Open Source search - Market Trend

8/8/2019 Open Source search - Market Trend

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/open-source-search-market-trend 1/12

!"#$#!"%

!%

Open Source Search: Market Trends

Hadley Reynolds, IDC

Director, Search & Digital Marketplace Technologies

Copyright 2010 IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.

Perspectives on Open Source Impact onSearch Software Markets

What is happening today?

What impacts?

How do we measure them?

What are the key influence factors?What can we expect to see going forward?

http://www.lucidimagination.com/events/revolution2010



!"#$#!"%

&%

10-10© 2010 IDC

What I Will Cover

Market Context

Favorable/Unfavorable Factors

Lucene/Solr Market Impacts

Future Trends

Wrap up

3

10-10© 2010 IDC

Google Trends for “Lucene”

4

“Leaders in Enterprise Search to Speak at Lucene Revolution -- The FirstConference Dedicated to Open Source Enterprise Search”

E



!"#$#!"%

'%

1990 200820052004

5

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011

L i n u s T o

r v a l d s

- L i

n u x R

e l e a s e d t

o

O p e

n S

o u r c

e

R e d

H a t f o

u n d e

d

R e d

H a t I P

O - $ 1

4 o f f e

r / $ 5 2 c l o

s e

- $ 3 B M a r k e

t C a

p i t a l i z a

t i o n

D o u

g C u t t i n g

– L u c e n e

R e l e

a s e

Y o n i k

S e e l e

y C N E T S

o l r

A p a

c h e R e l e

a s e o f

S o l r

L u c e n e

& S o l r P r o j e c

t s M e r g e

L u c e n e

B e c

o m e s

t o p - l e

v e l A

p a c h e

P r o j e c

t

D o u

g C u t t i n g

– H a d

o o p A p a

c h e R e l e

a s e

I B M

O m n i f i n d

Y a h o

o E d i t i o

n b a

s e d

o n L u c e n e

A t t i v i o

A I E

P l a t f o r m

b a s e

d o n

L u c e n e

L u c i d I m

a g i n a

t i o n F o

u n d e

d

L u c e n e

R e v

o l u t i o n B

o s t o

n

Open Source Milestones

E M C / D

o c u m

e n t u

m S e a r c

h b a

s e d

o n L u c e n e

Commercial

Community

10-10© 2010 IDC

Enterprise Search Market Growth

6

J

JJ

J J J

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

0%

5%

10%

15%

20% Annual Market

Growth Rate

$USM



!"#$#!"%

(%

10-10© 2010 IDC

Bean Counting for Open SourceSoftware

What does “free” software cost?

! Open source “packaged” product costs

! Maintenance & Support

! Subscription/Other

Where does open source “market revenue” come from?

! Infrastructure

! Middleware

!

Applications

! (No advertising-based revenue or hardware-embedded $$)

! (No economic value attribution for self-service implementations)

7

10-10© 2010 IDC

Open Source Software Growth

8

J

J

J

J

J

J

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

0%

10%

20%

30%

40% Annual Market

Growth Rate

$USM



!"#$#!"%

)%

10-10© 2010 IDC

Open Source Services Growth

9

J

J

J

J

J

J

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30% Annual Market

Growth Rate

$USM

!Systems integration!Software deployment

!IS outsourcing!IT consulting

!IT education & training

10-10© 2010 IDC

Open Source Installs – by Industry

10

Other

Business services

Construction

Utilities

Insurance

Retail

Transportation

Manufacturing

Education

Consumer/recreational svcs.

