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Observed Characteristics of Mesoscale Banding in Coastal Northeast U.S. Snow Storms Nicole Hoban*, Sandra Yuter * , Laura Tomkins * , Sara Ganetis # , Matthew Miller * , Levi Lovell * , Spencer Rhodes * , Brian Colle # , *North Carolina State University, # Stony Brook University Data Sets and Storm Classification Associations Between Velocity Waves and Snow Bands We identified 108 snow storms during the cold season (October – March) from 1996 – 2016 from ASOS snow measurements. Data from six radars (KOKX, KBOX, KDIX, KENX, KGYS, KDOX) are combined to make regional maps every 6-10 minutes of radar reflectivity and estimated liquid equivalent snow rate (Sn in mm/hr, Rasmussen et al. 2003) during each storm. We have approximately 3,000 hours of data from the KOKX radar alone. Introduction Quantitative precipitation forecasts for extratropical snow storms have long been a challenge. Locally intense snowfall within mesoscale snow bands can have large impacts on snow accumulation. Previous work has shown that longer, single bands > 250 km in length and 20 to 100 km wide are associated with frontal circulations. However, the physical mechanisms originating and maintaining sets of multi bands - two or more snow bands < 250 km length and 10 to 50 km wide - are less clear. This study uses operational WSR-88D radar data along the U.S. eastern seaboard from Delaware to Maine to examine the joint microphysical and dynamical signatures associated with mesoscale snow bands. Velocity Band Detection Method Velocity bands within the Doppler radial velocity fields were identified by subtracting two consecutive fields (A & B) yielding a temporal difference field (C). To obtain spatial separation between the velocity bands, only the negative portion of the temporal difference field is used (D). Cyclone-centric Framework Cyclone low pressure center tracks from 3 hourly NARR output were used to place radar and satellite data from each storm into a Lagrangian coordinate system centered on the low. Using the Lagrangian framework, we are able to see the movement of the bands relative to the cyclone low and determine in which quadrants the snow bands and velocity bands occurred. Velocity bands tend to be associated with multi-bands. Snow storms without multi-bands rarely had velocity bands associated with them. Velocity and snow bands were found to move in similar directions in the lower atmosphere (0 – 2 km). Within the same storm, velocity bands usually moved faster than snow bands indicating these velocity features are not locked to the snow bands. Both snow bands and velocity bands were most frequently found in the northwest quadrant followed by the northeast quadrant. Snow and velocity bands often moved northwest, radially outward from the vicinity of the low and perpendicular to the typical low pressure center’s motion toward the northeast. In some storms, the snow bands were relatively stationary respective to the low and moved parallel to storm motion. Velocity bands identified in multiple radars were combined to make regional maps. The motion of the bands relative to the low level flow suggests that these velocity features may be gravity waves. Within snow storms, weaker, more stratiform precipitation tends to form first during the developing stage of the cyclone. Snow bands more frequently occur during the mature stage of the cyclone after the warm conveyor belt splits and a portion of warm, moist air wraps around the low. KGYX: 25:45 KBOX: 22:49 KENX: 26:26 KOKX: 25:45 KDIX: 25:42 KDOX: 23:55 Wavelength Mean = 17 km Wave Depth Mean = 4.5 km The difference between snow band and waves was calculated for times when the difference in their direction of movement was less than 45 degrees. A positive speed difference represents a time when waves are moving faster than snow bands. All Snow Storms Parallel Movement to Cyclone Center Perpendicular Movement to Cyclone Center Storm Classification Number of Storms with Waves Number of Storms without waves Total Number of Storms with Waves Number of Storms without waves Number of Storms with Waves Number of Storms without waves Multi-Band 25 14 39 6 3 19 11 Single and Multi-Band 25 7 32 5 2 20 5 Single Band 1 6 7 1 4 0 2 Non-Banded 3 27 30 NA NA NA NA Total 54 54 108 12 9 39 18 Mean = 4.5 m/s Web site with movies of regional radar data for all storms Mesoscale snow bands are identified using a variation of a convective/stratiform precipitation identification algorithm that utilizes a local peakedness criterion to identify areas of local precipitation enhancement. Following Ganetis et al. (2015), snow storms were classified based on the geometry of snow band structures identified throughout the storm’s duration. The four categories are: single band, coexisting single and multi-bands, multi-band, and non- banded. Snow storms with only multi-bands were found to be the most common followed by snow storms with coexisting single and multi-bands, snow storms with no band features, and snow storms with only single bands. Snow Band Timing Wave & Band Speed Difference Conclusions and Implications • No clear, sustained convergence signatures were found to be locked with multi-bands across 108 snow storms. Multi-bands do not consist of persistent, active updrafts in contrast to convective-scale generating cells. With or without snow bands present, generating cells are nearly ubiquitous in the upper levels of snow storm radar echo. • We discovered moving bands of velocity change within snowstorms. The bands are consistent across adjacent radar domains and appear to originate outside of the precipitation echo. These features move perpendicular to the mean low level flow in a manner similar to gravity waves. • 70% of the occurrences of multi-bands (with or without coexisting single bands) are associated with velocity waves. The velocity waves were found to generally move faster (average of 4.5 m/s faster) than the snow bands. The frequent co-occurrence and similar orientations of the velocity waves and multi-band snow bands suggest a connection. • Future work: Determine the mechanism and origination of the velocity waves and their potential roles in snow band initiation and maintenance. Determine if radially moving snow bands and parallel moving snow bands have similar physical mechanisms. References: Ganetis et al. (2015): Simulations of Multi-bands in the Comma Head of Northeast U.S. Winter Storms. Abstracts, 16th Conference on Mesoscale Processes, 3-6 August 2015, Boston, MA. Rasmussen et al. (2003): Snow nowcasting using real-time correlation of radar reflectivity with snow gauge accumulation. JAMC, 42, 20-36. Acknowledgments: Special thanks to Megan Amanatides, M. Tai Bryant, Emma Scott, and Nicole Corbin for their assistance and advice. This research is supported by NSF grants AGS 1347491 and AGS 1347499. Bands Not Bands No Echo mm/hr No Echo Wave mm/hr K dBZ

