Oil and gas Ind 3

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    Oil & Gas Sector ofOil & Gas Sector of

    PakistanPakistan

    Presenters :

    Muneeba Zafar

    Fahad Kamran

    Sana Abbas

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    Pakistan Primary Energy Mix YR-Pakistan Primary Energy Mix YR-

    20012001Consumption: 44.5 Million TOE

    Oil : 43.5 % Gas : 41.5 % Hydro: 9.2 % Coal: 4.5 % Nuclear: 1 %

    LPG: 0.3 %

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    Pakistan Primary Energy Mix YR-Pakistan Primary Energy Mix YR-

    20062006

    In Yr01 In Yr01 Oil 43.5 % & Gas 41.5 %Oil 43.5 % & Gas 41.5 %

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    Global and RegionalGlobal and Regional

    Comparison.Comparison.

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    World Oil ReservesWorld Oil Reserves

    Total world oil reserves are approximately 1,081 toTotal world oil reserves are approximately 1,081 to1,2931,293 billionbillionbarrels (2005)barrels (2005)

    Pakistan: 342 million barrels = 0.03% ofPakistan: 342 million barrels = 0.03% ofworld (2005)world (2005)

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    World Oil SupplyWorld Oil SupplyTotal worlds supply 75 million barrels/day (2005)Total worlds supply 75 million barrels/day (2005)

    Pakistan: 63,000 Barrels per day i.e 0.063 mb/d.Pakistan: 63,000 Barrels per day i.e 0.063 mb/d.

    Which is 0.08% of world. (2005)Which is 0.08% of world. (2005)

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    Oil ConsumptionOil Consumption

    Total Consumption of world : 73.9 millionTotal Consumption of world : 73.9 million

    barrels per day. (2004)barrels per day. (2004)

    Consumption of Pakistan: 0.386 mb/d =Consumption of Pakistan: 0.386 mb/d =

    0.52% of world (2004)0.52% of world (2004)

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    Pakistans Oil ConsumptionPakistans Oil Consumption

    Pattern. (2006)Pattern. (2006)

    Power

    35%

    Transport50%

    Agriculture

    1%

    Industry

    10%

    Domestic

    2% Other/Govt

    2%

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    World Gas ReservesWorld Gas Reserves Total Reserves: 5,304 trillion cu ft. (2004)Total Reserves: 5,304 trillion cu ft. (2004)

    Pakistan: 24 tcf = 0.45% of world (2004)Pakistan: 24 tcf = 0.45% of world (2004)

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    Worlds Gas supply andWorlds Gas supply and

    consumption (2003-04)consumption (2003-04) Total world supply : 234 billion cu. Ft perTotal world supply : 234 billion cu. Ft per

    day.day.

    Pakistan: 2.4 bcfd = 1.0% of worldPakistan: 2.4 bcfd = 1.0% of world

    Total world Consumption: 232 billion cuTotal world Consumption: 232 billion cu

    ft.per dayft.per day

    Pakistan: 2.2 bcfd = 0.94% of worldPakistan: 2.2 bcfd = 0.94% of world

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    Pakistans Gas ConsumptionPakistans Gas Consumption

    Pattern.(2006)Pattern.(2006)

    Commercial

    23%

    Domestic

    15%

    Transport

    4%Power

    26%

    Fertilizer

    15%

    Industries

    (excluding

    fertilizer)

    17%

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    Pakistan Oil & GasPakistan Oil & GasResourcesResources

    and Infrastructureand Infrastructure

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    Exploration of Oil & Gas (2006)Exploration of Oil & Gas (2006)

    First exploration wellFirst exploration well - 1866- 1866

    First oil discoveryFirst oil discovery - 1915- 1915

    Total exploratory wells drilledTotal exploratory wells drilled - 653- 653

    Total discoveriesTotal discoveries -- 185185 Success rateSuccess rate - 1 : 3.5- 1 : 3.5

    Sedimentary basin area - 827,268 sq kmSedimentary basin area - 827,268 sq km

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    Oil & Gas Reserves (2003-04)Oil & Gas Reserves (2003-04)

    OilOil Natural GasNatural Gas

    (Million(Million (Trillion(Trillion

    barrels)barrels) cubic feet)cubic feet)

    DiscoveredDiscovered 737737 3838

    ProducedProduced 441441 1414

    RemainingRemaining 296296 2424

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    Oil/Gas/LPG Demand &Oil/Gas/LPG Demand & Production(2003-04Production(2003-04))

