Offshore East Africa-Where is all the oil? · PDF fileelusive offshore oil. 3 History of Exploration ... An Early-Mid Jurassic marine shale is thought to source much of the gas in

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    2014 Gaffney, Cline & Associates. All rights reserved. Terms and conditions of use: by accepting this document, the recipient agrees that the document together with all information included therein is the confidential and proprietary property of

    Gaffney, Cline & Associates and includes valuable trade secrets and/or proprietary information of Gaffney, Cline & Associates (collectively "information"). Gaffney, Cline & Associates retains all rights under copyright laws and trade secret laws of the

    United States of America and other countries. The recipient further agrees that the document may not be distributed, transmitted, copied or reproduced in whole or in part by any means, electronic, mechanical, or otherwise, without the express prior

    written consent of Gaffney, Cline & Associates, and may not be used directly or indirectly in any way detrimental to Gaffney, Clines & Associates interest.

    Offshore East Africa-where is all the oil?

    Jeremy Berry

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    Introduction

    Sudan

    South Sudan

    Democratic

    Republic of

    the Congo

    Tanzania

    Mozambique

    Zimbabwe

    Zambia

    Ethiopia

    Kenya

    Uganda

    Offshore East Africa, only

    gas has been found in

    commercial volumes

    Oil discoveries onshore

    Uganda, Kenya,

    Mozambique and

    Madagascar along with

    numerous seeps along the

    coast encourage the

    continued pursuit of the

    elusive offshore oil.

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    History of Exploration

    1950-1964 Majors perform geological studies and the petroleum system is proven.

    1964-1980 Seismic surveys shot and 5 wells drilled. AGIP discover Songo Songo Gas

    field. Gulf Oil discover Pande & Buzi Gas fields.

    1980-1990 Increased drilling period. ENI discover Mnazi Bay gas field.

    1990-2000 Exploration efforts wane due to prediction of gas-prone source rocks.

    2000-2009 First gas produced Songo Songo and Mnazi Bay.

    2009-2014 Renewed exploration with intensive drilling campaigns resulting in

    multiple multi-TCF gas discoveries in Mozambique and Tanzania.

    Sources: TPDC, INP, Wenworth Resources, Orca Exploration

    1950 2014 1964 1980 1990 2000

    Pande & Buzi

    Discovery

    Mnazi Bay

    Discovery

    Temane

    Discovery

    Songo Songo

    Discovery

    1st Rovuma gas

    discoveries

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    Postulated Source Rocks

    Source: TPDC

    Paleogene-Neogene:

    Restricted to localised pro-delta

    environments and rarely attained

    sufficient thermal maturation.

    Post mid-Jurassic Cretaceous:

    Likely to be gas prone due to paucity

    of oil-prone kerogens at the time.

    Lower-Middle Jurassic:

    Generally deeply buried. Widespread

    Miocene inversion thought to have

    flashed much of the oils to gas.

    Triassic:

    Likely to be over-mature.

    Permo-Carboniferous:

    Compositionally prone to be gas bearing.

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    Palaeogeography

    Shell, 2003

    Early Jurassic

    Transition between Permo-

    Trias rifting and sea-floor

    spreading.

    Thermal doming between

    Tanzania and Madagascar

    Mid-Late Jurassic

    Madagascar begins

    southerly drift along Davie

    Fracture Zone.

    Source rocks deposited in

    semi-restricted settings.

    Cretaceous

    Continued drift of Madagascar.

    Major deltas begin to form in

    coastal basin.

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    An Early-Mid Jurassic marine shale is thought to source much of the gas in

    offshore Tanzania and Mozambique.

    This source rock has not yet been directly sampled.

    Is gas being generated because?

    The source rock predominantly lies within the gas window.

    Some areas of this source rock had high gas-prone terrigenous input

    Bamford, D. 2012

    Natural Gas assets in East Africa Source Intervals

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    BLOCK 3BLOCK 3BLOCK 3BLOCK 3BLOCK 3BLOCK 3BLOCK 3BLOCK 3BLOCK 3

    MANDAWAMANDAWAMANDAWAMANDAWAMANDAWAMANDAWAMANDAWAMANDAWAMANDAWA

    BLOCK 2BLOCK 2BLOCK 2BLOCK 2BLOCK 2BLOCK 2BLOCK 2BLOCK 2BLOCK 2

    BLOCK 1BLOCK 1BLOCK 1BLOCK 1BLOCK 1BLOCK 1BLOCK 1BLOCK 1BLOCK 1

    AREA 1AREA 1AREA 1AREA 1AREA 1AREA 1AREA 1AREA 1AREA 1

    AREA 4AREA 4AREA 4AREA 4AREA 4AREA 4AREA 4AREA 4AREA 4

    PWEZA

    BLOCK 35BLOCK 35BLOCK 35BLOCK 35BLOCK 35BLOCK 35BLOCK 35BLOCK 35BLOCK 35

    BLOCK EBLOCK EBLOCK EBLOCK EBLOCK EBLOCK EBLOCK EBLOCK EBLOCK E

    BLOCK FBLOCK FBLOCK FBLOCK FBLOCK FBLOCK FBLOCK FBLOCK FBLOCK F

    BLOCK 36BLOCK 36BLOCK 36BLOCK 36BLOCK 36BLOCK 36BLOCK 36BLOCK 36BLOCK 361139 11139 11139 11139 11139 11139 11139 11139 11139 1