Wholesale

Communications/media

Government/gov't contractor

Healthcare

Banking/finance

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

68

57

53

51

51

45

39

32

31

30

25

22

20

16

50



!"#$#!"%

*%

10-10© 2010 IDC

Prevalence of Lucene

11

libxml2

xalan

cygwin

zlib

xerces

eclipseplugin-spellchecker

ghostscript

jldap

wsdl4j

eclipse

axis

prototype

lucene

saaj

commons-lang

blat

wget

firefox

javamail

activation

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

93%

92%

92%

62%

57%

54%

54%

53%

53%

53%

50%

48%

44%

43%

42%

40%

38%

38%

35%

34%

10-10© 2010 IDC

Lucene/Solr Advantages

12

! Rapid time-to-market

! High level, industry-competitive functionality

! Flexibility and customization

! Low entry-level cost

! Technology evolving with the state of the art insearch



!"#$#!"%

$%

10-10© 2010 IDC

Lucene/Solr Disadvantages

! Enhancements on community timetable only

! Potentially expensive customization

! Requirement for search development skills in-house or ready-to-hand

! Production functionality may trail in specific featuresrelative to commercial search firms

! Maintenance/system life costs can become significant

13

10-10© 2010 IDC

Sustainable Advantage for Lucene/Solr?

Requirements:

! Continuing expansion of functional range of the software

! Continuing interest from developers/contributors

! Increasing availability of search technology expertise inconsultancies, ISVs, enterprises

14



!"#$#!"%

+%

10-10© 2010 IDC

Lucene Market Momentum

15

Initial offer:useful core

features

“System”packaging

Broadeningfeature set

Functionalparity w.

commercialsoftware

Superior functions tocommercial

options

2000 2005 2009 2011+

Installs

7,000 Downloads/day currently10x Growth in installs: 2008-2010Installed at 4,000 organizationsA Top-5 Apache Project

Source: Lucid Imagination

10-10© 2010 IDC

Impact on Search Markets

Enterprise Market

! Emerging option, small revenue impact to date

! Accelerating adoption because of recession, maturity of L/S

OEM/embedded search Market

! Already established alternative to commercial OEMarrangements

! Largely responsible for significant decline in commercial OEM

revenue

! Lucene will dominate this area from 2010 going forward

16



!"#$#!"%

,%

10-10© 2010 IDC

OEM Search Segment Revenue

October 7, 2010

17

J

J

J

J

J

2007 2008 2009 2010 20110

20

40

60

80

100

120

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%$USM

10-10© 2010 IDC

Trends to Monitor

!Continuing commoditization in traditional enterprise search

!Accelerating “diaspora” of search functionality across theapplication spectrum

!Search-based applications are the growth engine goingforward

!By definition, these will be specific to a domain or businessproblem, require advanced customization/packaging

!Many will feature “unified analytics” environments where text-

based and data-based information integrate for decisions

!Connectors, multi-language parsers, semantic analyzers etc.become even more important

October 7, 2010

18



!"#$#!"%

!"%

10-10© 2010 IDC

Search-based Applications Growth

October 7, 2010

19

J

J

J J

J

J

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130

100

200

300

400

500

600

0%

10%

20%

30%$USM

10-10© 2010 IDC

Futures

!Massive scale text/data processing becomes mainstream

! Hadoop

! Experimentation with hybrid index architectures

! Closer integration with multi-core hardware

!Portable

! New form factors require new interaction models

! Increased importance & roles for geo-spatial analytics

!

Social! Social network-conditioned

!Data-driven analytics of user intent – pervasive in marketing & commerce

October 7, 2010

20



!"#$#!"%

!!%

10-10© 2010 IDC

Wrap Up

! Current situation: surge in market share/mind share for Lucene/Solr & open source search projects

! Impacts: emerging alternative in enterprises; dominant positionin OEM/ISV search decisions; increasingly central skill-set for search professionals in development and applicationimplementation roles

! Watch: emergence of an era of search-based applicationsacross industries, as search becomes a central interactionmetaphor in most software packages

! Opportunities: abound for developing domain-specific search

and unified analytics applications, social, and mobile experiences! Futures: High performance computing models become

increasingly necessary for web-scale discovery and analytics

21

10-10© 2010 IDC 22

It’s a wrap…



!"#$#!"%

!&%

10-10© 2010 IDC

Questions?

Hadley Reynolds

[email protected]

23

Know more about open source search at

www.lucidimagination.com




Documents

Open Source search - Market Trend