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NTSB Weather Priorities Melissa McCaffrey Senior Government Analyst Air Traffic Services Division, Government Affairs

NTSB Weather Priorities Melissa McCaffrey Senior Government Analyst

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NTSB Weather Priorities Melissa McCaffrey Senior Government Analyst Air Traffic Services Division, Government Affairs. Challenges. We have learned over the years that weather is one of the weakest areas for pilots - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

NTSB Weather Priorities

Melissa McCaffreySenior Government Analyst Air Traffic Services Division,Government Affairs

Page 2: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

Challenges

n We have learned over the years that weather is one of the weakest areas for pilotsn You can take the private pilot exam, fail all of the

weather questions and still pass

Excerpt from NTSB Most Wanted List:“..Knowledge tests and flight reviews should test for

awareness of weather, use of instruments, and use of “glass” cockpits.”

Page 3: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

What is the issue?

“..NTSB continues to investigate about 1,500 accidents each year in general aviation. In most cases, pilots did not have the adequate knowledge, skills, or recurrent training to fly safely, particularly in questionable weather conditions.”

-NTSB Most Wanted List

Page 4: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst
Page 5: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

Acc

iden

ts

010

0020

0030

0040

00

LandingMechanical/pow er loss Takeoff

Fuelmgt. Manuevering Weather

Descent/approach

Leading causes of fixed-wing accidents,2003-2012

Page 6: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

Acc

iden

ts

010

020

030

040

050

0

Manuevering WeatherMechanical/pow er loss

Descent/approach Takeoff

Unex-plained

Fuelmgt.

Leading causes of FATAL fixed-wing accidents,2003-2012

Page 7: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

VFR intoIMC Icing Thunderstorms

Non-convectiveturbulence

Acc

iden

ts

050

100

150

200

250

300

350

Types of fixed-wing weather accidents,2003-2012

All accidentsFatal accidents

Page 8: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

VFR into IMC

n On November 26, 2011, a Cirrus SR-20 plunged to the ground in suburban Chicago, killing its four occupants.

n Pilot information:n 47 years oldn Private pilotn 207 total hoursn “some” instrument training

Page 9: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

Low Pressure System Moving into the Area

Page 10: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst
Page 11: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

Amended Terminal Area Forecast

Page 12: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

States he was VFR

Page 13: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

Field Was IFR

Page 14: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

Trying to Locate the Field

Page 15: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

In Too Deep..

Page 16: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

What we Teach

n Utilize weather technology correctly to make smart decisions• Understand limitations of your specific equipment,

recognizing lag time and other restrains and plan accordingly

• Becoming competent and confident prior to flying with advanced equipment

n Know before you go mentality is important• Receive a weather briefing• Gather the most current weather information

n Never become overconfident• Don’t underestimate mother nature

16

Page 17: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

Education and Training

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Page 18: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst
Page 19: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst
Page 20: NTSB Weather Priorities  Melissa McCaffrey Senior  Government Analyst

Discussion..