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Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque

Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

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Page 1: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque

Page 2: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

Mission Statement

Make sustainable investing financially attractive and

available to the mainstream.

We integrate Environmental, Social and Governance

(ESG) data with quantitative investment strategies to

generate financial outperformance.

Sustainability Big Data

Page 3: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

• Imposing moral or faith based values

• About greenwashing

• Implementing values at the expense of

performance

• A mixed services provider

Sustainability should not be about...

Page 4: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

Technology and sustainability: accelerating market

transformation

• Silent revolution

• Global momentum

• Growing support of the business case

• Regulatory changes

• Reporting revolution

Page 5: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

• Rise of the quants

• Equity is the new Fixed Income

• Banking models, savings, and pensions will

change

• Surge in ESG big data and computing

power, with new models to process

information

• Demand for “lifestyle” finance by Millennials

– Generation S

Disrupting the financial industry

ESG is to finance what electricity is to

the auto industry

Page 6: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

ESG Big Data

• Over 90% of all the world’s data was generated

in the past two years

• Current level of ESG data is a fraction of what it

will be in five years

• Investor demand for ESG is growing rapidly

• ESG to finance is what the X-Ray was to

medicine

• A new dimension to investing

Page 7: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

The Age of AI

• AI infiltrating into everything we do, from

Apple’s Siri, to Amazon’s Alexa

• Arabesque’s technology capable of processing

billions of data points

• Arabesque’s quant models extract information

out of data through pattern recognition and

machine learning

• AI and sustainability big data combined

• Our mission is to make this technology

accessible to more investors

Page 8: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

• Overview of current research on ESG

(Environment, Social and Governance)

• Collaboration between Oxford and Arabesque

• Meta-study of over 200 papers

• 85% of the world’s 250 largest companies report

on sustainability

Innovation Based on Sound Research

ESG ~ lower cost of capital

90% of studies

ESG ~ better operational performance

88% of studies

ESG ~ better stock price performance

80% of studies

Page 9: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

Backward Looking

Revenues, Profitability, Assets,

Leverage, Cash Flow

Forward Looking

Carbon emissions, Employee

relations, Board structure

Information Environment

ESG information provides a gauge to management quality and company

strategy

Financial Data ESG Data

Page 10: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

ESG & Market Performance

Stocks of sustainable companies tend to significantly outperform their less

sustainable counterparts

Source: Eccles, Robert G., Ioannis Ioannou, and George Serafeim. "The Impact of Corporate Sustainability on Organizational Processes and Performance." Management

Science 60, no. 11 (November 2014): 2835–2857. http://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Publication%20Files/SSRN-id1964011_6791edac-7daa-4603-a220-4a0c6c7a3f7a.pdf

1992

1993

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2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

0

5

10

15

20

25 High

Sustainability

Low

Sustainability

Evolution of $1 invested in the stock market in value-weighted portfolios

Page 11: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

0.8%

0.9%

1.0%

1.1%

1.2%

1.3%

1.4%

1.5%

1.6%

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

6.5

7.0

2.8

2.9

2.9

3.0

3.0

3.1

3.1

3.2

3.2

3.3

3.3

ESG & Corporate Performance

Valuations of firms with better ESG reflect higher expected growth and lower cost of capital

MV / BV Equity Valuation of Profitability CDS Spread

Source: MSCI, Calvert-Serafeim Research. The Role of the Corporation in Society: Implications for Investors, Calvert Investments and George Serafeim, September

2015, http://www.calvert.com/NRC/literature/documents/wp10012.pdf

Page 12: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

1714 Signatories, US$68 trillion

Progress Market actors who have signed into the Principles of Responsible Investing

have committed to account for sustainability topics in their portfolios

Source: https://www.unpri.org/about/the-six-principles. As of April 2017.

