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Bank of Morocco – CEMLA – IFC Satellite Seminar at the ISI World Statistics Congress on “Financial Inclusion”
Marrakech, Morocco, 14 July 2017
Financial Access Survey (FAS): the IMF’s financial inclusion data1 Peter van Oudheusden,
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
1 This presentation was prepared for the meeting. The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the BIS, the IFC or the central banks and other institutions represented at the meeting.
Reproductions of this material, or any parts of it, should refer to the IMF Statistics Department as the source. The views expressed in this paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent the views of the IMF, its Executive Board,
or IMF management
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
Financial Access Survey (FAS):The IMF’s Financial Inclusion Data
Marrakech, July 14Bank Al-Maghrib – CEMLA – IFC Satellite Seminar on Financial Inclusion
By Peter van Oudheusden, IMF
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
2
No single, commonly accepted definition of financial inclusion
Definitions usually cover several dimensions
• Access • Use • Quality
IMF’s Financial Access Survey (FAS) provides data on access to and use of basic financial services by individuals and firms
financial inclusion is a multidimensional conceptFinancial Access Survey in a Nutshell (I)
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
3
the FAS is a database on financial inclusion with close-to-universal geographical coverage, which provides a strong monitoring basis
Financial Access Survey in a Nutshell (II)
FAS data are used to track developments in financial inclusion …
and they help provide policy insights.
Source: FAS and IMF staff calculations. 2015 or most recent available data.
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
4
Financial Access Survey in a Nutshell (III)
Administrative data … compiled by central banks and other regulators.
FAS methodology fosters international
comparability of data.
IMF staff
1. Collect2. validate,3. verify, and4. disseminate data.
Metadata capture country specific
cases.
the FAS is a supply-side database and data are collected annually
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
5
Use of Data: Mobile Money Developments (I)
FAS data capture the growing importance of mobile money services
310
30
49
64
pre2007
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
cumulative number of economies that report mobile money data to FAS
African economies other economies
Source: FAS, GSMA (duration of mobile money services), and IMF staff calculations.
These services are increasingly becoming available …
50
147
357
34
132
260
0 100 200 300 400
up to 4 years
5-7 years
8 years or more
Years since launch of 1stmobile money services
number of registered mobile money agents per 100,000 adults
number of registered mobile money accounts per 1,000 adults
and gained significant traction when they are more established.
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
6
Use of Data: Mobile Money Developments (II)
mobile money services often complement traditional financial services
Source: FAS, GSMA (existence of mobile money services), and IMF staff calculations.
Presence of mobile money agents is especially pronounced in economies where traditional financial access points, like ATMS, are relatively scarce.
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
7
Use of Data: The Link With Central Bank Objectives (I)
0
2,500
5,000
7,500
10,000
12,500
0 2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 12,500
aver
age
dep
osits
per
dep
osito
r in
US $
;m
ost r
ecen
t dat
a
average deposits per depositor in US $;5 years before
decrease in deposits per depositor
increase in deposits per depositor
Changes in deposit balances and loan sizes are non-uniform, potentially reflecting a deeper and more diversified financial system.
deposit and credit developments could be used to analyze the interplay between financial inclusion and financial stability
Source: FAS, IFS (exchange rate information), and IMF staff calculations.
0
12,000
24,000
36,000
48,000
60,000
0 12,000 24,000 36,000 48,000 60,000
aver
age
loan
per
bor
row
er in
US
$;m
ost r
ecen
t dat
a av
aila
ble
average loan per borrower in US $;5 years before
increase in loan size per borrower
decrease in loan size per borrower
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
8
Use of Data: The Link With Central Bank Objectives (II)
It is “easier” to expand credit when initial credit depth is low.
the FAS links monetary and financial statistics with changesin the underlying customers base
Source: FAS, IFS (exchange rate information), and IMF staff calculations.
0
20
40
60
80
100
0 20 40 60 80 100
loan
s as a
% o
f GD
P;m
ost r
ecen
t dat
a
loans as a % of GDP;5 years before
decline inloans (as % of GDP)
growth in loans (as % of GDP)
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
9
Use of Data: Complementarity with Other Databases
FAS data can provide additional insights when combined with complementary data collection initiatives
Source: FAS, Demirguc-Kunt et al. (2015) (Global Findex), and IMF staff calculations.
High ATM presence is associated with lower barriers to
account ownership …
and with higher use among account owners.
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
10
Use of Data: Time Dimension
historical data provide insights into availability of access points over time
60
80
100
120
140commercial bank branches per adult
(2004=100)
20
60
100
140
180ATMs per adult
(2004=100)
Economies that experienced the 2008-2009 crisis saw a reduction in access points in the post crisis-period.
Source: FAS, Laeven and Valencia (2015; for definition of crisis economies), and IMF staff calculations.
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
11
Challenges: Data Gaps
FAS database shows global data gaps in supply-side financial inclusion data
100%
66%
76%
56%
47%
81%
commercialbanks
credit unionsand financialcooperatives
other deposittakers (e.g.
buildingsocieties)
microfinanceinstitutions(deposittaking)
microfinanceinstitutions
(non-deposittaking)
insurancecorporations
Good coverage of basic information for the main
financial service providers …
but coverage is lower for more granular data.
15%
24%
48%
96%
of which: SME depositors
of which: household depositors
number of depositors
value of outstanding deposits
coverage of commercial bank data, 2011-2015(percentage of possible observations)
Source: FAS and IMF staff calculations.
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
12
FAS launch
Expanded breakdown of institutions
Started collection of more granular data
Added a module on mobile money
Started dissemination of data on a rolling basis
Gender pilot2009
2012
2016
2014
Challenges: Changes in User Needs (I)
the FAS continuously evolves to capture developments in financial services delivery and to address user needs
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
13
Challenges: Changes in User Needs (II)
36%
14%
50%
Availability of gender-disaggregated dataExample: depositors
22%
13%
6%
Commercialbanks
Deposittaking
microfinanceinstitutions
Mobilemoneyservice
providers
cases where more than 4 documents are required to
open an account
the FAS conducted a gender pilot in response to user needs
Source: FAS Pilot and IMF staff calculations.
In around half of the 28 participating economies, gender-disaggregated data was available.
Time and effort are needed to start collecting this type of data.
Pilot outcomes show a significant gender gap; around 40 percent of financial instruments are
owned by women.
Documentation requirements could contribute to this gap.
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
14
Questions?
Please visit http://imf.org/FAS for more information
Contact: [email protected]
Thank You
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
15
Annex: features of administrative data (I)
Household Individual
Firm
bank •account•account
bank •account•account
MFI •account
Household Individual
Firm
bank •account•account
credit union •account
accountsaccount holders
account holders
(unique)
1. Across institutions
(e.g. lack of common identifier)
2. Within institutions
(e.g. systems are product based)
Other factors of relevance:
non-residents- captured in metadata
non-financial corporations (firms)- data for households separately
systems usually track products, not (unique) customers
Financial Institutions DivisionIMF Statistics Department
16
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 20150%
40%
80%
120%
160%
200%
mob
ile m
oney
acc
ount
s per
1,0
00
adul
ts(F
AS)
% o
f ad
ults
with
a m
obile
mon
ey
acco
unt
(Fin
anci
al In
clus
ion
Insig
hts)
[95%
con
fiden
ce in
terv
al]
registered
active
Annex: features of administrative data (II)
product data often capture market conditions
In Tanzania, users of mobile money services have multiple accounts at different service providers due to lack of interoperability.
Source: FAS and IMF staff calculations.