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Introduction:
Ocean acidification can’t just be looked at on a regional scale. The whole
world needs to come together and deal with this problem together because it is a
global issue. Ocean acidification has been a continuous problem that has
affected people all around the world. Ocean acidification is when carbon dioxide
is absorbed into the seawater, chemical reactions occur that reduce seawater
pH, carbon ion concentration, and saturation states of biologically important
calcium carbonate minerals (http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/co2/story/ What+is+
Ocean+Acidification%3F). Many of these marine organisms, not just the ones
with calcium carbonate shells, are being affected by ocean acidification.
One example of these organisms is the pteropod. These “sea butterflies”
are found throughout the ocean and are a major food source for fish and other
marine life. These pteropods have calcium carbonate shells that start to break
down with a decrease in pH. For pteropods, corals, and other species that
depend on shells and exoskeletons, ocean acidification will lead to a decreased
availability of dissolved calcium carbonate. These mineral structures may begin
to dissolve, depending on where they live in the ocean. (http://www.pmel.noaa
.gov/co2/story/Ocean+Acidification).
As the world’s oceans are becoming more acidic, food webs could be
severely impacted. Phytoplankton and zooplankton, like pteropods, form the
basis of most oceanic food chains; Coral reefs form the foundation of the most
diverse marine habitats; and shellfish, such as oysters and crabs support
economically important fisheries in many of the world coastal communities
(source). Many people depend on these species to make a living.
Ocean acidification is a problem that affects people around the globe. It is
not just a problem that some people can look the other way. If we are going to
ever change our oceans we need to start looking at what and how much of it we
are putting in. It’s not going to be an easy problem to fix, but if people across the
globe can come up with a solution, it is at least a step in the right direction. It
turns out that Maine actually passed a law a few weeks ago to study ocean
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acidification. Many supporters of the law are saying that it’s the first law of its
kind. The law will establish a commission to study and address ocean
acidification (http://www.pressherald.com/news/Maine_pa sses_law_
to_study_ocean_acidifi cation.html). These reasons, and many others, should
serve as a warning that if we don’t seriously address this issue now, then it could
really come back to haunt us in the future.
Background literature:
Ocean acidification has been a topic that many scholars have discussed.
One of the main topics being discussed is rapid climate change and its impacts
on the oceans. Ever since the industrial revolution, there has been an ongoing
increase of CO2 in our atmosphere. One ecosystem that is directly affected by
this is coral reefs. Many experiments have shown that if we were to double the
CO2 emissions we had during the industrial revolution it would decrease coral
reef growth by 40% (http://icriforum.org/about-icri/iyor). These coral reefs
provide one of the most biologically diverse and economically important
ecosystems. These problems are likely to have serious consequences through
their impact on coastal protection, fisheries, and tourism. Some of these
Caribbean countries can earn up to 50% of their GDP just based on tourism so
these problems with coral reefs are definitely hurting these countries
(http://icriforum.org/about-icri/iyor*).
A major problem that these studies have shown is that our atmospheric
CO2 levels are rising at a relatively quick rate. Today’s atmospheric CO2 levels
are at 380 ppmv (parts per million by volume) and is currently rising at a rate of
0.5% each year. This rate of change is approximately 100 times faster than any
other change in the past 650,000 years (Fabrey,2008). Reducing CO2 is the
most effective way to influence ocean acidification. Reducing these CO2
emissions will help further prevent problems while also helping out future climate
change (Kolieb,2012).
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Marine organisms that rely on calcium-carbonate shells and exoskeletons
for protection are being heavily affected. One of these organisms is a King Crab.
During a study, King Crabs and their larvae were held in water of acidity of 7.7
pH(0.3 less than the average pH levels). After the study was done it was shown
that the acidic water increased larva size and calcium content, the implications of
these increase were unclear. However, the increased acidity led to a decreased
survival rate that is likely to harm theses King Crab populations (Long, 2013).
