NSF: The American Competitiveness Initiative

January 10, 2007

Hosted by: Washington University in St. LouisSt. Louis, Missouri

The Metropolitan St. Louis Grants Conference

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Along the Road Ahead

•Backdrop – The overall “environment” includes:– The political landscape– Constrained budgets– “War time” environment– Disaster relief funding– Deficit reduction– Economic uncertainty– Trade deficit

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Along the Road Ahead

•There is some potential good news for R&D

– The American Competitiveness Initiative

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American Competitiveness Initiative

• Boost physical sciences• More attention to math and science

education in public schools• Focus on applied energy research• Make Research and Experimentation

Federal tax credit permanentBut:• Flat lines NIH for next 5 years• Freezes NASA’s spending on earth and

space sciences

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American Competitiveness Initiative

Haves:• Double over 10 years:

– DOE Science Programs– NSF

NIST

• DHS: +$18 million for research on nuclear detection and forensics

• ED: Invest $326 million total in Math and Science Education (+51%)

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American Competitiveness Initiative

Have Nots:• NIH: +1%

– Some few winners:• + $110 million for bio defense fund• + $49 million for initiative on genes, environment and

health• +15 million for new bridge award for young

investigators

• NASA: +1%– A host of science missions being placed on hold including:

• The space interferometry telescope• A probe to search for Earth-like planets• Spacecraft to measure global precipitation

• EPA: 6.7% in S&T account• NOAA: $279 million

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Congress and the Budget:The Future Appears Bright

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NSF’s Key Congressional Players

• House and Senate Budget Committees

• Authorization Committees– House Science Committee/Sub-committees– Senate Health, Education, Labor & Pensions

Committee– Senate Commerce, Science & Transportation

Committee

• Appropriations Committees– New committee structure: House and Senate –

new staff

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Role of Appropriations Subcommittees

• In FY 2006, they dispersed > $843 billion of discretionary funds.

• Work with Congressional leadership and members to address priorities of budget resolution.

Agriculture

Defense

Sci., State, Justice, Commerce

Energy & Water

Foreign Ops

Homeland Security

Interior & Environment

LHHS&Ed

Legislative

Military Qual. Of Life & VA

Trans., Treas., HUD, Jud., DCData Source: Table S-4. Discretionary Funding by Appropriations Subcommittee, FY 2007 Budget of the U.S. Government, p. 316.

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Percentage Composition of Federal Government Outlays

National Defense

Net Interest

All Other

Payments to Individuals

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

40

44

48

52

56

60

64

68

72

76

80

84

88

92

96

00

04

Fiscal Year 20

07

$1,308 B

$420 B

$178 B

$490 B

1940 1971 2004 Current $ $9.5B $210.2B $2,396B

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FY 2006 and 2007 R&D Budget Highlights

FY 2006• DHS: 25.5 % over 2005• Agriculture: Level with 2005• Defense: 3.2 % over 2005• NASA: 11.7 % over 2005• NIH: 0.2 % over 2005• Commerce:

– NOAA: 4.5% under 2005– NIST: 4.9% under 2005

• DOE Science: 1.6% under 2005

• USGS: 2.6 % over 2005• EPA: 6.3% under 2005

FY 2007*• DHS: 1.6 % over 2006• Agriculture: 16.5 % under

2006• Defense: 3.2 % over 2006• NASA: 7.5 % over 2006• NIH: 0.1% over 2006• Commerce:

– NOAA: 6.3% under 2006– NIST: 6.4% over 2006

• DOE Science: 14.4% over 2006

• USGS: 4.3% under 2006• EPA: 7.2% under 2006

* Impact of appropriations not yet known

Data Source: Table 5-1 Federal Research and Development, FY 2007 Analytical Perspectives, p. 49 and OMB MAX database.

