A Coruña, LCG; A. Merino Benitez, SCL; Aberdeen, ABZ; Abu Dhabi Intl, AUH; Acapulco, ACA; Adana, ADA; Addis Ababa Intl, ADD; Adelaide, ADL; Adnan Menderes, ADB; Aeroparque Jorge Newbery, AEP; Ajaccio Campo dell’Oro, AJA; Al-Massira, AGA; Albany Intl, ALB; Albuquerque Intl, ABQ; Alexandria, ALY; Alicante, ALC; Almeria, LEI; Amerigo Vespucci, FLR; Amilcar Cabral Intl, SID; Anchorage Intl, ANC; Antalya, AYT; Antonio Carlos Jobim, GIG; Arlanda, ARN; Asturias, OVD; Aswan, ASW; Ataturk, IST; Athens, ATH; Atlanta, ATL; Atlantic City Intl, ACY; Auckland Intl, AKL; Augusto C Sandino Intl, MGA; Aulnat, CFE; Austin-Bergstrom Intl, AUS; Bahrain Intl, BAH; Baltimore, BWI; Bamako, BKO; Bandaranaike Intl, CMB; Bangkok, BKK; Bangor, BGR; Barajas, MAD; Barcelona, BCN; Basel-Mulhouse, BSL; Bastia-Poretta, BIA; Baton Rouge Metro, BTR; Beauvais-Tille , BVA; Beijing Capital, PEK; Beirut, BEY; Belfast Intl, BFS; Ben Gurion Intl, TLV; Beograd, BEG; Bergamo Orio Al Serio, BGY; Bermuda Intl, BDA; Biarritz/Bayonne/Anglet, BIQ; Bilbao, BIO; Billund, BLL; Birmingham Intl, BHM; Birmingham Intl, BHX; Blagnac, TLS; Blue Grass, LEX; Bodoe, BOO; Boise, BOI; Borispol, KBP; Boston, BOS; Bourgas, BOJ; Bradley Intl, BDL; Bremen, BRE; Brisbane Intl, BNE; Bristol, BRS; Brnik, LJU; Bromma, BMA; Brussels, BRU; Brussels South , CRL; Bucharest-Otopeni, OTP; Buffalo Niagara Intl, BUF; Burbank-Glendale-Pasadena, BUR; C. Colombo, GOA; Cairns Intl, CNS; Cairo Intl, CAI; Calcutta, CCU; Cal-gary Intl, YYC; Cancun, CUN; Cape Town Intl, CPT; Capodichino, NAP; Cardiff International, CWL; Carthage, TUN; Cataratas de Iguazu, IGR; Changi, SIN; Charles de Gaulle, CDG; Charlotte/Douglas, CLT; Chattanooga Metro, CHA; Cheju Intl, CJU; Chengdu Shuangliu Intl, CTU; Chennai, MAA; Chiang Kai Shek, TPE; Chiang Mai, CNX; Chiang Rai Intl , CEI; Christchurch Intl, CHC; Ciampino, CIA; Cincinnati/N. Kentucky, CVG; Citta di Torino, TRN; Cleveland Hopkins, CLE; Cologne Bonn, CGN; Colo-rado Springs, COS; Columbia Metro, CAE; Coolangatta, OOL; Copenhagen, CPH; Cork, ORK; Cozumel, CZM; Dalaman, DLM; Dallas/Ft Worth, DFW; Dane County Regl, MSN; Dayton Intl, DAY; Daytona Beach Intl, DAB; Dei Legionari, TRS; Denver, DEN; Des Moines Intl, DSM; Detroit Metro, DTW; Domodedovo, DME; Dortmund, DTM; Dorval, YUL; Dresden, DRS; Dubai Intl, DXB; Dublin, DUB; Dubrovnik, DBV; Dunedin, DUD; Durban Intl, DUR; Düsseldorf, DUS; East London, ELS; East Midlands, EMA; Edinburgh, EDI; Edmonton Airports, YEG; Eilat Intl, ETH; Eindhoven, EIN; El Paso Intl, ELP; El Plumerillo, MDZ; El Salvador Intl, SAL; Entebbe Intl, EBB; Entzheim, SXB; Eppley Airfield, OMA; Ernesto Cortissoz, BAQ; Esenboga, ESB; Exeter , EXT; Ezeiza Ministropistarini, EZE; Fairbanks Intl, FAI; Faro, FAO; Felix Houphouet-Boigny, ABJ; Ferihegy, BUD; Fiumicino, FCO; Flamingo, BON; Flesland, BGO; Flughafen Graz, GRZ; Frankfurt