October 20-26, 2015 Perfect System Play of ... - playbook.com · page 2 † 1.800.PLAYBOOK View Marc's Awesome Angle Of The Week at the PLAYBOOK.com website! ATS W-L Record Since

Volume 30, Issue 9 October 20-26, 2015

LATE PHONES ROLL ON, NOW ON 12-2-1 RUN!

Perfect System Play of the Year WINNER: Michigan State (+7.5)

• ‘Betcha Didn’t Know’ Handicapping Article

• Awesome Angle & Tremendous Trends

• Incredible Stat of the Week

• Analysis on Every Lined Game

• Best Bets and Key Plays

• Full Schedule with Opening Lines

Marc’s 5★ College Game of the Month Goes Saturday!

w w w . P L A Y B O O K . c o m 1 . 8 0 0 . P L A Y B O O K

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View Marc's Awesome Angle Of The Week at the PLAYBOOK.com website!

ATS W-L Record Since 1980:

11-1(92%)

BADBLOW

PLAY AGAINST any rested 5-1 or greater Game Seven college football away team if they are

off back-to-back wins and are facing a conference foe that won 7 or more games last season.

AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK

T R I V I A T E A S E R

This coach tends to struggle in games off a pair of SU wins, going 3-14-1 ATS as home chalk of less than 20 points in this role,

including 0-7-1 ATS when facing an .800 or greater foe. Who is this week’s crash-and-burn artist?

For the Trivia Teaser answer, turn to page 12.

THIS WEEK'S AMAZING SITUATIONAL PLAY

Be sure to check out the COACHES LEAGUE for ATS records on every College & NFL coach in 16 key situational roles. Simply log on to www.PLAYBOOK.com and click on the COACHES LEAGUE.

T R I V I A T E A S E R

Play AGAINST: DUKE BLUE DEVILS

Marc Lawrence's

BETCHADIDN'TKNOW

PLAY ON any college football home team off three SU and ATS losses in a row if they won 10 or more games the previous season.

“Honey, got no money,I’m all sixes and sevens and nines.

Say now, baby, I’m the rank outsider,You can be my partner in crime.”

Truth be told, if our BLACK BOOK theme this year weren’t songs inspired by the Rolling Stones,

the title of this treatise would likely have been ‘Free Falling’ by Tom Petty. Petty’s title more likely best describes the condition of good teams gone bad, desperately in need of a parachute.A fall from grace can be humiliating. Dating back as far as Genesis (the Bible, not the rock group) and the story of Adam and Eve in the Garden of Eden, to William Shakespeare’s Henry V, to the modern day life and times of O.J. Simpson, the time spent between living in adoration and living in shame can be fl eeting.To those whose fall is self-infl icted and irreversible, the humiliation will live with them forever. It’s those who are able to recognize their errant ways, and turn their lives around, that we salute.Competent, quality college football teams that suffer from a similar fate have proven that they, too, are capable of erasing the stigma of embarrassment – given the right circumstances. Adhering to the adage that you can’t keep a good man down for long,

our powerful database supports that theory as well.

That’s confi rmed by the fact that winning teams are less likely to suffer through sustained losing spells as are losing teams. It goes hand in hand with the fact that teams do what they know best. In other words, winning teams fi nd ways to win while losing teams fi nd ways to lose.

Which leads us to this neat angle from our powerful database. It tells us to –

Talk about tumbling teams bouncing back at the right time. Squads are 29-15 ATS in these red-faced wake up calls, including 21-12 SU and 24-9 ATS in lined games when taking the fi eld with a .400 or less win percentage.

Better yet, when these same .400 or less squads host a foe off a win in its last game, their is nothing hard about capitalizing on the way they perform, as they have gone 13-2 ATS in this role since 1980.

This week fi nds Georgia Tech riding a 5-game SUATS losing skid. FYI: one of the two losses was by this same Yellow Jackets’ squad last week when

they failed to deliver against Pittsburgh. We’ll roll the dice with the Ramblin’ Wreck one more time this week. You should, too. FYI: the article above is a revised version of the original one appearing in the 2010 BLACK BOOK™. To score a copy of the all-new 2015 BLACK BOOK™, containing 10 all-new BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW super systems similar to the one above, simply log on to the store at PLAYBOOK.COM or call toll-free at 1.800.PLAYBOOK.CONGRATULATIONS are in order once again to all who joined my red-hot Preferred Picks Late Phone Football Service for our $99 Football Weekend of Winners last week as we went 3-1-1, including a huge PERFECT SYSTEM GAME OF THE YEAR winner with Michigan State over Michigan! We’re riding a fabulous 12-2-1 winning run the last three weeks. Make plans now to join me for another $99 Football Weekend of Winners – featuring my 5★ COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE MONTH this Saturday. We are documented 63-29-2 on this play since 1990. To get on board, log on to the store at PLAYBOOK.COM or call me toll-free today for fast, friendly customer service at 1.800.321.7777 – you’ll be glad you did!

TUMBLING DICEA Weekly Insight Into The Art Of Sports Handicapping

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Kansas State is 18-1 ATS as a conference dog in games off a SUATS loss under head coach

Bill Snyder, including 17 spread wins in a row.Be sure to read the INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK each week in the PLAYBOOK Football Newsletter!

INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK

Thursday, October 22Seattle 5-1 A off H vs div… 0-6 vs opp w/ triple rev (0-1 TY) SAN FRAN SERIES: 0-7-1 L8… 5-1 < .500 Thursdays… 0-4 H vs div

Sunday, October 25Buffalo 5-0 Game Seven vs non-div w/ rev… 4-0 A btwn 2HJacksonville SERIES: 1-4 L5… 1-4 bef rest… 3-10 vs AFC East

Cleveland 5-0 dogs 1st BB NFC foes… 6-1 A btwn 2H w/ revST. LOUIS 14-1 off DD SU loss vs < .500 AFC… 0-7 favs in 1st BB H

Pittsburgh 0-8 vs < .500 bef Cincinnati… 1-6 vs opp w/ triple revKANSAS CITY SERIES: 3-1 L4 / 4-1 L5H… 4-0 vs non-div off BB NFC

Houston 4-1 Away Four vs opp w/ rev… 9-2 in 2nd BB A MIAMI 2-13 H off A vs < .500 off A… 1-5 favs vs opp off div

Ny Jets 8-1 A w/ double rev… 6-1 .500 > off NFC vs .750 > oppNEW ENGLAND SERIES: 1-5 L6 / 1-4 L5H… 8-1 off BB non-div (3-0 vs div)

Minnesota 4-1 in 1st BB A vs opp off SU win… 1-7 aft allow 10 < ptsDETROIT SERIES: 2-7 L9 / 1-3 L4H… 1-4 favs 3rd of 3 H

Atlanta 1-6 A off New Orleans vs non-div opp off DD SU lossTENNESSEE 6-2 off BB SU home losses… 1-5 vs .500 > NFC

Tampa Bay 11-2 RD’s off H vs opp off SU A lossWASHINGTON 5-1 off AFC (0-1 TY)… 0-6 H off BB A… 1-7 H bef rest

New Orleans 1-7 off SU dog win vs .500 > opp w/ rev… 1-5 A aft Atlanta INDIANAPOLIS SERIES: 2-6 L8… 6-0 in 1st BB NFC vs < .500 opp

Oakland 5-1 aft Denver… 15-3 RD’s off SU loss in 2nd BB divSAN DIEGO SERIES: 3-9 L12 / 1-5 L6H… 7-0 < .500 off SU loss 7 < pts

Dallas 5-1 RD’s w/ rest… 5-1 off SU loss vs div opp off MNFNY GIANTS 1-6 H btwn 2A vs div opp… 1-5 vs div opp w/ rest

Philadelphia 8-1 RD’s vs non-div opp off SU dog winCAROLINA SERIES: 1-4 L5… 5-1 off SU dog win vs opp off MNF

Monday, October 26Baltimore 5-1 A off SU non-div fav loss vs opp off SU fav lossARIZONA 0-7 MNF vs opp off SU loss… 1-6 HF’s w/ rev off BB A

Saturday, October 24Clemson SERIES: 3-1 L4… 7-3 as RF’s > 7 pts… 0-5 away off BB RGMIAMI FLA 5-1 in 2nd of BB HG… 8-3 aft Va Tech… 1-6 bef Duke

Utah 6-1 aft Ariz St… 5-2 away off BB HG… 1-4 vs conf revengeUSC SERIES: Host 4-0… 3-7 vs undef conf opp Gm 4 >

Washington SERIES: 3-0 L3… 0-9 Game Seven… 2-11 away w/ conf revSTANFORD 4-0 in 3rd straight HG… 9-2 aft Ucla… 3-1 Game Seven

Tennessee 4-1 away w/ rest… 3-1 as conf dogs > 15 pts… 1-4 aft UGAALABAMA SERIES: 6-0 L6 home… 5-1 vs conf opp off SU dog win

Texas A&M 0-6 as conf dogs 8 < pts… 3-7 away w/ conf revengeOLE MISS SERIES: 3-0 L3… 0-6 as conf favs 8 < pts… 3-7 bef Auburn

N’western SERIES: 3-1 L4… 3-0 aft Iowa… 0-3 away w/ conf revengeNEBRASKA 1-4 home vs conf revenge… 2-5 aft Minnesota

Duke 4-0 w/ rest… 4-1 w/ conf revenge… 1-3 off SU win 28 > ptsVA TECH 1-6 vs opp off SU win 28 > pts… 2-7 vs opp w/ rest

Houston 5-0 as RF’s 15 > pts… 5-1 Game Seven… 5-2 aft TulaneUCF 4-1 as dogs vs conf revenge… 3-7 L10 as DD HD’s

Florida St 5-0 as RF’s 7 < pts… 4-1 at Louisville… 1-4 vs conf revengeGA TECH SERIES: 5-0 L5… 3-0 as conf HD’s 3 > pts… 5-2 bef Virginia

Ohio St 5-1-1 aft Penn St… 6-2 bef Minn… 1-4 as RF’s 15 > ptsRUTGERS 5-0 vs undef opp Gm 6 >… 6-1 as HD’s 8 > pts

W Kentucky 5-1 as DD dogs… 5-1-1 vs SEC… 4-1 off SU win 21 > ptsLSU 4-0 bef Alabama… 5-2 home vs opp off SU win 21 > pts

College Football Games

2-MINUTE HANDICAP ATS = Against The Spread • A = Away • Con = Conference • D = Dog

F = Favorite • H = Home • Rev = Revenge • R = Road • SU = Straight-Up

FOR A COMPLETE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP OF EVERY GAME ON TODAY'S CARD, VISIT www.PLAYBOOK.com

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

All results are ATS – Against The Spread – and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains the exclusive private property of PLAYBOOK™ and PLAYBOOK.COM™ and may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.

TEAMS KEY FACTS, STATS & ATS TRENDS

NFL Games

SMARTBOXBEHIND THE 8-BALL

Game 8 of the College Football season is often a crossroads for most teams. Those who have won more games than they have lost are entertaining thoughts of securing a bowl bid. Those who are reeling and going down for the count are disappointed – and their actions on the fi eld confi rm those feelings.

According to our powerful database, teams playing Game 8 off three consecutive losses are prime candidates to be dropped into a corner pocket and counted out… especially when they take to the road against an opponent off a loss. That’s because teams in this scenario are a paltry 37-129 SU and 54-95-4 ATS since 1980.

This week we’ll be queuing-up against Boston College, Colorado and Hawaii.

Better yet, bring them in against an opponent off back-to-back losses – who also lost its last contest SU as a favorite – and they fall to 1-27 SU and 6-21 ATS. And if the foe did not lose to the spread by 15 or more in its last defeat, they scratch like poison ivy-infected love birds, going 0-16 SU and 1-15 ATS.

With that, look for the Rainbow Warriors to get ‘racked’ this week.

Go ahead and make the call. 8-ball in the corner pocket for the win!

WEEK SEVEN BYES: CHICAGO, CINCINNATI, DENVER, GREEN BAY


Remember: You Have A PLAYBOOK BEST BET Whenever Our Predicted Margin Of Victory Is 6 Or More Points In Favor Of Your Line

Beantown Boys Get Served At Papa John’s By Red-Faced Cards...Jameis And Pirate Crew Shiver Some Timbers At FedEx Field...

THIS WEEK IN FOOTBALL - OCTOBER 20-26

Tuesday, October 20ARKANSAS ST over UL-Lafayette by 3

It’s a good thing that the ‘Introduction to Gardening 101’ and ‘How to Have Fun with Silly Putty’ professors are fl exible in Jonesboro as the Red Wolves make a second straight Tuesday appearance. A 29-point 4th-quarter led to a 49-31 win last week at South Alabama but the Wolves will need to get off to a quicker start in this Week Eight opener as Tuesday has not been ‘lose day’ for the rested Ragin’ Cajuns. Mark Hudspeth’s hounds are on a 4-0 SUATS run on this day of the week with EVERY win coming as a dog. They are also 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in this matchup the last four times they have taken points. In fact, Hudspeth, himself, is an impressive 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS as a conference pup, not to mention a money-making 9-3 ATS with rest. We’re not about to fade that, even though the Wolves are an inhospitable 25-5 SU in their last 30 home games. The hosts are also seeking payback from two straight series defeats, including a 23-7 loss two years ago on this fi eld, but all that does is bring into play their 2-15-1 SU (1-7 ATS last eight) record with double-revenge exact. Courtesy of the PLAYBOOK database, that’s ‘Advanced Handicapping 401’ and has us siding with the visitors should we choose to get involved.