Observed Characteristics of Mesoscale Banding in …€¦ · Observed Characteristics of Mesoscale Banding in . Coastal Northeast U.S. Snow Storms. Nicole Hoban*, Sandra Yuter *,

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Page 1: Observed Characteristics of Mesoscale Banding in …€¦ · Observed Characteristics of Mesoscale Banding in . Coastal Northeast U.S. Snow Storms. Nicole Hoban*, Sandra Yuter *,

Observed Characteristics of Mesoscale Banding in Coastal Northeast U.S. Snow Storms

Nicole Hoban*, Sandra Yuter*, Laura Tomkins*, Sara Ganetis#, Matthew Miller*, Levi Lovell*, Spencer Rhodes*, Brian Colle#, *North Carolina State University, #Stony Brook University

Data Sets and Storm Classification

Associations Between Velocity Waves and Snow Bands

We identified 108 snow storms during the coldseason (October – March) from 1996 – 2016 fromASOS snow measurements. Data from six radars(KOKX, KBOX, KDIX, KENX, KGYS, KDOX) arecombined to make regional maps every 6-10minutes of radar reflectivity and estimated liquidequivalent snow rate (Sn in mm/hr, Rasmussen etal. 2003) during each storm. We haveapproximately 3,000 hours of data from theKOKX radar alone.

IntroductionQuantitative precipitation forecasts for extratropical snow storms have long been a challenge.Locally intense snowfall within mesoscale snow bands can have large impacts on snowaccumulation. Previous work has shown that longer, single bands > 250 km in length and 20to 100 km wide are associated with frontal circulations. However, the physical mechanismsoriginating and maintaining sets of multi bands - two or more snow bands < 250 km lengthand 10 to 50 km wide - are less clear. This study uses operational WSR-88D radar data alongthe U.S. eastern seaboard from Delaware to Maine to examine the joint microphysical anddynamical signatures associated with mesoscale snow bands.

Velocity Band Detection Method Velocity bands within the Doppler radial velocity fields were identified by subtracting twoconsecutive fields (A & B) yielding a temporal difference field (C). To obtain spatial separationbetween the velocity bands, only the negative portion of the temporal difference field is used (D).

Cyclone-centric Framework Cyclone low pressure center tracks from 3 hourly NARR output were used to place radar andsatellite data from each storm into a Lagrangian coordinate system centered on the low. Usingthe Lagrangian framework, we are able to see the movement of the bands relative to the cyclonelow and determine in which quadrants the snow bands and velocity bands occurred.