Pteropods and carbs are highly affected by ocean acidification, but they
are only the tip of the iceberg. Ocean acidification doesn’t just affect one
organism; it affects the whole entire food web. A study conducted by Havenhand
in 2012 was on the food web in the Baltic Sea consisting of phytoplankton,
zooplankton, macrozoobenthos, cod and sprat. One problem with this study was
that it didn’t have a lot of data on micro-algae and phytoplankton, which are at
the very bottom of the food web. It turns out that ocean acidification doesn’t
really have an effect on cod and other fish. It seems likely that the effects of
ocean acidification on cod and herring will be small, although negative impacts
may be experienced in later larval stages (Havenhand, Jonathan. 2012. 637-
644).
Figure 1 (Havenhand, Jonathan. 2012. 637-644)
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Hypothesis:
My hypothesis for this paper is that we were going to find a lot of
information during my research. Ocean Acidification is a topic that seems like a
lot of people are talking about. Twitter is also a great source for people to share
and discuss data so during research, there should be many interesting findings.
Methods of data collection:
For collect the tweets for our data, we used a program called scraperwiki.
This software allowed us to be able to track all of our hash tags and see what,
who, where, etc. these tweets were coming from. In total, the number of tweets
#oceanacidification was able to pick up was 689. It was good to see that even
though not many people were tweeting about Ocean Acidification, it was still a
topic that people were talking all over the world about. Laura Kurgan writes,
“There is no such thing as raw data. Data is always translated such that they
might be represented”. This pertains to ocean acidification because every little
piece of data that these scientists get they use because they have such little data
already.
Analysis:
For the analysis of my research, we had to use many different programs
with different specialties. One of the tools we used was Social Explorer, which
allowed us to make a map with a variety of choices to choose from. Another tool
we used R. R allowed us to transfer data into R and then we would be able to
make different graphs out of them. It was actually pretty fascinating what we
were able to do in R. BatchGeo allowed us to see where our tweets, at least the
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ones we were able to see, were from. Another tool that we used was Wordle.
Wordle allowed us to see what words showed up most frequently and put them in
a word graph. The last tool we used was Gephi. Gephi *was used to analyze
large network groups and see the connections within a network. Edward Tufte
writes, “When we reason about quantitative evidence, certain methods for
displaying and analyzing data are better than others. Superior methods are more
likely to produce truthful, credible, and precise findings” (Tufte, 1997). For this
research BatchGeo and Gephi were two of the most crucial tools because they
told the best stories out of all the other graphs.
Findings:
There were many things that we found while doing our research. One of
the findings that we came across was that twitter users who used the hash tag
#oceanacidification were spread across the whole world as shown in figure 2.
Figure 2: Map of #oceanacidification tweets
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Fig 3: Percentage of people who attended college in 1970′s.
Fig 4: Percentage of people who attended some sort of college in the 1990′s
Fig 5: Percentage of people who attended some college or more in 2010.
When we were looking at Social Explorer and trying to figure out what we
should research, we thought that we should look at education. We figured with
ocean acidification growing over the years, places that heavily relied on fisheries
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in the economy would be good places to look for increases in education. A
couple places drew my interest, but we decided to go with Florida because we
know that Florida has a lot of fisheries. It was going to be interesting to see how
education has changed over time. My original hypothesis before looking at the
data was that the education level of the general public was going to
increase. Not necessarily because of the increase in Ocean Acidification, but
due to the fact that more and more Americans are attending Colleges and
Universities. As you can clearly see in the maps above, the education rose from
only being red regions into all blue and with some regions being dark blue. We
thought that this was a good selection of maps because it shows how more
people are going to college and even if they are not studying Environmental
Sciences, more people are becoming more educated about the problems that are
affecting the world. Hopefully, someday, we are able to solve these problems to
make the world a better place.
Figure 6: Wordle Graph
When we first started looking at my visualization, we was trying to find something
that popped out to me. We were searching through and came across a few
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words and phrases, but they really didn’t lead too much. However, one word that
was very interesting was NZOAW14. It turns out that it stands for the New
Zealand Ocean Acidification Workshop. It was a workshop that has taken place
in 2014, but it’s currently still going on. It turns out that this workshop has very
interesting facts about ocean acidification and is definitely a good place for
research. It’s very important that people are getting educated on this topic and
topics alike because they are very real problems that if we don’t start looking at
now, can really hurt US in the future!
Figure 7: Fish caught in metric tons from 1970-2010
Increasing ocean acidity is believed to have a range of direct consequences.