Thursday, October 22APPALACHIAN ST over Ga Southern by 3

A far more entertaining Sun Belt skirmish fi nds the Eagles fl ying – or should we say running – into Kidd Brewer Stadium with tonight’s winner likely claiming the conference crown. And while that’s probably akin to beating out your sister for valedictorian in a home-school setting, these teams have been nothing but Sun Belt bullies since becoming FBS programs last season. Southern has yet to lose a conference affair (11-0 SU including a 34-14 home win over Appalachian State early last season) while the Mountaineers are on an 8-0 SU and 6-1-1 ATS conference run. In fact, the Mounties’ only loss since mid-October of last season was in Death Valley (Clemson) earlier this year. They also own a 62-15 SU mark at home since 2005, including a 4-1 SU record over these same Eagles. It gets better: this fi erce rivalry dating back to their FCS days fi nds the Statesboro squad arriving with the No. 1 ranked rushing offense while the Boone boys own the top-ranked rush defense. While that alone could make us spectators, the Eagles’ 2-0 SUATS weekday log –along with the tremendous line swing (GSU was 17-point favorites last season) – has us leaning in a ‘Southerly’ direction.

EAST CAROLINA over Temple by 1A trip to Northern India in search of the Sivilinga Stone didn’t spell ‘Doom’ for Indiana Jones but Temple’s 418-mile trek to Greenville down I-95 South

Friday, October 23Memphis over TULSA by 4

While back-to-back road trips to Houston and Temple will ultimately decide Memphis’ 2015 fate, the feeling tonight in Tulsa is that the Tigers’ paws may not touch the fi eld until sometime during the second half following last week’s come-from-behind (trailed 14-0 less than six minutes into the game), double-digit win over Ole Miss. And that may prove to be too late against a high-powered Hurricane offense (10 returning starters) that has laid season-high yardage on fi ve of six opponents. As it is, the striped ones are 1-4 ATS after running with the Rebels, 0-4-1 ATS in weekday tilts the last three years and 3-8 ATS in Game Seven. Meanwhile. the Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in weekday play and 7-3 ATS with conference revenge. First-year HC Phil Montgomery also inherits a Tulsa team that is 4-1 SUATS in this series since 2005 and is 5-1-1 ATS the last seven times they have been on the take in this matchup. Thus, in this Mother of All Letdowns, we have no problem grabbing the doubles with a Homecoming dog under the Friday Night Lights – especially when the opponent is an extremely ‘Fat Cat.’

SAN DIEGO ST over Utah St by 3There may be less points scored tonight in this clash of MWC leaders than in a dyslexic Boggle tournament as the West-leading Aztecs enter with the nation’s No. 14 ranked defense while the Mountain-leading Aggies arrive in San Diego with the land’s 20th-rated stop-unit. Both squads are also allowing less than 100 YPG on the ground which doesn’t bode well for either Utah State’s 96th-ranked passing attack or San Diego State’s 112th-rated aerial game. Our MIDWEEK ALERT also informs us that the visitors have held four of fi ve foes to season-low – or 2nd low – yardage this year, including Boise State (333 total yards) in last week’s huge upset. The Aggies, who by the way are 8-1-1 ATS as road chalk since 2012, also forced eight turnovers in that contest (seven in the fi rst half). However, the problem with backing them tonight is the role change as they go from 9.5-point home dogs to

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just may have the Owls tasting defeat for the fi rst time this season. Then again, it may not! You see, the Owls are a wide-awake 4-1 ATS in their last fi ve weekday games while the Pirates are 0-8-1 ATS in their last nine mid-week contests. Cosby’s Kids are also 4-1 ATS versus a foe with conference revenge (topped ECU, 20-10, as 10-point home dogs last year thanks to a 5-0 turnover margin) and 4-1 ATS in this series since 1989. In addition, Matt Rhule’s Birds have held their last two foes to season-low yardage while owning a 130 YPG the better defense. Our concern is the fact that the Owls haven’t had a tester since Week Two (their last four foes are a combined 5-20) and that Notre Dame is waiting in the wings. We can overlook the latter since this is a conference tilt and a win today all but ices the AAC East, but we should also point out that Ruffi n McNeill’s men are 3-1-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back homers. We’ll observe for now but if this line keeps heading ‘East’ we just may revisit on Thursday.

UCLA over California by 4After what the Bruins did to us on these pages last week, we should be on Cal like Caitlyn on a girdle (or if this were 1976, Bruce on a hurdle). Especially with the Bears now 5-0 ATS away with conference revenge the past two seasons and 13-4-1 ATS off a SU loss, including 8-0-1 ATS as dogs of 24 or less points. In addition, the loss of LB Myles Jack and DT Eddie Vanderdoes, not to mention a pair of starting cornerbacks, has crippled a UCLA squad that is already an unmotivated 0-3 ATS off back-to-back losses under HC Jim Mora and 2-9 ATS at home versus a foe with conference revenge. The problem, however, is that the series visitor is 0-5 ATS since 2010 and that the Bears fall into our dreaded ‘Bubble Burst’ – that being a 5-1 team off their fi rst loss of the season. These teams are particularly sorry when facing a conference foe that beat them in their most recent meeting, posting a 10-23-1 ATS log. And that’s a shame considering that California could be for real as they gave third-ranked Utah all they could handle in a 30-24 loss despite producing more turnovers (6) than Arby’s (bonus to anyone who knows what Arby’s stands for). But with deference to the ‘Bubble’, we’ll sit this one out. Oh, and as for Arby’s – America’s Roast Beef Yes Sir!


(continued on next page

Saturday, October 24NO ILLINOIS over E Michigan by 24

Did All Hallows’ Eve come a week early or is this just some sort of sick Halloween prank that has us analyzing fi ve straight MAC games to open the Saturday card? One thing’s for sure – the Eagles have been their typical horror show on defense (No, 118) as they have surrendered season-high yardage to fi ve foes already this season and 44 or more points in each of their last four efforts, including a 63-point meltdown last Saturday in the Glass Bowl. However, for some bizarre reason, the EMUs are 5-0 ATS after tangling with Toledo while the Huskies are 0-6 ATS as home favorites of 27 or more points (check line) versus a foe with revenge off a SUATS loss. And speaking of Toledo, NIU’s look-ahead to a huge showdown with the Rockets – along with the precarious role of large Homecoming favorite – fi nds us ‘presenting’ (with apologies to Alfred Hitchcock) the Eagles. And with that, we’ll wish you a ‘Good Evening’ as this one will mercifully conclude about 6:00 DeKalb time.

Central Michigan over BALL ST by 11The next MAC meet-up takes us to Muncie where the Chippewas will try to keep pace with the West leaders as Toledo, Western Michigan and Northern Illinois all fi gure to post double-digit wins against inferior opposition. And though series history (the Chips are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in this matchup since 2010, including a 32-29 setback last season as 9.5-point favorites) reminds us that a CMU win may not come as easy, there is no way that we can back a Ball State bunch that was last seen losing to Georgia State by 12 points at home! As it is, the Cardinals are just 1-7 ATS on this fi eld versus a .sub 500 opponent off a SU win while the Chippewas are a perfect 6-0 ATS as conference road favorites since 2012, and 6-1 ATS versus a .500 or less foe off a SU favorite loss. As much as we live for home dogs, we don’t have the ‘Balls’ to back the men from Muncie. Thus, that leaves us only one way to look as the Chips snap that nasty series-losing skein.

Toledo over MASSACHUSETTS by 13A No. 20 ranking in the Amway Coaches Poll in all likelihood has the Rockets fueled to the max as their weak MAC schedule, coupled with a suddenly soft non-conference slate (that Arkansas win no longer carries any weight), probably prevents undefeated Toledo from getting much higher. And though that win in Little Rock suggests they are the ‘men we think they are at home’ (4-0 SU, 3-0-1 ATS this season), these rocket men own a lousy 2-9 ATS mark in games off back-to-back wins versus a foe off back-to-back losses. That – along with an NIU look-ahead – will keep us at bay today in Amherst. However, we ‘think it’s gonna be a long, long time’ before we back a UMass squad that laid an egg as 6-point chalk here last week in a 15-10 loss to Kent State. That’s because our machine tells us: since 2007, double-digit dogs off a SU home favorite loss are 1-18 SU and 3-16 ATS when facing undefeated opposition. Ugh! And truth be told, the Minutemen are looking more and more like the one-win team from both the 2012 and 2013 campaigns than the one that had promise heading into this season. No need to pack any bags – we’re staying far away from this one.

Bowling Green over KENT ST by 10The earliest MAC kickoff takes place in Kent where the Bee Gees can likely lay claim to the East title with a win today against the Flashes and a home win next week against Ohio. But the question becomes do we want to lay double digits on the road? The Falcons’ 18-4 ATS mark away versus .500 or less opposition says yes, as does their 12-2 SUATS record in games after allowing 10 or less points. Not to be outdone, though, the Kent crew boasts a 24-10-1 ATS mark in games off a SU dog win, including 11-2 ATS as double-digit dogs. They are also 8-3 ATS in this series since 2004, including 4-0 ATS when taking 7 or more points. Needless to say, Paul Haynes’ mutts are a dangerous litter (won in UMass last week as 6.5-point dogs), especially when we consider they own 156 YPG the superior defense. And it looks like those challenging early non-conference games (Illinois, Minnesota, Marshall) are starting to pay dividends against teams of this ilk. Look what we got our ‘Haynes’ on now – a must take.

NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined and Bold. Should we pass or not have a

strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.

5-point road favorites against a team with an equal – if not better – defense. And against a veteran head coach in Rocky Long that is 8-3 ATS versus a foe off a SU dog win and a well-prepared 21-9-1 ATS at home against an opponent with a better record, including 7-0-1 ATS when off back-to-back SUATS wins. With that, we’ll get downright defensive and grab what we can get – and as soon as we can get it. We suggest you so the same.

Ohio U over BUFFALO by 6We wouldn’t blame the Bobcats if they got caught looking ahead to next week’s showdown in Bowling Green against the Bee Gees as that will decide the MAC East should both ‘stay alive’ this week. We expected a lot more from the Bulls this season after a promising 2-1 start that included a competitive loss in State College but that has dissolved quickly into a 2-4 record following a pair of tough home losses to Nevada and Bowling Green, and a no-show last week against Central Michigan. It’s this last setback that has us feeling the Bulls may be spent and their 2-8 ATS log after surrendering 35 or more points confi rms that notion. Meanwhile, the Bobbies were rolling at 5-1 this season (only loss a 3-point decision at Minnesota) before last week’s mysterious 35-point home loss to Western Michigan. We’re not sure if they started to read their press clippings or if they were bobbing for more than apples last week in Athens but it’s unlike a Frank Solich squad to be that unprepared. We’d love to give the ‘Cats another chance against a Bulls squad that is running on empty but with the series visitor 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS since 2010, we’ll give just a slight nod to Solich and company in what fi gures to be the most competitive MAC game of the day.

Pittsburgh over SYRACUSE by 11We could probably begin and end this writeup by saying that conference home teams off an overtime loss (the Orange dropped a heartbreaker in Virginia last week, losing 44-38 in three extra sessions) are a distraught 57-85-4 ATS since the inception of overtime in college football. But what’s the fun in that? Courtesy of our MIDWEEK ALERT, we could also note that the ‘Cuse is 0-5 ‘ITS’ against FBS opposition this season. Informative, yet boring! What if we told you that the Orange will be spending more time in motel rooms between October and early November than Tom Bodett’s unwelcome relatives (this is their only home game in fi ve weeks). That certainly piques your interest. And begs the question: can they take advantage of the Carrier Dome crowd? With Pitt suiting up in the visiting locker room, normally we would say yes as the Panthers were 2-11-2 ATS away versus ACC foes heading into this season. However, under fi rst-year head coach Pat ‘Nails’ Narduzzi, they are 2-0 SUATS on the ACC highway and 3-0 SU in conference play for the fi rst time since 2010. Now wasn’t that a bit more interesting? We’ll leave the light on – and lay the number – as the Panthers improve to 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS in this series since 2005.

MICHIGAN ST over Indiana by 11Has Mark Dantonio sold his soul to the devil? How else can you explain last week’s happening in the Big House? Had the Michigan punter just fallen on the ball at the 40-yard line, the Spartans in all likelihood would not be sitting undefeated at this time. Heck, had the Wolverines taken a page out of the Colts’ playbook and tried the worst fake punt in the history of football, Sparty would have left Ann Arbor with a blemish. Maybe Michigan State QB Connor Cook had it right when he said, “That is a higher power taking over right there.” Apparently that higher power doesn’t like Jalen Watts-Jackson, who picked up the loose ball and scored, then had his hip broken (out for the season) when he was mobbed in the end zone. Nonetheless, the Spartans arrive home unbeaten and No. 4 in the Coaches Poll. However, we’re not about to lay the lumber today in East Lansing with a team that’s won four games by a touchdown or less, including each of the last three.