    MNAZI BAY NMNAZI BAY NMNAZI BAY NMNAZI BAY NMNAZI BAY NMNAZI BAY NMNAZI BAY NMNAZI BAY NMNAZI BAY N

    AREA 5AREA 5AREA 5AREA 5AREA 5AREA 5AREA 5AREA 5AREA 5

    1139 31139 31139 31139 31139 31139 31139 31139 31139 3

    BLOCK DBLOCK DBLOCK DBLOCK DBLOCK DBLOCK DBLOCK DBLOCK DBLOCK D

    BLOCK 37BLOCK 37BLOCK 37BLOCK 37BLOCK 37BLOCK 37BLOCK 37BLOCK 37BLOCK 37

    AREA 2AREA 2AREA 2AREA 2AREA 2AREA 2AREA 2AREA 2AREA 2

    BIGWA-RUFIJIBIGWA-RUFIJIBIGWA-RUFIJIBIGWA-RUFIJIBIGWA-RUFIJIBIGWA-RUFIJIBIGWA-RUFIJIBIGWA-RUFIJIBIGWA-RUFIJI

    EAST PANDEEAST PANDEEAST PANDEEAST PANDEEAST PANDEEAST PANDEEAST PANDEEAST PANDEEAST PANDE

    ROVUMA ONROVUMA ONROVUMA ONROVUMA ONROVUMA ONROVUMA ONROVUMA ONROVUMA ONROVUMA ON

    MNAZI BAYMNAZI BAYMNAZI BAYMNAZI BAYMNAZI BAYMNAZI BAYMNAZI BAYMNAZI BAYMNAZI BAY

    BLK-3ABLK-3ABLK-3ABLK-3ABLK-3ABLK-3ABLK-3ABLK-3ABLK-3A

    KISANGIREKISANGIREKISANGIREKISANGIREKISANGIREKISANGIREKISANGIREKISANGIREKISANGIRE

    SELOUSSELOUSSELOUSSELOUSSELOUSSELOUSSELOUSSELOUSSELOUS

    RUVURUVURUVURUVURUVURUVURUVURUVURUVU

    BLK-4BBLK-4BBLK-4BBLK-4BBLK-4BBLK-4BBLK-4BBLK-4BBLK-4B

    BLK-3CBLK-3CBLK-3CBLK-3CBLK-3CBLK-3CBLK-3CBLK-3CBLK-3C

    BLK-1CBLK-1CBLK-1CBLK-1CBLK-1CBLK-1CBLK-1CBLK-1CBLK-1C

    NTORYANTORYANTORYANTORYANTORYANTORYANTORYANTORYANTORYA

    BLK-2ABLK-2ABLK-2ABLK-2ABLK-2ABLK-2ABLK-2ABLK-2ABLK-2A

    BLK-4CBLK-4CBLK-4CBLK-4CBLK-4CBLK-4CBLK-4CBLK-4CBLK-4C

    BLK-3BBLK-3BBLK-3BBLK-3BBLK-3BBLK-3BBLK-3BBLK-3BBLK-3B

    BLOCK 4BLOCK 4BLOCK 4BLOCK 4BLOCK 4BLOCK 4BLOCK 4BLOCK 4BLOCK 4

    BLOCK 5BLOCK 5BLOCK 5BLOCK 5BLOCK 5BLOCK 5BLOCK 5BLOCK 5BLOCK 5 BLK-5BBLK-5BBLK-5BBLK-5BBLK-5BBLK-5BBLK-5BBLK-5BBLK-5B BLK-5CBLK-5CBLK-5CBLK-5CBLK-5CBLK-5CBLK-5CBLK-5CBLK-5C

    LINDILINDILINDILINDILINDILINDILINDILINDILINDI

    SONGO SONGOSONGO SONGOSONGO SONGOSONGO SONGOSONGO SONGOSONGO SONGOSONGO SONGOSONGO SONGOSONGO SONGO

    MAFIAMAFIAMAFIAMAFIAMAFIAMAFIAMAFIAMAFIAMAFIA

    BLK-5ABLK-5ABLK-5ABLK-5ABLK-5ABLK-5ABLK-5ABLK-5ABLK-5A

    BLK-4ABLK-4ABLK-4ABLK-4ABLK-4ABLK-4ABLK-4ABLK-4ABLK-4A

    BLK-2CBLK-2CBLK-2CBLK-2CBLK-2CBLK-2CBLK-2CBLK-2CBLK-2C

    BLK-1BBLK-1BBLK-1BBLK-1BBLK-1BBLK-1BBLK-1BBLK-1BBLK-1B

    ESPADARTE

    ORCA

    ZIWANI

    CORAL

    MZIA

    JODARI

    PAPA

    MAMBA COMPLEX

    LAVANI

    TANGAWIZI

    AGULHA

    MRONGE

    MKIZI

    MoroniMoroniMoroniMoroniMoroniMoroniMoroniMoroniMoroni

    50.000

    kilometres

    Gas Discoveries - Mozambique and Tanzania

    20-30 TCF

    discovered

    offshore

    Tanzania

    120-150 TCF

    discovered

    offshore

    Mozambique

    Source: PetroView

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    Ages of Gas Discoveries in Tanzania

    Source: TPDC

    Pliocene Carbonate: Ziwani

    Oligocene Slope Channel: Chaza (Block 1)

    Miocene Slope Channel: Mkizi (Block 1)

    Oligocene Delta: Mnazi Bay, Msimbati

    Paleocene Slope Channel: Jodari (Block 1),

    Lavani & Tangawizi (Block 2), Pweza, Chewa &

    Ngisi (Block 4)

    Campanian Slope Channel: Mzia (Block 1),

    Zafarina (Block 2) and Papa (Block 3)

    Neocomian Shoreface sands: Songo Songo

    Albian Delta sands: Ntorya

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    Other oil play factors - Crustal Type

    Class et al. & Danforth et al. 2012.

    The nature of the crust which underlies the East African margin is subject to

    current debate.

    Geochemistry of the Grand Comore lavas indicate an oceanic crustal signature