Some examples of these consequences are reduced metabolic rates in jumbo
squid; the increase in acidity breaks down shells of crabs, lobsters, clams,
oysters, etc. In the top left, we tracked 4 different marine organisms that are
affected by O.A. and how many metric tons of each species was caught each
year. King Crabs spiked in 1980 at 83,000 metric tons, but took a major drop-off,
which caused more sea urchins to be caught. There are many ups and downs in
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year
Me
tric
_T
ons
Fish_type
King_Crab
Sea_Urchins
Shellfish
Squid
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the graph because the pH levels in the water can change drastically in a short
time period.
What we wanted to see in my graph was if these individual countries have
been responding to this recent problem by decreasing their CO2 emissions.
When we first saw my data, every country in the world was on the list with their
CO2 emissions. We picked a few countries that we thought would be affected by
this crisis because those countries would probably show the most change over
time. After we did all our R computations, we came out with my finished
visualization. Out of the 5 countries that we looked at 3 of them showed no
significant change over time, which was great because they had very low CO2
emissions compared to the other countries. The 2 countries that we looked
closer at were USA and China. China’s CO2 emissions were fairly low in the
1960’s, but from 1965 on, China’s CO2 emission have been rising ever
since. Similarly, USA started at a decently high emission output in 1960, but it
hasn’t raised much over time.
Some of these countries have been fairly good with their CO2 emissions
while others have been pretty bad. USA and China don’t fairly represent the
whole worlds CO2 emissions because those 2 countries have some of the
highest CO2 outputs. If we are ever going to try and fix ocean acidification it
needs to start now and these countries such as USA and China need to
gradually cut back on their CO2 emissions.
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Figure 8: CO2 emissions from 1960-2010
Figure 9: Network analysis of twitter data
In my visualization, the nodes were a little further away then I was expecting. I
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suppose that would mean that a lot of people are not really communicating back
and forth with each other. One of the things I did notice was that there was one
central node that was connected to a bunch of other nodes. The person’s name
was donbeeman. Donbeeman wasn’t anyone special; he was just a guy on
twitter who liked to share his ideas with people. His tweets weren’t retweeted
that much, he would just reply to a bunch of tweets and then get a conversation
going. Another thing I did notice was that there was a bunch of people that were
in groups of 4-12 people that were talking about Ocean Acidification in their own
little groups.
In this visualization you can see that one person is very connected with
everyone else. I think that this graph demonstrates Alex Pentland’s quote,
“Digital technology enables us to study billions of individual exchanges in which
people trade ideas, money, goods, or gossip” (80). It might not be so clear
because my data wasn’t as big as other peoples, but this graph shows these
exchanges on a smaller scale.
(Fabricius,2013)
Figure 10: Ratios of the densities
Number of taxonomic units of macro invertebrates at high-CO2 relative to control
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sites (n = 35 surveys). Circles mark the estimated ratios, error bars show lower
and upper 95% CIs (see electronic supplementary material, tables S5 and S6).
Differences are significant (p < 0.05) if the error bars do not include the value 1.0.
Discussion:
When we were looking at the data, we wanted to come up with a story that
would try to best represent our data. A problem that we had with our data was
that there just simply wasn’t enough of it. We only received a total number of
689 tweets, which is very tough to analyze. One of the problems associated with
twitter is that there are only 140 characters for someone to write their thoughts.
For a topic like ocean acidification there are a lot of things that someone is
looking to say and this restriction could’ve prevented these people from tweeting.
This is what Boyd and Crawford had in mind when they said, “specialized tools of
Big Data also have their own limitations and restrictions.” We know that ocean
acidification is a worldwide problem so one of the first things we looked at was
where the tweets were coming from. In figure 2 you can see that a lot of the
locations are from the United States, but a bunch of other locations were
scattered across the world. This means that even though I didn’t receive a lot of
tweets on the topic, it was still being discussed worldwide.
