Obama for America

December 31, 2007

Obama for AmericaObama for America

December 31, 2007December 31, 2007

David PlouffeCampaign ManagerDavid PlouffeDavid PlouffeCampaign ManagerCampaign Manager

Iowa –

Crowd Size Comparisons All are post-Christmas, 2007

365

650

600

330

950

500

200

400

400

200

100

200

225

120

0 200 400 600 800 1000

Clinton, IA

Mason City, IA

Caroll, IA

Webster City, IA

Davenport, IA

Nevada, IA

EdwardsClintonObama

IOWAIOWA

•Strongest Organization in the state.

• 37 field offices state-wide; over 200 field staffers; thousands of active volunteers

•Strongest Organization in the state.

• 37 field offices state-wide; over 200 field staffers; thousands of active volunteers

Iowa• Obama is positioned to be a

strong second choice candidate.

• Obama is strongest amongst those planning to attend the caucuses.

• Obama is expanding into new universes throughout Iowa.

$0

$2,618,852.98

$2,086,039.53

$0

$500,000

$1,000,000

$1,500,000

$2,000,000

$2,500,000

$3,000,000

Obama Clinton Edwards

Special Interest Spending on behalf of Edwards and Clinton

On behalf of Clinton: AFSCME: $1,333,456.96; AFT: $799,618.59; Emily’s List: $485,777.43On behalf of Edwards: Working for Working Americans/Carpenters: $526,440.76; Alliance for a New America (SEIU): $1,559,598.77;

New Hampshire:New Hampshire:●

First TV ads began September 25th

●

Largest field operation in state with 16 field offices, most aggressive door-to-door operation and over 100 staff

• Nearly 1.6 million calls made• Over 330,000 doors knocked

●

Strong volunteer base actively signing up thousands of supporters throughout New England

●

Strong help from Governor Patrick in neighboring

MA

●

Big Independent voter block (at least 44%) that can vote in Primary and are more favorable

to Obama.

●

First TV ads began September 25th

●

Largest field operation in state with 16 field offices, most aggressive door-to-door operation and over 100 staff

• Nearly 1.6 million calls made• Over 330,000 doors knocked

●

Strong volunteer base actively signing up thousands of supporters throughout New England

●

Strong help from Governor Patrick in neighboring

MA

●

Big Independent voter block (at least 44%) that can vote in Primary and are more favorable

to Obama.

Obama has Closed the Gap with Clinton in New Hampshire, latest polls show Obama leading

SOUTH CAROLINA:SOUTH CAROLINA:•African American voters could make up as much as 55% of the primary electorate.

•First candidate to run ads on all 36 African American radio stations

• Went on the air with state-wide television ads on December 18th.

•Obama leads overall and with African American voters in South Carolina and wins more than 20% of white voters

•Obama’s field operation is considered the best in the history of South

Carolina with 11 field offices across the state and over 50 field staff

•Even political veterans are impressed with what they are seeing of Obama's operation on the ground. In South Carolina, an early-

primary state where 30% of the population is black, his young volunteers are out knocking on doors every weekend. "It is a new crowd," says former South Carolina Democratic chairman Donald Fowler, "and it is the most methodical voter-canvassing project I have ever seen in South Carolina." (Time Magazine, 9/27/2007)

Obama has Taken Lead in South Carolina

27%

45%

7%

35%34%

13%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%

9/6-9/10; LATimes/Bloomberg

12/13-12/17, CBSNews

ObamaClintonEdwards

NEVADANEVADA•Most offices open of any candidate, with

11 offices across the state

•Largest field operation with over 50 field staffers

•First candidate on TV, airing first commercial December 11th

•First candidate to run state-wide Spanish language ads

21%

39%

9%

26%

34%

9%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%

10/9-10/11 12/3-12/5

ObamaClintonEdwards

NEVADA: Obama Gaining Strength as Jan. 19th approaches

-18% -8%

Source: Mason Dixon Polling

Barack Obama Has Developed an

Unprecedented National Grassroots

Campaign

• 472,630 = total number of unique donors **(as of 6:30 pm, 12/30/2007)

• 757,565 = total number of contributions

• A total of 16,110 maxed our contributors, only 3.4% of all donors

• Average of 1.6 donations per contributor

• Senator Obama is the one candidate in this race who’s not getting any help from Washington lobbyists, special interest PACs, or the shadowy Washington-based organizations called 527s. He’s getting his support from ordinary Americans.

Record Breaking Number of New Donors

February 5th

22 States have primaries or caucuses•At least $100 million will be necessary to fully compete in first 26 states. Obama will have the financial resources.

•The Obama campaign currently has 32 offices open in 17 of the February 5 states.

•Candidates need to start now to build organizations in the caucus states – MN-CO-KS-ID-AK-ND. We have offices open in all of the caucus states and are actively engaging our grassroots support.

•Obama is first candidate to open offices and staff a majority of the Feb. 5 states.

Total Amount John Edwards Can Spend between January 3rd and the Democratic National Convention, August 25, 2008:

$50,000,000 = Estimated Total Limit*- $32,745,299.97 = estimated Expenditures

through Jan 3rd**

= $17,254,700.03

Accepting Public Funds Limits Capabilities

*National spending cap through the convention: $50 million [CNN,

9/27/07]; Estimated Total Raised by Edwards = total raised through Q3, $30,121,494.26 + $10 million in matching funds + $7 million in estimated 4th quarter funds raised = $47,121,494.26**total spent through Q3, $17,745,299.97 + estimated $15 million

spent in Q4

GEORGIA: Latest Polling Shows Obama in the Lead

Source: Atlanta Journal Constitution Poll, 12/21/2007

33%31%

16%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

12/21/2007

ObamaClintonEdwards

CALIFORNIA: Obama Gaining Momentum

Source: Survey USA in CA

20%

57%

13%

24%

50%

16%

30%

49%

14%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07

ObamaClintonEdwards

Electability

•Barack Obama is the Democratic candidate with the most support amongst Republicans and Independents

•A recent (12/12/2007) Zogby poll demonstrates that Barack Obama is the most likely to win next November:

0% 20% 40% 60%

McCain

Giuliani

Romney

Huckabee

Thompson

Obama Republican

Obama is the only Democrat to Beat Every Republican in a Head to Head

Source: (12/12/2007) Zogby

poll

35% 40% 45% 50%

McCain

Giuliani

Romney

Huckabee

Thompson

Clinton Republican

Clinton Loses to 3 out of 5 Leading Republicans in a Head to Head

Source: (12/12/2007) Zogby

poll

54%52% 51%

57%

48%

30%

42%45%

0%

20%

40%

60%

Gore 10/10/99 Kerry 10/16/04 Hillary Clinton12/14/2007

Obama 12/14/2007

Favorable Unfavorable

Half Dislike Clinton; Obama Most Liked Among General Election Voters: Clinton already has higher unfavorables than Gore or Kerry at any point in their losing campaigns

Candidate Favorability

SOURCE: All numbers from Gallup polling

Independents

Amongst the Democratic candidates Obama appeals most to Independent voters

• Obama’s advantages over other Democratic candidates among Independents nationally demonstrate that he has the strongest change of winning in the general election.

• Recent elections show that without winning a majority of Independent votes Democrats do not win.• John Kerry only won 49% of Independents and

lost the general election in 2004.

Obama Has Highest Favorability Among Independent Voters

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

Obama Clinton Edwards

FavUnfav

Source: Fox News Poll, 12/14/2007

+ 22% -9%+16%