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On balance, what are the projections for ocean change?

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On balance, what are the projections for ocean change?. It depends . . . How much warming and what feedbacks? Warming projections: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2.7 to 3.3 K to 2100 Feedbacks are studied with “General Circulation Models”. Data acquisition. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?
Page 2: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

On balance, what are the projections for ocean change? It depends . . . How much warming and what

feedbacks? Warming projections:

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

2.7 to 3.3 K to 2100 Feedbacks are studied with

“General Circulation Models”

Page 3: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Data acquisition

Page 4: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Changes in temperature

Page 5: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Changes in sea level

Page 6: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Historical change in salinity

Page 7: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Current model projections Thermal expansion contributes major sea

level increase, but not as much as adding freshwater

Glacial melt could contribute 130 – 160 mm increase

Antarctic ice cap melting offset by increased precipitation

Redistribution of Antarctic sea ice (melting) increases equatorial & northern sea level through gravity effect

Page 8: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Mammals 'floated to Madagascar' By Mark Kinver Science and environment reporter, BBC News

The ancestors of the current mammals found on the island of Madagascar could have been transported on floating vegetation from Africa, a study says.

Page 9: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Climate is influenced by global winds and ocean currents

Page 10: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Global WindsGlobal Winds from Satellite Data

Page 11: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Coriolis Effect Based on the rotation of a sphere (the

Earth) Illustration Influences the rotation of eddies at

intermediate scales Influences the rotation of gyres at the

scale of ocean basins

Page 12: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Northeastern Pacific Wind Pattern

Page 13: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Southeast Pacific Wind Pattern

Page 14: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Winds link land & oceans

Page 15: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

surface water currents

Page 16: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

link between surface and deep circulation

Page 17: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Coriolis effect influences deep circulation

Page 18: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Equatorial upwelling

Page 19: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Current direction varies with depth

Page 20: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Current patterns differ among ocean basins

Page 21: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Indian Ocean

Page 22: On balance, what are the  projections for ocean change?

Biological productivity is influenced by ocean currents