Main, FRA; Frejorgues, MPL; Fresno Yosemite Intl, FAT; Friedrich-shafen, FDH; Ft Lauderdale/Hollywood , FLL; Ft Wayne Intl, FWA; Fuerteventura, FUE; Fukuoka Intl, FUK; Funchal, FNC; G Bush , IAH; Gal Galilei Intl, PSA; Gatwick, LGW; Gen. Rafael Buelna, MZT; General Mitchell Intl, MKE; Geneva, GVA; George, GRJ; Gerald R Ford Intl, GRR; Gimhae, PUS; Gimpo, GMP; Girona/Costa Brava, GRO; Glasgow, GLA; Gral Abelardo Rodriguez, TIJ; Gral Ignacio Pesqueira Garcia, HMO; Gran Canaria, LPA; Granada, GRX; Greater Peoria Regl, PIA; Gregorio Luperon, POP; Guadeloupe-Pole Caraibes, PTP; Guangzhou Baiyun Intl, CAN; Guernsey, GCI; Gugliemo Marconi, BLQ; Gulfport Biloxi Regl, GPT; Habib Bourguiba, MIR; Hahn , HHN; Halifax Intl, YHZ; Hamburg Föhlsbuttel, HAM; Haneda, HND; Hannover-Langehagen, HAJ; Harstad/Narvik, EVE; Hasannuddin, UPG; Hat Yai, HDY; Hato, CUR; Heathrow, LHR; Helsinki Vantaa, HEL; Ho Chi Minh City, SGN; Hong Kong, HKG; Horsching, LNZ; Houari Boumédiene, ALG; Huntsville Intl, HSV; Hurghada, HRG; Hyderabad, HYD; Ibiza, IBZ; Incheon, ICN; Indianapolis Intl, IND; Indira Gandhi Intl, DEL; Ing Aer Ambrosio L Taravella, COR; Innsbruck, INN; Int Afonso Pena, CWB; Int Augusto Severo, NAT; Int Campo Grande, CGR; Int Cataratas , IGU; Int de Brasilia-Pres Juscelino, BSB; Int de Congonhas, CGH; Int de Macapa, MCP; Int do Guarulhos, GRU; Int Eduardo Gomes, MAO; Int Hercillo Luz, FLN; Int Pinto Martins, FOR; Int Salgado Filho, POA; Int Tancredo Neves, CNF; Int Val de Caes, BEL; Int. Guararapes, REC; Intl Leon M’ba Libreville, LBV; Ivato, TNR; Jackson Intl, JAN; Jacksonville Intl, JAX; Jerez, XRY; JF Kennedy, JFK; Joao Paulo Ii, PDL; Joe Foss Field, FSD; Johannesburg Intl, JNB; John Wayne, SNA; Jomo Kenyatta Intl, NBO; Jorge Chavez, LIM; Jose Marti Intl, HAV; Juan Santamaria Intl, SJO; Juarez International, MEX; Kagoshima, KOJ; Kansai Intl, KIX; Kansas City Intl, MCI; Kaohsiung Intl, KHH; Karmoey, HAU; Keflavik Intl Airport, KEF; King Abdulaziz Intl, JED; King Fahd Intl, DMM; King Khaled Intl, RUH; Kingsford Smith, SYD; Kjevik, KRS; Klagenfurt, KLU; Kota Kinabalu Intl, BKI; Kotoka Intl, ACC; Kuala Lumpur, KUL; Kuching Intl, KCH; Kurumoch , KUF; Kuwait Intl, KWI; La Guardia, LGA; La Palma, SPC; Labuan, LBU; Lachinita, MAR; Landvetter, GOT; Langnes, TOS; Lanzarote, ACE; Larnaca, LCA; Las Americas, SDQ; Las Vegas Mc-Carran, LAS; Le Lamentin, FDF; Leeds/Bradford, LBA; Lehigh Valley, ABE; Leipzig/Halle, LEJ; Leopold Sedar Senghor, DKR; Lic Gustavo Diaz Ordaz, PVR; Lille Lesquin, LIL; Linate, LIN; Lisbon, LIS; Liverpool, LPL; London City, LCY; London Luton, LTN; Long Beach, LGB; Los Angeles, LAX; Los Cabos, SJD; Louisville Intl, SDF; Lourdes-Tarbes, LDE; Love Field, DAL; Luis Eduardo Magalhaes, SSA; Luis Muñoz Marin, SJU; Lukou Intl , NKG; Luleè, LLA; Lusaka Intl, LUN; Luxembourg, LUX; Luxor, LXR; Macau Intl, MFM; Mackay, MKY; Malaga, AGP; Male’ Intl, MLE; Malmô/Sturup, MMX; Malpensa, MXP; Malta Intl, MLA; Manchester, MAN; Manila, MNL; Maputo Intl, MPM; Marco Polo, VCE; Mariano Escobedo, MTY; Mariscal Sucre, UIO; Marseille Provence, MRS; Mcghee Tyson, TYS; Memphis Intl, MEM; Menara, RAK; Menorca, MAH; Mer-ignac, BOD; Miami, MIA; Mid-Continent, ICT; Midway Intl, MDW; Miguel Hidalgo Y Costilla, GDL; Minneapolis/St Paul, MSP; Miri, MYY; Mobile Regl, MOB; Mohamed V, CMN; Moi Intl, MBA; Mumbai, BOM; Munich, MUC; Münster-Osnabrueck, FMO; Murcia, MJV; Murtala Muhammed, LOS; Myrtle Beach Intl, MYR; Nadi, NAN; Nantes-Atlantique, NTE; Narita, NRT; Nashville Intl, BNA; New Orleans Intl, MSY; Newark, EWR; Newcastle, NCL; Ngurah Rai, DPS; Nice-Cote d’Azur, NCE; Nnamdi Azikwe, ABV; Noi Bai Intl, HAN; Norfolk Intl, ORF; Norman Manley Intl, KIN; North Las Vegas , VGT; Norwich , NWI; Nuremberg, NUE; O’Hare, ORD; Oakland Intl, OAK; Oaxaca Xoxocotlan, OAX; Okecie, WAW; Okinawa Naha, OKA; Ontario Intl, ONT; Ophira, SSH; Oporto, OPO; Orlando, MCO; Orly, ORY; Osaka (Itami) Int’L, ITM; Oslo, OSL; Ottawa Intl, YOW; Palese, BRI; Palm Beach, PBI; Palm Springs, PSP; Palma, PMI; Paphos, PFO; Papola Casale, BDS; Pau-Pyrenees, PUF; Penang Intl, PEN; Pen-sacola Regl, PNS; Perpignan/Rivesaltes, PGF; Perth, PER; Philadelphia , PHL; Phoenix Sky Harbor, PHX; Phuket, HKT; Piarco, POS; Piedmont Triad Intl, GSO; Pittsburgh, PIT; Pochentong, PNH; Polonia, MES; Port Columbus Intl, CMH; Port Elizabeth, PLZ; Port Harcourt, PHC; Portland , PDX; Praha-Ruzyne, PRG; Prestwick, PIK; Princess Juliana Intl, SXM; Pulkova, LED; Punta Aguila, LRM; Punta Cana, PUJ; Pyrzowice , KTW; Quad City Intl, MLI; Queen Alia Intl, AMM; R Reagan , DCA; Raleigh-Durham Intl, RDU; Ramon Villeda Morales Intl, SAP; Reina Beatrix, AUA; Rejon, MID; Reno/Tahoe Intl, RNO; Reus, REU; Richmond Intl, RIC; Riga Intl, RIX; Roanoke Regl, ROA; Roland Garros, RUN; Rostov on Don, ROV; Rotterdam, RTM; Sacramento Intl, SMF; Saint-Exupery, LYS; Salt Lake City, SLC; Salzburg, SZG; San Antonio Intl, SAT; San Diego, SAN; San Francisco, SFO; San Jose , SJC; Sana’a, SAH; Sangster Intl, MBJ; Santa Barbara, SBA; Santiago de Compostela, SCQ; Sapporo Chitose, CTS; Sarasota-Bradenton Intl, SRQ; Savanah Intl, SAV; Schiphol, AMS; Schoenefeld, SXF; Seattle Tacoma, SEA; Seeb Intl, MCT; Sevilla, SVQ; Shanghai Hongqia, SHA; Shannon, SNN; Sharjah Intl, SHJ; Shenzhen Huangtian Intl, SZX; Shermetyevo, SVO; Shreveport Regl, SHV; Simon Bolivar, GYE; Simon Bolivar en Maiquetia, CCS; Simpangtiga , PKU; Skopje, SKP; Sm Badaruddin Ii , PLM; Soekarno Hatta Intl, CGK; Sofia, SOF; Sola, SVG; South Bend Regl, SBN; Southampton, SOU; Southwest Florida Intl, RSW; Split, SPU; Spokane Intl, GEG; Springfield-Branson Regl, SGF; SSR Intl, MRU; St Louis, STL; St Petersburg-Clearwater Intl , PIE; Stansted, STN; Stewart Intl, SWF; Stuttgart,