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As it is, the Spartans are 3-7 ATS at home off back-to-back road games. And should the line continue to drop, keep this in your back pocket: State is 2-8 ATS as home chalk of 14 or less points. Meanwhile, the Hoosiers are 6-2 ATS in Game Eight of the season, 4-1 ATS before facing Iowa and welcome the return of QB Nate Sudfeld, who had missed six quarters with an ankle injury before tossing for a career-high 464 yards in last week’s heartbreaking 55-52 loss to Rutgers (outscored 22-0 in the 4th quarter). While that would normally keep us off Indy, Sparty’s letdown of natural proportions has us grabbing the boatload. And, no, the devil didn’t make us do it!

Clemson over MIAMI FLORIDA by 1After coming oh-so-close to taking down Florida State two weeks ago in Tallahassee, the Hurricanes rebounded nicely at home last week with a 30-20 win over the Hokies and still have their sights set on the ACC Coastal crown. However, that win aside, HC Al Golden still needs this Clemson bullet in his holster much like the NRA needs the 2nd amendment in order to have a fi ghting chance. The good news for Miami backers is Golden is a jaw dropping 14-1 ATS (7-10 SU) as a home dog of 24 or less points in his coaching career, including 10-1 ATS in conference play. The Canes are also 5-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back homers and 4-1 ATS in Game Seven of the season. More importantly, the Tigers are venturing out of Clemson for just the second time this season and ‘The Noose’ fi gures to be tightening for Dabo’s dudes as they look to remain unbeaten. However, their 2-11 ATS mark off six or more consecutive wins – along with their 0-5 ATS log away off back-to-back home games (didn’t cover in Louisville in this role earlier this year) – reminds us they don’t make ideal house guests. And though we’d love to snap the rubber band with Miami and vault them to Best Bet status, the loss of top LB Raphael Kirby (knee) for the season to an already thin position (Darrion Owens, knee and Marques Gayot, neck) tempers our enthusiasm. Nonetheless, it’s a must-take in Miami.

NC State over WAKE FOREST by 3‘To Tell The Truth’, after watching Wake Forest the past two Saturdays (they shut out BC two weeks ago in Chestnut Hill, then got lit up for 50 last week in Chapel Hill), we wouldn’t be all that shocked to see Bud Collyer in Winston-Salem asking, “Will the real Demon Deacons please stand up?” In fact, after what we saw in Ann Arbor on Saturday and Indianapolis on Sunday night, we wouldn’t be surprised if we saw Peggy Cass, Orson Bean and Kitty Carlisle run out on the fi eld! Remember, this is the same Wake Forest team that outplayed both FSU and Indiana (combined fi rst downs: WF 52, FSU/Indiana 40) in single-digit losses but was defeated by Syracuse, 30-17, earlier in the season. Where’s Peter Falk when you need him? Thankfully we have our own timeless machine to fall back on and it tells us that the Wolfpack are 0-9 ATS as favorites of 23 or less points versus a foe with revenge. It also reminds us that the Pack haven’t covered a game on this fi eld since 1995 (0-9 ATS). Complicating matters for NC State supporters is the fact that QB Jacoby Brissett’s numbers have been on the decline since State started ACC play. The good news for those making the trek from Raleigh: the Demons are 1-22 SU versus .500 or greater opposition from Game Eight out. Thus, the ‘truth’ of the matter is that the Pack gets the win while the Deacs get the money. You know what to do.

Missouri over VANDERBILT by 1With more regular-season conference losses (3) than in the previous two seasons combined, Missouri’s back-to-back run as SEC East champs is over. It can be attributed to a marshmallow offense that is averaging just over 10 PPG in its last fi ve outings, and hasn’t scored a touchdown in nine quarters. Even their spotless 8-0 SU record after scoring 14 or less points has been marred by a pair of losses (Kentucky, Georgia) in that role this season. And we’re not about to lay points on the road with a dejected Mizzou squad who fought their hearts out in Georgia and is an unreliable 1-9 ATS as road favorites off a double-digit ATS win (yes, a double-digit ATS win despite scoring just 6 points). Sure, the series visitor is 3-0 ATS and the Commies arrive off a hard-fought battle of their own (lost, 19-10, in South Carolina) but we’ll take what we can get in this low-scoring affair – especially with a home dog that’s winning the stats by an average of 62 YPG this season. Only Vandy’s 11-game SEC losing streak keeps us from calling for the upset.

W MICHIGAN over Miami Ohio by 24We’re not sure if it’s the back-to-back-to-back scheduling of Wisconsin, Cincinnati and Western Kentucky, or this being their fourth road game in fi ve weeks, but one thing’s for sure: the RedHawks are more spent than the two Love Ranch employees who ‘entertained’ Lamar Odom around the clock (personally, if we had $75,000 to spend on that type of companionship, the two-baggers at that Ranch would be far down our list). Getting back to Miami Ohio, Chuck Martin’s men have now lost nine straight FBS games dating back to last season and it doesn’t fi gure to get any easier as true freshman QB Billy Bahl is learning on the job. They’ll also be facing a red-hot Western Michigan team that rushed for 430 yards in last week’s 49-14 rout of Ohio and is 3-0 SUATS of late in this particular matchup. The problem in backing the Broncos is that they’re a 25-point Homecoming favorite off back-to-back 40-plus point scoring efforts. We like the job P.J. Fleck has done in Kalamazoo but we’re not in ‘Love’ with the situation and wouldn’t even think about betting the ‘Ranch’ on this game. Your call.

NAVY over Tulane by 21It appears the Middies are no longer ‘Independent’ thinkers. A conference co-habitant for the fi rst time, the Academy is off to a 2-0 SUATS start in AAC play. And while Tulane’s 0-7-1 ATS log as a dog of 15 or more points in the fi rst of back-to-back away games tells us a Navy win is a foregone conclusion, the Middies’ 0-6 ATS mark as favorites of 14 or more points and 2-11 ATS record in the fi rst of back-to-back homes keeps us at ATS bay – especially with undefeated Memphis waiting in the wings. However, with the Wave once again minus the services of starting QB Tanner Lee (concussion) and relying on journeyman (if there is such a thing in college) redshirt-junior Devin Powell – whose previous start before last Friday in Houston came in the 2013 R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl, maybe the series host does improve to 5-0 SUATS. Tempted? Don’t be – just ‘Wave’ this one goodbye.

BOISE ST over Wyoming by 25In what could be the worst move since Catherine Howard said “I Do” to King Henry VIII, the Cowboys hit Boise with the Broncos coming off a stunning loss. In fact, Bryan Harsin’s men were embarrassed in a 26-point beatdown at Utah State last Friday, coughing the ball up a whopping eight times. Thus, a beheading is in order, right? Not so fast, my friends! Our MIDWEEK ALERT reminds us that the ’Boys have actually performed much better than their 1-6 record would indicate, outgaining foes by an average of 9 YPG. And our database points out that Wyoming is 4-0 ATS as dogs of more than 28 points and 4-1 ATS away versus .750 or greater opposition. In addition, the Broncos are a winless 0-6 ATS as chalk of 29 or more points, 0-4 ATS after mixing it up with Utah State and 4-17 ATS as conference home favorites of more than 7 points. The hosts also have just one sack in three MWC games this season, and that should help a Wyoming attack that has struggled through the air (222.1 PYPG). ‘Heads’ up… we’re on the take tonight on the smurf turf.

AIR FORCE over Fresno St by 21You may not be accustomed to us backing a Military Academy as a double-digit favorite but this situation is too good to pass up: the Falcons come in off a loss as a favorite while the Bulldogs come in off a win as an underdog. Last week Fresno State was +6 as home versus a UNLV squad that was a more-than-a-FG road favorite for the fi rst time since 2011, and thanks to torrential rains the Bulldogs got the win. This week Fresno State takes to the road where they own a pitiful 0-3 SUATS log, having been outgained by 300 YPG. In addition, this current FSU team and staff are making their fi rst trip to Colorado Springs (last meeting in 2000). Air Force has reestablished Falcon Stadium as a true home edge, winning nine straight games while going 6-2 ATS. Most impressive about the Flyboys this year is a defense that

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4� BEST BET

We’re sure it’s no surprise that a Kansas football team is off back-to-back-to-back losses, surrendering 50 or more points in the last two, including getting blanked 55-0 versus the Sooners. However, what is surprising is that the Kansas team in question is the one coached by Bill Snyder! We can thank Oklahoma for at least 7 points of line value here with the Longhorns now installed as the favorite (a month ago, the Horns would have been 4-point dogs). Both of these teams faced the Sooners in their last game with 62-point differential from a 55-point Kansas State loss and a 7-point Texas win, getting UT HC Charlie Strong off the hot seat for the moment. The No. 1 lesson to remember is that no team is as bad – or as good – as their last effort. The Wildcats are 9-1 ATS after allowing more than 35 points and Grandpa Snyder is 27-8 ATS of back-to-back SU losses, the last by double digits. Normally we would end this by referring you to this week’s INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK on page 3. But we close instead with The Clincher: Bill Snyder is 12-0 ATS off a loss of 28 or more points in his career with the Wildcats.

Kansas St over TEXAS by 11

held Michigan State and Wyoming to season-low yardagae and is allowing only 327 YPG – a 69 YPG improvement over last year’s squad. No egg will be laid, but if you play it, lay it.

MARSHALL over North Texas by 27Marshall is 6-1 SU while North Texas is 0-6 SU but believe it or not there are some similarities. What if we told you that in their fi rst four FBS games this season, North Texas was -21 total fi rst downs – not unexpected as the Mean Green were an underdog in each contest by a combined +53.5 points. Now what if we added that Marshall was -22 fi rst downs (1 worse than UNT) in their fi rst four FBS games, despite being a favored in each by a combined 34 points! Now you realize how dangerously the Herd have been living. They’re somehow 4-1-1 ATS while the luckless Mean Green were 0-5 ATS before covering with an interim head coach as 34-point dogs in their last game. North Texas has struggled against upper echelon foes, going going 2-13 ATS versus .600 or greater conference foes. And despite showing some offensive life last week, they have still allowed 682 yards and 670 yards their last two games. Meanwhile, Marshall is being outgained by 50 YPG in FBS action, with their biggest win only by 21 points. Hmmm… we’ll pass on laying four touchdowns with this suspicious favorite.

Utah over USC by 1No surprise the Trojans were competitive in their fi rst game under interim HC Clay Helton but of more concern is the loss of C Max Tuerek. With him, QB Cody Kessler had a 54-6 TD/INT ratio, and in the almost two games he’s missed (injured, out for the year), Kessler’s ratio has plummeted to 2-4. The Trojans’ OL misses Tuerek as well, allowing fi ve sacks versus Washington, and they’ll be hard-pressed to contain a Utah pass rush with 13 sacks the last three games. Yes, like an old Hollywood rerun, the Trojans season-opening prospects of a promising season are unraveling faster than a Charlie Chaplin suit. Southern Cal takes the Coliseum fi eld just 2-8-1 ATS after facing Notre Dame and 0-4-1 ATS versus .600 or greater opposition. On the other sideline, Utah QB Travis Wilson is as calm as they come under pressure, earning road wins the last two seasons at Oregon, Stanford and UCLA. In fact, his only SU road loss was at Arizona State where the Utes lost by 3 points and covered (+6). While the pressure of being undefeated continues to build for Utah, we’ll grab any points here. We can’t argue with HC Whittingham’s assessment of the Utes ‘D’ when he said, “Yeah, they’re really good.”

STANFORD over Washington by 10No, Stanford didn’t move into the Big 12 but their offensive production is indeed eye-opening. The Cardinal scored 3 points in their opener and have improved each game, scoring 31, 41, 42, 55 and fi nally 56 points last week! The Cardinal are still a run-fi rst offense, though, as RB Christian McCafffery just topped Toby Gerhart’s single-season rush mark, toting the mail for 243 yards on 25 carries (9.7 YPR). And while topping 50 points in back-to-back games, they amazingly ran only 50 plays versus UCLA. Despite these recent heroics, Stanford is only 1-7 ATS as a favorite in games after scoring 35 or more points. We’ll have to wait for a line as the Huskies’ QB situation gets sorted out but they have covered the last three in this series and now stand 20-10 SU their last 30 get-togethers. In addition, UDub is 12-3 ATS as a dog off a SU favorite loss when facing .666 or greater opponents, including 12-1 ATS with at least one win on the season. Numbers like that are just too strong to ignore.

ALABAMA over Tennessee by 18Here we are with another ‘third Saturday in October’ rivalry, just a week late, as Alabama goes for their fi fth straight win and cover at home in this series. The Crimson Tide may not be as effi cient on offense as they’ve been the past several seasons but the defense is playing as well as any previous units, holding all but one foe to season-low yards – and each of them at least 100 yards under their average! With Nick ‘Mr. Intensity’, Saban at the helm, Bama has kept focused on the business at hand and avoided looking ahead, as evidenced by its 4-0 ATS mark in the game before taking on LSU. The Volunteers, who have blown three 14-point leads this year, fi nally reversed course and came back from a 24-10 defi cit to defeat Georgia. However, they are 1-3 ATS off a SU home dog win, 1-4 ATS in Game Sevens, and 1-4 ATS after Georgia. With erratic QB Joshua Dobbs making only his second road start (10 of 17 for 83 yards at Florida), Tennessee lacks the offense to stay close here (Vols have been outgained by FBS teams despite playing four of the fi ve games at home). Nonetheless, there is still anti-Bama sentiment out there, so we can count on a very reasonable line. With the Tide 11-3 ATS as a favorite between 11 and 19 points, we’ll roll with ’em here.