    Oil (b/d)Oil (b/d) 386,000386,000 58,00058,000 328,000328,000

    ImportsImports

    Gas (bcf/d) 2.9Gas (bcf/d) 2.9 2.42.4 0.50.5

    UnsatisfiedUnsatisfied demanddemand

    LPG (t/d)LPG (t/d) 1,2001,200 857857 343343

    UnsatisfiedUnsatisfieddemanddemand

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    Supply & Demand of Oil (2003-04)Supply & Demand of Oil (2003-04)

    DemandDemand 19mt/y19mt/y

    SupplySupply

    Local ProductsLocal Products 08.7mt/y08.7mt/y

    Imported ProductsImported Products 10 mt/y10 mt/y

    Imported CrudeImported Crude 143,683 b/d143,683 b/d

    ($ 1.362m)($ 1.362m)

    Annual Import Bill $ 3,326mAnnual Import Bill $ 3,326m

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    Oil Refining CapacitiesOil Refining Capacities

    (Million Tonnes(Million Tonnes

    per Year)per Year)

    ExistingExisting Under InstallationUnder Installation

    ARLARL 1.661.66 BosicorBosicor 1.21.2 PRLPRL 2.202.20

    NRLNRL 2.802.80 ProposedProposed

    DhodakDhodak 0.120.12 Iran Pak 6.0Iran Pak 6.0

    PARCOPARCO 4.504.50

    Total:Total: 11.2811.28

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    Pakistan Natural Gas NetworkPakistan Natural Gas Network

    (Km)(Km)

    Northern SouthernNorthern Southern

    System System TotalSystem System Total

    Transmission Lines 5,000 3,000 8,000Transmission Lines 5,000 3,000 8,000

    Distribution Lines 32,000 21,000 53,000Distribution Lines 32,000 21,000 53,000No. of consumers 2.0 m 1.6 m 3.6 mNo. of consumers 2.0 m 1.6 m 3.6 m

    Final Gas Consumed 984 1,020Final Gas Consumed 984 1,020 2,0042,004(MMCFD)(MMCFD)

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    A Road Map to anA Road Map to anEfficientEfficient

    Oil & Gas SectorOil & Gas Sector

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    Road Map to an EfficientRoad Map to an Efficient

    Oil & Gas SectorOil & Gas Sector

    Liberalize Oil & Gas SectorLiberalize Oil & Gas Sector

    Privatize Public Sector EntitiesPrivatize Public Sector Entities Accelerate Gas DevelopmentAccelerate Gas Development

    Improve GovernanceImprove Governance

    Promote Foreign InvestmentPromote Foreign Investment Improve EnvironmentImprove Environment

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    A. Liberalize Oil & Gas SectorA. Liberalize Oil & Gas Sector

    Shift from cost-plus to competitive regime.Shift from cost-plus to competitive regime.

    Full commercial and operational authority toFull commercial and operational authority to

    Board of Directors of public sector entities.Board of Directors of public sector entities.

    Deregulation of petroleum prices,Deregulation of petroleum prices,discontinuation of the freight pool, review ofdiscontinuation of the freight pool, review of

    marketing and dealer margins, etc.marketing and dealer margins, etc.

    Cont.Cont.

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    A. Liberalize Oil & Gas SectorA. Liberalize Oil & Gas Sector

    (Contd.)(Contd.) Review pricing and taxation of oil andReview pricing and taxation of oil and

    gas to allow consumers to benefit fromgas to allow consumers to benefit from

    reductions in international prices and toreductions in international prices and toadjust to higher prices.adjust to higher prices.

    Liberalize oil imports.Liberalize oil imports.

    Rationalize gas retail pricing, linkRationalize gas retail pricing, linkconsumer price with substitute fuels.consumer price with substitute fuels.

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    B. Privatize Public Sector EntitiesB. Privatize Public Sector Entities

    Disinvest GOP / public sectorDisinvest GOP / public sector

    shareholding in discovered fields andshareholding in discovered fields and

    companies.companies.

    PrivatizePrivatize PPLPPL

    OGDCLOGDCL PSOPSO

    NRLNRL

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    C. Accelerate Gas DevelopmentC. Accelerate Gas Development

    Fast-track exploration andFast-track exploration and

    exploitation of domestic natural gasexploitation of domestic natural gas

    resources .resources .

    Increase domestic supply of LPGIncrease domestic supply of LPG

    from refineries and fields .from refineries and fields .

    Import natural gas through pipelineImport natural gas through pipeline

    from neighboring countries and LPGfrom neighboring countries and LPG

    through a new import terminal.through a new import terminal.