download forecasts for the world’s top 800 airports

Because a package system cannot ideally suit all major

forecast users, customization is a vital part of the

package and is more often employed than not:

n the client is provided with a private web site; in

practice a sub-domain of www.air4casts.com

n the client’s site is entirely anonymous with no

mention of the company name; confidentiality is thereby

assured

n within the site all of the search packages can be

rebuilt to suit specific data needs; the data which drives

the site can be refined so that only immediately relevant

information is presented to users

n the client controls site access and can track activity

on it even to the level of individual searches

n regular data download structures can be tailored to

fit the requirements of company planning programmes

both in terms of content and of timing.

Customization

Key programme features

How it WorksTwice in every month the monthly international, domestic

and total passenger numbers for the world’s largest

800 airports are forecast with three date horizons; the

forecast can be for next month, next year or it can be for

the whole of 2040.

TopicalityForecasts are updated twice a month with the clear

intention of allowing subscribers to access forecast data

which is based on the most up to the minute historical

passenger information; the update points are the middle

and end of each month.

Extensive Data CoverageThe project covers:

n 800+ airports and rising

n 696 cities

n 126 countries and

n 6 regions.

In total there are more than 800,000 forecast lines which

are available for query and download.

The 800 airport forecasts are built up from:

n separate international and

n domestic passenger forecasts and

n where data is scarce, from the total line.

Within each category, forecasts are available by:

n month

n quarter and

n year plus

n year on year changes at the

n month, quarter and annual levels.

Forecast HorizonsThere are three time period modules:

n 2009 - 2012 concentrating on monthly changes

n 2020 with emphasis on month and year

n 2040 looking at annuals and annual growth

All three are included in a single subscription to the

forecast package.

Searching for DataThe standard online package, that is before any client

customization, allows separate searches across and within:

n each of the three forecast horizons for

n monthly, quarterly and annual data by

n airport, city, country and region plus

n a world passenger total.

Outputting DataThere are three simple options:

n individual search results are sent directly to screen and

from screen, they may be separately downloaded to users’

spreadsheets

or

n forecast data can be bulk downloaded for incorporation

into subscribers’ own data base structures

or

n there is a stand-alone and cross-platform data base

which can operate on clients’ equipment without the

need for separate software installation.

Air4Casts +44 203 086 9315 www.air4casts.com

Online forecast method

The System in OutlineThe forecasting method has three main features in that it is:

n systematic which means that, excepting the most extreme

circumstances, there is no intervention, no cosmetic adjustment to

“awkward” forecast outcomes

n demand side based, because the essential supply side capacity and

capacity expansion information is not available for all airports which

it would need to be if the system is to operate even handedly

n time-series based with the specific exclusion of external macro

economic or social infrastructure variables.