Velocity bands tend to be associated with multi-bands. Snow storms without multi-bands rarelyhad velocity bands associated with them. Velocity and snow bands were found to move insimilar directions in the lower atmosphere (0 – 2 km). Within the same storm, velocity bandsusually moved faster than snow bands indicating these velocity features are not locked to thesnow bands.

Both snow bands and velocity bands were most frequently found in the northwest quadrantfollowed by the northeast quadrant. Snow and velocity bands often moved northwest, radiallyoutward from the vicinity of the low and perpendicular to the typical low pressure center’smotion toward the northeast. In some storms, the snow bands were relatively stationaryrespective to the low and moved parallel to storm motion.

Velocity bands identified in multiple radars were combined to make regional maps. The motionof the bands relative to the low level flow suggests that these velocity features may be gravitywaves.

Within snow storms, weaker, more stratiformprecipitation tends to form first during thedeveloping stage of the cyclone. Snow bandsmore frequently occur during the mature stage ofthe cyclone after the warm conveyor belt splitsand a portion of warm, moist air wraps aroundthe low.

KGYX: 25:45KBOX: 22:49KENX: 26:26KOKX: 25:45KDIX: 25:42KDOX: 23:55

Wavelength

Mean = 17 km

Wave Depth

Mean = 4.5 km

The difference between snow band and waves was calculated for times when the difference intheir direction of movement was less than 45 degrees. A positive speed difference represents atime when waves are moving faster than snow bands.

All Snow Storms Parallel Movement to Cyclone Center

PerpendicularMovement to Cyclone

Center

Storm Classification

Number of Storms

with Waves

Numberof Storms without waves

TotalNumber of

Stormswith Waves

Numberof Storms without waves

Number of Storms

with Waves

Number of Storms without waves

Multi-Band 25 14 39 6 3 19 11

Single and Multi-Band 25 7 32 5 2 20 5

Single Band 1 6 7 1 4 0 2

Non-Banded 3 27 30 NA NA NA NA

Total 54 54 108 12 9 39 18

Mean = 4.5 m/s

Web site with movies of regional radar data for all storms

Mesoscale snow bands are identified using a variation of a convective/stratiform precipitationidentification algorithm that utilizes a local peakedness criterion to identify areas of localprecipitation enhancement. Following Ganetis et al. (2015), snow storms were classifiedbased on the geometry of snow band structures identified throughout the storm’s duration.The four categories are: single band, coexisting single and multi-bands, multi-band, and non-banded. Snow storms with only multi-bands were found to be the most common followed bysnow storms with coexisting single and multi-bands, snow storms with no band features, andsnow storms with only single bands.

Snow Band Timing

Wave & Band Speed Difference

Conclusions and Implications • No clear, sustained convergence signatures were found to be locked with multi-bands across

108 snow storms. Multi-bands do not consist of persistent, active updrafts in contrast toconvective-scale generating cells. With or without snow bands present, generating cells arenearly ubiquitous in the upper levels of snow storm radar echo.

• We discovered moving bands of velocity change within snowstorms. The bands are consistentacross adjacent radar domains and appear to originate outside of the precipitation echo. Thesefeatures move perpendicular to the mean low level flow in a manner similar to gravity waves.

• 70% of the occurrences of multi-bands (with or without coexisting single bands) are associatedwith velocity waves. The velocity waves were found to generally move faster (average of4.5 m/s faster) than the snow bands. The frequent co-occurrence and similar orientations ofthe velocity waves and multi-band snow bands suggest a connection.

• Future work: Determine the mechanism and origination of the velocity waves and theirpotential roles in snow band initiation and maintenance. Determine if radially moving snowbands and parallel moving snow bands have similar physical mechanisms.

References: Ganetis et al. (2015): Simulations of Multi-bands in the Comma Head of Northeast U.S. Winter Storms. Abstracts, 16th Conference on Mesoscale Processes, 3-6 August 2015, Boston, MA. Rasmussen et al. (2003): Snow nowcasting using real-time correlation of radar reflectivity with snow gauge accumulation. JAMC, 42, 20-36.Acknowledgments: Special thanks to Megan Amanatides, M. Tai Bryant, Emma Scott, and Nicole Corbin for their assistance and advice. This research is supported by NSF grants AGS 1347491 and AGS 1347499.

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