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MISSISSIPPI over Texas A&M by 8Both teams are off losses but you can only have your ‘bubble burst’ once. Ole Miss had that occur at Florida three weeks ago while Texas A&M still had hope that an upset of Alabama would push the SEC brass ring closer to their grasp. We’ll look back to last year when the Aggies were 5-0: after their fi rst loss of the season, they were home chalk to this same Ole Miss team – and lost outright, 35-20. A&M comes into this game 0-9 ATS off a loss if facing .666 or greater opponents, 0-6 ATS as conference dogs of 8 or fewer points, and 3-7 ATS away with conference revenge. Whew! It’s a bit surprising that this is the FIRST time A&M leaves the state of Texas this season, as well as its fi rst true road game. It doesn’t help that the Aggies are 3-8 ATS away off back-to-back home games. The Rebels come in embarrassed, losing to non-Power 5 Memphis (after leading 14-0 early in the fi rst quarter), but their two losses on the year are to teams which are a combined 12-1. Ole Miss HC Hugh Freeze is 20-1 SU and 16-3 ATS versus foes off a loss, so we expect the Rebels to cash their fourth straight ticket in this series.

N CAROLINA over Virginia by 21Two things are very certain in this matchup: (1) Virginia is horrible on offense and (2) the Las Vegas line is about 17 points. The Cavaliers went 0-4 SU on the road last year versus the ACC and are 0-2 SU on the road this year. In those six games, they averaged just 16 PPG. In fact, Virginia is 22-92-5 ATS in games in which the Cavs score 17 or fewer points. The North Carolina defense is allowing 17 PPG this season and allowed exactly 14 points to all four foes the Tar Heels played in Chapel Hill. We gather that Virginia will score about 17 points, so can the Heels score 35 or more to cover? Looking at Virginia’s defense, they’re allowing 38 PPG versus FBS foes while North Carolina is averaging 41 PPG on the season. That’s the kind of math we like! Let’s include that Virginia is 1-9-1 ATS off a SU win and North Carolina has covered fi ve straight in the series, and it has us thinking Carolina blue. Now we’ll add a red-hot team with four straight

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FBS wins and covers versus a team that just battled in a 3-overtime affair, and we’ll drive home Ram-tough with the Heels today.

NEBRASKA over Northwestern by 10Last we wrote about ‘Fitzgerald Bubble Burst’ and Northwestern backed us up, laying a huge egg in a 30-point loss as a 2-point home underdog. Looking back at the last fi ve seasons, the only year in which Northwestern got off to a 7-2 SU start, they covered eight of their fi nal nine games. However, down the stretch in the other four seasons, they have gone 3-4 ATS, 1-7 ATS, 3-6 ATS and 2-8 ATS. And with that, we’ll look to fade them again. The Wildcats, who are 0-3 ATS away with conference revenge, have an offense that is M.I.A., averaging a puny 14 PPG, 256 YPG and 12 fi rst downs per game versus their fi ve FBS opponents. We’re well aware Nebraska is riding a 1-6 ATS losing skein as favorites but their four losses this season have all occurred on basically the fi nal play of the game – by a combined 11 points. While this would be enough to deep-six some head coaches (make that most head coaches), seasoned veteran Mike Riley understands this is his fi rst year as head coach in Lincoln, and it’s all simply a learning experience.

Wisconsin over ILLINOIS by 1Ask anybody you happen to see… what’s the best offensive strategy for Wisky? Heck, even nine out of ten dentists will tell you Wisconsin wants to run, and will always want to run the ball. So should Badgers fans be concerned that in Big Ten action versus Iowa, Nebraska and Purdue, they’re getting OUTRUSHED by and average of 132-94 YPG, and their opponents are averaging 3.7 YPR while they are averaging 3.1 YPR? Hell yeah, they should be concerned. Thankfully the Badgers’ defense has held two of their last three foes to season-lows on offense, but both games took place at Camp Randall Stadium. Now they have to hit the road, where they are 0-6 ATS as road chalk of 14 points or less versus a rested foe. The Illini have cashed three of four at home in this series and are 9-2 SU in Champaign the last eleven games, making them an extremely dangerous dog here. Remember, Bill Cubit was elevated from offensive coordinator to head coach just days prior to the season kickoff, so it will be interesting to see what wrinkles he can add during a bye week. Cubit goes for the ATS hat trick.

VIRGINIA TECH over Duke by 8It’s not very often that the Hokies are looking up at the Blue Devils in the standings but it’s now the second straight season it has occurred. In fact, a casual follower may be shocked to learn Duke is 5-1 SU while Virginia Tech is 2-4 SU versus FBS teams this season. So why back the Hokies, let alone as a favorite? This is why you buy the PLAYBOOK. Virginia Tech has taken on a schedule that ranks in the top 20% in the nation, while Duke’s strength of schedule is in the bottom 20%. Add in that the Tech defense, despite losses in both games, held two of their last three foes to a season-low yards. In the most recent meeting between these two at Lane Stadium, Virginia Tech was ranked in the polls and a 12.5-point favorite over Duke – but was upset by the Blue Devils. Now the struggling Va Tech offense returns the only player they couldn’t afford to lose this year, QB Michael Brewer, who was KO’d in the fi rst half of the season opener with his team leading Ohio State, 17-14. Meanwhile, HC Frank Beamer is 8-1 ATS off a double-digit loss when facing an opponent off a win off more than 36 points. And if that’s not enough, Duke also dresses up in our AWESOME ANGLE fade role (see page 2). You know what to do.

UL-Monroe over IDAHO by 1There is probably no reason to recap last year’s meeting, as we’re fairly certain you were glued to your TV in anticipation of every play. For those that don’t remember, these two met in what was Idaho’s opener after having a game cancelled. It was an exciting fi nish as the Vandals tied it up late in the 4th-quarter but ULM drove 73 yards in the fi nal 1:02 to score a game-winning TD with just 28 seconds left. Since that game, the Warhawks have only beaten two FBS teams while Idaho, after last week’s rare outright victory, also has two FBS wins. Neither team gives us much to work with but the Vandals are 1-28 SU and 8-19-2 ATS off a win, including 24 losses in a row. The Kibbie Dome is an unusual place to visit your fi rst time. More unusual is you don’t often fi nd a road favorite that is 2-12 SU in their last 14 games (with wins over Wofford and New Mexico State), especially one that is losing the stats by 215 YPG in FBS battles this season. We’re obviously not going to have this game on your weekend card but with the Warhawks 10-0 ATS away off back-to-back SUATS losses, it’s ULM’s time to visit the winner’s circle.

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5� BEST BET

Thanks to last week’s aggravating loss at Florida State, Louisville HC Bobby Petrino probably has his defense running laps and muttering in unison. “The game is 60 minutes long.” Yes, after staking the Cardinals to a 7-6 halftime lead, Petrino’s ‘D’ went belly-up in the second half, yielding fi ve touchdowns in six possessions to the Seminoles as Louie was buried, 41-21. We’re sure a repeat performance sounds good to a pedestrian Boston College offense that hasn’t topped 17 points since September 12th. However, if we throw out BC’s fi rst two contests against FCS foes Maine and Howard, the bumbling Eagle attack has averaged a mere 8.2 PPG while going 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 ATS. Yes, BC can claim the nation’s No. 2 ranked defense (212 DYPG) and the Eagles had held four foes in a row to season-low yards until Clemson hit them up for 532 yards in a 17-point loss at Death Valley last week. But we simply can’t trust their marshmallow offense (No. 114) against a pissed-off Petrino, especially when BP is in desperate need of four wins in the fi nal six games to keep Louisville’s 5-year bowl streak alive. BC may be looking to get even for last year’s 38-19 home loss to the Cards but with our own SMART BOX lurking on the sidelines for this 12:30 start at Papa John’s, there’s only one way to look here today. That and The Clincher: Petrino’s outstanding 16-3 SU and 11-2 ATS record in games where his team owns a win percentage of less than .400 on the season – including 4-0 SUATS in conference play.

LOUISVILLE over Boston College by 21

Houston over Central Florida by 24If you’re lucky enough to get on the bandwagon when it starts, “stay on” – but when it has picked up steam rolling downhill at 100 MPH, there is little sense hopping on for the inevitable crash. In this case, we’ve clearly got a case of two teams heading in opposite directions, and one of two matchups this week featuring an undefeated foe versus a winless foe. Check out this ‘if you can believe it’ stat: the last time Houston visited Orlando to play the Knights was in 2013 and the Coogs were 13.5-point dogs… a 35-point swing! Wow. Perhaps there is something in the drinking water at the C-USA media days as UCF’s current demise, after winning 31 games the previous three seasons, seems eerily similar to what occurred at Southern Miss when they won 25 games in three years and, after a 12-2 season, went 0-12. The Cougars are 5-0 ATS as road favorites of more than 15 points and the Knights are 3-7 ATS as double-digit home dogs. Hence, knowing full well the ride could come to an end, we’re nonetheless buying a ticket for another shot with Houston.

OREGON ST over Colorado by 7After today there will be only one left... a winless Pac-12 team, that is. Both these chumps are 0-3 SU and 0-3 ITS but Colorado has the ‘edge’, getting outscored by only 16 PPG and outgained by 140 YPG in conference action compared to 25 PPG and 208 YPG for Oregon State. The Buffaloes have also dropped 13 straight road games with a 7-point loss being their best performance. On the fl ip side, the last four times the Beavers have been conference home favorites, they’ve not only gone 0-4 ATS but lost all four OUTRIGHT. Oregon State is 12-1 ATS after Washington State and 13-3 ATS off back-to-back SUATS losses, but an ugly 0-10 ATS mark as chalk off a double-digit SU loss when facing a foe off a loss puts an end to any thoughts of snapping the rubber band here. Colorado is still a work in progress: last week they had just four senior starters on the offensive and defensive units, while the rest of the starting 22 included eight juniors, eight sophomores and two freshman – yet the Buffs still led Arizona into the 4th quarter, 24-17. But just when we talk ourselves into backing the bison, we fi nd they’re a paltry 3-13 ATS away off back-to-back losses. That and the SMART BOX puts a damper on any enthusiasm. Damn, guess we’ll lean to the Beavers.

BAYLOR over Iowa St by 41We’re running out of superlatives to describe this Baylor offense, so we’ll try something different. In the past four seasons, only four players from Power-5 teams have hauled in 16 or more receiving TDs and each was a fi rst round NFL Draft choice: Amari Cooper, Alabama (16), Brandin Cooks, Oregon State (16), DeAndre Hopkins, Clemson (18), and Justin Blackmon, Oklahoma State (18). Meet Baylor WR Corey Coleman, who has 16 TDs IN SIX GAMES! The Bears are averaging 58 PPG and 687 YPG while posting a record of 7-1 ATS as conference home chalk of over 21 points. Baylor is also 4-1 ATS the last fi ve games in this series, as well as having cashed fi ve of six versus the Cyclones at Waco. This year’s homecoming fans will be treated to a sacrifi cial lamb as Iowa State is a ripe-for-the-altar 1-7 ATS as a conference road dog of over 21 points and has allowed 111 points and 1,397 yards in its last two games. For comparison, Duke has allowed 56 point this season and Boston College has allowed only 1,374 yards. At least Iowa State can take solace in the fact that the game starts at Noon ET, and should come to a swift and merciful end.

Penn St over Maryland by 4 (at Baltimore)Penn State was the fi rst team to face Rutgers with an interim head coach, and now they are the fi rst to face Maryland with the Terps’ new interim coach! While the Lions left the Horseshoe with a 38-10 loss last week, they did welcome back FR RB Saquon Barkley who racked up 194 rushing yards on 26 carries against Ohio State. Barkley, who had one carry in the season opener and missed two full games, is averaging 142 YPG and 8.5 YPR in the other four games, and his presence should help a Penn State OL which has allowed the third-most sacks in the country. However, the Lions are 9-0 ATS as road favorites of 6 or more points versus foe off back-to-back losses. Maryland offensive coordinator Mike Locksley has been named the interim coach for the remainder of the season, replacing Randy Edsall. While he posted a putrid 2-26 record at New Mexico, he is players’ coach and can keep the team focused after discouraging losses to Bowling Green, Michigan and Ohio State – games where the Terps led or were within striking distance in the second half. Be careful here.

RICE over Army by 10The Owls may have saved their season by getting to .500 last week when they outgained FAU 227-57 in the fi nal quarter of a furious double-digit comeback win. They now return to Houston where they’ve been installed as a home favorite for the fi rst time this year. That’s a good thing considering the Owls are 9-0 SUATS the last nine games as a pick or favorite versus an FBS opponent. Army’s road struggles are well-documented, including 1-22

SU and 4-19 ATS away the last fi ve years (although 3-0 ATS this season). The Cadets are also off a win and Army’s next game after a victory has been a money-burner for Black Knight backers, going 0-15 SU and 3-12 ATS off a victory since 2010. Last season, Rice controlled the game in a 20-point win, leading by double digits the entire second half. But while Army does have revenge, the infantry is just 1-6 ATS as dogs in that role when taking more than 7 points. A lot has us leaning with the Owls but waiting on deck Rice fi nds Louisiana Tech, a team that pummeled them last season, 76-31. We’ll fi nish with a stat you will only fi nd in the PLAYBOOK: the Cadets are 12-0 ATS in the state of Texas since 2002. Now you make the call.