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R&D BudgetBudget Authority

(Dollar amounts in millions) 2007

Proposed Percent Change

Defense 74,234 3%

Health and Human Services 28,737 0%

NASA 12,245 7%

Energy 9,158 7%

National Science Foundation 4,548 8%

Agriculture/USDA 2,012 -17%

Veterans Affairs 765 0%

Commerce 1,065 -1%

Homeland Security 1,508 2%

Transportation 557 -21%

Interior 600 -6%

Environmental Protection Agency 557 -7%

Other 1,218 -1%

TOTAL 137,204 3%

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Federal Spending -- FY 2007

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$ Billions

Net Interest

Entitlements

Social Security

National Defense

Non-Defense Discretionary

Total = $2.77 Trillion

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Federal Civilian R&D as Percent of Total Civilian Discretionary Budget Authority -- FY 2007

Total Federal Civilian R&D

Budget Authority$54 B

Total Federal Civilian

Discretionary Budget Authority(Non-R&D $359

B)

13%

Total = $413 B

87%

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Defense R&D as Percent of Total Defense DiscretionaryBudget Authority -- FY 2007

Total DefenseDiscretionary

Budget Authority (Non-R&D $432

B)

Total Defense Discretionary R&D Budget Authority

$78 B15%

Total = $510 B

85%

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FY 2007 FY 2007 FY 2007Account Request House Mark Amount Percent Senate Mark Amount Percent

R&RA $4,665.95 $4,665.95 $0.00 0.0% $4,646.42 -$19.53 -0.4%EHR 816.22 832.43 16.21 2.0% 835.75 19.53 2.4%MREFC 240.45 237.25 -3.20 -1.3% 237.25 -3.20 -1.3%S&E 281.82 268.61 -13.21 -4.7% 256.50 -25.32 -9.0%NSB 3.91 3.91 0.00 0.0% 3.91 0.00 0.0%OIG 11.86 11.86 0.00 0.0% 11.86 0.00 0.0%

Total, NSF $6,020.21 $6,020.01 -$0.20 0.0% $5,991.69 -$28.52 -0.5%

(Dollars in Millions)

Request Request

Change over Change over

NSF FY 2007 Congressional Marks

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Key House/Senate Language•House

– Innovation Inducement Prize

•Senate– $101.2M - Plant Genome Research Program– $50.7M - National Radio Astronomy

Observatories– $57 M - polar icebreaking activities– Full Support for Office of International Science

and Engineering and the National Nanotechnology Initiative

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MREFC Projects•Ongoing

– EarthScope - $27.4M– IceCube – $28.7M– Scientific Ocean Drilling Vessel $42.88M– South Pole Station Modernization - $9.13M– ALMA - $45.14M

•New– Alaska Region Research Vessel at $56M

– Ocean Observatories Initiative at $13.5M– National Ecological Observatory Network at $11.8M

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President’s American Competitiveness Initiative

Double the NSF budget over 10 years

Cover image credit: Eric J. Heller, Harvard University

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Proposed NSF Outyear Estimates - FY 2006 and FY 2007

$0

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016

$ in Millions

FY06 Outyears FY07 Outyears

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$6.02 billion

(Increase from FY 2006: $439 million, 7.9%)

Big Picture

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Sensors Explosives

Sensors for the Detection of Explosives

$20 million

Credit: Mete Sozen and Julio Ramirez, Purdue University School of Civil Engineering

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International Polar Year

Michael Van Woert, NOAA

2007-2008

$62 million

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Science Metrics

Science Met Rev

$6.8million

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Cyberinfrastructure$597 million

Petascale Computing $50 million

Credit: Bob Wilhelmson, NCSA and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Lou Wicker, National Severe Storms Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; Matt Gilmore, Lee Cronce, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Illinois. Visualization by Donna Cox, Robert Patterson, Stuart Levy, Matt Hall, Alex Betts, NCSA.

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Sunflower blank

Bolstering K-12 EducationDiscovery Research K-12 $104 M Grand ChallengesDeveloping effective science and mathematics assessments for K-12

Improving science teaching and learning in the elementary grades

Introducing cutting-edge discoveries into K-12 classrooms

Credit: Barry Myers