Numbers that Matter about China

Saturday 19 September 2009

Guy KedarGerrit Ledderhof

Chia Wei LeeJohanna Little

Geoff Spielman

Some Numbers

Chinese population is over 1.3 billion It is growing at a rate of 0.665% per year Overall gender ratio is 1.06 males/female However...

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What does this mean?

For every 213 children, there are 113 males and 100 females

At the current growth rate, in 15 yearsPopulation of 1.44 billionYouths will be between 15 and 30 of age151 million males, 134 million females

A surplus of almost 18 million males!

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What does this mean?

If taken to the extreme and the trend only continues...in 50 years population of 1.81 billion955 million males, 893 million females

A surplus of 62 million males!

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Why is this happening?

One-Child Policy

57% rural populationdesire for male to provide social security

Government reporting is suspectunderreported female births, abortions

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What are possible implications? Unknown ramifications on child development Change in the role of women Change of One-Child policy Crash of population Mass migration Increased ethnic diversity Increased likelihood of war New approach to polygamy?

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