Southern Miss over CHARLOTTE by 8Hats off to USM head coach Jeff Monken, who has led the Golden Eagles to four wins this season, which equals the win total from the previous THREE seasons combined at Hattiesburg. Now Southern Miss can turn its attention towards bowl eligibility: if the 4-3 Eagles can in here, then beat Charlotte in next week’s game, they will have bagged the elusive sixth win for the season. At fi rst glance, USM’s 8-2 ATS away mark after scoring 35 or more points moves us in their direction… until we see the Eagles are just 2-8 ATS their last ten as a favorite (though they are 2-0 this season). The 49ers lost for the fourth straight game even though they gained 536 yards at ODU last week, and despite being 2-4 SU, they are 5-1 ITS on the season. “We’re a good team. There’s been only one game where we got run out of the stadium. We belong here and that’s what I told our team,” said 49er coach Brad Lambert. Note: the Eagles have a pair of conference revenge games on deck and have no motivation to run it up here.

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LA TECH over Middle Tennessee by 8Louisiana Tech head coach Skip Holtz has spent the last few days bemoaning his team’s lack of a consistent pass defense. It’s understandable when you consider Skippy’s Bulldogs bolted out to a 14-0 lead against Mississippi State last Saturday before LTU’s porous secondary made Dak Prescott look like the second coming of Joe Montana. The result was a 45-6 barrage that buried the Ruston Bulldogs and dropped them to 4-3 for the year. Now, La Tech returns to Joe Aillet Stadium, where Holtz and company have not lost a contest since being stunned by Northwestern State in Game Four of last season. Even though Middle Tennessee snapped a 3-game losing streak by beating FIU last Saturday, the Blue Man Group has still posted a weak 1-3 SU, ATS and ITS mark in their last four outings. Those numbers fi t snugly with Louisiana Tech’s recent 8-1-1 ATS success as home chalk versus sub .500 foes and a sharp 6-1 ATS mark when playing a conference game off a loss. However, two things must be addressed. Middle Tennessee QB Brent Stockstill (son of HC Rick) has thrown for 16 TDs versus only four picks while averaging 293 passing YPG, and you know he’s licking his chops after seeing game fi lm of the Tech secondary from last week. Second, it’s a fact that Holtz is a polished gem when it comes to the role of underdog but he more closely resembles fool’s gold when asked to lay points. The bottom line is the visiting Raiders have lost their ark – and until they fi nd it, we’re not anxious to journey with them. Lay it if you play it… but tread lightly.

CINCINNATI over Connecticut by 17The Bearcats are glad to be back home after unraveling in the 4th quarter of last week’s 38-24 loss to BYU. Cincy led 24-17 heading into the fi nal period of play but Provo’s 4500-feet altitude had Tommy Tuberville’s defense sucking air as they allowed 21 unanswered points in the frustrating defeat. Meanwhile, Bob Diaco’s road-weary Huskies will be taking on their third road opponent in the last four weeks. All you revenge nerds are probably poised to leap on the sled dogs after UConn got annihilated at home by the Bearcats in 2014 (41-0), but we would advise against it. First, the Huskies are on a horrid 0-6 ATS run as road dogs of more than 10 points when playing with revenge. And second, though they handily outyarded USF in last week’s 28-20 setback (528-461), the Huskies are still allowing more yards than they’ve gained for the season. Cincy has won and covered four straight in the series and Tubs has pounded the sled dogs by 82-16 in the two meetings on his watch. Currently sitting at .500 with road trips to Houston and East Carolina still on the docket, the hosts will be anxious to get back on a winning track in the Queen City this afternoon.

SOUTH FLORIDA over Smu by 8How ‘bout them Bulls? USF’s 28-20 takedown of Connecticut last Saturday night marked only the second time in HC Willie Taggart’s two-and-a-half-year tenure that his team has won and covered two consecutive games. Even so, we can’t go running with the Bulls today in Tampa… not with Taggart’s team favored by almost two TDs. Our tireless database warns us

that South Florida has cashed in only THREE of its last 16 appearances as home chalk, plus the Bulls are 0-3 ATS when playing off back-to-back wins since 2011. The Ponies matched last year’s win total when they shut down North Texas in Week Two but they’ve gone 0-4 SU since then as their ‘D’ has been ripped for 50.5 PPG. Fortunately for Chad Morris and company, today’s opponent averages just a little more than half that total. Morris has also ignited his own team’s offense: SMU is piling up 31 PPG and 424 YPG this season compared to last year’s anemic totals of 11 PPG and 269 YPG. The Mustangs lost by a single point in their 2014 meeting with USF and though they were 0-5 ATS away with revenge entering this season, they’ve gone 2-0 ATS in the same role this year. Can’t make this a stronger call due to SMU’s 570-yard defense but we’ll still take doubles with the pesky Ponies here today.

TEXAS ST over South Alabama by 3Honestly, did we really need teams like these added to the big board? Were 120 college squads just not enough for the action-starved masses? With bowl games popping up like mushrooms in a grow house, we suppose the NCAA had no choice but to admit as many teams as they could to the FBS – and keep the pipeline open. The result, though, are matchups like this with little or no viewing signifi cance or wagering appeal. We leaned on our database until we saw computer smoke and all we got for South Alabama tonight was a 6-1 ATS mark on the road when taking on a team off a SU loss. Problem is the Jags’ offensive line loses its best player, RG Cameron Blankenship, for 2-3 weeks following minor knee surgery. As for the Bobcats, they have covered both lined series meetings and own a 4-1 ATS when seeking revenge (lost 24-21 LY). But Texas State is also a grisly 0-5 ATS as home chalk – losing three of those SU – and the Bobcat defense is ranked dead last in the FBS in points allowed per game (49.4). Sheesh! As the chorus in Swedish DJ Avicii’s recent hit song suggests, “Wake me up when it’s all over.”

FLORIDA INT’L over Old Dominion by 17Old Dominion avoided the distinction of becoming just the second FBS team to lose to newbie Charlotte when the Monarchs stormed back from a 24-12 halftime defi cit and scored a TD and 2-point conversion with under 3:00 remaining to stop the Niners, 37-34. ODU fans can send a congratulatory gift basket to head coach Bobby Wilder, who inserted WR David Washington at QB for struggling FR QB Shuler Bentley last week. Washington hadn’t played at quarterback in nearly two years and he took only a few dozen snaps in practice last week. So how did he do? Washington completed 25 of 43 passes for 365 yards and four touchdowns in the memorable comeback. Good call, coach! Now, can we have a word with you about why your team is 0-5 ITS versus FBS foes this season? Let’s call it 0-6 after this evening’s game, an absolute must for the Golden Panthers if they want to reach their fi rst bowl under HC Ron Turner. At 3-4 on the year, and staring down a season-ending doubleheader against Marshall and Western Kentucky, FIU can hit the magical ‘6’ mark with a win here, followed by victories over FAU and Charlotte. Turner’s team ran out of downs with 1:08 remaining in an 8-point loss at MTSU last week (trailed by 15 in the 4Q) and shows up here looking to make amends for a 38-35 loss last year in which the Panthers outgained ODU, 525-388. “I’m very proud of this team,” said Turner, and we couldn’t agree more – they look hungrier than either of his previous squads at FIU. Lay it.

MISSISSIPPI ST over Kentucky by 14Dan Mullen’s Bulldogs can’t afford to stumble here. With two losses in SEC play – and a closing slate that includes Alabama, Arkansas and Ole Miss – MSU will give these troublesome Wildcats its full attention. Get this: Kentucky has played SIX consecutive games to open the season that have been decided by 8 points or less. And if UK had gotten any breaks in its two losses to Florida and Auburn, the Bluegrass Cats could be 6-0 and challenging for the SEC East lead. But for every positive there seems to be a negative. Kentucky held high-powered Auburn to just 110 yards in the second half last week – but the Wildcats lost 332-lb NG Melvin Lewis (fi bula), the anchor of their defense. That could spell big trouble with MSU quarterback Dak Montana… err, Prescott… heating up after a big performance versus La Tech last Saturday. In addition to passing for a season-high 347 yards against the Ruston Bulldogs, Prescott has tossed an amazing 274 passes without an interception. We have to admit to being surprised after seeing the opening line of MSU -11 – the Bulldogs were 14.5-point favorites at Lexington last year – but we’ll stick with our gut reaction here. Kentucky comes up short again.

NOTE: Home team is shown in ALL CAPS. PLAYBOOK selection is Underlined and Bold. Should we pass or not have a

strong opinion on a game, neither team will be bolded.




GAME OF THE WEEKUPSETUPSET UPSETUPSET

GEORGIA TECH over Florida St by 3Hey, if you’re looking at this prediction and think you have somehow been pulled into an alternate universe, snap out of it. We’ll admit that Georgia Tech has been one of this season’s most gigantic disappointments but the 2-5 Yellow Jackets still have fi ve games remaining if they want to keep alive HC Paul Johnson’s string of seven straight bowl appearances with Tech. The linesmaker is a bit wary, too, installing FSU as just 5.5-point road chalk when many expected them to be a double-digit favorite over the appropriately-named Ramblin’ Wreck. It all comes down to this: can Georgia Tech fi nd a way to dismiss the failure of the last fi ve weeks and rediscover its A-game against the undefeated No. 9 team in the current Amway Coaches Poll? You’d better believe it! The Jackets are in the midst of their fi rst 5-game losing skid since 1996 but through it all, they’re still outgaining opponents by 43 YPG on the season. Tech has also cashed fi ve straight tickets in this series and owns a perfect 3-0 ATS mark as conference home dogs of 3 or more points. And Johnson, who we affectionately refer to as Ol’ Sourpuss, has gone 4-2 SU in his last six home games when playing off a home loss. Florida State edged these guys in last year’s ACC Championship game, 37-35, but the Seminoles are just 1-4 ATS in their last fi ve games versus a squad with conference revenge. FSU is also beginning to show strains of the noose-tightening pressure that goes along with a perfect season, trailing at halftime against Louisville last week before mounting a comeback. We wrap it up with Jimbo Fisher’s poor 1-4 ATS effort on the road versus ACC foes off consecutive defeats, as well as The Clincher: See Marc’s ‘Tumbling Dice’ BETCHA DIDN’T KNOW article on page 2.

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We’re sure that when Tech HC Kliff Kingsbury saw last week’s 55-0 score out of Kansas State, he started preparing for the worst. After all, last week’s humbling shutout loss in Manhattan marked the fi rst time the Wildcats had failed to score in their last 234 games! But there’s more to this story than meets the eye. Current Sooners QB Baker Mayfi eld transferred out of Texas Tech to OU when he was benched and his relationship with Kingsbury soured. Mayfi eld went to Oklahoma as a walk-on and won the job. Thus, we expect Big Game Bob to keep his foot on the pedal today and send a strong message to Kingsbury, via Mayfi eld and Oklahoma OC Lincoln Riley, a one-time former assistant at Texas Tech. The Red Raider air attack is nothing to sneeze at, averaging close to 428 YPG, but OU’s secondary has allowed just 273 yards in their last three games after getting torched by Tulsa in mid-September. Overall, the Sooners ‘D’ has held three of its last fi ve foes to season-low yards – including a mere 110 yards to KSU in last week’s stunner. And the offense is certainly in good hands with Mayfi eld, who has thrown for 19 TDs and just three INTs while averaging 312 YPG. Tech doesn’t arrive with many ATS bullets in its gun, going 0-5 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games and 1-10 ATS with revenge versus an opponent off a SUATS win. Meanwhile, the home team has cashed in fi ve of the last seven series meetings and OU’s upcoming against woeful Kansas ensures there will be no Sooners look-ahead here. Our well-oiled machine supplies The Clincher: Home favorites of 17 or less points, off a 50-0 or better shutout victory, are 14-1 ATS when facing a foe off a spread loss of 9 or more points.

OKLAHOMA over Texas Tech by 24

OKLAHOMA ST over Kansas by 36At 0-6 SU and 1-4-1 ATS, Kansas is still in the running with three other winless squads for the title of Worst Team in the FBS. And when we take a peek at KU’s fi ve remaining opponents after facing the Cowboys this afternoon, well… the Jayhawks have about as much chance of bagging a win this season as Pauly Shore has at winning a Best Actor Oscar. Yes, FR QB Ryan Willis had a career day against Texas Tech last weekend with 475 yards of total offense but now a trip to Stillwater is on tap to challenge a 6-0 Oklahoma State squad that has quietly climbed to No. 12 in the Coaches Poll. Look for the Cowboys to turn up the volume here: they’re 10-3 ATS in the last 13 series meetings and 5-1 ATS in the last six at Boone Pickens Stadium. They’re also an amazing 17-2 ATS before taking on Texas Tech and a stout 7-2 ATS as home chalk of more than 27 points. Not that KU needs to know this but double-digit conference home favorites playing with rest off an OT win are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS all-time. Where do we sign? The Jayhawks have been poison as big road dogs of late, posting a stomach-churning 1-10 ATS when taking 28 or more points away from Lawrence. Look, we don’t wish to speak the obvious but this game has ‘roast’ written all over it. In one of two ‘undefeated-versus-winless’ matchups on the card this week, we may sit this one out – but under no circumstances should you try to coax a cover out of Kansas.

