electric– Natural Gas– Building resilience
• Enhanced use leases, exchanges, and other real estate-based P3s
• Roads, bridges, dams• Parking facilities• Clinics
Understanding Authority and Establishing Goals
• Scope of statutory authority / regulations • Federal funding availability and limitations• Procurement processes
– Clarity in expectations and requirements from both Federal and private parties
– Key questions that enable parties to evaluate likelihood of project success
– Use procurement process as an opportunity to advance negotiations and ensure picking a like-minded partner
Negotiating and Documenting Agreement(s)
• Identification of a mutually beneficial transaction structure
• Clear roles and responsibilities for all parties• Definitive performance milestones and explicit
reasons why such milestones could be delayed• Allocation of risks, revenues, and rewards• Establishing metrics for success• Goals and requirements of other key parties that
are not signatories (i.e. investors, community)• Termination rights and processes
Project Implementation• System for monitoring milestones and
responsibilities• Approvals for future work / decisions /
contingencies• Reporting / status meetings / audits• Dispute resolution processes • Amendment or termination when necessary
Questions?Mike Berger, Booz Allen Hamilton• [email protected]
Hilary Jackler, Kutak Rock• [email protected]
Jill Jamieson, JLL• [email protected]