An Iterative Forecasting Approach

A description of the internal mechanics of the forecasting system can

be reached through the Method Page on the Air4casts web site.

In summary, for each line of data, the software makes 35 passes and

produces 35 forecasts to determine the best fit; the forecast which

implies the lowest error spread.

A “recommended” forecast is produced by the system; a

recommendation which the forecast manager is then invited to

accept.

At this point there still exists the option to select for subscribers

one of the other 34 forecast options which were not preferred by

the system on automatic.

The advantage of this control is that the functioning of the automatic

system is subject to intelligent scrutiny, which is especially relevant

when a data series departs from a stable state

Forecast ErrorBecause the methodology is systematic it is

capable of producing a rigorous analysis of

forecast error.

By calculating the standard deviation of

forecast errors for each line of data and

by applying to each the most rudimentary

normal curve theory, an error range linked

to probability is generated.

A system which uses judgement cannot

benefit from this feature but error is itself a

vital element in any subsequent process.

Demand SideThe online system is entirely based on

the analysis and projection of passenger

numbers over time. It specifically excludes

any supply side input which would normally

comprise capacity expansion planning as

well as those factors which limit passengers.

Behind this decision lies the lack of

consistent and comparable airport capacity

projections which are put into the public

domain by the airports themselves.

In the majority of cases this omission poses

no difficulty but it does become an issue

when growth rates which are exponential in

the short-term are projected long term.

External factors which fall into the

macro-economic, socio-economic and

infrastructure, are also specifically excluded.

The benefits of multi-variate analysis have

never yet been sufficiently demonstrated in

models which are not required to produce

multiple solutions and especially so when

many of the available passenger forecast

inputs are themselves subject to significant

forecast errors.

Air4Casts +44 203 086 9315

Base Data

Each data line which is presented to the forecasting system must

contain monthly observations whose start point is no later than

January 1991.

In the case of some airports there is monthly back history to 1977

but susbscibers should note that access to the base historical data is

not included as part of the forecast package.

The sources of data have historically included ICAO and currently

concentrate on the monthly returns from ACI with increasing

reliance on airport authorities’ own postings on their web sites.

There are sophisticated methods in place to cope with “missing

data” where for some reason a particular return for a particular

month is unavailable.

Subscription and customization

Options for subscribersSeveral options exist to give subscribers the greatest flexibility in picking the option which best suits their needs. There are six broad choices to suit a wide rang of subscribers.

Multi-Site Licence

The multi-site option permits:

n an unlimited number of users from the same Company to access

the forecast package

n A dedicated and fully customizable company web site available to all

employees irrespective of location.

n considerable customization of the package; see a later Section

Single-Site Licence

Identical to the Multi-Site module except:

n the Licence is restricted to users at that site and

n customization is not included

Annual Subscription

n an annual subscription, while evidently self-explanatory, runs for 365

days from the subscription date

US Airports Package

n the search ability is restricted to US Airports

n the national summary is, of course, for the USA

n the regional summary includes Canada within North America.

This array of options is designed to meet the needs of planning execu-

tives who have a constant need for access to up to date forecasting

information which reflects market changes.

Alternatively, it will also serve those whose need is occasional and

especially annual; it is constructed to fit with the rigours of company

budgeting and planning which may need to be compressed into a short

time period.

Subscription cost

The annual subscription costs for each of the basic options are:

Multi-Site Single-Site Full Package Global - 800 airports £15000 £9000FastPax Data Pack £3500 £2000 US Airports Package Annual £5500 £2500 There is an order form at the back of this brochure. There is also the facility to order online at www.air4casts.com via the secure Worldpay system. Online subscribers gain instant access to the forecasts.

Subscribers may upgrade their subscription level at any time.

Customization

At the very heart of the system there is the important option for full

corporate subscribers to customize its operation.

Customization works by creating, for each client, an entirely separate

though anonymous web site to which only the client has access. The

site, in practical terms, is a sub-domain of www.air4casts.com.

This means that only the relevant data for the relevant time periods

are loaded. That could mean, for example, focusing on:

n international passengers only

n for selected airports

n with corporate national and regional groupings

n monthly from 2009 to 2012.