Ohio St over RUTGERS by 14Can the Buckeyes actually cover two games in a row? Nah. This is the fi rst offi cial mention this season from our library of ‘As The Noose Tightens’ plays. Simply put, 7-0 or greater teams usually taste their initial defeat of the season on the road when the pressure begins to build. As confi rmed by the well-oiled machine, these high profi le undefeated teams are 80-46-2 SU and 52-72-4 ATS at this stage of the season when facing a host off a SUATS win in its last game. Meanwhile, the starting quarterback situation at Ohio State has still not been resolved after J.T. Barrett took over for Cardale Jones and played the entire second half against Penn State. But while Urban Meyer is busy deciding which of his blue chip legions will start Saturday night’s game in New Jersey, Rutgers is happy just to fi eld 22 players that aren’t under arrest or suspension. Head coach Kyle Flood even got into the act when he was banned for three games after trying to persuade a university professor to change a player’s grades. Despite all that, however, the Scarlet Knight have refused to pack it in. Rutgers lost to Michigan State by just 7 points on this fi eld two weeks ago and last Saturday Tony Soprano’s favorite team somehow came back from a 25-point defi cit at Indiana to stun the Hoosiers with a game-winning fi eld goal as time (and probably IU head coach Kevin Wilson’s career) expired. Such a huge win has to put some extra bounce in the Knights’ step tonight and they’ll be armed with some excellent ATS numbers here: 5-0 ATS versus

ARKANSAS over Auburn by 13With road games still to come against Ole Miss and LSU, the 2-4 Razorbacks can just about kiss the thought of playing in a bowl game goodbye if they can’t tame the Tigers here. However, this might be the telling tale of this matchup: when Auburn has faced Arkansas and has been ranked in the Top 10, the Tigers have covered all three games; when they’re not ranked in the Top 10, they are 0-4 ATS. That has to be music to the ears of Arkansas HC Bret Bielema, whose team has been positively snakebit this season. The Hogs’ four losses have come by an average margin of 8.7 PPG and they’ve dropped two games at home SU as favorites of -10 and -23 points. There’s nothing wrong with an Arkansas stop-unit that held fi ve of this year’s six opponents to season-low yards when they met on the fi eld. It’s the Razorbacks’ offense that needs an overhaul, and Bielema got lucky enough to land a bye week in which he could perform the necessary repairs. Aubbie lands in Fayetteville with a 4-2 record and some decent ATS numbers: 5-0 ATS in the last fi ve regular season games versus foes off a SU double-digit loss, and 4-0 ATS away versus a sub .500 opponent. But as our SEC scout, Jaybird The Bulldog, points out, “Something is just not right with Auburn. These are not the Gus Malzahn Tigers we’ve come to respect and fear in recent years.” Yes, starting FR QB Sean White has yet to toss a TD pass (where have you gone, Nick Marshall?) and the team is giving up more points than they score for the fi rst time under Malzahn. Bielema has rung the register with a 10-3 ATS effort following a week of rest and the Razorbacks are an impressive 7-0 ATS as favorites of fewer than 15 points when playing with revenge (lost 45-21 in 2014 season-opener). In what amounts to an SEC West elimination game, we’ll blow your mind by fading a third straight dog.

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an unbeaten opponent in Game Six or later, 6-1 ATS as home dogs of 8 or more points, and 4-1 ATS playing at home with revenge. Ohio State has covered only four of its previous 13 regular season games and Meyer shows up with a paltry 1-4 ATS mark as road chalk of 15 or more points. You know the drill: take the points, apply the clothespin and hang on tight.

LSU over Western Kentucky by 8Can’t wait to see how WKU quarterback Brandon Doughty performs against one of the nation’s toughest defenses in 6-0 LSU. After taking on seven foes with a current combined W-L record of 17-29 SU, Doughty is sailing along with 24 TDs and only 4 INTs while passing for 387 YPG. Now he steps up to tangle with No. 5 Tigers and a punishing defense that yields just 297 YPG. Our money’s on Doughty and the Hilltoppers as they catch LSU in the best possible scheduling scenario – coming off a huge win over Florida with nemesis Alabama lurking on the horizon. WKU caught the Tigers in a similar situation in 2011 (Bama/Ole Miss sandwich) and managed to sneak out of Baton Rouge with the cash in that one. While we understand that LSU RB Leonard Fournette is an enormously talented performer, we still won’t overlook all the good numbers for Western Kentucky in tonight’s matchup. The ‘Toppers are 6-1 ATS versus opponents off back-to-back SUATS wins, 5-1 ATS as double-digit dogs and 5-1-1 ATS versus SEC opponents. They also own plenty of fi repower thanks to QB Doughty and HC Jeff Brohm: the Hilltoppers have topped 24 points in 20 of their last 22 games. That fi ts like a glove next to LSU’s putrid 3-38 ATS mark as a favorite of more than 7 points in games where they allow 24 or more points. Toss in Les Miles’ disturbing 3-14-1 ATS mark as home chalk of less than 20 points off consecutive wins, including 0-7-1 ATS versus a greater-than .800 foe, and we think the Bayou Bengals could have their hands full here. Miles is also the answer to this week’s TRIVIA TEASER on page 2, making this game a solid take.

Fla Atlantic over UTEP by 7We can hear the broadcast director for this game instructing the camera operators NOT to show a panoramic view of the Sun Belt grandstands…

because they’ll probably be empty. Hey, we’ve never been to El Paso but we guarantee if the city couldn’t offer any better entertainment than this, Marty Robbins would never have written and recorded his classic song. So after a week off to contemplate the future, where do the 2-4 Miners go from here? UTEP’s two wins came in a pair of tightly-contested decisions over the softest teams on the schedule and the last time the Miners took the fi eld, they were destroyed in 52-12 rout at the hands of mighty FIorida International. “I don’t have a lot of answers,” said UTEP head coach Sean Kugler, sounding like a man who’s ready to hoist the white fl ag and get the hell out of town. That particular linen is already fl ying for the 1-5 Owls as they’re riding a 1-10 ATS skein since the second half of the season last year. So why are the Sunshine Boys favored by a touchdown in El Paso, especially when they’re a timid 1-3-1 ATS in their last fi ve tries as road chalk? We may have to consult the guys at the Ancient Alien channel to fi gure this one out. As it stands now, we’re calling this a ‘good number’ and moving on.

Troy over NEW MEXICO ST by 3It’s probably time for someone to hire an airplane pulling a sky banner that reads ‘Bring Back Blakeney’ after Troy football sunk to a new low last week. Yes, the pathetic Trojans lost outright to Idaho as 9.5-point home chalk and now own just a single win this season (beat FCS weakling Charleston Southern in Week Two). Even so, New Mexico State has done its best to redefi ne ‘awful’ in recent years. These two fl yweights hook up tonight with a 1-11 SU combined record this season, with the Trojans fresh off being ‘Vandalized’ and the hosts riding a 16-game losing streak. The Aggies allowed season-high yards in 11 of those defeats – including all six games this season. There is a ray of good news for the visitors: teams who suffer the embarrassment of losing to Idaho are 15-5-1 ATS in their next game, including 7-0 ATS versus a foe off a loss! NMSU does own a 5-1 ATS mark with revenge versus a foe off back-to-back SU losses, but it’s quickly negated by the Aggies’ jaw-dropping 0-11 ATS log in the fi rst of consecutive home games. It’s a good thing both teams are wracked with quarterback injuries and there is no line on this game at press time; otherwise, we’d be forced to make a call on this fi asco. Pass.

SAN JOSE ST over New Mexico by 4Don’t look now but Bob Davie’s Lobos are tied for second place in the Mountain West Conference. Last week’s thrilling 28-27 comeback win over Hawaii marked the second straight home game where New Mexico rallied to win after trailing at the half, and the second straight home game where the Albuquerque Wolves allowed just 3 second-half points. No such luck for San Jose: the Spartans were shockingly dominated by San Diego State at home last Saturday in a 30-7 loss to the Aztecs. How bad was it? SJSU was limited to a season-low one touchdown and just 148 total yards of offense, the fi rst time since 2010 that the Spartans were held under 200 yards. In fact, RB Tyler Ervin, who owned the FBS individual best single-game mark for rushing yards in 2015 games played through October 17 (gained 300 yards on 42 carries and accounted for 345 all-purpose yards in a September 26 win over Fresno State), was held to only 22 yards on 17 carries (1.3 YPC) by the Aztec rush defense. Even if Ervin bounces back with a typically strong game here, New Mexico’s relentless ground attack (258 YPG) should fi nd plenty of holes in a Spartan stop-unit that gets dented for 5.1 yards per rush. In what looks like a last-team-with-the-ball-wins scenario, we’ll take the points.

NEVADA over Hawaii by 14If you think Nevada head coach Brian Polian is upset over last week’s loss at Wyoming (the Cowboys’ fi rst win of the season), you’re right. “The inconsistency of our football team, mentally and physically, how we’re so up and down, is maddening right now,” fumed Polian, adding that Wyoming was tougher and played a more physical game than his team. “I have to do everything I can to fi gure out how to get this thing fi xed.” Meanwhile, those members of the Hawaii football team that are sick and tired of logging air miles to the mainland can start to relax: after tonight only one more trip remains this season, a visit to Vegas on November 7th. As you might expect, there are plenty more reasons why these Rainbow Warriors are not road warriors. Hawaii is currently riding a 1-8 ATS skid in the second of back-to-back away games and the kids from the pineapple patch are a horrendous 1-21 SU under soon-to-be-retired HC Norm Chow. At least QB Ikaika Woolsley is doing his best to keep Chow employed – he made his fi rst start this season against New Mexico when Max Wittek was sidelined with a knee injury and damn near pulled off an upset of the Lobos. But the Wolf Pack are 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS in this series of late and with the SMART BOX insisting we fade the grass skirts, we must oblige.

ARIZONA over Washington St by 10Since losing at home to Portland State in the season opener, Mike Leach and his Cougars have picked up the pieces in grand style, going 4-1 SU and ATS (2-1 in the Pac-12) while piling up 38.6 PPG. Likewise, the return of QB

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Thursday, October 22Seattle over SAN FRANCISCO by 8

The woes of the defending Super Bowl losers are well documented on these pages and Seattle is certainly holding up their end of the deal this season. The Seahawks limp into Levi’s Stadium tied with San Francisco at the bottom of the NFC West division following last week’s shocking home loss to Carolina. However, Super Bowl defeatists have handled weak opposition (.333 or less) with aplomb, going 144-54-1 SU in the past. They also take to the spotlight in prime-time games, having won each of their last fi ve Thursday night appearances, cashing the last three in a row. And it fi ts right into Seattle’s persona with the Seahawks’ 5-0 ATS mark on Thursdays. Enter the up-and-down triple-revenging 49ers, owners of a lousy 0-7-1 ATS record the last eight games in this series. In that vein, the all-knowing database notes that NFL division home teams, seeking triple revenge-exact, are just 15-22-1 ATS when playing off a win versus an opponent off a loss, including 0-4 ATS since 2009. Given Pete Carroll’s 6-2 SUATS mark in games off two losses-exact with Seattle, it’s a clear case of the Seahawks separating themselves from their cellar-dwelling cohorts tonight.


Sunday, October 25Buffalo over Jacksonville 8

It’s the second edition of three scheduled tea-and-crumpets shows in London this season where the down-and-out Jaguars (4-21 SU last 25 games) return for the third time, hoping to improve on their 0-2 SUATS mark in Wembley Stadium. If there is promise to be found in this year’s campaign, though, it’s the fact that Jacksonville is being outgained only 16 YPG, a vast improvement over the last three years when they were -81, -85, and -81 YPG at season’s end. On the other side of the euro, Buffalo head coach Rex Ryan is 9-2 ATS in his last 11 games when taking the fi eld off one loss-exact, and 11-5 SUATS in games in his NFL career versus the AFC South, including 5-1 ATS when off a loss. When push comes to shove in these made-for-the-NFL coffer capers, it’s best to back the superior team in London as favorites with the better record are 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS. Besides, who are we to argue with the all-knowing machine?

Cleveland over ST. LOUIS by 1 The second-place Rams return off the Bye week anxious to make up ground on the NFC West division-leading Cardinals in what appears to be a ‘sure-win’ against the Browns. But ‘sure-wins’ in the NFL are seldom that, especially for teams ill equipped to handle favoritism. Twice this season, St. Louis has found itself as a favorite and both time they gagged like a Linda Lovelace wannabe. In fact, going back to last season, the Rams are 0-4 ATS as chalk, losing all four games STRAIGHT UP. Call it a ‘Fisher thing’ if you will, but his record as a dog is far removed from that as a favorite (70-80-1) in his NFL career. Thus, it’s no surprise to learn that Louie is 0-7 ATS when favored in the fi rst of back-to-back homers. On the fl ip side, Cleveland is 5-0 ATS as a dog in the fi rst of back-to-back confrontations with the NFC, and 9-1-1 ATS in games off a loss under Mike Pettine, including 7-0 ATS as a dog. Toss in QB Josh McCown’s 9-3 ATS NFL career record as a dog of less than 8 points off a loss and suddenly the Dawg Pound is barking again. Hey, if it looks like a live dog, and barks like a live dog... it’s a live dog!

