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Bernardo Nicoletti
Transigma
Dubai, UAE, March 19, 2014
Opportunities and Threats of Prepaid Mobile
Payments: an International Perspective
2
PAYMENT CARD MARKET – EMEA
2012 2017
Market Size: 1.9B Market Size: 2.6B
• Western EU continues to be the largest market in EMEA region consisting of 60% of card market today
• Western EU, only region to show an increase in growth (forecasted) mainly driven by volume increase in prepaid cards
and debit cards.
• Middle East and Africa, a bigger market than Eastern EU forecasted to grow 2X faster in next 5 years:� Growth mainly driven by increase in credit and debit card volumes.
3
How Can We Grow in this Market?
Evolve or DieIt is not the strongest of the species that
“It is not the strongest of the species that
survives, nor the most intelligent that
survives. It is the one that is the most
adaptable to change.”
Attributed to Charles Darwin
–Charles
5
A Big Trend: De • physical • ization
What was once physical —
newspapers, magazines,
music, movies, coupons and
cash — now exists virtually
and most frequently on the
consumer’s mobile device.
.
6
Instant & Simultaneous
Consumers can access
virtual assets instantly and
have access to them on the
smartphone, tablet, TV and
PC at the same time.
Example: Stream a movie
instantly and it’s available
on
every TV, PC and mobile
device
the consumer owns.
7
Convergence
Everything is converging. One electronic device serving as a TV, PC, Internet Browser, Stereo. Multiple credit and debit cards merging onto a single physical card.
Evidence is everywhere.
Radically changing consumer behavior — and expectations.
8
Mobile phones are being
adopted 10X faster than
PCs, 3X faster than social
media and 2X faster than
the Internet
Accelerating rate of change
mPayments will achieve scale
faster than any previous
payments innovation in history
Touch screens and apps changing the
ways consumers live, work and play
Source: Flurry Analysis, 2012Technologies
9
New channel, new revenue streams
mPayments creates a rare new channel
based on:
-Individuality and ubiquitous presence of
the mobile device
-Individual/device location-based
capabilities (.. The nearest ATM)
-Knowledge of the
customer/demonstrated interests
-Ability to deliver individually relevant
content instantly that can influence
purchasing behavior during a shopping
experience
mCommerce drives 25% increase in
value and 30% increase in frequency.
10
Smartphone Ubiquity
660M
997M
30M
25%
2013 20162013 2016
Smart
Phone
Sales
NFC
Enabled
Smart
Phones
More than 6B mobile
phones worldwide
today
Annual smartphone
sales to reach 997M
units in 2016
More than 67% of
smartphones will be
NFC enabled by 2016Source: Nielson Study, 2013
*Data point is limited to the U.S.
11
Smartphone Ubiquity – EMEA Example - Italy
41%
67%
5%
25%
2013 20162013 2016
Smart Phone
Penetration
NFC
Enabled
Smart
Phones
Smartphones will
grow from 39M in
2013 to 66M in 2016
– 106% of the
population
Over 70% of
smartphones sold in
2016 will be NFC
enabled
Mobile Payments: A Disruptive Innovation
Product Combines All types of Payments
Process Combines different modes: biometrics, pictures, voice
Distribution Branchless and Everywhere
Business Model Partnership bx Telco and Financial Institutions
In-store
navigation
ATM/Branch Locations
Self-scanning &
Self-checkout
Shopping Lists
Loyalty
Coupons Extended packaging
Mobile eCommerce
Payments
Advertising &
Promotions
A Disruptive Innovation:
The "Mobile Payments Experience"
Strengths
• Everywhere
• Always with you
• Privacy
Weaknesses
• Coverage
• Size of the screen
• Multiple OS
Swot Analysis for Mobile Banking
Opportunities
• Young People
• Unbanked
• Underbanked
Threats
• Device Lost or Stolen
• Latency
• Integration
15
Significant growth to be captured with contactless
encoding systems everywhere !
Significant growth to be captured with contactless Significant growth to be captured with contactless
encoding systems everywhere ! encoding systems everywhere !
