Upload
briana-small
View
221
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Office of Coast Survey
NOAA’s Storm Surge Roadmap: a Pathway NOAA’s Storm Surge Roadmap: a Pathway to Improved Products and Servicesto Improved Products and Services
Jesse C. FeyenStorm Surge Roadmap Portfolio Manager
Office of Coast Survey
The Vision
• Community planning• Training and education• Leads to appropriate personal and community response
• Infuse state of the art science and technology
2
Highly accurate, relevant, and timely information
CLEARLY COMMUNICATED
which results in reductions in loss of life and ensures all communities are resilient
Office of Coast Survey
NOAA’s Coastal Flood Mission
• Supports a range of time scales– Long-term coastal planning– Evacuation plans– Forecasting imminent events
• Requires expertise from across NOAA – Meteorology, oceanography, geodesy, remote sensing, observing,
modeling, computing, mapping & GIS, social science, outreach…
National Weather Service + National Ocean Service + Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research
Office of Coast Survey
The Bottom LineCustomers Ask:• Who will get flooded?
How much?• When will it arrive and
leave?• What will the impacts be?• How often will it occur?• How should I respond?
NOAA needs to:• Determine storm water levels
– Total Water Level (TWL) comes from surge + tides + waves + rivers
– Model and product accuracy needs to reflect uncertainty
• Describe flooding as inundation above ground– In statements and maps
• Communicate actionable information– Intuitive and consistent
Office of Coast Survey
Improving NOAA’s Capabilities
• Storm Surge Roadmap: NOAA’s plan for the future
• 10 year plan to improve products and services
• Shows a common direction across the agency and to partners
Bottom line: first-ever comprehensive effort to holistically address rapidly expanding problem and establish a community approach
Common Goal
Office of Coast Survey
Addressing the Goals of the Roadmap
• Improving calculation of flood risk– Developing higher resolution Total Water Level models
(surge + tide + waves + rivers) by enhancing SLOSH, installing ADCIRC
– Developing ensembles to determine uncertainty
• Tackling inundation mapping challenges– New graphics showing floods above ground level
• Using social science to improve communication– Assessing public’s understanding and partner’s needs,
design and test new products
Office of Coast Survey
Supporting the Pacific
• Gather information about needs unique to this area– Coastal inundation prediction
• Build partnerships– Coastal Storms Program, Sea Grant, NWS Pacific
Region, CPHC, NCEP, USACE, researchers, …
• Develop our common vision and the steps we can take to achieve it– Finding the right tool, determining how to implement it
Office of Coast Survey