KANSAS CITY over Pittsburgh by 6Forget Michael Vick. The Steelers found a new savior last week when unheralded former Oklahoma QB Landry Jones was pressed into action

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There’s nothing better in Boston than a happy Brady bunch. Tom Brady may not like Pepsi (poison for your body) or Frosted Flakes (fake food), but he certainly likes beating Indianapolis – especially the rat-fi nk Colts. Now that he’s evened the score (for now) from the Defl ategate debacle, his focus shifts to an old division nemesis in the Jets, a team against whom the Pats are 0-5 ATS at home when New England fi nds itself undefeated. Does it matter that New England coughed up a season-high 409 yard to the Colts in Sunday night’s win? We think so, given the fact that New York owns the league’s top ranked defense, one that surrenders 87.6 YPG less than the Patriots. We also like the fact that the Flyboys are 8-1 ATS away in this series when avenging a pair of losses from the last two meetings. Todd Bowles has done a terrifi c job with the Jets as they’ve outgained all fi ve opponents this season and took down Andrew Luck and the Colts at Indianapolis, 20-7, as 6-point dogs earlier this year. We like teams playing with supreme confi dence against those with their heads in the clouds. And then there is always The Clincher: Pats QB Tom Brady is 1-7 ATS at home against the Jets in games in which New York is playing with revenge.

NY Jets over NEW ENGLAND by 1

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Anu Solomon has turned on Arizona’s offensive afterburners as the Wildcats have piled up 601 passing yards in their last two outings, both SUATS wins. The boys from Tucson also gained over 600 yards of total offense for the second straight game in their comeback win at Colorado last Saturday. The victory marked the fi rst time the Wildcats have come back to win a game when trailing entering the 4th quarter since last year’s epic comeback against California on September 20, 2014. Washington State (4-2, 2-1 Pac-12) is also breathing in rarefi ed air. Before last Saturday’s 52-31 destruction of Oregon State, the Cougars had not beaten a conference opponent at home since November, 2013. Wazzu scored on all seven of its fi rst-half possessions against the Beavers and pounded them with 520 yards of offense. Leach’s team may boast a solid 8-1 ATS record on the road versus .666 or greater conference foes but the Wildcats have grabbed the green in four of the last fi ve series get-togethers. The bottom line is we trust the Wildcats at home tonight much more than we do the visiting Cougars. Totals players, take note: these two combined for 96 points in last year’s game.

and led the Steelers to a come-from-behind win over the high-fl ying Cardinals. Now, provided Big Ben is still the largest cheerleader on the Pittsburgh sideline, Jones is pressed into a starting role against a hungry team. Stop here if you don’t want to know the grisly details that are likely to unfold. For openers, the Steel Curtain has been nailed shut versus sub .500 opponents in games before facing Cincinnati, going 0-8 ATS. They are also 0-5 ATS when facing a foe off back-to-back losses that is seeking triple revenge-exact. And we’d say the Chiefs are, indeed, a hungry team, entering this fray on a 5-game SUATS losing skid. And at 10-1 ATS in their third home game of the season, and 3-0 ATS the last three games as a host in this series, it comes as no surprise to fi nd the Featherheads fi nally celebrating a win at Arrowhead this Sunday.

Houston over MIAMI by 3Now that was impressive. The dead-in-the water Dolphins came to life under interim coach Dan Campbell last week, equaling their largest road win since 1980 in a 38-10 trouncing at Tennessee in Campbell’s debut. So what can they do for an encore, you ask? Will it be a regression to the mean or another statement-making win over the Texans? We’d opt for the former, given the fact that none of the 25 interim coaches who took over for a team in the middle of the season found their way to the playoffs. Adding to the dilemma, Miami is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite before back-to-back away games when facing a sub .500 opponent. Houston enters off a confi dence-building win of its own, an 11-point win as 3-point dogs at Jacksonville, sporting a 9-1 ATS ledger in games immediately after facing the Jaguars. The Texans are also 9-2 ATS away off an away game of late. Campbell’s crew looks to be in hot water here today.



Monday, October 26ARIZONA over Baltimore by 6

Oh my, how quickly the mighty have fallen. The Ravens, perennial playoff performers in six of seven seasons under QB Joe Flacco and head coach John Harbaugh, are suddenly white trash following an almost unheard of 1-5 start to the season. So, does that make them dangerous or little more than fodder for the fi rst-place Cardinals under the Monday night-lights? We’ll know sometime soon after Al Michaels confi rms the ‘Over’ total status of the game, probably in the 4th quarter of this contest. Baltimore is 11-1 ATS off a SU and ATS loss when playing in the second of back-to-back NFC games. The Black Birds are also 20-10 SUATS in games versus NFC opposition behind Flacco and Harbaugh, in addition to 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS (2-0 SUATS off a loss) on Mondays behind the dynamic duo. The high-fl ying Cardinals was knocked down a notch off their pedestal in a loss at Pittsburgh last week and stand 0-7 ATS as Monday night favorites versus an opponent off a loss. We’d be remiss, though, if we didn’t mention Arizona head coach Bruce Arians’ 10-3 SU and 11-2 ATS career mark in games off a loss. Let the feathers fl y in this battle of angry birds.

5� BEST BET

It’s not often you’ll fi nd a losing team gifted with 5* top billing on these pages, but this is one of them. The Bucs return off a week of rest following a 38-31 victory over Jacksonville knowing they are 6-0 ATS as roads dogs in the fi rst of back-to-back away games when playing off a SU and ATS win. In addition, it was also the fi rst non-turnover game for QB Jameis Winston since turning pro this year. Yes, Tampa Bay has surrendered 31 and 37 points in its last two games but a deeper look into the stat sheet shows the Bucs allowing just 325 and 244 yards in those contests. It’s part of the reason they own the league’s No. 4 ranked overall defense. On the other side of the coin, the Redskins are 0-6 ATS at home off back-to-back away games and a once-proud rushing game has gone south in a hurry with Washington surrendering 397, while gaining only 85, rushing yards in its last two games. Meanwhile, the Hogs dress up as favorites for the fi rst time in their last 12 games. FYI: the last time they laid points was when they hosted these same Buccaneers here on November 16 last year. They lost, 27-7, as 6.5-point chalk, dropping HC Jay Gruden’s record to 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS as a favorite. Finally we turn to the well-oiled machine for The Clincher: .400 or greater non-division teams off a Bye who scored 36 or more points in their last game are 16-4 SU and 16-3-1 ATS when facing a foe off a loss.

Tampa Bay over WASHINGTON by 10

4� BEST BET

You had to be impressed with Carolina’s gutsy come-from-behind win at Seattle last Sunday. Not only did the Panthers succeed in avenging last season’s playoff loss to the Seahawks, they also managed to remain unbeaten this season. That, however, is where the good news ends for the Black Cats. That’s because our history book shows the Panthers are 0-7 ATS in games after facing a non-division opponent before playing a Monday night game. Now, perhaps you weren’t impressed with Philadelphia’s win over the Giants this past Monday night in a game laced with turnovers and penalties. The Eagles did, however, score 27 unanswered points after the Giants’ opening drive touchdown, while holding Big Blue to a season-low 247 yards of offense. That Philly is 8-1 ATS as a road dog versus non-division opponents off a SU underdog win is good. As is Carolina’s 0-4-1 ATS all-time record in games as a non-division favorite off a SU revenge win in which the Panthers own a .777 or greater record on the season. However, we turn to the mean machine for The Clincher: Carolina is 2-7 SUATS in its franchise history in games before playing on Monday nights, including 0-5 SUATS at home.

Philadelphia over CAROLINA by 10

Minnesota over DETROIT by 3 Hooray. And then there were none. Winless teams that is, following Detroit’s 37-34 shootout win over Chicago last week. Good numbers come to the Lions this week, too, as they are 7-0 ATS with revenge off a 3-point win when facing a .500 or greater opponent. Meanwhile, Minnesota is just 1-7 ATS in its next game after allowing 10 or fewer points in its last game. There is also the fact that winless teams off their fi rst victory of the season, from Game Five or later, who are at home against division foes off a win, are 13-5 ATS. So why is it we’re not all over the Lions like the honorable Jesse Jackson at a Lamar Odom-in-a-coma publicity sighting? It‘s because .400 or greater NFL teams in Game Six off back-to-back ATS wins away are 33-11-1 ATS when facing a .400 or less opponent. Gulp. It’s time to call the Reverend.

Atlanta over TENNESSEE by 4 This NFC South division duel fi nds both teams off disappointing losses last week, with the Falcons tasting defeat for the fi rst time this season at New Orleans while the Titans ran into a Campbell soup train in a loss to Miami. The main question is whether Tennessee QB Marcus Mariotta will be behind center (MCL injury), or whether backup QB Zack Mettenberger gets the call. This much we know for sure: Atlanta is 14-2 ATS away off one loss-exact when facing a non-division opponent off a loss, while the Titans are 0-7 ATS at home with revenge off a non-division game before back-to-back away games. Be careful, though, as the mean machine notes that 5-1 teams in Game Seven, off their fi rst loss of the season, are just 2-6 ATS when favored off a favorite loss. We’ll put this on hold until Tennessee’s quarterback quandary is resolved.

INDIANAPOLIS over New Orleans by 1 After witnessing the latest ‘Worst Call Ever In The History Of The NFL’ – much to the liking of Pete Carroll, we might add – Indianapolis coach Chuck Pagano is now tasked with getting his troops back up for this visit from the Saints. It doesn’t help that Indy is just 6-8 SU and 4-10 ATS at home after facing New England when taking on a foe off a win, and 2-6 SU and ATS the last eight games in this series. What we don’t like in particular is that the Colts are the only team in the NFL that has yet to outgain an opponent this season (0-6 ITS – think about that). To say they are ‘leaking oil is like trading a new Benz in on a ’51 Plymouth. Which one do you think would leave oil stains in the driveway? Something is not right here, folks. Granted, Andrew Luck is masterful in games off a loss in his NFL career, going 15-2 SU and 14-3 ATS, but rest assured in NONE of those games were the Colts on a 6-game ITS losing skid. Meanwhile, Drew Brees appears to have awakened from the dead, winning two of his last three games. And New Orleans is 16-3 ATS as a road dog between home games. However, before you line up behind center with ONLY the center there to protect you, you need to know the Saints are just 1-5 ITS this season themselves. Whether it’s gook Luck or bad Luck, you’re on your own backing the Colts here.

SAN DIEGO over Oakland by 3For the second straight game, the Chargers came up short in the late stages of a game – this time at Green Bay – when they failed to fi nd the end zone on 1st and goal in the fi nal minute of play. As a result San

Diego is 1-3 SU in its last four games despite winning stats in each contest. The Chargers are also just 3-9 ATS in this series, including 1-5 ATS at home. Enter the well-rested Raiders, a half-game up on Diego in the AFC West and sporting a glossy 15-3 ATS mark as division road dogs off a division road loss. While it appears all the incentive belongs to the Chargers, we have to wonder if they aren’t short-circuited following their travails of late.

Dallas over NY GIANTS by 1There is no better potion for curing your ills than rest. It does wonders for the body and the mind. And if any team in the league needs a blow at this stage of the season, it’s the Dallas Cowboys. After opening the campaign with promise (2-0) and a Pro Bowl quarterback, it all went to hell in a handbag when Tony Romo went down with a broken collarbone. His successor, Brandon Weeden, then proceeded to extend his personal losing streak as a starting quarterback (now 0-11 SUATS his last eleven NFL starts). Thus, a switch to recently signed signal-caller Matt Cassel. And while he may not be the savior, he’s a major upgrade over Weeden. That’s confi rmed by his 22-12 ATS NFL career mark in away games, including 8-1 ATS as a dog of less than 6 points. The Giants, who unraveled like a 90% knock-off designer sweater at Philadelphia last week, have been outyarded in fi ve of their six contests this season and are 1-6 ATS at home in division games between away games. The Boys’ 6-0 ATS mark off three losses in a row, the last by double-digits, cements it. After all, in Dallas these days, a man’s home is his Cassel.

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To view the entire Wise Guys standings, including Triple, Double and Single plays, visit www.PLAYBOOK.com and cash in this weekend for only $12!

Below are the current Top 20 Contestants from the 2015 Wise Guys Contest – One Point Single Plays Listed

Louisville (-7.5)

BUCS (+3.5)

COWBOYS (+5)

NY JETS (+9.5)

BROWNS (+4.5)

COWBOYS (+5)

Tennessee (+16.5)

N Carolina (-16.5)

REDSKINS (-3.5)

CHARGERS (-4)

6-6 / 3-3 / 9 pts

7-5 / 3-3 / 10 pts

6-6 / 4-2 / 10 pts

8-4 / 5-1 / 13 pts

7-5 / 5-1 /12 pts

9-3 / 5-1 / 14 pts

6-6 / 4-2 / 10 pts

8-4 / 3-3 / 11 pts

7-5 / 3-3 / 10 pts

8-3-1 / 4-1-1 / 12 pts

WISE GUYS CONTESTA $10,000 Contest Sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com

Now in its 30th year, the WISE GUYS CONTEST is a $10,000 winners-take-all handicapping event sponsored by PLAYBOOK.com. All plays are graded against the lines posted after 4:00 PM Mondays on the WISE GUYS CONTEST page at PLAYBOOK.com. Each week below we'll post Single Plays from the Top 20 point-earners. Following the play is their overall Win-Loss record / Double Play record / Total Points earned to date.