Principles

1. .Integrate ESG in capital allocation

2. .Active ownership

3. .Seek ESG disclosure

4. .Promote ESG

5. .Collective effort on implementation

6. .Report on progress 0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

# o

f si

gnato

ries

AuM

($b

n)

A.O. AuM A.M. AuM # of signatories

Page 13: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

ESG and the SSE

• ESG indices are the most popular sustainability

instrument

• 38 of 82 exchanges provide them

• Over 100 ESG themed indices world-wide

Page 14: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

Sustainability Journey in Thai Capital Market over the last 10 years

2006 2007 2008 2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

• Issued Principles of Good Corporate Governance for Listed Companies (SET)

• Corporate Social Responsibility Awards for the first year (SET)

• Launched a Good Corporate Governance Checklist (SET)

• Established Social Responsibility Center (SET)

• Launched Corporate Social Responsibility Guidelines (SET)

• First introduced GRI Sustainability Reporting Guidelines (Thaipat)

• Sustainability Report Awards for the first year (TLCA by CSR Club)

• Social Responsibility Practices for seven industries and listed companies for mai (SET)

• Launched Sustainability Development Reporting Guidelines (SET)

• Promoted ASEAN CG Scorecard (SET)

• Launched Thailand Sustainability Investment - THSI, a list of ESG stocks (SET)

• Launched ESG100, a list of ESG stocks (Thaipat)

• Sustainability Awards for the first year (SET)

• Launched Institutional Investor Code (SEC)

• Launched a mutual initiative on CG funds (AIMC)

• SET joined Sustainable Stock Exchanges (SSE); as the first exchange in ASEAN

• SET joined WFE – Sustainability Working Group

• Launched CSR and Anti-corruption Progress Indicator (SEC & Thaipat)

• Launched Compulsory CSR/ ESG Report (SEC)

• 14 companies selected for DJSI, highest in ASEAN

• No.1 in ASEAN CG Scorecard for 4 years consecutively (2013-2016)

Source: The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET), The Securities Exchange Commission (SEC), Thaipat Institute, Association of Investment Management Companies (AIMC), Thai Listed Companies Association (TLCA) by CSR Club

Page 15: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

What’s Next?

Technology won’t replace managers, but

managers who use technology will replace those who don’t

Aviation in the Past Aviation Now

Page 16: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

• The race to lead ESG investing into the

mainstream will be won by whoever sets the

standards

• …and can explain the link between ESG and

alpha

• This will open a new dimension to investing

• …and have a self-fulfilling effect

What the battery is to Tesla,

S-Ray is to Arabesque

The Opportunity

Page 17: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

100% 100 0% 50

Good

0

A normative assessment of each company

based on the core principles of the United

Nations Global Compact

Bad Bad Good

A sector specific analysis of each

company‘s performance on financially

material environmental, social and

governance (ESG) issues

A search tool that allows anyone to check

the business involvements of companies

against their personal values

Revenues Revenues

5%

GC Score ESG Score Preferences

Three Pillars of S-Ray™

• S-Ray™ is a transparency tool

Neutral

0 100

Page 18: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 19: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

Average ESG Score for Region

Page 20: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

Average GC Score for Region

Page 21: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 22: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 23: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 24: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 25: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 26: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 27: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

37.25 40.72 43.13 53.75

62.75 41.75 36.31

GC Score:

ESG Score:

Negative GC factors: Fipronil ban Tax avoidance Plant blasts UNGC watch-list

ESG performance: Top 38% country peers Top 42% sector peers Top 20% sector peers in ‘E’

Page 28: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 29: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 30: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 31: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 32: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 33: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 34: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 35: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 36: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 37: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 38: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 39: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information
Page 40: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

Systematic Performance

Page 41: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

Backtest Performance Comparison - Systematic Global All

Countries with and without S-Ray

Page 42: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

A new perspective on finance

Page 43: Omar Selim, CEO of Arabesque - Stock Exchange of … · •Arabesque’s technology capable of processing billions of data points •Arabesque’s quant models extract information

Sustainability now available to all