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    C. Gas ImportsC. Gas Imports

    Gas Imports: Replacement of imported oilGas Imports: Replacement of imported oil

    with imported gas will increase energywith imported gas will increase energy

    security both in terms of security of supplysecurity both in terms of security of supplyas well as security of price.as well as security of price.

    The recent proposal from Qatar to bringThe recent proposal from Qatar to bring

    gas exclusively to Pakistan, as well as thegas exclusively to Pakistan, as well as the

    Iranian proposal which considers India asIranian proposal which considers India as

    an essential component, could bean essential component, could be

    considered.considered.

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    C. Benefits of Gas Import (cont.)C. Benefits of Gas Import (cont.)

    Advantages to RegionAdvantages to Region::

    Shift towards gas-driven environment friendly energyShift towards gas-driven environment friendly energyeconomies.economies.

    Strengthen regional cooperation and provide a foundation forStrengthen regional cooperation and provide a foundation forfuture economic growth throughout the region.future economic growth throughout the region.

    Significant direct and indirect economic benefits during theSignificant direct and indirect economic benefits during theconstruction and over the life of the project throughconstruction and over the life of the project through

    employment, transit fees, availability of clean fuel, economicemployment, transit fees, availability of clean fuel, economicand industrial growth.and industrial growth.

    New business and investment opportunities.New business and investment opportunities.

    C POTENTIAL GAS IMPORT SOURCE COUNTRIESC POTENTIAL GAS IMPORT SOURCE COUNTRIES

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    C. POTENTIAL GAS IMPORT SOURCE COUNTRIESC. POTENTIAL GAS IMPORT SOURCE COUNTRIES(2003-04)(2003-04)

    IranIran

    Proven Reserves - 812 TCFProven Reserves - 812 TCF

    ProductionProduction -1900 BCF-1900 BCFExportExport --

    TurkmenistanTurkmenistan

    Proven ReservesProven Reserves -101 TCF-101 TCFProductionProduction -790 BCF-790 BCF

    Export - 590 BCFExport - 590 BCF

    QatarQatar

    Proven ReservesProven Reserves - 300 TCF- 300 TCFProduction - 690 BCFProduction - 690 BCFExport -168 BCFExport -168 BCF

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    D. Improve GovernanceD. Improve Governance

    GRA (Gas Regularity Authority) andGRA (Gas Regularity Authority) and

    OGRA (Oil Gas Regularity Authority),OGRA (Oil Gas Regularity Authority),

    established.established.

    HOLDCO operational.HOLDCO operational.

    Department of Petroleum and EnergyDepartment of Petroleum and Energy

    Resources being restructured toResources being restructured to

    perform policy formulation andperform policy formulation and

    coordination functions.coordination functions.

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    E. Promote Foreign InvestmentE. Promote Foreign Investment

    Investor friendly Petroleum Exploration andInvestor friendly Petroleum Exploration and

    Production Policy 2001 announced in MayProduction Policy 2001 announced in May

    20012001 Investment of US$ 978 million has been committedInvestment of US$ 978 million has been committed

    since October 1999 which includes:since October 1999 which includes:

    ExplorationExploration US$ 73 millionUS$ 73 million

    Gas Fields DevelopmentGas Fields Development US$ 505 millionUS$ 505 million

    Oil PipelinesOil Pipelines US$ 278 millionUS$ 278 million

    MarketingMarketing US$ 55 millionUS$ 55 million

    Local InvestmentLocal Investment US$ 67 millionUS$ 67 million

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    F. Improve EnvironmentF. Improve Environment

    Increasing natural gas use to replaceIncreasing natural gas use to replace

    fuel oil in power generation, andfuel oil in power generation, and

    petrol/diesel in transport by CNGpetrol/diesel in transport by CNG

    Doubling the availability of LPGDoubling the availability of LPG

    Improving petrol and diesel oilImproving petrol and diesel oil

    specificationsspecifications

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    Some Options forSome Options forPakistansPakistans

    Energy SectorEnergy Sector

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    Oil & GasOil & Gas

    Total potential estimated at about 27Total potential estimated at about 27billion barrels of oil and 282 trillion cubicbillion barrels of oil and 282 trillion cubic

    feet of gas.feet of gas.

    Only 737 million barrels of oil and 38Only 737 million barrels of oil and 38trillion cubic feet of gas have so far beentrillion cubic feet of gas have so far beendiscovered.discovered.

    Major future discoveries of oil and gas willMajor future discoveries of oil and gas willcome from the offshore, Balochistan andcome from the offshore, Balochistan andDumber Block of Kirthar.Dumber Block of Kirthar.