So now that we know ocean acidification is a worldwide topic, the next
thing we wanted to see was if people are still talking about ocean acidification
even though they weren’t talking about it on twitter. The graph that we analyzed
to see this was my Wordle graph. At first, most of the words didn’t really lead to
anything special, but then we came across the name NZOAW14. This stands for
the New Zealand Ocean Acidification Workshop. This is basically a yearlong
discussion where people who want to learn or share their ideas come together
and discuss these issues. It was definitely good to see that people are coming
together to talk about these issues. As Crawford points out “only 16% of adults
use twitter.” This just shows us that the consensus opinion on twitter is not
necessarily how other people feel. That is why it is good to have workshops like
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this that bring people from all over the world together.
Many marine organisms have been extremely affected by ocean
acidification. With the ongoing increase of CO2, that seems to be not stopping
for a long time, we can probably infer that the conditions for marine life aren’t
going to get better. As you can see in figure 8, countries like China and the US
are producing more CO2 emissions than they ever have been. The current pH
level of the ocean is as low as it has ever been. Countries like the US and China
aren’t going to listen to some environmentalists give them some talk about a fish
situation.
One last graph we want to talk about is figure 7. In this graph there is a
huge spike in the total tons caught of crab, but all of a sudden there is a huge
decline. Could this be due to ocean acidification? Could it be due to low
offspring rates? There are many questions to this graph that we may never
know, but one thing we found interesting about this graph was right after the King
crab population decreased, there was a big increase in sea urchins. From what I
infer from this information is that fisheries kept fishing the crabs until they ran out
or there was some type of ecosystem change, such as ocean acidification, that
depleted these crab populations.
We don’t believe that it has come to the point yet where everyone needs
to start taking action. The day will come where our own negligence is going to
cause us to lose our oceans, just hopefully that day doesn’t come in the near
future. An interesting fact that I saw the other day was that the Earth is 4.6 billion
years old and if we scale that to 46 years, we as a population only have been
here for 4 hours. Our industrial revolution started one minute ago and in that
time we have destroyed more than 50% of our forests! Shocking! Now just
imagine what we could do to our oceans too.
Conclusion:
From my conclusion, ocean acidification is a problem that is not going to
leave us for a long time. People as a whole need to take more responsibility for
themselves and start caring about the world we live in. Remember this is not just
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a problem that affects individual groups of people, it affects the whole entire
world and we need to come together to get this problem fixed!!
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Works Cited
Alex Pentland, “The Data-Driven Society,” Scientific American 309, 4
(October 1, 2013): 80, accessed Feb. 2, 2014
doi: http://ereserves.bowdoin.edu/s14/intd2420/pentland_-
_the_data_driven_society.pdf
Boyd, Danah, and Kate Crawford. “Critical questions for big data:
Provocations for a cultural, technological, and scholarly phenomenon.”
Information, Communication & Society 15.5 (2012): 662-679. Fabry, V. J., Seibel, B. A., Feely, R. A., and Orr, J. C. 2008. Impacts of ocean
acidification on marine fauna and ecosystem processes. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 65: 414–432.
Kate Crawford, “Think Again: Big Data,” Foreign Policy, May 9, 2013, pp.
2. K. E. Fabricius, G. De'ath, S. Noonan, and S. Uthicke
Ecological effects of ocean acidification and habitat complexity on reef-associated macroinvertebrate communities Proc R Soc B 2013 281: 20132479
Kurgan, Laura. 2013. “Representation and the Necessity of Interpretation.”
dddddIn Close up at a Distance: Mapping, Technology, and Politics, 19-38.
Ocean acidification and climate change: synergies and challenges of addressing both under the UNFCCCEllycia R. Harrould-Kolieb, Dorothée Herr Climate Policy Vol. 12, Iss. 3, 2012
http://www.pmel.noaa.gov/co2/story/
http://www.pmel.noaa .gov/co2/story/Ocean+Acidification).
http://www.pressherald.com/news/Maine_passes_law_to_study_ocean_acidification.html
Tufte, Edward R. 2011 “Visual & statistical thinking: displays of evidence for
bbbbbbmaking decisions”
W. Christopher Long, Katherine M. Swiney, Robert J. Foy, Effects of ocean
acidification on the embryos and larvae of red king crab, Paralithodes
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camtschaticus, Marine Pollution Bulletin, Volume 69, Issues 1–2, 15 April
2013, Pages 38-47