Eurosmart Chipcard Forecast
Of which Smart Secure Contactless Devices (microprocessor)
* Source SIM Alliance
WW Shipment of Smart Secure Devices (microprocessor)
16
More than 100 projects/pilots using several technologies
� NFC stickers add-on
� Secure Elements ( SIM, microSD, embedded SE)
� QR Codes
� Peer to Peer SW base (M-Pesa, Kwixo, i-Zettle, Square…..)
Major facts
� Poland: The “contactless” country and best ground for mobile deployment
� Events and low value payments (Olympics, Transport for London)
� Y Generation to boost (E.g., Turkey)
� Telco operators want a piece of the cake (Orange, T-Mobile, Vodafone,….)
� Banks, related IT companies, Globals, and Bureaus want to protect their share and develop new revenues streams
� ID programs may add more traction
� Google wallet non-existent
New Digital shopping experience launched by Visa Europe and MC
� V.me in France, UK and Spain (BBVA 1st bank to test it)
� MasterPass
Mobile Payment projects in EMEA (1/2)
Opportunity: No Clear Technology Winner Today Opportunity: No Clear Technology Winner Today Opportunity: No Clear Technology Winner Today
Payment Acceptance Infrastructure Remains Underdeveloped Payment Acceptance Infrastructure Remains Underdeveloped Payment Acceptance Infrastructure Remains Underdeveloped
17
Mobile Payment projects in EMEA (2/2)
Projects with highlighted in Orange
SIM as SE Micro SD as SE Embedded SE
Banca Intesa Sanpaolo, BPCE, PKO Bank, La Caixa, BBVA, Banco Sabadel, Banco Santander, PKO Bank Polski, ING BankŚląski, mBank, Multibank
LBB, BPCE, ING Poland, Tatrabanka,
Akbank, Komercni Banka, RBS, NatWest , Yapi Kredi bank, Raiffeisen Bank
Visa/ Samsung
MasterCard Mobile PayPass (MMPP) pilots:
Visa VMPA pilots:
Solutions without SE, closed loop element:
�Bankinter and Visa
�Garanti Bank with Tags and QR codes
�Oberthur embedded SE “Pearl” for google wallet
�Cloud base SE
�Other SW, SMS based solutions (M-Pesa)
SIM as SE Micro SD as SE Embedded SE
Barclaycard, Zachodny Bank WBK, ING (Romania), Finanz Bank, Halk Bank, RBS, Banka Koper, ING (NL), ABN Amro, Rabobank,DnBNor, Standard Chartered , Bank BPH, Banco Santander, Dortmunder Volksbank
Credit Agricole, ABSA Tinkoff Kredit
18
Competitive Urgency
Source: Forrester Research, 2013
You should act NOW
19
What Should we Do?
20
Recommended Approach
• Determine goals &
objectives
• Define your ecosystem
• Make mPayment
technology decisions
• Production-ready
deployment
• Measure, adapt and
optimize
21
Determine Goals & Objectives
Defensive
– Protect existing customer base
against traditional competitors
– Prevent disintermediation by new
non-traditional competitors
Offensive
– New channel/new revenue
– Expand offerings for existing
customers
– Attract new customers,
gain share
22
Define your Ecosystem
Choose Technology Partners
• Broadest set of solutions — fewest
points of integration
• Experience in virtual (mPayment)
issuance
• Established relationships with
MasterCard, Visa and other market
leaders
• Deployment of technologies that
conform to industry standards
• Extensive mPayment deployment
experience required
23
Make mPayments technology decisions
• Form factors — NFC, bar
code, QR codes, cloud
• Storage form factors
• On-premise TSM or hosted
model approach — instant
or batch provisioning
• Integrated physical card
and mobile virtual card
instant issuance
• Integrated mobile payment,
mobile banking and mobile
commerce apps
24
Production-ready deployment
• Start with manageable segment
of customer base – current
mobile banking users?
• Develop and deploy production-
ready software and ecosystem
— technology that can scale up
quickly
• Move quickly — most
deployments take 2-12 months
and market is moving rapidly
• Can always change form
factors and other particulars
The (Near) Future
Integrate Mass Private
Banking
Mobilize
ProductProduct ProcessProcess InfrastructureInfrastructure
Mobile Banking Will Grow 300% Over the Next Four Years Says Aite
Consultancy .. But also Books
Mobile
Banking
2012 2013 2014
Palgrave-MacMillan