Big Board [email protected]

Bob Dietzintegritysports.com

Brad Diamonddiamondquickpicks.com

Brad Powersbradpowerssports.com

California Sportscaliforniasports.com

CfbRefStats.comcfbrefstats.com

Cincinnati Kidplaybook.com

Fairway Jayvegassportszone.com

Hurricane Billplaybook.com

Joe Nelsonnellysports.com

Clemson (-6.5)

NC State (-10)

Army (+10)

Utah (+3.5)

La Tech (-7)

N Carolina (-16.5)

TEXANS (+4.5)

NY JETS (+9.5)

Boston Coll (+7.5)

BUCS (+3.5)

6-5-1 / 3-2-1 / 9 pts

7-5 / 3-3 / 10 pts

6-6 / 4-2 / 10 pts

10-2 / 5-1 / 15 pts

7-5 / 4-2 / 11 pts

8-4 / 5-1 / 13 pts

5-6-1 / 5-1 / 10 pts

7-5 / 4-2 / 11 pts

9-2-1 / 4-2 / 13 pts

7-5 / 4-2 / 11 pts

Ken Thomsonsportsxradio.com

Mike Muzykamjmsportsline.com

Norm Hitzgesnormsclubhouse.com

Richard Wittplaybook.com

Ross Benjaminrossbenjaminsports.com

Stan Lisowskiplaybook.com

Steve Merrilprosportsinfo.com

Stormin Normanfreesportsinfo.com

Toby Scot610.288.5252

Victor Kingplaybook.com

GAME MATCHUPS KEY OVER/UNDER STATS

2 0 1 5 N AT I O N A L F O O T B A L L L E A G U E – W E E K S E V E N

The fi rst 8 games of the NFL schedule are listed below. As always, the number listed fi rst is the ‘OVER’ and the number listed second is the ‘UNDER’. The ENTIRE 2-minute Handicap (all 16 gms) along with this week’s 3 NFL O/U BEST BETS will appear in the 2015 ‘TOTALS’ TIPSHEET by Victor King – the defi nitive weekly OU newsletter. Current record for 2015: 12-6 ATS. A single issue is only $8.00 (or $62 for the season). Sent via email on Tuesdays. Call the PLAYBOOK offi ces to get on the 2015 “Totals Train”! …*This week’s Playbook O/U TREND play: Falcons @ Titans ’UNDER’ the TOTAL.

AN 'OVER / UNDER' REPORT ON THIS WEEK'S NFL CARDBY VICTOR KING

THE 2-MINUTE HANDICAP: O/U STYLE

SeattleSAN FRANCISCO

BuffaloJACKSONVILLE

ClevelandST LOUIS

PittsburghKANSAS CITY

HoustonMIAMI

NY Jets NEW ENGLAND

MinnesotaDETROIT

AtlantaTENNESSEE

5-1 O/U off home fav loss... 4-1 O/U as div RF’s... 3-1 O/U aft Car... but 1-6 O/U L7 vs SF (32.0)... 1-3 O/U Thursday RG6-2 O/U aft Bal... but 0-7 O/U L7 as div HD’s... 0-4 O/U in 2nd of BB HG... 1-7 O/U Thursdays... 1-4 O/U off home dog win

5-1 O/U bef Bye... 3-0 O/U L3 vs Jac (53.7)... but 0-5 O/U off DD home loss... 0-3 O/U vs AFC South... 1-5 O/U bef NEng 4-0 O/U off SU fav loss... 3-0 O/U bef Bye... 3-1 O/U vs AFC East... 6-2 O/U off div HG... but 0-4 O/U Game 7

0-6 O/U vs opp off Bye... 0-4 O/U Game 7... 0-5-1 O/U vs NFC West... 1-5 O/U aft Den... 1-3 O/U bef Arz2-0 O/U Game 6... 4-1 O/U aft Bye... 3-1 O/U as non-conf HF’s... but 0-8 O/U favs bef div HG... 0-4 O/U vs AFC North

3-1 O/U off home dog win... but 0-3 O/U L3 vs KC (27.7)... 1-5 O/U vs < .333 opp gm 6 >... 1-4 O/U vs AFC West 7-1 O/U bef Det... 6-1 O/U aft Min... 3-1 O/U as non-div HD’s... but 0-4-1 O/U Game 7... 2-8 O/U vs AFC North

5-0 O/U dogs vs AFC East... 3-1 O/U Game 7... 6-2 O/U dogs in 2nd of BB RG... 4-2 O/U bef Ten... but 1-3 O/U off road dog win7-2 O/U bef NEng... but 0-4 O/U bef Thur gm... 0-3-1 O/U Game 6... 2-11 O/U aft Ten... 2-7 O/U off road dog win

3-0 O/U 1st of BB RG... 10-3 O/U aft score 31 > pts... 5-2 O/U div RD’s 7 > pts... but 0-6 O/U bef Oak... 1-8 O/U off non-conf HG 3-0 O/U Game 6... 6-1-1 O/U L8 home vs NYJ (48.5)... 10-3 O/U in 1st of BB div gms... 3-1 O/U aft Ind... 3-1 O/IU bef Thur

4-0 O/U bef Chic... 5-1 O/U aft allow 10 < pts... 3-1 O/U in 1st of BB div gms... but 0-2 O/U Game 6... 1-9 O/U as RF’s 4 < pts 5-1 O/U aft Chic... 4-1 O/U Game 7... but 0-4 O/U bef non-conf RG... 0-4 O/U L4 vs Min (29.8)... 1-6 O/U in 3rd straight HG

0-3 O/U off road fav loss... 0-3 O/U bef TB... 0-2 O/U L2 vs Ten (36.5)... 1-4 O/U in 2nd of BB RG... 3-14 O/U away vs AFC South0-3 O/U aft Mia... 0-3 O/U in 2nd of BB HG... 0-2 O/U Game 6... 1-8 O/U vs NFC South... 1-4 O/U bef Hous

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SUNDAY, OCTOBER 25

MEMPHIS8:00 PM TULSA ESPN

UTAH ST 10:30 PM S DIEGO ST ESPN2

311 312

313 314

4

3

10 4

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 23

MARC LAWRENCE’S 5★ COLLEGEFOOTBALL GAME OF THE MONTH!Documented 63-29-2 s/1990!

GOES SATURDAY, OCTOBER 24TH!


2015 COLLEGE & PRO FOOTBALL - OCTOBER 20-26

A REVIEW OF THE CURRENT STAR-RATED BEST BET SELECTIONSTHIS WEEK'S BEST BETS

FOR WEEK ENDING MONDAY,OCTOBER 26, 2015 4� BEST BET3� BEST BET 5� BEST BET

COLLEGE

NFL

UPSET GAME

OKLAHOMA KANSAS STATE LOUISVILLE

NY JETS EAGLES BUCCANEERS

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Listed next to the games below are two entries: OL is the SportsOptions.com opening line on the contest and PB is the PLAYBOOK margin. You have a PLAYBOOK Recommendation whenever our predicted margin of victory is 6 or more points off the opening line. Remember, opening

lines are subject to change during the week so always check YOUR CURRENT LINE against the PLAYBOOK line to determine a fi nal play.

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 20

MONDAY, OCTOBER 26

BALTIMORE 8:30 PM ARIZONA ESPN

475 476 7 6

SEATTLE8:25 PM SAN FRAN CBS

GA SOUTHERN 7:30 PM TIME CHANGE APP STATE ESPNU

TEMPLE7:00 PM E CAROLINA ESPN2

CALIFORNIA9:00 PM UCLA ESPN

303 304

305 306

307 308

309 310

5 3

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 24

BUFFALO9:30 AM at London, Eng JACKSONVILLE

CLEVELAND1:00 PM ST. LOUIS

PITTSBURGH1:00 PM KANSAS CITY

HOUSTON1:00 PM MIAMI

NY JETS1:00 PM NEW ENGLAND

MINNESOTA1:00 PM DETROIT

ATLANTA1:00 PMTENNESSEE

TAMPA BAY1:00 PM WASHINGTON

NEW ORLEANS1:00 PM INDIANAPOLIS

OAKLAND4:05 PM SAN DIEGO

DALLAS4:25 PM NY GIANTS

PHILADELPHIA 8:30 PM CAROLINA NBC

451 452

453 454

455 456

457 458

459 460

461 462

463 464

465 466

467 468

469 470

471 472

473 474

E MICHIGAN 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE NO ILLINOIS

C MICHIGAN3:00 PM TIME CHANGE BALL ST

TOLEDO3:00 PM TIME CHANGE UMASS

BOWLING GREEN1:00 PM TIME CHANGE KENT ST

OHIO U3:30 PM TIME CHANGE BUFFALO PITTSBURGH12:00 PM SYRACUSE ESPNU

INDIANA ESPN2 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE MICHIGAN ST ABC

CLEMSON12:00 PM MIAMI FLA ABC

NC STATE 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE WAKE FOREST

315 316

317 318

319 320

321 322

323 324

325 326

327 328

329 330

331 332

OL PB333 334

335 336

337 338

339 340

341 342

343 344

345 346

347 348

349 350

351 352

353 354

355 356

357 358

359 360

361 362

363 364

365 366

367 368

369 370

371 372

OL PBARMY 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE RICE

SOUTHERN MISS12:00 PM TIME CHANGE CHARLOTTE

BOSTON COLLEGE12:30 PM TIME CHANGE LOUISVILLE

MIDDLE TENN3:30 PM TIME CHANGE LA TECH

CONNECTICUT4:30 PM TIME CHANGE CINCINNATI

SMU4:00 PM TIME CHANGE USF ESPNN

SOUTH ALABAMA7:00 PM TEXAS ST

OLD DOMINION6:00 PM TIME CHANGE FLORIDA INT’L

KENTUCKY7:30 PM TIME CHANGE MISS ST SEC

AUBURN12:00 PM TIME CHANGE ARKANSAS SEC

TEXAS TECH ESPN23:30 PM TIME CHANGE OKLAHOMA ABC

KANSAS 4:30 PM TIME CHANGE OKLAHOMA ST

FLORIDA ST7:00 PM TIME CHANGE GA TECH ESPN2

OHIO ST8:00 PM RUTGERS ABC

W KENTUCKY7:00 PM TIME CHANGE LSU ESPNU

FLA ATLANTIC7:00 PM TIME CHANGE UTEP

TROY8:00 PM NEW MEXICO ST NEW MEXICO7:00 PM TIME CHANGE SAN JOSE ST

HAWAII4:00 PM TIME CHANGE NEVADA

WASHINGTON ST4:00 PM TIME CHANGE ARIZONA

373 374

375 376

377 378

379 380

381 382

383 384

385 386

387 388

389 390

391 392

393 394

395 396

397 398

399 400

401 402

403 404

405 406

407 408

409 410

411 412

OL PB OL PB2’

22

22

31’

16’

27

3’

NL

14

3’

4

14’

11

15’

8

8

13’

12’

2’

15

11

5’

5’

1

MISSOURI4:00 PM TIME CHANGE VANDERBILT SEC

MIAMI OHIO2:00 PM TIME CHANGE W MICHIGAN

TULANE 1:00 PM NAVY CBSSN

WYOMING10:15 PM TIME CHANGEBOISE ST ESPN2

FRESNO ST2:00 PM AIR FORCE

NORTH TEXAS3:30 PM TIME CHANGE MARSHALL

UTAH 7:30 PM TIME CHANGE USC FOX

WASHINGTON 10:30 PM TIME CHANGE STANFORD ESPN

TENNESSEE3:30 PM ALABAMA CBS KANSAS ST12:00 PM TIME CHANGETEXAS

TEXAS A&M7:00 PM TIME CHANGE MISSISSIPPI ESPN

VIRGINIA3:30 PM N CAROLINA

NORTHWESTERN 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE NEBRASKA ESPN2 WISCONSIN 3:30 PM ILLINOIS

DUKE3:30 PM VA TECH ESPNU

UL-MONROE5:00 PM IDAHO

HOUSTON 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE UCF ESPNN COLORADO10:30 PM TIME CHANGE OREGON ST IOWA ST 12:00 PM TIME CHANGE BAYLOR ESPN

PENN ST (at Baltimore) 3:30 PM TIME CHANGE MARYLAND ESPN

5’

4

8

1

6

3

1

3

4

10

UL-LAFAYETTE 8:00 PM ARKANSAS ST ESPN2

301 302 7’ 3

13 13

12’ 10

2’ 6

1

24

21

25

21

27

1

10

18

11

8

8

6’

3’

21

10

1

8

10

8

21

8

17

8

3

17

5’

32’

5’

14

13

36

3

�

�

�

�

�

�

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 22�

14 24

7 11

2

20

1

24

15

5’

8

7

21 14

5’

1

3

1

17 11

4’ 1

3

36

7

41

NL 3

8 4

8 14

NFL WEEK SEVEN BYES:CHICAGO, CINCINNATI, DENVER, GREEN BAY

10 3 8 4

7 10

2’ 1

4 4

10

4 8

28 24

7’ 11

4’

2

9’

5’

6

3’

Documents

October 20-26, 2015 Perfect System Play of ... - playbook.com · page 2 † 1.800.PLAYBOOK View Marc's Awesome Angle Of The Week at the PLAYBOOK.com website! ATS W-L Record Since