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    Shift to GasShift to Gas

    A shift to gas is the least cost andA shift to gas is the least cost and

    preferred option for:preferred option for:

    Economic BenefitsEconomic Benefits

    Security of Energy SuppliesSecurity of Energy Supplies

    Societal EquitySocietal Equity

    Environmental ImprovementEnvironmental Improvement

    Strategic Regional CooperationStrategic Regional Cooperation

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    Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)

    After successful introduction ofAfter successful introduction of

    natural gas as transport fuel tonatural gas as transport fuel to

    replace petrol, policy actions arereplace petrol, policy actions are

    being formulated to promote largebeing formulated to promote largescale replacement of diesel oil byscale replacement of diesel oil by

    CNG.CNG.

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    Oil Refining and InfrastructureOil Refining and Infrastructure

    Options be evaluated of putting upOptions be evaluated of putting up

    new refineries by value addition ofnew refineries by value addition of

    the existing refineries if the energythe existing refineries if the energy

    mix ratio of oil to gas (presentlymix ratio of oil to gas (presentlyabout 60/40) is to shift in favor ofabout 60/40) is to shift in favor of

    gas to say 70/30 or 80/20.gas to say 70/30 or 80/20.

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    Coal (2003-04)Coal (2003-04)

    Thar field is the 5th largest (185 billionThar field is the 5th largest (185 billion

    tonnes) coal field in the world but hastonnes) coal field in the world but has

    remained un-exploited.remained un-exploited.

    Current production of coal 3.5 millionCurrent production of coal 3.5 milliontonnes per year, constituting less than 5%tonnes per year, constituting less than 5%

    of our present energy mix.of our present energy mix.

    Coal must come into immediate focus forCoal must come into immediate focus for

    power generation, and industrial,power generation, and industrial,

    commercial and domestic use.commercial and domestic use.

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    COAL CONSUMPTION PATTERN OF PAKISTAN

    BrickKilns

    53%

    Coke

    23%

    Power

    4%

    Cement

    20%

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    Coal Reserves & ProductionCoal Reserves & ProductionInIn

    Million TonnesMillion Tonnes

    ProvinceProvince Reserves AnnualReserves AnnualProductionProduction

    SindhSindh 184,123184,123 0.9780.978

    PunjabPunjab 256256 0.4000.400

    BalochistanBalochistan 196196 1.6731.673

    NWFPNWFP 8181 0.0410.041

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Total:Total: 184,656184,656 3.0923.092

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    Strategy to Increase Coal UseStrategy to Increase Coal Use

    Policy Statement:Policy Statement:

    - Share of indigenous coal in energy mix at- Share of indigenous coal in energy mix atnational level to be enhanced from presentnational level to be enhanced from present4.5% to 20%4.5% to 20%

    Long Term Measures:Long Term Measures:

    - Secure private investment for exploitation- Secure private investment for exploitationof Thar.of Thar.

    - Feasibility studies to establish coal based- Feasibility studies to establish coal basedthermal power plantthermal power plant

    (Contd..)(Contd..)

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    Immediate Measures:Immediate Measures:

    - Conversion of processing industry on coal- Conversion of processing industry on coalthrough policy incentives.through policy incentives.

    - Study utilization of coal for town gas.- Study utilization of coal for town gas.

    - Study in-situ gasification of Thar coal fields.- Study in-situ gasification of Thar coal fields.

    - Preparation of mining feasibility study on- Preparation of mining feasibility study onThar coal.Thar coal.

    - Provincial Government to develop- Provincial Government to developinfrastructure in coal fields .infrastructure in coal fields .

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    Enviromental Issues:Enviromental Issues:

    Damages to the environment, can either be knowingly orDamages to the environment, can either be knowingly or

    unintentionally.unintentionally.

    Directly effect on human life in the region.Directly effect on human life in the region.

    Oils spill over effect.Oils spill over effect.

    Air emission.Air emission.

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    Enviromental Issues: (contd.)Enviromental Issues: (contd.)

    Liquid waste.Liquid waste.

    Soil contamination.Soil contamination.

    Extinction of plants and species.Extinction of plants and species.

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    WTO Effect :WTO Effect :

    Pakistan will be benefiting from thePakistan will be benefiting from the

    implementation of WTO.implementation of WTO.

    Free trade of oil and gas.Free trade of oil and gas.

    Beneficial for Pakistan as it is heavilyBeneficial for Pakistan as it is heavily

    dependent on oil and gas import.dependent on oil and gas import.

    Reduction in cost of products.Reduction in cost of products.

    Change in infrastructure by import ofChange in infrastructure by import of

    technological goods.technological goods.

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    The EndThe End