Developing for the client a private and bespoke forecasting web site

The full subscription customization would extend to:

n on-screen search options

n the data the client receives automatically each month.

The client also controls:

n who, within his own organization, has access to the data base and

can know

n the number and nature of data searches which are made.

The customization option should only apply to the annual subscription

and, depending upon the degree of complexity involved, there may be a

moderate set up charge in excess of the annual cost.

Air4Casts +44 203 086 9315 www.air4casts.com

The Company

BACKGROUND TO OUR COMPANY

Air4casts was established in 1990 by a small group of marketing, consulting and systems professionals. They shared business

backgrounds in Beverages, Cosmetics, Fashion, Oil and Management Consultancy. They came together to offer a unique forecasting,

analysis and research service for the Aviation and Travel Retail Industries.

Today Air4casts has established a reputation as an acknowledged leader

in air passenger forecasting, research and consulting. Our client base is

broad and ranges from airports and airlines to financial institutions, with

a specialist division which is devoted to the specific needs of the Travel

Retail industry.

Our headquarters, research, administration and marketing functions are

based in the London head office.

OUR SERVICES

Airport Passenger Forecasting

At the root of the Company’s forecasting services is the monthly forecast and forecast update of 800 of the world’s largest and

most important airports. Each of these airports is separately reviewed based upon the latest available actual data and forecasts are

produced by month, by quarter and annually out to 2040. The forecast content for each airport includes international, domestic

and total passengers. The company has invested considerably in the design of custom built software which is especially well adapted

to the needs of the air travel business. Its approach is entirely systematic in that the forecasts generated are without personal

conjecture and are thus capable of probability analysis.

Bespoke Forecasting

Our unique expertise and depth of data coverage enables us to work closely with individual clients on tailored forecast studies.

These have ranged recently from a master plan for a major airport to a privatization study and a bespoke in-house forecast database

for a leading airport supplier.

Travel and Tourism Forecasting

Our country by country travel and tourism forecasts are an invaluable tool for companies involved in the travel and travel retail

industries. For 160 countries worldwide there are online forecasts and historical trend data for visitors arriving and departing by air,

land and sea. The forecast content for each country includes a breakdown by business and leisure traveller, nationality of visitor and

visitor by regional origin.

ContactAir4casts Limited1 Northumberland AvenueTrafalgar SquareLondon WC2N 5BWUK

Telephone: +44 203 086 9315Fax: +44 203 004 1738

Name

Company

Address

Town

Country Postcode

Phone Fax

e-mail

My subscription is for:

o Full Package Single Site Annual Licence £9,000

o FastPax Single Site Annual Licence £2,000

o US Airports Single Site Annual Licence £2,500

Payment

o I enclose a cheque in the amount of £ payable to

Air4casts Limited

or

Please debit my:

o Visa o MasterCard

in the above amount

Number

Name on Card

Expiry Date month year

or

o I am an existing Air4casts Ltd client and wish you to invoice the

above company account in the normal way for payment within 28

days from date of invoice.

Upgrade my Current Subscription

o I wish to upgrade my current subscription. Please send me the

upgrade options.

order form

AIR PASSENGER FORECASTS ONLINE

SINGLE-USER OPTION

For further information please call:

Jane RobinsonAir4casts Limited

1 Northumberland AvenueLondon WC2N 5BW

UKTel: +44 203 086 9315Fax: +44 203 004 1738

www.air4casts.com

Name

Company

Address

Town

Country Postcode

Phone Fax

e-mail

My subscription is for:

o Full Package Multi Site Annual Licence £15,000

o FastPax Multi Site Annual Licence £3,500

o US Airports Multi Site Annual Licence £5,500

Payment

o I enclose a cheque in the amount of £ payable to

Air4casts Limited

or

Please debit my:

o Visa o MasterCard

in the above amount

Number

Name on Card

Expiry Date month year

or

o I am an existing Air4casts Ltd client and wish you to invoice the

above company account in the normal way for payment within 28

days from date of invoice.

Upgrade my Current Subscription

o I wish to upgrade my current subscription. Please send me the

upgrade options.

AIR PASSENGER FORECASTS ONLINE

MULTI-USER OPTION